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Orla Mining Ltd. — Interim / Quarterly Report 2021
Nov 15, 2021
46100_rns_2021-11-15_2451ae43-dade-48e9-a415-6f33f63d7e2f.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
Amounts in United States dollars
ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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I. OVERVIEW
Orla Mining Ltd. is a mineral exploration and development company which trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “OLA” and on the New York Stock Exchange American (“NYSE American”) under the symbol “ORLA”. The “Company”, “Orla”, “we”, and “our” refer to Orla Mining Ltd. and its subsidiaries.
Our corporate strategy is to acquire, develop and operate mineral properties where our expertise can substantially increase shareholder value. We have two material gold projects with near-term production potential based on open pit mining and heap leaching – the Camino Rojo Oxide Gold Project located in Zacatecas State, Mexico, and the Cerro Quema Gold Project located in Los Santos Province, Panama.
This Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) of the financial condition and results of operations of the Company should be read in conjunction with our consolidated financial statements for the year ending December 31, 2020. The Cautionary Notes in section XV are an important part of this document. Additional information about our Company, including our most recent consolidated financial statements, is available on the Company website at www.orlamining.com, on SEDAR at www.sedar.com, and on EDGAR at www.sec.gov.
All monetary amounts herein are expressed in United States dollars ($ or US$) unless otherwise stated. C$ refers to Canadian dollars.
This MD&A is current as of November 12, 2021.
Andrew Cormier, P. Eng., Chief Operating Officer of the Company, is the Qualified Person, as the term is defined in National Instrument 43-101 (“NI 43-101”). He has reviewed and approved the technical information disclosed in this MD&A.
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ORLA MINING LTD.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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II. HIGHLIGHTS
During the three months ended September 30, 2021, and to November 12, 2021 (the date of this MD&A):
A. CAMINO ROJO OXIDE PROJECT, MEXICO
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Camino Rojo Oxide Project construction is progressing on schedule and was 89% complete at September 30, 2021, and 96% complete at October 31, 2021.
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Construction remains on budget. Camino Rojo capital expenditures totalled $24.3 million in the third quarter and totalled $106.3 million at September 30, 2021, out of a total project capital expenditure estimate of $134.1 million. As of October 31, 2021, capital expenditures totalled $110.9 million. Capital expenditures to date have been in line with estimates as a result of the Company’s early procurement efforts.
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Construction remains on schedule. The main activities completed during the quarter included ramp up of mining activities, mechanical completion of the crushing system, conveying system, reclaim tunnel, overland conveyor, and grasshopper conveyors, commencement of wet commissioning with introduction of ore into the crushing circuit, and completion of the camp facilities.
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Overliner ore material was placed on the heap leach pad and ore stacking began in early October in preparation for cyanide leaching which is expected to begin in mid-November.
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As of October 31, 2021, there were 529 workers at the Camino Rojo Project as part of construction activities. The number of construction workers on site has been steadily decreasing in the second half of 2021 as many areas complete construction activities. Once Camino Rojo reaches commercial production, Orla expects to have approximately 300 workers at Camino Rojo, with most being Mexican nationals.
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During the third quarter, Orla finalized the negotiation of the Collective Bargaining Agreement (“CBA”) with the Miners’ Union (the Sindicato Minero). In October, Orla’s employees at Camino Rojo ratified the CBA with 99% employee approval. The ratification of the CBA solidifies Orla’s relationships with the Company’s employees and the elected union while standardizing a set of fair and competitive benefits for all employees.
Mining and Processing Totals
| Mining and Processing Totals | ||
|---|---|---|
| Year to date October 31, 2021 |
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| Ore mined | tonnes | 1,123,779 |
| Waste mined | tonnes | 1,100,721 |
| Total mined | tonnes | 2,224,500 |
| Ore mined Au grade | g/t | 0.75 |
| ROM Ore Stockpile | tonnes | 221,741 |
| Total Crushed Ore Stockpile | tonnes | 526,450 |
| Total Crushed Ore Stockpile Au grade | g/t | 0.87 |
| Ore stacked | tonnes | 375,588 |
| Stacked Ore Au grade | g/t | 0.74 |
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ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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B. CERRO QUEMA PROJECT DEVELOPMENT, PANAMA
- In July 2021, Orla provided the results of a Pre-Feasibility Study (“PFS”) and mineral resource and mineral reserve estimates on its Cerro Quema Oxide Gold Project (the “Project” or “Cerro Quema”). The PFS demonstrates the possibility of a low cost, high return heap leach project. The estimated after-tax Net Present Value (“NPV”) (5% discount rate) of the Cerro Quema Project is $176 million, with an after-tax Internal Rate of Return (“IRR”) of 38% at a gold price of $1,600 per ounce.
C. FINANCING AND CORPORATE
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During the quarter, the Company closed a $35 million non-brokered prospectus financing.
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Cash balance of $50.7 million at September 30, 2021.
D. COVID-19 GLOBAL HEALTH EMERGENCY
The global outbreak of the novel coronavirus (“COVID-19”) in 2020 has had a significant impact on businesses through restrictions put in place by governments around the world, including the jurisdictions in which we conduct our business. Our activities have been restricted by government orders related to, among others, travel, business operations, and stayat-home orders. As of the date of this MD&A, it is not possible to determine the extent of the impact that this global health emergency will have on our activities as the impacts will depend on future developments which themselves are highly uncertain and cannot be predicted with confidence. These uncertainties arise from the inability to predict the ultimate geographic spread of the disease, its extent and intensity, the duration of the outbreak, and possible government, societal, and individual responses to the situation.
Operations at Camino Rojo and at Cerro Quema have established COVID-19 committees that meet regularly to discuss operational protocols and safety measures and update as necessary. Although operations have resumed (with appropriate safety protocols in place) after initial suspensions of work during 2020, there remains a high degree of uncertainty as to future impacts the pandemic could have on our business. Should there be changes to the current situation, our construction schedule and consequently our timing to production may be affected.
The Board of Directors has oversight over management’s response to COVID-19 and has reviewed the plans and protocols in place. The Company has implemented strict COVID-19 protocols, including rigorous screening and testing programs at both sites. Vaccination programs in Mexico are ongoing. Vaccinations for senior citizens in the local community of San Tiburcio and other nearby communities are ongoing. In Mexico, four employees and nineteen contractors tested positive for COVID-19 in July and August. All employees and contractors recovered and were released from the quarantine period. There were no cases in September in our operations in Mexico and there were no COVID-10 cases in our operations in Panama during the quarter.
The Company maintains robust organization-wide COVID-19 protocols to support the health of employees and local communities. Orla is closely monitoring the potential impacts from the pandemic on areas including on-site construction, equipment delivery and logistics, construction costs and schedule, as well as community and government relations. As of October 31, 2021, 69% of all employees and contractors at Camino Rojo were fully vaccinated against COVID-19 vaccine and 94% were partially vaccinated.
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ORLA MINING LTD.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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III. OUTLOOK AND UPCOMING MILESTONES
We remain focused on advancing the Company’s strategic objectives and near-term milestones, which include the following:
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Maintain robust health and safety protocols, including COVID-19 prevention measures, to support the health of our employees and local communities.
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Release Caballito (Panama) initial copper-gold resource estimate.
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Complete construction activities at the Camino Rojo Oxide Gold Project towards a targeted first pour in the fourth quarter of 2021 and ramp up in the first quarter of 2022.
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Further the PEA study on the Camino Rojo Sulphide Project.
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Continue to advance the Cerro Quema Oxide Project engineering once the environmental permit and concession renewals are received which would provide the basis for a construction decision.
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Continue to advance exploration programs with activities focused on supporting study work and new target identification for drilling in 2022.
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ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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IV. DISCUSSION OF OPERATIONS
A. CAMINO ROJO, MEXICO
PROJECT DESCRIPTION
The Camino Rojo Project is a gold-silver-lead-zinc deposit located in the Municipality of Mazapil, State of Zacatecas, Mexico near the village of San Tiburcio. The project lies 190 kilometres (“km”) northeast of the city of Zacatecas, 48 km southsouthwest of the town of Concepción del Oro, Zacatecas, and 54 km south-southeast of Newmont’s Peñasquito mine.
The Camino Rojo property consists of seven concessions held by Minera Camino Rojo S.A. de C.V. (“Minera Camino Rojo”), a wholly owned subsidiary of Orla, covering in aggregate 163,127 ha, with one concession expiring in 2057 and the remaining six expiring in 2058. As part of the requirements to maintain the concessions in good standing, annual fees must be paid based upon a per-hectare escalating fee, work expenditures must be incurred in amounts determined based on concession size and age, and applicable environmental regulations must be respected.
Pursuant to the agreement (the “Camino Agreement”) whereby Orla acquired the Camino Rojo Project from Goldcorp Inc. (“Goldcorp”) (Goldcorp was subsequently acquired by Newmont Corporation (“Newmont”)), Goldcorp was granted a right to a 2% net smelter returns (“NSR”) royalty on all metal production from the Camino Rojo Project, except for metals produced under the sulphide joint venture option stipulated in the Camino Agreement. In October 2020, the 2% NSR royalty that pertains to oxide material was acquired by Maverix Metals Inc. (“Maverix”). A 0.5% royalty is also payable to the Mexican government as an extraordinary mining duty, mandated by federal law, and applies to precious metal production from all mining concessions, regardless of owner or other royalty encumbrances. A special mining duty of 7.5% is also payable to the Mexican government on income derived from mineral production.
Orla is the operator of the Camino Rojo Project and has full rights to explore, evaluate, and exploit the property. If a sulphide project is defined through a positive pre-feasibility study outlining one of the development scenarios A or B below, Newmont may, at its option, enter into a joint venture for the purpose of future exploration, advancement, construction, and exploitation of the sulphide project.
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Scenario A A sulphide project where material from the Camino Rojo Project is processed using the existing infrastructure of the Peñasquito mine, mill, and concentrator facilities. In such a circumstance, the sulphide project would be operated by Newmont, who would earn a 70% interest in the sulphide project, with Orla owning 30%.
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Scenario B A standalone sulphide project with a mine plan containing at least 500 million tonnes of proven and probable mineral reserves using standalone facilities not associated with the Peñasquito mine. Under this scenario, the sulphide project would be operated by Newmont, who would earn a 60% interest in the sulphide project, with Orla owning 40%.
Following the exercise of its option, if Newmont elects to sell its portion of the sulphide project, in whole or in part, then Orla would retain a right of first refusal on the sale of the sulphide project.
On December 21, 2020, Orla announced that it had completed the Layback Agreement (the “Layback Agreement”) with Fresnillo plc (“Fresnillo”), granting Orla the right to expand the Camino Rojo oxide pit onto 21.8 ha of Fresnillo’s 782 ha “Guachichil D1” mineral concession, located immediately to the north of Orla’s property.
Fresnillo controls surface rights needed for exploration and mining on the Guachichil D1 mineral concession. Pursuant to the Layback Agreement, 27.5 ha of surface rights controlled by Fresnillo will be acquired by Minera Camino Rojo to mine on a portion of the Guachichil D1 mineral concession that covers the area outside of the Orla concession required for the Project as defined in the January 2021 Camino Rojo Feasibility Study (as defined below).
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ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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Minera Camino Rojo currently has all major permits required for construction and operation of the Project described in the 2019 Technical Report (as defined below). The explosives permit was received from the Secretary of National Defense to use and store explosives in September. There are no impediments to construction, mining, and processing activities for the already authorized project as described in the 2019 Technical Report while permit modifications for the project described in the January 2021 Camino Rojo Feasibility Study are in the application process.
Any potential development of the Camino Rojo Project that would include an open pit encompassing the entire mineral resource estimate, including the sulphide material, would be dependent on an additional agreement with Fresnillo (or any potential subsequent owner of the mineral titles). The Layback Agreement remains subject to the transfer of certain surface rights.
JANUARY 2021 FEASIBILITY STUDY
The technical report for the 2021 Feasibility Study entitled “Unconstrained Feasibility Study NI 43-101 Technical Report on the Camino Rojo Gold Project – Municipality of Mazapil, Zacatecas, Mexico” dated January 11, 2021 (“January 2021 - Feasibility Study”) is available on the Company’s web site here: https://www.orlamining.com/projects/technical reports/
The January 2021 Feasibility Study considers open pit mining of 67.4 million tonnes of oxide and transitional ore at a rate of 18,000 tonnes per day. Ore from the pit will be crushed to 80% passing 28 mm, conveyor stacked onto a heap leach pad and leached using a low concentration sodium cyanide solution. Pregnant solution from the heap leach will be processed in a Merrill-Crowe recovery plant where gold and silver will be precipitated and doré will be produced. The site’s proximity to infrastructure, low stripping ratio, compact footprint, and flat pad location all contribute to the Project’s simplicity and low estimated all-in sustaining cost (“AISC”) of $543 per ounce of gold[1] over the life of the mine.
