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Pernod Ricard — Interim / Quarterly Report 2015
Feb 11, 2016
1591_iss_2016-02-11_dd9b5e5f-6f66-48a6-b00b-bfe50a777bbf.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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2015/16 Half-year Sales and Results Press release - Paris, 11 February 2016
SOLID H1 15/16 PERFORMANCE: +3% ORGANIC SALES GROWTH (+7% REPORTED), IN AN ENVIRONMENT THAT REMAINS CONTRASTED
+3% ORGANIC GROWTH IN PROFIT FROM RECURRING OPERATIONS IN H1 (+2% ADJUSTED FOR CHINESE NEW YEAR PHASING) AND +6% REPORTED
FY 15/16 GUIDANCE CONFIRMED:
ORGANIC GROWTH IN PROFIT FROM RECURRING OPERATIONS BETWEEN +1% AND +3%
SALES
Sales for H1 15/16 totalled €4,958m. Organic Sales growth was +3%, representing a continued gradual improvement vs. FY 14/15. Reported Sales growth was +7% with a favourable FX impact.
The improvement was driven by the USA:
- Americas: acceleration of growth +4% vs. +2% in FY 14/15, notably driven by USA (+3% in H1 15/16 vs. stable in FY 14/15.)
- Asia-Rest of World: +5% (+4% adjusting for earlier CNY1)
- Double-digit growth in India, Africa/Middle East and Australia
- China: -2%, -8% adjusting for earlier CNY1, in continuity of trends observed in Q1
- Difficulties in Korea and Travel Retail Asia.
- Europe: improvement +1% vs. stable in FY 14/15, driven by Spain and UK, with encouraging growth in most markets. Decline in France and Russia, in part due to technical impacts.
Growth across Top 14, Priority Premium Wines and Key Local Brands:
- Strong performance of Jameson, Martell, The Glenlivet, Perrier-Jouët, Mumm and Indian whiskies
- Difficulties for Chivas (due to Asia and Travel Retail) and Absolut (but improving underlying trends in USA)
- Priority Premium Wines: growth acceleration.
Q2 Sales were €2,734m, +4% in organic growth, with favourable CNY1 phasing. Reported Q2 Sales were up +6%, due to a stronger USD partly offset by Emerging market currencies.
Success of consistent long-term approach:
- Market share gains in most key markets
- Sustained A&P investment driving encouraging results on innovation: +1% out of overall Group Sales growth of +3% in H1 15/16
- Return to positive pricing: +1%.
1 Chinese New Year ("CNY") on 8 February 2016 vs. 19 February 2015
Press release - Paris, 11 February 2016
RESULTS
H1 15/16 Profit from Recurring Operations was €1,438m, with solid organic growth of +3% (+2% adjusted for CNY1) and +6% reported:
- Gross margin pressure easing: -25bps in H1 15/16 vs. -105bps in FY 14/15
- Improving pricing: +1%
- Negative mix driven by geography (India growth vs. China decline)
- Tight management of costings: stable Cost Of Goods Sold at comparable mix
- Sustained investment in A&P: +6%, partly due to phasing, to support key innovation projects (Elyx, Tequila Avión) and must-win markets (USA)
- Modest increase in structure costs.
Reported Group share of Net profit from recurring operations was €909m, +9% compared to H1 14/15.
Reported Group share of Net profit was €886m, +12% compared to H1 14/15.
FREE CASH FLOW AND DEBT
Cash generation was strong, with Recurring Free Cash Flow of €544m, +10% vs. H1 14/15.
Net debt increased by €237m to €9,258m mainly driven by a (€177m) mechanical FX impact, due to variation of EUR/USD parity between 30 June 2015 at 1.12 and 31 December 2015 at 1.09.
The average cost of debt reduced to 4.2% vs. 4.6% in H1 14/15, as expected.
The Net debt / Ebitda ratio at average rates was <3.6 at 31/12/15, down from 3.7 at 31/12/14. The ratio increased vs. <3.5 at 30/06/15, linked mainly to cash seasonality2.
