Earnings Release • Apr 26, 2017
Earnings Release
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Pursuant to Article 17(1) of the Regulation (EU) No. 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC, the Management Board of Orange Polska S.A. hereby provides selected financial and operating data related to the activities of the Orange Polska Capital Group ("the Group", "Orange Polska") for 1Q 2017.
Disclosures on performance measures, including adjustments, are presented in the Note 2 to Condensed IFRS Quarterly Consolidated Financial Statements of the Orange Polska Group for the 3 months ended 31 March 2017 (available at http://orange-ir.pl/results-center/results/2017).
| key figures (PLN million), IFRS | 1Q 2016 | 1Q 2017 | change |
|---|---|---|---|
| revenue | 2,803 | 2,818 | +0.5% |
| EBITDA | 868 | 748 | -13.8% |
| EBITDA margin | 31.0% | 26.5% | -4.5pp |
| operating income/loss | 215 | 109 | -49.3% |
| net income/loss | 98 | 39 | -60.2% |
| capex | 3,545 | 385 | -89.1% |
| 1 adjusted capex |
377 | 385 | +2.1% |
| organic cash flow | -3,204 | -254 | n/a |
| adjusted organic cash flow1 | -56 | -254 | n/a |
1 please refer to adjustment table on p.5
| KPI ('000) | 1Q 2016 | 1Q 2017 | change2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| convergent customers3 | 626 | 938 | +50% |
| mobile accesses (SIM cards) | 16,215 | 15,272 | -5.7% |
| post-paid | 8,526 | 9,452 | +11.1% |
| pre-paid | 7,689 | 5,820 | -24.4% |
| fixed broadband accesses (retail) | 2,130 | 2,269 | +7.6% |
| fixed voice lines (retail) | 4,120 | 3,859 | -6.3% |
2 includes effects of customer base revision made in 3Q 2016
3 Since 1Q 2017 convergent customer definition has been modified and reflects only a combination of fixed broadband (incl. wireless for fixed) and mobile handset offer, with financial benefit
4 please refer to adjustment table on p.5
"In 1Q, in line with our priorities, our activity was focused on convergence and fibre. In mid-February we successfully launched the Orange Love convergent offer, which constitutes our flagship proposal for Polish households and small businesses and is our market differentiator. We are satisfied with the first commercial results. In the vast majority of activations we generate value through upsell of additional services. Our convergent base increased by more than 100k customers or 12% this quarter. Penetration of convergence among individual fixed broadband customers reached 38% and increased from 28% a year ago.
Our fibre customer base grew by 29k and almost equalled the commercial peak of 4Q. At the end of March our fibre service was available to almost 1.7 million households. In 1Q the network expanded by more than 200k households of which c.20% was generated on the infrastructure of other operators. This confirms that we are open to co-operation and aim to build our network in an efficient manner. We confirm our ambition to add more than 1 million households in 2017.
As we stated in February, we are in the process of reviewing our mid-term strategic plans with the aim to improve our execution and resource allocation, and generate new efficiencies. We plan to announce an update on our mid-term outlook in July along with the second quarter results."
Revenues totalled PLN 2,818 million in 1Q, up 0.5% or PLN 15 million year-on-year. The growth resulted from higher share of instalment offers sales (reflected in robust growth of mobile equipment), higher revenues from ICT business and fixed broadband, which has returned to a modest growth (since this quarter wireless for fixed is reported in fixed broadband while previously it was part of mobile). These positives offset lower revenues from mobile services and legacy fixed business lines (PSTN and wholesale). Mobile service revenues were down 6.6% year-on-year, slightly more than in the previous quarters, mainly due to bonuses offered to pre-paid customers for SIM cards registration and revenue loss from unregistered pre-paid customers after 1st February 2017.
In 1Q our mobile post-paid customer base increased by 190,000 or 2.1%. In handset offers net customer additions continued to be very strong (158,000 vs 107,000 in 1Q 2016) driven by multi-SIM family offers, convergence and migration from pre-paid. Small contraction of mobile broadband customers reflects growing popularity of wireless for fixed offers and higher data packages for smartphone usage available in handset tariffs. Pre-paid base contracted by 717,000 which was a continued effect of much lower activations of new SIM cards following registration obligation. We expect this contraction to continue in the second quarter.
