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PEET LIMITED — AGM Information 2018
Nov 20, 2018
65600_rns_2018-11-20_c6c772ad-e9f4-4914-bdf7-41a208549142.pdf
AGM Information
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NOVEMBER 2018 ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING PRESENTATION
FY18 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
OPERATING CASH FLOW
EBITDA
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2018
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$101.3m
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2017
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Up 11 per cent on 2,924 lot settlements
NET PROFIT $49.1m Up 10 per cent
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2018
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2017
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FULL YEAR DIVIDENDS
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2018
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$5.0₵ Up 5 per cent
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2017
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(Before land payments) $118.1m Up 18.6 per cent
RETURN ON CAPITAL
14.7%
Return on equity above company benchmark
CONTRACTS ON HAND (VALUE) $616m
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2018
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2017
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Up 12.8 per cent
EARNINGS PER SHARE
$10.02₵
Up 10 per cent
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2018
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2017
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GEARING
18% Gearing below target range
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ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ NOVEMBER 2018 ǀ PAGE 2
GROUP STRATEGIC MODEL
BUILDING A HIGHER VALUE FUNDS MANAGEMENT BUSINESS
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» Funds Management strategy delivering consistent results and margins
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Institutional/Wholesale co-investment strategy delivering emerging profits
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» Broadening product offering to Completed Homes, Medium Density and low rise Apartments
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» Growth in national land bank driven through FM, now representing approximately 80% of pipeline by GDV[1 ] and lots
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» Strategic geographical investing and diversified product offering to meet market demand and changing demographics
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Wide range of price points offered providing good affordability
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Notes: 1 Gross Development Value
ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ NOVEMBER 2018 ǀ PAGE 3
GROUP FINANCIAL SUMMARY
STRATEGIC INITIATIVES CONTINUE TO DRIVE EARNINGS GROWTH
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» FY18 revenue[1 ] comparative to FY17 was lower predominantly due to:
-
The joint venturing of the Newhaven (VIC) project in FY17
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Completion of four VIC Funds Management projects
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» Group EBITDA[2] margin 34%
-
EBITDA[2] margin to be ~28% in FY19 as new Completed Homes and Medium Density products are developed
-
Targeting through-cycle EBITDA[2] margin range of 25% - 30%
| KEY PERFORMANCE STATISTICS FY18 FY17 VAR (%) |
KEY PERFORMANCE STATISTICS FY18 FY17 VAR (%) |
KEY PERFORMANCE STATISTICS FY18 FY17 VAR (%) |
KEY PERFORMANCE STATISTICS FY18 FY17 VAR (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lot sales | 2,950 | 3,000 (2%) |
|
| Lot settlements | 2,924 | 3,077 | (5%) |
| Revenue1 | $301.7m | $311.4m |
(3%) |
| EBITDA2 | $101.3m $91.1m |
11% | |
| EBITDA2 margin | 34% | 29% 5% |
|
| Operating profit after tax3 | $49.1m | $44.8m | 10% |
CONTRACTS ON HAND UNDERPIN MOMENTUM INTO FY19
- » Contracts on hand[4] marginally lower since 30 June 2018 to 2,173 lots
CONTRACTS ON HAND[4 ] (LOTS)
CONTRACTS ON HAND[4 ] (VALUE)
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2,500 2,186 2,257 2,173
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
FY17 FY18 Oct-18
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700 $616 m
$566 m
600 $546 m
500
400
300
200
100
0
FY17 FY18 Oct-18
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Notes:
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1 Includes share of net profits from associates and JVs
-
2 Includes effects of non-cash movements in investments in associates and joint ventures
-
3 Operating profit is a non-IFRS measure that is determined to present the ongoing activities of the Group in a way that reflects its operating performance. Operating profit excludes unrealised fair value gains/(losses) arising from the effect of revaluing assets and liabilities and adjustments for realised transactions outside the core ongoing business activities
-
4 Includes lot equivalents. Excludes englobo sales
