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Norsk Hydro ASA

Investor Presentation Apr 24, 2024

3684_rns_2024-04-24_b26413e5-8781-458c-8e51-c930f10d0edb.pdf

Investor Presentation

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First quarter 2024 Investor presentation

April 24, 2024

Table of contents

First quarter results 2024 3
Additional slides 33
Additional information 46
Next event & Contact info 61

Cautionary note

Certain statements included in this announcement contain forward-looking information, including, without limitation, information relating to (a) forecasts, projections and estimates, (b) statements of Hydro management concerning plans, objectives and strategies, such as planned expansions, investments, divestments, curtailments or other projects, (c) targeted production volumes and costs, capacities or rates, start-up costs, cost reductions and profit objectives, (d) various expectations about future developments in Hydro's markets, particularly prices, supply and demand and competition, (e) results of operations, (f) margins, (g) growth rates, (h) risk management, and (i) qualified statements such as "expected", "scheduled", "targeted", "planned", "proposed", "intended" or similar.

Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, these forward-looking statements are based on a number of assumptions and forecasts that, by their nature, involve risk and uncertainty. Various factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from those projected in a forward-looking statement or affect the extent to which a particular projection is realized. Factors that could cause these differences include, but are not limited to: our continued ability to reposition and restructure our upstream and downstream businesses; changes in availability and cost of energy and raw materials; global supply and demand for aluminium and aluminium products; world economic growth, including rates of inflation and industrial production; changes in the relative value of currencies and the value of commodity contracts; trends in Hydro's key markets and competition; and legislative, regulatory and political factors.

No assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Hydro disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Resilient in weak markets, positioned for growth

Hilde Merete Aasheim Chief Executive Officer

April 24, 2024

Safety our key priority

TRI1) per million hours worked 12 months rolling average

0 1 2 3 4 5 Q1'19 Q1'20 Q1'21 Q1'22 Q1'23 Q1'24 2.83 average since Q1'19 2.28 per end-Q1'243) 0 1 2 3 Q1'19 Q1'20 Q1'21 Q1'22 Q1'23 Q1'24 1.28 average since Q1'19 0.74 per end-Q1'243)

1) Total Recordable Injuries includes own employees and contractors

2) High Risk Incidents included own employees and contractors

3) Average over period

HRI2) per million hours worked 12 months rolling average

Q1 2024 highlights Adjusted EBITDA NOK 5.4 billion

Free cash flow NOK (3.5) billion, adjusted RoaCE 5.6%

Results down on weaker demand and recycling margins, revenue drivers increasing

Increasing recycling and post-consumer scrap capacity, supporting greener product offering

Mendubim and Boa Sorte solar plants in commercial operation, securing renewable power for Hydro

Hydro Alunorte starts using natural gas, improving profitability and executing on decarbonization roadmap

CO2 compensation agreement supporting decarbonization and greener investments

Building & construction easing, automotive production growth moderating

B&C at historical low, improved demand expected Automotive production declining in Europe

  • Building & construction demand in Europe and North America at historical lows
  • Expecting improved demand second half of 2024 and in 2025 as policy interest rates moderate

EU light vehicle production per segment, number of units

  • Overall European automotive production declining in 2024
  • EVs + hybrid production still growing, but less than expected and with steep competition from China
  • EV growth to further accelerate in 2025

US and EU addressing Chinese EV overcapacity

European small-medium cars seems most at risk

China EV exports to Europe accelerate

Small-medium cars most at risk in Europe

European EV imports from China Nr of cars per brand

Limited China EV exports to the US

EV models available Nr of cars per brand, per Q2 year x

Chinese EV threat to be addressed in Europe

  • European Commission launched investigation on subsidized EVs from China on October 4, 2023
  • US with 27.5% tariff on cars made in China, whereas 9% in Europe

Recycling margins on historical low levels

MM EI Recycling EBITDA margin1)

USD/mt, nominal

On the back of weak B&C demand:

Low billet premiums, and reduced construction and demolition activity

Product and scrap premiums, USD/mt

Improvement programs on track

Enhancing robustness, adjusting to markets

Key improvement levers:

Improving operational and commercial excellence, enabled by digitalization

Expanding new products and corresponding margin contributions

Differentiating the product portfolio and market segments to increase counter-cyclicality

Leveraging on greener premiums

1) Added scope on top of initial target, Energy commercial improvements 2) Including greener premiums Note: Estimated NOK 1.5 billion in annual average CAPEX to meet remaining improvement and commercial ambitions.

First quarter revenue drivers trending upwards

U.S. and UK sanctions on Russian Metal

New restrictions on trading in Russian aluminium to curb funding of Russian war in Ukraine

  • Hydro stopped buying Russian aluminium after invasion of Ukraine in 2022
  • Many companies self-sanctioning
  • U.S./UK sanctions restrict trade of Russian aluminium on global exchanges (LME/CME), ban physical import for metal produced after April 13
  • U.S. and UK sanctions, a step in the right direction from western countries
  • Call on the EU to sanction all Russian aluminium in the 14th package

Aluminium growth supported by the green transition and megatrends

Low-carbon to constitute 50-60% of the automotive aluminium demand in 2030

Expect ~60% of European aluminium demand to be low-carbon1) by 2030

Aluminium demand on degree of carbon emissions Figures in gross '000 tonnes Aluminium2), Europe

Megatrends supporting greener growth

Innovate for circularity

Process design –
closed loops

Product design –
lower material use

Reuse and refurbish (second life)
Waste to value

Reduce waste generation

Reuse and upcycle waste streams

Capture and recycle at end of life
Partnering with clients

Shaping the markets

Enabling carbon footprint reduction

Facilitate client branding
Regulatory frameworks

Critical raw

End-of-life Directive
materials act

EU waste shipment

CO2
-regulations
regulation

Hydro 2030:

Pioneering the green aluminium transition, powered by renewable energy

Key priorities towards 2030

3

Step up growth investments in Recycling and Extrusions to take lead in the market opportunities emerging from the green transition

