Investor Presentation • Nov 25, 2021
Investor Presentation
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25 November 2021
Visit our website www.norskeskog.com
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09:00
Publication paper
Sven Ombudstvedt (CEO)
Packaging paper 09:40
10:30 Snack
10:50
11:30
Energy and bio products
Lars Sperre (SVP Corporate Strategy) Hugo Harstad (MD CEBINA and CEBICO)
Tore Hansesætre (SVP Strategic Projects)
Marleen van den Berg (VP Containerboard Sales)
Financial review
Rune Sollie (CFO)
11:55 Outlook Sven Ombudstvedt (CEO)
Q&A
between sessions
Kg CO2 direct and indirect (scope 1 and 2) emissions per tonne produced1
A-Excellent reporting in line with best practice. Good description of material issues and relevant results. Clear strategy and specific, quantifiable targets.
| RI STANDARDS INDEX | BUSTANIUS ITY BEFORT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| sie Sizg is reporting in accordance with the Global Reporting initiative The index refers to where information shoul a found in the Norske Skog - Annual Report 2020, Ilteratorio Core option are fully or partly reported relative to GHI. owing the moterfully enarysis - the todas below covers sepects that AR - Annual Report 2020 considered to be the most material ones to car stakeholders and/or company, For more information on CAY Ellandords and on the inchvisual Sik - Sunfarmability Report 2020, part of Annual 6 rollunos, see CRI's fiomegagos, www.googahagorting.arg |
THE SDOS ARE AN INTEGRAL PART OUR STRATEGY Andelice Isrange STATISTICS Packaging раскадту |
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| CASTING FORDS STARTED ANTIQUATES | All - Key Sports (III - Noted Marshall Emp) operations |
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| LANGIN FRANKING | Dollar Permane | Fiber and energy | Diversify and innovate |
| 1. London of Abendone | ALL CATCOS | ||
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63. Colomás promises All - KeyTigures |
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| Вантинормане | All-Encloses | ||
| 4. Information on amplituses and other workers | 58-Are Spiras employees. Any Opens operations | ||
| B Repyrrent | 98 - ROS 12 | ||
| 13 Significant changes to the organisation and its supply chan- LL Presidenty principle in appraich |
No capitboard changes in 2020 (E - About the nationality report; SDG 17 Entredpen in 5 |
Compliance | About the sustanability report |
| 12 - Editorationales - | BELLEVAN BY- | ||
| 12. Margareto el associatore | IR-1014 R00 U | Non-compliant and unethical conduct can have severe consequences, and | horses taug is convertist to contribute to sustainable development and |
| of Advert-Policy Statement Scott |
Schools and/or majority (SP) continuedly flatest of the financial The |
entails beth substantial occionist leases and republikinial damage. Norske | supports the ten principles in the UN-Slobal Compact. |
| of Actuals - Chies parkinging | International Profit Separate | Stock are is to be a "best in class" industry partner for our suppliers. | |
| 38. Viewes principals standards, and more of between | All . Colporate Soverhams | customers and other business relations, and an attractive investment for our | Norske Skip stus supports the work to develop a global standard for |
| M - Canadance RDC 17 | Watchmings. | reporting of sustainable development. We therefore use the Global | |
| ed delivers - Common Communication for |
Information reports AR., Crowner Streetand |
Reporting Initiative's (CRI) Standards for reporting relating to sustainability | |
| ribiana Kalendraja | Informera politic important | fairsha Tanichies common standards for all business with and employees to | as a foot to our work to report environmental and colocitate responsibility. |
| da and materiality analysis | ansare compilance (the theoring Quidelines), and a Code of Conduct which all | Our reporting practice is, in our view, for all practical purposes in line with the GRI Standards reporting principles. |
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| 41 Column Cancerto Arkenard | 14 FOCS ENTIMAL INCOME. | of our business partners shall adhere to. This strengthens the quality of our operators and promotes our predictability and credibility with customers. |
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| AZ COMPANY price and programs AV Approach to statuturies organized |
