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PEET LIMITED — Interim / Quarterly Report 2012
Feb 23, 2012
65600_rns_2012-02-23_46f135de-3560-43f6-b4c9-bb5683bcbf30.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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1H12 Results Presentation February 2012
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Success through experience
Summary
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» Expect FY12 operating earnings to be cyclical low point, although at upper end of guidance of $15‐20 million
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» 1H12 revenue and profit impacted by slowdown in sales in Victoria and delays in receiving titles due to inclement weather on eastern seaboard
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» 2H12 revenue to be impacted by deferral of Greenvale (VIC) major infrastructure costs announced in November 2011, however expect improvement in lot sales flowing into FY13 settlements as development recommences
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» Key focus for Peet in short‐term is reduction of debt
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» Gearing[1 ] of 38.8% at 31 December 2011 the result of acquisition of Flagstone City and lower settlement revenue
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» Gearing to fall in next 12 months towards medium‐term target of 20‐30%, driven by
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» Operating cash flows from settlement revenue
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» Contracts on hand of 1,053 lots, down 6%, however approximately 70% expected to settle by 30 June 2012
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» Supplemented by super lot and non‐core asset sales
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» Key projects to support earnings in FY13 include Greenvale / Craigieburn (VIC), Yanchep (WA), Caboolture (QLD) and Gladstone (QLD)
1 (Total interest bearing liabilities (including deferred payment obligations) less cash) / (Total assets adjusted for market value of inventory less cash, less intangible assets)
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N o t es:
2
Financial summary
| 1H12 | 1H11 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S P fi tatutory ro t |
$8 7 . m |
▼ | (60 8%) . |
$22 2 . m |
| Operating Profit | $8.7m | ▼ | (60.8%) | $22.2m |
| Operating Earnings per Share | 2.7 cents | ▼ | (63.5%) | 7.4 cents |
| NTA per Share1,2 | $1.48 | ▲ | 7.2% | $1.38 |
| Gearing (incl convertible notes)3 . |
38 8% . |
▲ | 5 3% . |
33 5% . |
Notes:
-
1 Net tan g ible assets ( ad j usted for market value of inventor y as at 30 June 2011 ; subse q uent develo p ment costs incurred ; and settlements achieved )
-
2 Does not account for value of Funds Management business / earnings 3 (Total interest bearing liabilities (including deferred payment obligations) less cash) / (Total assets adjusted for market value of inventory less cash, less intangible assets)
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3
Group key financial summary
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» Group revenue of $63.8m
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» Operating EBITDA of $18 . 5m
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» Operating NPAT of $8.7m
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» Statutory NPAT of $8.7m
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» NTA per share[3 ] of $1.48
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» does not account for value of funds management usiness earnings b /
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» Gearing[2 ] of 38.8%
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» Based on revised covenant definition
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» Includes convertible notes
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» No interim dividend
| $m 1H12 1H11 Var (%) |
$m 1H12 1H11 Var (%) |
$m 1H12 1H11 Var (%) |
$m 1H12 1H11 Var (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 63 8 . |
98 7 . |
(35%) |
| EBITDA | 18.5 | 41.3 | (55%) |
| Net EBITDA margin | 29% | 42% | (13%) |
| Operating NPAT | 8 7 . |
22 2 . |
(61%) |
| Operating EPS (¢) | 2.7 | 7.4 | (64%) |
| ROCE1(%) | 8.5% | 12.7% | (4.2%) |
| ROE1(%) | 11.4% | 17.5% | (6.1%) |
| Statutory NPAT | 8.7 | 22.2 | (61%) |
| Statutory EPS (¢) | 2.7 | 7.4 | (64%) |
| Gearing2 (%) | 38.8% | 33.5% | 5.3% |
| NTA per share3 | $1.48 | $1.38 | 7.2% |
Notes:
-
1 Based on average balance of assets and equity for the year
-
2 (T o t a n l i t eres t ear ng a b i li biliti es nc u (i l di ng e d f erre d paymen t o bli ga ti ons ) ess cas l h) o / (T t a asse l t s a dj us t e d or mar f k e t va ue o l f nven i t ory ess cas l h , ess n l i t ang ibl e asse t s )
-
3 Net tangible assets (adjusted for market value of inventory as at 30 June 2011; subsequent development costs incurred; and settlements achieved)
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Group operating performance
