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PNE AG — Investor Presentation 2018
May 9, 2018
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Investor Presentation
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PNE WIND Investor Relations
Presentation
May 9, 2018
This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute a public offer or invitation to subscribe for or purchase any securities of PNE WIND AG and neither this presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. This presentation is being furnished to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person in whole or in part.
All information contained herein has been carefully prepared. Nevertheless, we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness.
The information contained in this presentation is subject to amendment, revision and updating. Certain statements contained in this presentation may be statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on the company's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements as a result of, among others, factors, changing business or other market conditions and the prospects for growth anticipated by the management of the Company. These and other factors could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. The Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
The distribution of this document in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons into whose possession this document comes should inform themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of applicable Securities Laws.
| I. | Company Profile & Business Model | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| II. | Market & Strategy | 12 |
| III. | Highlights Q1 2018 & Financials | 26 |
| I. | Company Profile & Business Model | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| II. | Market & Strategy | 12 |
| III. | Highlights Q1 2018 & Financials | 26 |
WE ARE A LEADING DEVELOPER OF WIND ENERGY PROJECTS…
• PNE WIND Group, consisting of the companies PNE WIND AG and WKN AG, is a leading wind farm developer located in Northern Germany >2,600 MW realised onshore
• Nr. 2 player in operations &
• Germany's most successful project developer with 8 Offshore projects sold totalling 2,852 MW
• > € 9bn Euros of investment done or initiated • Active in 13 countries
on 3 continents
… WITH A STRONG MARKET POSITION – NATIONALLY AND INTERNATIONALLY
WHO WE ARE
WE HAVE A DEDICATED & EXPERIENCED MANAGEMENT TEAM
• Seasoned wind energy pioneers with strong industry knowledge and large network
Markus Lesser
Chairman of the Board (CEO)
- CEO since May 2016
- COO 2011 2016
- Industry experience since 2000
-
Sales, M&A, Procurement, Offshore, Human Resources, Communication
-
CFO since April 2011
- Industry experience since 1999
- Finance and Accounting, Controlling, Risk Management, Legal
Kurt Stürken
Chief Operating Officer (COO)
- COO since September 2016
- Industry experience since 1995
- Project Development, Implementation, International Markets
WHAT WE DO
WE HAVE A SUCCESSFUL BUSINESS MODEL
WE GENERATED STRONG EARNINGS FROM 2011 – 2017…
Ø EBIT of € 28.1m - In average, an EBIT of € 28.1m was achieved per year
Ø EPS of € 0.29 - Over the last six years, PNE WIND's average EPS was € 0.29 Ø Dividend of € 0.08/share
- An average dividend of € 0.08/share was paid per year
…AND CONSISTENTLY DELIVERED ON OUR TARGETS
| GUIDANCE | GOAL | ACHIEVED |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 – 2013 |
€ 60 – 72m |
€ 64m |
| 2014 – 2016 |
€ 110 – 130m |
€ 110m |
| 2017 | € 17 – 23m (old: 0 – 15m) |
€ 23.1m |
FINANCIALS IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE 2011
- ✓ Equity increased by more than € 150m
- ✓ Solid equity ratio despite volatile earnings
- ✓ Total output clearly increased
- ✓ Ø EBIT of more than € 28m between 2011 and 2017
- ✓ Cumulative EBIT of ca. € 130m over the last three years
✓ Continuous increase of liquidity
TRACK RECORD
MAJOR DEALS IN RECENT YEARS
| I. | Company Profile & Business Model | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| II. | Market & Strategy | 12 |
| III. | Highlights Q1 2018 & Financials | 26 |
MARKET & GROWTH DRIVERS
MARKETS ARE BECOMING MORE INTEGRATED…
Source: e/m/w 2017, PNE WIND AG
AUCTION SYSTEMS BECOME THE NORM…
Global overview of renewable energy auctions