Execute on ambitious decarbonization and technology road map, and step up to contribute

to nature positive and a just transition

Step up ambitions within renewable power generation

Shape the market for greener aluminium in partnership with customers

Continuing to grow recycling position

Widening margins and positioning for long-term growth

  • Digging deeper into the scrap pile and securing access to scrap
  • Diversifying product portfolio, exposure to market segments and geographies to increase counter-cyclicality
  • Promoting recycling friendly alloys to enable higher recycled content
  • Differentiating with premium and specialty recycled products to secure attractive upcharges
  • Pursuing strategic decarbonization partnerships with customers
  • Continuing to ensure competitive cost position vs peers; leveraging scale advantages and optimizing hot metal cost

Growing recycling and postconsumer scrap capacity in Q1

Hydro Årdal opens new recycling unit

Hydro Høyanger opens new recycling facility

Securing processed scrap in North America with Sims Alumisource

Investing in scrap sorting in the UK, Wrexham

On track to deliver on 20301) targets

1) Range based on capex. High-range include ~70% of further potential capex given market and M&A. Including Alumetal for July 2023

14

Extrusions positioning to deliver on NOK 8 billion EBITDA target

Extrusions EBITDA NOK billion

Growing with the customers OEM contracts, revenue EUR billion

Growth capacity invested

Powering the green aluminium transition

Securing renewable power for Hydro's portfolio and other industries

Hydro Energy Hydro Rein

Signing long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with Statkraft and Alpiq

  • Statkraft contract 1.28 TWh in period May 2024-2027, price area NO3
  • Alpiq contract 0.54 TWh in period 2025-2033, price area SE3

Concession application for new hydropower plants in Røldal-Suldal progressing as planned

  • In Q4 2023, Hydro and Lyse applied for concession for five new hydropower stations in Røldal-Suldal
  • An upgrade and expansion of the current plants could increase capacity by 800 GWh (gross), 650 MW

Starting operations on solar projects totaling ~1 GWp in Brazil

  • 531 MWp Mendubim solar plant with 736 GWh PPA to alumina refinery Alunorte
  • 438 MWp Boa Sorte solar plant with 815 GWh PPA to aluminium smelter Albras

Adding more than 7 TWh potential to earlystage development pipeline in Nordics

  • Acquiring 80 percent stake in a 2.4 GW portfolio of wind power projects under development in Sweden and Norway, from IOWN Energy
  • Partnering with Fritzøe Energi to develop renewable energy for industry in Southeastern Norway

Transaction with Macquarie Asset Management progressing as planned, finalized by end of Q2

Power sourcing for Hydro operations

Joint venture smelters, TWh

1) Total Alunorte and Paragominas, all consumption sourced through Hydro. 2) Qatalum captive (50%), Alouette (20%), Tomago (12.4%), Albras (51%). 16

Executing on ambitious decarbonization roadmap

2018 2025
10%
carbon emission
reduction
2030
30%
carbon emission
reduction
2050 (or earlier)
Zero
carbon
emissions
Alunorte
fuel switch
Partnering for
decarbonization of calcination
HalZero and CCS Emission-free plasma and bio
methane in casting

On March 12, Alunorte
started the
production of alumina using gas, an
important milestone on reaching 30% by
2030

Partnering with the research center
HILT CRC* to further leverage projects
and technology for decarbonization of
the calcination process of producing
low-carbon alumina

On track with both HalZero
and CCS
towards industrial pilot

Stage 2 HalZero
test facility in Herøya
under construction and on plan

Emission-free plasma pilot with global
potential at Sunndal

Introduced bio-methane replacing 70%
on natural gas at Sunndal.
Founded on renewable energy

B&A lifting profitability, driving sustainability

1) USD 160 million on forward prices 2025 (first year of full effect), USD 190 million on spot as of Q1 2023

2) CRU 2023 cost curve. 3) Current market PAX of 377 USD/t versus 2023 PAX of 361 USD/t. 3) External scenario is based on CRU and S&P Global FX assumptions, real 2023 (prices indicated in appendix)

Roadmap to profitability Adjusted RoaCE potential 2030

Agreement on the indirect CO2 compensation scheme

The agreement between industry and authorities will provide predictability, while supporting decarbonization and green investments

  • Maximum annual compensation for eligible industries of NOK 7 billion1)
  • 40% of compensation committed to implement emission reduction and energy efficiency measures
  • Subject to approval by EFTA Surveillance Authority (ESA) and the Norwegian parliament annual approval as part of the ordinary state budget process

1) Based on current production, it is estimated that Hydro will be eligible for a CO2 compensation of approximately

Shaping the market for greener aluminium

Partnering with NKT to decarbonize electricity infrastructure

  • To develop a best in class, low-carbon aluminium power cable value chain for the development of Europe's renewable energy grid.
  • Hydro's Karmøy plant will deliver low-carbon wire rod to NKT. Going forward, the companies will collaborate on R&D and product development.

Greener earnings uplift potential 2030: NOK 2 billion1)

Million tonnes capacity potential

1) Based on 2030 EU ETS cost and relative CO2 reduction vs Hydro REDUXA 4.0 at current industry traded upcharge. Hydro REDUXA and CIRCAL potential based on estimated certification capacity. Primary capacity based on equity share renewable power. Hydro CIRCAL products have post-consumer scrap content > 75% 20

Financial update

Trond Olaf Christophersen

Executive Vice President, Corporate Development & acting CFO

Global market balances tightening

Estimated primary market balance (Mt)

Estimated smelter grade alumina market balance (Mt)

Softer extrusion demand in industrial and transport segments

Expected demand improvement in second half of 2024 in both Europe and North America

External market forecasts*

Year over Year

Extrusion market growth per quarter and annually Growth in %

Extrusion sales volumes

Adj. EBITDA up on higher upstream prices and extrusions volumes

Q1 2024 vs Q4 2023

Key financials

NOK million Q1 2024 Q1
2023
Q4 2023 Year 2023
Revenue 47 545 48 534 46 754 193 619
Reported EBITDA 5 511 6 393 4 673 23 291
Adjusting items to EBITDA (100) 1 132 (936) (1 033)
Adjusted EBITDA 5 411 7 525 3 737 22
258
Reported
EBIT
3 066 4 233 (2 256) 9 592
Adjusted
EBIT
2 966 5 364 1 231 12 983
Financial income (expense) (1 919) (2 212) (259) (3 046)
Reported Income (loss) before tax 1 148 2 021 (2 516) 6 546
Income taxes (720) (877) (256) (3 742)
Reported Net income (loss) 428 1 144 (2 771) 2 804
Adjusted net income (loss) 1 498 3 326 754 7 835
Earnings per share 0.47 0.62 (1.26) 1.77
Adjusted earnings per share 0.93 1.70 0.50 4.26