The proposed mine is located three kilometres from a paved four-lane highway and approximately 190 kilometres from the city of Zacatecas. The area is flat and there are currently no known social or environmental impediments to mining. There are no residents within the area of development. The town of San Tiburcio is located four kilometres to the east of the development. Orla has a Collaboration and Social Responsibility Agreement with Ejido San Tiburcio and a 30-year temporary occupation right with an expropriation right over the 2,497 hectares covering the portion of the proposed pit that is on the Orla concession and the location of all infrastructure. The Layback Agreement provides reasonable expectation that all surface and mineral rights required to develop the Project as described in the January 2021 Feasibility Study will be secured. Permit amendments will be required for the larger project described in the January 2021 Feasibility Study, including the expanded pit and the eventual increase in the heap leach and mine waste dump. There are no impediments to construction, mining, and processing activities on the Orla concession while these permit modifications are in the application process. Orla has sufficient water concessions and existing wells produce in excess of the average 24 litres per second of water required for the project.
Orla has an active community and social program in San Tiburcio and other nearby communities of El Berrendo and San Francisco de los Quijano.
Closing of the Layback Agreement was subject to receipt of Mexican antitrust approval from the Federal Competition Commission (“COFECE”), which approval was received on February 19, 2021.
PERMITTING
Exploration and mining activities in Mexico are subject to control by the Secretariat of Environment and Natural Resources (known by its Spanish acronym, “SEMARNAT”), the federal government department which has authority over the two principal permits: (1) the Environmental Impact Statement (Manifesto de Impacto Ambiental, or “MIA”), accompanied by a Risk Study, and (2) a Change in Land Use (Cambio de Uso de Suelo, or “CUS”) permit accompanied by a Technical Study (Estudio Tecnico Justificativo, “ETJ”).
- AISC is a non-GAAP measure. See “ Non-GAAP Measures ” below for additional information.
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ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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The Company submitted MIA and CUS permit applications to SEMARNAT in August 2019, for the construction and operation of an open pit mine as per the project described in the previous technical report for the Camino Rojo Project entitled “Feasibility Study, NI 43-101 Technical Report on the Camino Rojo Gold Project Municipality of Mazapil, Zacatecas, Mexico” dated effective June 25, 2019 (the “2019 Technical Report”).
Federal environmental authorities approved the CUS permit in December 2019, Minera Camino Rojo made the requisite payment to the National Forestry Commission in January 2020. Minera Camino Rojo received the CUS permit in February 2020, allowing mine development and operation affecting 816.25 ha.
Federal regulations require staged postings of a bond or financial guarantee for the estimated cost of reclamation, proportional to the pending reclamation work created by the project in each development phase, as determined by a technical economic study. In November 2020, Minera Camino Rojo submitted the required first stage reclamation bond of $89.4 million Mexican Pesos (approximately $4.4 million) which was accepted by the Mexican Federal Treasury, with formal notice given to the Federal Attorney's Office for Environmental Protection (known by its Spanish acronym, “PROFEPA”) on November 13, 2020. All MIA and CUS permit conditions have been satisfied, allowing for site activities to commence for the Project described in the 2019 Technical Report.
NEXT STEPS
Orla began working on a CUS permit amendment for the expanded pit and other permitting requirements for the increased tonnes planned to be mined as a result of the Layback Agreement.
Additional work is required to bring material on the Fresnillo concession to the measured and indicated mineral resource category which will then facilitate a mineral reserve update. Work required includes an estimated 2,500 metres of drilling, detailed QA/QC, and integration of Orla’s geological and resource models with Fresnillo’s drill data. We expect to complete the work required upon the transfer of certain surface rights.
MINERAL RESERVES
Camino Rojo comprises intrusive related, sedimentary strata hosted, polymetallic gold, silver, arsenic, zinc, and lead mineralization. The mineralized zones correspond to zones of sheeted sulphidic veins and veinlet networks, creating a bulk-mineable style of gold mineralization. Mineralization is almost completely oxidized to a depth of approximately 120 metres and then variably oxidized below (transitional to sulphide). The mineral resource estimate was divided into oxide, high and low transitional and sulphide material. Only the oxide and transitional material are considered in the January 2021 Feasibility Study for heap leach extraction.
For a more detailed discussion of the Mineral Reserves at Camino Rojo, refer to the “Unconstrained Feasibility Study, NI 43-101 Technical Report on the Camino Rojo Gold Project, dated January 11, 2021”, which was filed on SEDAR on February 9, 2021, and is available here: https://www.orlamining.com/projects/technical-reports/
MINERAL RESOURCES
No update to the mineral resource estimate was made as part of the January 2021 Feasibility Study. The mineral resource estimate dated June 7, 2019, remains current. For a more detailed discussion of the Mineral Resources at Camino Rojo, refer to the Technical Report (NI 43-101), which was filed on SEDAR on August 6, 2019, which is available on the Company’s website here: https://www.orlamining.com/projects/technical-reports/
The Layback Agreement allows Orla to extend the north pit wall onto Fresnillo’s mineral titles to gain access to the oxide and transitional heap leachable mineral resources at depth on Orla’s mineral property.
The existing agreement with Fresnillo is only with respect to the portion of the heap leach material included in the mineral reserve. As such, any potential development of the Camino Rojo property that includes an open pit encompassing the Mill
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ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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Resource included in the mineral resource estimate is dependent on entering into an additional agreement with Fresnillo (or any potential subsequent owner of the mineral titles). It is estimated that approximately two-thirds of the Mill Resource estimate and one quarter of the Leach Resource are dependent on an additional agreement being entered into with Fresnillo. The Leach Resource dependent on the additional agreement is mainly comprised of less oxidized transitional material with the lowest predicted heap-leach recoveries. The mineral resource estimate was prepared based on the Qualified Person’s reasoned judgment, in accordance with Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum (“CIM”) Best Practices Guidelines and his professional standards of competence, that there is a reasonable expectation that all necessary permits, agreements and approvals will be obtained and maintained, including the additional agreement with Fresnillo to allow mining of waste material on its mineral concessions. In particular, when determining the prospects for eventual economic extraction, consideration was given to industry practice, and a time frame of 10-15 years.
Delays in, or failure to obtain, an additional agreement with Fresnillo would affect the development of a significant portion of the mineral resources of the Camino Rojo property that are not included in the January 2021 Feasibility Study mine plan, in particular by limiting access to significant mineralized material at depth. There can be no assurance that Orla will be able to negotiate such additional agreement on terms that are satisfactory to Orla or that there will not be delays in obtaining the necessary agreement.
PROJECT RISKS
The Camino Rojo Project is subject to similar risks as comparable projects. However, Orla believes it has mitigated many of those risks by early engagement with the stakeholders involved in the Project, including government permitting agencies, local land holders, including the Ejidos and Fresnillo, and the advanced stage of activities around mine construction and long-lead time mine equipment. Purchase and construction of required process and other infrastructure is nearly complete. Permits for the Project currently being built were received and the expanded Project requires comparatively minor permit additions and amendments. Construction and operation of the permitted portion of the Project can continue unaffected as additional permitting requirements are met.
In recent years, some mining projects in Mexico have suffered development delays or production stoppages due to community interference. Orla has an active community relations and social program and strives to maintain constructive relationships with local communities. Management believes that maintaining a robust community relations program can reduce and mitigate social risks and improve overall operational sustainability.
Under Mexico’s current COVID-19 legislation, mining and construction are permitted economic activities and the Camino Rojo Project site is operating in compliance with the requirements of the Mexican Health Authority. Orla has implemented a strict COVID-19 protocol, including rigorous screening and testing programs to support the health of Orla’s employees, contractors, and local communities. We closely monitor the potential impacts from the pandemic on areas including equipment delivery and logistics, cross-border imports, materials for construction and operation, other necessities, as well as construction costs and schedule, and community and government relations. While some delays to construction and permit amendments may occur due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Orla has taken steps to minimize potential impacts to the overall Project including additional costs related to COVID-19 safety measures.
The Camino Rojo Project may be subject to legal, political, environmental, or other risks that could materially affect the development of the Camino Rojo Project which are unknown at this time but could materialize in the future.
CAMINO ROJO OXIDE PROJECT CONSTRUCTION UPDATE
Earthworks and equipment deliveries at Camino Rojo commenced in November 2020.
As at September 30, 2021, detailed engineering of the project described in the 2019 Feasibility Study was substantially complete and construction was 89% complete. The remaining engineering will be to support in-construction modifications and as-builts.
- Mining operations commenced during the third quarter, including production drilling and blasting.
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ORLA MINING LTD.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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Installation of the primary and secondary crushers was completed and the overland conveyors and heap leach stacking system had been installed. Electrical and instrumentation commissioning of the overland and heap leach stacking systems will continue into the fourth quarter.
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Leach pad and process pond construction continued during the quarter. The pregnant solution pond was complete. Installation of the heap leach pad liners, piping, and placement of the overliner material on Cell 1 was completed during the quarter and Cell 2 will be completed during the fourth quarter.
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The Merrill-Crowe plant and refinery was 98% complete at September 30, was completed in October, and is currently being commissioned.
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Leaching activities are expected to begin in mid-November 2021.
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Construction of the power line to the project was complete. Connection to the sub-station was completed and the power line was energized in October 2021.
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Installation of the office buildings for the EPCM and mining contractors, as well as the Owner’s construction management teams was completed, and the construction team had moved in. The temporary warehouse was completed and commissioned. Construction of the camp dormitory buildings, kitchen/dining hall and laundry facilities was completed during the third quarter.
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Construction of the road to El Berrendo was completed and opened during the quarter.
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Rescue of flora and fauna was complete.
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First gold production is planned for December 2021.
CAMINO ROJO PROJECT LOAN
In December 2019, the Company entered into a loan agreement with Trinity Capital Partners Corporation (“Trinity Capital”) and certain other lenders with respect to a credit debt facility of $125 million for the development of the Camino Rojo Oxide Gold Project (the “Project Loan”). The Project Loan was arranged by Trinity Capital and included a syndicate of lenders led by Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Pierre Lassonde and Trinity Capital.
The Project Loan provided a total of $125 million to the Company, available in three tranches. The first tranche of $25 million was drawn down by the Company on December 18, 2019. The second tranche of $50 million was drawn down on October 30, 2020. The third and final tranche provided $50 million and was drawn down on April 27, 2021.
EXPLORATION
The Camino Rojo land package is under-explored and the proximity to the large Camino Rojo mineralized system provides a highly prospective opportunity. Exploration on the project is somewhat challenging due to the presence of a thin alluvial soil and caliche cover impacting geochemical surface expressions, but the potential to discover mineralization is considered excellent. As such, we continue to conduct a regional exploration program at Camino Rojo.
CAMINO ROJO SULPHIDE PROJECT
We continue to evaluate multiple development scenarios on the Camino Rojo Sulphide Project. The development scenarios being considered to potentially form the basis of a Preliminary Economic Assessment (“PEA”) currently include: (1) an underground mining option, (2) an open pit mining option with processing at a to-be-constructed sulphide facility at Camino Rojo, and (3) an open pit mining option with processing at Newmont Corporation’s Peñasquito plant. Based on the additional drilling and testwork to date, all development options remain possible.
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ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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Drill results on a 6,079-metre, 14-hole program on the sulphide deposit were released during the third quarter. The drilling was intended to test the continuity of higher-grade mineralization within the sulphide mineral resource at a different orientation than most historical drilling. The positive drill results in the sulphide deposit confirmed the presence of intercepts with higher-than-average widths and grades. The recent data is helping to refine the geological model and guide mining scenario evaluation as part of a PEA. The positive drill results also demonstrate the need for further drilling at the more optimal drill orientation to capture a greater understanding of the higher grades zones within the large, mineralized envelope. To further the evaluation of the Camino Rojo Sulphide Project, we are considering additional drilling in 2022 to provide confirmation of grade and geometry of the higher-grade zones. The phase two drill program would be scheduled to commence upon ramp-up of the Camino Rojo Oxide operations. Full drill results are available on Orla’s website: 2021 News Releases |Orla Mining Ltd.
The phase one drill program also provided material for metallurgical testwork and the Company is assessing multiple processing options. Geometallurgical modelling is in progress to define the distribution and types of mineralization within the sulphide deposit. The new geological model and metallurgical results will be considered in the development of a PEA.
REGIONAL EXPLORATION
In addition to the Camino Rojo sulphide zone directional diamond drilling program completed in early April 2021, the Camino Rojo regional exploration program continued during Q3 consisting of geophysical airborne (drone) magnetic survey (approximately 261 square km completed year to date), rotary air blast (“RAB”) reconnaissance drilling (6,279 metres completed year to date) as well as soil geochemical sampling and mechanical trenching. In addition, a geophysical IP (induced polarization) survey is planned to start in early October. This target definition work is being performed with the objective to define drill targets toward the discovery of satellite deposits near the Camino Rojo deposit.
During the quarter, $3.0 million was expensed on exploration and evaluation activities at Camino Rojo of which $0.8 million pertained to the semi-annual concession fees.
