Earnings Release • May 24, 2019
Earnings Release
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Amsterdam, The Netherlands / 24 May 2019
"We maintained our disciplined sales approach to weather the fluctuations of the fertilizer markets during the first quarter and positioned ourselves appropriately for the delayed application season in the US and delayed purchasing in Europe: we held back volumes when prices started to decline, and as a result our inventories reached record levels at the end of March.
In the past weeks seasonal demand has kicked in and our sales volumes have rapidly accelerated. We have shipped record volumes in April and May and for most of our products at higher prices than we would have achieved a few months ago, confirming the merits of our commercial strategy. Across the industry we also expect the ending stocks of nitrogen fertilizers in our markets to reach levels below the average of recent years by the end of June.
We achieved these significant additional shipments thanks to the strong execution of our operational teams and the logistical advantages of our operations. As a result, we expect the low first quarter to be followed by a record second quarter and continue our path of deleveraging.
In the US, there are currently significant bottlenecks for the transportation of product from the US Gulf into the Midwest as a result of heavy congestion on the rivers and railroads. We are able to capitalize on such issues due to our unique in-region positioning in the Upper Midwest. Our warehouses are near our end customers at the heart of seasonal demand, capturing the logistical premium as compared to product transported into the Midwest from New Orleans (NOLA).
In Europe, we are on track to ship record volumes of CAN during the second quarter and reach a higher level of sold CAN volumes in the first half of 2019 than during the same period a year ago, leveraging our robust logistical organization and proximity to key end markets.
In addition to the reduction in inventories, our production rates are looking healthy in the second quarter. Sorfert completed a major planned turnaround during the first quarter, when a new waste heat boiler was installed and other maintenance work was performed. This is expected to result in improved operating rates. After the turnaround, Sorfert's standalone ammonia line has already been able to run close to its maximum design capacity. Natgasoline is now running well following a shutdown due to utilities supply issues, which have been fully resolved. We expect these two plants to contribute significantly to our results during the remainder of the year.
We expect further boosts to our production within the next few months. BioMCN's second line is in its commissioning phase and is preparing for start-up in June, and the c.13% methanol capacity increase at OCI Beaumont is on track for mid-year."
We expect continued growth in adjusted EBITDA and improvement of our leverage metrics in 2019, and we remain committed to our financial policy to prioritise expected strong free cash flows for deleveraging towards 2x through the cycle.
Our diversified portfolio of nitrogen products consists of fertilizer, diesel exhaust fluid (DEF) and melamine:
Our methanol business was affected by unplanned shutdowns in the first quarter of 2019, but production normalized towards the end of the quarter. With the imminent start-up of the second line at BioMCN and 13% increase in methanol capacity at OCI Beaumont, we are on track to reach 2.95 million metric tons of proportionate production capacity annual run-rate this summer.
Fundamentals of methanol markets remain positive:
Gas prices have moderated in both Europe and the United States since the high levels reached in 2018. We expect to see the full benefit of the materially lower gas prices in Europe from the second quarter onwards, benefiting from a combination of spot buying and hedges for part of our natural gas requirement for our European operations.
In the United States, we continue to benefit from low gas prices and hedges, with costless collars between around \$2.40 to \$3.50 for the majority of our gas needs at OCIB and Natgasoline, and prices below \$2.40 for almost 70% of IFCo's requirement for the remainder of the year.