Hydro Bauxite & Alumina

Results up on lower raw material prices, partly offset by lower sales volumes from lower production

Key figures Q1 2024 Q1 2023 Q4 2023
Alumina production, kmt 1,503 1,550 1,571
Total alumina sales, kmt 2,574 2,171 2,487
Realized alumina price, USD/mt 366 367 349
Implied alumina cost, USD/mt1) 337 347 331
Bauxite production, kmt 2,600 2,648 2,771
Adjusted EBITDA, NOK million 804 437 481
Adjusted EBIT, NOK million 43 -221 -269
Adjusted
RoaCE, % LTM2)
-1.9 % -0.8 % -2.5 %

1) Realized alumina price minus Adjusted EBITDA for B&A, per mt alumina sales

2) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less 25% tax / Average capital employed last 4 quarters

3) Realized alumina price

Implied alumina cost and margin USD/mt1)

Implied EBITDA cost per mt1) All-in EBITDA margin per mt

Results Q1 24 vs Q1 23

  • Lower raw material prices
  • Lower production
  • Stronger BRL against USD

  • Alunorte production around nameplate capacity

  • Higher alumina price
  • Lower raw material prices

Hydro Aluminium Metal

Results down on lower all-in metal prices, reduced contribution from power sales and increased fixed cost, partly offset by lower carbon cost and positive currency effects

Key figures Q1 2024 Q1 2023 Q4 2023
Primary aluminium
production, kmt
505 499 514
Total sales, kmt 540 559 541
Realized LME price, USD/mt1) 2,248 2,291 2,129
Realized LME price, NOK/mt1) 23,609 23,566 23,143
Realized premium, USD/mt 358 503 348
Implied all-in primary cost, USD/mt
2)
2,225 2,275 2,125
Adjusted EBITDA, NOK million 1,965 3,972 1,937
Adjusted EBITDA including Qatalum 50% pro rata (NOK million) 2,470 4,445 2,487
Adjusted EBIT, NOK million 1,306 3,328 1,264
Adjusted RoaCE, % LTM3) 10.3 % 32.1 % 13.8 %

Adjusted EBITDA

NOK million

  • 1) Includes pricing effects from LME strategic hedge program
  • 2) Realized all-in aluminium price minus Adjusted EBITDA margin, including Qatalum, per mt aluminium sold
  • 3) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less 25% tax / Average capital employed last 4 quarters
  • 4) Implied primary costs and margin rounded to nearest USD 25
  • 5) Realized LME aluminium price less Adjusted EBITDA margin, incl Qatalum, per mt primary aluminium produced

All-in implied primary cost and margin USD/mt1,4)

Results Q1 24 vs Q1 23

  • Lower all-in metal prices
  • Reduced contribution from power sales
  • Higher fixed cost
  • Reduced carbon cost
  • Positive currency effects

  • ~73% of primary production for Q2 2024 priced at USD 2 272 per mt. 8)

  • ~47% of premiums affecting Q2 2024 booked at USD ~ 393 per mt. Q2 realized premium expected in the range of USD 350 and 400 per mt.
  • Higher raw material and fixed cost
  • Higher sales volumes
  • 6) Realized LME plus realized premiums, including Qatalum
  • 7) % of volumes extrusion ingot, foundry alloy, sheet ingot, wire rod of total sales volumes
  • 8) Bookings, also including pricing effects from LME strategic hedging program as per 31.12.2023
  • 9) Excluding power sales Slovalco and Norwegian smelters and CO2 catch-up Q3 2022 and Q4 2023

Metal Markets

Results down on lower results from recyclers, and sourcing and trading activities

Key figures Q1 2024 Q1 2023 Q4 2023
Recycling production, kmt 179 132 166
Metal products sales, kmt
1)
622 674 645
Adjusted EBITDA Recycling (NOK million) 58 284 58
Adjusted EBITDA Commercial (NOK million) 211 385 -97
Adjusted EBITDA Metal Markets (NOK million) 269 669 -38
Adjusted EBITDA excl. currency and inventory valuation effects 224 592 -36
Adjusted EBIT (NOK million) 68 628 -229
Adjusted
RoaCE, % LTM2)
5.0 % 26.9 % 10.7 %

NOK million

1) Includes external and internal sales from primary casthouse operations, remelters and third-party metal sources 2) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less 25% tax / Average capital employed last 4 quarters

Results Q1 24 vs Q1 23

  • Main driver is lower results from recycling
  • Reduced results from sourcing and trading activities
  • Negative ramp-up effects

  • Tight scrap markets

  • Higher volumes
  • Lower impact due to Cassopolis ramp up

Hydro Extrusions

Results down on lower sales volumes, lower recycling margins and higher costs, partly offset by higher sales margins and currency effects

Key figures Q1 2024 Q1 2023 Q4 2023
External sales volumes, kmt 266 301 236
Adjusted EBITDA, NOK million 1,437 2,223 923
Adjusted EBIT, NOK million 690 1,485 90
Adjusted RoaCE, % LTM1) 6.6 % 10.6 % 8.8 %

Results Q1 24 vs Q1 23

  • Higher sales margins
  • Positive currency effects
  • Lower sales volumes and recycling margins
  • Negative metal effect

Outlook Q2 24 vs Q2 23

  • Continued strong margins
  • Lower sales volumes
  • Higher variable costs
  • Continued soft extrusions markets

Adjusted EBITDA

1) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less 25% tax / Average capital employed last 4 quarters. Previous periods have been restated following a change to the capital employed definition.