23. Statement and managers are work St., Nakelijke and materiality analysis |
suppliers and other partners, and consequently Norske Skog's commercial | The sustainability information which histoire Goog believes covers the |
| He Keysper and creams have | in - Hawkids activities anger | position. Norske Skog has established a system where a compliance officer | moterial sustainability aspects. For the environmental data, if covers the |
| hakeena - Bopeling pratha | Branch and/or response | by the group ensures that that the Steering Guidalines are up to date and | value chain of the group's activities. Sustainability data for 2020 includes all |
| Trillies included to the consentation frugolia statements 48 Baltimagnapart contact and topic involving |
SR., Consolvable of Snanche e Lebenserie, malla 21 Mr. Hashirda antisalatany arayon Aleutiho sala |
anisans that adequate internal control systems odel globally and locally. | paper mile at 10 December 2020. |
| 42 / Listenmann tons | IK - Dake o'de arcmaterate aranyis | However, the responsibility to comply with the Steering Guidelines on a day- | |
| 14 - Technon is s'elemeller | Restaurant restaurants | to-day basis lies with the line organisation at each of our business units as | Environmental data too been collected from the milk using relationed |
| AB Changes is reporting | No ognituati charges | compliance must take place where the risk lies, primarily in the preduction | reporting routines. These include monthly standardised reporting for the key |
| SI Supersyperse IS. Data of renal taxable report |
son' 13 March 2010 |
and commercial operations and their associated activities. | environmental data as well as a standardfood collection of supportiontary |
| AP - Republican Park | Armor. | for you like phositer a number of years maintained a whistle-blowho channel. | internation on an annual basis, Data from this reporting is collated by the environment manager on the group level in standardinad monthly reports. |
| (6) Certain point for questions reporting the report | PROFITABILITY | where an employee can report linepsar conditions or matters handle finds: | to the corporate management and to the board quarterix timitarix, people |
| Contact species is a contact with the CM filestands as 11 year company to be |
55 - Mod the sellan AAT years CR 15 mile to him 30 BELL PASSE MUSIC BUSINESS TIMES |
difficult to report directly to immediate superiors. Notake Skog considers it | data, and health and safety data are convoted from the mills with monthly |
| 38 Telema economic | 55 - Independent auditor's attorneys regard | Important that each employee to ensured confidential and sensus treatment. | mporting to the corporate management and quarterly to the board quarterly. |
| of reported toxies, and all reports are handled in accordance with written | |||
| Annual House (1931) / Monday Shop | procedures set out in the Nonike Skog Reporting Routines, Non-compliant and undtrace conduct can be reported to compliance anorskesking com. |
The sustainability rened conside of three stements: 1 Materialty analysis and TCFD class force on contab-related thiancle аксомия |
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| 2 Suitsmallilly Development Coats | |||
| 3 Congorate generrance | |||
4 1) Scope 1 includes direct emissions from stationary fuel combustion, transportation and mobile sources. Scope 2 includes indirect emissions from steam and power imports; 2) ETS = Emission Trading Scheme, Norske Skog is a net receiver of carbon emission allowances, indicating that Norske Skog is better than the industry emission intensity benchmark; 3) GRI = Global Reporting Initiative; 4) The NEXT and Therminator energy efficiency projects announced at the Norske Skog Saugbrugs mill in March 2020 have come on stream in 2021 to further improve the energy efficiency of Norske Skog. The projects are supported by the NOx Fund and Enova; 5) Being developed in partnership with Pearl Infrastructure Capital and Véolia. Norske Skog to hold 10% of the equity in the development company, Green Valley Energie
CSR reporting applying the GRI3 guidelines since 2003