| Q1 2019 | Q1 2018 | % Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 596.5 | 744.8 | (20%) |
| Gross Profit | 52.5 | 169.7 | (69%) |
| Gross profit margin | 8.8% | 22.8% | |
| Adjusted EBITDA2) | 129.3 | 235.1 | (45%) |
| EBITDA2) | 122.2 | 252.1 | (52%) |
| EBITDA margin | 20.5% | 33.8% | |
| Adj. net income (loss) attributable to shareholders | (82.2) | 11.3 | nm |
| Net income (loss) attributable to shareholders | (81.2) | 24.5 | nm |
| Earnings / (loss) per share (\$) | |||
| Basic earnings per share | (0.388) | 0.117 | nm |
| Diluted earnings per share | (0.388) | 0.117 | nm |
| 31-Mar-19 | 31-Dec-18 | % Δ | |
| Total Assets | 7,464.3 | 7,320.0 | 2% |
| Gross Interest-Bearing Debt | 4,672.6 | 4,580.3 | 2% |
| Net Debt | 4,162.9 | 4,119.6 | 1% |
| Q1 2019 | Q1 2018 | % Δ | |
| Free cash flow2) | (15.9) | 114.0 | nm |
| Capital Expenditure | 59.7 | 42.9 | 39% |
| Of which: maintenance capital expenditure | 18.6 | 20.1 | (7%) |
| Sales volumes ('000 metric tons)3) | |||
| OCI Product | 1,694.6 | 2,171.2 | (22%) |
| Third Party Traded | 475.4 | 343.4 | 38% |
1) Unaudited
2) OCI N.V. uses Alternative Performance Measures ('APM') to provide a better understanding of the underlying developments of the performance of the business. The APMs are not defined in IFRS and should be used as supplementary information in conjunction with the most directly comparable IFRS measures. A detailed reconciliation between APM and the most directly comparable IFRS measure can be found in this report
3) Fully consolidated, not adjusted for OCI ownership stake in plant, except 50% OCI's share of Natgasoline volumes
| Q1 2019 | Q1 2018 | % Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own Product | |||
| Ammonia | 367.5 | 524.0 | (30%) |
| Urea | 448.2 | 664.9 | (33%) |
| Calcium Ammonium Nitrate (CAN) | 108.7 | 223.0 | (51%) |
| Urea Ammonium Nitrate (UAN) | 239.9 | 341.8 | (30%) |
| Total Fertilizer | 1,164.3 | 1,753.7 | (34%) |
| Methanol1) | 398.1 | 342.3 | 16% |
| Melamine | 35.2 | 34.3 | 3% |
| Diesel Exhaust Fluid (DEF) | 97.0 | 40.9 | 137% |
| Total Industrial Chemicals | 530.3 | 417.5 | 27% |
| Total Own Product Sold | 1,694.6 | 2,171.2 | (22%) |
| Traded Third Party | |||
| Ammonia | 89.8 | 46.7 | 92% |
| Urea | 71.7 | 72.6 | (1%) |
| UAN | 6.8 | 24.5 | (72%) |
| Methanol | 96.5 | 31.6 | 205% |
| Ammonium Sulphate (AS) | 201.8 | 168.0 | 20% |
| DEF | 8.8 | - | nm |
| Total Traded Third Party | 475.4 | 343.4 | 38% |
| Total Own Product and Traded Third Party | 2,170.0 | 2,514.6 | (14%) |
1) Including OCI's 50% share of Natgasoline volumes
Total own-produced fertilizer sales volumes were 34% lower during the quarter compared to the same period last year due to OCI's decision to postpone sales and build up inventory in anticipation of the start of the season in the second quarter. Our reported sales volumes in Q1 2019 also reflect the major planned shutdown at Sorfert, which lasted from the end of January until March.
Production levels at our nitrogen facilities were at healthy levels during the quarter. Our plants in Egypt continued to run at high efficiency rates above nameplate capacity, operating rates at Sorfert's standalone ammonia line improved to close to its maximum design capacity following the turnaround, IFCo showed robust reliability despite harsh winter conditions, and our operations in the Netherlands benefited from lower gas prices during the quarter.