Hydro Energy

Results up on higher production and no AM buy back contract partially offset by lower prices, lower gain on price area differences and lower trading and hedging results

Key figures Q1 2024 Q1 2023 Q4 2023
Power production, GWh 2,843 2,610 2,440
Net spot sales, GWh 3) 844 817 101
Southwest Norway spot price (NO2), NOK/MWh 736 1,182 818
Adjusted EBITDA, NOK million 1,152 726 805
Adjusted EBIT, NOK million 1,103 677 755
Adjusted
RoaCE, % LTM1),2)
12.4 % 19.7 % 12.0 %

Adjusted EBITDA

NOK million

  • 1) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less tax/ Average capital employed last 4 quarters 2) 50% tax rate applied for 2023 and 2024
  • 3) Volume affected by disrupted delivery from a long-term power purchase agreement in the northern part of the Nord Pool area. The non-delivered volume were 0.5 TWh in the quarter

Results Q1 24 vs Q1 23

  • Higher production and net spot sales
  • Lower prices and lower gain on area price differences
  • Positive impact from the expiry of an internal fixed price purchase contract from AM at a significant loss in the same period last year.
  • Lower trading and hedging results

  • Lower production and net spot sales

  • Lower prices and lower gain on area price differences
  • Continued volume and price uncertainty

Net debt increase of NOK 5.7 billion since Q4

Increase in net debt mainly driven by negative Other operating cash flow, investments and a NOC build

Our priorities

Health and safety first

Maintain robustness and mitigate weaker markets

Deliver on Recycling, Extrusions, and Renewable growth ambitions

1 2 3 4 5

Execute on decarbonization and technology road map

Seize opportunities in greener aluminiumat premium pricing

Pioneering the green aluminium transition, powered by renewable energy

Additional slides

Key figures – Outlook Q2 2024

Note that the information on this page is based on forward looking information from current point in time and changes might occur during the coming quarter

Bauxite and Alumina Aluminium Metal Metal Markets

Expect cost release of around 50-150 MMOK

Higher alumina price impacting positvely

Fixed and other costs is expected to be stable

~73% of primary production for Q2 2024 priced
at USD 2 272 per mt. 8)

~47% of premiums affecting Q2 2024 booked at
USD ~ 393 per mt. Q2 realized premium
expected in the range of USD 350 –
400 per mt.

Higher raw material cost of 100 to 200 MNOK

Guidance for YE Commercial Adjusted
EBITDA
excl. currency and inventory of 250 -
400
MNOK.
Extrusions
Higher fixed cost of 50 to 100 MNOK

Higher sales volumes
Energy

Keeping up strong margins

Remelters continue to be under pressure

Power sales: ~400MWh will be sold on spot.
Estimated value ~264 MNOK based on
the
current NO2 price of ~660 NOK/MWh

Price area difference estimate for Q2 as of Q1
is between 50 and 100 MNOK

Revenue drivers through Q1 2024

Market raw material costs in Q1 2024

Petroleum coke FOB USG (indexed) Pitch FOB USG (indexed)

Caustic soda (indexed) Fuel oil A1 and Henry Hub NG spot price (Indexed) 0 1 2 3 4 5 Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 Q4-20 Q1-21 Q2-21 Q3-21 Q4-21 Q1-22 Q2-22 Q3-22 Q4-22 Q1-23 Q2-23 Q3-23 Q4-23 Q1-24

Alumina PAX index (indexed)

Steam coal (indexed)

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0

Indication of current market prices

Q1-21

Q2-21

Q1-20

Q2-20

Q3-20

Q4-20

Source: Thomson Reuters, PACE, IHS Markit, Platts, ANP, CRU 36

Q3-21

Q4-21

Q1-22

Q2-22

Q3-22

Q4-22

Q1-23

Q2-23

Q3-23

Q4-23

Q1-24

Fuel Oil A1 (indexed)

Key performance metrics Q1 2024

347 331 337 1Q23 4Q23 1Q24 2 275 2 125 2 275 Adjusted EBITDA NOK million Upstream costs3,4) USD per tonne Bauxite & Alumina Aluminium Metal 1Q23 4Q23 1Q24 7 525 3 737 5 411

  1. Free cash flow is defined as net cash provided by (used in) operating activities of continuing operations, adjusted for changes in collateral and net purchases of money market funds, plus net cash provided by (used in) investing activities of continuing operations, adjusted for purchases of / proceeds from sales of short-term investments

  2. Adj. RoaCE calculated as adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less underlying tax expense adjusted for 30% tax on financial items / average capital employed last 4 quarters

  3. Realized alumina price minus adjusted EBITDA for B&A, excluding insurance proceeds relating to decommissioned crane (NOK ~500 million), per mt alumina sales

  4. Realized all-in aluminium price (incl. strategic hedge program) less adjusted EBITDA margin excluding indirect CO2 compensation catch-up effect (NOK ~1.4 billion) and power sales Slovalco, Albras and Norwegian smelters, incl Qatalum, per mt aluminium sold. Implied primary cost and margin rounded to nearest USD 25

Metal Markets earnings drivers

• Recyclers

  • Revenue impact volume, LME and product premiums
  • Cost impact
    • Scrap and standard ingot premiums above LME
    • Raw material mix
    • Freight cost proximity to market
    • Energy consumption and prices

• Other main businesses

  • Physical ingot and LME trading
  • Third-party casthouse products
  • Results influenced by currency fluctuations and inventory valuation effects
  • Adjusted EBITDA for Commercial excl. currency and inventory valuation effects for 2024 expected in the range of 250MNOK to 400MNOK

Adjusted EBITDA excluding currency effects and inventory valuation effect, NOK million1)

1) Amounts are as disclosed for the individual years reflecting the accounting policies applied for those years and Hydro's definition of APMs applied for the relevant years.