COMMUNITY AND SOCIAL
Orla maintains an active community, social relations, and environmental management program. During the third quarter of 2021, there were no reportable environmental incidents. The gradual reopening in Mexico has allowed community activities to shift from COVID-19 related support to working on social investment programs, local employment, and local procurement. The social investment consultation with the communities resulted in several projects being proposed, some of which are already underway. These projects included maintenance work in local infrastructure, new infrastructure to support local economic and social activities, social programs which included the funding of scholarships and the donation of food to the local communities of El Berrendo and San Francisco de los Quijano. The Sustainability Risk Committee, which is comprised of members of the Company and community relations advisors, continued to hold monthly meetings. During the quarter, the Company has:
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Provided support to the local communities during the COVID-19 pandemic including the donation of food and protective equipment and transportation to COVID-19 vaccination centers.
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Continued funding scholarships and adult education programs.
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Donated equipment to the local health center.
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Completed the maintenance of the road to El Berrendo.
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Completed cattle stock ponds cleaning and rebuilding programs for the communities of San Tiburcio and El Berrendo.
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ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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Maintained and refurbished several streets in San Tiburcio.
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Conducted studies of the community water well in San Tiburcio, in coordination with the State´s environmental and water protection agencies.
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Promoted the use of local employment and service providers by our contractors.
At Camino Rojo, the Company continues to work in collaboration with various local service providers like truck drivers, and food service suppliers to ensure they have an opportunity to participate in construction activities. To date, most of the construction companies working at Camino Rojo have contracted local cafeterias and food preparation services for their employees. The database of local services and people available for work is updated regularly and provided to all construction companies working at the project.
Orla’s community relations team continues to maintain communications with our local communities to understand how the Company can best provide support. The second phase of the information and consultation campaign was completed during the quarter, holding information sessions in all communities of direct influence of the project, and providing feedback on questions or concerns which were received from the communities during the first round of consultation campaign. A campaign to consult with the communities on how to best invest in their communities was also completed, allowing the communities to decide where funds available from the Company for social programs should be invested.
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ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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B. CERRO QUEMA PROJECT, PANAMA
PROJECT DESCRIPTION
The Cerro Quema Project is 100% owned by Orla Mining Ltd. and is located on the Azuero Peninsula in Los Santos Province in southwestern Panama, about 45 kilometres southwest of the city of Chitre and about 190 kilometres southwest of Panama City. The project is at the exploration and development stage for a proposed open pit mine with process by heap leaching. Orla owns the mineral rights as well as the surface rights over the areas of the current mineral resources and mineral reserves, the proposed mine development, and the priority drill targets.
On July 28, 2021, Orla provided the results of a PFS and mineral resource and mineral reserve estimates on its Cerro Quema Oxide Gold Project (the “Cerro Quema Project” or “Cerro Quema”). The PFS demonstrates the possibility of a low cost, high return heap leach project. The estimated Cerro Quema Project after-tax NPV (5% discount rate) is $176 million with an after-tax IRR of 38% at a gold price of $1,600 per ounce.
The PFS continues to support an open pit mine and heap leach operation. Since the 2014 Pre-Feasibility Study (“2014 PFS”), significant additional drillhole data has become available, rendering the 2014 mineral resource and mineral reserve estimates non-current (refer to the technical report entitled “Cerro Quema Project – Pre-Feasibility Study on the La Pava and Quemita Oxide Gold Deposits” dated August 15, 2014, for further details on the 2014 PFS). The main notable physical changes from the 2014 PFS include improved water management infrastructure including active and passive water treatment plants for the waste rock facilities and heap leach facilities, a more detailed design for a larger heap leach pad with increased capacity, a three-phase heap leach facility, redesign of the two-phase waste rock facilities, and an update of all costs. The PFS was conducted using a gold price of $1,600 per ounce and a silver price of $20 per ounce and is expressed in U.S. dollars.
An independent technical report for the Pre-Feasibility Study on the Cerro Quema Oxide Gold Project prepared in accordance with the requirements of National Instrument (“NI”) 43-101 was filed under Orla’s profile on SEDAR, EDGAR, and on the Company’s website on September 7, 2021.
ENVIRONMENTAL AND PERMITTING
We have an ongoing environmental management plan that includes maintaining sediment dams, revegetation of previously disturbed areas and active sediment and erosion control activities. Baseline surface water quality sampling and groundwater level measurements are also ongoing.
Mineral concessions are comprised of three contracts between the Republic of Panama and Minera Cerro Quema SA, a wholly owned subsidiary of Orla. The original 20-year term for these concessions expired on February 26, 2017 (Contracts 19 and 20) and March 3, 2017 (Contract 21). The Company has applied for the prescribed 10-year extension to these contracts as it is entitled to under Panamanian mineral law.
As of the date of this MD&A, formal approval of the extension of these concessions has not yet been received. On March 6, 2017, the Ministry of Commerce and Industry provided written confirmation to the Company that it had received the extension applications, and that exploration work could continue while the Company waits for the renewal. We have received verbal assurances from government officials that the renewal applications are complete with no outstanding legal issues. Since the expiry of the concessions, we have continued to receive ongoing exploration permits, and the Ministry of Commerce has continued to accept our annual reports and concession fees.
In February 2021, the Ministry of Environment conducted its final site inspection of the project. As a result of the positive site inspection review, the Category 3 Environmental and Social Impact Assessment is in the final stage of approval.
In May 2021, the extension of the exploitation contracts was signed by both the Ministry of Commerce and Industry and by Orla. As of the date of this MD&A, the documents are with the Comptroller General for final review and approval.
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ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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JULY 2021 PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY
The Cerro Quema Project considers open pit mining of 21.7 million tonnes of ore from the La Pava and Quema-Quemita pits and will be developed in multiple phases. Ore will be crushed in a single stage to 80% passing 105 mm in a single stage jaw crusher. Lime will be added to the crushed ore for pH control before being conveyor stacked and leached with a dilute cyanide solution. Pregnant leach solution will flow by gravity to a pregnant solution pond and will then be pumped to an ADR (Adsorption, Desorption, Recovery) plant for recovery of metal values. Gold and silver will be loaded onto activated carbon (Adsorption) and then periodically stripped from the carbon in a desorption circuit (Desorption), electrowon (Recovery) and smelted to produce the final doré product.
Based on an ore processing rate of 10,000 tonnes per day or 3.65 million tonnes per year, the Cerro Quema Project has an estimated six-year mine life.
The Cerro Quema Project’s low strip ratio, high gold recoveries, and low operating costs all contribute to a low estimated AISC of $626 per ounce of gold.
The PFS was prepared by a team of independent industry experts including Kappes, Cassiday and Associates (“KCA”), Moose Mountain Technical Services (“Moose Mountain” or “MM”), Resource Geosciences Incorporated (“RGI”), Anddes Asociados (“Anddes” or “AA”), HydroGeoLogica, Inc. or (“HGL”), and Linkan Engineering (“Linkan” or “LE”) with input from other consultant groups.
The PFS incorporates geological, assay, engineering, metallurgical, hydrology, geotechnical, environmental, water management, and hydrogeological information collected by Orla and previous owners. Historical drilling up to the date of Orla’s acquisition of the Cerro Quema Project in late 2016 total 50,571 metres in 577 RC drillholes and 31,432 metres in 154 diamond core drillholes. Since acquiring the Cerro Quema Project, Orla has completed a total of 8,117 metres in 64 diamond core drillholes at the Quema deposit and 238 metres in 2 RC drillholes and 4,454 metres in 23 diamond core drillholes at the Caballito deposit.
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Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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ORLA MINING LTD.
The following table presents the key assumptions and detailed results of the July 2021 Cerro Quema Pre-Feasibility Study:
| Production Data | Values | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Life of Mine | 6.0 | years |
| Mine Throughput | 10,000 | tonnes/day |
| Mine Throughput | 3,650,000 | tonnes/year |
| Total Tonnes to Crusher | 21,738,052 | tonnes |
| Gold Grade(Average) | 0.80 | g/t |
| Silver Grade(Average) | 2.2 | g/t |
| Contained Gold | 562,000 | ounces |
| Contained Silver | 1,526,000 | ounces |
| Average Gold Recovery | 87% | |
| Average Silver Recovery | 26% | |
| Average Annual Gold Production | 81,000 | ounces |
| Average Annual Silver Production | 66,000 | ounces |
| Total Gold Produced | 489,000 | ounces |
| Total Silver Produced | 399,000 | ounces |
| Life of Mine StripRatio | 0.66 | waste to ore |
| Operating Costs(Average LOM) | ||
| Mining (mined) | $ 2.15 | per tonne mined |
| Mining (processed) | $ 3.50 | per tonneprocessed |
| Processing& Support | $ 4.44 | per tonneprocessed |
| General & Administrative | $ 2.40 | per tonneprocessed |
| Total Operating Cost | $ 10.34 | per tonneprocessed |
| Total Cash Cost(net of by-product credits) (note 1) | $ 511 | per ounce Au |
| AISC(note 1) | $ 626 | per ounce Au |
| Capital Costs(Excluding value added tax) | ||
| Initial Capital | $ 164 | $ million |
| Life of Mine SustainingCapital | $ 41 | $ million |
| Life of Mine Capital | $ 204 | $ million |
| WorkingCapital & Initial Fills | $ 7 | $ million |
| Closure Costs | $ 15 | $ million |
| Financial Evaluation | ||
| Gold Price Assumption | $ 1,600 | $/ounce |
| Silver Price Assumption | $ 20 | $/ounce |
| Average Annual Cashflow(Pre-Tax) | $ 72 | $ million |
| Average Annual Cashflow(After-Tax) | $ 62 | $ million |
| IRR, Pre-Tax | 48% | |
| IRR, After-Tax | 38% | |
| NPV @ 5%(Pre-Tax) | $ 233 | $ million |
| NPV @ 5%(After-Tax) | $ 176 | $ million |
| Pay-Back Period (After-Tax) | 1.7 | years |
Notes:
- Total cash cost and AISC are non-GAAP measures and are net of silver credits and includes royalties payable. See reference below regarding nonGAAP measures.
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Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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ORLA MINING LTD.
Cerro Quema Project Economics Sensitivities to Gold Price
| Gold Price ($/oz) | $1,250 | $1,425 | $1,600 | $1,775 | $1,950 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After-tax NPV 5% ($M) | $79 | $127 | $176 | $224 | $272 |
| After-tax IRR (%) | 21% | 30% | 38% | 45% | 52% |
| Payback (years) | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
CAPITAL AND OPERATING COSTS
Capital and operating costs for the process and general and administration components of the Cerro Quema Project were estimated by KCA with information from Anddes and Linkan. Costs for the mining components were provided by Moose Mountain. The estimated costs are considered to have an overall accuracy of +/-25%.
Initial capital expenditures or pre-production capital for the Cerro Quema Project is estimated at $164 million. Total capital for the life of the Cerro Quema Project, including sustaining and working capital is estimated at $212 million. This excludes reclamation and closure costs which are estimated at $15 million.
Capital Cost Summary (excl. value added tax)
| Description | Cost(US$ millions) |
|---|---|
| Pre-Production Capital Costs | $98 |
| Indirect Costs | $6 |
| Other Owner’s Costs | $12 |
| EPCM | $11 |
| Contingency | $21 |
| MiningCapital & Preproduction | $16 |
| Total Initial Capital | $164 |
| WorkingCapital & Initial Fills | $7 |
| SustainingCapital – Mine & Process | $41 |
| Total LOM Capital(incl. workingcapital) | $212 |
| Closure Costs | $15 |
The average life of mine operating cost for the Cerro Quema Project is $10.34 per tonne of ore processed. The table below presents the life of mine (“LOM”) operating cost requirements for the Cerro Quema Project.
Mining costs were estimated at $2.15 per tonne mined for the life of the project and $3.50 per tonne of ore processed and are based on quotes for mining equipment and estimated owner’s mining costs. Mine operations are planned to be typical of similar small scale open pit operations, consisting of conventional drill, blast, load, haul, and stockpile operations. Direct mining and mine maintenance are planned as owner-operated mining operations. The owner will be responsible for all equipment mobilization/demobilization, operating, and labour costs as well as maintenance of the mining equipment. Blasting unit operations will be performed by a specific blasting company contractor. Supervision, geology, and mine planning will be done by the owner.
Process operating costs were estimated by KCA from first principles. Labour costs were estimated using project specific staffing, salary and wage and benefit requirements. Unit consumptions of materials, supplies, power, water and delivered supply costs were also estimated. Life of mine average processing costs are estimated at $4.44 per tonne of ore processed. The operating costs presented are based upon the ownership of all process production equipment and site facilities, not including the onsite power generation set. The owner will employ and direct all process operations, maintenance, and support personnel for all site activities.
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ORLA MINING LTD.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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General administrative costs (G&A) were estimated by KCA with input from Orla. G&A costs include project specific labour and salary requirements and operating expenses, including social contributions. G&A costs are estimated at $2.40 per tonne ore.
Operating costs were estimated based on US dollars during the first quarter of 2021 and are presented with no added contingency based upon the design and operating criteria present in the PFS.
