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Norsk Hydro ASA

Quarterly Report Oct 24, 2023

3684_rns_2023-10-24_dcccb659-d0c7-4690-a9fe-8b9d0c9fb826.pdf

Quarterly Report

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Third quarter 2023 Investor presentation

October 24, 2023

Table of contents

Second quarter results 2023 3
Appendix 38
Additional information 51
Next event & Contact info 66

Cautionary note

Certain statements included in this announcement contain forward-looking information, including, without limitation, information relating to (a) forecasts, projections and estimates, (b) statements of Hydro management concerning plans, objectives and strategies, such as planned expansions, investments, divestments, curtailments or other projects, (c) targeted production volumes and costs, capacities or rates, start-up costs, cost reductions and profit objectives, (d) various expectations about future developments in Hydro's markets, particularly prices, supply and demand and competition, (e) results of operations, (f) margins, (g) growth rates, (h) risk management, and (i) qualified statements such as "expected", "scheduled", "targeted", "planned", "proposed", "intended" or similar.

Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, these forward-looking statements are based on a number of assumptions and forecasts that, by their nature, involve risk and uncertainty. Various factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from those projected in a forward-looking statement or affect the extent to which a particular projection is realized. Factors that could cause these differences include, but are not limited to: our continued ability to reposition and restructure our upstream and downstream businesses; changes in availability and cost of energy and raw materials; global supply and demand for aluminium and aluminium products; world economic growth, including rates of inflation and industrial production; changes in the relative value of currencies and the value of commodity contracts; trends in Hydro's key markets and competition; and legislative, regulatory and political factors.

No assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Hydro disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Positioning for the long-term, navigating challenging markets

Hilde Merete Aasheim Chief Executive Officer

October 24, 2023

Safety a key priority

1) Total Recordable Injuries includes own employees and contractors

2) High Risk Incidents included own employees and contractors

3) Average over period

4

Q3 2023 Adjusted EBITDA NOK 3.9 billion

Free cash flow NOK (1.4) billion, adjusted RoaCE 8.5%

Weaker results in challenging and uncertain markets, firm mitigating actions in place

Delivering on strategic growth agenda in Extrusions and recycling, capturing value from Alumetal

Executing on decarbonization roadmap across the value chain, delivered first Hydro REDUXA 3.0 to Mercedes-Benz

EU regulatory framework supporting strategy, disappointing Norwegian national budget

Hydro Rein capital raise finalized, partnering with Macquarie Asset Management for renewables growth

5

Strong mitigating measures in challenging markets

Adjusting to market demand, releasing cash and accelerating improvement efforts

Short-term mitigation

Aluminium Metal

  • Volumes shifted between product segments
  • Utilizing short-term flexibility in recyclers

Extrusions

  • Strong margin management
  • Shifting volumes between product segments
  • Continuous adaption of extrusion capacity to demand through reduced number of shifts
  • Manning reductions in Europe to manage cost in challenging market
  • Utilizing short-term flexibility in recyclers

Continued efforts to reduce working capital

• Year to date cash release of more than NOK 4 billion

Medium-term robustness initiatives

Ambitious improvement program and commercial ambitions

• Ahead of target in 2023

Hedging program securing margins in challenging market

  • 2024: 440,000 tonnes hedged at USD 2,500 per tonne LME
  • 2025: 300,000 tonnes hedged at USD 2,400 per tonne LME

Making progress on Hydro's 2025 strategy

1 Strengthen position in low-carbon aluminium 2 Diversify and grow in new energy

Develop a more robust, higher earnings and more sustainable company

Leading the way: A groundbreaking partnership to accelerate net-zero transition for industries

Transaction details

  • Macquarie Asset Management has signed an agreement with Hydro relating to the future acquisition of 49.9 percent of Hydro's renewable energy company Hydro Rein.
  • Hydro and Macquarie Asset Management will form a joint venture (JV) where Hydro will own the remaining 50.1 percent of the company.
  • The transaction values Hydro Rein at USD 333 million per June 30, 2023.
  • Macquarie Asset Management intends to invest equity of USD 332 million over the coming years.
  • No further equity injections from Hydro are planned for, with the ambition to be selffunded for growth.
  • Onshore wind projects located close to Hydro's smelters in Norway are not part of the JV.
  • The JV will be accounted for as non-controlled investment using the equity method.
  • The transaction is subject to standard regulatory approvals and transaction terms required by both sides. This includes several conditions precedents (CPs) on both Hydro and Macquarie Asset Management which need to be satisfied, including related to funding of the transaction. Subject to satisfaction, closing of the transaction is expected in second quarter 2024.

Hydro Rein: A preferred supplier of renewable energy solutions to industrials

Hydro Rein is on track to deliver on its 2026 targets

Targets communicated at Hydro's Capital Markets Day 2022

3 GW Gross portfolio in operation and construction

>500 MW added gross capacity to pipeline on average annually

400 -450 MNOK1) Estimated EBITDA contribution from projects in construction

Key numbers1): portfolio under construction – as of Q3 2023

Delivering sustainable & attractive risk adjusted returns

Key value creation levers

  • Identifying, developing, constructing and operating attractive assets, utilizing core strengths of the two companies
  • Financial optimization and farmdowns
  • Scaling and synergies
  • Operational platform, project execution
  • Leveraging from the Hydro context; Markets competence, large power consumer, decarbonization strategy
  • Targeting eIRR of 10-20 % (total platform value)

PPAs as a driver for industrial competitiveness

price area

PPA volume gross (TWh) – projects in construction and secured

A key contributor to securing power for Hydro's portfolio

Long-term renewable power contracts ensure robustness Smelter business operating cost curve 2022, USD/tonne

Consumption, TWh

Brazil: Power sourcing for Hydro JV smelters2) and B&A3)

Source: CRU, Hydro analysis

1) Net ~8 TWh captive assumed available for smelters. 2) Albras (51%). 3) Total Alunorte and Paragominas – all consumption sourced through Hydro

Norway: Power sourcing for Hydro smelters1)

Uniquely positioned for long term value creation

1

Become the preferred supplier of renewable energy solutions to industrial customers in core markets – key enabler for decarbonization of Hydro

21

Focus on growing in the Nordics and develop in selected markets in Europe, strong foothold in Brazil established

Safe and sustainable project execution in close collaboration with partners

Drive performance through organizational excellence and commercial expertise in renewables markets

The green transition drives aluminium demand

EVs and solar segments providing strong growth platform

Source: Eurometaux, Ducker, IHS Global Insight, Goldman Sachs Research, WoodMac, CRU, McKinsey market analysis (high level estimate)

1) Greener aluminium includes "near-zero" tCO2/t, <2 tCO2/t and 50%+ PCS-aluminium

2) Based on Europe

Extrusions growing in high-margin segments

Contributing to NOK 8 billion EBITDA target

Adapting and growing with the market

  • Strong focus on selected segments where Extrusions has competitive advantage
  • Targeted capacity expansion and sustainability agenda provide for business resilience going forward

Sales segment split based on tonnes sold

Well underway on recyling growth and earnings targets

Strengthening our recycling position in Europe and North America

New HyForge casting line

  • EUR 40 million investment
  • Significantly increasing the use of recycled PCS
  • Enables Hydro to further develop our strategic partnerships
  • Capacity of 25 000 tonnes per year

  • Commissioning ongoing

  • Getting ready for first metal in November
  • Opening on November 16
  • Ramp up by end Q1

Closing Alumetal transaction

  • 100% ownership, delisting process ongoing
  • Integration process underway, executing on identified synergies
  • NOK 200 million investment in the modernization and expansion of the Hydro Kęty

opens in Rackwitz Close to start up Cassopolis Recycling 2025 and 2027 targets Project pipeline for Metal Markets and Extrusions

Capturing value from Alumetal transaction

Strategic rationale for transaction

Adding 275,000 tonnes capacity, whereof 150,000 tonnes postconsumer scrap

Sorting capacity and capabilities, access to more advanced scrap

Strengthening recycling position in Europe

Diversifying product portfolio to automotive

Realizing mutual synergies – operational, commercial, safety and growth

Aiming to realize EUR 10-15 million in annual synergies from 2027

Hydro Kęty growth and modernization*

  • Expanding capacity at Hydro Kety, Poland plant by 30 kt of foundry alloys towards automotive
  • Modernizing the plant to improve safety and operational efficiency

Value creation from sorting capacity and capabilities

  • Combine Alumetal state-of-the-art sorting line with Hydro's LIBS sorting technology
  • Consume more scrap types and convert them to broader product range in the portfolio

Replacing standard ingot with recycled ingot to Norwegian smelters

• Utilize excess melting and casting capacity at Alumetal to produce RSI inhouse, reducing standard ingot consumption and improving the footprint of the final products

Insourcing aluminium recovery from dross from Hydro recycling plants

• Replace third-parties with Alumetal to process by-products from aluminium melting process (dross) and retain margins in the internal value chain

Other commercial and operational synergies

• Utilizing high-share of PCS to progress on greener products, diversification and optimization across portfolio, procurement savings etc.

