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Orkla ASA Investor Presentation 2020

Feb 11, 2021

3703_rns_2021-02-11_1885e968-1242-4999-8515-e1e0a99cbc16.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Fourth quarter results 2020

11 February 2021

Jaan Ivar Semlitsch, President & CEO

Disclaimer

This presentation has been prepared by Orkla ASA (the "Company") solely for information purposes. The presentation does not constitute an invitation or offer to acquire, purchase or subscribe for securities.

Certain statements included in this presentation contain various forward-looking statements that reflect management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance. The words "believe," "expect," "anticipate," "intend," "may," "plan," "estimate," "should," "could," "aim," "target," "might," or, in each case, their negative, or similar expressions identify certain of these forward-looking statements. Others can be identified from the context in which the statements are made. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, these forward-looking statements are based on a number of assumptions and forecasts that, by their nature, involve risk and uncertainty. Various factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from those projected in a forward-looking statement or affect the extent to which a particular projection is realized. Factors that could cause these differences include but are not limited to the Company's ability to operate profitably, maintain its competitive position, to promote and improve its reputation and the awareness of the brands in its portfolio, to successfully operate its growth strategy and the impact of changes in pricing policies, political and regulatory developments in the markets in which the Company operates, and other risks.

The information and opinions contained in this document are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice.

No representation or warranty (expressed or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. Accordingly, neither the Company nor its subsidiary undertakings or any of such person's officers or employees accepts any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document.

Entering 2021 with cautious optimism

  • We have delivered on our immediate priorities during the Covid-19 pandemic
  • Supported long-term growth plans
  • Our work on the sustainability agenda has been recognized externally

We have navigated through Covid-19 with satisfactory performance

  • EBIT (adj.) for Branded Consumer Goods incl. HQ improved by 7% (+14% full-year 2020)
  • Covid-related restrictions reimposed in several markets
  • Strong results from Jotun
  • Adjusted EPS* increased by +13% to NOK 1.43 in Q4 (+19% to NOK 5.04 for full-year 2020)
  • The Board intends to propose a dividend of NOK 2.75 per share

Jotun – a fast growing global market leading Paints & Coatings company

Financial performance

Harald Ullevoldsæter, CFO

Adj. EPS +13% from profit growth in Branded Consumer Goods and Jotun

Key figures Q4-20 Q4-19 ∆ Q4
Operating revenues BCG 12,443 11,778 +6%
EBIT (adj.) BCG 1,648 1,551 +6%
EBIT (adj.)
HQ
-102 -112
EBIT (adj.) BCG incl.
HQ
1,546 1,439 +7%
EBIT (adj.) Orkla Industrial & Financial Investments 27 76 -64%
Other income and expenses -468 -136
EBIT 1,105 1,379 -20%
Profit from associates 225 147 +53%
Net interest and other financial items -40 -39
Profit before tax 1,290 1,487 -13%
Taxes -141 -218
Profit after tax 1,149 1,269 -9%
Adjusted EPS cont. operations (NOK) 1.43 1.27 +13%
Reported EPS cont. operations
(NOK)
1.14 1.28 -11%

7

ERP projects more complex and time-consuming than anticipated

2017

More than 30 different ERP systems in BCG and many were close to "end of support"

Preparing for digitalization and "One Orkla"

Decision to build a template based on SAP S4 Hana with common master data to implement in most of BCG and another template for Food Ingredients based on MS Dynamics

Today

Significantly more demanding and time consuming to build these templates, but they are now completed and up-and-running

Delays as a result of high complexity and Covid-19

SAP S4 Hana implemented in the pilot (Orkla Health Norway) and in Orkla Foods Sweden. MS Dynamics implemented in several Food Ingredients companies

The road ahead

SAP will extend the support period for "older" solutions Gradual implementation over the next 7-8 years Minimize implementation and operating costs