Life of Mine Operating Cost Summary
| LOM Costs | LOM Costs | |
|---|---|---|
| Description | $/t | $/oz |
| Mining | $3.50 | $156 |
| Process | $4.44 | $197 |
| G&A | $2.40 | $107 |
| Total Operating Costs | $10.34 | $460 |
| Refining & Transport | — | $2 |
| Royalties | — | $64 |
| By-product Credits | — | –$16 |
| Total Cash Costs (net of by products)(note 1) | — | $511 |
| Sustaining Capital | — | $83 |
| Reclamation | — | $31 |
| AISC(note 1) | — | $626 |
Notes:
-
Total cash cost and AISC are non-GAAP measures and are net of silver credits and includes royalties payable. See reference below regarding nonGAAP measures.
-
Table may not add due to rounding.
PERMITTING
The mine environmental permitting process has been ongoing and in February 2021, the Ministry of Environment conducted their final site inspection of the Cerro Quema Project. As a result of the positive site inspection review, the Category 3 Environmental & Social Impact Assessment (“ESIA”) is in the final stage of approval.
The concession renewal process has been ongoing and as of September 2021, the extension of the exploitation contracts was signed by the Ministry of Commerce & Industry, and Orla. The documents are now with the Comptroller General for final review and approval.
OPPORTUNITIES
Infill drilling at La Pava, Quemita, and Caballito if successful could expand the mineral resource and increase the confidence and classification of the mineral resource. There is potential to increase the oxide resource as well as to explore further the sulphide mineral resource over the property. Priority drill targets have been defined and Quemita, Caballito, La Pelona and La Prieta for gold-copper mineralization. The current design will allow the heap leach pad and the waste rock dump to accommodate additional tonnage in the upstream site of those facilities if required.
Currently, the property is considered under-explored and there is potential to discover both additional gold mineralization similar to the La Pava and Quemita deposits and gold-copper mineralized zones similar to Caballito. Any discoveries could positively impact the economic value of the Cerro Quema Project.
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ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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NEXT STEPS
Orla will continue to advance Cerro Quema towards feasibility level which would provide the basis for a construction decision. Key areas of review include the following:
-
Completion of additional feasibility level mine plan studies on areas including drilling and blasting, detailed equipment sizing, and contractor mining cost trade-off.
-
Completion of confirmatory metallurgical test work on representative samples for each metallurgical type, specifically column leach tests on coarse crushed material and draindown chemistry.
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Completion of additional studies and cost estimates for surface and groundwater flows, quality, storage, and treatment.
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Completion of additional geotechnical studies at the proposed heap leach, waste rock dump, open pits, and processing areas.
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Evaluation on the availability of local services and personnel to maximize local hiring and procurement.
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Investigation of power generation opportunities from the overland conveying system to help alleviate the on-site power generation requirements.
MINERAL RESERVES
Only indicated resource class materials are included in the mineral reserve estimate. All inferred resource class material is treated as waste in calculating economic pit limits and in subsequent mineral reserves reporting, scheduling, and economics.
Proven and probable mineral reserves are derived from the indicated mineral resource class blocks within the designed pits and are summarized in the table below. Mineral reserves represent mined ore processed through the crusher and delivered to the heap leach facility.
Several gold deposits have been identified on the Cerro Quema Property including La Pava and Quema-Quemita deposits. Mineralization is hosted by andesites and dacitic lava domes of the Rio Quema Formation. The mineralization consists of disseminated pyrite, chalcopyrite, and enargite; and stockworks of quartz, pyrite, chalcopyrite, and barite with traces of galena and sphalerite. Gold occurs as disseminated microscopic grains of native gold and as “invisible gold” within the pyrite, particularly in the siliceous alteration zone. Strong supergene alteration forms an oxidation cap or gossan and has released the gold contained in the pyrite. The highest grades of gold mineralization are near the surface and decrease towards the lower limit of oxidation.
The Cerro Quema deposits are characterized by the presence of widespread hydrothermal alteration that forms concentric halos around mineralization. The presence of vuggy silica, alunite, natro-alunite, and enargite in addition to the hydrothermal alteration pattern are compatible with a high sulphidation epithermal system. The alteration pattern is fault controlled, following E-W trending regional faults. Preliminary work completed by the previous project owner and Orla suggests that there is the potential of a porphyry deposit at depth.
The mineral reserve estimate for Cerro Quema is based on an open pit mine plan and mine production schedule developed by Moose Mountain.
The following table presents the mineral reserve estimation for the Cerro Quema Oxide Project. Proven and probable mineral reserves amount to 21.7 million tonnes at 0.80 g/t gold and 2.18 g/t silver for 0.56 million contained gold ounces and 1.53 million contained silver ounces. The mineral reserve was estimated based on a gold price of US$1,250 per ounce and a silver price of US$17 per ounce while the mineral resource was estimated based on a gold price of US$2,000 per ounce and a silver price of US$26 per ounce.
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Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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ORLA MINING LTD.
Cerro Quema Mineral Reserves
| 000's | Gold | Silver | Gold | Silver | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineral Reserve Category | tonnes | (g/t) | (g/t) | (koz) | (koz) |
| La Pava Probable Mineral Reserve | 15,700 | 0.79 | 2.27 | 400 | 1,148 |
| Quema Probable Mineral Reserve | 6,000 | 0.83 | 1.95 | 161 | 378 |
| Total Probable Mineral Reserves | 21,700 | 0.80 | 2.18 | 562 | 1,526 |
Notes:
-
The qualified person responsible for the Mineral Reserves is Jesse Aarsen, P.Eng of Moose Mountain Technical Services. Jesse Aarsen is independent of Orla Mining Ltd.
-
Only Oxide and Mixed material is included in the Mineral Reserve; all Sulphide material is treated as waste.
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The minimum cut-off grade used for ore/waste determination is NSR>= $6.34/tonne for Oxide and $9.18 for Mixed at the La Pava deposit and $6.50/tonne for Oxide and $8.35/tonne for Mixed at the Quema deposit
-
Mineral Reserves have an effective date of April 22, 2021. All Mineral Reserves in this table are Proven and Probable Mineral Reserves. The Mineral Reserves are not in addition to the Mineral Resources but are a subset thereof. All Mineral Reserves stated above include mining dilution, but no mining loss.
-
Associated metallurgical gold recoveries have been estimated as 86% for Oxide at the Quema deposit and 88% for Oxide at the La Pava deposit. Gold recoveries vary according to grade for Mixed material at both the La Pava and Quema deposits.
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Associated metallurgical silver recoveries have been estimated as 15% for Oxide and 10% for Mixed material at the Quema deposit and 30% for Oxide and 10% for Mixed material at the La Pava deposit.
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Reserves are based on a US$1,250/oz gold price, US$17/oz silver price.
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Reserves are converted from resources through the process of pit optimization, pit design, production scheduling, stockpiling, cut-off grade optimization and supported by a positive cash flow model.
-
Rounding as required by reporting guidelines may result in summation differences.
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ORLA MINING LTD.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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MINERAL RESOURCES
Cerro Quema Mineral Resource Estimate
| **Resource Type ** | 000's | Gold | Silver | Gold | Silver |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tonnes | (g/t) | (g/t) | (koz) | (koz) | |
| Oxide | |||||
| Quema Indicated Mineral Resource | 9,305 | 0.67 | 1.97 | 200 | 589 |
| Pava Indicated Mineral Resource | 21,488 | 0.65 | 2.03 | 451 | 1,402 |
| Indicated Mineral Resource | 30,793 | 0.66 | 2.01 | 651 | 1,991 |
| Mixed | |||||
| Quema Indicated Mineral Resource | 8,367 | 0.72 | 2.08 | 195 | 560 |
| Pava Indicated Mineral Resource | 17,519 | 0.76 | 2.18 | 428 | 1,228 |
| Indicated Mineral Resource | 25,886 | 0.75 | 2.15 | 623 | 1,787 |
| Total Indicated Mineral Resource | 56,679 | 0.70 | 2.07 | 1,274 | 3,779 |
| Oxide | |||||
| Quema Inferred Mineral Resource | 2,837 | 0.32 | 2.91 | 29 | 265 |
| Pava Inferred Mineral Resource | 776 | 0.25 | 1.24 | 6 | 31 |
| Inferred Mineral Resource | 3,613 | 0.31 | 2.55 | 36 | 296 |
| Mixed | |||||
| Quema Inferred Mineral Resource | 1,928 | 0.39 | 3.74 | 24 | 232 |
| Pava Inferred Mineral Resource | 448 | 0.31 | 1.24 | 4 | 18 |
| Inferred Mineral Resource | 2,376 | 0.38 | 3.27 | 29 | 250 |
| Total Inferred Mineral Resource | 5,989 | 0.33 | 2.84 | 64 | 546 |
Notes:
-
Resources are reported using the 2014 CIM Definition Standards and were estimated using the 2019 CIM Best Practices Guidelines.
-
Mineral Resources are reported inclusive of Mineral Reserves.
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Mineral Resources that are not Mineral Reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability.
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The Mineral Resource has been confined by a “reasonable prospects of eventual economic extraction” pit using the following assumptions: US $2,000/oz. Au and US $26/oz Ag; 99.9% payable Au; 98.0% payable Ag; $1.40/oz Au and $1.20/oz Ag offsite costs (refining, transport, and insurance); a 4% NSR royalty.
-
Metallurgical recoveries are for Pava: 88% Au in oxides, 55% Au in Sulphides, for Quema: 86% Au in oxides, 55% Au in sulphides, for all deposits: Au Rec=0.98672.7183^(-0.1%total Sulphur)*100%-13%. Cu recovery in sulphides is 85% for all deposits, Ag recovery is 30% oxides, 10% mixed in Pava, Ag recovery is 15% in oxides and 10% in mixed in Quema.
-
Pit slope angles are 40º.
-
The specific gravity of the deposit has been determined by Alteration Zone and Core recovery and ranges between 2.07 and 2.62.
-
Numbers may not add due to rounding.
The July 28, 2021, news release contained a typographical error in the calculation of gold and silver ounces in the inferred mineral resource category which has been corrected in the table above. Tonnes and grades were correctly stated and remain unchanged.
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ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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DATA VERIFICATION
The Qualified Person (“QP”) for the mineral resource and mineral reserve estimates visited the site on May 4, 2021. During this visit, collar locations were verified, as were the core storage, security, and sampling techniques. The database provided to the QP by Orla has been checked with minor corrections made to the database based on Certificate checks.
Check assays and twinned holes were previously completed, as well as check assays done based on the QP’s recommendations in 2020 concluding that the database is suitable for mineral resource estimation. Historical drilling and RC drilling were statistically validated and did not show a material bias. Therefore, the QP has concluded that all past drilling is not biased, and it has been used for the mineral resource and mineral reserve estimates.
Additional supporting details regarding the information in this MD&A is provided in the new Cerro Quema technical report entitled “ Project Pre-Feasibility NI 43-101 Technical Report on the Cerro Quema Gold Oxide Project, Province of Los Santos, Panama ”, which is available on SEDAR and EDGAR under the Company's profiles at www.sedar.com and www.sec.gov, respectively, including all qualifications, assumptions and exclusions that relate to the PFS. The Cerro Quema technical report is intended to be read as a whole, and sections should not be read or relied upon out of context.
EXPLORATION
The discovery of the Caballito mineralized zone in 2017 and follow-up drilling executed by Orla in 2018 led to the definition of significant copper and gold sulphide mineralization with open pit potential. The Caballito-style mineralization differs from the Pava and Quemita oxide deposits as it consists of copper-gold (low arsenic) sulphide mineralization that will not be amenable to heap leaching and will require a different processing method. The Cerro Quema property shows some potential for additional oxide mineralization, but the main upside resides in the sulphides potential of the project which remains largely under-explored.
Drilling was initiated in January 2021 but was suspended in February after the completion of only one drill hole due to COVID safety measures. The exploration team has been focusing its efforts on the refinement of drill targets, including the review and optimization of project data. In addition, a geophysical IP survey initiated in mid-March was completed in early June. The survey covers the south-east extension of the Caballito deposit area as well as the La Prieta porphyry target to the south of the property. Ground magnetic and soil geochemical programs have been performed in parallel with the geophysical work and were completed in Q2. Historical data combined to 2021 survey information led to the definition of priority drill targets at Quemita, Caballito, La Pelona and La Prieta. The results of the IP and soil geochemical surveys at La Prieta further confirm a large coincident IP chargeability anomaly (~1.4km in diameter) and soil & rock geochemical results over La Prieta intrusion. During the quarter, $0.5 million was expensed on these exploration and evaluation activities at Cerro Quema.
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ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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C. NON-GAAP MEASURES
We have included herein certain performance measures (“non-GAAP measures”) which are not specified, defined, or determined under generally accepted accounting principles (in our case, International Financial Reporting Standards, or “IFRS”).
These are common performance measures in the gold mining industry, but because they do not have any mandated standardized definitions, they may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. Accordingly, we use such measures to provide additional information and you should not consider them in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”).
ALL-IN SUSTAINING COSTS ("AISC")
We have provided an AISC performance measure that reflects all the expenditures that are required to produce an ounce of gold from operations. While there is no standardized meaning of the measure across the industry, our definition conforms to the all-in sustaining cost definition as set out by the World Gold Council in its guidance dated June 27, 2013.