The share of LTE traffic in total mobile data transmission has reached 66% in 1Q. Smartphone penetration in post-paid handset customer base reached 68% versus 63% in 1Q 2016. Growth of data usage per user in post-paid handset customer base reached 120% year-on-year. The number of LTE unique active users reached 4.6 million, growing year-on-year by 90%.
Our convergent customer base increased by 12% or 103,000 in 1Q 2017 to 938,000. The total number of services used by B2C convergent customers approached 3 million, which implies that on average every customer uses four services.
Fixed broadband customer base increased by 63,000 in 1Q and reached 2.27m. Line losses in ADSL and CDMA were more than compensated by growing fibre, VDSL and wireless for fixed (which since this quarter is reported in fixed broadband while previously it was part of mobile). The number of fibre customers at the end of March stood at 117,000. The take-up rate of 29,000 was, as we expected, almost equalling the seasonally strongest 4Q (31,000) and much higher than in 1Q 2016 (10,000). Commercialization of the fibre network approached 7%. In fixed voice, structural decline slowed down with net loss of lines at 73,000 vs 74,000 in 1Q 2016.
EBITDA for 1Q 2017 came in at PLN 748 million, down by PLN 120 million or 13.8% year-on-year. EBITDA margin stood at 26.5%, down by 4.5 pp year-on-year. The year-on-year trend was significantly distorted by PLN 94 million provision release in labour costs booked in 1Q 2016. Excluding this item, fall in EBITDA reflects mainly structural decline of legacy revenues and continued support from indirect costs optimisations, mainly in labour, advertising & promotion and other costs.
Net income for 1Q 2017 stood at PLN 39 million versus PLN 98 million in 1Q 2016. Bottom line contracted less than EBITDA due to lower depreciation, lower net financial expense and also lower tax. Fall in depreciation reflected mainly extension of useful life of certain fixed assets – an impact of PLN 41 million recognised in 1Q 2017. Net financial expense was lower as strengthening of PLN to EUR supported UMTS licence discount expense. Finally, lower tax resulted from non-taxable FX impact and other changes in certain provisions.
Adjusted organic cash flow for 1Q 2017 came in at PLN -254 million versus PLN -56 million in 1Q 2016. Lower EBITDA and higher working capital requirement were the two key factors behind yearon-year deterioration in cash generation. Working capital requirement was higher by PLN 215m mainly as a result of further growth of instalment receivables, inventory restock after Q4 peak commercial period and different timing of settlements with one of carrier customers. Capital expenditure cash outflows were PLN 706 million in 1Q 2017 (broadly similar to last year) as a result of high capex of the current quarter and due to payments to capex vendors as a consequence of high investments realised in 4Q 2016.
"Our financial performance in 1Q 2017 was in line with our full-year targets. Mobile revenues continued to be supported by robust growth of equipment sales as a result of the shift to instalment offers. To reflect our commercial approach and market trends, since this quarter, we have reclassified customers using offers based on wireless for fixed technology from mobile to fixed. This approach better reflects fixed broadband revenue trend. Excluding provision release a year ago, EBITDA contracted mainly due to structural decline of legacy revenues but was supported by ongoing optimisations in indirect expenses. We work as well to improve cash generation, not only through further savings but as well through initiatives in working capital area."
5 please refer to adjustment table on p.5
| in PLNm | 1Q'16 | 10'17 |
|---|---|---|
| Capital expenditures | 3,545 | 385 |
| -acquisition of telecommunications licences | $-3,168$ | |
| Adjusted capital expenditures | 377 | 385 |
| Organic cash flow | $-3.204$ | $-254$ |
| -LTE auction deposits / Acquisition of LTE spectrum | $+3,148$ | |
| Adjusted organic cash flow | -56 | -254 |
This press release contains forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, statements regarding anticipated future events and financial performance with respect to our operations. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the fact that they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts. They often include words like 'believe', 'expect', 'anticipate', 'estimated', 'project', 'plan', 'adjusted' and 'intend' or future or conditional verbs such as 'will,' 'would,' or 'may.' Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from expected results include, but are not limited to, those set forth in our Registration Statement, as filed with the Polish securities and exchange commission, the competitive environment in which we operate, changes in general economic conditions and changes in the Polish and/or global financial and/or capital markets. Forwardlooking statements represent management's views as of the date they are made, and we assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements for actual events occurring after that date. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements.
