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PEET LIMITED — Interim / Quarterly Report 2021
Mar 9, 2021
65600_rns_2021-03-09_f7336c51-7f98-41fa-92f7-8e2a1724db64.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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EUROZ HARTLEYS ROTTNEST CONFERENCE
10 MARCH 2021


ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ 20 NOVEMBER 2019 ǀ PAGE 1
PEET IS WELL POSITIONED TO LEVERAGE MARKET RECOVERY

INTEGRATED MODEL WITH PROVEN CAPITAL PARTNERING CAPABILITY LARGEST 'PURE PLAY' RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPER IN AUSTRALIA

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Property development company established in 1895
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Listed on the ASX in 2004
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Significant and diversified land bank encompassing more than 45,800 lots across 52 projects
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Integrated platform with broad product expertise across land, medium density townhouses and low rise apartments
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Flexible and unique funding model underpinned by proven capital partnering capability of c.34,000 lots held in capital efficient arrangements
SCALE PIPELINE WITH LOW COST BASE BROAD CUSTOMER AND PRODUCT REACH

DELIVERING AGAINST OUR STRATEGY PORTFOLIO WELL POSITIONED FOR POSITIVE MEDIUM TO LONG TERM GROWTH AND VALUE CREATION

RESULTS OVERVIEW



GROUP 1H21 FINANCIAL RESULTS
IMPROVING RESULTS WITH MARKET RECOVERY
| KEY PERFORMANCE STATISTICS | 1H21 | 1H20 | VAR (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lot sales1 | 1,522 | 1,012 | 50% |
| Lot settlements1 | 1,254 | 773 | 62% |
| Revenue2 | $100.6m | $90.5m | 11% |
| EBITDA3 | $20.9m | $12.7m | 65% |
| EBITDA3margin | 21% | 14% | 7% |
| 4Operating profit after tax | $10.1m | $5.1m | 101% |
| KEY METRICS | 1H21 | 1H20 | VAR (%) |
| EPS (operating) | 2.10c | 1.05c | 100% |
| DPS5 | 1.0c | 0.5c | 100% |
| DEC 20 | JUN 20 | VAR (%) | |
| per share6Book NTA | $1.09 | $1.09 | - |
Group sales were up due to improving market conditions and government stimulus
Group settlements increased due to FY20 contracts on hand and increased sales volumes
Increased revenue was due to FM fees and equity accounted earnings
Group EBITDA3 margin higher due to improved FM/JV performance and cost reduction initiatives during 1H21, despite completion of Aston (Vic) project during FY20
Group NTA does not fully reflect:
- Value uplift on co-investment stakes in funds and joint ventures
- Value of Funds Management business
NOTES:
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- Includes equivalent lots
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- Includes share of net profit from associates and JVs
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- EBITDA is a non-IFRS measure that includes effects of non-cash movements in investments in associates and joint ventures
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Operating profit is a non-IFRS measure that is determined to present the ongoing activities of the Group in a way that reflects its operating performance. Operating profit excludes unrealised fair value gains/(losses) arising from the effect of revaluing assets and liabilities and adjustments for realised/unrealised transactions outside the core ongoing business activities
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Fully franked
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NTA before application of AASB 16 Leases.
CONTRACTS ON HAND
CONTRACTS ON HAND1 (LOTS)

CONTRACTS ON HAND REFLECT IMPROVING MARKET CONDITIONS
Contracts on hand1 have increased by 15% since 30 June 2020 to 2,054 lots
• Reflects improving market conditions and government stimulus
Contracts value of $488m – up 14% since 30 June 2020
• Cancellation rates continue to moderate towards more normalised levels
ENQUIRY LEVELS REMAIN STRONG
- Enquiry levels remain strong supporting sales momentum into 2H21
- WA and QLD conversion rates likely to moderate over the near term as some builders have reached capacity to deliver within the HomeBuilder timeframe
- Cancellation rates continue to moderate towards more normalised levels
- Credit availability and continuing low interest rates remain positive



SA


March 2021 Forecast Enquiry1 Note: 1. Forecast is based on the current sales enquiry rate levels
EUROZ HARTLEYS ROTTNEST CONFERENCE | MARCH 2021 | 9
OUTLOOK