Countries with auctions or renewable energy tenders in use or planned
- Onshore wind bids
- Solar PV bids
Challenges in the current market
- Regulatory uncertainties
- Auctions for grid connections and tariffs
- Growth (in MW) in established markets is stagnating, returns are decreasing
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance
MARKET & GROWTH DRIVERS
… AND ARE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTING PROJECT PRICING
- Increasing market competition, also between various technologies in the renewable energy sector
- Fast decreasing tariffs in auctions Solar PV is catching up
- Current price trends in tender markets partly anticipate future technological developments and cost reduction effects
- Larger projects require higher security deposits and greater need for pre-financing
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 USD/MWh Onshore wind average auction price Solar PV average auction price
Announced wind and solar PV auction prices by commissioning date
Source: Renewables 2017, IEA
…BUT GROWTH DRIVERS ARE FULLY INTACT
ELECTRICITY PRICES WILL INCREASE
- Electricity prices will increase as nuclear power plants will go offline in Germany and France
- Prices of CO2 certificates will increase
- This will open up new business opportunities (e.g. project sold in Sweden relies solely on forecasted energy pricing)
Electricity prices Germany
WHILE ESTABLISHED MARKETS ARE STAGNATING,
MARKET & GROWTH DRIVERS
GROWTH WILL BE MAINLY DRIVEN BY EMERGING MARKETS
- By 2020 more than 40 countries could each install >1GW of wind energy
- Diverse development stages in the different markets offer different risk / reward profiles
- Emerging Markets will experience a strong increase in energy demand due to growing populations und economies
- Ca. 7,200 GW are necessary by 2040 to meet increasing electricity demand and planned power plant shutdowns
GROWTH TREND OF RENEWABLE ENERGIES REMAINS UNBROKEN AND WILL CONTINUE IN THE FUTURE
- Wind and Solar PV will grow significantly and offer huge market potential in the short, mid and long term
- Will increasingly replace electricity generation from conventional energy sources
Global electricity production by generation type
WE ARE SETTING THE COURSE FOR THE FUTURE:
We are developing into a Clean Energy Solution Provider
STRATEGY "SCALE UP"
WE CAPITALIZE ON OUR CORE COMPETENCIES…
Strategic Portfolio
- Build-up of an onshore project portfolio of ca. 200 MW in Europe by end of 2020
- Optimization and sale partially or completely
- Acquisition of existing wind farms over 15 years old for repowering and acquisition of already well developed projects
Project development
- Will remain core business
- Significant volume increase above 400 MW p.a. across various technologies in the mid term
- International markets will drive growth
- Combination of new technologies and markets creates huge market potential
Services
- Grow O&M business to >2200 MW under operational management
- Start smart energy supply management
- Expand consulting solutions and deliver everything necessary around operation and optimization for wind farms
… TO OPEN UP FURTHER ELEMENTS OF THE VALUE CHAIN
STRATEGY "SCALE UP"
WE WILL DRIVE DOWN COSTS…
-
- Economies of Scale
- Increase development output to 400 MW p.a. across all technologies
- Increase Strategic Portfolio size to 200MW
- Increase MW under operational management to >2,200
-
- Cost Reductions
- e.g. through cooperations with wind turbine manufacturers
- DEVEX
- CAPEX
- OPEX
-
- Higher Energy Output
- More efficient wind turbines
Reduction of Project costs Reduction of Overhead costs
- Reduction of personnel costs
- Reduction of other expenses
- Procurement synergies
- Strengthening of core processes
- New IT solutions to improve efficiency and communication
STRATEGY "SCALE UP"
…AND INVEST TO INCREASE OUR COMPETITIVENESS
Smart Capital Allocation Investment
- Optimisation of financing structure
- € 25m <4% for wind farm equity
- € 25-50m additional growth financing
- Reduction of overall financing costs by 50% targeted, resulting in savings of € >4m
- Increase of recurring revenue basis, leading to improved credit terms
- Higher margin potential in emerging markets, especially with government funding and loans (EKF, KfW, Hermes, EIB, Weltbank, IPEX etc.)