Decarbonizing across the value chain

Forcefully adressing all sources of GHG emissions in the value chain

Delivering first REDUXA 3.0 to Mercedes-Benz

Strategic partnerships

  • Important to deliver on the roadmap to zero
  • Working with several partners to shape the market with regards to sustainability

Hydro and Mercedes-Benz

  • Joint technology roadmap working together on the road to zero
  • Common mission to increase recycled material content
  • First deliveries of Hydro REDUXA 3.0 to Mercedes-Benz

More than climate

• Overall focus on sustainability including nature and social of high importance to Hydro and our customers

"Together with our strategic partner Hydro we are bringing lowcarbon aluminiuminto our series models as early as this summer. Thereby we are reducing the CO footprint of the aluminiumby as much as 70 percent compared with the European average."

Markus Schäfer, Member of the Board of Management of Mercedes-Benz Group AG. Chief Technology Officer, Development & Procurement in press release from Mercedes-Benz May 9, 2023

Greener is more than low-carbon

  • On track to meet 30% CO2e reduction by 2030; fuel switch to deliver 1st gas in 2023 and el-boilers operational by 2024
  • Net-zero by 2050 or earlier; three pathways; recycling, HalZero and CCS
  • On track to reduce specific scope 3 emissions by 30% by 2030

  • 1:1 reforestation on track
  • No net-loss biodiversity ambition for new projects
  • Tailings dry backfill technology reducing the need for permanent landfilling
  • Continued focus on waste elimination, including new project on recycling bauxite residue
  • Hydro in conformance with the Global Industry Standard on Tailings Management

  • On track to deliver on target of empowering 500,000 people with skills and education by 2030
  • Significant social projects ongoing in Brazil i.e TerPaz Program
  • Transparency and traceability of key product sustainability data by 2025 or earlier

Being a good neighbor is our license to operate

  • Hydro is determined to contribute to economic and social development in all communities where we operate
  • Our social ambition for 2050 is to improve the lives and livelihoods wherever we operate through local engagement and support

Hydro in Brazil

  • Hydro has more than 10 community development programs in the state of Pará, with more than 700 employees involved in volunteer actions
  • The programs support education and skills, value chain, quality of life and biodiversity

The TerPaz program

  • A project by the government of Pará building community centers for health care, social inclusion and opportunities
  • Hydro contributed to TerPaz in three communities in the state capital Belém as an initial test, and the results in the communities are good
  • Over the next 3 years, Hydro will contribute with 6 more community centers in Barcarena, Paragominas and four communities along the bauxite pipeline, to the amount of approximately NOK 500 million

EU agenda supporting Hydro's strategy

Regulatory framework supporting strategic direction

Critical Raw Material Act

  • Aluminium expected to be defined as a Strategic Raw Material upon final adoption
  • Important recognition of aluminum's role for EU strategic autonomy and the green transition

Sustainability legislation

  • Stricter regulations on Green Claims and Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence favor sustainability frontrunners
  • End-of-life vehicles regulation supports Hydro's recycling ambitions

Renewable energy

  • High ambitions for renewable energy production in EU
  • Supports Hydro's internal decarbonization and strengthens
  • demand for aluminum from renewables market segment

Regulatory changes needed to support green transition

CBAM – Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism

  • Labelling remelted industrial scrap as zero carbon material on import creates a large loophole in CBAM
  • Unless changed it will undermine intention of CBAM on climate and competetiveness

Financial update

Pål Kildemo, Executive Vice President and CFO

Market balance weakening

Stronger than expected demand in China driven by green transition

Estimated global balance

*Smelter based on Germany 1Y power and spot alumina Source: CRU, HARBOR, Bloomberg, MacroMicro, Fastmarkets, CM, Hydro analysis, China National Energy Administration

Chinese demand surprisingly strong

B&C and industrial segments drives weak development

Stable automotive demand

External market forecasts*

Year over Year

Extrusion market growth per quarter Growth in %

Extrusion sales volumes

Q3 2023 vs Q3 2022

Hydro Extrusions segment sales volume Growth in %

Share of Q3 2023 Hydro Extrusions sales

Adj. EBITDA down on lower prices and volumes, partly offset by lower raw material cost

Q3 2023 vs Q2 2023

Key financials

NOK million Q3
2023
Q3
2022
Q2 2023 Year 2022
Revenue 44 702 52 445 53 630 207 929
Reported EBITDA 1 975 9 828 10 249 39 536
Adjusting items to EBITDA 1 923 (108) (3 152) 128
Adjusted EBITDA 3 899 9 721 7 098 39 664
Reported
EBIT
(323) 7 670 7 939 30 715
Adjusted
EBIT
1 600 7 611 4 788 31 179
Financial income (expense) 378 496 (953) 1 649
Reported Income (loss) before tax 55 8 166 6 986 32 365
Income taxes (680) (1 489) (1 930) (7 984)
Reported Net income (loss) from continuing operations (625) 6 676 5 056 24 381
Adjusted net income (loss) from continuing operations 345 6 258 3 410 23 145
Earnings per share from continuing operations (0.18) 3.34 2.56 11.76
Adjusted earnings per share from continuing operations 0.27 2.91 1.77 10.70
from discontinued operations 1)
Income (loss)
- - - 36

1) Income and expenses in the business to be sold are excluded from such income and expenses in continuing operations and reported separately as losses for discontinued operations. For further information and a specification of the result in the discontinued operations, see Note 4 Discontinued operations and assets held for sale to the interim financial statements

Hydro Bauxite& Alumina

Results down driven by provision for multi-year social donation in Brazil, currency, and lower alumina sales price, partly offset by lower raw material costs

Key figures Q3 2023 Q3 2022 Q2 2023
Alumina production, kmt 1 522 1 579 1 542
Total alumina sales, kmt 2 229 2 344 2 153
Realized alumina price, USD/mt 349 364 373
Implied alumina cost, USD/mt1) 345 337 336
Bauxite production, kmt 2 848 2 814 2 630
Adjusted EBITDA, NOK million 93 633 817
Adjusted EBIT, NOK million -610 10 88
Adjusted
RoaCE, % LTM2)
-3.2 % 9.4 % -1.8 %

NOK million

1) Realized alumina price minus Adjusted EBITDA for B&A, per mt alumina sales

2) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less 25% tax / Average capital employed last 4 quarters

3) Realized alumina price

Implied alumina cost and margin USD/mt1)

Implied EBITDA cost per mt1) All-in EBITDA margin per mt

Results Q3 23 vs Q3 22

  • Lower energy and bauxite costs
  • ~380 MNOK provision for multi-year social donations
  • Lower alumina sales price
  • Stronger BRL against USD

Outlook Q4 23 vs Q3 23

  • Alunorte production around nameplate capacity
  • Lower raw materials costs
  • Higher fixed costs

Hydro Aluminium Metal

Results down on lower all-in metal prices, reduced CO2 compensation and lower contribution from power sales, partly offset by reduced alumina and carbon cost