Our other nitrogen products remain a cornerstone of our growth, with DEF volumes continuing to ramp up:
Despite some shutdowns across our methanol portfolio, own-produced methanol sales volumes improved 16% in Q1 2019 compared to Q1 2018.
| \$ million | Methanol US |
Methanol Europe |
Nitrogen US |
Nitrogen Europe |
Nitrogen MENA |
Other | Elimination | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenues | 145.2 | 57.2 | 91.2 | 193.7 | 162.0 | - | - | 649.3 |
| Inter-segment revenues | (25.1) | (2.0) | - | - | (25.7) | - | - | (52.8) |
| Total revenues | 120.1 | 55.2 | 91.2 | 193.7 | 136.3 | - | - | 596.5 |
| Gross profit | 15.4 | (12.3) | 12.6 | 23.7 | 16.9 | (3.0) | (0.8) | 52.5 |
| Operating profit | 11.6 | (13.5) | 6.6 | 13.6 | 7.6 | (18.1) | 1.1 | 8.9 |
| Depreciation & amortization | 31.5 | 2.7 | 33.7 | 17.3 | 42.9 | 1.2 | (16.0) | 113.3 |
| EBITDA | 43.1 | (10.8) | 40.3 | 30.9 | 50.5 | (16.9) | (14.9) | 122.2 |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 50.8 | (10.3) | 40.3 | 30.9 | 50.5 | (18.0) | (14.9) | 129.3 |
| \$ million | Methanol US |
Methanol Europe |
Nitrogen US |
Nitrogen Europe |
Nitrogen MENA |
Other | Elimination | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenues | 117.0 | 61.5 | 90.7 | 226.1 | 278.4 | - | - | 773.7 |
| Inter-segment revenues | (7.2) | - | - | (0.1) | (21.6) | - | - | (28.9) |
| Total revenues | 109.8 | 61.5 | 90.7 | 226.0 | 256.8 | - | - | 744.8 |
| Gross profit | 41.9 | 6.5 | (2.0) | 35.4 | 84.1 | - | 3.8 | 169.7 |
| Operating profit | 36.5 | 5.3 | (5.6) | 26.7 | 96.2 | (14.2) | 4.9 | 149.8 |
| Depreciation & amortization | (15.3) | (2.7) | (26.4) | (14.7) | (43.2) | (0.3) | 0.3 | (102.3) |
| EBITDA | 51.8 | 8.0 | 20.8 | 41.4 | 139.4 | (13.9) | 4.6 | 252.1 |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 51.8 | 8.0 | 20.8 | 41.4 | 122.4 | (13.9) | 4.6 | 235.1 |
| Q1 '19 | Q1 '18 | % Δ | Q4 '18 | % Δ | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ammonia | NW Europe, FOB | \$/mt | 331 | 333 | -1% | 388 | -15% |
| Ammonia | US Gulf Tampa contract | \$/mt | 282 | 333 | -15% | 345 | -18% |
| Granular Urea | Egypt, FOB | \$/mt | 266 | 260 | 2% | 315 | -16% |
| CAN | Germany, CIF | €/mt | 221 | 194 | 14% | 229 | -3% |
| UAN | France, FOT | €/mt | 216 | 160 | 35% | 228 | -5% |
| UAN | US Midwest, FOB | \$/mt | 245 | 223 | 10% | 280 | -13% |
| Melamine | Europe contract | €m/t | 1,575 | 1,625 | -3% | 1,625 | -3% |
| Methanol | USGC Contract, FOB | \$/mt | 435 | 490 | -11% | 493 | -12% |
| Methanol | Rotterdam FOB Contract | €/mt | 350 | 380 | -8% | 428 | -18% |
Source: CRU, Argus, ICIS
OCI has chosen to implement IFRS 16 using the modified retrospective approach effective 1 January 2019. As a result, the Q1 2019 numbers reflect the adoption, but comparative numbers were not restated. While applying the modified retrospective approach, OCI has elected the option to measure the right-of-use asset based on the value of the lease obligation, to exclude initial direct cost and to use the incremental borrowing rate to determine the present value of the lease obligation.
