AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Orange Polska S.A.

Earnings Release Oct 25, 2016

5743_rns_2016-10-25_5e18c6af-e2f9-435c-b812-a01747699b6a.pdf

Earnings Release

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

Current Report (53/2016) Orange Polska S.A., Warsaw, Poland October 24, 2016

Pursuant to Article 17(1) of the Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC, the Management Board of Orange Polska S.A. hereby provides selected financial and operating data related to the activities of the Orange Polska Capital Group ("the Group", "Orange Polska") for 3Q 2016 and 9M 2016.

Disclosures on performance measures, including restatements, are presented in the Note 2 to the Condensed IFRS Quarterly Consolidated Financial Statements of the Orange Polska Group for the 3 months ended 30 September 2016 (available at http://orange-ir.pl/results-center/results/2016).

Orange Polska reports in 3Q 2016 strong commercial performance in mobile post-paid and VHBB, financial results in line with full-year objectives

key figures (PLN million), IFRS 3Q 2015 3Q 2016 change 9M 2015 9M 2016 change
revenue 2,971 2,851 -4.0% 8,914 8,557 -4.0%
restated revenues1 2,967 2,851 -3.9% 8,900 8,557 -3.9%
EBITDA 929 831 -10.5% 2,847 2,523 -11.4%
EBITDA margin 31.3% 29.1% -2.2 pp 31.9% 29.5% -2.4 pp
restated EBITDA1 925 831 -10.2% 2,844 2,523 -11.3%
restated EBITDA1 margin 31.2% 29.1% -2.1 pp 32.0% 29.5% -2.5 pp
operating income 212 137 -35.4% 690 494 -28.4%
net income 110 37 -66.4% 407 152 -62.7%
capex 398 367 -7.8% 1,138 4,392 +285.9%
restated capex1 398 367 -7.8% 1,138 1,224 +7.6%
organic cash flow -8 169 n/a 99 -2,693 n/a
restated organic cash flow1 305 169 -44.6% 840 455 -45.8%

3Q 2016 highlights:

Customer statistics in 3Q reflect customer base revisions as described in the table on p.5.

  • 3Q restated revenue1 down 3.9% year-on-year vs -3.8% in 1H 2016
  • mobile revenues up 2.9% year-on-year, driven by sales of equipment
  • strong commercial momentum in mobile post-paid and in VHBB:
  • +13% yoy mobile post-paid customers, +309k net adds in 3Q
  • +45% yoy mobile broadband customers, +142k net adds in 3Q
  • +72% yoy VHBB customers, +44k net adds in 3Q (incl. +18k of FTTH customers)
  • +25% yoy convergent customers, +38k net adds in 3Q
  • pre-paid base impacted by much lower new activations following SIM card registration obligation

1 please refer to restatement table on p.4

  • restated EBITDA2 margin at 29.1%, down by 2.1pp year-on-year, reflecting higher interconnect and commercial expenses; FY guidance in the range of PLN 3.15-3.30bn confirmed
  • restated capex2 at PLN 367m (down 7.8% year-on-year), incl. PLN 119m for the fibre network roll-out
  • 1.2 million households connectable with fibre at the end of 3Q (216k added in 3Q);
  • restated Organic Cash Flow2 at PLN 169m

commenting on 3Q 2016 performance, Jean-François Fallacher, Chief Executive Officer, said:

"The third quarter was encouraging for Orange Polska. Commercial results were good while financial results were in line with our full-year objectives. We added the most post-paid customers in many years, owing to successful commercial actions and accelerated migration from pre-paid. As a result of new regulations that came into force in July, a significant proportion of our active prepaid customers have already registered their SIM cards. As a side effect, we saw a much lower number of new activations which affected our reported pre-paid SIM base. However, as the vast majority of these are low usage one-time activations, the reduction does not impact our pre-paid business in a material way.

