Q1 2020 presentation 23 April 2020
www.norskeskog.com
First quarter in brief
EBITDA for the period NOK 379 million, compared to NOK 560 million in the previous quarter
Includes gain of NOK 62 million related to recycling of translation differences following completion of Albury sale, while fourth quarter includes gain of NOK 236 million
Cash flow from operations NOK 470 million, an increase from NOK -78 million in the previous quarter
- Reflects receipt of CO2 compensation for 2019 in the quarter
- Proceeds from Albury transactions included in cash flow from investing activities
Loss for the period NOK 374 million, compared to loss of NOK 158 million in the previous quarter
- Impacted by financial items of NOK -433 million, mainly due to unrealised currency loss on debt denominated in other currencies than NOK
- Additional impact of NOK -170 million from derivatives and other fair value adjustments
The Annual General Meeting held 16 April approved dividend of NOK 6.25 per share
- NOK 3.25 per share to be paid on 24 April 2020
- Board of Director's received authority to decide on payment and timing of remaining NOK 3.00 per share
COVID-19 pandemic with significant near-term impact
- Worldwide restriction on movement reduces current demand for publication paper
- Reduced newsprint and catalogue distribution due to domestic lock downs
First quarter in figures
560 344 6 31 |
|
87 07 3, 3, 505 3,1 3,1 771 |
|
444 429 2, |
379 |
| % |
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% 7 1 6 % 1 % 4 3 1 |
% 4 1 |
| 1 |
|
|
|
Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 |
Q1 2020 |
NOKm NOKm (and margin in %) NOKm (and margin in %) NOKm
Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020
Maintaining strong EBITDA
- Lower volumes mainly driven by a weaker market
- Prices declining on average 5-10% in the quarter
- Lower energy and RCP prices reducing direct costs
- Indirect costs lower due to lower labour and other indirect costs
- Favourable FX environment in the quarter
- Other includes sale of emissions allowances and effects relating to the sale of Albury (recycling of translation differences in Q1 2020 and sale of water rights and termination of energy contracts in Q4 2019)
EBITDA bridge Q4 2019 to Q1 2020
Strengthening cash position
Cash and cash equivalents bridge Q4 2019 to Q1 2020 970 470 408 -229 40 1,659 Cash Q4 2019 Cash flow operations Cash flow investments Cash flow financing FX impact on cash position Cash Q1 2020 NOKm
- Cash increase of NOK 689m in Q1 2020
- Cash of NOK 1,659m1 , gross debt of NOK 1,929m, and net debt of NOK 269m end of quarter
- Proceeds of NOK ~700m from Albury sale received
- Emission allowances sold in the quarter
- 2019 CO2 compensation payment of NOK 170 million for the Norwegian mills received in the quarter
- NOK ~400m from completion of Tasmania forest sale expected Q2 2020
- DPS of NOK 3.25 to be paid 24 April, total payment of NOK 268 million
Operational update regarding COVID-19
- Top priority to ensure health of employees and their families
- Utmost efforts made to maintain production levels in the current circumstances
- General lower demand of all paper grades due to COVID-19 restrictions and its impact on the economy
- Securing sourcing of raw material and delivering of finished goods is of key importance
- Saugbrugs temporarily ceased production at PM4 and PM5 due to demand decline
- Tasman and Nature's Flame ceased production on 13 April, New Zealand easing restrictions on 28 April
- Continue progression of strategic initiatives
Strategic ambitions
7
Solid quarter in Europe
414 351 330 337 329 17% 14% 14% 14% 15%
Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020
- Prices falling 5-10% during the quarter
- Lower volumes mainly driven by a weaker market
- Positive effect of lower RCP and energy prices
- Favourable currency environment
- Sale of emission allowances
European structural demand decline for publication paper
Sources: PPPC, RISI 1) Supercalendered (uncoated mechanical magazine paper grade); 2) Light weight coated (coated mechanical magazine paper grade)
Partial cost offset from carbon leakage initiatives
- Publication paper production is considered an industry at risk of carbon leakage
- Norske Skog is allocated allowances at the start of the year and excess allowances not required to cover emissions can be sold in the market
- Bruck is a net buyer of allowances in order to cover own emissions. Skogn, Saugbrugs and Golbey have excess allowances