Strong cash flow from higher earnings

Cash flow from operations per 31.12 (pre-tax) YTD Q4-20 YTD Q4-19
Orkla Branded Consumer Goods (BCG, incl. HQ)
EBIT (adj.) 5,440 4,786
Amortisation and
depreciation
1,783 1,581
Change in net
working capital
670 812
Net replacement investments -2,251 -1,931
Total BCG cash from operations (pre OIE) 5,642 5,248
Cash flow from other income & exp. and pensions -291 -450
Industrial & Financial Investments 87 135
Total Orkla cash flow from operations 5,438 4,933

Investment level in 2020 reflects run rate maintenance level, ongoing ERP investments and expansion projects

Capex split 2020 (2.7 BNOK) Total net capex ~5.9% of revenues

  • Net maintenance capex excl. ERP (inc. leasing): ~4% in 2020
  • Building future ERP platforms ~1% in 2020
  • Expansion capex ~1% in 2020

Expected maintenance capex in % of revenues*

  • 2021-2022: ~5-6%
  • From 2023 onwards: ~4%

*excl. expansion capex

Continued strong balance sheet and financial flexibility after dividend payment and structural growth

Branded Consumer Goods

Branded Consumer Goods Q4-20:

Top line growth of ~6% from currency translation effects and organic growth

BCG revenue, Q4-19Q4-20 (MNOK)

Branded Consumer Goods Q4-20:

Care and Consumer Investments drive improvement in organic growth

14 All Alternative Performance Measures (APM) are presented in the appendix. 1Adjusted for loss of Wrigley distribution agreement. 2Based on new reporting structure

Branded Consumer Goods incl. HQ: Profit and margin growth

Underlying margin R12M Q4-19 M&A and FX R12M Q4-20

Orkla Foods

Improved results from organic growth and increased productivity

Q4-20 YTD Q4-20
Revenues 4,871 18,301
Organic growth 1.7% 3.7%
EBIT (adj.) 817 2,641
EBIT (adj.) growth 11.3% 16.0%
EBIT (adj.) margin 16.8% 14.4%
Change
vs LY
1.1%-p 0.8%-p
  • Organic sales growth in Q4 mainly driven by Nordic markets and India
  • Continued positive impact on grocery sales from Covid-19 partly offset by lower sales to Out of home channels
  • Reported EBIT positively impacted by revenue management and improved productivity, as well as positive currency translation effects

16

Orkla Confectionery & Snacks

Negative organic growth driven by phasing of sales between quarters

Q4-20 YTD Q4-20
Revenues 2,062 7,171
Organic growth -1.6% 2.0%
EBIT (adj.) 421 1,203
EBIT (adj.) growth 5.8% 10.0%
EBIT (adj.) margin 20.4% 16.8%
Change
vs LY
0.4%-p 0.3%-p
  • Good market growth in Nordic grocery continued low demand in the Baltics
  • Sales decline related to timing of seasonal sales and de-stocking in trade due to removal of excise tax in Norway
  • Positive contribution from cost improvement programs

Orkla Care Strong market growth in many Care categories

Q4-20 YTD Q4-20
Revenues 1,822 6,905
Organic growth 8.7% 9.2%
EBIT (adj.) 203 1,019
EBIT (adj.) growth -1.0% 19.2%
EBIT (adj.) margin 11.1% 14.8%
Change
vs LY
-2.0%-p 0.3%-p
  • Strong growth for HSNG and health categories
  • Strong market growth in many Care categories
  • Profit margin weakened by increased A&P spend and fixed cost accruals

Orkla Food Ingredients

Growth hampered by reinforced Covid-19 restrictions in Out of home

Q4-20 YTD Q4-20
Revenues 2,834 10,696
Organic growth -4.3% -5.9%
EBIT (adj.) 135 500
EBIT (adj.) growth -20.1% -20.1%
EBIT (adj.) margin 4.8% 4.7%
Change
vs LY
-1.3%-p -1.4%-p
  • Negative impact on Out of home consumption from reinforced Covid-19 restrictions in several markets
  • EBIT (adj.) decline related to lower sales volumes, partly offset by profit protection measures, M&A and FX
  • Still uncertainty about Q1/Q2 '21 performance depending on level of Covid-19 restrictions