In 3Q, we improved our performance in a very competitive fixed broadband market. Our customer base was close to stable, owing to high net additions to our high speed broadband options and lower churn in ADSL. Customer take-up of fibre broadband improved materially, and we expect even better results in this area going forward.

Independent customer survery done by speedtest.pl showed that Orange has been the fastest mobile broadband network in Poland for six consecutive months. I am very pleased with that. This is good evidence that our convergent network strategy works for customers.

As we move into the fourth quarter, traditionally our peak season, we plan to remain proactive on the commercial front. However, we will be carefully monitoring our profitability and remaining cautious about costs to ensure that we meet our financial targets."

Financial Review

3Q restated revenue2 down 3.9% year-on-year vs -3.8% in 1H 2016

Restated revenues totalled PLN 2,851 million in 3Q, down -3.9% or PLN 116 million year-on-year. The decline resulted mainly from a fall in fixed services (stemming mainly from structural erosion of fixed voice) and lower other revenues (resulting from completion of infrastructure projects, that generated PLN 42 million revenues in 3Q 2015, and lower ICT revenues). These negatives were partially offset by an increase in mobile revenues which were driven up by post-paid customer base growth and equipment sales.

Our post-paid base increased by 309,000 customers in 3Q, which was the highest growth in many years. This was driven by our successful commercial actions, accelerated migration from pre-paid and particularly good results of our sub-brand nju. In contrast, reported pre-paid base declined by 600,000. This was largely due to much lower new pre-paid card activations following registration obligation that came into force in July. However, as the vast majority of these are low usage onetime activations, the reduction does not impact our pre-paid business in a material way.

The number of customers using our LTE network reached 3.8 million, growing 19% in 3Q 2016 versus 2Q 2016. The share of LTE in total mobile data transmission has reached 57%. Growth of data usage per user in mobile post-paid continues to exceed 100% yoy.

2 please refer to restatement table on p.4

Mobile blended ARPU was down 8.2% year-on-year, a similar trend to the previous quarter. Postpaid ARPU erosion was broadly unchanged (down 11.0% year-on-year) and was mainly stemming from changes in the customer mix (higher share of SIM-only and instalment contracts), high popularity of multi-SIM offers, convergent discounts and lower roaming rates. Pre-paid ARPU in 3Q included first impact of bonuses offered to customers for SIM card registration in a form of free minutes and gigabytes.

Net additions to our convergent base (at 38,000) were slightly higher than in the previous quarter (33,000).

In fixed broadband performance improved significantly. Net customer losses (at 10,000) were the lowest in many quarters owing to strong customer take-up of our high speed services (VDSL and FTTH) which came in at 44,000 in 3Q, and lower line losses in ADSL. The share of high speed services in total base (ex-CDMA) is now at 22% vs. 13% a year ago. Fixed broadband ARPU continued to be affected by price cuts introduced in 2015. In fixed voice, structural decline has continued with net loss of lines at 68,000 vs 61,000 in 2Q 2016.

KPI ('000) 3Q 2015 3Q 2016 change3
convergent customers 667 837 +25.5%
mobile customers 15,693 16,394 +4.5%
post-paid 8,087 9,085 +12.6%
pre-paid 7,606 7,309 -4.0%
mobile broadband accesses 1,806 2,615 +44.8%
fixed voice lines (retail) 4,268 3,988 -6.5%
fixed broadband accesses (retail) 2,131 2,025 -4.0%

restated EBITDA4 margin at 29.1%, down by 2.1 pp year-on-year, reflecting higher interconnect and commercial expenses

Restated EBITDA for 3Q 2016 amounted to PLN 831 million and was lower by PLN 94 million versus prior year. Restated EBITDA margin stood at 29.1%, down by 2.1 pp year-on-year. Total cost base was lower, as optimisations in indirect costs (mainly in labour, network and IT) offset growing direct expenses. Direct costs were up due to higher interconnect costs, reflecting growing mobile retail and wholesale traffic, as well as higher commercial costs. The latter was mainly a consequence of continued marketing push, change in mix of handsets (more smartphones) and unfavourable FX impact (weaker PLN to EUR).