Extrusions earnings drivers

Adjusted EBITDA per tonne1), NOK

  • Contract structure
    • Margin business based on conversion price
      • LME element passed on to customers
    • Mostly short-term contract, typically ranging from spot to 12 months, few longer term contracts with floating price or hedging in place
  • High share of variable costs high level of flexibility
  • Annual seasonality driven by maintenance and customer activity
    • Stronger Q1 and Q2, weaker Q3 and Q4
  • Strong focus on increasing value add to customers
  • Preferred supplier market position in high-end products

Energy EBITDA development

Adjusted EBITDA and NO2 spot price

Adjusted EBITDA and NO2 spot price

  • Production and market prices strongly linked to hydrological conditions
  • Seasonal market variations in demand and supply. Gains or losses may occur from delink between area prices arising due to transmission capacity limitations in the Nordic area
  • Power portfolio optimized versus market
  • Lift in annual EBITDA contribution from 2021
    • Positive impact from expiry of legacy supply contract from 2021
    • 8 TWh internal contract for power sales to Aluminium Metal in Norway effective from 2021-30
  • Stable and competitive production cost base:
    • Mainly fixed costs
    • Volume-related transmission costs
  • Maturing portfolio growth options; emphasis on flexible production & selected geographies

Significant exposure to commodity and currency fluctuations

Aluminium price sensitivity +10% Currency sensitivities +10% NOK million

Other commodity prices, sensitivity +10% NOK million

Sustainable effect:

NOK million USD BRL EUR
AEBITDA 4,090 (990) (100)
One-off reevaluation effect:
Financial items (1,270) 1,490 (3,770)
  • Annual adjusted sensitivities based on normal annual business volumes. LME 2,250 USD/mt, standard ingot premium (Europe duty paid) 285 USD/mt, PAX 365 USD/mt, fuel oil 840 USD/mt, petroleum coke 395 USD/mt, pitch 925 EUR/mt, caustic soda 385 USD/mt, coal 85 USD/mt, gas (Henry Hub) 2.56 USD/MMBtu, USDNOK 10.50, BRLNOK 2.12, EURNOK 11.41
  • Aluminium price sensitivity is net of aluminium price indexed costs and excluding unrealized effects related to operational hedging
  • BRL sensitivity calculated on a long-term basis with fuel oil assumed in USD. In the short-term, fuel oil is BRL-denominated
  • Excludes effects of priced contracts in currencies different from underlying currency exposure (transaction exposure)
  • Currency sensitivity on financial items includes effects from intercompany positions
  • 2024 Platts alumina index (PAX) exposure used
  • Adjusted Net Income sensitivity calculated as AEBITDA sensitivity after 30% tax
  • Sensitivities include strategic hedges for 2024 (remaining volumes for 2024, annualized)

Bauxite & Alumina sensitivities

Annual sensitivities on adjusted EBITDA if +10% in price NOK million

Revenue impact

• Realized alumina price lags PAX by one month

Cost impact

Bauxite

  • ~2.45 tonnes bauxite per tonne alumina
  • Pricing partly LME-linked

Caustic soda

  • ~0.1 tonnes per tonne alumina
  • Prices based on IHS Chemical, pricing mainly monthly per shipment

Energy

  • ~0.12 tonnes coal per tonne alumina, Platts prices, one year volume contracts, weekly per shipment pricing
  • ~0.11 tonnes heavy fuel oil per tonne alumina, prices set by ANP/Petrobras in Brazil, weekly pricing (ANP) or anytime (Petrobras)

Annual adjusted sensitivities based on normal annual business volumes. LME 2,250 USD/mt, standard ingot premium (Europe duty paid) 285 USD/mt, PAX 365 USD/mt, fuel oil 840 USD/mt, petroleum coke 395 USD/mt, pitch 925 EUR/mt, caustic soda 385 USD/mt, coal 85 USD/mt, gas (Henry Hub) 2.56 USD/MMBtu, USDNOK 10.50, BRLNOK 2.12, EURNOK 11.41 BRL sensitivity calculated on a long-term basis with fuel oil assumed in USD. In the short-term, fuel oil is BRL-denominated. 2024 Platts alumina index (PAX) exposure used

Aluminium Metal sensitivities

Annual sensitivities on adjusted EBITDA if +10% in price NOK million

Revenue impact

  • Realized price lags LME spot by ~1-2 months
  • Realized premium lags market premium by ~2-3 months

Cost impact

Alumina

  • ~1.9 tonnes per tonne aluminium
  • ~ 2-3 months lag
  • Mainly priced on Platts index

Carbon

  • ~0.40 tonnes petroleum coke per tonne aluminium, Pace Jacobs Consultancy, 2-3 year volume contracts, quarterly or half yearly pricing
  • ~0.08 tonnes pitch per tonne aluminium, CRU, 2-3 year volume contracts, quarterly pricing

Power

  • 14.0 MWh per tonne aluminium
  • Long-term power contracts with indexations

Integrated margin hedging realized a NOK 0.3 billion positive value in Q1-24

Aluminium hedges of 320-460 kt/yr 2024-25 in place

  • 2024: 330 kt remaining at a price of ~2400 USD/t
  • 2025: 320 kt hedged at a price of ~2500 USD/t
  • Pricing mainly in NOK, with USD hedges converted to NOK via USD/NOK derivatives
  • Corresponding raw material exposure partially secured using financial derivatives or physical contracts

B&A and AM BRL/USD Hedge

  • USD 698 million sold forward for 2024-2026
    • 2024: USD 251 million remaining at avg. rate 6.19
    • 2025: USD 272 million hedged at avg. rate 5.33
    • 2026: USD 175 million hedged at avg. rate 5.48
  • Aim to reduce volatility and uncertainty in Alunorte and Albras cash flows, as well as support robust cost curve positions

Strategic hedging status

NOK Billions

Utilizing Hydro's hedging policy to deliver on strategic ambitions

  • Flexibility to hedge in certain cases
    • Support strong cost position
    • Strong margins in historical perspective, e.g., supporting ARoaCE target
    • Larger investments

Safe and responsible operations is a top priority

Leadership in health and safety, social responsibility, and compliance as a license to operate

10.3

TRI Rate1)

7.0 6.0 5.4 4.0 4.1 3.9 2.9 3.7 3.8 3.4 3.4 3.2 3.0 2.6 3.1 3.5 3.1 2.7 3.3 2.4 2.4 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

1) Total recordable incidents (TRI) rate defined as cases per 1 million hours worked, for own employees and contractors

