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Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA

Earnings Release Apr 25, 2024

3690_rns_2024-04-25_4ee6b18e-6b0d-47b8-97c3-eeabb5361b66.pdf

Earnings Release

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Presentation of first quarter 2024

25 April 2024

Q1 operating loss (EBIT) NOK 763 million

  • EBIT excl. other losses/(gains) NOK 637 million – impacted by negative FX revaluation effects
  • significant improvement from Q1 last year – group operating revenue up 55%
  • liquidity position increase to 10.4 billion
  • cost level according to target
    • supported by efficiency initiatives

Preferred travel partner throughout Nordics

  • 340 Norwegian routes across attractive network – close to 100 Widerøe routes
  • operational excellence amidst harsh winter weather
  • new logo and visual profile
    • smart and cost-efficient launch

Widerøe transaction completed

  • regional carrier with 49 aircraft and 90-year history
  • initial quarter with Widerøe inclusion
  • linking of highly complementary route networks to passengers' benefit Capturing corporate

Ramping up for summer season

  • persistent booking momentum with significant increase in capacity
  • 650 new flying colleagues ahead of summer season
  • fleet impacted by Boeing aircraft delays – 87 aircraft fleet for summer

market share

  • double-digit revenue and PAX (+13%) growth
  • Norwegian Defence contract started 1 Feb.
  • Widerøe acquisition improving corporate offering

Number of passengers this quarter (group) 4.8 million

Q1 operating performance (Norwegian)

March operating performance report (Cirium)

  • top five punctual European airline in March
  • top three global low-cost carrier

Reduced winter capacity supporting unit revenue

Norwegian Traffic – PAX per month, load factor and yield

3,500

95.0%

100.0%

Strong load and improving unit revenue

• Q1 unit revenue (total) +17% YoY

March traffic boosted by early Easter

• also resulting in softer April traffic

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

Getting customers to their destinations

  • regularity close to 100% despite challenging winter weather
  • zero cancellations of international Easter flights

Ramp-up from March continuing in April

Norwegian – persisting booking momentum into summer

14,000,000,000

7-day rolling sales figures (PAX) –All markets1)

600 ,000

Satisfactory and stable sales momentum

• diversified bookings across destinations and travel month

Significant capacity increase in selected markets

  • growing significantly with new routes to beach destinations
  • first establishment of non-Nordic routes since 2020

Booked revenue – May to August travel2)

Load on par with last year for summer

  • capacity increase 15% (May August)
  • more than 300,000 additional tickets sold vs. last year

Forecasting yield growth vs record strong summer 2023

• current forecast low single-digit (%) yield growth (May – August)

1) travel anytime, anywhere as of 20 April 2024 2) 2019 adjusted for comparable route network

Financial results for Q1 2024

Quarterly financial highlights

Revenues

  • Norwegian unit revenue higher with improving load and yield
    • up 17% from Q1 last year
  • ancillary NOK 173 per pax – up from NOK 158 last year

0.76 0.73 Norwegian unit revenue – total Norwegian passenger traffic (million RPK)

Profits

group operating loss (EBIT) NOK 763 million

  • improving from NOK 916m operating loss last year
  • improved results from operations of NOK 551m
  • negative FX revaluations impact OLG1) NOK 126m
  • Norwegian CASK ex. fuel NOK 0.61 for quarter

Balance sheet

  • robust liquidity position up to NOK 10.4 billion – positive working capital effect with low holdback
  • equity ratio 14.3%, up from 11.2% last year
  • Widerøe acquisition cash settlement in January

Revenue development

Quarterly total operating revenue (NOK million)

Capacity discipline during winter

• supporting load factor and yield improvement

Reduction in other revenue

  • other revenue for Norwegian reduced to NOK 92m
  • level normalising after COVID-19 CashPoint expiry

Widerøe contributing positively

• 24% share of group operating revenue in quarter

Operating profit (EBIT) development

Quarterly EBIT (NOK million)

Revenue and fuel supporting earnings

  • realised fuel hedge gains for Norwegian and Widerøe
  • EU-ETS quota price down 30% vs last year

Cost level impacted by inflation and ccy

  • unit cost excl. fuel NOK 0.61 – development according to plan
  • scale effects limited in Q1, but significant ramp-up
  • weak NOK impacting cost lines, but also revenues