MARKET CONDITIONS: BY STATE
PEET'S SUMMARY
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Significant lots under contract after strong 1Q21 as a result of government stimulus
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New development stages now completed enabling stimulus sales to proceed to settlement, with relaxation of bank credit conditions assisting
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First home buyers remain the most active segment
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Net pricing improved due to strength of demand
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Sales cancellation rate in line with medium term rates
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1H21 resulted in solid sales and settlement volumes
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Volume and net pricing improvements experienced across the portfolio
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New stage releases to meet increased demand continue to sell but capacity constraints are being experienced by some builders and contractors, that may result in delayed settlements
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WA QLD VIC SA ACT/NSW • Positive economic rebound post COVID-19 lockdown
- Significant Government investment in infrastructure continues
- Greenfield markets performing strongly compared to inner ring markets
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Strong new home and allotment sales in 2020 on back of HomeBuilder
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Market strength underpinned by low interest rates, which will continue into foreseeable future
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Owner occupier market is most active
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Detached home market is most active
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Rental vacancy rates are improving (impacted by lack of rental supply)
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Rents are increasing
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Solid employment conditions and tight supply supporting a strong market
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Volumes up materially in 1H21 due to Government stimulus and accommodating lending conditions
MARKET OUTLOOK
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Land sales strong in 1H21 with focus on converting to settlements
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Relative affordability & strength of the local economy will continue to support this market.
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Established housing market continues to strengthen with positive growth
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Strength of mining sector helping employment & overall confidence
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2H21 sales activity expected to moderate due to a bring forward of demand from stimulus
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Rental vacancy rates lowest since 2007
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SEQ continues to benefit from solid interstate migration throughout COVID-19 at >25,000 persons annualised
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NSW and Victoria contribute ~89% of net interstate migration by state due to relative affordability and lifestyle.
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Population growth offset by negative overseas migration in June 20 quarter ABS period
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Softer sales conditions originally expected in 2H21 as a result of bringing forward demand, likely to be delayed until 4Q21 as stimulus ends
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Elevated volumes expected to continue through the course of FY21 due to HomeBuilder impact
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Prices showing early signs of recovery
• Current volumes and price growth expected to be maintained throughout FY21, subject to any negative impact from end of HomeBuilder and Jobkeeper
• Market in "modest growth mode" and expected to continue throughout CY21
WA QLD VIC SA ACT/NSW
- Limited competition to underpin demand in the short to medium term
- Modest price growth forecast to continue through FY21 and into FY22

NEW PROJECTS PROVIDE MEDIUM TERM EARNINGS VISIBILITY
PIPELINE OF APPROXIMATELY 45,800 LOTS PROVIDING VISIBILITY OF FUTURE EARNINGS
Up to four new land community projects and nine townhouse/apartment sites to commence development within the next three years
• Approximately 60% of the lots in these projects sit within the FM/JV business
Planned project releases will be fully funded from internally generated cash flows, existing debt facilities and third party capital
FY21 – FY23 NEW PROJECT RELEASE SCHEDULE
| PROJECT | STATE | SEGMENT | PROJECTSTART1 | LOTS2/UNITS | GDV | PROJECT LIFE(YEARS) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Communities | ||||||
| University of Canberra3 | ACT | JV | FY22 | 3,300 | $1,856m | 20 |
| Fort Largs | SA | Owned | FY22 | 335 | $90m | 6 |
| Jumping Creek | NSW | Owned | FY22 | 219 | $88m | 3 |
| Aston West | VIC | Owned | FY23 | 1,134 | $360m | 8 |
| Townhouses | ||||||
| Strathpine | QLD | Owned | FY21 | 76 | $31m | 2 |
| Nudgee | QLD | Owned | FY21 | 84 | $40m | 2 |
| Rochedale | QLD | Owned | FY21 | 36 | $23m | 1 |
| Acacia | VIC | Owned | FY21 | 80 | $36m | 2 |
| Lightwood | VIC | Owned | FY21 | 81 | $34m | 2 |
| South Morang | VIC | Owned | FY22 | 71 | $37m | 3 |
| Keysborough | VIC | Owned | FY23 | 130 | $100m | 4 |
| Apartments | ||||||
| Pier Street | WA | JV | FY21 | 188 | $103m | 3 |
| Glyde Street | WA | Owned | FY22 | 44 | $35m | 3 |
| Total | 5,778 | $2,833m |

Notes: 1 Commencement of sales / development 2 Refers to lots and/or dwellings
FLAGSTONE - QLD
- 1,245 ha master planned community situated in a key South East Queensland growth corridor 38 km south west of Brisbane's CBD
- Total yield of approx. 12,000 lots with a GDV of more than $3.7 billion - Expected settlement period to FY45
- The only town-centre in the 7,000ha Greater Flagstone Priority Development Area, which will support the region's expected population of more than 150,000 people
- State and local government Infrastructure Agreement signed for more than $1.2 billion of essential infrastructure including roads, sewer and water which provides certainty for the next 25 years of development
- Statutory approvals in place including Federal environment approvals