Continuing efforts within ESG performance

  • Transparent and consistent reporting approach for more than three decades
  • Sustainability is fully integrated in Hydro's strategy
  • Work in progress to prepare for implementation of the EU Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD)

68% Europe Index inclusion DJSI inclusion since 1999

73/100

AA rating "Leading initiatives to achieve carbon-free aluminium"

75/100

97th percentile

B rating Corporate Rating: Prime Status

Additional information

Adj. EBITDA down on lower prices and Extrusion results, partly offset by lower raw material cost

Q1 2024 vs Q1 2023

Income statements

NOK million First quarter
2024
Fourth quarter
2023
First quarter
2023
Year
2023
Revenue 47 545 46 754 48 534 193 619
Share of the profit (loss) in equity accounted investments 46 46 95 492
Other income, net 1 000 1 272 1 357 4 152
Total revenue and income 48 591 48 072 49 986 198 263
Raw material and energy expense 30 025 29 633 31 295 123 538
Employee benefit expense 6 748 6 673 6 416 25 931
Depreciation and amortization expense 2 472 2 539 2 189 9 394
Impairment of non-current assets - 4 424 (3) 4 421
Other expenses 6 280 7 061 5 856 25 387
Earnings before financial items and tax (EBIT) 3 066 (2 256) 4 233 9 592
Interest and other finance income 463 257 344 1 302
Foreign currency exchange gain (loss) (1 633) 152 (1 985) (2 084)
Interest and other finance expense (748) (668) (571) (2 264)
Income (loss) before tax 1 148 (2 516) 2 021 6 546
Income taxes (720) (256) (877) (3 742)
Net income (loss) 428 (2 771) 1 144 2 804
Net income (loss) attributable to non-controlling interests (513) (235) (121) (778)
Net income (loss) attributable to Hydro shareholders 941 (2 537) 1 265 3 583
Earnings per share attributable to Hydro shareholders 0.47 (1.26) 0.62 1.77
NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Net income (loss) 6 411 11 136 6 676 194 1 144 5 056 (625) (2 771) 428 24 417 2 804
Adjusted net income (loss) 6 785 7 731 6 258 2 371 3 326 3 410 345 754 1 498 23 145 7 835
Earnings per share 2.80 5.49 3.34 0.12 0.62 2.56 (0.18) (1.26) 0.47 11.76 1.77
Adjusted earnings per share 3.17 3.63 2.91 0.99 1.70 1.77 0.27 0.50 0.93 10.70 4.26

Balance sheet

NOK million March 31
2024
December 31
2023
September 30
2023
June 30
2023
March 31
2023
December 31
2022
September 30
2022
June 30
2022
Cash and cash equivalents 19 622 24 618 19 105 22 453 30 873 29 805 25 852 24 507
Short-term investments 4 968 2 641 2 101 1 158 2 696 4 173 2 511 1 882
Trade and other receivables 28 969 25 404 26 387 27 561 28 350 23 988 28 442 29 164
Inventories 25 291 25 449 27 648 28 808 30 216 30 035 31 394 29 415
Other current financial assets 1 350 1 900 1 726 2 722 1 302 1 127 4 887 6 543
Assets held for sale 4 131 3 685 - - - - - -
Property, plant and equipment 77 334 74 981 74 367 72 985 67 827 62 656 62 369 58 920
Intangible assets 8 741 8 447 10 823 10 215 9 839 9 280 9 810 9 374
Investments accounted for using the equity method 22 512 21 228 24 633 24 277 22 566 21 222 22 613 20 055
Prepaid pension 9 670 8 664 9 335 9 981 9 040 8 573 9 352 9 814
Other non-current assets 10 545 9 444 9 135 8 346 8 684 7 759 9 598 8 400
Total assets 213 133 206 462 205 260 208 506 211 395 198 618 206 829 198 074
Bank loans and other interest-bearing short-term debt 8 169 7 111 5 764 5 271 5 899 6 746 11 085 7 796
Trade and other payables 28 541 26 232 24 860 25 529 25 702 24 374 26 703 29 156
Other current liabilities 8 058 10 549 11 093 9 593 10 741 11 688 11 653 10 724
Liabilities in disposal group 129 141 - - - - - -
Long-term debt 30 996 28 978 29 944 29 756 29 615 26 029 20 790 21 054
Provisions 5 987 5 867 5 897 6 243 5 692 5 289 5 779 5 539
Pension liabilities 9 071 9 222 8 475 8 388 8 669 8 252 8 064 7 882
Deferred tax liabilities 5 079 4 717 6 153 6 197 5 289 4 796 5 178 5 304
Other non-current liabilities 7 353 6 462 5 325 5 687 5 429 3 648 4 481 5 585
Equity attributable to Hydro shareholders 105 502 100 579 103 062 106 873 108 582 102 455 107 129 99 347
Non-controlling interests 6 247 6 604 4 686 4 968 5 777 5 343 5 967 5 688
Total liabilities and equity 213 133 206 462 205 260 208 506 211 395 196 618 206 829 198 074