Orkla Consumer Investments

Broad based topline growth from continued high home improvement activity and record pizza restaurant chain sales in Finland

Q4-20 YTD Q4-20
Revenues 969 3,847
Organic growth 12.8% 2.1%
EBIT (adj.) 72 404
EBIT (adj.) growth 60% 36%
EBIT (adj.) margin 7.4% 10.5%
Change
vs LY
2.2%-p 1.7%-p
  • High home improvement activity contributed to double digit sales growth of painting tools across markets
  • Kotipizza restaurant sales growth of 20% in the quarter. Organic growth offset by wholesale sales to external customers
  • Strong profit conversion and margin improvement, partly from weak comparables

Current status for financial targets from Capital Markets Day 2018

21 *Target applicable to new reporting unit "BCG including HQ". **Figures include Orkla's Branded Consumer Goods businesses including HQ

Orkla Industrial & Financial Investments Power prices significantly lower

Hydro Power Fully consolidated into Orkla's financial statements

Volume (GWh): Q4: 702 (534) YTD: 2,884 (2,156) Power prices1 (øre/KWh): Q4: 13.6 (39.3) YTD: 9.8 (38.7) EBIT adj. (NOK million): Q4: 25 (72) YTD: 42 (292)

Financial Investments

Fully consolidated into Orkla's financial statements

Book value real estate: NOK 1.8 billion

Orkla Industrial & Financial Investments - Jotun (42.6%) Record results and continued topline growth

Jotun 100% basis Q4-20
Revenues 5,273
Growth 3.6%
EBITA 626
EBITA
growth
107%
EBITA
margin
11.9%
Change
vs LY
5.9%-p
Orkla share (42.6%) of net profit 220

  • Continued growth driven by Decorative, Protective and Powder segments. Slowdown in Marine coatings
  • Mixed Covid-19 effects between markets
  • Strong profit and margin growth helped by favorable raw material prices and good cost control
  • Outlook uncertainty

Closing remarks

We have navigated through Covid-19 crisis with satisfactory performance

Summary Q4-20 Outlook

  • EBIT (adj.) for Branded Consumer Goods incl. HQ improved by 7%
  • Covid-related restrictions reimposed in several markets
  • Strong results from Jotun
  • Adjusted EPS* increased by +13% to NOK 1.43
  • The Board intends to propose a dividend of NOK 2.75 per share
  • Agile approach to changes in consumer trends and preferences
  • Support long term growth plans and execute on strategic M&A
  • Closing of acquisition of Eastern still pending
  • Cautiously optimistic, but uncertainty continues

Q&A

Jaan Ivar Semlitsch, President & CEO Harald Ullevoldsæter, CFO

Save the date Orkla Capital Markets Day 23 November 2021

Appendices

Alternative Performance Measures (APM)

Organic growth

Organic growth shows like-for-like turnover growth for the Group's business portfolio and is defined as the Group's reported change in operating revenues adjusted for effects of the purchase and sale of companies and currency effects. In the calculation of organic growth, acquired companies will be excluded 12 months after the transaction date. Sold companies will be excluded pro forma 12 months prior to the transaction date. Currency effects are neutralised by translating this year's turnover at last year's exchange rates.

Organic growth is included in segment information and used to identify and analyse the turnover growth in the existing business portfolio. Organic growth provides an important picture of the Group's ability to carry out innovation, product development, correct pricing and brand-building.

EBIT (adj.)

EBIT (adj.) shows the Group's current operating profit before items that require special explanation, and is defined as reported operating profit or loss before "Other income and expenses" (OIE). These include M&A costs, restructuring or integration expenses, any major gains and write-downs on both tangible and intangible assets, and other items that only to a limited degree are reliable measures of the Group's current profitability. EBIT (adj.) margin and growth are derived figures calculated in relation to operating revenues.