3Q net income at PLN 37 million, impacted by lower EBITDA

Orange Polska's net income for 3Q 2016 came in at PLN 37 million, versus PLN 110 million in 3Q 2015. The drop is entirely attributed to lower operating income which was down PLN 75 million year-on-year. Despite much higher debt (following payment for new spectrum in February), net financial costs were broadly flat year-on-year. This is because higher net interest costs were offset by much lower discount expense, which was supported by favourable forex exchange movements in the period.

restated organic Cash Flow4 at PLN 169 million

Restated organic cash flow for 3Q 2016 stood at PLN 169 million versus PLN 305 million in 3Q 2015. This deterioration stemmed from two main factors. Firstly, net cash from operating activities (before income tax and change in working capital) was down PLN 102 million, mainly as a result of lower EBITDA. Secondly, cash paid for capex was PLN 76 million higher largely due to payments to capex vendors as a consequence of high investments realised in 2Q. On the positive side, cash

3 please refer to the table presenting effect of customer base revisions on p.5

4 please refer to restatement table on p.4

flow was helped by lower requirement for working capital. The effect of higher receivables balance (a consequence of continued growth of instalment contracts) was partly offset by a positive change in payables (largely attributed to supply chain optimisations).

commenting on 3Q 2016 results, Maciej Nowohoński, Chief Financial Officer said:

"After 9 months of 2016 our financial results are on track to reach our full-year objectives. In Q3 key top-line trends remained unchanged: growth in mobile was offset by falling revenues from fixed business and other activity. EBITDA contracted less than revenues as optimisations in indirect costs offset growth in direct expenses. As completion of infrastructure projects will no longer weigh on us, we expect better revenue evolution in the fourth quarter, which should translate also into more favourable EBITDA trend. We reiterate our full-year leverage and EBITDA guidance5 ."

Restatements to financial data

in PLNm 3Q'15 3Q'16 9M'15 9M'16
Revenue 2,971 2,851 8,914 8,557
-Revenue of Contact Center -4 - -14 -
Restated revenue 2,967 2,851 8,900 8,557
EBITDA 929 831 2,847 2,523
-EBITDA of Contact Center -4 -4 -
-Employment termination expense - - 1 -
Restated EBITDA 925 831 2,844 2,523
Capital expenditures 398 367 1,138 4,392
-acquisition of telecommunications licences - - - -3,168
Restated capital expenditures 398 367 1,138 1,224
Organic cash flow -8 169 99 -2,693
-LTE auction deposits / Acquisition of LTE spectrum 313 - 741 3,148
Restated organic cash flow 305 169 840 455

5 Management forecasts restated EBITDA for 2016 to be in the range of PLN 3.15-3.30 billion. Financial leverage defined as net debtto-restated EBITDA is expected to be not higher than 2.2x for the full-year 2016.

Impact of customer base revision

Customer base revision resulted from internal audit of the accuracy of the reporting processes. These processes have been amended to ensure the correctness of the reporting going forward. This revision has no impact on the revenues.

customer base (in thousands) 2Q2016 effect of
base
revision
net change
of
customers
in Q3
3Q2016
Convergent customers 799 0 38 837
Fixed telephony accesses
POTS, ISDN & WLL 3,415 -1 -77 3,337
VoIP first line 644 -2 9 651
Total retail main lines 4,059 -3 -68 3,988
Fixed broadband access
ADSL 1,613 -5 -46 1,562
VHBB 409 -17 44 436
o/w VDSL 370 -17 26 379
o/w FTTH 39 0 18 57
CDMA 35 0 -8 27
Retail broadband - total 2,057 -22 -10 2,025
TV client base
IPTV 213 -15 16 214
DTH (TV over Satellite) 590 -32 -10 548
TV client base - total 803 -46 4 761
-o/w 'nc+' packages 194 0 0 194
3P services (TV+FBB+VoIP) 547 -34 14 527
Mobile accesses
Post-paid 8,798 -22 309 9,085
-o/w B2B 2,817 0 76 2,893
Pre-paid 7,898 11 -600 7,309
Total 16,696 -12 -290 16,394
- of which dedicated mobile broadband accesses 2,473 0 142 2,615