Adjusting items to EBITDA, EBIT and net income

NOK million (+=loss/()=gain) Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Year 2023
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Hydro Bauxite & Alumina -
-
- - 3 -
Unrealized derivative effects on raw material contracts Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 177 94 (41) 182 (41) 412
Community contributions Brazil Hydro Bauxite & Alumina -
25
- - - 25
Total impact Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 177 118 (41) 182 (38) 437
Unrealized derivative effects on power contracts Hydro Energy 214 184 41 (37) 61 401
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Hydro Energy (3)
(7)
(5) (6) (5) (20)
Other effects Hydro Energy -
-
- 164 - 164
Total impact Hydro Energy 211 177 36 120 56 544
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Hydro Aluminium Metal 709 (2 836) 1 414 (954) 39 (1 667)
Unrealized derivative effects on power contracts Hydro Aluminium Metal 62
(106)
113 33 (31) 103
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Hydro Aluminium Metal (37) (114) (79) (89) (78) (320)
Total impact Hydro Aluminium Metal 733 (3 055) 1 448 (1 010) (69) (1 884)
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Hydro Metal Markets 34
(146)
448 (121) 2 215
Transaction related effects Hydro Metal Markets 50
4
35 31 - 120
Total impact Hydro Metal Markets 84
(142)
483 (90) 2 335
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Hydro Extrusions (19) 6 113 (134) (9) (34)
Unrealized derivative effects on power contracts Hydro Extrusions 5
(24)
(2) (6) (13) (28)
Significant rationalization charges and closure costs Hydro Extrusions 51
27
17 171 32 265
(Gains)/losses on divestments and other transaction related effects Hydro Extrusions 20
-
1 4 (9) 25
Other effects Hydro Extrusions -
(107)
- - - (107)
Total impact Hydro Extrusions 57
(98)
128 35 1 121
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Other and eliminations (15) (35) 25 (18) 15 (43)
(Gains)/losses on divestments Other and eliminations -
-
(25) - (14) (25)
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Other and eliminations (115) (143) (130) (155) (52) (543)
Other effects Other and eliminations -
26
- - - 26
Total impact Other and eliminations (131) (151) (130) (174) (52) (585)
Adjusting items to EBITDA Hydro 1 132 (3 152) 1 923 (936) (100) (1 033)
Impairment charges Hydro Bauxite & Alumina -
-
- 3 773 - 3 773
Impairment charges Hydro Aluminium Metal -
-
- 628 - 628
Impairment charges Hydro Extrusions -
-
- 23 - 23
Adjusting items to EBIT Hydro 1 132 (3 152) 1 923 3 487 (100) 3 391
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Hydro 1 985 789 (538) (152) 1 633 2 084
Adjusting items to income (loss) before tax Hydro 3 117 (2 362) 1 385 3 336 1 533 5 475
Calculated income tax effect Hydro (935) 716 (416) 190 (463) (445)
Adjusting items to
net income (loss)
Hydro 2 182 (1 646) 970 3 525 1 070 5 031

Adjusted EBIT

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 718 484 10 (586) (221) 88 (610) (269) 43 626 (1 013)
Hydro Energy 2 192 777 275 1 493 677 805 712 755 1 103 4 737 2 950
Hydro Aluminium Metal 4 183 6 349 5 837 4 097 3 328 2 550 727 1 264 1 306 20 467 7 869
Hydro Metal Markets 487 666 494 (134) 628 290 482 (229) 68 1 514 1 170
Hydro Extrusions 1 587 1 600 640 168 1 485 1 228 548 90 690 3 995 3 351
Other and Eliminations 3 (425) 356 (93) (532) (173) (259) (380) (244) (159) (1 343)
Total 9 170 9 452 7 611 4 946 5 364 4 788 1 600 1 231 2 966 31 179 12 983

Adjusted EBITDA

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 1 270 1 117 633 101 437 817 93 481 804 3 122 1 828
Hydro Energy 2 239 824 321 1 542 726 854 762 805 1 152 4 926 3 146
Hydro Aluminium Metal 4 765 6 977 6 463 4 756 3 972 3 215 1 379 1 937 1 965 22 963 10 502
Hydro Metal Markets 525 705 534 (91) 669 334 568 (38) 269 1 673 1 533
Hydro Extrusions 2 331 2 365 1 385 939 2 223 2 013 1 322 923 1 437 7 020 6 480
Other and Eliminations 35 (395) 384 (63) (501) (134) (225) (370) (216) (39) (1 231)
Total 11 165 11 594 9 721 7 184 7 525 7 098 3 899 3 737 5 411 39 664 22 258

EBIT

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 1 094 657 (147) (1 133) (399) (30) (570) (4 223) 81 471 (5 222)
Hydro Energy 2 424 793 526 878 466 628 677 634 1 047 4 621 2 406
Hydro Aluminium Metal 254 11 777 6 061 2 200 2 595 5 605 (721) 1 646 1 376 20 292 9 125
Hydro Metal Markets 297 1 516 300 (492) 544 432 (1) (139) 65 1 621 835
Hydro Extrusions 2 114 1 059 510 16 1 427 1 326 420 33 689 3 699 3 206
Other and Eliminations 39 (385) 420 (63) (402) (21) (128) (206) (192) 11 (758)
Total 6 222 15 418 7 670 1 405 4 233 7 939 (323) (2 256) 3 066 30 715 9 592

EBITDA

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 1 647 1 290 477 (446) 260 698 134 300 842 2 967 1 392
Hydro Energy 2 471 840 572 926 515 677 726 684 1 096 4 810 2 602
Hydro Aluminium Metal 836 12 405 6 736 2 888 3 239 6 270 (69) 2 946 2 035 22 866 12 386
Hydro Metal Markets 335 1 556 339 (449) 586 476 85 51 267 1 780 1 198
Hydro Extrusions 2 858 1 824 1 255 1 045 2 165 2 111 1 194 888 1 436 6 982 6 359
Other and Eliminations 71 (354) 449 (34) (371) 17 (95) (197) (164) 132 (645)
Total 8 217 17 561 9 828 3 930 6 393 10 249 1 975 4 673 5 511 39 536 23 291

Total revenue

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 7 901 9 413 8 652 7 986 8 320 8 830 8 423 9 948 10 200 33 951 35 521
Hydro Energy 4 268 2 456 2 854 3 037 3 452 2 162 3 299 2 644 2 882 12 614 11 557
Hydro Aluminium
Metal
11 094 24 583 16 678 13 129 15 236 18 211 11 366 13 562 13 170 65 483 58 375
Hydro Metal Markets 22 674 27 698 22 374 18 222 20 873 22 483 19 329 18 629 18 677 90 968 81 314
Hydro Extrusions 23 468 25 269 22 620 19 819 22 717 22 608 19 142 18 178 19 306 91 176 82 645
Other and Eliminations (22 788) (24 626) (20 733) (18 118) (22 065) (20 664) (16 856) (16 208) (16 690) (86 264) (75 794)
Total 46 616 64 793 52 445 44 075 48 534 53 630 44 702 46 754 47 545 207 929 193 619
External revenue
NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 5 052 5 864 5 641 5 091 5 289 5 570 5 404 6 807 6 963 21 649 23 069
Hydro Energy 2 415 646 1 082 1 324 1 634 257 1 616 1 058 1 217 5 467 4 564
Hydro Aluminium Metal (2 518) 8 640 4 327 2 638 1 528 5 444 1 741 3 936 3 600 13 087 12 649