FLAGSTONE - QLD
- Flagstone City has already created 600 casual, full time and part time jobs with a target of 10,000 jobs supporting retail, commercial, education and childcare, recreation, health, sporting and community infrastructure
- Achieved $30 million in commercial site sales to end users such as Coles, Catholic Education, McDonald's and various retail, bistro and service industry users
- Sold over 780 residential lots since commencement in 2017 with in excess of $130m (inc GST) settlement income received
- Residential land price range from $150k to $245k


ASTON WEST - VIC
- Located in the Craigieburn West Precinct Structure Plan
- 25 km north of the Melbourne CBD
- Approximate yield of 1,100 dwellings with a GDV of $360 million
- Leverage existing amenity in Peet's adjacent Aston development
- − 1,700 dwellings
- − 12 hectares of waterways and parklands
- − 8 hectares of sporting fields and associated club facilities
- − Elevation Secondary College (government school) operational
- − Child care centre on site
- − Retail centre phase 1 under construction
- Expected settlement period FY23+
- Prince range $250k to $400k


GOOGONG - NSW
- Googong is a whole new self-contained town being built over 25 years on a 780Ha site in NSW. The site is located just over the border from the ACT
- Joint Venture between Peet and Mirvac
- Googong will eventually be home to around 18,000 residents in 6,500 dwellings
- Sold over 2,400 residential lots sold since 2012 with an average sales rate of 275pa
- Water Recycling Plant reduces potable water use by 60% and recycles over half of Googong's wastewater
- UDIA NSW Excellence Masterplanned Communities 2019 UDIA NSW Excellence - Marketing 2020



BRABHAM - WA
- 220 hectare landholding, 20 km from the Perth CBD, adjacent to the proposed future METRONET Whiteman Park Station
- Development Management Agreement with Department of Communities
- Total yield of approximately 3,300 dwellings with a GDV of approx. $700 million
- First sales commenced in March 2020, with first settlements in October 2020
- Expected settlement period FY21 FY32


PIER STREET - WA
- Inner city location approx. 500m east of Perth CBD, adjacent to Northbridge
- Development Management Agreement
- − WA State Government (landowner)
- − Peet (equity partner, development manager)
- 27-level building comprising of 186 apartments
- Planning approval received June 2019
- Pre-sales expected to commence 2H21 with construction to commence FY22
- 30% already pre-sold to Dept of Communities
- Price range $280k (studio) to $800k (3 bed)


GROUP OUTLOOK
FOCUSED ON POSITIONING FOR AN IMPROVING MARKET THROUGH A CONSERVATIVE APPROACH TO PROJECT DELIVERY AND IDENTIFYING GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES
- Consider opportunistic acquisitions to restock pipeline when appropriate
- Currently accelerating production to meet current demand
- Sales momentum continuing into 2H21
- Improving market conditions due to Government stimulus and improving consumer confidence has contributed to strong sales in 1H21
- Residential markets are expected to remain positive over the medium term supported by low interest rates, accommodative credit conditions and an improving employment outlook
- The Group enters 2H21 with positive momentum supported by contracts on hand, improving sales activity, as well as new project commencements planned in the coming 2 years
DISCLAIMER
While every effort is made to provide accurate and complete information, Peet does not warrant or represent that the information in this presentation is free from errors or omissions or is suitable for your intended use. This presentation contains forward-looking statements, including statements regarding future earnings and distributions that are based on information and assumptions available to Peet as at the date of this presentation. Actual results performance or achievements could be significantly different from those expressed in, or implied by these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees or predictions of future performance, and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond Peet's control, and which may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the statements contained in the release.
The information provided in this presentation may not be suitable for your specific needs and should not be relied upon by you in substitution of you obtaining independent advice. Subject to any terms implied by law and which cannot be excluded, Peet accepts no responsibility for any loss, damage, cost or expense (whether direct or indirect) incurred by you as a result of any error, omission or misrepresentation in this presentation. All information in this presentation is subject to change without notice.
This presentation is not an offer or an invitation to acquire Peet securities or any other financial products in any jurisdictions, and is not a prospectus, product disclosure statement or other offering document under Australian law or any other law. It is for information purposes only.