1H12 EBITDA composition by business type(%)
- » Funds Management business provides recurring earnings
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14 7
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» 25 s y ndicates / JVs contributin g to p rofit
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» Improved performance in WA supplements softening in Victoria
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1H11
1H12
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| 7 7 14 1H12 |
7 7 14 1H12 |
7 7 14 1H12 |
7 7 14 1H12 |
7 7 14 1H12 |
7 7 14 1H12 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1H12 1H11 Var (%) Development (owned) Other |
||||||
Lot sales 870 1,179 (26%) Lot settlements 872 1,125 (22%) 1H12 EBITDA composition by geography (%) JV’s Funds Management |
||||||
| Lot sales | 870 | 1,179 | (26%) | |||
| Lot settlements | 872 | 1,125 | (22%) | |||
| No. of syndicates/JVs contributing to profit |
25 | 18 | 17 74 33 46 |
|||
| No. of owned projects |
||||||
| contributing to profit |
7 | 9 | 9 21 |
1H11 |
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9
21
1H11
1H12
WA VIC QLD
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Contracts on hand
Contracts on hand
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» Contracts on hand of
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1 , 053 lots for $279 million
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» Down 6% since
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30 June 2011 due to
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Victoria slowdown
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» 70% of contracts on hand due to settle by 30 June 2012
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» Due to decision to limit time between pre‐sales and titles being available
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1200 1,125 $300 $289 [1] $279 [1]
1,053 $21
95 $13
57
1000 $250 $41
178 $50
223
800 $ 200
600 $150
$227
400 852 773 $100 $216
200 $50
0 $0
30 June 2011 31 Dec 2011 30 June 2011 31 Dec 2011
Lots Contract Value
Lots
Millions
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Development (owned) Funds Management JV’s
Notes: 1 Includes GST
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Capital management
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» Available cash and debt facilities of $57m
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» Gearing[1 ] increased to 38.8% due to
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» Acquisition of 50% interest in Flagstone City
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» Development expenditure on major new projects including Craigieburn, Gladstone and Greenvale pre‐start costs
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» Decreased cash flow due to delayed settlement revenue
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» Balance sheet actively managed in 1H12 to ensure secure long ‐ term capital position
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» Medium‐term gearing target of 20‐30% with gearing to be reduced due to
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» Positive operating cash flows from Craigieburn and Gladstone
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» Non‐core and super lot asset sales over next 18 months
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» No requirement for near term on‐balance sheet investment in land bank
Notes:
- 1 (Total interest bearing liabilities (including deferred payment obligations) less cash) / (Total assets adjusted for market value of inventory less cash, less intangible assets)
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Capital management
- » Interest cover ratio of 2.3x versus covenant of 1.5x
| 31 Dec 11 30 June 11 Cash at bank $26.2m $57.2m Net debt (includes convertible note) $291m $217m |
31 Dec 11 30 June 11 Cash at bank $26.2m $57.2m Net debt (includes convertible note) $291m $217m |
31 Dec 11 30 June 11 Cash at bank $26.2m $57.2m Net debt (includes convertible note) $291m $217m |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash at bank | $26.2m | ||
| Net debt (includes convertible note) | $291m | ||
| 1 Gearing |
38.8% | 33.5% 3.7x 3.3 years |
|
| Interest cover2 | 2.3x | ||
| Weighted average debt maturity | 2.6 years | ||
| Weighted average hedge maturity | 3 0 years . |
||
| Debt fixed/hedged | 78% | ||
| Weighted average cost of debt3 | 8.59% | ||
Notes:
-
1 (Total interest bearing liabilities (including deferred payment obligations) less cash) / (Total assets adjusted for market value of inventory less cash, less intangible assets)
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2 EBIT (pre write‐downs) / Total cash interest cost (including capitalised interest)
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3 Including all costs, fees and margins and convertible notes
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Key projects underpinning outlook for FY12 and beyond