Key figures Q3 2023 Q3 2022 Q2 2023
Primary aluminium production, kmt 512 543 506
Total sales, kmt 539 533 577
Realized LME price, USD/mt1) 2 146 2 497 2 273
Realized LME price, NOK/mt1) 22 456 24 706 24 417
Realized premium, USD/mt 432 801 456
Implied all-in primary cost, USD/mt
2)
2 250 2 350 2 250
Adjusted EBITDA, NOK million 1 379 6 463 3 215
Adjusted EBITDA including Qatalum 50% pro rata (NOK million) 1 896 7 016 3 761
Adjusted EBIT, NOK million 727 5 837 2 550
Adjusted RoaCE, % LTM3) 18.5 % 37.8 % 25.9%

Adjusted EBITDA

  • 1) Includes pricing effects from LME strategic hedge program
  • 2) Realized all-in aluminium price minus Adjusted EBITDA margin, including Qatalum, per mt aluminium sold
  • 3) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less 25% tax / Average capital employed last 4 quarters
  • 4) Implied primary costs and margin rounded to nearest USD 25
  • 5) Realized LME aluminium price less Adjusted EBITDA margin, incl Qatalum, per mt primary aluminium produced

All-in implied primary cost and margin USD/mt1,4)

Results Q3 23 vs Q3 22

  • Lower all-in metal prices
  • Reduced CO2 compensation
  • Lower contribution from power sales
  • Positive FX effects
  • Reduced raw material cost
  • Higher fixed cost

Outlook Q4 23 vs Q3 23

  • ~69% of primary production for Q4 2023 priced at USD 2 084 per mt 8)
  • ~49% of premiums affecting Q4 2023 booked at USD ~422 per mt 8)
    • Q4 realized premium expected in the range of USD 325-375 per ton
  • Lower raw material cost
  • Higher fixed cost
  • 6) Realized LME plus realized premiums, including Qatalum
  • 7) % of volumes extrusion ingot, foundry alloy, sheet ingot, wire rod of total sales volumes
  • 8) Bookings, also including pricing effects from LME strategic hedging program as per 31.12.2023
  • 9) Excluding power sales Slovalco and Norwegian smelters and CO2 catch-up Q3 2022 and Q3 2023

Metal Markets

Increased results from sourcing and trading activities, partly offset by lower results from recyclers and negative inventory valuation and currency effects

Key figures Q3 2023 Q3 2022 Q2 2023
Recycling production, kmt 176 124 146
Metal products sales, kmt
1)
652 635 691
Adjusted EBITDA Recycling (NOK million) 274 401 299
Adjusted EBITDA Commercial (NOK million) 294 133 35
Adjusted EBITDA Metal Markets (NOK million) 568 534 334
Adjusted EBITDA excl. currency and inventory valuation effects 566 398 265
Adjusted EBIT (NOK million) 482 494 290
Adjusted
RoaCE, % LTM2)
13.6 % 43.8 % 17.8%

Adjusted EBITDA

NOK million

1) Includes external and internal sales from primary casthouse operations, remelters and third-party metal sources 2) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less 25% tax / Average capital employed last 4 quarters

33

Results Q3 23 vs Q3 22

  • Results Q1 23 vs Q1 22 • Lower recycling results on weaker EI premiums and volumes
  • Higher results from sourcing and trading • Negative inventory valuation and currency effects
  • Positive currency and inventory valuation effects • Higher results from sourcing and trading activities

Outlook Q2 23 vs Q1 23 • Volatile trading and currency effects Outlook Q4 23 vs Q3 23

  • Lower recycling margins • Continued volatile trading and currency effects
  • Higher recycling volumes • Lower recycling margins and volumes

• Lower recycling results

Hydro Extrusions

Results slightly down on lower sales volume and higher costs, partly offset by higher sales margins and currency

Key figures Q3 2023 Q3 2022 Q2 2023
External sales volumes, kmt 260 301 293
Adjusted EBITDA, NOK million 1 322 1 385 2 013
Adjusted EBIT, NOK million 548 640 1 228
Adjusted RoaCE, % LTM1) 9.1% 10.9% 9.4%

1) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less 25% tax / Average capital employed last 4 quarters. Previous periods have been restated following a change to the capital employed definition.

Results Q3 23 vs Q3 22

  • Lower sales volumes
  • Higher sales margins
  • Higher fixed and variable costs
  • Positive currency effects
  • Positive metal effects

Outlook Q4 23 vs Q4 22

  • Stronger margins
  • Positive currency effects
  • Lower sales volumes
  • Higher fixed and variable costs
  • Market uncertainty remains and recycling margins under pressure

Hydro Energy

Higher results due to higher production offset mainly by lower gain on price area differences, lower prices and loss on internal contract

Key figures Q3 2023 Q3 2022 Q2 2023
Power production, GWh 2 216 1 330 2 431
Net spot sales, GWh 3) 24 -703 333
Southwest Norway spot price (NO2), NOK/MWh 664 3 519 958
Adjusted EBITDA, NOK million 762 321 854
Adjusted EBIT, NOK million 712 275 805
Adjusted
RoaCE, % LTM1),2)
20.2 % 35.7 % 18.9 %

35

Results Q3 23 vs Q3 22

  • Higher production volumes and net spot sales
  • Lower prices
  • Lower gain on area price differences

Outlook Q4 23 vs Q3 23

  • No losses from Aluminium Metal buy-back contract
  • Seasonaly higher prices
  • Continued volume and price uncertainty

Adjusted EBITDA

  • 1) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less tax/ Average capital employed last 4 quarters 2) 40% tax rate applied for 2022 and 2023
  • 3) Volume affected by disrupted delivery from a long-term power purchase agreement in the northern part of the Nord Pool area. The non-delivered volume were 0.3 TWh in the quarter

NOK 2.6 billion increase in net debt driven by investments

Negative free cash flow due to increasing investments partially offset by positive earnings and NOC release

Priorities

    1. Health and safety first
    1. Maintain robustness and mitigate weaker markets
    1. Enable and seize opportunities in greener aluminium at premium pricing
    1. Deliver on Recycling and Extrusions growth ambitions
    1. Develop and grow renewable energy portfolio

Appendix

Key figures – Outlook

Note that the information on this page is based on forward looking information from current point in time and changes might occur during the coming quarter

Bauxite and Alumina Aluminium Metal Metal Markets

Expect cost release of around 150 MMOK

Fixed and other costs is expected to increase
around 300 MNOK

Based on current rates currency is expected to
impact the result positively

69% of production for Q3 booked at 2084
USD/mt

49% of the premiums affecting Q3 booked at
422 USD/mt

Expected range for premiums for Q3: 325 –
375
USD/mt

Guidance for YE Adjusted
EBITDA excl.
currency and inventory of 1.3 -
1.5 BNOK. The
guidance does not include effects of Alumetal
acquisition.
Extrusions
Lower raw material cost of
~400-500 MNOK

Higher fixed
cost of ~150 MNOK

Power sales: ~400MWh will be sold on spot.
Energy

Expect a year over year development similar to
as we saw for Q3 when we adjust for one-offs.