Negative FX revaluation impact

• other losses/(gains) net loss NOK 126 million

Depreciation increasing with fleet size

• addition of latest generation 737 MAX 8 aircraft with reduced fuel-burn

9

Group P&L – significant improvement from last year

NOK million Q1 2024 Q1 2023 Chng.
(YoY)
Passenger revenue 5,126 3,191
Ancillary passenger revenue 731 604
Other revenue 288 181
Total operating revenue 6,144 3,975 +55% improved yield, load and Widerøe inclusion
additional flying FTEs for ramp-up and Widerøe inclusion
Personnel expenses 1,774 920
Aviation fuel 1,670 1,539
Airport and ATC charges 610 489
Handling charges 487 408
Technical maintenance expenses 281 158
Other operating expenses 896 586
EBITDAR excl other losses/(gains) 427 -124 +551 strong improvement in underlying earnings
Other losses/(gains) 126 31
EBITDAR 301 -155
Aircraft lease, depreciation and amortization 1,064 762
Operating profit (EBIT) -763 -916 +154
Net financial items -141 -75
Profit before tax (EBT) -903 -992
Income tax expense (income) 0 1
Net profit (loss) -904 -993

Robust balance sheet

31 Mar. 31 Dec. Chng.
NOK million 2024 2023 (QoQ)
Intangible assets 2,592 2,162
Tangible assets 19,097 15,016
Total non-current assets 22,129 17,506 +26% NOK 3.5bn from inclusion
of Widerøe
Receivables 4,998 3,306
Cash and cash equivalents 10,434 9,478
Total current assets 15,936 13,044
Assets 38,065 30,550
Equity 5,443 5,773
Non-current debt 14,212 12,312
Other non-current liabilities 4,198 3,505
Total non-current liabilities 18,409 15,817 +16% NOK 1.7bn from inclusion
of Widerøe
Air traffic settlement liabilities 7,398 3,203 +131% strong forward bookings
Current debt 2,033 1,713
Other current liabilities 4,781 4,045
Total current liabilities 14,212 8,960
Liabilities 32,621 24,777
Equity and liabilities 38,065 30,550
Equity ratio (%) 14.3 18.9 -4.6 p.p. up 3 p.p. from Q1 last year
Net interest-bearing debt
NOK
million
31
Mar
2024
31
Dec
2023
Chng
(QoQ)
Cash
&
equiv
10
434
,
9
478
,
+957
Aircraft
financing
Other
IB
debt
Retained
Claims
Bonds
13
465
,
2
2
684
,
11
301
,
102
2
622
,
+2
164
,
NIBD 5
810
,
4
548
,
+1
263
,
  • NIBD increase with added lease obligations and financing of own aircraft in relation to Widerøe acquisition – additional increase from ccy. revaluations
  • 87 aircraft in Norwegian at quarter-end, unchanged from year-end 2023
  • optimising and simplifying capital structure – paid down other interest-bearing debt this quarter
  • dividend provision of NOK 0.85 per share for 2022/2023
    • subject approval from bond holders
    • added to dividend fund following 2024 AGM

Cash flow – improved liquidity position into winter

Quarterly cash flow (NOK million)

Positive working capital effect

  • increased forward bookings
  • holdback at normalised level

Excess liquidity on deposits and money-market funds

• rate-of-return 5.5%

Limited aircraft prepayments to Boeing in 2024

• prepayment to date NOK 3.4bn

Widerøe acquisition completed in Q1

• net cash outflow NOK 1,000 million*

*purchase price remains subject to final adjustments

Widerøe – highly complementary business

Acquisition completed in January

  • major operator of public service obligation (PSO) – fleet of 49 aircraft – 46 turboprops and three E2s
  • transaction price NOK 1,125 million remaining subject to certain adjustments – implying P/E 3.0 – 3.5 on historic earnings

Solid business rationale

post synergies

  • route network complimentary networks with end-to-end connectivity with additional inbound travel
  • seasonality stronger corporate offering and resiliency through PSO operation – 1/5 of Norwegian seasonality
  • capturing broad range of revenue and cost synergies

Improving 2024 outlook

  • new PSO tender in effect from 1 April until 2027/2028
    • 50% reduced max. fares increased gov. revenues
    • Widerøe PSO capacity increase 6%
    • bookings for PSO next three months up 30% YoY
  • fuel hedge 80% for remainder of 2024 and 40% for 2025
    • levels significantly below current market
  • increasing interlining with Norwegian – interlining passengers up 42% vs Q1 last year

Widerøe roadmap

Strong customer proposition

  • increased route network with attractive destinations
  • seamless interlining across airlines
  • attractive offering to corporate market
  • loyalty programme

Reach and distribution

  • increased reach through sales collaboration and increased sales force
  • Norwegian launching sale of interlining tickets in medium-term – already available via Widerøe and travel agents

Key synergy streams*

– consolidated synergies in excess of NOK 300m

*illustration purposes only

Key cost initiatives for 2024 and beyond

Securing modern long-term fleetfor Norwegian

120

Countering Boeing delivery delays

  • upcoming deliveries for Boeing aircraft delayed 8 to 11 months – partially compensated for incurred delay cost
  • 87 aircraft fleet for summer, down from previous 90 aircraft estimate – overall unchanged 2024 capacity growth of 12%
  • evaluating 737 NG lease extensions for 2025 and 2026 – unchanged 2025 fleet estimate despite delivery delays