Orange Polska 1Q 2017 Results Presentation
Venue address: Orange Polska Aleje Jerozolimskie 160, (Conference room - ground floor) 02-326 Warsaw, Poland
Start: 11.00 CET
The presentation will also be available via a live webcast on our website and via a live conference call:
Time: 11:00 (Warsaw) 10:00 (London) 05:00 (New York)
Conference title: Orange Polska 1Q 2017 Results Conference Call
Conference code: 4082622
Dial in numbers: UK/Europe: +44 (0) 330 336 9412 US: +1 719 325 2385
Toll free numbers: UK: 0800 279 7204 US: +1 888 349 9618
Disclosures on performance measures, including adjustments, are presented in the Note 2 to Condensed IFRS Quarterly Consolidated Financial Statements of the Orange Polska Group for the 3 months ended 31 March 2017 (available at http://orange-ir.pl/results-center/results/2017)
| 2016 | 2017 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| amounts in PLN millions | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | ||||
| Income statement | as reported | after reclassification* as reported |
after reclassification* as reported |
after reclassification* as reported |
after reclassification* |
as reported | |||
| Revenues | |||||||||
| Mobile revenues | 1,526 | 1,517 | 1,622 | 1,604 | 1,594 | 1,565 | 1,679 | 1,638 | 1,554 |
| Retail services | 1,090 | 1,082 | 1,080 | 1,069 | 1,085 | 1,069 | 1,041 | 1,018 | 972 |
| Wholesale services (including interconnect) | 244 | 244 | 270 | 270 | 251 | 251 | 272 | 272 | 267 |
| Mobile equipment sales | 192 | 191 | 272 | 265 | 258 | 245 | 366 | 348 | 315 |
| Fixed services | 1,192 | 1,200 | 1,175 | 1,186 | 1,156 | 1,172 | 1,139 | 1,162 | 1,134 |
| Fixed narrowband | 401 | 401 | 387 | 387 | 376 | 376 | 363 | 363 | 350 |
| Fixed broadband, TV and VoIP | 381 | 389 | 375 | 386 | 369 | 385 | 365 | 388 | 393 |
| Enterprise solutions & networks | 219 | 219 | 218 | 218 | 222 | 222 | 233 | 233 | 215 |
| Wholesale revenue (including interconnect) | 191 | 191 | 195 | 195 | 189 | 189 | 178 | 178 | 176 |
| Other revenue | 85 | 86 | 106 | 113 | 101 | 114 | 163 | 181 | 130 |
| Total revenues | 2,803 | 2,803 | 2,903 | 2,903 | 2,851 | 2,851 | 2,981 | 2,981 | 2,818 |
| year-on-year** | -4.2% | n/a | -3.5% | n/a | -3.9% | n/a | 1.9% | n/a | 0.5% |
| Labour expenses | (381) | (381) | (440) | (440) | (404) | (404) | (411) | (411) | (452) |
| External purchases - Interconnect expenses |
(1,476) (354) |
(1,476) (354) |
(1,580) (384) |
(1,580) (384) |
(1,535) (381) |
(1,535) (381) |
(1,841) (395) |
(1,841) (395) |
(1,554) (409) |
| - Network and IT expenses | (160) | (160) | (168) | (168) | (164) | (164) | (178) | (178) | (157) |
| - Commercial expenses | (615) | (615) | (685) | (685) | (656) | (656) | (883) | (883) | (638) |
| - Other external purchases | (347) | (347) | (343) | (343) | (334) | (334) | (385) | (385) | (350) |
| Other operating incomes & expenses | (88) | (88) | (96) | (96) | (90) | (90) | (103) | (103) | (72) |
| Employment termination expenses | |||||||||
| Gain/(loss) on disposal of assets | 10 | 10 | 37 | 37 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 8 |
| Reported EBITDA | 868 | 868 | 824 | 824 | 831 | 831 | 640 | 640 | 748 |
| % of revenues | 31.0% | 31.0% | 28.4% | 28.4% | 29.1% | 29.1% | 21.5% | 21.5% | 26.5% |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 868 | 868 | 824 | 824 | 831 | 831 | 640 | 640 | 748 |