As part of this communication, Alexandre Ricard, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, declared, "Our half year results are solid, delivering a continued improvement in Sales. Our strategy has remained consistent and is driving results, in particular in terms of innovation.
For full year FY15/16, in a still contrasted macroeconomic environment, we plan to continue improving our business performance year-on-year vs. FY 14/15. We will continue to support priority markets, brands and innovations while focusing on operational excellence. We expect to deliver organic growth in Profit from Recurring Operations in line with the guidance of +1% to +3% 3."
1 Chinese New Year ("CNY") on 8 February 2016 vs. 19 February 2015
2 Average EUR/USD rate of 1.29 in H1 14/15, 1.20 for FY 14/15 and 1.10 in H1 15/16
3 Over the full 2015/16 financial year, the foreign exchange impact on Profit from recurring operations is estimated at approximately +€ 20 million, based on average FX rates for full FY 2015/16 projected on 29 January 2016 , particularly a EUR/USD rate of 1.10
Press release - Paris, 11 February 2016
All growth data specified in this press release refers to organic growth (at constant FX and Group structure), unless otherwise stated.
A detailed presentation of Sales for the first half of 2015/16 can be downloaded from our website: www.pernodricard.com
About Pernod Ricard
Pernod Ricard is the world's co-leader in wines and spirits with consolidated Sales of € 8,558 million in 2014/15. Created in 1975 by the merger of Ricard and Pernod, the Group has undergone sustained development, based on both organic growth and acquisitions: Seagram (2001), Allied Domecq (2005) and Vin&Sprit (2008). Pernod Ricard holds one of the most prestigious brand portfolios in the sector: Absolut Vodka, Ricard pastis, Ballantine's, Chivas Regal, Royal Salute and The Glenlivet Scotch whiskies, Jameson Irish whiskey, Martell cognac, Havana Club rum, Beefeater gin, Kahlúa and Malibu liqueurs, Mumm and Perrier-Jouët champagnes, as well Jacob's Creek, Brancott Estate, Campo Viejo, Graffigna and Kenwood wines. Pernod Ricard employs a workforce of approximately 18,000 people and operates through a decentralised organisation, with 6 "Brand Companies" and 80 "Market Companies" established in each key market. Pernod Ricard is strongly committed to a sustainable development policy and encourages responsible consumption. Pernod Ricard's strategy and ambition are based on 3 key values that guide its expansion: entrepreneurial spirit, mutual trust and a strong sense of ethics.
Pernod Ricard is listed on Euronext (Ticker: RI; ISIN code: FR0000120693) and is part of the CAC 40 index.
| Contacts Pernod Ricard | |
|---|---|
| Julia Massies/ VP, Financial Communication & Investor Relations | +33 (0)1 41 00 41 07 |
| Sylvie Machenaud / Director External Communications | +33 (0)1 41 00 42 74 |
| Alison Donohoe / Investor Relations Manager |
+33 (0)1 41 00 42 14 |
| Emmanuel Vouin / Press Relations Manager | +33 (0)1 41 00 44 04 |
2015/16 Half-year Sales and Results Press release - Paris, 11 February 2016
Appendices
Emerging Markets
| Asia-Rest of World | Americas | Europe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algeria | Malaysia | Argentina | Albania | |
| Angola | Mongolia | Bolivia | Armenia | |
| Cambodia | Morocco | Brazil | Azerbaijan | |
| Cameroon | Mozambique | Caribbean | Belarus | |