We believe that the inclusion of projected AISC has evolved into a common market practice in the mining industry for a feasibility-level study, and that some investors have come to expect this type of disclosure from issuers at the development stage. We acknowledge that this is a performance measure that relates to production, and our mines are not yet in production, but we disclose this measure as an estimate or projection in a similar manner as the general feasibility study results relating to production figures. We have provided AISC to identify it as non-GAAP and to disclose that it lacks a standardized meaning. Upon commencing production and reporting actual AISC, we will provide a reconciliation to IFRS figures then presented.
CASH COSTS PER OUNCE
We calculate cash costs per ounce by dividing the sum of operating costs, royalty costs, production taxes, refining and shipping costs, net of by-product silver credits, by payable gold ounces. While there is no standardized meaning of the measure across the industry, we believe that this measure is useful to external users in assessing operating performance.
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Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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ORLA MINING LTD.
V. SUMMARY OF QUARTERLY RESULTS
The figures in the following table are based on the consolidated financial statements of the Company which were prepared in accordance with IAS 34 “Interim Financial Reporting” of IFRS as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board.
| $ thousands 2021-Q3 2021-Q2 |
2021-Q1 | 2020-Q4 | 2020-Q3 | 2020-Q2 2020-Q1 2019-Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exploration expense $ 3,573 $ 3,761 |
$ 4,911 | $ 3,943 | $ 3,590 | $ 770 $ 7,603 3,069 |
| Office and administrative 487 358 |
509 | 102 | 162 | 194 185 148 |
| Professional fees 241 551 |
502 | 558 | 425 | 230 176 165 |
| Regulatory and transfer agent 162 213 |
204 | (17) | 11 |
66 82 111 |
| Salaries and wages 759 754 |
593 | 802 | 563 | 527 264 730 |
| Depreciation 52 35 |
33 | 36 | 23 | 382 22 6 |
| Share based payments 416 498 |
983 | 434 | 705 | 612 772 358 |
| Foreign exchange 3,320 (4,771) |
2,864 |
648 | 1,688 | (1,220) 479 138 |
| Interest income and finance costs 450 324 |
315 | 1,178 | 1,503 | 648 606 447 |
| Other (gains) 94 (824) |
(107) |
(39) |
(1,019) |
— — — |
| Net loss 9,554 899 |
10,807 | 7,645 | 7,651 | 2,209 10,189 5,172 |
| Loss per share (basic and diluted) $ 0.04 $ 0.00 |
$ 0.05 |
$ 0.03 |
$ 0.03 |
$ 0.01 $ 0.05 $ 0.03 |
EXPLORATION EXPENSE
In 2019, we completed and publicly filed the 2019 Feasibility Study for Camino Rojo. We commenced detailed engineering and planning for construction of Camino Rojo.
In 2020, we advanced detailed engineering for the mine at Camino Rojo. During the third quarter we received the necessary permits to commence construction, and in the fourth quarter we commenced construction activities. During 2021, we have continued construction of the Camino Rojo mine, completed the agreements giving us access to the Layback Area, and have filed the January 2021 Feasibility Study for Camino Rojo which incorporated the Layback Area. We have also conducted work to update technical studies and issued a technical report for our Cerro Quema Project.
Quarterly variations in exploration expense are due to seasonality and timing of payment of mining concession fees, drilling activities and awaiting results from previous quarters’ exploration activities. During the second quarter of 2020, exploration expenses and site activities were unusually lower than previous quarters due to the temporary global shutdown and work-from-home orders caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. In 2020-Q4, we commenced construction at Camino Rojo. Consequently, development costs began to be capitalized, and exploration and evaluation costs at Camino Rojo decreased significantly.
ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS
Administrative costs and professional fees have trended with the level of activity of the Company, and with major regulatory events such as financings and public listings. In 2019-Q4 we closed the $125 million Project Loan. In 2020-Q4 we listed and commenced trading on the NYSE American. In 2021-Q1 we filed a Base Shelf Prospectus and United States Form F-10. Each of these events caused one-time increases in regulatory fees and legal fees. The US listing has caused an increase in regulatory fees in general, as well as insurance and certain professional fees.
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ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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SALARIES AND WAGES
Salaries have generally increased from 2019 into 2021 as our team has grown in preparation for the construction and operation phases at Camino Rojo. In 2019-Q4 we incurred severance payments related to the departure of the former Chief Operating Officer.
SHARE BASED PAYMENTS
Share-based payments expense is generally related to the number of stock options and restricted share units (“RSUs”) vesting during the quarter. The grants typically occur during the first quarter of each year; consequently, those quarters tend to be greater than the others as all the deferred share units (“DSUs”) awarded vest (and are therefore expensed) immediately.
INTEREST INCOME AND FINANCE COSTS
The Company received $25 million in 2019-Q4 as a first draw on the Camino Rojo Project Loan, which caused an increase in interest expense, and we can expect larger swings in foreign exchange gains and losses, starting in that quarter. We incurred loan initiation costs and those are being amortized over the next five years. The Company received a further draw of $50 million in 2020-Q4, driving the increase in interest expense. In December 2020 (2020-Q4) we commenced construction at Camino Rojo; consequently, we commenced capitalizing interest on the Project Loan, which caused decreases in interest expense in subsequent quarters.
In January 2021, we completed the Layback Agreement, which included an obligation of $37.8 million bearing interest at 5%. This interest is capitalized; consequently, it has no effect on interest and finance costs in the income statement during the quarters presented.
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
Foreign exchange gains and losses vary based on fluctuation of the Canadian dollar and the Mexican peso versus the US dollar. During 2020-Q1, Q2 and Q3, there were unusually large swings in the Canadian dollar to US dollar and the Mexican peso to US dollar exchange rates related to economic uncertainty arising from the COVID-19 pandemic.
Since the commencement of construction, foreign exchange gains and losses on the intercompany loan between the Canadian parent and Mexican subsidiary are now recorded in income, rather than through other comprehensive income. This was the single largest contributor to volatility in our quarterly loss after 2020-Q4.
OTHER GAINS
Prior to Q1-2021, “other gains and losses” consisted primarily of modification gains on changes in estimates related to the Newmont loan. In Q2-2021, we entered into participating forward currency contracts to mitigate the risk of the Mexican peso fluctuations during the construction of the Camino Rojo mine.
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ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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VI. THIRD QUARTER OF 2021
The following table is based on accompanying condensed consolidated interim financial statements prepared in accordance with IFRS. Figures are expressed in thousands of United States dollars.
| $000’s | Three months ended September 30 2021 2020 Difference $ 3,573 $ 3,590 $ (17) 487 162 325 241 425 (184) 162 11 151 759 563 196 52 23 29 416 705 (289) 3,320 1,688 1,632 450 1,503 (1,053) 94 (1,019) 1,113 $ 9,554 $ 7,651 $ 1,903 |
Nine months ended September 30 |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 2020 Difference |
||
| Exploration expense General and administrative Professional fees Securities regulatory Salaries and wages Depreciation Share based payments Foreign exchange Interest income and finance costs Other |
$ 12,245 $ 12,359 $ (114) 1,354 541 813 1,294 831 463 579 159 420 2,106 1,354 752 120 70 50 1,897 2,089 (192) 1,413 947 466 1,089 2,718 (1,629) (837) (1,019) 182 |
|
| Loss for the period | $ 21,260 $ 20,049 $ 1,211 |
The public listing in the United States at the end of 2020 led to (1) the increase in general and administrative costs, which was driven almost entirely by an increase in directors’ and officers’ insurance costs, (2) the increase in securities regulatory fees, and (3) the increase in professional fees, specifically increased audit, accounting, controls, and tax advisory fees.
Professional fees increased over last year also due to the engaging of consultants for human resources and information technology to support the Company’s growth.
Salaries and wages were greater in 2021 than 2020 due to the hiring of more personnel as we proceed toward production.
Foreign exchange in 2020 was affected by the sudden strengthening of the USD compared to other world currencies at the beginning of the pandemic.
Prior to December 2020, the foreign exchange changes in the intercompany loans between the Canadian parent company and the Mexican operating subsidiary were recorded in other comprehensive income. At the beginning of construction, in December 2020, we began to record those foreign exchange changes in profit and loss. The intercompany loan is denominated in US dollars and the functional currencies of the two entities are the Canadian dollar and the Mexican peso – consequently, this has led to great volatility in our earnings, related primarily to this item.
Upon the commencement of construction, in December 2020, we stopped expensing and started capitalizing the interest on the Camino Rojo Project Loan.
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ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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VII. LIQUIDITY
As at September 30, 2021, the Company had cash and cash equivalents of $51 million and positive working capital of $27 million. During the reporting period, in July 2021, the Company completed a $35 million equity financing.
HISTORICAL CONTEXT
As of September 30, 2021, we had not yet advanced any of our properties to commercial production. The accompanying interim consolidated financial statements have been prepared on the assumption that the Company will continue as a going concern, meaning it will continue in operation for the foreseeable future and will be able to realize assets and discharge liabilities in the ordinary course of operations.
Historically, the Company's primary source of funding has been the issuance of equity securities for cash through prospectus offerings and private placements to sophisticated investors and institutions, debt financing, and from the exercise of warrants and options. While we believe our ability to raise further funding will continue, our access to exploration and construction financing is always uncertain, and there can be no assurance of continued access to sources of significant equity or debt funding until we can generate cash from operations.
EXPECTED SOURCES OF CASH
We expect to earn cash flow from metal sales commencing in late 2021. We continue to regularly review and consider financing alternatives to fund the Company’s ongoing activities. We expect to fund the operating costs and the operating and strategic objectives of the Company over the next twelve months with existing cash on hand and metal sales, although we may also receive from proceeds from exercises of options and warrants.
PARTICIPATING FORWARD CONTRACTS FOR PURCHASE OF MEXICAN PESOS
During the first quarter of 2021, the Company entered into participating forward contracts for the purchase of Mexican pesos for use during the construction of the Camino Rojo Mine. The individual contracts mature monthly from April 2021 to December 2021. At September 30, 2021, the aggregate notional amount of these contracts was $7,700,000 and the aggregate committed amount was $3,850,000. The weighted average strike rate was 20.35 Mexican pesos per 1 US dollar. The purpose of this program is to mitigate the Company’s exposure to strengthening of the Mexican peso by protecting the downside during construction activities, thus improving predictability of our capital expenditures.
MEXICAN VALUE ADDED TAXES RECOVERABLE
Our Mexican entities pay value added taxes (called “IVA” in Mexico) on certain goods and services we purchase in country. Value added taxes paid in Mexico are fully recoverable.
IVA recovery returns in Mexico are subject to complex filing requirements and detailed audit or review by the fiscal authorities. Consequently, the amount and timing of refunds is uncertain. Accordingly, we have classified Mexican value added taxes recoverable as long term. Once the Company starts to receive these refunds, we will reassess the remaining claims to determine if any or all should be reclassified to current assets.
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Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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ORLA MINING LTD.
A summary of the claims outstanding for IVA paid each year is as follows (table expressed in thousands of US dollars):
| Arising in the year | IVA paid on acquisition of Camino Rojo |
IVA paid on acquisition of Layback Area |
Construction and operations |
Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $ 3,524 | $ — |
$ 7 | $ 3,531 |
| 2018 | — | — | 424 | 424 |
| 2019 | — | — | 657 | 657 |
| 2020 | — | — | 3,537 | 3,537 |
| 2021 | — | 4,023 | 9,944 |
13,967 |
| Total IVA recoverable | $ 3,524 |
$ 4,023 |
$ 14,569 |
$ 22,116 |
Subsequent to the reporting period, the Mexican tax authorities began issuing payments on these IVA claims to the Company. A total of 12.3 million pesos ($602,000) in IVA refunds had been received to the date of this MD&A.
CONTRACTUAL OBLIGATIONS
| CONTRACTUAL OBLIGATIONS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contractual obligations As at September 30, 2021 (thousands of US dollars) |
Payments due by period | ||||
| Total | Less than 1 year |
1-3 years |
4-5 years |
After 5 years |
|
| Purchase commitments | $ 26,347 | $ 26,347 | $ — | $ — | $ — |
| Trade payables | 3,103 | 3,103 | — | — | — |
| Lease commitments | 515 | 269 | 246 | — | — |
| Camino Rojo Project Loan and related interest | 159,833 | 11,000 | 22,000 | 126,833 | — |
| Newmont loan | 10,809 | 10,809 | — | — | — |
| Fresnillo obligation and related interest | 41,150 | 1,890 | 39,260 | — | — |
| Total contractual obligations | $ 241,757 | $ 53,418 |
$ 61,506 |
$ 126,833 | $ — |
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ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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VIII. CAPITAL RESOURCES
Capital resources available to the Company.
DEBT
The Company has successfully negotiated and executed a $125 million Project Loan agreement with a syndicate of lenders led by Trinity Capital Partners, all of which has been drawn down as of the date of this MD&A. These amounts bear interest at 8.8% per annum, payable quarterly. The principal amount is due upon maturity in December 2024, with no scheduled principal repayments prior to maturity. We may prepay the loan, in full or in part, at any time during the term without penalty, by using cash flow from operations.
Pursuant to the terms of the Layback Agreement, Fresnillo has agreed to deferred payments of $37.8 million which we currently estimate will be repaid in December 2022 ($15.0 million), and December 2023 ($22.8 million). These amounts bear interest at 5% per annum, payable quarterly.