Forward-looking statement

This press release contains forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, statements regarding anticipated future events and financial performance with respect to our operations. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the fact that they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts. They often include words like 'believe', 'expect', 'anticipate', 'estimated', 'project', 'plan', 'restated' and 'intend' or future or conditional verbs such as 'will,' 'would,' or 'may.' Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from expected results include, but are not limited to, those set forth in our Registration Statement, as filed with the Polish securities and exchange commission, the competitive environment in which we operate, changes in general economic conditions and changes in the Polish and/or global financial and/or capital markets. Forwardlooking statements represent management's views as of the date they are made, and we assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements for actual events occurring after that date. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements.

Orange Polska 3Q 2016 Results Presentation Tuesday 25th October 2016

Venue address: Orange Polska Aleje Jerozolimskie 160, 02-326 Warsaw, Poland

Start: 11.00 CET

The presentation will also be available via a live webcast on our website and via a live conference call:

Time: 11:00 (Warsaw) 10:00 (London) 05:00 (New York)

Conference title: Orange Polska Q3 2016 Results Conference Call

Conference code: 7176933

Dial in numbers: UK/Europe: +44 20 3043 2024 US: +1 719-457-1036

Toll free numbers: UK: 0800 358 6377 US: 800-263-0877

Orange Polska Group Consolidated

as reported as reported as reported
3Q
-3.5%
(440)
(1,580)
(384)
(168)
(685)
(343)
(96)
(683)
(96)
(29)
28.4%
28.4%
4.9%
1,080
270
387
218
106
37
824
17
1,622
272
1,175
375
195
2,903
824
142
1
2Q
-4.2%
(381)
(1,476)
(354)
(160)
(615)
(347)
(88)
(653)
(96)
(21)
31.0%
31.0%
7.7%
1,526
1,090
244
192
1,192
219
85
2,803
10
868
0
215
98
868
401
381
191
1Q
(118)
(153)
n/a
(396)
(1,709)
(349)
(197)
(801)
(362)
(122)
(128)
(712)
(81)
20.0%
23.0%
-4.0%
1,546
1,108
253
185
1,230
413
230
196
150
2,926
13
584
89
10
46
673
391
restated
4Q
-5.1%
(396)
(1,709)
(349)
(197)
(801)
(362)
(122)
(128)
(712)
(118)
(81)
(153)
as reported
20.0%
23.0%
-4.0%
1,552
1,114
253
185
1,224
413
224
196
150
2,926
13
584
89
10
46
673
391
n/a
(429)
(1,521)
(342)
(180)
(638)
(361)
(98)
(4)
(716)
(1)
(76)
(26)
31.3%
31.2%
7.1%
2,967
929
110
1,549
1,153
225
1,265
396
236
202
153
10
925
212
171
431
restated

3Q
-2.4%
(430)
(1,524)
(342)
(180)
(638)
(364)
(98)
(716)
(1)
(76)
(26)
as reported
31.3%
31.3%
7.1%
1,555
1,159
225
1,263
396
234
202
153
10
929
212
110
929
171
431
2,971
(453)
(1,561)
(333)
(181)
(663)
(384)
(78)
(733)
(76)
(30)
n/a
31.9%
31.9%
7.7%
1,523
223
149
1,290
445
404
236
205
195
3,008
43
959
6
232
126
959
1,151
restated
2Q
-2.3%
(457)
(1,562)
(333)
(181)
(662)
(386)
(78)
(733)
(76)
(30)
as reported
31.8%
31.8%
7.7%
1,529
1,157
223
149
1,290
444
404
237
205
194
3,013
43
959
959
6
232
126
(427)
(1,474)
(321)
(176)
(644)
(333)
(69)
(1)
(710)
(3)
(58)
(17)
n/a
32.8%
32.8%
8.4%
1,155
208
138
1,306
458
410
217
118
2,925
5
959
246
960
1,501
221
1
171
restated