5 1) Certifications are generally provided by PEFC (Programme for the Endorsement of Forest Certification) and FSC (Forest Stewardship Council), and set high standards with regards to forests being responsibly managed in a socially beneficial and environmentally conscious manner. All Norske Skog mills utilising wood have third-party verified Chain of Custody (CoC) certification; 2) Comprise of lower grade wood (like roundwood and chips) not suitable for building and construction materials; 3) 11% inorganic fillers and 1% purchased pulp; 4) Purchased electricity, including limited internal electricity production from green energy sources other than biomass; 5) Recovered heat energy mainly from the thermomechanical pulping (TMP) process; 6) Pro-forma for current publication paper capacity following ceased production at Saugbrugs PM5 end of 2020, ceased production at Tasman end of Q2 2021, and NEXT / Therminator energy efficiency initiatives at Saugbrugs
The CO2 will be injected for permanent storage 2.6km below the North Sea seabed (start in 2024)
Supporting Ocean GeoLoop to develop and pilot its CCUS2 technologies
1) Subsidiary of Borg Havn IKS; 2) CCUS = Carbon Capture, Utilisation and Storage; 3) Joint venture between partners Equinor, Shell and Total. Delivers CO2 transport and storage services. Initially, Northern Lights will have the capacity to transport, inject and store up to 1.5m tonnes of CO2 per year, but the ambition it to increase the capacity to at least 5m tonnes per year as demand grows
6 Source: Borg CO2, Northern Lights
22.1 24.1 23.6 22.4 21.3 19.8 19.0 18.1 17.8 16.9 15.4 12.3 12.5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 LTM (Oct) Western European domestic demand Net exports Publication paper demand Western Europe, million tonnes Expect resilient tail-end demand 1
Unprecedented reduction of installed capacity last 18 months driven by low paper prices and high fibre and energy costs
Remaining publication paper capacity in Western Europe as of Q3 2021
Tight market balance and significant cost increases have driven highly necessary increases in publication paper prices
News 45g SC rotogr. 56g LWC offset 60g
Sources: RISI, Landbruksdirektoratet, Nord Pool, European Energy Exchange (EEX), Dutch Title Transfer Facility (TTF) 1) 1.11 sorted graphic paper for deinking in Germany; 2) Norwegian spruce pulpwood price; 3) Dutch Title Transfer Facility (TTF) natural gas price
13 1) Pro-forma for current publication paper capacity following ceased production at Saugbrugs PM5 end of 2020, ceased production at Tasman end of Q2 2021, and NEXT / Therminator energy efficiency initiatives at Saugbrugs; 2) Includes chemicals, filler, packaging, machine clothing and more; 3) Purchased electricity, including limited internal electricity production from other green energy sources than bio fuels; 4) Recovered heat energy mainly from the thermomechanical pulping (TMP) process
Longstanding priority to be a reliable supplier of all publication paper grades to a broad customer base
~30% of Australasian sales to two long-relationship customers
15 Source: World Association for News Publishers (WAN-IFRA) World Press Trends 2020-2021 Outlook Survey, PWC (Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2020 - 2024)
Australia
-› PM2: Future containerboard candidate -› 900 GWh biomass boiler1 (Q2'24) -› Currently 565kt publication paper
-› PM3: 210kt containerboard (Q4'22) -› PM4: Future packaging candidate -› 400 GWh waste-to-energy (Q2'22) -› Currently 390kt publication paper
-› Fossil CO2 emissions (CCUS2 ) -› Long-term potential for advanced fuels -› Exploring high value bio products -› Currently 285kt publication paper
-› 90kt pellets capacity (up from 45kt) -› Reviewing scale-up to 150kt -› Currently in sales process
16 1) Being developed in partnership with Pearl Infrastructure Capital and Véolia. Norske Skog to hold 10% of the equity in the development company, Green Valley Energie; 2) CCUS = Carbon Capture, Utilisation and Storage
Publication paper is expected to continue to generate significant cash flows going forward
Publication paper Packaging paper Energy and bio products
Norske Skog will become a leading European independent producer in a market with high degree of trading between producers
21 Source: Websites of Smurfit Kappa, DS Smith, Mondi and Samsung 1) OEM = Original Equipment Manufacturer (automotive, electronics, machinery, equipment, etc.) The direct customers of Norske Skog's containerboard will be independent and integrated corrugators