Newmont has provided interest-free loans to the Company totaling 219 million peso (approx. $11 million). We expect these to be settled within the next 12 months.
EQUITY
In December 2020, the Company commenced trading in the United States on the NYSE American. This provides access to another channel for financing whether through equity issuances or other instruments.
The Company has filed a preliminary base shelf prospectus pursuant to which it may raise up to C$300 million in equity or similar instruments. The final base shelf prospectus was filed on March 12, 2021.
As of the date of this MD&A, 40.2 million warrants remain outstanding, all of which have an exercise price less than the market value of the underlying shares on November 12, 2021.
Commitments for capital resources are substantially related to the construction of the Camino Rojo mine (refer to “Contractual Obligations” above.
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ORLA MINING LTD.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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IX. USE OF PROCEEDS
A. APRIL 2020 FINANCING
On April 3, 2020, the Company completed a bought deal financing with a syndicate of underwriters. We issued a total of 36,600,000 common shares at a price of C$2.05 per common share, for aggregate gross proceeds to the Company of C$75.0 million. We incurred issuance costs of approximately C$2.8 million.
As of June 30, 2021, the Company had spent the full amount of the use of proceeds disclosed for the April 2020 financing. Refer to Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the three and six months ended June 30, 2021 for a summary of the final amounts.
B. JULY 2021 FINANCING
On July 14, 2021, the Company completed a non-brokered prospectus financing. A total of 9,085,263 common shares of Orla were fully subscribed and sold at a price of C$4.75 per common share, for aggregate gross proceeds to the Company of C$43.2 million ($35.0 million). The Company incurred issuance costs of approximately $1.0 million.
The table below compares the approximate use of proceeds from the Company’s common shares issued in July 2021 and the actual amounts spent from the date of that issuance to September 30, 2021. There are no material variances to the use of proceeds in the July 2021 prospectus supplement that have impacted our ability to achieve our business objectives and milestones as disclosed in that prospectus supplement.
| Camino Rojo working capital Cerro Quema engineering Exploration Corporate and working capital Total |
|
|---|---|
| $ millions $ millions $ millions $ millions $ millions |
|
| Intended use of proceeds per July 2021 prospectus supplement |
$ 9.8 $ 4.0 $ 5.0 $ 15.4 $ 34.2 |
| Total spent July 14, 2021 to September 30, 2021 less: Use of cash on hand at July 14, 2021 less: Use of cash received from warrants and options |
$ 24.8 $ 0.5 $ 3.1 $ 5.6 $ 34.0 (24.8) — — — (24.8) — — — — — |
| Net use of proceeds to September 30, 2021 | $ — $ 0.5 $ 3.1 $ 5.6 $ 9.2 |
| Use of proceeds not yet spent to September 30, 2021 | $ 9.8 $ 3.5 $ 1.9 $ 9.8 $ 25.0 |
X. RELATED PARTY TRANSACTIONS
The Company’s related parties include “key management personnel”, whom we define as the Chief Executive Officer, the Chief Operating Officer, the Chief Financial Officer, the Senior Vice President Exploration, and members of the Board of Directors of the Company. Other than compensation in the form of salaries or directors’ fees, and termination benefits and share based payments (options, RSUs, DSUs, and bonus shares), there were no other material transactions with this group of individuals.
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Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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ORLA MINING LTD.
Compensation to key management personnel was as follows:
| Three months ended September 30 |
|
|---|---|
| 2021 2020 |
|
| Salaries Directors’ fees Share basedpayments |
$ 239 $ 197 43 43 291 271 |
| Total | $ 573 $ 511 |
During the period covered by this MD&A, and to the date of this MD&A, there are no other related parties.
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ORLA MINING LTD.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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XI. OFF-BALANCE SHEET ARRANGEMENTS
We have no off-balance sheet arrangements requiring disclosure under this section.
XII. CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES
In preparing the accompanying unaudited interim consolidated financial statements, we have made judgements, estimates and assumptions that affect the application of accounting policies and the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, income, and expenses. Actual results may differ from these estimates.
We review estimates and their underlying assumptions on an ongoing basis. Revisions to estimates are recognized prospectively.
Judgements, estimates, and assumptions that we have made in applying accounting policies that have the most significant effects on the amounts recognized in the accompanying consolidated financial statements include:
MINERAL RESOURCE AND MINERAL RESERVE ESTIMATES
Mineral resource and mineral reserve estimates are estimates of the amount of ore that can be economically extracted from the Company’s mining properties. Such estimates may impact the financial statements in the following way:
-
The mineral resource and mineral reserve estimates are important factors considered in determining whether technical feasibility and commercial viability of extracting a mineral resource are demonstrable, which influences the classification of expenditure.
-
Carrying value of assets may be affected due to changes in estimated mineral reserves and resources if the change is considered an indicator of impairment.
-
Site closure provisions may change where reserve estimate changes affect expectations about when
such activities will occur and the associated cost of these activities.
The mineral resource and mineral reserve estimates are based on information compiled by qualified persons within the meaning of National Instrument 43-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects (“NI 43101”). Such information includes geological and technical data on the size, depth, shape and grade of the ore body and suitable production techniques and recovery rates. Such an analysis requires complex geological judgements to interpret the data. The estimation of recoverable reserves is based upon factors such as estimates of foreign exchange rates, commodity prices, future capital requirements and production costs, along with geological assumptions and judgements made in estimating the size and grade of the ore body.
As the economic assumptions used may change and as additional geological information is produced during the operation of a mine, estimates of mineral resources and mineral reserves may change.
TITLE TO MINERAL PROPERTIES
Although the Company has taken steps to verify title to mineral properties in which it has an interest, these procedures do not guarantee the Company’s title. Such properties may be subject to prior agreements or transfers and title may be affected by undetected defects. Further, we make judgements for properties where concessions terms have expired, and a renewal application has been made and is awaiting approval. We use judgement as to whether the concession renewal application is probable to be received, but ultimately this is beyond our control. If a renewal application is not approved, we could lose rights to those mineral concessions.
ASSESSMENT OF IMPAIRMENT INDICATORS
We apply judgement in assessing whether indicators of impairment exist for our exploration and evaluation (“E&E”) assets which could result in a test for impairment. We consider internal and external factors, such as our rights to explore, planned expenditures on E&E activities, the technical results of our E&E activities, and the potential for viable operations, to determine whether there are any indicators of impairment or reversal of a previous impairment.
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Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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ORLA MINING LTD.
INCOME TAXES AND VALUE ADDED TAXES
Our operations involve dealing with uncertainties and judgements in the application of complex tax regulations in multiple jurisdictions.
We recognize potential tax liabilities for uncertain tax positions and matters identified based on our judgement of whether, and the extent to which, additional taxes will be due. We adjust these liabilities after considering changing facts and circumstances. However, due to the complexity of some of these uncertainties, the ultimate outcome may result in a payment that is materially different from our estimate of the tax liabilities.
VAT receivables are generated on the purchase of supplies and services by our companies. The timing and collection of VAT receivables is uncertain as VAT refund procedures in certain jurisdictions require a significant amount of documentation and follow-up. We are exposed to liquidity risk, credit risk and currency risk with respect to our VAT recoverable balances if tax authorities are unwilling to make payments in a timely manner pursuant to our refund filings.
The timing of receipt of Mexican VAT is uncertain.
FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT
Management uses valuation techniques in measuring the fair value of share options granted and restricted share units, deferred share units, and bonus shares awarded. Such valuation techniques are also used for estimating the fair value of the Newmont loan, which is interest free, and the mark-to-market adjustments related to the Company’s currency hedging program.
We determine the fair value of share-based payments awarded using the Black Scholes option pricing model which requires us to make certain estimates, judgements, and assumptions in relation to the expected life of the share options, expected volatility, ‐ expected risk free rate, and expected forfeiture rate.
Changes to these assumptions could have a material impact on the Company’s financial statements.
FUNCTIONAL CURRENCY
The functional currency for the parent entity and each of its subsidiaries is the currency of the primary economic environment in which the entity operates. Determination of functional currency involves judgements to identify the primary economic environment. We reconsider the functional currency of each entity if there is a change in the underlying transactions, events, and conditions which we used to determine the primary economic environment of that entity.
XIII. FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
In the normal course of business, the Company is inherently exposed to certain financial risks, including market risk, credit risk and liquidity risk, through the use of financial instruments. The timeframe and the way we manage these risks varies based upon our assessment of these risks and available alternatives for mitigation.
We have entered into participating forward contracts for the purchase of Mexican pesos for the construction of the Camino Rojo mine. Refer to section “VII LIQUIDITY” above for further details.
We do not acquire or issue derivative financial instruments for trading or speculative purposes. All transactions undertaken are to support our operations.
XIV. OUTSTANDING SHARE DATA
As of the date of this MD&A, the Company had the following equity securities outstanding:
-
247,599,954 common shares
-
40,242,500 warrants
-
9,900,874 stock options
-
500,000 bonus shares
-
707,840 restricted share units
-
707,028 deferred share units
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ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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You can find further details about these potentially issuable securities in the notes to the accompanying unaudited consolidated interim financial statements for the three months ended September 30, 2021.
XV. CAUTIONARY NOTES
CAUTIONARY NOTE TO UNITED STATES INVESTORS REGARDING PRESENTATION OF MINERAL RESERVE AND MINERAL RESOURCE ESTIMATES
This MD&A has been prepared in accordance with Canadian standards for reporting of mineral resource and mineral reserve estimates, which differ from the standards of United States securities laws. In particular, and without limiting the generality of the foregoing, the terms “mineral reserve”, “proven mineral reserve” “probable mineral reserve”, “inferred mineral resources,” “indicated mineral resources,” “measured mineral resources” and “mineral resources” used or referenced in this MD&A are Canadian mineral disclosure terms as defined in accordance with Canadian National Instrument 43-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects (“NI 43-101”) and the Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum (the “CIM”) — CIM Definition Standards on Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves, adopted by the CIM Council, as amended (the “CIM Definition Standards”). These definitions differ significantly from the definitions in Industry Guide 7 (“SEC Industry Guide 7”) under the U.S. Securities Act. Under U.S. standards, mineralization may not be classified as a “reserve” unless the determination has been made that the mineralization could be economically and legally produced or extracted at the time the reserve determination is made. Also, under SEC Industry Guide 7 standards, a “final” or “bankable” feasibility study is required to report reserves, the three-year historical average price is used in any reserve or cash flow analysis to designate reserves and the primary environmental analysis or report must be filed with the appropriate governmental authority.
In addition, the terms “mineral resource”, “measured mineral resource”, “indicated mineral resource” and “inferred mineral resource” are defined in and required
to be disclosed by NI 43-101; however, these terms are not defined terms under SEC Industry Guide 7 and are normally not permitted to be used in reports and registration statements filed with the SEC. Investors are cautioned not to assume that any part or all of the mineral deposits in these categories will ever be converted into reserves. “Inferred mineral resources” have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence and as to their economic and legal feasibility. It cannot be assumed that all or any part of an inferred mineral resource will ever be upgraded to a higher category. Under Canadian rules, estimates of inferred mineral resources may not form the basis of feasibility or prefeasibility studies, except in rare cases. Investors are cautioned not to assume that all or any part of an inferred mineral resource exists or is economically or legally mineable. Mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability. Disclosure of “contained ounces” in a resource is permitted disclosure under Canadian regulations; however, the SEC normally only permits issuers to report mineralization that does not constitute “reserves” by SEC standards as in place tonnage and grade without reference to unit measures. Accordingly, information contained in this Prospectus and the documents incorporated by reference herein that describes the Company’s mineral deposits may not be comparable to similar information made public by U.S. companies subject to reporting and disclosure requirements under the United States federal securities laws and the rules and regulations thereunder.
The SEC has adopted amendments to its disclosure rules to modernize the mineral property disclosure requirements for issuers whose securities are registered with the SEC under the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”). These amendments became effective February 25, 2019 (the “SEC Modernization Rules”) with compliance required for the first fiscal year beginning on or after January 1, 2021. Under the SEC Modernization Rules, the historical property disclosure requirements for mining registrants included in SEC Industry Guide 7 will be rescinded and replaced with disclosure requirements in subpart 1300 of SEC Regulation S-K. Following the transition period, as a foreign private issuer that is eligible to file reports with the SEC pursuant to the multi-jurisdictional disclosure system, the Company is not required to provide disclosure on its mineral properties under the SEC Modernization Rules and will continue to provide disclosure under NI 43-101 and the CIM Definition
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ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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Standards. If the Company ceases to be a foreign private issuer or lose its eligibility to file its annual report on Form 40-F pursuant to the multi-jurisdictional disclosure system, then the Company will be subject to the SEC Modernization Rules which differ from the requirements of NI 43-101.