The impact is relatively small. As a result of the adoption of the standard, EBITDA is positively impacted by approximately \$8 million during Q1 2019, of which a \$1.3 million increase of interest expenses and the remainder an increase of depreciation expenses. The impact on the net income (loss) attributable to shareholders is minimal.
| \$ millions | Q1 2019 before IFRS 16 |
Impact IFRS 16 | Q1 2019 including IFRS 16 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA | 118.2 | 11.1 | 129.3 |
| EBITDA | 114.5 | 7.7 | 122.2 |
| Depreciation & amortization | (106.0) | (7.3) | (113.3) |
| Operating profit | 8.5 | 0.4 | 8.9 |
| Net finance cost | (90.2) | (1.3) | (91.5) |
| Total net loss | (81.3) | (0.9) | (82.2) |
| Cash flows from operating activities | 0.4 | 7.7 | 8.1 |
| Cash flows from financing activities | 111.1 | (7.7) | 103.4 |
| Total Assets | 7,257.1 | 207.2 | 7,464.3 |
| Total Liabilities | 5,855.5 | 208.0 | 6,063.5 |
Consolidated revenue decreased 20% to \$597 million in the first quarter of 2019 compared to the same quarter in 2018, as our own-produced and traded volumes decreased and selling prices across our portfolio were on average at the same level.
Adjusted EBITDA decreased 45% to \$129 million in Q1 2019 compared to \$235 million in Q1 2018, predominantly due to the lower revenues. On a segment basis, the MENA business decreased due to the shutdown at Sorfert and the build-up in inventories. The methanol business decreased predominantly due to lower realized methanol prices and production downtime, whereas Natgasoline's contribution was relatively limited due to the shutdown.
Adjusted net loss was \$82 million in Q1 2019 compared to a net profit of \$11 million in Q1 2018. The reported net loss (after non-controlling interest) was \$81 million in Q1 2019 compared to a net profit of \$25 million in Q1 2018.
| \$ million | Q1 2019 | 1) Q1 2018 |
|---|---|---|
| Net revenue | 596.5 | 744.8 |
| Cost of Sales | (544.0) | (575.1) |
| Gross profit | 52.5 | 169.7 |
| Gross profit % of revenues | 8.8% | 22.8% |
| SG&A | (46.6) | (40.6) |
| Other Income | 3.3 | 20.8 |
| Other expense | (0.3) | (0.1) |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 129.3 | 235.1 |
| EBITDA | 122.2 | 252.1 |
| EBITDA % of revenues | 20.5% | 33.8% |
| Depreciation & amortization | (113.3) | (102.3) |
| Operating profit | 8.9 | 149.8 |
| Interest income | 1.7 | 3.4 |
| Interest expense | (78.1) | (85.9) |
| Other finance income / (cost) | (15.1) | 11.3 |
| Net finance costs | (91.5) | (71.2) |
| Income from equity-accounted investees | (9.7) | (3.6) |
| Net income before tax | (92.3) | 75.0 |
| Income tax expense | 10.1 | (7.6) |
| Net profit | (82.2) | 67.4 |
| Non-Controlling Interest | 1.0 | (42.9) |
| Net loss attributable to shareholders | (81.2) | 24.5 |
* Unaudited
1) Q1 2018 has not been adjusted for IFRS 16
Adjusted EBITDA is an Alternative Performance Measure (APM) that intends to give a clear reflection of underlying performance of OCI's operations. The main APM adjustments in the first quarters of 2019 and 2018 relate to:
| \$ million | Q1 2019 | Q1 2018 | Adjustment in P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating profit as reported | 8.9 | 149.8 | |
| Depreciation and amortization | 113.3 | 102.3 | |
| EBITDA | 122.2 | 252.1 | |
| APM adjustments for: | |||
| Expenses related to expansion projects | 0.5 | - | SG&A / other expenses |
| Sorfert insurance income / loss of revenue | - | (17.0) | Revenue / other income |
| Change in unrealised result on natural gas hedging | (1.9) | - | COGS |
| Other adjustments | 0.4 | - | Other income and expenses |
| Natgasoline | 8.1 | - | Represents OCI's share of Natgasoline EBITDA |
| Total APM adjustments | 7.1 | (17.0) | |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 129.3 | 235.1 |
At the net income level, the main APM adjustments in Q1 2019 and Q1 2018 relate to Natgasoline, and non-cash foreign exchange gains or losses on US\$ exposure.