Expect around NOK 50-100 million lower YoY
metal effect than Q3 YoY
Estimated value ~300 MNOK based on
the
current NO2 price of ~700 NOK/MWh

No losses on the AM buyback contract. The Q3
realized
loss was ~130 MNOK

Price area difference estimate for Q4 as of Q3
is between 375 and 450 MNOK

Revenue drivers through Q3 2023

Source: Metal Bulletin, Platts, Reuters Ecowin, Hydro analysis

Market raw material costs in Q3 2023

1,8

Caustic soda (indexed) Fuel oil A1 (Indexed) Steam coal (indexed)

0,0 0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1,0 1,2 1,4 1,6 Q2-22 Q4-20 Q1-23 Q3-21 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 Q1-21 Q2-21 Q4-21 Q1-22 Q3-23 Q3-22 Q4-22 Q2-23

Alumina PAX index (indexed)

Indication of current market prices

Source: Thomson Reuters, PACE, IHS Markit, Platts, ANP, CRU 41

Key performance metrics Q3 2023

Adjusted EBITDA NOK million

Upstream costs3,4) USD per tonne

Extrusion volumes Thousand tonnes

Improvement program status5) NOK millions

    1. Free cash flow is defined as net cash provided by (used in) operating activities of continuing operations, adjusted for changes in collateral and net purchases of money market funds, plus net cash provided by (used in) investing activities of continuing operations, adjusted for purchases of / proceeds from sales of short-term investments
    1. Adj. RoaCE calculated as adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less underlying tax expense adjusted for 30% tax on financial items / average capital employed last 4 quarters
    1. Realized alumina price minus adjusted EBITDA for B&A, excluding insurance proceeds relating to decommissioned crane (NOK ~500 million), per mt alumina sales
    1. Realized all-in aluminium price (incl. strategic hedge program) less adjusted EBITDA margin excluding indirect CO2 compensation catch-up effect (NOK ~1.4 billion) and power sales Slovalco, Albras and Norwegian smelters, incl Qatalum, per mt aluminium sold. Implied primary cost and margin rounded to nearest USD 25
    1. 2018 baseline on accumulated improvements until 2021, 2021 baseline from 2022

Extrusions earnings drivers

Adjusted EBITDA per tonne1), NOK

  • Contract structure
    • Margin business based on conversion price
      • LME element passed on to customers
    • Mostly short-term contract, typically ranging from spot to 12 months, few longer term contracts with floating price or hedging in place
  • High share of variable costs high level of flexibility
  • Annual seasonality driven by maintenance and customer activity
    • Stronger Q1 and Q2, weaker Q3 and Q4
  • Strong focus on increasing value add to customers
  • Preferred supplier market position in high-end products

Metal Markets earnings drivers

• Recyclers

  • Revenue impact volume and product premiums above LME
  • Cost impact
    • Scrap and standard ingot premiums above LME
    • Raw material mix
    • Freight cost proximity to market
    • Energy consumption and prices
  • Other main businesses
    • Physical ingot and LME trading
    • Third-party casthouse products
  • Results influenced by currency fluctuations and inventory valuation effects
  • Adjusted EBITDA for 2023 expected in the range of 1.3BNOK to 1.5BNOK

Adjusted EBITDA excluding currency effects and inventory valuation effect, NOK million1)

1) Amounts are as disclosed for the individual years reflecting the accounting policies applied for those years and Hydro's definition of APMs applied for the relevant years.

Energy EBITDA development

Adjusted EBITDA and NO2 spot price

Adjusted EBITDA and NO2 spot price

Adjusted EBITDA Spot price

  • Production and market prices strongly linked to hydrological conditions
  • Seasonal market variations in demand and supply. Gains or losses may occur from delink between area prices arising due to transmission capacity limitations in the Nordic area
  • Power portfolio optimized versus market
  • Lift in annual EBITDA contribution from 2021
    • Positive impact from expiry of legacy supply contract from 2021
    • 8 TWh internal contract for power sales to Aluminium Metal in Norway effective from 2021-30
  • Stable and competitive production cost base:
    • Mainly fixed costs
    • Volume-related transmission costs
  • Maturing portfolio growth options; emphasis on flexible production & selected geographies

Significant exposure to commodity and currency fluctuations

Other commodity prices, sensitivity +10% NOK million

Sustainable effect:

NOK million USD BRL EUR
Adj. EBITDA 3860 -930 10
One-off reevaluation effect:
Financial items -1040 1220 -3820
  • Annual adjusted sensitivities based on normal annual business volumes. LME USD 2,150 per mt, standard ingot premium 230 USD/mt, PAX 350 USD/mt, fuel oil USD 860 per mt, petroleum coke USD 505 per mt, pitch 1,110 EUR/t, caustic soda USD 355 per mt, coal USD 105 per mt, USD/NOK 10.47, BRL/NOK 2.15, EUR/NOK 11.41
  • Aluminium price sensitivity is net of aluminium price indexed costs and excluding unrealized effects related to operational hedging
  • BRL sensitivity calculated on a long-term basis with fuel oil assumed in USD. In the short-term, fuel oil is BRL-denominated
  • Excludes effects of priced contracts in currencies different from adjusted currency exposure (transaction exposure)
  • Currency sensitivity on financial items includes effects from intercompany positions
  • 2023 Platts alumina index (PAX) exposure used
  • Adjusted Net Income sensitivity calculated as AEBITDA sensitivity after 30% tax
  • Sensitivities include strategic hedges for 2023 (remaining volumes for 2023, annualized)

Bauxite & Alumina sensitivities

Annual sensitivities on adjusted EBITDA if +10% in price NOK million

Revenue impact

• Realized alumina price lags PAX by one month

Cost impact

Bauxite

  • ~2.45 tonnes bauxite per tonne alumina
  • Pricing partly LME-linked

Caustic soda

  • ~0.1 tonnes per tonne alumina
  • Prices based on IHS Chemical, pricing mainly monthly per shipment

Energy

  • ~0.12 tonnes coal per tonne alumina, Platts prices, one year volume contracts, weekly per shipment pricing
  • ~0.11 tonnes heavy fuel oil per tonne alumina, prices set by ANP/Petrobras in Brazil, weekly pricing (ANP) or anytime (Petrobras)

Annual adjusted sensitivities based on normal annual business volumes. LME USD 2,150 per mt, standard ingot premium 230 USD/mt, PAX 350 USD/mt, fuel oil USD 860 per mt, caustic soda USD 355 per mt, coal USD 105 per mt, USD/NOK 10.47, BRL/NOK 2.15, EUR/NOK 11.41 BRL sensitivity calculated on a long-term basis with fuel oil assumed in USD. In the short-term, fuel oil is BRL-denominated. 2023 Platts alumina index (PAX) exposure used

Alumimum Metal sensitivities

Annual sensitivities on adjusted EBITDA if +10% in price NOK million

Revenue impact

  • Realized price lags LME spot by ~1-2 months
  • Realized premium lags market premium by ~2-3 months

Cost impact

Alumina

  • ~1.9 tonnes per tonne aluminium
  • ~ 2-3 months lag
  • Mainly priced on Platts index

Carbon

  • ~0.40 tonnes petroleum coke per tonne aluminium, Pace Jacobs Consultancy, 2-3 year volume contracts, quarterly or half yearly pricing
  • ~0.08 tonnes pitch per tonne aluminium, CRU, 2-3 year volume contracts, quarterly pricing

Power

  • 14.0 MWh per tonne aluminium
  • Long-term power contracts with indexations

440 kt / 300 kt aluminium hedged in 2024 / 2025

Aluminium hedges of 300-460 kt/yr 2023-25 in place

  • 2023: 230 kt remaining at a price of ~2000 USD/t
    • 19 kt call-options as liquidity measure
  • 2024: 440 kt hedged at a price of ~2500 USD/t
  • 2025: 300 kt hedged at a price of ~2400 USD/t
  • Pricing mainly in NOK, with USD hedges converted to NOK via USD/NOK derivatives
  • Corresponding raw material exposure partially secured using financial derivatives or physical contracts

B&A and AM USD/BRL Hedge

  • USD 794 million sold forward for 2023-2025
    • USD 82 million remaining for 2023 at rate 6.03
    • USD 335 million 2024 at rate 6.19
    • USD 131 million 2025 at rate 5.40
  • Aim to reduce volatility and uncertainty in Alunorte and Albras cash flows, as well as support robust cost curve positions

Strategic hedging status

NOK Billions

Utilizing Hydro's hedging policy to deliver on strategic ambitions

  • Flexibility to hedge in certain cases
    • Support strong cost position
    • Strong margins in historical perspective, e.g., supporting RoaCE target
    • Larger investments

Safe and responsible operations is a top priority

Leadership in health and safety, social responsibility and compliance as a license to operate

TRI Rate1)