| China | Namibia | Chile | Bosnia | |
| Congo | Nigeria | Colombia | Bulgaria | |
| Egypt | Persian Gulf | Costa Rica | Croatia | |
| Ethiopia | Philippines | Cuba | Georgia | |
| Gabon | Senegal | Dominican Republic | Hungary | |
| Ghana | South Africa | Ecuador | Kazakhstan | |
| India | Sri Lanka | Guatemala | Kosovo | |
| Indonesia | Syria | Honduras | Latvia | |
| Iraq | Tanzania | Mexico | Lithuania | |
| Ivory Coast | Thailand | Panama | Macedonia | |
| Jordan | Tunisia | Paraguay | Moldova | |
| Kenya | Turkey | Peru | Montenegro | |
| Laos | Uganda | Puerto Rico | Poland | |
| Lebanon | Vietnam | Uruguay | Romania | |
| Madagascar | Zambia | Venezuela | Russia | |
| Serbia | ||||
| Ukraine |
Top 14 brands Organic Growth
| Organic Sales growth H1 15/16 |
Volumes | Price/mix | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Absolut | -3% | -2% | -1% |
| Chivas Regal | -2% | -4% | 2% |
| Ballantine's | 0% | 2% | -2% |
| Ricard | -8% | -6% | -1% |
| Jameson | 11% | 8% | 3% |
| Havana Club | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| Malibu | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Beefeater | 5% | 4% | 0% |
| Kahlua | -5% | -5% | 0% |
| Martell | 7% | 9% | -2% |
| The Glenlivet | 7% | 2% | 5% |
| Royal Salute | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Mumm | 4% | 7% | -3% |
| Perrier-Jouët | 10% | 10% | -1% |
| Top 14 | 2% | 0% | 2% |
Press release - Paris, 11 February 2016
Sales Analysis by Period and Region
| Net Sales (€ millions) |
Q1 14/15 | Q1 15/16 | Change | Organic Growth Group Structure | Forex impact | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europe | 652 | 32,0% | 658 | 29,6% | 7 | 1% | 20 | 3% | (1) | 0% | (12) | -2% |
| Americas | 530 | 26,0% | 627 | 28,2% | 97 | 18% | 33 | 6% | (4) | -1% | 68 | 13% |
| Asia / Rest of the World | 855 | 42,0% | 938 | 42,2% | 82 | 10% | 7 | 1% | (2) | 0% | 77 | 9% |
| World | 2 037 100,0% | 2 223 100,0% | 186 | 9 % |
6 1 |
3 % |
(8) | 0 % |
133 | 7 % |
||
| Net Sales (€ millions) |
Q2 14/15 | Q2 15/16 | Change | Organic Growth Group Structure | Forex impact | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europe | 927 | 35,9% | 911 | 33,3% | (16) | -2% | (6) | -1% | (3) | 0% | (7) | -1% |
| Americas | 712 | 27,5% | 742 | 27,1% | 31 | 4% | 14 | 2% | (24) | -3% | 41 | 6% |
| Asia / Rest of the World | 945 | 36,6% | 1 081 | 39,5% | 135 | 14% | 83 | 9% | (1) | 0% | 54 | 6% |
| World | 2 584 100,0% | 2 734 100,0% | 150 | 6 % |
9 0 |
% 4 |
(28) | -1% | 8 8 |
3 % |
||
| Net Sales (€ millions) |
H1 14/15 | H1 15/16 | Change | Organic Growth Group Structure | Forex impact | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europe | 1 579 | 34,2% | 1 570 | 31,7% | (9) | -1% | 14 | 1% | (4) | 0% | (19) | -1% |
| Americas | 1 242 | 26,9% | 1 369 | 27,6% | 128 | 10% | 47 | 4% | (28) | -2% | 109 | 9% |
| Asia / Rest of the World | 1 801 | 39,0% | 2 019 | 40,7% | 218 | 12% | 90 | 5% | (3) | 0% | 131 | 7% |
| World | 4 621 100,0% | 4 958 100,0% | 336 | 7 % |
151 | 3 % |
(35) | -1% | 221 | 5 % |
||
Summary Consolidated Income Statement
| Summary Consolidated Income Statement | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (€ millions) | 31/12/2014 | 31/12/2015 | Change |
| Net sales | 4,621 | 4,958 | 7 % |
| Gross Margin after logistics costs | 2,889 | 3,078 | 7 % |
| A&P expenditure | (819) | (908) | 11% |
| Contribution after A&P expenditure | 2,070 | 2,170 | 5 % |