Development (owned)
Greenvale/Craigieburn, VIC
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Vantage Gladstone, QLD
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Flagstone, QLD
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GDV: $715m Lots remaining: 433
GDV: $101m
Lots remaining: 3,588
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Lots remaining: 13,270 GDV: $1,924m
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» Located in the strong Hume growth corridor
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» Historical acquisitions – low underlying cost base
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» Range of product types and price points having broad market appeal
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» Historical acquisition, low cost base
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» Leveraged to one of Australia’s strongest markets
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» 3+ years project life remaining
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» Fast‐tracked planning under ULDA
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» Government assistance with start‐ up infrastructure funding
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» Opportunity to drive long‐term value from a large, integrated master‐planned community
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» Owned in 50/50 JV with MTAA Super
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Key projects underpinning outlook for FY12 and beyond
Funds Management
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Shorehaven at Alkimos, WA Yanchep Golf Estate, WA Riverbank Caboolture, QLD
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GDV: $786m
Lots remaining: 2,924
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GDV: $345m
Lots remaining: 1,477
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GDV: $189m
Lots remaining: 1,320
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» Located in the City of Wanneroo, in the north western coastal growth corridor of Perth
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» Strong project commencement . Compelling overall project vision – 256 lots settled with a further 118 under contract
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» Coastal stages and village centre detailed design and negotiations with builder/bulk purchaser partners being progressed now to deliver the coastal vision
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» Attractive location in the north western coastal growth corridor of Perth
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» Bordering the Yanchep Country Club
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» Pre‐release sales have commenced, strong builder interest
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» Unique project location, adjacent to the existing town centre and bordering the Caboolture river with extensive parklands
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» Affordable housing corridor, with the project assisted by the Federal Government’s Housing Affordability Fund
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» Access bridge to be completed in 2H FY12, with buyer access and retail sales commencing in FY13
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Land bank – key projects
| L1 ii | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ots remanng Project name Location GDV (at 31 Dec 11) Owned projects Greenvale VIC $402m 1,943 Craigieburn VIC $313m 1,645 |
FY12 FY13 |
FY14 FY15 FY16 |
||||
| Gl d Q $ 0 33 a stone LD 1 1m 4 Chase WA $87m 506 Brigadoon WA $120m 214 Other $1,722m 9,629 Total owned projects $2,744m 14,370 |
||||||
| Funds Management Flagstone City QLD $1,872m 12,997 Flagstone East QLD $52m 273 Alkimos WA $786m 2,924 Yanchep Golf Estate WA $345m 1,477 |
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| Lakelands WA $269m 1,866 Caboolture QLD $189m 1,320 Botanic Village VIC $129m 1,006 Oakford WA $179m 1,001 Cranbourne Central VIC $156m 831 |
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| Burns Beach WA $361m 771 Cranbourne West VIC $141m 744 Forrestdale WA $139m 719 Other $1,195m 6,367 Total FM projects $5,813m 32,296 |
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| Joint Ventures Wellard WA $372m 2,040 Quattro Values WA $27m 133 Total JV projects $399m 2,173 TOTAL PIPELINE $8956m 48839 |
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, , Notes: 1 Lots equivalent |
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Residential market overview
Peet has product with geographic balance and positioned at price points to achieve volume from improving markets
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» The affordable to mid‐market segment is maintaining price stability, whilst the higher end of the market has seen a decline
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» More positive indicators in the medium to long‐term ‐ household savings high, dwelling approvals below long‐term average, population growth, shortage of skilled labour, wages growth and low unemployment