- Partnering / Cooperations with partners who guarantee low refinancing costs
Investment of € 10m p.a. on average for:
- Acquisitions of companies at attractive multiples before synergies
- Acquisition of project rights to expand the pipeline
- Investment in high potentials and experts in markets and technologies
- Investment in additional (regional) offices and equipment
Additional Investment:
- Acquisition of projects as a basis for repowering
- Participation in citizen wind energy projects
| I. | Company Profile & Business Model | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| II. | Market & Strategy | 12 |
| III. | Highlights Q1 2018 & Financials | 26 |
OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS Q1 2018
Successes in the onshore business
- Projects completed: Looft, St. Martin-L'Ars
- Projects under construction: Gerdau-Schwienau, Laxaskogen, 19,2 MW project in France
- New permits received in Germany (21 MW) and France (7 MW)
Successes in the offshore business
- Gode Wind 4 successful in first German Offshore tender in 2018
- Construction of Borkum Riffgrund 2 started
Progress in build up of new Wind Farm Portfolio 2020
• Repowering project Gerdau-Schwienau (21,6 MW) successful in first German onshore tender in 2018, construction has already started
Strategy SCALE UP
• First successes in the service segment, e.g. construction management and financing for the project Wangerland
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS Q1 2018
Corporate bond placed successfully
• € 50m corporate bond placed in the market at an attractive coupon of 4%
Strong financial basis
- Gross cash position at € 189.3m, Net cash position of € 0.6m
- Equity ratio remains solid at 47%
Q1 results according to plan – impacted by preparations and portfolio build up
- EBITDA at € 2.1m (€ 1.7m), EBIT bei € -0.2m (€ 0.3m)
- Operating performance and earnings situation in Q1 were influenced by preparations for project implementation and the sale of project rights for the remaining nine months of the fiscal year as well as
- the development of the "wind farm portfolio 2020", since complete or partial sales to third parties will be postponed due to the expansion of the portfolio, and thus also the Group's earnings from these sales
Positive outlook for FY 2018 confirmed
• EBIT of € 10-16m, EBITDA of € 20-26m expected
PNE WIND II Investor Relations Presentation II May 9, 2018 28
PNE WIND
ONSHORE
| Land | I-II | III | IV | Total MW |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 1392 | 90 | 22 | 1504 |
| Bulgaria | 121 | 0 | 0 | 121 |
| France | 317 | 132 | 29 | 478 |
| United Kingdom |
43 | 0 | 0 | 43 |
| Italy | 102 | 14 | 0 | 116 |
| Canada | 505 | 0 | 0 | 505 |
| Poland | 223 | 42 | 0 | 265 |
| Romania | 54 | 102 | 0 | 156 |
| South Africa |
230 | 30 | 0 | 260 |
| Sweden | 0 | 158 | 0 | 158 |
| Turkey | 629 | 71 | 0 | 700 |
| Hungary | 0 | 42 | 0 | 42 |
| USA | 232 | 200 | 0 | 432 |
| Total | 3848 | 881 | 51 | 4780 |
Phase I – II = Exploration & Development Phase III = Planning Phase IV = Implementation till handover
As of March 31, 2018
Q1 2018 Highlights:
• Germany
- Repowering project Gerdau-Schwienau (21,6 MW) successful in first German onshore tender in 2018, construction has already started
- Repowering project Looft (16,5 MW) completed in Q1
- Wind farm Wangerland: construction is underway
- Permit for project Kittlitz (21 MW) received