- Three mills eligible for CO2 compensation to cover increase in electricity prices resulting from energy producers purchasing allowances
- The fourth phase of the EU Emission Trading System (ETS) will commence in 2021 and last to 2030
Pioneering energy efficiency initiatives at Saugbrugs
Investment in energy initiatives
- NEXT: Reduce electricity consumption in TMP production by ~90 GWh per year
- Therminator: Reduce thermal energy consumption by ~127 GWh per year
- Both initiatives primarily targeting PM6, the largest machine at Saugbrugs
- Further improving the industry-leading environmental profile of Saugbrugs
- Strong support both in the local community and politically
- Demonstrates Norske Skog's ability to reduce costs through innovation
NOKm
Bruck boiler progressing according to plan
Bruck boiler – Waste to energy plant
Strategic rationale
- Annual revenue and cost savings of EUR ~19m
- Local debt funding of EUR 54m, project capex of EUR 72m
- 50MW energy to support strategic opportunities
Environmental rationale
- Reduce gas consumption by utilising waste material
- Fulfils actual and upcoming EU regulations
Timeline
- Q2 2019: Final investment decision
- Q1 2020: Machine order
- Q1 2022: Start-up and take-over
- Potential timeline impact from COVID-19
Planned equity minority position in Green Valley Energie
Green Valley Energie – Partnership between Norske Skog Golbey and Véolia
Target limited equity cash investment in Green Valley Energie
Strategic rationale
- 70MW bio boiler and steam turbine, support strategic opportunities
- Secure cost efficient supply of steam to Golbey
Environmental rationale
Timeline
- Efficient and environmental use of waste wood material
- Produce green electricity to the French grid under 20 year agreement
- Environmentally friendly disposal of production sludge
- Q4 2019: GVE successful in winning national tender
- H2 2020: Final investment decision
- H1 2023: Estimated start-up of the new biomass boiler
- Potential timeline impact from COVID-19
Reduced operations in Australasia following Albury sale
20
21
28
1
- Revenue decline driven by lower volumes following sale of Albury
- Weak price environment, partially offset by majority of volume sold on domestic contracts
- Q4 2019 EBITDA impacted by sale of water rights and termination of energy contracts of NOK 236 million
Streamlining in Australasia
- Annual demand decline of 10-15% and limited profitability despite large share of contracted volumes
- Sale of the Albury mill to Visy providing net cash proceeds of NOK ~700m finalised in Q1 2020
- Sale of forest assets in Tasmania to New Forests1 for AUD 62.5m (NOK ~400m), cash expected end Q2 2020
- Entered into long-term wood supply agreements as part of sale transaction
Pellets capacity successfully increased to 85,000 tonnes
- Nature's Flame, a pellets company fully owned by Norske Skog
- State of the art pellet plant in Taupo, New Zealand
- Annual capacity increased from 35,000 to 85,000 tonnes
- Upgrade capex of NZD ~8m and earnings potential of NZD ~5m
- Pellets produced from sustainably sourced fibre residues and geothermal energy
Norske Skog is a frontrunner in the circular economy
+90% of wood fibres converted to paper in 2019, minimal waste
Certified
Consumed 1.6m tonnes fresh fibre in 2019 of which ~88% was certified
Recycled
Recycled 0.8m tonnes of 2.3m tonnes paper produced in 2019
Recovered
80% of production-related waste used to generate thermal energy
Energy efficient
Comprehensive programmes in place to reduce energy consumption
Significant reduction in CO2 footprint
Kg CO2 scope 1 and 2 emissions per tonne paper produced1
1) Scope 1 includes direct emissions from stationary fuel combustion, transportation and mobile sources. Scope 2 includes indirect emissions from steam and power imports
Outlook
- Weakened publication paper market balance in April due to national COVID-19 restrictions
- In the short-term, demand may fall beyond the structural decline seen in 2019 and into 2020
www.norskeskog.com
- Uncertainty on the supply of raw materials which may lead to temporary closures
- Further operational and liquidity measures could be implemented at future dates
- Norske Skog remains committed to continuing strategic initiatives
- Ambition to convert assets in Europe and diversify into high growth markets
- Clarify geographic strategy
- Maintain a strong balance sheet
- Dividend target of the company remains unchanged
Norske Skog ASA Postal address: P.O. Box 294 Skøyen, 0213 Oslo, Norway Visitors: Sjølyst Plass 2, 0278 Oslo, Norway
Phone: +47 22 51 20 20 Email: [email protected] Email: [email protected]