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ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ NOVEMBER 2018 ǀ PAGE 4
FOCUS ON DRIVING SHAREHOLDER RETURNS
CONSISTENT GROWTH IN EARNINGS DRIVEN BY OUR FOCUSED STRATEGY, MARKET CONDITIONS AND NEW PROJECTS
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» Business well established across seven states and territories
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Provides good geographic spread with well located projects across key growth corridors
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Expanding market share by broadening product offering to Completed Homes and Medium Density product
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» Continued growth in operating earnings
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The Group has continued to transition to a solid delivery phase
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Substantial portfolio of large master planned community projects providing long term earnings visibility
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» FY18 Operating EPS up 10% to 10cps
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» FY18 DPS of 5.0cps, fully franked – up 5%
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OPERATING PROFIT AFTER TAX ($M)
8.3
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49.1
44.8
42.6
38.5
31.6
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
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DPS (CENTS)
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OPERATING EPS (CENTS)
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5.00
10.0
4.75
4.50 4.50
9.1
8.7
8.3
7.3 3.50
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
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ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ NOVEMBER 2018 ǀ PAGE 5
SIGNIFICANT FUNDS MANAGEMENT VALUE NOT CAPTURED IN NTA
APPROXIMATELY $2.1BN[1 ] IN ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT, WITH 60% COMPRISING THIRD PARTY CAPITAL
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FUNDS MANAGEMENT AND JV
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» GDV[2 ] of $11.0bn
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Significant pipeline of 37,981 lots providing long-term earnings visibility
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Represents ~14 years of sales (based on FY18 sales rates)
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Lowly geared portfolio
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» 30% of FY18 operating EBITDA[3,4]
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» Value of ‘capital lite’ fee streams not captured in NTA
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High margin profit source across multiple fee streams and projects
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Scalable platform operating across seven states and territories
JV / FM CO-INVESTMENTS
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» Represents Peet’s economic interest in syndicates and JV projects
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» Represents 10% of FY18 operating EBITDA[3]
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» Held at lower of historical cost and net realisable value
DEVELOPMENT
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» GDV[2 ] of $2.7bn across 11,679 lots
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» 60% of FY18 operating EBITDA[3]
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» Held at lower of historical cost and net realisable value
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» Generating solid margins
Notes:
-
1 Based on book value of assets at 30 June 2018
-
2 Gross Development Value
-
3 Pre-overheads
-
4 FM and JV fee EBITDA only (i.e. excludes Peet’s equity accounted profits)
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ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ NOVEMBER 2018 ǀ PAGE 6
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
STRONG CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGY OUTCOMES
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» Net debt decreased to $140m[1 ] – down 13%
-
Bank debt down 54% to $69.5m
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Improved diversification of funding sources via a $50m bond raising in July 2017
-
Weighted average bond debt maturity increased to 3.4 years
-
» Strengthening capital position and flexible balance sheet
- Strong operating cash flows of $118m before land acquisitions
-
» ROCE[7 ] of 14.7% - up 1.5%
-
Target ROCE 12% - 14%
-
ROCE lower in FY19 as new Completed Homes and Medium Density product is developed
-
» Gearing[3] of 18.2% - down 3.2%
| CAPITAL MANAGEMENT METRICS FY18 FY17 FY16 FY15 |
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT METRICS FY18 FY17 FY16 FY15 |
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT METRICS FY18 FY17 FY16 FY15 |
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT METRICS FY18 FY17 FY16 FY15 |