1Q
-1.7%
(430)
(1,476)
(321)
(176)
(644)
(335)
(69)
(1)
(710)
(3)
(58)
(17)
as reported
32.7%
32.8%
8.4%
1,505
208
138
1,306
458
410
217
119
2,930
5
959
246
1,159
960
171
221
1
(Impairement)/reversal of impairement of non-current
- Employment termination expenses net of related
Wholesale revenue (including interconnect)
wholesale services (including interconnect)
curtailment of long-term employee benefits
amounts in PLN millions
Other operating incomes & expenses
- Gain on disposal of Contact Center
ment
Employment termination expenses
Gain/(loss) on disposal of assets
Enterprise solutions & networks
Fixed broadband, TV and VoIP
- Network and IT expenses
- Other external purchases
- Interconnect expenses
Depreciation & amortisation
Consolidated net income
- Commercial expenses
me state
mobile equipment sales
External purchases
Reported EBITDA
Finance costs, net
Mobile revenues
Restated EBITDA
Fixed narrowband
Labour expenses
Total revenues
Fixed services
Other revenue
year-on-year**
% of revenues
% of revenues
% of revenues
retail services
Revenues
Income tax
Inco
assets
EBIT
2015 2016
1,594
1,085
251
258
1,156
376
369
222
189
101
2,851
-3.9%
(404)
(1,535)
(381)
(164)
(656)
(334)
(90)
9
831
29.1%
831
29.1%
(695)
1
137
4.8%
(79)
(21)
37
** Change is calculated based on restated figures

Orange Polska Group key performance indicators

customer base (in thousands) 2015 2016
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
Convergent customers1 591 627 667 728 766 799 837
Fixed telephony accesses2
POTS, ISDN & WLL 3,880 3,780 3,681 3,580 3,487 3,415 3,337
VoIP first line 555 567 587 614 633 644 651
Total retail main lines 4,435 4,347 4,268 4,194 4,120 4,059 3,988
Fixed broadband access2
ADSL 1,902 1,850 1,794 1,734 1,669 1,613 1,562
VHBB 207 232 271 316 366 409 436
o/w VDSL 204 227 263 299 339 370 379
o/w FTTH 3 5 8 17 27 39 57
CDMA 89 77 66 55 44 35 27
Retail broadband - total 2,198 2,159 2,131 2,105 2,079 2,057 2,025
TV client base2
IPTV 150 156 169 184 200 213 214
DTH (TV over Satellite) 606 605 605 603 597 590 548
TV client base - total 756 761 774 787 797 803 761
-o/w 'nc+' packages 158 158 164 182 190 194 194
3P services (TV+FBB+VoIP)2 441 455 478 507 531 547 527
Mobile accesses2
Post-paid 7,727 7,897 8,087 8,361 8,576 8,798 9,085
-o/w B2B 2,496 2,561 2,601 2,688 2,754 2,817 2,893
Pre-paid 7,791 7,690 7,606 7,545 7,689 7,898 7,309
Total3 15,518 15,587 15,693 15,906 16,265 16,696 16,394
- of which dedicated mobile broadband accesses 1,590 1,693 1,806 2,001 2,229 2,473 2,615
Wholesale customers
WLR 991 933 886 832 780 730 693
Bitstream access 263 261 254 245 234 222 213
LLU 146 141 136 131 125 120 116
  1. Convergent customers are included in fixed telephony, fixed broadband and mobile