As a result of the adoption of the SEC Modernization Rules, the SEC now recognizes estimates of “measured mineral resources”, “indicated mineral resources” and “inferred mineral resources.” In addition, the SEC has amended its definitions of “proven mineral reserves” and “probable mineral reserves” to be “substantially similar” to the corresponding CIM Definition Standards that are required under NI 43-101. While the SEC will now recognize “measured mineral resources”, “indicated mineral resources” and “inferred mineral resources”, U.S. investors should not assume that any part or all of the mineralization in these categories will ever be converted into a higher category of mineral resources or into mineral reserves. Mineralization described using these terms has a greater amount of uncertainty as to its existence and feasibility than mineralization that has been characterized as reserves. Accordingly, U.S. investors are cautioned not to assume that any measured mineral resources, indicated mineral resources, or inferred mineral resources that the Company reports are or will be economically or legally mineable. Further, “inferred mineral resources” have a greater amount of uncertainty as to their existence and as to whether they can be mined legally or economically. Therefore, U.S. investors are also cautioned not to assume that all or any part of the “inferred mineral resources” exist. Under Canadian securities laws, estimates of “inferred mineral resources” may not form the basis of feasibility or pre-feasibility studies, except in rare cases. While the above terms are “substantially similar” to CIM Definitions, there are differences in the definitions under the SEC Modernization Rules and the CIM Definition Standards. Accordingly, there is no assurance any mineral reserves or mineral resources that the Company may report as “proven mineral reserves”, “probable mineral reserves”, “measured mineral resources”, “indicated mineral resources” and “inferred mineral resources” under NI 43-101 would be the same had the Company prepared the reserve or resource estimates under the standards adopted under the SEC Modernization Rules.
CAUTIONARY NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION
This MD&A contains “forward-looking statements” or “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable securities legislation (collectively referred to herein as “forward-looking information” or “forwardlooking statements”). Forward-looking statements are included to provide information about management’s current expectations and plans that allows investors and others to get a better understanding of the Company’s operating environment, the business operations and financial performance and condition. Forward-looking information is provided as of the date of such documents only and the Company does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update this forwardlooking information, except as required by law.
Forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding planned exploration, development and construction programs and expenditures; the estimation of mineral resources and mineral reserves; feasibility and pre-feasibility studies and the economic results thereof, including but not limited to future production, costs and expenses; mine production plans; projected mining and process recovery rates; mining dilution assumptions; timeline for receipt of any required agreements, approvals or permits; sustaining costs and operating costs; interpretations and assumptions regarding joint venture and potential contract terms; closure costs and requirements; the expected additional material to be included in a future mine plan as a result of the Layback Agreement; terms of and ability to reach a subsequent agreement with Fresnillo to access the sulphide mineral resource at the Camino Rojo Project and obtaining regulatory approvals related thereto; expected timing of commissioning activities and production at the Camino Rojo Project; expectations on the potential extension of the expired mineral concessions with respect to the Cerro Quema Project; proposed exploration plans and expected results of exploration from each of the Cerro Quema Project and the Camino Rojo Project; Orla’s ability to obtain required mine licences, mine permits, required agreements with third parties and regulatory approvals required in connection with exploration plans and future mining and mineral processing operations, including but not limited to, necessary permitting required to implement expected future exploration plans; community and Ejido relations; availability of sufficient water for proposed operations; competition
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ORLA MINING LTD. Management’s Discussion and Analysis Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021
United States dollars unless otherwise stated
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for, among other things, capital, acquisitions of mineral reserves, undeveloped lands and skilled personnel; commodity prices and exchange rates; Orla’s outlook and milestones; currency and interest rate fluctuations and the ability to secure the required capital to conduct planned exploration programs, studies and construction and Orla’s development, objectives and strategies. Any statements that express or involve discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance (often, but not always, identified by words or phrases such as “expects”, “is expected”, “anticipates”, “believes”, “plans”, “projects”, “estimates”, “assumes”, “intends”, “strategy”, “goals”, “objectives”, “potential”, “possible” or variations thereof or stating that certain actions, events, conditions or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “should”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved (or the negative of any of these terms and similar expressions)) are not statements of fact and may be forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements are necessarily based upon a number of factors and assumptions that, if untrue, could cause actual results, performance, or achievements to be materially different from future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such statements. Forward-looking statements are based upon a number of estimates and assumptions that, while considered reasonable by the Company at this time, are inherently subject to significant business, economic and competitive uncertainties and contingencies that may cause the Company’s actual financial results, performance, or achievements to be materially different from those expressed or implied herein. Some of the material factors or assumptions used to develop forward-looking statements include, without limitation, the future price of gold, anticipated costs and the Company’s ability to fund its programs, the Company’s ability to carry on exploration and development activities, the Company’s ability to secure and to meet obligations under property agreements, including the Layback Agreement, that all conditions of the Company’s Project Loan will be met, the timing and results of drilling programs, the discovery of mineral resources and mineral reserves on the Company’s mineral properties, the obtaining of a subsequent agreement with Fresnillo to access the sulphide mineral resource at the Camino Rojo Project and develop the entire Camino Rojo Project mineral resources estimate, that political and legal developments will be consistent with current
expectations, the timely receipt of required approvals and permits, including those approvals and permits required for successful project permitting, construction and operation of projects, the costs of operating and exploration expenditures, the Company’s ability to operate in a safe, efficient and effective manner, the Company’s ability to obtain financing as and when required and on reasonable terms and that the Company’s activities will be in accordance with the Company’s public statements and stated goals, that there will be no material adverse change or disruptions affecting the Company or its properties and the impact of COVID-19 on the Company’s operations.
Forward-looking statements are subject to a variety of known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual events or results to differ from those expressed or implied. There can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Certain important factors that could cause actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, among others: (i) risks related to uncertainties inherent in the preparation of feasibility and pre-feasibility studies, including but not limited to, assumptions underlying the production estimates not being realized, changes to the cost of production, variations in quantity of mineralized material, grade or recovery rates, geotechnical or hydrogeological considerations during mining differing from what has been assumed, failure of plant, equipment or processes, changes to availability of power or the power rates, ability to maintain social license, changes to exchange, interest or tax rates, cost of labour, supplies, fuel and equipment rising, changes in project parameters, delays and costs inherent to consulting and accommodating rights of local communities; (ii) title risks; (iii) risks that the interpreted drill results may not accurately represent the actual continuity of geology or grade of the deposit, bulk density measurements may not be representative, interpreted and modelled metallurgical domains may not be representative, and metallurgical recoveries may not be representative; (iv) access to additional capital; (v) uncertainty and variations in the estimation of mineral resources and mineral reserves; (vi) delays in or failure to enter into a subsequent agreement with Fresnillo with respect to the sulphide mineral resource at the Camino Rojo Project and to obtain the necessary regulatory approvals related thereto; (vii) health, safety and
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environmental risks; (viii) success of exploration, development and operation activities; (ix) risks relating to foreign operations and expropriation or nationalization of mining operations; (x) delays in obtaining or the failure to obtain governmental permits, or non-compliance with permits; (xi) delays in obtaining access from surface rights owners; (xii) uncertainty in estimates of production, capital and operating costs and potential production and cost overruns; (xiii) the impact of Panamanian or Mexican laws regarding foreign investment; (xiv) the fluctuating price of gold and silver and exchange rates; (xv) assessments by taxation authorities in multiple jurisdictions; (xvi) uncertainties related to titles to mineral properties; (xvii) the Company’s ability to identify, complete and successfully integrate acquisitions; (xviii) volatility in the market price of the Company’s securities; (xix) risks relating to the effects of COVID-19 on the Company; and (XXX) risks associated with executing the Company’s objectives and strategies.
This list is not exhaustive of the factors that may affect any of the Company’s forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes its expectations are based upon reasonable assumptions and have attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual actions, events, or results to differ materially from those described in forward-looking statements, there may be other factors that cause actions, events or results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. See the section entitled “Risk Factors” below, and in the section entitled “Risk Factors” in the Company’s annual information form dated as of March 19, 2021, for the financial year ended December 31, 2020 (the “Annual Information Form”), for additional risk factors that could cause results to differ materially from forward-looking statements.
Investors are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements contained herein are made as of the date of this MD&A only and, accordingly, are subject to change after such date. The Company disclaims any intent or obligation to update publicly or otherwise revise any forward-looking statements or the foregoing list of assumptions or factors, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except in accordance with applicable securities laws. Investors are urged to read the Company’s filings with Canadian securities regulatory agencies, which can be viewed online under the Company’s profile on the System for
Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval (“SEDAR”) at www.sedar.com and the Company’s documents filed with, or furnished to, the SEC, which are available through the SEC’s Electronic Data Gathering and Retrieval System (“EDGAR”) at www.sec.gov.
XVI. RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES
As the Company has not commenced principal operations, historical revenue and expenditure trends are not indicative of future activity. The Company has committed to certain work expenditures and may enter into future agreements. The ability of the Company to fund its future operations and commitments is dependent on its ability to generate revenue and to obtain additional financing. Risks of the Company’s business include the following:
OUR ACTIVITIES MAY BE ADVERSELY AFFECTED BY NATURAL DISASTERS, TERRORIST ACTS, HEALTH CRISES AND OTHER DISRUPTIONS AND DISLOCATIONS, INCLUDING BY THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC, WHETHER THOSE EFFECTS ARE LOCAL, NATIONWIDE, OR GLOBAL
Upon the occurrence of a natural disaster, pandemic or upon an incident of war, riot or civil unrest, the impacted country, and the overall global economy, may not efficiently and quickly recover from such an event, which could have a material adverse effect on the Company. Terrorist attacks, public health crises including epidemics, pandemics or outbreaks of new infectious diseases or viruses, and related events can result in volatility and disruption to global supply chains, operations, mobility of people, patterns of consumption and service and the financial markets, which could affect interest rates, credit ratings, credit risk, inflation, business, financial conditions, results of operations and other factors relevant to the Company.
Global markets have been adversely impacted by emerging infectious diseases and/or the threat of outbreaks of viruses, other contagions, or epidemic diseases, including COVID-19. A significant outbreak could result in a widespread crisis that could adversely
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affect the economies and financial and commodity markets of many countries, resulting in an economic downturn which could adversely affect the Company’s business and the market price of the Company’s common shares. Many industries, including the mining industry, have been impacted by these market conditions. If increased levels of volatility continue or in the event of a rapid destabilization of global economic conditions, it may result in a material adverse effect on commodity prices, demand for metals, availability of credit, investor confidence, and general financial market liquidity, all of which may adversely affect the Company’s business and the market price of the Company’s securities. In addition, there may not be an adequate response to emerging infectious diseases, or significant restrictions may be imposed by a government, either of which may impact mining operations. There are potentially significant economic and social impacts, including labour shortages and shutdowns, delays and disruption in supply chains, social unrest, government or regulatory actions or inactions, including quarantines, travel restrictions, declaration of national emergencies, permanent changes in taxation or policies, decreased demand or the inability to sell and deliver doré or concentrates and resulting commodities, declines in the price of commodities, delays in permitting or approvals, suspensions or mandated shut downs of operations, governmental disruptions or other unknown events with potentially significant impacts. At this time, the Company cannot accurately predict what effects these conditions will have on its operations or financial results, including due to uncertainties relating to the ultimate geographic spread, the duration of the outbreak, and the length restrictions or responses that have been or may be imposed by the governments. Given the global nature of the Company’s operations, the Company may not be able to accurately predict which operations will be impacted. Any outbreak or threat of an outbreak of a contagions or epidemic disease could have a material adverse effect on the Company, its business and operational results.
THE CAMINO ROJO PROJECT MINERAL RESOURCE ESTIMATE ASSUMES THAT THE COMPANY CAN ACCESS MINERAL TITLES AND LANDS THAT ARE NOT CONTROLLED BY THE COMPANY
All of the mineralization comprised in the Company’s mineral resource estimates with respect to the Camino Rojo Project is contained on mineral titles controlled by the Company. However, the mineral resource estimate assumes that the north wall of the conceptual floating pit cone used to demonstrate reasonable prospects for eventual economic extraction extends onto lands where mineral title is held by Fresnillo, and that waste would be mined on Fresnillo’s mineral titles. On December 21, 2020, Orla announced that it had entered into the Layback Agreement. The Layback Agreement allows Orla to expand the Camino Rojo Project oxide pit onto part of Fresnillo’s mineral concession located immediately north of Orla’s property.
The Layback Agreement is only with respect to the portion of the heap leach material included in the current mineral reserve. As such, any potential development of the Camino Rojo Project that includes an open pit encompassing the entire mineral resource estimate would be dependent on an additional agreement with Fresnillo (or any potential subsequent owner of the mineral titles). It is estimated that approximately two-thirds of the mill resource estimate and one-quarter of the leach resource estimate comprising the mineral resource estimate are dependent on this additional agreement being entered into with Fresnillo. The leach mineral resource dependent on the additional agreement is mainly comprised of less oxidized transitional material with the lowest predicted heap-leach recoveries.
Delays in, or failure to obtain, an additional agreement with Fresnillo would affect the development of a significant portion of the mineral resources of the Camino Rojo property that are not included in the January 2021 Feasibility Study mine plan, in particular by limiting access to significant mineralized material at depth. There can be no assurance that Orla will be able to negotiate such additional agreement on terms that are satisfactory to Orla and Fresnillo or that there will not be delays in obtaining the necessary additional agreement. Should such a subsequent agreement to access the mineral resource with Fresnillo not be obtained on favourable terms, the economics of any
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potential mine development using the full mineral resource estimate would be significantly negatively impacted.