Replacing older generation aircraft

  • more fuel-efficient aircraft with significant cost savings – above 14% reduced fuel-burn and 40% noise reduction
  • CFM LEAP-1B engine unrelated to P&W GTF engine issues

Aircraft order delivery from 2025

  • order for 50 737 MAX 8 aircraft delivery 2025-2028
    • option for additional 30 aircraft
    • attractive pricing and inflation protection
  • considering MAX 10 for part of order/option
  • aircraft specification optimisation significant cost improvements
  • NOK 3.4bn PDP paid-in limited capex in 2024
  • significant share to be owned securing financing for initial deliveries

Facilitating for sustainable aviation

Committed to 45% reduction in emission intensity by 2030

  • 10% reduction in CO2 per RPK for Q1 vs previous year
  • more effective flight patterns less fuel burn less CO2 emissions

Reaching EU through A4E

• working with all major airlines in Europe to facilitate change in policies

Constantly working for more fossil-free aviation fuels (SAF)

  • Norsk e-fuel investor and customer
  • ready to commit offtake from new suppliers
  • working with governments to facilitate production

Gearing taxes towards aviation sustainability

• zero rating of emissions from SAF consumption under Norway CO2 tax and EU ETS already in effect

Outlook

FY 2024 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Capacity growth1) c. 12% 3% c. 19% c. 10% c. 16%
FY 2023 FY 2024
Operating profit (EBIT)2) NOK 2.5 –
3.2 billion
(excl. Widerøe)
\$
Norwegian unit cost (NOK) excl. fuel2)
Flat vs. 2023

1) Available seat kilometres (ASK) vs. same period last year

2) Assuming average market rates for period of jet fuel 870 USD/mt, EUR/NOK 11.4, USD/NOK 10.5.

Not including effects from Widerøe acquisition. Company is projecting not to pay significant amount in taxes over the coming years due to deferred tax asset, currently amounting to NOK 1.9 billion.

20 largest shareholders as of 31 March 2023*

Name Country Number of shares Percent
1 Geveran
Trading Company, Ltd.
Cyprus 129,010,512 13.4%
2 Sundt AS Norway 80,292,265 8.3%
3 Folketrygdfondet Norway 48,732,100 5.1%
4 Ballyfin Aviation Limited Ireland 31,472,703 3.3%
5 Acadian Asset Management LLC United States 29,855,367 3.1%
6 Nordnet
Bank AB.
Norway 28,721,922 3.0%
7 Silver Point Capital, L.P. United States 25,854,922 2.7%
8 Goldman Sachs International United Kingdom 23,071,527 2.4%
9 Handelsbanken Kapitalförvaltning AB Sweden 22,230,406 2.3%
10 Avanza Bank AB Sweden 18,261,767 1.9%
11 DNB Asset Management AS Norway 16,686,679 1.7%
12 BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A. United States 13,916,917 1.4%
13 Eika Kapitalforvaltning AS Norway 12,808,189 1.3%
14 Scotia Capital Inc. Canada 10,630,000 1.1%
15 KLP Fondsforvaltning AS Norway 10,131,195 1.1%
16 American Century Investment Management, Inc. United States 9,748,588 1.0%
17 Barclays Capital United Kingdom 9,520,649 1.0%
18 UBS Limited United Kingdom 8,562,297 0.9%
19 Société Générale Securities Services S.A. France 8,363,121 0.9%
20 Brumm
AS
Norway 7,591,234 0.8%
Top 20 shareholders 545,462,360 56.6%
Other shareholders 418,418,102 43.4%
Total number of shares 963,880,462 100.0%

*) The data is obtained through third-party analysis of beneficial ownership and fund manager information provided in replies to ownership notices issued to custodians. Reasonable efforts have been made to verify the data, however Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA cannot guarantee the accuracy of the analysis.

Disclaimer

Certain statements included in this presentation contain forward-looking statements, such as statements of future expectations. Although the statements provided are based on b b g N w g A S ASA ("N w g ") b b r of assumptions and forecasts that, by their nature, involve risks and uncertainties. No assurances can be given that the expectations provided in the forward-looking statements will prove to be correct.

Various factors may cause the actual results of Norwegian to differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to, (a) general economic conditions, (b) changes in the competitive climate, (c) fluctuations in the price of jet fuel, (d) fluctuations in currency exchange rates, (e) industrial actions, (f) contingencies and legal claims, and (g) legislative, regulatory and political factors.

Norwegian cautions readers of this presentation not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements in making an investment decision. Norwegian assumes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

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