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Orkla ASA — Investor Presentation 2021
Apr 29, 2021
3703_rns_2021-04-29_6702ae70-c0e6-41af-b098-b3fbea218796.pdf
Investor Presentation
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First quarter results 2021
29 April 2021
Jaan Ivar Semlitsch, President & CEO
Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by Orkla ASA (the "Company") solely for information purposes. The presentation does not constitute an invitation or offer to acquire, purchase or subscribe for securities.
Certain statements included in this presentation contain various forward-looking statements that reflect management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance. The words "believe," "expect," "anticipate," "intend," "may," "plan," "estimate," "should," "could," "aim," "target," "might," or, in each case, their negative, or similar expressions identify certain of these forward-looking statements. Others can be identified from the context in which the statements are made. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, these forward-looking statements are based on a number of assumptions and forecasts that, by their nature, involve risk and uncertainty. Various factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from those projected in a forward-looking statement or affect the extent to which a particular projection is realized. Factors that could cause these differences include but are not limited to the Company's ability to operate profitably, maintain its competitive position, to promote and improve its reputation and the awareness of the brands in its portfolio, to successfully operate its growth strategy and the impact of changes in pricing policies, political and regulatory developments in the markets in which the Company operates, and other risks.
The information and opinions contained in this document are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice.
No representation or warranty (expressed or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. Accordingly, neither the Company nor its subsidiary undertakings or any of such person's officers or employees accepts any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document.
Highlights for the quarter
- Impact of Covid-19 still significant
- Organic growth and margin improvement for Branded Consumer Goods
- Indication of recovery for Orkla Food Ingredients
- Important delivery on structural agenda
Solid first quarter against strong comparables
- Group EBIT(adj.)* growth of 13%
- Strong performance for Branded Consumer Goods, Jotun and Hydro Power
- Adjusted EPS* increased by +21% to NOK 1.27 in Q1
Three strategic initiatives to boost growth going forward
- Orkla Alternative Proteins
- Revenue of BNOK 3 by 2025
-
Category and market growth potential
-
Follow the consumer
- Convenient solutions
-
B2B and D2C
-
Develop health concepts
- New sales channels
- Digital presence
Important focus areas also for structural growth
Several M&A transactions in line with strategy announced and closed during Q1 with a total value of approx. BNOK 4.9
Transactions closed during Q1 Transaction announced during Q1
beauty D2C
• Revenue of BNOK 1.1 • Building on strong local position in Southern India
• Revenue of MNOK 862 • Subscription-based health and
- Revenue of MNOK 82
-
Strengthening online channel
-
Revenue of MNOK 90
-
Platform to grow food service
-
Revenue of MNOK 315
- Strengthen geographic footprint
Maintain M&A strategy going forward, focus on three dimensions;
Consumer trends in core and adjacent categories
Increase exposure in new sales channels and business models
Geographic footprint in home markets and adjacent geographies
Financial performance
Harald Ullevoldsæter, CFO
Adj. EPS +21% from profit growth in Branded Consumer Goods and good contribution from Jotun
| Key figures | Q1-21 | Q1-20 | ∆ Q1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues BCG | 11,276 | 11,316 | -0.4% |
| EBIT (adj.) BCG | 1,288 | 1,204 | +7% |
| EBIT (adj.) HQ |
-80 | -101 | |
| EBIT (adj.) BCG incl. HQ |
1,208 | 1,103 | +9.5% |
| EBIT (adj.) Orkla Industrial & Financial Investments | 89 | 40 | +123% |
| Other income and expenses | -143 | -165 | |
| EBIT | 1,154 | 978 | 18% |
| Profit from associates | 331 | 213 | +55% |
| Net interest and other financial items | -51 | -39 | |
| Profit before tax | 1,434 | 1,152 | +24% |
| Taxes | -270 | -220 | |
| Profit after tax | 1,164 | 932 | +25% |
| Adjusted EPS cont. operations (NOK) | 1.27 | 1.05 | +21% |
| Reported EPS cont. operations (NOK) |
1.15 | 0.92 | +25% |
9 Amounts in NOK million
Positive cash flow from operations in the quarter
| Cash flow from operations per 31.3 (pre-tax) | YTD Q1-21 | YTD Q1-20 |
|---|---|---|
| Orkla Branded Consumer Goods (BCG, incl. HQ) | ||
| EBIT (adj.) | 1,208 | 1,103 |
| Depreciation | 441 | 430 |
| Change in net working capital |
-515 | -122 |
| Net replacement investments | -652 | -601 |
| Total BCG cash from operations (pre OIE) | 482 | 810 |
| Cash flow from other income & exp. and | ||
| pensions | -172 | -117 |
| Industrial & Financial Investments | 137 | 87 |