Continuing efforts within ESG performance

  • Transparent and consistent reporting approach for more than three decades
  • Sustainability is fully integrated in Hydro's strategy
  • Work in progress to prepare for implementation of the EU Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD)
  • Further improved scores on Moody's ESG Solutions and S&P Global CSA

Additional information

Adj. EBITDA down on lower prices, CO2 compensation and Slovalco effects, partly offset by lower raw material cost

Q3 2023 vs Q3 2022

Assumptions behind scenarios in profitability roadmaps

Scenarios are not forecasts, but illustrative earnings, cash flow and return potential based on sensitivities

  • Starting point AEBITDA Q3-22 LTM
  • Improvement potential in real 2021 terms, upstream margins based on 2021 average
  • Cash flow calculated as AEBITDA less EBIT tax and long-term sustaining capex, less lease payments and interest expenses for the Hydro Group
    • Tax rates: 25% for business areas, 34% for Energy, 19% (LTM) for Hydro Group
  • ARoaCE calculated as AEBIT after tax divided by average capital employed
    • Average capital employed assumed to increase with growth capex and sustaining capex above LT sustaining CAPEX 2023-2026
  • The actual earnings, cash flows and returns will be affected by other factors not included in the scenarios, including, but not limited to:
    • Production volumes, raw material prices, downstream margin developments, premiums, inflation, currency, depreciation, taxes, investments, interest expense, competitors' cost positions, and others
  • Energy market scenarios for 2027 excludes gains from price area differences and commercial effects

Price and FX assumptions

Assumptions used in Q3 2022 2023 2027
scenarios
LTM
forward real Forward
real 2022
Last 5 year
average
CRU
real 2022
LME, USD/mt 2,880 2461
(deflated by 2%)
2,560
2,130
(deflated by 2%)
2,400
(deflated by 2%)
Realized premium, USD/mt 755 4131) 4131) 385 4964)
(deflated by 2%)
PAX, USD/mt 390 325
(deflated by 2%)
3402)
(deflated by 2%)
330 360
(deflated by 2%)
Caustic soda, USD/mt 600 9001) 9001) 406 403
(deflated by 2%)
Coal, USD/mt 270 255
(deflated by 2%)
2003)
(deflated by 2%)
110 2007)
(deflated by 2%)
Pitch, EUR/mt 1,020 13001) 1,3001) 730 7705)
(deflated by 2%)
Pet coke, USD/mt 630 7171) 7201) 410 4305)
(deflated by 2%)
NO2, NOK/MWh
Nordic system, NOK/MWh
2,010
1,260
2,0106)
1,2606)
1,2506)
690
570
540
(deflated by 2%)
1,2507)
5707)
(deflated by 2%)
USDNOK
EURNOK
BRLNOK
9.25
10.00
1.77
9.69
10.30
1.86
9.50
10.68
1.84
8.87
10.10
1.99
8.88
8.34
1.66

1)Spot price 2) % of LME forward price deflated by 2% 3) 2026 nominal forward price deflated by 2% 4) Realized premium based on CRU product premiums Q4-2024 5) Historic average % of LME, using CRU LME price deflated by 2% 6) Based on Nordic system forward price and constant NO2-Nordic system area price 7) Based on price from forward case 8) Based on LTM power prices Source: Republished under license from CRU International Ltd.

Adjusting items to EBITDA, EBIT and net income

NOK million (+=loss/()=gain) Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Year 2022
Unrealized derivative effects on raw material contracts Hydro Bauxite & Alumina (376) (173) 157 353 177 94 (41) (40)
Community contributions Brazil Hydro Bauxite & Alumina - - - 32 - 25 - 32
Other effects Hydro Bauxite & Alumina - - - 162 - - - 162
Total impact Hydro Bauxite & Alumina (376) (173) 157 547 177 118 (41) 155
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Hydro Aluminium Metal 4 715 (6 374) (1 538) 207 709 (2 836) 1 414 (2 990)
Unrealized derivative effects on power contracts Hydro Aluminium Metal (766) 1 056 1 291 1 638 62 (106) 113 3 218
Significant rationalization charges and closure costs Hydro Aluminium Metal - (18) - 64 - - - 46
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Hydro Aluminium Metal (19) (23) (26) (40) (37) (114) (79) (108)
Other effects Hydro Aluminium Metal - (69) - - - - - (69)
Total impact Hydro Aluminium Metal 3 929 (5 428) (273) 1 868 733 (3 055) 1 448 97
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Hydro Metal Markets 190 (850) 195 358 34 (146) 448 (107)
Transaction related effects Hydro Metal Markets - - - - 50 4 35 -
Total impact Hydro Metal Markets 190 (850) 195 358 84 (142) 483 (107)
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Hydro Extrusions (442) 543 84 (126) (19) 6 113 59
Unrealized derivative effects on power contracts Hydro Extrusions (39) 58 50 (67) 5 (24) (2) 3
Significant rationalization charges and closure costs Hydro Extrusions 2 13 - 91 51 27 17 106
(Gains)/losses on divestments and other transaction related effects Hydro Extrusions (49) 1 (2) (4) 20 - 1 (54)
Other effects Hydro Extrusions - (74) (2) - - (107) - (76)
Total impact Hydro Extrusions (527) 541 130 (106) 57 (98) 128 38
Unrealized derivative effects on power contracts Hydro Energy (236) 46 (254) 615 214 184 41 170
(Gains)/losses on divestments Hydro Energy - (65) - - - - - (65)
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Hydro Energy 4 2 3 1 (3) (7) (5) 11
Total impact Hydro Energy (232) (16) (251) 616 211 177 36 116
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Other and eliminations (15) (15) 19 47 (15) (35) 25 36
(Gains)/losses on divestments Other and eliminations - - - - - - (25) -
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Other and eliminations (21) (26) (83) (91) (115) (143) (130) (221)
Other effects Other and eliminations - - - 15 - 26 - 15
Total impact Other and eliminations (36) (41) (65) (29) (131) (151) (130) (170)
Adjusting items to EBITDA Hydro 2 948 (5 966) (108) 3 254 1 132 (3 152) 1 923 128
Impairment charges Hydro Aluminium Metal - - 49 28 - - - 77
Impairment charges Hydro Extrusions - - - 258 - - - 258
Adjusting items to EBIT Hydro 2 948 (5 966) (59) 3 541 1 132 (3 152) 1 923 464
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Hydro (2 392) 1 129 (572) (356) 1 985 789 (538) (2 192)
Adjusting items to income (loss) before tax Hydro 556 (4 838) (631) 3 185 3 177 (2 362) 1 385 (1 728)
Calculated income tax effect Hydro (181) 1 432 213 (972) (935) 716 (416) 492 54
Adjusting items to
net income (loss)
Hydro 374 (3 406) (418) 2 213 2 182 (1 646) 970 (1 236)

Adjusted EBIT

NOK million Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Year 2021 Year 2022
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 556 383 466 1 913 718 484 10 (586) (221) 88 (610) 3 318 626
Hydro Aluminium Metal 1 185 2 246 3 684 4 111 4 183 6 349 5 837 4 097 3 328 2 550 727 11 225 20 467
Hydro Metal Markets 43 301 133 245 487 666 494 (134) 628 290 482 721 1 514
Hydro Extrusions 1 244 1 266 828 (122) 1 587 1 600 640 168 1 485 1 228 548 3 217 3 995
Hydro Energy 792 713 417 1 674 2 192 777 275 1 493 677 805 712 3 596 4 737
Other and Eliminations (261) (17) (219) (793) 3 (425) 356 (93) (532) (173) (259) (1 291) (159)
Total 3 559 4 891 5 309 7 026 9 170 9 452 7 611 4 946 5 364 4 788 1 600 20 786 31 179

