Fourth Quarter and Preliminary Full Year 2015 Results Earnings Presentation
- This presentation contains forward looking information
- Forward looking information is based on management assumptions and analyses
- Actual experience may differ, and those differences may be material
- Forward looking information is subject to significant uncertainties and risks as they relate to events and/or circumstances in the future
- This presentation must be read in conjunction with the press release for the fourth quarter and preliminary full year 2015 results and the disclosures therein
Resilient MultiClient Performance Financial Position Further Strengthened
- Full year financial performance:
- EBITDA USD 484.4 million
- Total MultiClient revenues of USD 574.7 million
- Pre-funding level of 125%
- Liquidity reserve of USD 556.6 million
- Strong cash preservation, increased liquidity reserve
- Substantial cost and CAPEX reductions
- Proactive steps to address industry overcapacity
- Improved fleet productivity and flexibility
- Focus on sales, cost reduction, cash and capacity management
Full year 2013 EBITDA guidance of approximately USD 850 million Competitively positioned to navigate current market environment
Financial Summary
-40
-20
USD million
108
16
EBIT** Cash Flow from Operations
*EBITDA, when used by the Company, means EBIT excluding other charges/(income), impairment and loss/gain on sale of long-term assets and depreciation and amortization. **Excluding impairment and loss on sale of long-term assets of USD 15 million in Q4 2013, USD 9.1 million in Q2 2014, USD 25.0 million in Q3 2014, USD 39.7 million in Q4 2014, other charges of USD 2.7 million in Q1 2015, USD 4.7 million in other charges and an impairment charge of 56.5 million in Q2 2015, USD 6.5 million in other charges and an impairment of USD 65.3 million in Q3 2015, USD 35.1 million of other charges and an impairment charge of USD 274.9 million in Q4 2015.
Financials
Unaudited Fourth Quarter and Preliminary Full Year 2015 Results
Condensed Consolidated Statement of Profit and Loss Summary
|
Q4 |
Q4 |
Percent |
Full year |
Full year |
Percent |
| USD million (except per share data) |
2015 |
2014 |
change |
2015 |
2014 |
change |
| Revenues |
229.3 |
430.1 |
-47 % |
961.9 |
1 453.8 |
-34 % |
| EBITDA* |
116.5 |
211.8 |
-45 % |
484.4 |
702.6 |
-31 % |
| Operating profit (EBIT) ex impairment and other charges |
(22.9) |
(0.2) |
|
15.8 |
177.3 |
-91 % |
| Operating profit (EBIT) |
(332.9) |
(39.7) |
|
430.4 |
104.2 |
|
| Net financial items |
(24.2) |
(18.3) |
|
(75.1) |
(87.5) |
|
| Income (loss) before income tax expense |
(357.1) |
(58.0) |
|
(505.5) |
16.7 |
|
| Income tax expense (benefit) |
(22.5) |
35.6 |
|
22.4 |
67.6 |
|
| Net income to equity holders |
(334.6) |
(93.6) |
|
(527.9) |
(50.9) |
|
| EPS basic |
(\$1.48) |
(\$0.44) |
|
(\$2.43) |
(\$0.24) |
|
| EBITDA margin* |
50.8 % |
49.2 % |
|
50.4 % |
48.3 % |
|
| EBIT margin ex impairment and other charges |
-10.0 % |
0.0 % |
|
1.6 % |
12.2 % |
|
- Market driven revenue decline of 34% in 2015
- 2015 cash cost reductions securing a stable EBITDA margin
- Significant non cash charges in Q4 2015 related to impairments of intangible assets and the MultiClient library
*EBITDA, when used by the Company, means EBIT excluding other charges/(income), impairment and loss/gain on sale of long-term assets and depreciation and amortization.
The accompanying unaudited financial information has been prepared under IFRS. This information should be read in conjunction with the unaudited Fourth quarter and preliminary full year 2015 results, released on February 15, 2016.