| Total Orkla cash flow from operations |
447 | 780 |
Continued strong balance sheet and financial flexibility after completed M&A transactions in the period
Branded Consumer Goods
Branded Consumer Goods Volatile development for Branded Consumer Goods through 2020
Branded Consumer Goods Organic top line growth on top of a strong Q1 2020
BCG revenue, Q1-20 → Q1-21 (MNOK)
Branded Consumer Goods
Organic growth of 0.5% with significant variations between business areas in both Q1'20 and Q1'21
Branded Consumer Goods incl. HQ Underlying EBIT (adj) growth driven by Confectionery & Snacks and Consumer Investments
Orkla Foods Organic decline and lower profit facing a very strong Q1-20
| Q1-21 | Q1-20 | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 4,299 | 4,618 |
| Organic growth | -4.7% | 10.8% |
| EBIT (adj.) | 507 | 535 |
| EBIT (adj.) growth | -5.2% | 24.4% |
| EBIT (adj.) margin | 11.8% | 11.6% |
| Change vs LY | 0.2%-p | 0.5%-p |
- Organic sales decline in Q1 for most markets except Norway and India
- Decline driven by last year's positive Covid-19 stockpiling effects in March
- Reported EBIT decrease from lower sales and negative one-off effects
High market growth and positive phasing of sales between quarters
| Q1-21 | Q1-20 | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 1,701 | 1,602 |
| Organic growth | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| EBIT (adj.) | 241 | 209 |
| EBIT (adj.) growth | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| EBIT (adj.) margin | 14.2% | 13.0% |
| Change vs LY |
1.2%-p | -1.0%-p |
- Good market growth in the Nordic grocery channel
- Sales growth positively affected by timing of Easter and re-stocking in trade due to removal of excise tax in Norway
- Re-gained listings with a larger customer in Denmark
Orkla Care Good revenue growth on top of strong comparables
| Q1-21 | Q1-20 | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 1,814 | 1,688 |
| Organic growth | 4.2% | 11.1% |
| EBIT (adj.) | 296 | 297 |
| EBIT (adj.) growth | -0.3% | 34.4% |
| EBIT (adj.) margin | 16.3% | 17.6% |
| Change vs LY |
-1.3%-p | 2.5%-p |
- Strong growth in health categories and digital sales for HSNG
- Still challenging in wound care segment due to prolonged Covid-19 restrictions
- Profit margin weakened by increased A&P spend, higher production cost and product mix
Orkla Food Ingredients
Covid-19 restrictions in Out of Home segment continued to hamper growth at beginning of 2021
| Q1-21 | Q1-20 | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 2,546 | 2,574 |
| Organic growth | -2.0% | -1.3% |
| EBIT (adj.) | 80 | 71 |
| EBIT (adj.) growth | 12.7% | -7.8% |
| EBIT (adj.) margin | 3.1% | 2.8% |
| Change vs LY | 0.3%-p | -0.6%-p |
- Negative organic growth in quarter related to continued Covid-19 restrictions in several markets negatively impacting Out of Home
- EBIT (adj.) growth driven by profit protection measures
- Still uncertainty going forward
Continued strong growth in painting tools and pizza restaurant sales
| Q1-21 | Q1-20 | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 1,023 | 927 |
| Organic growth | 15.4% | -3.9% |
| EBIT (adj.) | 164 | 92 |
| EBIT (adj.) growth | 78% | 4.5% |
| EBIT (adj.) margin | 16.0% | 9.9% |
| Change vs LY |
6.1%-p | -1.2%-p |
- Sales growth across markets for painting tools as home improvement activity remains high
- Resilient Kotipizza franchise with restaurant sales increasing 19% in an otherwise weak market
- Strong overall profit conversion and margin improvement, helped by weak comparable figures last year
Orkla Industrial & Financial Investments - Jotun (42.6%) Continued growth and increased profitability for Jotun
| Jotun 100% basis | Q1-21 |
|---|---|
| Revenues | 5,485 |
| Revenue growth | 8% |
| EBITA | 1,120 |
| EBITA growth | 42% |
| Orkla share (42.6%) of net profit | 331 |
- Sales growth in Decorative, Protective and Powder segments. Continued slowdown in Marine Coatings
- Earnings growth driven by increased sales, continued strong margins and good cost control
- Uncertainty ahead, in particular related to Covid-19 and rising raw material prices
Closing remarks
Continued optimism going forward
Summing up Q1
- Growth on strong comparables
- Jotun continues strong performance
- Several M&A transactions completed
Outlook
- Still uncertainty
- Continue the focus on
- Profitable organic growth agenda
- M&A agenda
Q&A
Jaan Ivar Semlitsch, President & CEO Harald Ullevoldsæter, CFO
Save the date Orkla Capital Markets Day 23 November 2021
Appendices
Alternative Performance Measures (APM)
Organic growth
Organic growth shows like-for-like turnover growth for the Group's business portfolio and is defined as the Group's reported change in operating revenues adjusted for effects of the purchase and sale of companies and currency effects. In calculating organic growth, acquired companies will be excluded 12 months after the transaction date. Sold companies will be excluded pro forma 12 months prior to the transaction date. Currency effects are neutralised by translating this year's turnover at last year's exchange rates.