| % of revenues | 31.0% | 31.0% | 28.4% | 28.4% | 29.1% | 29.1% | 21.5% | 21.5% | 26.5% |
| Depreciation & amortisation | (653) | (653) | (683) | (683) | (695) | (695) | (694) | (694) | (639) |
| (Impairement)/reversal of impairement of non-current assets |
0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | (1,794) | (1,794) | 0 |
| Operting income | 215 | 215 | 142 | 142 | 137 | 137 | (1,848) | (1,848) | 109 |
| % of revenues | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | -62.0% | -62.0% | 3.9% |
| Finance costs, net | (96) | (96) | (96) | (96) | (79) | (79) | (88) | (88) | (71) |
| Income tax | (21) | (21) | (29) | (29) | (21) | (21) | 38 | 38 | 1 |
| Consolidated net income | 98 | 98 | 17 | 17 | 37 | 37 | (1,898) | (1,898) | 39 |
| * Adjusted after recalssification of Wireless Access for Fixed from mobile retail services to Fixed broadband, TV and VoIP & f ** Change is calculated based on adjusted figures |
rom mobile equipment sales to other revenue |
| customer base (in thousands) | 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | ||
| Convergent customers1 | 626 | 679 | 738 | 835 | 938 | |
| o/w B2C | 532 | 568 | 603 | 666 | 738 | |
| o/w B2B | 94 | 111 | 135 | 169 | 200 | |
| Fixed telephony accesses | ||||||
| POTS, ISDN & WLL | 3,487 | 3,415 | 3,337 | 3,268 | 3,181 | |
| VoIP | 633 | 644 | 651 | 664 | 678 | |
| Total retail main lines | 4,120 | 4,059 | 3,988 | 3,932 | 3,859 | |
| Fixed broadband access | ||||||
| ADSL | 1,669 | 1,613 | 1,562 | 1,503 | 1,451 | |
| VHBB (VDSL+Fibre) | 366 | 409 | 436 | 492 | 544 | |
| o/w VDSL | 339 | 370 | 379 | 404 | 427 | |
| o/w Fibre | 27 | 39 | 57 | 88 | 117 | |
| CDMA | 44 | 35 | 27 | 20 | 14 | |
| Wireless for fixed | 50 | 82 | 128 | 191 | 260 | |
| Retail broadband - total | 2,130 | 2,139 | 2,153 | 2,206 | 2,269 | |
| TV client base | ||||||
| IPTV | 200 | 213 | 214 | 234 | 254 | |
| DTH (TV over Satellite) | 597 | 590 | 548 | 532 | 521 | |
| TV client base - total | 797 | 803 | 761 | 766 | 775 | |
| -o/w 'nc+' packages | 190 | 194 | 194 | 195 | 189 | |
| 3P services (TV+FBB+VoIP)1 | 531 | 547 | 527 | 543 | 569 | |
| Mobile accesses | ||||||
| Post-paid | ||||||
| Mobile Handset | 6,369 | 6,491 | 6,640 | 6,851 | 7,009 | |
| Mobile Broadband | 1,298 | 1,327 | 1,355 | 1,377 | 1,364 | |
| M2M | 858 | 898 | 963 | 1,033 | 1,079 | |
| Total postpaid | 8,526 | 8,716 | 8,957 | 9,262 | 9,452 | |
| Pre-paid | 7,689 | 7,898 | 7,309 | 6,537 | 5,820 | |
| Total | 16,215 | 16,614 | 16,266 | 15,799 | 15,272 | |
| Wholesale customers | ||||||
| WLR | 780 | 730 | 693 | 652 | 614 | |
| Bitstream access | 234 | 222 | 213 | 202 | 195 | |
| LLU | 125 | 120 | 116 | 110 | 105 |
Key operational performance indicators
| quarterly ARPU in PLN per month | 2017 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Q | 2016 2Q |
3Q | 4Q | 1Q | |
| Retail fixed voice ARPU | 39.2 | 38.7 | 38.4 | 37.9 | 37.3 |
| Fixed broadband ARPU (Fixed Broadband, Wireless for fixed, TV & VoIP) |
60.3 | 60.1 | 59.9 | 59.2 | 58.2 |
| Mobile ARPU | |||||
| Total postpaid excl M2M | 45.2 | 44.2 | 43.6 | 41.8 | 39.6 |
| Mobile Handset | 48.9 | 48.1 | 47.6 | 45.6 | 43.2 |
| Mobile Broadband | 27.3 | 25.2 | 23.3 | 22.8 | 21.6 |
| Prepaid | 12.4 | 11.9 | 12.0 | 12.6 | 12.6 |