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT METRICS FY18 FY17 FY16 FY15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash at bank | $76.7m | $88.4m |
$73.4m | $57.7m |
| Bank debt | $69.5m | $151.7m |
$169.2m | $185.9m |
| Peet bonds/convertible notes2 | $150.0m | $100.0m |
$100.0m | $50.0m |
| Covenantgearing3 | 18% | 21% | 29% | 24% |
| Balance sheetgearing4 | 19% | 23% | 31% | 28% |
| Interest cover ratio5 | 4.8x | 4.5x |
4.3x | 3.9x |
NET DEBT ($M) AND COVENANT GEARING[3]
INTEREST COVER[5 ] AND CASH COST OF DEBT[6]
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Net debt Covenant gearing Interest cover Weighted cost of debt
30% 7.7% 7.7% 7.3%
6.8%
29% 6.7%
24%
21%
18%
257 4.8
4.3 4.5
4.0
194
177
161
140 2.8
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
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Notes:
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1 Net of transaction costs
-
2 Excluding transaction costs
-
3 (Total interest bearing liabilities (including land vendor liabilities) less cash) / (Total assets adjusted for market value of inventory less cash, less intangible assets). Excludes syndicates consolidated under AASB10
-
4 (Total interest bearing liabilities (including land vendor liabilities) less cash) / (Total assets less cash, less intangible assets). Includes syndicates consolidated under AASB10
-
5 EBIT / Total interest cost (including capitalised interest). Excludes syndicates consolidated under AASB10
-
6 Includes bonds/convertible notes
-
7 EBITDA / (average net debt + average total equity)
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ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ NOVEMBER 2018 ǀ PAGE 7
GROUP CASH FLOW SUMMARY
CASH GENERATED FROM OPERATIONS APPLIED TO DELIVER PRODUCTION FROM NEW AND EXISTING PROJECTS TO MEET DEMAND
-
» Strong operating cash flows (before acquisitions) of $118m – up 19%
-
» Cash and facilities to be applied towards the funding of growth opportunities secured and development of existing pipeline
-
Increased capital to be deployed in FY19 into development and construction of Completed Homes and Medium Density products
-
» Distributions from FM investments increased 162% to $10m
-
Further growth expected in FY19
-
» Future land vendor term payments reduced by 41% during FY18
| UCTION FROM NEW AND EXISTING PROJECTS TO MEET DEMAND | UCTION FROM NEW AND EXISTING PROJECTS TO MEET DEMAND | UCTION FROM NEW AND EXISTING PROJECTS TO MEET DEMAND |
|---|---|---|
| FY18 FY17 CASH FLOWS RELATED TO OPERATING ACTIVITIES $M $M |
||
| Receipts from customers | 325.3 | 334.4 |
| Payments for development and infrastructure | (103.7) | (119.1) |
| Payments to suppliers and employees | (79.5) | (84.3) |
| Borrowingcosts | (18.4) | (17.3) |
| Distributions and dividends from associates andjoint ventures | 10.2 | 3.9 |
| Net taxespaid | (15.8) | (18.0) |
| Operating cash flow before acquisitions | 118.1 | 99.6 |
| Payments for land acquisitions – Termpayments | (16.0) | (16.1) |
| Payments for land acquisitions – New land | (34.7) | (26.3) |
| Net operating cash flow | 67.4 | 57.2 |
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ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ NOVEMBER 2018 ǀ PAGE 8
NATIONAL REACH
49,660 LOTS 57 1
$13.8bn END-VALUE projects nationally
Notes:
1 Not all projects are shown on map
KEY PROJECT OVERVIEW
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ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ NOVEMBER 2018 ǀ PAGE 10
KEY PROJECT OVERVIEW
FLAGSTONE - QLD
-
» 1,245 hectare master planned community situated in a key South East Queensland growth corridor 38 km south west of Brisbane’s CBD
-
» Total yield of more than 12,000 lots with a GDV[1] of more than $3.4 billion - Expected settlement period to FY40
-
» Flagstone’s city centre will support the region’s expected population of more than 120,000
-
» Flagstone City will support retail, commercial, education and childcare, recreation, health, sporting and community infrastructure
-
» Infrastructure Agreement for roads and water provides certainty for the next 25 years of development
-
» Sold 475 residential lots to date since 1H17
-
» Achieved $23 million in commercial site sales to end users such as Coles, Catholic Education and various retail, bistro and service industry users
-
» Residential land price range from $129,000 to $235,000
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Notes: 1 Gross Development Value
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ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ NOVEMBER 2018 ǀ PAGE 11
KEY PROJECT OVERVIEW
FLAGSTONE - QLD
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ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ NOVEMBER 2018 ǀ PAGE 12
KEY PROJECT OVERVIEW
GOOGONG - ACT
-
» 780 hectare master planned community situated 16 km from Canberra CBD
-
» Joint Venture with Mirvac Group
-
» Total yield of approximately 6,000 dwellings with a GDV[1 ] of $1.7 billion
-
» The community will accommodate three schools, community and childcare facilities, two local Neighborhood Centres, a Major Town Centre and 30 hectares of sporting facilities linked by 200 hectares of open space