| Structure costs | (712) | (732) | 3 % |
| Profit from recurring operations | 1,358 | 1,438 | 6 % |
| Financial income/(expense) from recurring operations | (235) | (217) | -8% |
| Corporate income tax on items from recurring operations | (284) | (302) | 6 % |
| Net profit from discontinued operations, non-controlling interests and share of net income from associates |
(6) | (10) | 57% |
| Group share of net profit from recurring operations | 834 | 909 | 9 % |
| Other operating income & expenses | (28) | (35) | NA |
| Non-recurring financial items | (11) | (1) | NA |
| Corporate income tax on items from non recurring operations | (7) | 1 3 |
NA |
| Group share of net profit | 788 | 886 | 12% |
| Non-controlling interests | 7 | 1 0 |
48% |
| Net profit | 795 | 896 | 13% |
Press release - Paris, 11 February 2016
Profit from Recurring Operations by Region
| World | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (€ millions) | H1 14/15 | H1 15/16 | Change | Organic Growth Group Structure | Forex impact | |
| Net sales (Excl. T&D) | 4 621 100,0% | 4 958 100,0% | 336 7% |
151 3% |
(35) -1% |
221 5% |
| Gross margin after logistics costs | 2 889 62,5% | 3 078 62,1% | 188 7% |
82 3% |
(12) 0% |
118 4% |
| Advertising & promotion | (819) 17,7% |
(908) 18,3% |
(88) 11% |
(45) 6% |
3 0% |
(46) 6% |
| Contribution after A&P | 2 070 44,8% | 2 170 43,8% | 100 5% |
37 2% |
(9) 0% |
72 3% |
| Profit from recurring operations | 1 358 29,4% | 1 438 29,0% | 7 9 6 % |
3 5 3 % |
(10) -1% |
5 4 4 % |
| Asia / Rest of the World |
| (€ millions) | H1 14/15 | H1 15/16 | Change | Organic Growth Group Structure | Forex impact | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales (Excl. T&D) | 1 801 100,0% | 2 019 100,0% | 218 12% |
90 5% |
(3) 0% |
131 7% |
| Gross margin after logistics costs | 1 093 60,7% | 1 229 60,9% | 136 12% |
46 4% |
(0) 0% |
90 8% |
| Advertising & promotion | (296) 16,4% |
(350) 17,3% |
(54) 18% |
(28) 9% |
(0) 0% |
(26) 9% |
| Contribution after A&P | 797 44,3% | 879 43,6% | 82 10% |
18 2% |
(0) 0% |
64 8% |
| Profit from recurring operations | 570 31,7% | 645 31,9% | 7 4 13% |
1 9 3 % |
(0) 0 % |
5 5 10% |
Americas
| (€ millions) | H1 14/15 | H1 15/16 | Change | Organic Growth | Group Structure | Forex impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales (Excl. T&D) | 1 242 100,0% | 1 369 100,0% | 128 10% |
47 4% |
(28) -2% |
109 9% |
| Gross margin after logistics costs | 808 65,1% | 890 65,0% | 82 10% |
23 3% |
(11) -1% |
70 9% |
| Advertising & promotion | (242) 19,5% |
(277) 20,2% | (35) 15% |
(16) 7% |
3 -1% |
(22) 9% |
| Contribution after A&P | 566 45,6% | 613 44,8% | 47 8% |
6 1% |
(8) -1% |
48 9% |
| Profit from recurring operations | 375 30,2% | 400 29,2% | 2 4 7 % |
(1) 0 % |
(8) -2% |
3 4 9 % |
Europe
| (€ millions) | H1 14/15 | H1 15/16 | Change | Organic Growth Group Structure | Forex impact | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales (Excl. T&D) | 1 579 100,0% | 1 570 100,0% | (9) -1% |
14 1% |
(4) 0% |
(19) -1% |
| Gross margin after logistics costs | 988 62,6% | 959 61,1% | (30) -3% |
14 1% |
(1) 0% |
(42) -4% |
| Advertising & promotion | (282) 17,9% |
(281) 17,9% |
1 0% |
(1) 0% |
0 0% |
2 -1% |
| Contribution after A&P | 706 44,7% | 677 43,1% | (29) -4% |
12 2% |
(1) 0% |
(40) -6% |
| Profit from recurring operations | 412 26,1% | 393 25,0% | (19) -5% |
1 7 4 % |
(1) 0 % |
(35) -8% |
Press release - Paris, 11 February 2016
Foreign Exchange Impact