- Impairments of goodwill and intangible assets of USD 172.4 million
- Primarily stemming from acquisitions made in a significantly stronger market
-
No remaining carrying value of goodwill at year-end 2015
-
MultiClient library impairments of USD 102.5 million
- Write downs generally relate to surveys where the Company is experiencing lower revenues and where total expected sales are reduced and/or pushed out in time
-
MultiClient book value of USD 695.0 million at year-end 2015
-
Provision for onerous contracts of USD 11.1 million recorded in Q4 2015
- Estimated loss in future periods relating to binding customer contracts where revenues are lower than the full cost of completing the contract
Q4 2015 Operational Highlights
Contract revenues MultiClient revenues
- Total MultiClient revenues of USD 165.5 million
- Pre-funding revenues of USD 98.0 million
- Pre-funding level of 140%
- Late sales revenues of USD 67.5 million
- Marine contract revenues of USD 43.5 million
- Negatively impacted by low pricing, steaming and mobilization for new surveys, and a general reduction of operated capacity
MultiClient Revenues per Region Pre-funding and Late Sales Revenues Combined
- Pre-funding revenues were highest in North and South America in Q4 2015
- Europe was the main contributor to late sales in the quarter
Cap cost Accumulated revenue NBV
- The MultiClient library was written down by USD 102.5 million in Q4 to a net book value (NBV) of USD 695.0 million
- Moderate (NBV) for surveys completed 2010-2015
- New MultiClient amortization policy
- 2016 amortization expense estimated to approximately USD 300 million based on forecasted vessel allocation and pre-funding levels
Key Operational Numbers
|
2015 |
|
|
2014 |
|
|
|
|
| USD million |
Q4 |
Q3 |
Q2 |
Q1 |
Q4 |
Q3 |
Q2 |
Q1 |
| Contract revenues |
43.5 |
77.3 |
84.4 |
68.8 |
171.8 |
238.6 |
171.5 |
116.0 |
| MultiClient Pre-funding |
98.0 |
83.8 |
112.0 |
86.6 |
86.4 |
55.4 |
74.8 |
74.2 |
| MultiClient Late sales |
67.5 |
36.6 |
33.5 |
56.7 |
120.0 |
63.9 |
60.3 |
64.8 |
| Imaging |
18.2 |
21.7 |
23.5 |
30.3 |
36.2 |
30.6 |
24.3 |
28.0 |
| Other |
2.2 |
6.3 |
2.4 |
8.7 |
15.7 |
5.7 |
6.1 |
9.5 |
| Total Revenues |
229.3 |
225.7 |
255.8 |
251.1 |
430.1 |
394.2 |
337.0 |
292.5 |
| Operating cost |
(112.8) |
(110.4) |
(130.7) |
(123.6) |
(218.3) |
(212.5) |
(166.4) |
(154.0) |
| EBITDA* |
116.5 |
115.3 |
125.1 |
127.5 |
211.8 |
181.7 |
170.6 |
138.5 |
| Depreciation |
(37.6) |
(27.4) |
(34.5) |
(41.6) |
(56.8) |
(50.5) |
(44.0) |
(29.8) |
| MultiClient amortization |
(101.8) |
(78.7) |
(74.6) |
(72.5) |
(155.1) |
(53.9) |
(71.6) |
(63.7) |
| Impairment and loss on sale of long-term assets |
(274.9) |
(65.3) |
(56.9) |
0.0 |
(39.7) |
(25.0) |
(9.1) |
0.0 |
| Other charges/income |
(35.1) |
(6.5) |
(4.7) |
(2.7) |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
| EBIT |
(332.9) |
(62.7) |
(45.7) |
10.9 |
(39.7) |
52.5 |
46.2 |
45.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| CAPEX, whether paid or not |
(41.7) |
(17.0) |
(63.3) |
(41.5) |
(36.9) |
(53.1) |
(149.4) |
(131.9) |
| Cash investment in MultiClient |
(70.2) |
(95.5) |
(73.6) |
(64.0) |
(57.9) |
(70.4) |
(99.6) |
(116.2) |
| Order book |
240 |
245 |
259 |
394 |
410 |
466 |
558 |
610 |
- Other charges/income in Q4 includes USD 24.7 million of restructuring cost and a provision for onerous contracts of USD 11.1 million
- Full year 2015 restructuring cost of USD 38.6 million
**EBITDA, when used by the Company, means EBIT excluding other charges/(income), impairment and loss/gain on sale of long-term assets and depreciation and amortization.
The accompanying unaudited financial information has been prepared under IFRS. This information should be read in conjunction with the unaudited forth quarter and preliminary full year 2015 results released on February 15, 2016.
Vessel Utilization* Seismic Streamer 3D Fleet Activity in Streamer Months
- 52% of active 3D capacity was used for MultiClient in 2015
- The Q4 2015 vessel utilization excludes coldstacked vessels
- Approximately 50% of 2016 active 3D fleet capacity planned for MultiClient
- Lower allocation to MultiClient in Q1
73% active vessel time in Q4 2015
Group Cost* Focus Delivers Results
- Full year 2015 cash cost base down 29% compared to 2014
- Cost reduction in Q4 2015 primarily due to vessel stacking, partially offset by certain non recurring cost increases
Quarterly cost materially down in 2015 compared to 2013 and 2014
*Amounts show the sum of operating cost and capitalized MultiClient cash investment.