Adjusted EBITDA

NOK million Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Year 2021 Year 2022
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 999 855 1 055 2 426 1 270 1 117 633 101 437 817 93 5 336 3 122
Hydro Aluminium Metal 1 754 2 807 4 263 4 676 4 765 6 977 6 463 4 756 3 972 3 215 1 379 13 500 22 963
Hydro Metal Markets 78 335 170 284 525 705 534 (91) 669 334 568 867 1 673
Hydro Extrusions 1 744 1 830 1 457 665 2 331 2 365 1 385 939 2 223 2 013 1 322 5 695 7 020
Hydro Energy 841 761 465 1 723 2 239 824 321 1 542 726 854 762 3 790 4 926
Other and Eliminations (234) 10 (192) (762) 35 (395) 384 (63) (501) (134) (225) (1 178) (39)
Total 5 182 6 598 7 219 9 011 11 165 11 594 9 721 7 184 7 525 7 098 3 899 28 010 39 664

EBIT

NOK million Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Year 2021 Year 2022
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 583 467 407 1 830 1 094 657 (147) (1 133) (399) (30) (570) 3 288 471
Hydro Aluminium Metal (171) 325 909 7 311 254 11 777 6 061 2 200 2 595 5 605 (721) 8 376 20 292
Hydro Metal Markets 19 299 (93) 500 297 1 516 300 (492) 544 432 (1) 725 1 621
Hydro Extrusions 1 220 1 269 852 (412) 2 114 1 059 510 16 1 427 1 326 420 2 929 3 699
Hydro Energy 851 716 435 1 724 2 424 793 526 878 466 628 677 3 727 4 621
Other and Eliminations (271) (43) 23 (868) 39 (385) 420 (63) (402) (21) (128) (1 158) 11
Total 2 233 3 034 2 533 10 086 6 222 15 418 7 670 1 405 4 233 7 939 (323) 17 887 30 715
EBITDA
NOK million Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Year 2021 Year 2022
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 1 026 940 996 2 344 1 647 1 290 477 (446) 260 698 134 5 306 2 967

Hydro Aluminium Metal 500 1 037 1 642 8 260 836 12 405 6 736 2 888 3 239 6 270 (69) 11 440 22 866 Hydro Metal Markets 55 333 (56) 540 335 1 556 339 (449) 586 476 85 872 1 780 Hydro Extrusions 1 842 1 840 1 495 381 2 858 1 824 1 255 1 045 2 165 2 111 1 194 5 558 6 982 Hydro Energy 900 764 483 1 774 2 471 840 572 926 515 677 726 3 921 4 810 Other and Eliminations (244) (15) 50 (837) 71 (354) 449 (34) (371) 17 (95) (1 046) 132 Total 4 079 4 899 4 610 12 462 8 217 17 561 9 828 3 930 6 393 10 249 1 975 26 050 39 536

Total revenue

NOK million Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Year 2021 Year 2022
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 6 026 5 976 6 984 8 713 7 901 9 413 8 652 7 986 8 320 8 830 8 423 27 699 33 951
Hydro Aluminium Metal 8 953 9 467 9 964 14 164 11 094 24 583 16 678 13 129 15 236 18 211 11 366 42 548 65 483
Hydro Metal Markets 13 624 15 275 16 447 19 715 22 674 27 698 22 374 18 222 20 873 22 483 19 329 65 061 90 968
Hydro Extrusions 16 334 17 470 17 984 18 509 23 468 25 269 22 620 19 819 22 717 22 608 19 142 70 296 91 176
Hydro Energy 2 343 2 213 2 116 3 477 4 268 2 456 2 854 3 037 3 452 2 162 3 299 10 149 12 614
Other and Eliminations (15 327) (15 843) (16 784) (18 146) (22 788) (24 626) (20 733) (18 118) (22 065) (20 664) (16 856) (66 099) (86 264)
Total 31 951 34 559 36 710 46 433 46 616 64 793 52 445 44 075 48 534 53 630 44 702 149 654 207 929

External revenue

NOK million Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Year 2021 Year 2022
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 3 546 3 538 4 533 5 471 5 052 5 864 5 641 5 091 5 289 5 570 5 404 17 088 21 649
Hydro Aluminium Metal 762 621 310 3 681 (2 518) 8 640 4 327 2 638 1 528 5 444 1 741 5 373 13 087
Hydro Metal Markets 10 789 12 552 13 831 16 993 18 472 24 420 18 796 15 132 17 308 19 837 16 716 54 165 76 821
Hydro Extrusions 16 203 17 346 17 829 18 505 23 199 25 228 22 585 19 881 22 765 22 527 19 221 69 883 90 892
Hydro Energy 787 486 204 1 780 2 415 646 1 082 1 324 1 634 257 1 616 3 257 5 467
Other and Eliminations (136) 16 4 2 (5) (6) 15 9 10 (4) 3 (113) 13
Total 31 951 34 559 36 710 46 433 46 616 64 793 52 445 44 075 48 534 53 630 44 702 149 654 207 929

Internal revenue

NOK million Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Year 2021 Year 2022
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 2 479 2 438 2 452 3 242 2 848 3 549 3 011 2 895 3 031 3 260 3 019 10 610 12 303
Hydro Aluminium Metal 8 191 8 846 9 654 10 484 13 611 15 943 12 352 10 491 13 709 12 767 9 624 37 175 52 396
Hydro Metal Markets 2 835 2 723 2 616 2 722 4 201 3 277 3 578 3 091 3 565 2 647 2 612 10 896 14 147
Hydro Extrusions 131 125 154 3 269 41 36 (62) (48) 81 (80) 413 284
Hydro Energy 1 556 1 727 1 912 1 697 1 853 1 810 1 772 1 713 1 818 1 905 1 683 6 891 7 148
Other and Eliminations (15 191) (15 858) (16 788) (18 148) (22 783) (24 620) (20 748) (18 126) (22 075) (20 660) (16 860) (65 986) (86 278)
Total - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Share of profit /(loss) in equity accounted investments

NOK million Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Year 2021 Year 2022
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Hydro Aluminium Metal 147 513 336 513 383 626 340 200 154 264 179 1 509 1 549
Hydro Metal Markets - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Hydro Extrusions - - - - - - - - - 1 1 - -
Hydro Energy (23) (32) (25) (25) (28) (39) (32) (81) (67) (59) (57) (104) (180)
Other and Eliminations 1 (20) (31) (15) 22 (184) 118 12 8 (25) 47 (65) (32)
Total 125 462 280 473 377 403 426 131 95 181 171 1 340 1 337

Return on average capital employed 1) (RoaCE)

Reported RoaCE Adjusted RoaCE
2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 1.3% 11.9% 5.4% 1.9% 4.6% 8.5% 2.7% 1.8% 12.0% 5.9% 2.5% 6.0% 8.5% 2.8%
Hydro Aluminium Metal 35.1% 21.6% 1.9% (3.9%) 5.6% 11.8% 5.2% 35.4% 28.3% 2.9% (2.6%) 4.7% 12.6% 5.2%
Hydro Metal Markets 33.2% 24.0% 22.8% 20.7% 25.1% 18.6% 19.6% 31.0% 23.9% 21.6% 27.3% 19.4% 20.9% 15.9%
2)
Hydro Extrusions
10.5% 9.4% 1.3% 3.8% 5.3% 13.4% 11.4% 10.3% 6.2% 5.7% 7.2% 6.6%
Hydro Energy 3) 28.8% 26.5% 249.5% 13.4% 18.8% 17.5% 18.1% 29.5% 25.4% 8.7% 12.9% 18.8% 17.5% 18.1%
Hydro Group 21.9% 16.3% 5.4% (0.9%) 6.0% 11.2% 6.5% 22.2% 18.6% 3.7% 1.3% 6.6% 9.6% 5.1%

Capital employed – upstream focus

NOK million September 30
2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 32 647
Hydro Aluminium Metal 43 141
Hydro Metal Markets 10 069
Hydro Extrusions 28 344
Hydro Energy 11 770
Other and Eliminations (4
380)
Total 121 591

Graph excludes BNOK (4.4) in capital employed in Other and Eliminations

1) RoaCE at business area level is calculated using 25% tax rate (30% tax rate applied for years prior to 2017). For Hydro Energy, 40% tax rate is used for 2022 and 2021, 80% for 2020 and 2019, 70% for 2018, 65% for 2017 and 60% for 2016