-
» Approximately 4,100 dwellings remaining
-
» Expected settlement period FY12 – FY33
-
» Price range $260,000 to $388,000
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University of Canberra
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Notes:
1 Gross Development Value
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ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ NOVEMBER 2018 ǀ PAGE 13
KEY PROJECT OVERVIEW
UNIVERSITY OF CANBERRA - ACT
-
» 20 hectare site located 8 km north of Canberra CBD
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» Conditional agreement with the University of Canberra for a proposed residential development
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» Conditions precedent are close to being finalised
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» A total yield of approximately 3,300 dwellings with an expected GDV[1 ] of $1.3 billion
-
» Development to comprise a mix of units and townhouses
-
» First sales release expected FY20
PALMVIEW - QLD
-
» Total yield of approximately 1,003 lots, comprising land and Completed Homes and Medium Density
-
» Expected settlements from FY20 – FY29
-
» Key strategic location, central to the Sunshine Coast and in close proximity to university, schools and hospitals
-
» Community includes sports fields, parklands, future school site and community centre
-
» Price range $185,000 to $295,000
-
» Expected settlement period FY21 – FY40
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1 Gross Development Value
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Notes:
ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ NOVEMBER 2018 ǀ PAGE 14
KEY PROJECT OVERVIEW
SHOREHAVEN - WA
-
» 260 hectare master planned community, located 45km north of the Perth CBD
-
» Total yield of approximately 2,500 dwellings with a GDV[1] of approx. $1.2 billion. 1,000 settlements achieved to date
-
» Expected settlement period FY11 – FY35
-
» Land price range $120,000 to $500,000
-
» Close proximity to future Alkimos and Eglinton Train Stations (Metronet Stage 1 – construction to commence 2019)
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BRABHAM - WA
-
» 220 hectare landholding, 22 km from the Perth CBD, adjacent to the proposed Whiteman Park Train Station location
-
» Development Management Agreement with Department of Communities
-
» Total yield of approximately 3,300 dwellings with a GDV[1] of approx. $800 million
-
» First sales release expected to commence FY20, and first settlements from FY21. Expected settlement period FY21 – FY35
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Notes: 1 Gross Development Value
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ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ NOVEMBER 2018 ǀ PAGE 15
KEY PROJECT OVERVIEW
ASTON - VIC
-
» 209 hectare master planned community located 32 km north of the Melbourne CBD, in the northern growth corridor
-
» Total yield of more than 1,470 lots remaining with a GDV[1 ] of $540 million
-
» The community will accommodate a range of amenities, including State Government secondary school
-
» Settled 1,427 residential lots to date
NEWHAVEN - VIC
-
» 121 hectare master planned community situated 26 km from Melbourne CBD
-
» Total yield of approximately 1,754 dwellings with a GDV[1 ] of $484 million
-
» Approximately 1,274 lots remaining to settle
-
» Expected settlement period FY18 – FY26
-
» Price range $120,000 to $440,000
-
» Expected settlement period FY12 – FY28
-
» Price range $305,000 to $465,000
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Notes: 1 Gross Development Value
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ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ NOVEMBER 2018 ǀ PAGE 16
KEY PROJECT OVERVIEW
TONSLEY - SA
-
» 11 hectare site located 9 km south west of Adelaide CBD
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» Launched in January 2018, stage 1 sold and settled and first homes under construction
-
» A total yield of more than 800 dwellings with a GDV[1] of $265 million
-
» High density mixed use development in Tonsley Innovation District
-
» Expected settlement period FY18 – FY27
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Notes:
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- 1 Gross Development Value
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ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ NOVEMBER 2018 ǀ PAGE 17
KEY PROJECT OVERVIEW
MEDIUM DENSITY PIPELINE
-
» Pipeline of 9 Medium Density sites comprising of 554 townhouses in the major population centres of Melbourne, Brisbane and Perth
-
» An expected GDV[1 ] of $240 million
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» 237 townhouses are development approved
-
» 124 under construction, with an additional 100 commencing by June 2019
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Notes: 1 Gross Development Value
ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ NOVEMBER 2018 ǀ PAGE 18
PIPELINE REPLENISHMENT
PEET WELL PLACED TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF OPPORTUNITIES
-