Major industry trends favour sustainable and lightweight packaging, perfectly aligned with the profile of Norske Skog
23 Source: eMarketer Global Ecommerce Forecast 2021, FEFCO, RISI 1) Combination of liner and fluting containerboards (the two containerboard grades Norske Skog will produce) provides corrugated sheet
The e-commerce, marketplace and classifieds economy requires significant amounts of sustainable packaging papers will help enable the e-commerce economy
Above companies are illustrative examples of potential containerboard end-customers
24 Source: eMarketer Global Ecommerce Forecast 2021, European Paper Recycling Council, Zalando Capital Markets Day 2021, FEFCO
Norske Skog is aligned with global sustainability ambitions, will produce packaging paper from 100% recycled materials
"Replacing plastic packaging with more sustainable sources, preferably fibre based materials, will help us decrease the amount of plastic packaging"
"Recycling, which saves more than 700m tonnes in CO2 emissions every year, is one area in which P&G believes packaging innovation has the power to make a difference"
"100% recyclable or reusable. All packs designed for reuse or recycling in 2025"
"100% recyclable packaging by 2025. No fossil-based virgin plastic used in our packaging by 2030"
"Our brands will design 100% of our packaging to be recyclable or reusable by 2030"
"Target to design our packaging to minimise waste and eliminate single-use plastics by 2023"
"Our commitment is that 100% of our packaging is recyclable or reusable by 2025"
"By 2025 we will halve the amount of virgin plastic we use in our packaging"
"All packaging placed on the EU market has to comply with essential requirements related to its manufacturing, composition, and reusable or recoverable nature"
"Responsible consumption and production. By 2030, substantially reduce waste generation through prevention, reduction, recycling and reuse"
27
Project investment of EUR 350m (large share on contract)
ECA1 -backed debt financing enables highly competitive interest rates
Stepwise introduction with Bruck in Q4 2022 and Golbey in Q4 2023
Recycled containerboard production capacity
Based on historical trend prices and full utilisation in 2025-26
Local project management teams supported by dedicated and experienced personnel from Oslo head office
30 Source: External industry consultant (third-party), cost data as of Q3 2019
1) Europe excluding Russia; 2) Being developed in partnership with Pearl Infrastructure Capital and Véolia. Norske Skog to hold 10% of the equity in the development company, Green Valley Energie
31 Source: Euwid-Paper, Confederation of European Paper Industries (CEPI) Key Statistics 2020, European Paper Recycling Council, FEFCO Bruck waste-to-energy start-up in five months, reduces gas consumption and supports packaging start-up seven months later
32 1) Based on historical and normalised prices; 2) RDF = Refuse Derived Fuel, is a fuel produced from various types of waste such as municipal solid waste (MSW), industrial waste or commercial waste; 3) Assumes as if waste-to-energy plant had been operational in Q3 2021, and thus based on Q3 2021 average gas price of EUR 40 per MWh and average electricity price of EUR 63 per MWh; 4) Assumes as if waste-to-energy plant had been operational in Q3 2021, and thus based on Q3 2021 average CO2 price of EUR 57 per allowance
EU Green Deal: Circular Economy Action Plan Reduce landfill to a maximum of 10% of municipal waste generated by 2030
34 Source: European Commission, The European environment state and outlook 2020 1) Refuse-derived fuel (RDF) is a fuel produced from various types of waste such as municipal solid waste (MSW), industrial waste or commercial waste
35 1) CRE = Commission dé Regulation de L'Énergie. The CRE 5 initiative aims to increase the amount of green electricity available on the French grid in line with energy policy objectives; 2) EDF = Electricité de France, is an integrated energy company wholly owned by the French state; 3) O&M = Operations and Maintenance
36 Source: RISI, European Energy Exchange (EEX), Nord Pool 1) Testliner 3 140g; 2) 1.04 Old corrugated containers (OCC); 3) Germany
➢ Value accretive containerboard projects in Bruck and Golbey
Publication paper Packaging paper Energy and bio products
Introducing CEBINA as an alternative and sustainable input factor for large and established industries