• Increasing activities in France
- Permit for project Dargies 2 (7,05 MW) received
- Wind farm Saint-Martin-L'Ars (10,3 MW) put in operation
- Construction has started of another wind farm in Eastern France (19,2 MW)
• Progress in Sweden
- Project Laxaskogen (25,2 MW) under construction
- Start of operation expected in Q1 2019
- 69 MW of own wind farms currently in operation
OFFSHORE
| Zone | Sold projects | Phase | #WET | Total MW | Sold to |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borkum Riffgrund I | 8 | 78 | 312 | Ørsted (DONG) |
| 1 | Borkum Riffgrund II | 6 | 56 | 448 | Ørsted (DONG) |
| 1 | Gode Wind 1 & 2 | 8 / 8 | 55 + 42 | 582 | Ørsted (DONG) |
| 1 | Gode Wind 3 & 4 | 5 / 4 | 14 + 42 | 450 | Ørsted (DONG) |
| 2 | Atlantis I | 3 | 73 | 584 | Vattenfall |
| 4 | HTOD5 (Nautilus II) | 2 | 68 | 476 | Ventizz/Hochtief |
| Total | 428 | 2,852 |
Phase 2 = Application conference held, 3 = Hearing held,
- 4 = Approval granted, 5 = Grid connection, 6 = Investment decision,
- 7 = Under construction, 8 = In operation
Q1 2018 Highlights:
- Gode Wind 4 successful in offshore tender [April 2018]
- Construction of Borkum Riffgrund 2 has started
- Active as service provider for projects sold
- Consultant agreements in place with Ørsted (DONG) and Vattenfall
- Further milestone payments expected
- Up to € 24m from Borkum Riffgrund 2 and Gode Wind 3 and 4
- Regulatory Changes: Constitutional complaint filed
- According to WindSeeG all projects in Zone 3 to 5 will be brought into the "Central Model" to be tendered off by the government
- Legal opinions conclude that parts of WindSeeG are unconstitutional
- A constitutional complaint has been filed in the end of July 2017 together with others
INCOME STATEMENT (IFRS)
Q1 2018 Highlights:
- Q1 results according to plan
- Operating performance and earnings situation in Q1 were influenced by
- preparations for project implementation and the sale of project rights for the remaining nine months of the fiscal year
- the development of the "wind farm portfolio 2020", since complete or partial sales to third parties will be postponed due to the expansion of the portfolio, and thus also the Group's earnings from these sales
- The earnings before taxes accrued in the "wind farm portfolio 2020" to date – eliminated at the Group level – amount to approx. € 3.7m in Q1 2018 (accumulated since 2017, approx. € 16.1m).
- Total output at € 15,7m (€ 24,6m)
- Power generation segment contributed approx. € 3.9m to Group sales
- EBITDA at € 2,1m (€ 1,7m)
| In € m | Q1 2018 | Q1 2017 |
|---|---|---|
| Sales | 10.9 | 20.4 |
| Work in progress |
4.2 | 3.6 |
| Other income | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Total output | 15.7 | 24.6 |
| Cost of materials | -3.7 | -12.3 |
| Personnel | -5.6 | -6.3 |
| Others | -4.2 | -4.3 |
| EBITDA | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| Depreciation | -2.3 | -1.4 |
| EBIT | -0.2 | 0.3 |
| Financial result | -3.7 | -2.4 |
| EBT | -3.9 | -2.6 |
| Taxes | 0.5 | -0.5 |
| Non-controlling interests | -0.4 | -0.6 |
| Net income | -3.0 | -2.0 |
| EPS (in €) | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| EPS (in €) Diluted | -0.04 | -0.02 |
BALANCE SHEET (IFRS)
Q1 2018 Highlights:
• Property, Plant and Equipment at € 98.3m
- Transformer stations € 12.7m
- Land and building € 11.6m
- Own wind farms € 67.3m
- Inventories at € 98.3m
- Offshore € 24.3m
- Onshore Germany € 22.7m