Organic growth is included in segment information and used to identify and analyse the turnover growth in the existing business portfolio. Organic growth provides an important picture of the Group's ability to carry out innovation, product development, correct pricing and brand-building.
EBIT (adj.)
EBIT (adj.) shows the Group's current operating profit before items that require special explanation and is defined as reported operating profit or loss before "Other income and expenses" (OIE). These include M&A costs, restructuring or integration expenses, any major gains and write-downs on both tangible and intangible assets, and other items that only to a limited degree are reliable measures of the Group's current profitability. EBIT (adj.) margin and growth are derived figures calculated in relation to operating revenues.
EBIT (adj.) is one of the Group's key financial figures, internally and externally. The figure is used to identify and analyse the Group's profitability from normal operations and operating activities. Adjustment for items in OIE which to a limited degree are reliable measures of the Group's current operating profit or loss increases the comparability of profitability over time.
Change in underlying EBIT (adj.)
Change in underlying EBIT (adj.) shows like-for-like EBIT (adj.) growth for the Group's business portfolio and is defined as the Group's reported change in EBIT (adj.) adjusted for effects of the purchase and sale of companies and currency effects. In calculating the change in underlying EBIT (adj.), acquired companies will be included pro forma 12 months before the transaction date. Sold companies will be excluded pro forma 12 months prior to the transaction date. Currency effects are neutralised by calculating this year's EBIT (adj.) at last year's currency exchange rates. Underlying EBIT (adj.) margin and change therein are derived figures calculated in relation to operating revenues.
Underlying EBIT (adj.) growth is used for internal management purposes, including for identifying and analysing underlying profitability growth in the existing business portfolio, and provides a picture of the Group's ability to develop growth and improve profitability in the existing business. The measure is important because it shows the change in profitability on a comparable structure over time.
Alternative Performance Measures (APM)
Earnings per share (adj.)
Earnings per share (adj.) show earnings per share adjusted for other income and expenses (OIE) after estimated tax. Items included in OIE are specified in Note 3. The effective tax rate for OIE is lower than the Group's tax rate in both 2021 and 2020 due to non-deductible transaction costs. Write-downs were also taken in 2020 with no tax effect.
If other items of a special nature occur under the company's operating profit or loss, adjustments will also be made for these items. No such adjustments had been made as at 31 March 2021. In the first quarter of 2020, an adjustment was made for a gain on the sale of the associate Andersen & Mørck AS.
Net replacement and expansion investments
When making decisions regarding investments, the Group distinguishes between replacement and expansion investments. Expansion investments are the part of overall reported investments considered to be investments either in new geographical markets or new categories, or which represent significant increases in capacity.
Net replacement investments include new leases and are reduced by the value of sold fixed assets to sales value.
The purpose of this distinction is to show how large a part of the investments (replacement) mainly concerns maintenance of existing operations and how large a part of the investments (expansion) is investments which must be expected to generate increased contributions to profit in future, exceeding expectations of normal operations.
Net interest-bearing liabilities
Net interest-bearing liabilities are the sum of the Group's interest-bearing liabilities and interest-bearing receivables. Interest-bearing liabilities include bonded loans, bank loans, other loans, lease liabilities and interest-bearing derivatives. Interest-bearing receivables include liquid assets, interest-bearing derivatives and other interest-bearing receivables.
Net interest-bearing liabilities are the Group's primary management parameter for financing and capital allocation, which is used actively in the Group's financial risk management strategy. The statement of cash flows (Orkla format) therefore shows the change in net interest-bearing liabilities at Group level.
Structure (acquired and sold companies)
Structural growth includes adjustments for the acquisition of the businesses Ambasador92, Proteinfabrikken, Seagood Fort Deli, Norgesplaster, Win Equipment, Gortrush and Havrefras. Adjustments have been made for the sale of SaritaS, Vestlandslefsa, Italiensk Bakeri and Gorm's, as well as for the closure of Pierre Robert Sverige. Adjustments have also been made for the loss of the distribution agreements with Panzani. In 2020, adjustments were also made for Lecora, Easyfood, Confection by Design, Risberg, Kanakis, Credin Sverige, Vamo, Kotipizza, Helga and Anza Verimex, as well as the sale of Glyngøre and Solgryn. A structural adjustment was made at business area level for the internal relocation of Frödinge.
Orkla Industrial & Financial Investments Significant increase in power prices partly offset by lower volume in Hydro Power
Hydro Power Fully consolidated into Orkla's financial statements
Volume (GWh): Q1: 477 (645) Power prices1 (øre/KWh): Q1: 48,9 (15,3) EBIT adj. (NOK million): Q1: 86 (39)
Financial Investments Fully consolidated into Orkla's financial statements
Book value real estate: NOK 1.8 billion
Jotun (42.6%) Accounted for using equity method
30 1Source: Nord Pool Spot, Monthly System Price