2) Hydro Extrusions reflected as 50% equity accounted investment Q1-Q3 2017 and fully consolidated from Q4 2017

3) Hydro Energy reported RoaCE for 2020 higher than previous years due to the Lyse transaction

Depreciation, amortization and impairment

NOK million Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Year 2021 Year 2022
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 443 472 589 514 553 633 624 687 659 729 703 2 018 2 496
Hydro Aluminium Metal 694 736 756 972 605 651 698 711 666 687 674 3 158 2 664
Hydro Metal Markets 36 35 37 41 38 39 39 44 42 45 87 149 161
Hydro Extrusions 628 573 645 804 746 767 748 1 036 741 792 779 2 649 3 297
Hydro Energy 49 48 48 49 47 47 47 48 48 49 49 194 190
Other and Eliminations 27 28 27 31 32 31 28 30 31 38 34 113 121
Total 1 876 1 892 2 102 2 411 2 020 2 168 2 185 2 556 2 186 2 340 2 327 8 281 8 929

Indicative depreciation currency exposure by business area Depreciation by business area 2022, 8.9 BNOK

Percent USD EUR BRL NOK & Other
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 100%
Hydro Aluminium Metal 15% 20% 65%
Hydro Metal Markets 30% 55% 15%
Hydro Extrusions 40% 30% 10% 20%
Hydro Energy 100%
Other and Eliminations 5% 30% 5% 60%

Income statements

NOK million Third quarter
2023
Third quarter
2022
Second quarter 2023 First 9 months 2023 First 9 months
2022
Year
2022
Revenue 44 702 52 445 53 630 146 865 163 854 207 929
Share of the profit (loss) in equity accounted investments 171 426 181 446 1 207 1 337
Other income, net 348 2 036 1 175 2 879 3 355 4 406
Total revenue and income 45 220 54 908 54 985 150 151 168 416 213 672
Raw material and energy expense 30 501 34 325 32 109 93 905 100 516 129 373
Employee benefit expense 6 238 5 458 6 604 19 259 16 955 22 886
Depreciation and amortization expense 2 327 2 136 2 340 6 856 6 323 8 593
Impairment of non-current assets 0 49 0 (3) 49 336
Other expenses 6 478 5 269 5 992 18 326 15 263 21 769
Earnings before financial items and tax (EBIT) (323) 7 670 7 939 11 849 29 310 30 715
Interest and other finance income 377 181 324 1 045 352 619
Foreign currency exchange gain (loss) 538 572 (789) (2 236) 1 836 2 192
Interest and other finance expense (537) (257) (488) (1 596) (809) (1 161)
Income (loss) before tax 55 8 166 6 986 9 062 30 689 32 365
Income taxes (680) (1 489) (1 930) (3 486) (6 465) (7 984)
Income (loss) from continuing operations (625) 6 676 5 056 5 576 24 223 24 381
Income (loss) from discontinued operations - - - - - 36
Net income (loss) (625) 6 676 5 056 5 576 24 223 24 417
Net income (loss) attributable to non-controlling interests (267) (175) (156) (543) 356 263
Net income (loss) attributable to Hydro shareholders (358) 6 851 5 212 6 119 23 867 24 154
Earnings per share from continuing operations (0.18) 3.34 2.56 3.01 11.63 11.76
Earnings per share from discontinued operations - - - - - 0.02
Earnings per share attributable to Hydro shareholders (0.18) 3.34 2.56 3.01 11.63 11.78
NOK million Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Year 2021 Year 2022
Income (loss) from continuing operations 1 880 2 397 1 127 8 525 6 411 11 136 6 676 158 1 144 5 056 (625) 13 930 24 381
Net income (loss) 1 500 2 805 1 108 8 529 6 411 11 136 6 676 194 1 144 5 056 (625) 13 942 24 417
Adjusted net income (loss) from continuing operations 2 448 3 150 3 498 5 810 6 785 7 731 6 258 2 371 3 326 3 410 345 14 905 23 145
Earnings per share from continuing operations 0.89 1.06 0.50 3.47 2.80 5.49 3.34 0.12 0.62 2.56 (0.18) 5.92 11.76
Earnings per share attributable to Hydro shareholders 0.70 1.26 0.49 3.47 2.80 5.49 3.34 0.14 0.62 2.56 (0.18) 5.93 11.78
61
Adjusted earnings per share from continuing operations 1.15 1.45 1.60 2.57 3.17 3.63 2.91 0.99 1.70 1.77 0.27 6.77 10.70

Balance sheet

NOK million September 30
2023
June 30
2023
March 31
2023
December 31
2022
September 30
2022
June 30
2022
March 31
2022
Cash and cash equivalents 19 105 22 453 30 873 29 805 25 852 24 507 21 161
Short-term investments 2 101 1 158 2 696 4 173 2 511 1 882 8 588
Trade and other receivables 26 387 27 561 28 350 23 988 28 442 29 164 25 955
Inventories 27 648 28 808 30 216 30 035 31 394 29 415 25 237
Other current financial assets 1 726 2 722 1 302 1 127 4 887 6 543 4 719
Property, plant and equipment 74 367 72 985 67 827 62 656 62 369 58 920 56 599
Intangible assets 10 823 10 215 9 839 9 280 9 810 9 374 8 986
Investments accounted for using the equity method 24 633 24 277 22 566 21 222 22 613 20 055 18 257
Prepaid pension 9 335 9 981 9 040 8 573 9 352 9 814 9 837
Other non-current assets 9 135 8 346 8 684 7 759 9 598 8 400 12 398
Total assets 205 260 208 506 211 395 198 618 206 829 198 074 191 737
Bank loans and other interest-bearing short-term debt 5 764 5 271 5 899 6 746 11 085 7 796 7 072
Trade and other payables 24 860 25 529 25 702 24 374 26 703 29 156 25 130
Other current liabilities 11 093 9 593 10 741 11 688 11 653 10 724 12 536
Long-term debt 29 944 29 756 29 615 26 029 20 790 21 054 21 073
Provisions 5 897 6 243 5 692 5 289 5 779 5 539 5 164
Pension liabilities 8 475 8 388 8 669 8 252 8 064 7 882 8 409
Deferred tax liabilities 6 153 6 197 5 289 4 796 5 178 5 304 5 281
Other non-current liabilities 5 325 5 687 5 429 3 648 4 481 5 585 7 564
Equity attributable to Hydro shareholders 103 062 106 873 108 582 102 455 107 129 99 347 93 906
Non-controlling interests 4 686 4 968 5 777 5 343 5 967 5 688 5 603
Total liabilities and equity 205 260 208 506 211 395 196 618 206 829 198 074 191 737