**Excludes restructuring costs.
Proactive Cost Reductions Continue in 2016
- 2015 cash cost reductions of approximately USD 280 million, including restructuring cost (approximately USD 320 million if restructuring cost is excluded)
- Further significant cost reductions to bring 2016 cash cost down to approximately USD 725 million
- Tight cost control continues
- Initiatives implemented in 2015 to take full effect in 2016
- Delivery of Ramform Tethys in Q1 2016 adding to the cost base
- Cost discipline has high priority in 2016 with potential for further cost reduction
- With current oil price and exchange rates, 2016 cash cost is likely to end USD 10-15 million lower than indicated -15-
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows Summary
|
Q4 |
Q4 |
Full year |
Full year |
| USD million |
2015 |
2014 |
2015 |
2014 |
| Cash provided by operating activities |
121.0 |
131.3 |
487.9 |
584.3 |
| Investment in MultiClient library |
(70.2) |
(57.9) |
(303.3) |
(344.2) |
| Capital expenditures |
(47.2) |
(45.5) |
(164.0) |
(383.4) |
| Other investing activities |
(14.0) |
(14.0) |
40.4 |
(58.7) |
| Net cash flow before financing activities |
(10.4) |
13.9 |
61.0 |
(202.0) |
| Financing activities |
9.7 |
(49.6) |
(34.1) |
(7.1) |
| Net increase (decr.) in cash and cash equiv. |
(0.7) |
(35.7) |
26.9 |
(209.1) |
| Cash and cash equiv. at beginning of period |
82.3 |
90.4 |
54.7 |
263.8 |
| Cash and cash equiv. at end of period |
81.6 |
54.7 |
81.6 |
54.7 |
- Strong cash provided by operating activities both for Q4 and full-year 2015
- Benefited from favorable working capital development
- Full-year 2015 ended cash flow positive before financing activities
- Includes USD 116.6 million of new build CAPEX
- USD 104.2 million of net proceeds from private placement in Q4
|
December 31 |
December 31 |
| USD million |
2015 |
2014 |
| Total assets |
2 914.1 |
3 563.0 |
| MultiClient Library |
695.0 |
695.2 |
| Shareholders' equity |
1 463.7 |
1 901.6 |
| Cash and cash equiv. |
81.6 |
54.7 |
| Restricted cash |
71.6 |
92.2 |
| Liquidity reserve |
556.6 |
454.7 |
| Gross interest bearing debt |
1 147.2 |
1 209.0 |
| Net interest bearing debt |
994.2 |
1 048.0 |
- Net interest bearing debt reduced; USD 994.2 million at year-end
- Liquidity reserve increased; USD 556.6 million at year-end
- The new builds are fully funded with USD 228.5 million of undrawn facilities to cover remaining yard payments
- Shareholders' equity at 50% of total assets
Well positioned to handle the challenging market
-17- The accompanying unaudited financial information has been prepared under IFRS. This information should be read in conjunction with the unaudited fourth quarter and preliminary full year 2015 results released on February 15, 2016.
Attractive Debt Structure – No Maturities Before 2018
Long term Credit Lines and Interest Bearing Debt |
Nominal Amount as of December 31, 2015 |
Total Credit Line |
Financial Covenants |
USD 400.0 million Term Loan ("TLB"), Libor (minimum 0.75%) + 250 basis points, due 2021 |
USD 393.0 million |
|
None, but incurrence test: total leverage ratio ≤ 3.00x* |
Revolving credit facility ("RCF"), due 2018 40% of applicable margin in commitment fee on undrawn amount Libor + margin of 200-325 bps + utilization fee |
USD 25.0 million |
USD 500.0 million |
Maintenance covenant: total leverage ratio ≤ 4.00x, to Q1-2017, thereafter reduced by 0.25x each quarter to 2.75x |
Japanese ECF, 12 year with semi-annual installments. 50% fixed/ 50% floating interest rate |
USD 279.2 million |
USD 507.7 million |
None, but incurrence test for loan 3&4: Total leverage ratio ≤ 3.00x and Interest coverage ratio ≥ 2.0x |
2018 Senior Notes, coupon of 7.375% and callable from 2015 |
USD 450.0 million |
|
None, but incurrence test: Interest coverage ratio ≥ 2.0x* |
Operational Update and Market Comments
Unaudited Fourth Quarter and Preliminary Full Year 2015 Results
Strategy for Taking the Lead: Competitively Positioned in a Challenging Market
- Proactive financial management creates cyclical robustness
- Solid MultiClient performance reduces earnings volatility
- Conservative pre-funding requirements protect cash flow
- Lower late sales risk
- Reduce library build-ups and exposure
- New-builds fully funded
- Lowest cash cost is a winning formula (delivering market share leadership)
- Invest for 25 years use of vessels
- Focus on maximizing value over life of vessel
- Improving fleet flexibility by blending in competitive chartered capacity