| Total Mobile excl M2M | 28.8 | 28.0 | 27.9 | 28.3 | 28.1 |
| retail ARPU | 23.5 | 22.7 | 22.6 | 22.3 | 22.0 |
| wholesale ARPU | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 6.0 |
| other mobile operating statistics | 2017 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | |
| MVNOs customers (thousands) | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| Number of smartphones (thousands) | 5,809 | 5,996 | 6,057 | 6,291 | 6,312 |
| volumes & churn | |||||
| AUPU (in minutes) | |||||
| post-paid | 345.0 | 359.3 | 351.1 | 354.5 | 342.5 |
| pre-paid | 105.3 | 104.4 | 104.7 | 113.7 | 121.7 |
| blended | 225.3 | 231.8 | 230.4 | 244.7 | 248.0 |
| Quarterly mobile customer churn rate (%) | |||||
| post-paid | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| pre-paid | 15.7 | 15.2 | 16.9 | 18.1 | 21.3 |
| subsidies | |||||
| SAC post-paid (PLN) | 256.4 | 211.1 | 183.0 | 188.9 | 130.7 |
| SRC post-paid (PLN) | 222.1 | 176.3 | 169.8 | 179.9 | 64.0 |
| network coverage | |||||
| 4G coverage in % of population | 89.2% | 95.4% | 97.4% | 99.1% | 99.2% |
| 3G coverage in % of population | 99.6% | 99.6% | 99.6% | 99.6% | 99.6% |
| Employment structure of Group as reported | 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Active full time equivalents (end of period) | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | |
| Orange Polska | 16,497 | 16,099 | 15,786 | 15,537 | 15,481 | |
| 50% of Networks | 349 | 338 | 344 | 343 | 347 | |
| Total | 16,846 | 16,437 | 16,130 | 15,880 | 15,828 |
Terms used:
Average Usage per User (AUPU) – the average monthly total usage of minutes divided by the average number of SIM cards (excluding M2M) in a given period.
Churn rate – the number of customers who disconnect from a network in a given period divided by the weighted average number of customers in the same period.
ICT – Information and Communication Technology
Fixed Broadband ARPU – the average monthly revenues from fixed broadband services (including TV and VoIP services) divided by the average number of accesses in a given period.
Mobile ARPU – the average monthly revenues from mobile services (outgoing and incoming, including connection and termination fees, visitors roaming, excluding M2M), divided by the average number of SIM cards (excluding M2M) in a given period.
Mobile Broadband ARPU – the average monthly revenues from SIM cards dedicated to mobile broadband access (all service revenues including outgoing and incoming) divided by the average number of these SIM cards in a given period.
Mobile Handset ARPU – the average monthly revenues from SIM cards dedicated to mobile handset access (all service revenues including outgoing and incoming) divided by the average number of these SIM cards in a given period.
Subscriber Acquisition Cost (SAC) – Customer acquisition costs divided by the number of gross customers added during the respective period. Customer acquisition costs comprise commissions paid to distributors and net subsidies resulting from the sale of the handset.
Subscriber Retention Cost (SRC) – Customer retention costs divided by the number of customers retained during the respective period. Customer retention costs comprise commissions paid to distributors and net subsidies resulting from the sale of the handset.
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