Operational data

Hydro Bauxite & Alumina Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Year 2021 Year 2022
Alumina production (kmt) 1 540 1 586 1 579 1 600 1 519 1 536 1 579 1 559 1 550 1 542 1 522 6 305 6 193
Sourced alumina (kmt) 698 737 806 765 741 758 764 593 686 553 692 3 006 2 856
Total alumina sales (kmt) 2 269 2 349 2 355 2 655 2 251 2 305 2 344 2 220 2 171 2 153 2 229 9 628 9 121
Realized alumina price (USD) 1) 287 287 284 393 391 430 364 342 367 373 349 313 382
Implied alumina cost (USD) 2) 235 244 233 310 327 378 337 337 347 336 345 254 345
Bauxite production (kmt) 3) 2 813 2 660 2 756 2 696 2 638 2 736 2 814 2 824 2 648 2 630 2 848 10 926 11 012
Sourced bauxite (kmt) 4) 1 103 1 676 1 472 1 427 856 1 674 1 220 1 861 1 078 1 100 1 204 5 677 5 611
11)
Adjusted
EBITDA margin
16.6% 14.3% 15.1% 27.8% 16.1% 11.9% 7.3% 1.3% 5.3% 9.2% 1.1% 19.3% 9.2%
Hydro Aluminium Metal 5) Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Year 2021 Year 2022
Realized aluminium price LME, USD/mt 1 994 2 210 2 419 2 675 2 662 3 031 2 497 2 246 2 291 2 273 2 146 2 317 2 599
Realized aluminium price LME, NOK/mt7) 17 008 18 528 20 910 23 087 23 542 28 461 24 706 22 813 23 566 24 417 22 456 19 819 24 739
Realized premium above LME, USD/mt6) 264 332 449 565 786 870 801 577 503 456 432 400 756
Realized premium above LME, NOK/mt6)7) 2 253 2 780 3 878 4 873 6 954 8 167 7 920 5 857 5 169 4 894 4 521 3 420 7 197
Realized NOK/USD exchange rate 7) 8.53 8.38 8.64 8.63 8.84 9.39 9.89 10.16 10.29 10.74 10.47 8.55 9.52
Implied primary cost (USD)
8)
1 500 1 525 1 450 1 600 1 550 1 500 1 550 1 650 1 700 1 725 1 800 1 500 1 550
Implied all-in primary cost (USD) 9) 1 825 1 900 1 925 2 175 2 450 2 500 2 350 2 250 2 275 2 250 2 250 1 950 2 375
Hydro Aluminium Metal production, kmt 539 561 573 571 540 532 543 522 499 506 512 2 244 2 137
Casthouse production, kmt 534 553 560 568 555 542 547 522 513 519 523 2 214 2 166
Total sales, kmt10) 599 594 583 572 600 581 533 542 559 577 539 2 347 2 256
Adjusted
EBITDA margin 11)
19.6% 29.6% 42.8% 33.0% 43.0% 28.4% 38.8% 36.2% 26.1% 17.7% 12.1% 31.7% 35.1%

1) Weighted average of own production and third party contracts, excluding hedge results. The majority of the alumina is sold linked to either the LME prices or alumina index with a one month delay. Sourced alumina volumes have been re-calculated, with Q1 2018 being adjusted accordingly

2) Implied alumina cost (based on EBITDA and sales volume) replaces previous apparent alumina cash cost

3) Paragominas production, on wet basis

4) 40 percent MRN offtake from Vale and 5 percent Hydro share on wet basis

5) Operating and financial information includes Hydro's proportionate share of production and sales volumes in equity accounted investments. Realized prices, premiums and exchange rates exclude equity accounted investments

6) Average realized premium above LME for casthouse sales from Hydro Aluminium Metal

7) Including strategic hedges /hedge accounting applied

8) Realized LME price minus Adjusted EBITDA margin (incl. Qatalum) per mt primary aluminium produced. Includes net earnings from primary casthouses

9) Realized all-in price minus Adjusted EBITDA margin (incl. Qatalum) per mt primary aluminium sold. Includes net earnings from primary casthouses

10) Total sales replaces previous casthouse sales due to change of definition

11) Adjusted EBITDA divided by total revenues

Operational data

Hydro Metal Markets Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Year 2021 Year 2022
Remelt production (1 000 mt) 143 154 132 144 151 158 124 115 132 146 176 572 548
Third-party sales (1 000 mt) 77 78 72 85 72 74 76 81 78 81 92 311 304
Hydro Metal Markets
sales excl. ingot trading (1 000 mt) 1)
742 735 675 681 731 710 635 614 674 691 652 2 833 2 691
Hereof external sales excl. ingot trading (1 000 mt) 588 607 573 574 610 607 536 530 566 590 567 2 342 2 284
External revenue (NOK million) 10 789 12 552 13 831 16 993 18 472 24 420 18 796 15 132 17 308 19 837 16 716 54 165 76 821
Hydro Extrusions Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Year 2021 Year 2022
Hydro Extrusions external shipments
(1 000 mt)
338 342 315 301 347 338 301 265 301 293 260 1 296 1 251
Hydro Extrusions –
Pro-forma adjusted EBIT
per mt, NOK
3 680 3 706 2 629 (404) 4 568 4 740 2 123 636 4 937 4 184 2 107 2 482 3 194
margin 2)
Adjusted EBITDA
10.7% 10.5% 8.1% 3.6% 9.9% 9.4% 6.1% 4.7% 9.8% 8.9% 6.9% 8.1% 7.7%
Hydro Energy Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Year 2021 Year 2022
Power production, GWh 2 857 2 374 1 688 2 136 2 730 1 602 1 330 2 002 2 610 2 431 2 216 9 055 7 664
Net spot sales, GWh 1 126 334 (401) 305 986 (433) (703) 511 817 333 24 1 364 361
Nordic spot electricity price, NOK/MWh 435 423 704 969 1 090 1 211 1 757 1 414 934 647 949 634 1 370
Southern Norway spot electricity price (NO2), NOK/MWh 469 493 807 1 271 1 504 1 752 3 519 1 719 1 182 958 664 762 2 128
Adjusted
EBITDA
margin 2)
35.9% 34.4% 22.0% 49.5% 52.5% 33.6% 11.2% 50.8% 21.0% 39.5% 23.1% 37.3% 39.0%

64 1) Includes external and internal sales from primary casthouse operations, remelters and third party Metal sources

2) Adjusted EBITDA divided by total revenues

Hydro Extrusions, information by business area

Precision Tubing Q1
2021
Q2
2021
Q3
2021
Q4
2021
Year
2021
Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Year
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Extrusion Europe Q1
2021
Q2
2021
Q3
2021
Q4
2021
Year
2021
Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Year
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Volume (kmt) 35 33 30 29 127 31 28 30 28 117 31 32 31 Volume (kmt) 144 147 129 130 550 151 144 119 106 520 124 121 99
Operating revenues (NOKm) 1 718 1 742 1 715 1 822 6 997 2 091 2 038 2 129 2 020 8 278 2 279 2 429 2 344 Operating revenues (NOKm) 6 529 6 916 6 827 7 527 27 799 9 532 10 147 8 696 7 787 36 162 9 035 8 926 6 864
Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm) 210 173 184 56 622 184 95 135 50 464 152 185 259 Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm) 705 716 563 471 2 456 1 035 1 025 669 480 3 209 867 819 327
Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) 157 103 115 (38) 337 82 (3) 35 (51) 63 61 87 161 Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) 501 502 318 203 1 525 782 767 415 231 2 196 623 564 79
Building Systems Q1
2021
Q2
2021
Q3
2021
Q4
2021
Year
2021
Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Year
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Extrusion North America Q1
2021
Q2
2021
Q3
2021
Q4
2021
Year
2021
Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Year
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Volume (kmt) 21 22 20 22 85 24 24 19 18 85 19 19 17 Volume (kmt) 137 140 136 120 534 142 141 134 112 529 126 121 113
Operating revenues (NOKm) 2 315 2 434 2 268 2 448 9 465 2 854 3 168 2 657 2 617 11 296 3 056 3 208 2 736 Operating revenues (NOKm) 5 904 6 501 7 319 7 002 26 726 9 096 10 263 9 412 7 750 36 522 8 684 8 304 7 535
Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm) 245 299 212 161 918 264 287 152 171 873 261 240 170 Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm) 663 689 562 67 1 980 895 1 042 476 330 2 743 965 813 592
Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) 149 196 108 44 497 156 179 43 57 435 149 116 49 Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) 518 517 355 (238) 1 152 618 743 196 25 1 582 677 508 288
Other and eliminations Q1
2021
Q2
2021
Q3
2021
Q4
2021
Year
2021
Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Year
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm) (78) (47) (65) (90) (280) (47) (83) (47) (91) (268) (22) (44) (26)
Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) (82) (51) (68) (94) (294) (50) (86) (50) (94) (281) (25) (48) (29)

Next event Capital Markets Day November 29-30, 2023

For more information see www.hydro.com/ir

Investor Relations in Hydro

Martine Rambøl Hagen

t: +47 91708918 e: [email protected]

Elitsa Boyadzhieva

t: +47 91775472 e: [email protected]

Frida Rongved Jacobsen

t: +47 47860460 e: [email protected]

Camilla Gihle

t: +47 92637820 e: [email protected]

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