- Onshore International € 40.4m
• Strong liquidity position still at very high level at € 189.3m
• Strong basis to fund future developments
| 490,6 (493,3) |
490,6 (493,3) |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible Assets | 66,6 (66,8) |
||
| Property, plant and equipment |
98,3 (103,9) |
229,5 (235,2) |
Equity |
| Other | 15,5 (14,2) |
||
| Inventories | 98,3 (86,4) |
||
| Receivables and other assets |
22,6 (28,0) |
80,2 (78,9) |
Non-current debt |
| Cash | 189,3 (194,0) |
180,9 (179,2) |
Current liabilities |
| Assets | Equity and Liabilities |
in € m as of March 31, 2018 (as of December 31, 2017) (rounding differences possible)
• Equity at € 229.5m • Equity ratio remains very solid at 47% (48% as of 31 December 2017) • Non-current debt at € 80.2m
• 2014/19 convertible bond
- € 6.4m
- Liabilities to banks € 67.3m, which is mainly project financing (non recourse)
• Current liabilities at € 180.9m
- 2013/18 corporate bond (€ 100m) is being accounted for under current liabilities as due date is May 2018
- Liabilities to banks € 13.7m, which is mainly project financing (non recourse)
- Net cash at € 0.6m
OUTLOOK
Onshore wind power – Good start into the year 2018
- Further projects far advanced in the permitting process, being prepared for upcoming tender rounds
- Continue build up of Wind Farm Portfolio 2020
- Continue to ride momentum in key international markets France and US
- Examination of entrance into new markets (e.g. Asia, Latin America)
Offshore wind power
- Ongoing consultant agreements with DONG and Vattenfall
- Explore new markets (e.g. USA)
SCALE UP strategy
- First cooperation already started with VPC related to regional clean energy solutions
- First new products/services to become available in 2018
- Significant improvement of financing structure after successful completion of refinancing process
- Examine opportunities for anorganic growth and cooperations
Positive outlook for FY 2018 confirmed
• EBIT of € 10-16m, EBITDA of € 20-26m expected
PNE WIND GROUP
STOCK & BONDS
| 135 | 5,5 | |
|---|---|---|
| 125 | Anleihe 2013/2018 | 5 |
| Wandelanleihe 2014/2019 | 4,5 | |
| 115 | 4 | |
| 105 | 3,5 | |
| 95 | 3 | |
| 85 | 2,5 | |
| 2 | ||
| 75 | 1,5 | |
| 65 | 1 | |
| 06.05.2013 06.05.2014 06.05.2015 06.05.2016 06.05.2017 |
| WKN / ISIN | AOJBPG / DE000A0JBPG2 |
|---|---|
| Number of shares (30 April 2018) |
76,556,026 |
| Market capitalization (30 April 2018) |
€ 189m |
| Free Float | Approx. 79% |
| Market segment | Prime Standard |
| Indices | CDAX Technology, ÖkoDAX |
| Designated Sponsors / Market Maker |
Commerzbank, ODDO Seydler Bank |
| Reuters / Bloomberg | PNEGn / PNE3 |
| Corporate bond 2018/2023 | Coupon 4% |
|---|---|
| (WKN: A2LQ3M) | Total volume € 50m |
| Corporate bond 2013/2018 | Coupon 8% |
| (WKN: A1R074) | Total volume € 100m |
| Convertible bond 2014/2019 | Coupon 3.75%, Strike price €3.18 |
| (WKN: A12UMG) | Total volume €6.6 m |
Calendar
| Annual General Meeting | June 6, 2018 |
|---|---|
| Publication of Q2 Financial Report | August 9, 2018 |
| Publication of Quarterly Statement Q3 | November 8, 2018 |
| Analyst Conference | November 2018 |
CONTACT
Rainer Heinsohn
Head of Communication Tel: +49 (0) 47 21 – 7 18 - 453 Fax: +49 (0) 47 21 – 7 18 - 373 E-mail: [email protected]
Christopher Rodler
Head of Investor Relations Tel: +49 (0) 47 21 – 7 18 - 454 Fax: +49 (0) 47 21 – 7 18 - 373 E-mail: [email protected]