| \$ million | Q1 2019 | Q1 2018 |
|---|---|---|
| Reported net income attributable to shareholders | (81.2) | 24.5 |
| Adjustments for: | ||
| Adjustments at EBITDA level | 7.1 | (17.0) |
| Add back: Natgasoline EBITDA adjustment | (8.1) | - |
| Expenses related to expansion projects | - | 4.9 |
| Change in unrealised gas hedging Natgasoline | (8.0) | - |
| Forex gain/loss on USD exposure | 9.8 | (10.6) |
| Non-controlling interest adjustment | 0.9 | 9.5 |
| Tax effect of adjustments | (2.7) | - |
| Total APM adjustments at net income level | (1.0) | (13.2) |
| Adjusted net income attributable to shareholders | (82.2) | 11.3 |
Free cash flow amounted to a negative \$16 million during Q1 2019 versus \$114 million in Q1 2018. The cash flow reflects a higher-than-usual \$105 million increase in working capital following an accelerated build-up of inventory from late February onwards in anticipation of the start of the season and higher selling prices.
Net debt was \$4,163 million as at 31 March 2019, approximately at the same level as the \$4,120 million as at 31 December 2018, reflecting:
| \$ million | Q1 2019 | Q1 2018 |
|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 122.2 | 252.1 |
| Working capital | (104.9) | (55.5) |
| Maintenance capital expenditure | (18.6) | (20.1) |
| Tax paid | (0.5) | (0.9) |
| Interest / net dividends paid / received | (46.6) | (51.0) |
| Insurance receivable / received Sorfert | 31.8 | (20.0) |
| Adjustment non-cash expenses | 0.7 | 9.4 |
| Free Cash Flow | (15.9) | 114.0 |
| Reconciliation to change in net debt: | ||
| Growth capital expenditure | (41.1) | (22.8) |
| Acquisition non-controlling interest OCI Partners | - | - |
| Other non-operating items | (7.7) | (17.4) |
| Non-operating working capital | 5.6 | (2.7) |
| Net effect of movement in exchange rates on net debt | 17.1 | (37.8) |
| Other non-cash items | (1.3) | (22.1) |
| Net Cash Flow / Decrease (Increase) in Net Debt | (43.3) | 11.2 |
This report contains unaudited first quarter consolidated financial highlights of OCI N.V. ('OCI', 'the Group' or 'the Company'), a public limited liability company incorporated under Dutch law, with its head office located at Honthorststraat 19, 1071 DC Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
OCI N.V. is registered in the Dutch commercial register under No. 56821166 dated 2 January 2013. The Group is primarily involved in the production of nitrogen-based fertilizers and industrial chemicals.
This report has been authorised for issue by the Board of Directors on 23 May 2019.
The financial highlights and the reported data in this report have not been audited by an external auditor.
OCI N.V. (Euronext: OCI) is a global producer and distributor of natural gas-based fertilizers & industrial chemicals based in the Netherlands. OCI produces nitrogen fertilizers, methanol and other natural gas-based products, serving agricultural and industrial customers from the Americas to Asia. OCI is a leading global nitrogen fertilizer producer with almost 10 million metric tons of capacity. OCI is also on track to become one of the world's largest methanol producers with almost 3 million tons of proportionate capacity. OCI is listed on Euronext in Amsterdam.
Hans Zayed Director Email: [email protected]
Tel: +31 (0) 6 18 251 367
For additional information on OCI:
OCI stock symbols: OCI / OCI.NA / OCI.AS / OCINY
Honthorststraat 19 1071 DC Amsterdam The Netherlands
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