VIC
| VIC | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Weighting | » | High‐performing market in recent years | |
| 20% | » | Market softened materially during 1H12. Activity beginning to stabilise. | |
| » | Prices and volumes moderating | ||
| » | Longer‐term fundamentals remain sound | ||
| WA | |||
| Weighting | » | Residential market soft in FY11 – slowdown in dwelling starts and falling home prices | |
| 42% | » | P iti i f d t l i l di l ti th os ve econom c un amen a s nc u ng popu a on grow |
|
| » | Strong mining and engineering sectors boosting | the labour market and income growth | |
| » | Most key market indicators point to the “bottoming” of the market and the start of a recovery | ||
| QLD | » | Jan / Feb sales strong across the market | |
| Weighting | » | Poor performing market in FY11 – suffering the | impact of natural disasters and flow‐on effects |
| 38% | » | Strong resource sector with good longer‐term fundamentals | |
| » | Enquiry levels improving since November 2011 | ||
| Notes: | |||
| State weighted by land bank by | lots equivalent |
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Outlook
FY12 to remain challenging, however expect improved sales and settlements in 2H12
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» Expect FY12 to be cyclical low point, with an improvement in lot sales in 2H12 vs 1H12
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» Improved cash flow expected over next 18 months which will significantly reduce gearing
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» Recommencing key projects which will increase revenue, significant capex already spent
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» No incremental balance sheet capital commitments – Peet’s existing land bank is well diversified and will support profitability in the medium‐term
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» Sale of non‐core assets and su p er lots will be used to reduce debt over next 18 months
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» Diversified pipeline ensures Peet is well placed for steady improvements in the residential property market
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» Funds management division continues to support profitability in a difficult operating environment
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» Ex p ect to be at u pp er end of o p eratin g earnin g s g uidance of $ 15‐20 million for FY12
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13
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Success through experience
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FY11 Annexures
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Success through experience
Summary income statement
| Summary income statement | Summary income statement | Summary income statement | Summary income statement | Summary income statement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $m 1H12 1H11 Var (%) Fdt 155 216 28% |
|||||
| Fdt | 155 | 216 | 28% | ||
| uns managemen | . |
. |
() | ||
| Development | 36.0 | 66.1 | (46%) | ||
| Other1 | 12.3 | 11.0 | 12% | ||
| Revenue | 63.8 | 98.7 | (35%) | ||
| EBITDA (pre inventorywrite‐downs) | 18.5 | 41.3 | (55%) | ||
| Finance costs2 | (7.6) | (8.5) | (11%) | ||
| Depreciation and amortisation | (1.1) | (0.8) | (38%) | ||
| NPBT (pre‐inventorywrite‐down) | 9.8 | 32.0 | (69%) | ||
| Income tax expense | (1.1) | (9.8) | (89%) | ||
| OperatingNPAT3 | 8.7 | 22.2 | (61%) | ||
| OperatingEPS (cents) | 2.7 | 7.4 | (64%) | ||
| StatutoryNPAT3 | 8.7 | 22.2 | (61%) | ||
| StatutoryEPS(cents) | 2.7 | 7.4 | (64%) |
Notes:
1 Includes joint ventures, interest income and elimination entries
2 Finance costs inc u l d es interest an d inance costs expense f d t h roug h cost o f sa es l 3 Attributable to the owners of Peet Limited
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Summar balance sheet y
| $ 31 D 11 31 D 10 m ec ec Assets Cash 26.2 28.3 Receivables 774 61.4 |
||||
| Assets | ||||
| Cash | 26.2 | 28.3 | ||
| Receivables | 774 | 61.4 | ||
| . | ||||
| Inventories | 436.1 | 421.9 | ||
| Investments accounted for using the equity method | 92.2 | 32.1 | ||
| Other | 14.1 | 13.2 | ||
| Asset classified as held for sale | 70.7 | 103.6 | ||
| Total assets | 716.7 | 660.5 | ||
| Liabilities | ||||
| Trade and other payables | 30.5 | 25.6 | ||
| Land vendor liabilities | 45.2 | 51.3 | ||
| Interest bearing liabilities | 317.3 | 231.1 | ||
| Other | 350 | 312 | ||
. |
. | |||
| Liabilities directly associated with assets classified as held for sale | 19.5 | 58.9 | ||
| Total liabilities | 447.5 | 398.1 | ||
| Net assets | 269.2 | 262.4 | ||
| Gearing1 (%) | 38.8% | 33.5% | ||
| NTA per share2,3($) | 1.48 | 1.38 |
Notes:
-
1 (Total interest bearing liabilities (including deferred payment obligations) less cash) / (Total assets adjusted for market value of inventory less cash, less intangible assets)