- Technology leadership creates differentiation and downside protection
- Continuous cost focus
- Focus on core business
- Avoid capital commitments that cannot withstand a downturn
Competitively positioned to navigate current market environment
Streamer Operations February 2016
Marine Seismic Market Perspectives
- Sustained oil price weakness and cautious spending pattern among oil companies continue to impact seismic demand
- Seismic spending expected to be reduced further in 2016 compared to 2015
- Low visibility in all regions
- Streamer capacity is approximately 50% lower than at the 2013 peak – positive for supply/demand balance
- The weak market is expected to continue through 2016
PGS response – sales focus, cost reduction, cash and capacity management
Market Activity
- Seismic demand primarily driven by:
- Positioning for strategically important license rounds
- Seismic commitments in E&P licenses
- Some opportunistic spending
- Production seismic
- Best contract opportunities are currently in South America and Africa
- Emerging opportunities in Europe for the summer season
Source: PGS internal estimate as of end December 2015. Value of active tenders and sales leads are the sum of active tenders and sales leads with a probability weight and represents Marine 3D contract seismic only.
Solid and Stable MultiClient Performance
Nordea Markets: "PGS has delivered best among its peers in 2015 with a MC ratio of 1.9x"
The World's Largest Streamer Spread – by Ramform Titan
- Deployed the world's largest spread offshore Myanmar in December 2015
- 18 streamers x 7.05 kilometers length with 100 meter separation
- 127 kilometers of streamers in the water
- Daily production so far up to 175 sq.km
- Excellent production since deployment
- Benefits of Ramform Titan-class vessels:
- Productivity, safety, stability and redundancy
- High streamer count gives both good data quality through dense X-line sampling and cost efficient acquisition through wide tows
Significantly more streamers in the water than any competitor
Chartered Conventional Capacity Improves Fleet Flexibility
Ramform Explorer
Ramform Viking
Ramform Atlas Ramform Titan
Construction In operation Option period
- Combination of chartered high capacity conventional 3D vessels and temporarily coldstacked first generations Ramform vessels improves fleet flexibility, gives a competitive edge in the current market and positions PGS well to take advantage of a market recovery
-
The first generation Ramform vessels are very well maintained, very competitive and likely to have a useful life throughout another up cycle
-
Group cash cost of approximately USD 725 million
- Of which approximately USD 250 million to be capitalized as MultiClient cash investments
- MultiClient cash investments of approximately USD 250 million
- Pre-funding level of approximately 100%
- Approximately 50% of active vessel time planned for MultiClient
- Capital expenditures of approximately USD 250 million
- Of which new build capex of approximately USD 180 million
In Conclusion: Proactive Management in an Uncertain Market
- Best in class MultiClient sales performance
- Improving fleet flexibility and productivity
- Priority given to cash flow and maintaining solid liquidity reserve
- Proactively addressing short-term overcapacity and improving PGS' longterm fleet flexibility
- Focus on sales, cost reduction, cash and capacity management
Competitively positioned to navigate current market environment
Thank you – Questions?
Appendix Active vessels = Ultra High-end Ramforms and High-End Conventional Vessels
The Ultra High-end Ramforms
Ramform Titan Ramform Atlas Ramform Tethys Scheduled delivery Q1 2016
Ramform Hyperion Scheduled delivery Q1 2017
Ramform Sterling Ramform Sovereign
2D/EM/Source
High-end Conventional on Charter
PGS Apollo
Sanco Swift Delivery Q1 2016
Delivery Q1 2016 Sanco Spirit
Atlantic Explorer
-31-
High-end Ramforms – Flexible Capacity
(cold stacked Q3 2015)
Ramform Challenger (cold stacked Q4 2015)
Ramform Valiant (cold stacked Q4 2015)
Ramform Viking (cold stacked Q4 2015)
Ramform Vanguard (planned cold stacking Q4 2016) Ramform Explorer
All vessels equipped with GeoStreamer, 3.5 years average vessel age of active vessels
Appendix Main Yard Stays* Next 12 Months
| Vessel |
When |
Expected Duration |
Type of Yard Stay |
Atlantic Explorer |
April / November 2016 |
Approximately 8 days in total |
Intermediate class |
Ramform Titan |
June 2016 |
Approximately 3 days during transit or portcall |
Intermediate class |