| Forex impact H1 15/16 (€ millions) |
Average rates evolution | On Net Sales |
On Profit from Recurring |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 14/15 | H1 15/16 | % | Operations | |||
| US dollar | USD | 1.29 | 1.10 | -14.3% | 163 | 69 |
| Chinese yuan | CNY | 7.92 | 7.00 | -11.6% | 56 | 37 |
| Indian rupee | INR | 78.85 | 72.22 | -8.4% | 37 | 15 |
| Pound sterling | GBP | 0.79 | 0.72 | -9.1% | 25 | (8) |
| Russian rouble | RUB | 53.98 | 71.40 | 32.3% | (32) | (17) |
| Other currencies | (28) | (41) | ||||
| Total | 221 | 5 4 |
||||
Note :Impact on PRO includes strategic hedging on Forex
Sensitivity of profit and debt to EUR/USD exchange rate
Estimated impact of a 1% appreciation of the USD and linked currencies(1)
| Impact on the income statement(2) | (€ millions) |
|---|---|
| Profit from recurring operations | +15 |
| Financial expenses | (3) |
| Pre-tax profit from recurring operations | +12 |
| Impact on the balance sheet | (€ millions) |
|---|---|
| Increase/(decrease) in net debt | +59 |
(1) CNY, HKD (2) Full-year effect
Press release - Paris, 11 February 2016
Balance Sheet
| Assets (€ millions) |
30/06/2015 | 31/12/2015 |
|---|---|---|
| (Net book value) | ||
| Non-current assets | ||
| Intangible assets and goodwill | 17,706 | 17,843 |
| Tangible assets and other assets | 2,933 | 3,023 |
| Deferred tax assets | 2,339 | 2,420 |
| Total non-current assets | 22,978 | 23,286 |
| Current assets | ||
| Inventories | 5,351 | 5,311 |
| Receivables (*) | 1,152 | 1,789 |
| Other current assets | 260 | 261 |
| Tax receivable | 61 | 82 |
| Cash and cash equivalents and current derivatives | 595 | 564 |
| Total current assets | 7,419 | 8,007 |
| Assets held for sale | 1 | 1 |
| Total assets | 30,398 | 31,294 |
| (*) after disposals of receivables of: | 591 | 861 |
| Liabilities and shareholders' equity (€ millions) |
30/06/2015 | 31/12/2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Group Shareholders' equity | 13,121 | 13,681 |
| Non-controlling interests | 167 | 163 |
| of which profit attributable to non-controlling interests | 1 9 |
1 0 |
| Total Shareholders' equity | 13,288 | 13,843 |
| Non-current provisions and deferred tax liabilities | 4,427 | 4,564 |
| Bonds | 6,958 | 7,562 |
| Non-current financial liabilities and derivative instruments | 587 | 370 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 11,972 | 12,496 |
| Current provisions | 173 | 138 |
| Operating payables | 1,696 | 1,887 |
| Other operating payables | 920 | 721 |
| Tax payable | 116 | 196 |
| Bonds | 1,514 | 1,390 |
| Current financial liabilities and derivatives | 719 | 624 |
| Total current liabilities | 5,138 | 4,956 |
| Liabilities held for sale | 0 | 0 |
| Total current liabilities | 30,398 | 31,294 |
Press release - Paris, 11 February 2016
Analysis of Working Capital Requirement
| (€ millions) | June 2014 |
December 2014 |
June 2015 |
December 2015 |
H1 14/15 WC change* |
H1 15/16 WC change* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aged work in progress | 3,963 | 4,127 | 4,430 | 4,416 | 8 9 |
4 5 |
| Advances to suppliers for wine and ageing spirits | 6 | 1 4 |
8 | 1 3 |
8 | 6 |
| Payables on wine and ageing spirits | 9 7 |
149 | 107 | 148 | 5 2 |
4 2 |
| Net aged work in progress | 3,872 | 3,992 | 4,331 | 4,281 | 4 5 |
9 |
| Trade receivables before factoring/securitization Advances from customers |
1,469 3 |
2,390 3 |
1,674 3 |
2,571 1 |
910 (1) |