EBIT (adj.) is one of the Group's key financial figures, internally and externally. The figure is used to identify and analyse the Group's profitability from normal operations and operating activities. Adjustment for items in OIE which to a limited degree are reliable measures of the Group's current operating profit or loss increases the comparability of profitability over time.

Change in underlying EBIT (adj.)

Change in underlying EBIT (adj.) shows like-for-like EBIT (adj.) growth for the Group's business portfolio and is defined as the Group's reported change in EBIT (adj.) adjusted for effects of the purchase and sale of companies and currency effects. In calculating the change in underlying EBIT (adj.), acquired companies will be included pro forma 12 months before the transaction date. Sold companies will be excluded pro forma 12 months prior to the transaction date. Currency effects are neutralised by calculating this year's EBIT (adj.) at last year's currency exchange rates. Underlying EBIT (adj.) margin and change therein are derived figures calculated in relation to operating revenues.

Underlying EBIT (adj.) growth is used for internal management purposes, including for identifying and analysing underlying profitability growth in the existing business portfolio, and provides a picture of the Group's ability to develop growth and improve profitability in the existing business. The measure is important because it shows the change in profitability on a comparable structure over time.

Alternative Performance Measures (APM)

Earnings per share (adj.)

Earnings per share (adj.) show earnings per share adjusted for other income and expenses (OIE) after estimated tax. Items included in OIE are specified in Note 3. The effective tax rate for OIE is lower than the Group's tax rate in both 2020 and 2019 due to non-deductible transaction costs, write-downs and the effect on profit or loss of the purchase of the remaining shares in Orchard Valley Foods in 2020.

If other items of a special nature occur under the company's operating profit or loss, adjustments will also be made for these items. As at 31 December 2020, an adjustment was made for gains on the sales of the associates Andersen & Mørck and Allkärrsplans Utvecklings AB. In 2019 an adjustment was made for the sale of the joint venture Oslo Business Park. Adjustments were made in both 2020 and 2019 for the reversal of a provision for tax related to operations outside Norway.

Net replacement and expansion investments

When making decisions regarding investments, the Group distinguishes between replacement and expansion investments. Expansion investments are the part of overall reported investments considered to be investments in either new geographical markets or new categories, or which represent significant increases in capacity.

Net replacement investments include new leases, and are reduced by the value of sold fixed assets to sales value.

The purpose of this distinction is to show how large a part of the investments (replacement) mainly concerns maintenance of existing operations and how large a part of the investments (expansion) is investments which must be expected to generate increased contributions to profit in future, exceeding expectations of normal operations.

Net interest-bearing liabilities

Net interest-bearing liabilities are the sum of the Group's interest-bearing liabilities and interest-bearing receivables. Interest-bearing liabilities include bonded loans, bank loans, other loans, lease liabilities and interest-bearing derivatives. Interest-bearing receivables include liquid assets, interest-bearing derivatives and other interest-bearing receivables.

Net interest-bearing liabilities are the Group's primary management parameter for financing and capital allocation, and is used actively in the Group's financial risk management strategy. The statement of cash flows (Orkla format) therefore shows the change in net interest-bearing liabilities at Group level.

Structure (acquired and sold companies)

Structural growth includes adjustments for the acquisition of the businesses Lecora, Easyfood, Confection by Design, Win Equipment, Norgesplaster, Risberg, Kanakis, Credin Sverige, Vamo, Kotipizza, Anza Verimex, Helga, Havrefras and Gortrush. Adjustments have been made for the sale of Glyngøre, SaritaS, Vestlandslefsa, Gorm's and the closure of Pierre Robert Sverige. Adjustments have also been made for the loss of the distribution agreements with Panzani and OTA Solgryn. In addition, adjustments were made in 2019 for HSNG, Struer, County Confectionery, Werner, Igos, Gorm's and the sale of Mrs. Cheng's. A structural adjustment was made at business area level for the internal relocation of Frödinge.

Strong balance sheet and financial flexibility

Funding sources and maturity profile