-
2 Net tangible assets (adjusted for market value of inventory as at 30 June 2011; subsequent development costs incurred; and settlements achieved) 3 Does not account for value of Funds Management business / earnings
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17
Development operating performance
Key performance statistics
1H12 revenue composition by geography (%)
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||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|$m|1H12|1H11|Var (%)|
|49|
|Revenue|36.0|66.1|(46%)|
|11|
|Operating expenses|[1]|(30.9)|(44.5)|31%|
|12|41|
|EBITDA|5.1|21.6|(76%)|77|
|Net EBITDA margin|14%|33%|(19%)|
|1H11|
|1H12|
|Key operating statistics|
|10|
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|---|---|---|---|---|
|1H12|1H11|Var (%)|
|WA|VIC|QLD|
|Lot|sales|182|222|(18%)|
|Lot settlements|140|307|(54%)|
|No. of contract on hand|
|223|254|(12%)|
|at|31|Dec|
|No. of owned projects|
|7|9|
|contributing to profit|
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Notes:
1 Excludes interest and finance costs expensed through cost of sales
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18
Composition of development pipeline
- » Targeted towards affordable home‐ buyer market
Geographic composition of Company‐ owned land bank by value (%)
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» Land bank located in strong markets
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» Strong presence in resource states of WA & QLD
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WA VIC QLD
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FM operating performance
Key performance statistics
1H12 FM revenue composition by type
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| $m 1H12 1H11 Var (%) |
$m 1H12 1H11 Var (%) |
$m 1H12 1H11 Var (%) |
$m 1H12 1H11 Var (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 15.5 | 21.6 | ( ) 28% |
| Operating expenses | (6.0) | (7.0) | 14% |
| EBITDA | 9.5 | 14.6 | (35%) |
| Net EBITDA margin | 61% | 68% | 7% |
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34
25
67
8
1H11
6 1H12
Project Management Selling Fees Other
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Management Performance Fees
Key operating statistics
1H12 FM revenue composition by geography
| 1H12 1H11 Var (%) 8 revenue composon y geograpy |
1H12 1H11 Var (%) 8 revenue composon y geograpy |
1H12 1H11 Var (%) 8 revenue composon y geograpy |
1H12 1H11 Var (%) 8 revenue composon y geograpy |
1H12 1H11 Var (%) 8 revenue composon y geograpy |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lot sales | 576 | 915 | (37%) (24%) (18%) 54 25 47 |
||
| Lot settlements | 582 | 762 | |||
| No. of contract on hand at31Dec |
773 | 940 | |||
| 21 45 |
1H12 1H11 |
||||
| No. of syndicates contributing to profit |
23 | 16 |
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1H11
45 21
1H12
WA VIC QLD
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JV operating performance
Key performance statistics
| Key performance statistics | Key performance statistics | Key performance statistics | Key performance statistics | Key performance statistics | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $m 1H12 1H11 Var (%) |
|||||
| Revenue | 9.7 | 8.5 | 14% | ||
| Operating expenses | (8.4) | (5.8) | (45%) | ||
| EBITDA | 13 | 27 | (52%) | ||
. |
. |
||||
| Net EBITDA margin | 13% | 32% | (19%) |
Key operating statistics
| K ti t ti ti ey opera ng s a s cs |
K ti t ti ti ey opera ng s a s cs |
K ti t ti ti ey opera ng s a s cs |
K ti t ti ti ey opera ng s a s cs |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1H12 1H11 Var (%) Lotsales 112 42 167% |
||||
| Lotsales | 112 | 42 | ||
| 168% 6% |
||||
| Lot settlements | 150 | 56 | ||
| No. of contracts on |
57 | 54 | ||
| hand at 31 Dec | ||||
| No. of JV projects contributing to profit |
2 | 2 |
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Composition of FM and JV managed pipeline
- » Funds management business is well positioned
Geographic composition of FM and JV land bank by value (%)
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» Land bank located in right growth markets
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» WA, VIC and QLD
-
» T argete d towar d s t h e a ff or d a bl e mar k et
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WA VIC QLD
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Disclaimer
- » While every effort is made to provide accurate and complete information, Peet does not warrant or represent that the information in this presentation is free from errors or omissions or is suitable for your intended use. Subject to any terms implied by law and which cannot be excluded, Peet accepts no responsibility for any loss, damage, cost or expense (whether direct or indirect) incurred by you as a result of any error, omission or misrepresentation in information in this presentation. All information in this presentation is subject to change without notice .
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