956 (2) |
| Other receivables | 243 | 266 | 305 | 312 | 1 5 |
1 2 |
| Other inventories | 833 | 767 | 847 | 824 | (61) | (3) |
| Non-aged work in progress | 6 5 |
6 8 |
7 3 |
7 1 |
(1) | 0 |
| Trade payables and other | 1,963 | 2,236 | 2,208 | 2,419 | 224 | 253 |
| Gross operating working capital | 645 | 1,252 | 689 | 1,359 | 639 | 715 |
| Factoring/Securitization impact | 479 | 733 | 591 | 861 | (240) | (270) |
| Net Operating Working Capital | 165 | 520 | 9 8 |
497 | 399 | 445 |
| Net Working Capital | 4,037 | 4,512 | 4,428 | 4,778 | 444 | 455 |
| Of which recurring variation * without FX effects and reclassifications |
444 | 459 | ||||
| Of which non recurring variation | 1 | (4) |
Change in Net Debt
| (€ millions) | 31/12/2014 | 31/12/2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Self-financing capacity before interest and tax | 1,389 | 1,495 |
| Decrease (increase) in working capital requirements | (444) | (455) |
| Financial result and tax cash | (406) | (391) |
| Net acquisitions of non financial assets and others | (137) | (159) |
| Free Cash Flow | 402 | 490 |
| Disposals/acquisitions assets and others | (122) | (68) |
| Change in Group structure | ||
| Dividends and others | (445) | (483) |
| Decrease (increase) in net debt (before currency translation adjustments) | (165) | (60) |
| Foreign currency translation adjustment | (517) | (177) |
| Decrease (increase) in net debt (after currency translation adjustments) | (681) | (237) |
| Initial net debt | (8,353) | (9,021) |
| Final net debt | (9,034) | (9,258) |
Press release - Paris, 11 February 2016
Debt Maturity at 31 December 2015
Available cash at end December 2015: €0.5 billion in cash and €2.0 billion in available credit facilities
€ 500m bond issue in September 15 (8-year maturity, coupon 1.875%)
Gross Debt Hedging at 31 December 2015
Natural debt hedging maintained: EUR/USD breakdown close to that of EBITDA
Large part of Gross debt at fixed rates (81%)
2015/16 Half-year Sales and Results Press release - Paris, 11 February 2016
Bond Details
| Currency | Par value | Coupon | Issue date | Maturity date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR | € 1,200 m |
4.875% | 18/03/2010 | 18/03/2016 | |
| € 1,000 m |
5.000% | 15/03/2011 | 15/03/2017 | ||
| € 850 m |
2.000% | 20/03/2014 | 22/06/2020 | ||
| € 650 m |
2.125% | 29/09/2014 | 27/09/2024 | ||
| € 500 m |
1.875% | 28/09/2015 | 28/09/2023 | ||
| USD | \$ 1,000 m | 5.750% | 07/04/2011 | 07/04/2021 | |
| \$ 1,500 m | 4.450% | 25/10/2011 | 15/01/2022 | ||
| \$ 2,500 m o/w: \$ 850 m at 5 years \$ 800 m at 10.5 years \$ 850 m at 30 years |
2.950% 4.250% 5.500% |
12/01/2012 | 15/01/2017 15/07/2022 15/01/2042 |
Number of shares used in diluted EPS calculation
| (x 1,000) | H1 14/15 |
H1 15/16 |
|---|---|---|
| Number of shares in issue at end of period | 265,422 | 265,422 |
| Weighted average number of shares in issue (pro rata temporis) | 265,422 | 265,422 |
| Weighted average number of treasury shares (pro rata temporis) | (1,493) | (1,490) |
| Dilutive impact of stock options and performance shares | 2,115 | 1,698 |
| Number of shares used in diluted EPS calculation | 266,043 | 265,630 |
| (€ millions and €/share) | H1 14/15 |
H1 15/16 |
reported D |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group share of net profit from recurring operations | 834 | 909 | +9% |
| Diluted net earnings per share from recurring operations |
3.13 | 3.42 | +9% |