» Peet remains disciplined and well positioned
-
Counter cyclical acquisition strategy has allowed the Group to capitalise on strong market conditions and secure a favourable cost base
-
By FY20 (excluding acquisitions) the Group will have only three active projects in Melbourne
-
Peet has strategically targeted opportunities across QLD, WA and SA over the past three years ensuring a strong market position in improving markets with a low cost base
-
» Solid embedded margins given pipeline age and location
-
» Peet secured 2,600 lots and 13,000 lots between FY12-16 in Victoria and Queensland, respectively, when pricing and returns were attractive
-
» More than 90% of lot acquisitions since FY12 have been on capital-efficient terms
PRUDENT APPROACH TO FUTURE RESTOCKING
-
» Expect future opportunities to emerge as competition for sites reduces due to changing market conditions
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» Remain focused on the right product in the right markets on acceptable returns
-
» Continue to pursue growth with third-party capital partners and through capital-efficient transactions
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ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ NOVEMBER 2018 ǀ PAGE 19
PEET PRIORITIES AND STRATEGIC FOCUS
STRATEGIC POSITIONING PROVIDES SOLID MEDIUM-TERM EARNINGS VISIBILITY
-
» Portfolio well positioned to target longer-term growth and value creation
-
» Accelerating production where possible and appropriate, and active management of product mix
-
» Selective acquisition of projects as cycles, markets and opportunities allow to restock pipeline with a focus on securing low cost projects, and predominantly through funds platform
-
» Expanding market share by broadening product offering in Completed Homes and Medium Density product
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» Delivery of affordable product targeted at the low and middle market segments
-
» Maintain strong balance sheet and cash flow position
-
» Well-placed to capitalise on a WA market recovery
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ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ NOVEMBER 2018 ǀ PAGE 20
PEET OUTLOOK
-
» The Victorian residential market continues to moderate with more focus placed on location and quality
-
» Borrowing conditions for investors and owner occupiers have tightened resulting in longer approval processes
-
» Competition reducing due to more restrictive developer access to financing
-
» Well placed to capitalise on opportunities when they emerge
-
» Pending emergence of such opportunities, the company has announced an on-market buy-back
-
Strong capital position
-
Trading at or below book NTA
-
Up to 5% of current issued capital
FY19 OUTLOOK
-
» Settlements of Completed Homes and Medium Density product increasing in FY19
-
» Outlook underpinned by contracts on hand and new project commencements
-
» Conditions across QLD, ACT and SA are expected to remain supportive
-
» WA market indicators showing broad signs of stabilisation, with housing demand for select locations and product
-
» Targeting through-cycle gross margins in the range of 25-30%
The Group remains on track to achieve a solid 1H19 result whilst continuing to target earnings growth for FY19, subject to market conditions and the timing of settlements
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ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING ǀ NOVEMBER 2018 ǀ PAGE 21
DISCLAIMER
While every effort is made to provide accurate and complete information, Peet does not warrant or represent that the information in this presentation is free from errors or omissions or is suitable for your intended use. This presentation contains forward-looking statements, including statements regarding future earnings and distributions that are based on information and assumptions available to Peet as at the date of this presentation. Actual results performance or achievements could be significantly different from those expressed in, or implied by these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees or predictions of future performance, and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond Peet’s control, and which may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the statements contained in the release.
The information provided in this presentation may not be suitable for your specific needs and should not be relied upon by you in substitution of you obtaining independent advice. Subject to any terms implied by law and which cannot be excluded, Peet accepts no responsibility for any loss, damage, cost or expense (whether direct or indirect) incurred by you as a result of any error, omission or misrepresentation in this presentation. All information in this presentation is subject to change without notice.
This presentation is not an offer or an invitation to acquire Peet securities or any other financial products in any jurisdictions, and is not a prospectus, product disclosure statement or other offering document under Australian law or any other law. It is for information purposes only.