  2. 3Q2016 reflects impact of customer base revision (see 'KPIs base revision') 3. All SIM cards, including handsets, mobile broadband, M2M

quarterly ARPU in PLN per month 2016
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
Retail fixed voice ARPU2 40.4 40.2 40.0 39.3 39.2 38.7 38.4
Fixed broadband ARPU (Broadband, TV & VoIP)2 60.8 61.4 61.2 61.2 60.3 60.2 60.3
Mobile ARPU2
post-paid 50.5 50.0 49.1 47.1 45.3 44.3 43.7
-o/w B2B 57.1 55.0 53.9 49.8 48.8 46.8 46.0
pre-paid 12.1 12.9 13.2 12.7 12.4 11.9 12.0
blended 30.2 30.6 30.6 29.8 28.9 28.1 28.1
retail ARPU 25.6 25.7 25.6 24.5 23.6 22.8 22.8
wholesale ARPU 4.6 4.9 5.0 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3
handset ARPU 31.0 31.7 31.8 31.1 30.1 29.7 30.1
broadband ARPU 23.1 22.2 21.8 20.7 21.4 19.2 17.9
other mobile operating statistics 2015 2016
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
MVNOs customers (thousands) 11 8 8 7 7 6 6
Number of smartphones (thousands) 4,768 4,965 5,256 5,470 5,809 5,996 6,057
volumes & churn
AUPU (in minutes)
post-paid 335.6 345.0 341.3 342.5 345.0 359.3 351.1
pre-paid 100.0 106.0 107.8 107.5 105.3 104.4 104.7
blended 210.9 220.1 221.1 223.9 225.3 231.8 230.4
Quarterly mobile customer churn rate (%)
post-paid 3.7 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.7
pre-paid 16.7 16.1 17.0 16.9 15.7 15.2 16.8
subsidies
SAC post-paid (PLN) 375.1 320.8 306.8 336.4 265.7 237.5 211.0
SRC post-paid (PLN) 292.3 259.0 214.6 277.6 221.1 177.2 174.8
network coverage
4G coverage in % of population 72.0% 78.8% 79.0% 83.7% 89.2% 95.4% 97.4%
3G coverage in % of population 99.4% 99.4% 99.6% 99.6% 99.6% 99.6% 99.6%
Employment structure of Group as reported 2015 2016
Active full time equivalents (end of period) 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
Orange Polska 17,887 17,393 16,871 16,599 16,497 16,099 15,786
50% of Networks 369 354 356 368 349 338 344
Total 18,256 17,747 17,227 16,967 16,846 16,437 16,130

Terms used:

Average Usage per User (AUPU) – the average monthly total usage of minutes divided by the average number of SIM cards (excluding M2M) in a given period.

Churn rate – the number of customers who disconnect from a network in a given period divided by the weighted average number of customers in the same period.

ICT – Information and Communication Technology

Fixed Broadband ARPU – the average monthly revenues from fixed broadband services (including TV and VoIP services) divided by the average number of accesses in a given period.

Mobile ARPU – the average monthly revenues from mobile services (outgoing and incoming, including connection and termination fees, visitors roaming, excluding M2M), divided by the average number of SIM cards (excluding M2M) in a given period.

Mobile Broadband ARPU – the average monthly revenues from SIM cards dedicated to mobile broadband access (all service revenues including outgoing and incoming) divided by the average number of these SIM cards in a given period.

Mobile Handset ARPU – the average monthly revenues from SIM cards dedicated to mobile handset access (all service revenues including outgoing and incoming) divided by the average number of these SIM cards in a given period.

Subscriber Acquisition Cost (SAC) – Customer acquisition costs divided by the number of gross customers added during the respective period. Customer acquisition costs comprise commissions paid to distributors and net subsidies resulting from the sale of the handset.

Subscriber Retention Cost (SRC) – Customer retention costs divided by the number of customers retained during the respective period. Customer retention costs comprise commissions paid to distributors and net subsidies resulting from the sale of the handset.

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.