CEBINA reduces time consumption, increases ease-of-use, and improves the environmental profile of the end-product
40 Note: Stock pictures illustrative of applications where CEBINA has seen commercial sales and applications, except from spray / filler applications. Not pictures of actual CEBINA application
Replacing one kg of plastics with fibre saves six kg of CO2 emissions
41 Source: Plastics Europe (Plastics the Facts 2020), UN Environment Programme 1) Includes thermoplastics, thermosets, elastomers, adhesives, coatings, sealants and PP-fibres
42 1) LDPE = Low Density Polyethylene; 2) PP = Polypropylene; 3) Comprising of lower grade fresh fibres (like roundwood and chips) not suitable for building and construction materials
P Improves strength in virgin and recycled plastics P Increases value and lifetime of recycled plastics P Reduces plastic consumption by up to 50%
CEBICO targets the large plastics market with a product that can reduce plastics consumption by up to 50%
43 Source: Statistics Norway, PlasticsExchange, Plastics Europe (Plastics the Facts 2020) 1) HDPE = High Density Polyethylene; 2) LDPE = Low Density Polyethylene; 3) PP = Polypropylene
Developing projects into businesses with high value fibre products improving sustainability of global industries
Intention and ambition to develop a leading position within bio composites Developing an industrial input factor
Becoming a separate business Ambition to establish CEBINA as a separate business under Norske Skog
Commercial sales with regular deliveries and revenue (multiple customers)
P
P
Several ongoing discussions with direct customers and international distributors
P
Capacity of 100-500 tonnes (depending on grade) enables commercial development
P Modular concept requiring limited machinery and equipment, utilise existing infrastructure (does not require external capital)
46 1) Industrial solvents NMP (n-methyl-2-pyrrolidone) and DMF (dimethylformamide); 2) REACH = Registration, Evaluation, Authorisation and Restriction of Chemicals; 3) LoI = Letter of Intent
Non-core asset in New Zealand, potential sale during 2022
Non-core asset in New Zealand, potential sale during 2022
Non-core assets in Norway, exploring ownership alternatives
Saugbrugs administration area being integrated in Halden city
4
5
Non-core assets in Norway, exploring ownership alternatives
Non-core asset in Norway, exploring ownership alternatives
Overview of Sauøya 0.71 km2 , Halden city, Norway
➢ Waste-to-energy facility: Start-up in Q2 2022
Publication paper Packaging paper Energy and bio products
Become a leading independent packaging producer
Q3 2021 net debt plus remaining capital expenditure commitments less illustrative cash flows
Liquidity and financing in place to meet capital expenditure commitments over next two years
Surplus allowances enabled by investments in green energy infrastructure
Source: European Commission
1) ETS = Emission Trading Scheme, Norske Skog is a net receiver of carbon emission allowances, indicating that Norske Skog is better than the industry emission intensity benchmark
60 Sources: European Commission, Nord Pool, European Energy Exchange (EEX), Miljødirektoratet 1) Based on Norwegian and French emission intensity factors, alternative standard, compensation intensity and average annual CO2 prices Business transition supported by re-investing earnings and strict adherence to established debt policy for all financings
PFinancial flexibility to fund short and long-term capital requirements
PMaintain a capital structure that suits the group's strategy
Norske Skog debt policy
PAccess to a diversified range of capital sources
PAim to have a leverage ratio less than 2.0x in the longer term
PKeep maturity profile on financing arrangements spread out
The effect of significant industrial projects and bio product innovation will rapidly become visible over next 1-2 years
Norske Skog ASA Postal address: P.O. Box 294 Skøyen, 0213 Oslo, Norway Visitors: Sjølyst Plass 2, 0278 Oslo, Norway
Phone: +47 22 51 20 20 Email: [email protected] Email: [email protected]
This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with Norske Skog's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives. All statements regarding the future are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.
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