THE LAYBACK AGREEMENT REMAINS SUBJECT TO THE TRANSFER OF CERTAIN SURFACE RIGHTS PURSUANT TO THE LAYBACK AGREEMENT
As contemplated in the January 2021 Feasibility Study, the Layback Agreement allows access to oxide and transitional heap leachable mineral resources on Orla’s property at depth. In addition, the Layback Agreement grants Orla the right to mine from Fresnillo’s mineral concession, and recover for Orla’s account, all oxide and transitional material amenable to heap leaching that are within an expanded open pit. In the January 2021 Feasibility Study, all material to be mined on Fresnillo’s concession is classified as waste. Upon the completion of a confirmatory drill program on Fresnillo concessions by Orla, and integration of Fresnillo’s drill database, a subsequent mineral reserve update is expected which would include all economic oxide and transitional material from the expanded pit. The Layback Agreement remains subject to the transfer of certain surface rights. Delays in, or failure to obtain, the transfer of certain surface rights pursuant to the Layback Agreement could affect the timetable or cost of development of the potential mine modelled in the Feasibility Study.
MINERAL RESOURCE ESTIMATIONS FOR THE CAMINO ROJO PROJECT ARE ONLY ESTIMATES AND RELY ON CERTAIN ASSUMPTIONS
The estimation of mineral resources relies on the judgment of the independent Qualified Person preparing the estimates. The process relies on the quantity and quality of available data and is based on knowledge, mining experience, analysis of drilling results and industry practices. Valid estimates made at a given time may significantly change when new information becomes available.
resource included in the mineral resource estimate. While the Company believes that the mineral resource estimates for the Camino Rojo Project are well established and reflect best estimates, by their nature resource estimates are imprecise and depend on inferences that may ultimately prove to be inaccurate, including the assumption that an additional agreement with Fresnillo will be reached.
Although all mineralization included in the Company’s mineral resource estimate for the Camino Rojo Project are located on mineral concessions controlled by the Company, failure to reach an additional agreement with Fresnillo would result in a significant reduction of the mineral resource estimate by limiting access to mineral resources below the current mineral reserves. Any material changes in mineral resource estimates may have a material adverse effect on the Company.
NEGATIVE OPERATING CASH FLOW
The Company is an exploration and development stage company and has not generated cash flow from operations. The Company is devoting significant resources to the development of the Camino Rojo Project, the Cerro Quema Project and to actively pursue exploration and development opportunities, however, there can be no assurance that it will generate positive cash flow from operations in the future. The Company expects to continue to incur negative consolidated operating cash flow and losses until such time as it achieves commercial production at a particular project. Historically the Company’s primary source of funding has been the issuance of equity securities for cash, typically through private placements to sophisticated investors and institutions. The Company has successfully raised equity and debt financing in many of the past few years, in the form of private placement financings, the exercise of warrants and options, and negotiation of the Project Loan. While the Company believes that success will continue, its access to exploration and construction financing is always uncertain, and there can be no assurance of continued access to significant equity or debt funding. The Company currently has negative cash flow from operating activities.
In particular, the estimation of mineral resources for the Camino Rojo Project has assumed that there is a reasonable prospect for reaching an additional agreement with Fresnillo with respect to the mill
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PERMITS AND LICENSES
The exploitation and development of mineral properties may require the Company to obtain regulatory or other permits and licenses from various governmental licensing bodies. There can be no assurance that the Company will be able to obtain all necessary permits and licenses that may be required to carry out exploration, development, and mining operations on its properties.
The Company is awaiting mineral concession renewals at its Cerro Quema Project. There is no assurance that we will receive necessary approvals or extensions, or receive them within a reasonable period of time. Failure to receive the permits or extensions would have an adverse effect on the Company’s business, financial position, and results of operations. Additional details are provided in the Cerro Quema Project section of this document.
FOREIGN COUNTRY AND POLITICAL RISK
The Company’s principal mineral properties are located in Mexico and Panama. The Company is subject to certain risks, including currency fluctuations, possible political or economic instability that may result in the impairment or loss of mineral titles or other mineral rights, opposition from environmental or other nongovernmental organizations, and mineral exploration and mining activities may be affected in varying degrees by political stability and government regulations relating to the mining industry. Any changes in regulations or shifts in political attitudes are beyond the control of the Company and may adversely affect its business. Exploration and development may be affected in varying degrees by government regulations with respect to restrictions on future exploitation and production, price controls, export controls, foreign exchange controls, income taxes, royalties on production, expropriation of property, environmental legislation, and mine and/or site safety.
Operating in developing economies such as Mexico and Panama has certain risks, including changes to, or invalidation of, government mining regulations; expropriation or revocation of land or property rights; changes in foreign ownership rights; changes in foreign taxation rates; security issues; corruption; uncertain political climate; narco-terrorist actions or activities; and lack of a stable economic climate.
We do not carry political risk insurance.
ESTIMATES OF MINERAL RESOURCES & MINERAL RESERVES AND PRODUCTION RISKS
The mineral resource and mineral reserve estimates included in this MD&A are estimates based on a number of assumptions, including those stated herein, and any adverse change to those assumptions could require the Company to lower its mineral resource estimate. Until a deposit is actually mined and processed, the quantity and grades of mineral resources must be considered as estimates only. Valid estimates made at a given time may significantly change when new information becomes available. In addition, the quantity and/or economic viability of mineral resources may vary depending on, among other things, metal prices, grades, production costs, stripping ratios, recovery rates, permit regulations and other legal requirements, environmental factors, unforeseen technical difficulties, unusual or unexpected geological formations and work interruptions. Any material change in the quantity of mineral resources or grade may affect the economic viability of the Company’s properties. No assurance can be given that any particular level of recovery of minerals will in fact be realized or that an identified mineral resource will ever qualify as a commercially mineable (or viable) deposit that can be legally and economically exploited. There can also be no assurance that any discoveries of new mineral reserves will be made. Any material reductions in estimates of mineral resources could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s results of operations and financial condition.
MINING INDUSTRY
The exploration for and development of mineral deposits involves significant risks, which even a combination of careful evaluation, experience and knowledge may not eliminate. While the discovery of an ore body may result in substantial rewards, few properties which are explored are ultimately developed into producing mines. Major expenses may be required to establish ore reserves, to develop metallurgical processes and to construct mining and processing facilities at a particular site. It is impossible to ensure that the current exploration programs planned by the
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Company will result in a profitable commercial mining operation.
Whether a mineral deposit will be commercially viable depends on many factors, some of which are the particular attributes of the deposit, such as size, grade, and proximity to infrastructure, as well as metal prices which are highly cyclical and government regulations, including regulations relating to prices, taxes, royalties, land tenure, land use, importing and exporting of minerals and environmental protection. The exact effect of these factors cannot be accurately predicted, but the combination of these factors may result in the Company not receiving an adequate return on invested capital.
Mining operations generally involve a high degree of risk. The Company’s operations are subject to all the hazards and risks normally encountered in the exploration and development of ore, including unusual and unexpected geological formations, rock bursts, cave-ins, flooding, and other conditions involved in the drilling and removal of material, any of which could result in damage to life or property, environmental damage, and possible legal liability. The Company’s mineral exploration activities are directed towards the search, evaluation, and development of mineral deposits. There is no certainty that the expenditures to be made by the Company as described herein will result in discoveries of commercial quantities of ore. There is aggressive competition within the mining industry for the discovery and acquisition of properties considered to have commercial potential. The Company will compete with other interests, many of which with greater financial resources, for the opportunity to participate in promising projects. Significant capital investment is required to achieve commercial production from successful exploration efforts.
GOVERNMENT REGULATION
The exploration activities of the Company are subject to various federal, provincial/state, and local laws governing prospecting, development, taxes, labour standards, toxic substances, and other matters. Exploration activities are also subject to various federal, provincial/state, and local laws and regulations relating to the protection of the environment. These laws mandate, among other things, the maintenance of air and water quality standards, and land reclamation. These laws also set forth limitations on the generation,
transportation, storage, and disposal of solid and hazardous waste. Although the Company’s exploration activities are currently carried out in accordance with all applicable rules and regulations governing operations and exploration activities, no assurance can be given that new rules and regulations, amendments to current laws and regulations or more stringent implementation thereof could have a substantial adverse impact on the Company’s activities.
TITLE MATTERS
Although the Company has diligently investigated title to all mineral concessions (either granted or under reapplication) and, to the best of its knowledge (except as otherwise disclosed herein), titles to all its properties are in good standing, this should not be construed as a guarantee of title. Other parties may dispute title to any of the Company’s mineral properties and any of the Company’s properties may be subject to prior unregistered agreements or transfers and title may be affected by undetected encumbrances or defects or governmental actions.
LAND TITLE
The Company has investigated ownership of all surface rights in which it has an interest, and, to the best of its knowledge, its ownership rights are in good standing. However, all surface rights may be subject to prior claims or agreement transfers, and rights of ownership may be affected by undetected defects. While to the best of the Company's knowledge, titles to all surface rights are in good standing; however, this should not be construed as a guarantee of title. Other parties may dispute title to the surface rights in which the Company has an interest. The properties may be subject to prior unregistered agreements or transfers and titles may be affected by undetected defects.
ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS AND HAZARDS
All phases of the Company’s mineral exploration operations are subject to environmental regulation in the various jurisdictions in which it operates. Environmental legislation is evolving in a manner which will require stricter standards and enforcement, increased fines and penalties for non-compliance, more
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stringent environmental assessments of proposed projects and a heightened degree of responsibility for companies and their officers, directors, and employees. There is no assurance that future changes in environmental regulations, laws, and permits, if any, will not adversely affect the Company’s operations. Environmental hazards may exist on the properties on which the Company holds interests which are unknown to the Company at present, which have been caused by previous or existing owners or operators of the properties. The Company may become liable for such environmental hazards caused by previous owners and operators of the properties even where it has attempted to contractually limit its liability.
Government approvals and permits are currently, and may in the future be, required in connection with the Company’s operations. To the extent such approvals are required and not obtained; the Company may be curtailed or prohibited from proceeding with planned exploration or development of mineral properties.
Failure to comply with applicable laws, regulations and permitting requirements may result in enforcement actions thereunder, including orders issued by regulatory or judicial authorities causing operations to cease or be curtailed, and may include corrective measures requiring capital expenditures, installation of additional equipment, or remedial actions. Parties engaged in mining operations may be required to compensate those suffering loss or damage by reason of the mining activities and may have civil or criminal fines or penalties imposed for violations of applicable laws or regulations.
COMMODITY PRICES
The profitability of mining operations is significantly affected by changes in the market price of gold and other minerals. The level of interest rates, the rate of inflation, world supply of these minerals and stability of exchange rates can all cause significant fluctuations in metal prices. Such external economic factors are in turn influenced by changes in international investment patterns and monetary systems and political developments. The price of gold and other minerals has fluctuated widely in recent years, and future serious price declines could cause commercial production to be impracticable.
UNINSURED RISKS
The Company carries insurance to protect against certain risks in such amounts as it considers adequate. Risks not insured against include environmental pollution or other hazards against which such corporations cannot insure or against which they may elect not to insure.
COMPLIANCE WITH ANTI-CORRUPTION LAWS
Orla is subject to various anti-corruption laws and regulations including, but not limited to, the Corruption of Foreign Public Officials Act (1999). In general, these laws prohibit a company and its employees and intermediaries from bribing or making other prohibited payments to foreign officials or other persons to obtain or retain business or gain some other business advantage. The Company’s primary operations are in jurisdictions which have been perceived as having fairly high levels of corruption. Orla cannot predict the nature, scope, or effect of future anti- corruption regulatory requirements to which the Company’s operations might be subject or the manner in which existing laws might be administered or interpreted.
Failure to comply with the applicable legislation and other similar foreign laws could expose the Company and/or its senior management to civil and/or criminal penalties, other sanctions and remedial measures, legal expenses, and reputational damage, all of which could materially and adversely affect the Company’s business, financial condition, and results of operations. Likewise, any investigation of any potential violations of the applicable anti-corruption legislation by Canadian or foreign authorities could also have an adverse impact on the Company’s business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Because of these legal and regulatory requirements, the Company has instituted policies regarding business ethics, which have been designed to ensure that Orla and its employees comply with applicable anticorruption laws and regulations. However, there can be no assurance or guarantee that such efforts have been and will be completely effective in ensuring the Company’s compliance, and the compliance of its employees, consultants, contractors, and other agents, with all applicable anticorruption laws and regulations.
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ORLA MINING LTD.
CONFLICTS OF INTEREST
Certain directors of the Company also serve as directors and/or officers of other companies involved in natural resource exploration and development. Consequently, there exists the possibility for such directors to be in a position of conflict. Any decision made by such directors involving the Company will be made in accordance with
their duties and obligations to deal fairly and in good faith with the Company and such other companies. In addition, such directors will declare, and refrain from voting on, any matter in which such directors may have a conflict of interest.
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