Hydro Metal Markets 18 472 24 420 18 796 15 132 17 308 19 837 16 716 16 829 16 500 76 821 70 690 Hydro Extrusions 23 199 25 228 22 585 19 881 22 765 22 527 19 221 18 122 19 262 90 892 82 635 Other and Eliminations (5) (6) 15 9 10 (4) 3 3 4 13 13 Total 46 616 64 793 52 445 44 075 48 534 53 630 44 702 46 754 47 545 207 929 193 619

Internal revenue

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 2 848 3 549 3 011 2 895 3 031 3 260 3 019 3 141 3 238 12 303 12 542
Hydro Energy 1 853 1 810 1 772 1 713 1 818 1 905 1 683 1 586 1 665 7 148 6 993
Hydro Aluminium Metal 13 611 15 943 12 352 10 491 13 709 12 767 9 624 9 626 9 570 52 396 45 726
Hydro Metal Markets 4 201 3 277 3 578 3 091 3 565 2 647 2 612 1 801 2 177 14 147 10 625
Hydro Extrusions 269 41 36 (62) (48) 81 (80) 56 44 284 10
Other and Eliminations (22 783) (24 620) (20 748) (18 126) (22 075) (20 660) (16 860) (16 211) (16 694) (86 278) (75 806)
Total - - - - - - - - - - -

Share of profit /(loss) in equity accounted investments

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina - - - - - - - - - - -
Hydro Energy (28) (39) (32) (81) (67) (59) (57) (110) (106) (180) (293)
Hydro Aluminium Metal 383 626 340 200 154 264 179 135 126 1 549 733
Hydro Metal Markets - - - - - - - - - - -
Hydro Extrusions - - - - - 1 1 3 - - 5
Other and Eliminations 22 (184) 118 12 8 (25) 47 17 25 (32) 47
Total 377 403 426 131 95 181 171 46 46 1 337 492

Return on average capital employed 1) (RoaCE)

Reported RoaCE Adjusted RoaCE
2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina (12.7%) 1.3% 11.9% 5.4% 1.9% 4.6% 8.5% (2.5%) 1.8% 12.0% 5.9% 2.5% 6.0% 8.5%
Hydro Energy 2) 10.4% 28.8% 26.5% 249.5% 13.4% 18.8% 17.5% 13.0% 29.5% 25.4% 8.7% 12.9% 18.8% 17.5%
Hydro Aluminium Metal 16.0% 35.1% 21.6% 1.9% (3.9%) 5.6% 11.8% 13.8% 35.4% 28.3% 2.9% (2.6%) 4.7% 12.6%
Hydro Metal Markets 7.6% 33.2% 24.0% 22.8% 20.7% 25.1% 18.6% 10.7% 31.0% 23.9% 21.6% 27.3% 19.4% 20.9%
3)
Hydro Extrusions
8.4% 10.5% 9.4% 1.3% 3.8% 5.3% 13.4% 8.8% 11.4% 10.3% 6.2% 5.7% 7.2% 6.6%
Hydro Group 4.1% 21.9% 16.3% 5.4% (0.9%) 6.0% 11.2% 7.1% 22.2% 18.6% 3.7% 1.3% 6.6% 9.6%

Capital employed – upstream focus

NOK million March 31
2024
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 28 780
Hydro Energy 11 958
Hydro Aluminium Metal 45 690
Hydro Metal Markets 10 103
Hydro Extrusions 30 332
Other and Eliminations (1
221)
Total 125 642

Graph excludes BNOK (1.2) in capital employed in Other and Eliminations

1) RoaCE at business area level is calculated using 25% tax rate. For Hydro Energy, 50% tax rate is used for 2023, 40% for 2022 and 2021, 80% for 2020 and 2019, 70% for 2018, and 65% for 2017

2) Hydro Energy reported RoaCE for 2020 higher than previous years due to the Lyse transaction

3) Hydro Extrusions reflected as 50% equity accounted investment Q1-Q3 2017 and fully consolidated from Q4 2017

Depreciation, amortization and impairment

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 553 633 624 687 659 729 703 4 523 761 2 496 6 614
Hydro Energy 47 47 47 48 48 49 49 50 49 190 196
Hydro Aluminium Metal 605 651 698 711 666 687 674 1 326 682 2 664 3 353
Hydro Metal Markets 38 39 39 44 42 45 87 194 202 161 368
Hydro Extrusions 746 767 748 1 036 741 792 779 859 750 3 297 3 171
Other and Eliminations 32 31 28 30 31 38 34 10 28 121 113
Total 2 020 2 168 2 185 2 556 2 186 2 340 2 327 6 962 2 472 8 929 13 815

Indicative depreciation currency exposure by business area Depreciation by business area 2023, 13.8 BNOK

Percent USD EUR BRL NOK & Other
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 100%
Hydro Energy 100%
Hydro Aluminium Metal 30% 20% 50%
Hydro Metal Markets 20% 30% 50%
Hydro Extrusions 40% 35% 25%
Other and Eliminations 15% 10% 75%

Hydro Bauxite & Alumina Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Alumina production (kmt) 1 519 1 536 1 579 1 559 1 550 1 542 1 522 1 571 1 503 6 193 6 185
Sourced alumina (kmt) 741 758 764 593 686 553 692 909 1 080 2 856 2 840
Total alumina sales (kmt) 2 251 2 305 2 344 2 220 2 171 2 153 2 229 2 487 2 574 9 121 9 040
Realized alumina price (USD) 1) 391 430 364 342 367 373 349 349 366 382 359
Implied alumina cost (USD) 2) 327 378 337 337 347 336 345 331 337 345 340
Bauxite production (kmt) 3) 2 638 2 736 2 814 2 824 2 648 2 630 2 848 2 771 2 600 11 012 10 897
Sourced bauxite (kmt) 4) 856 1 674 1 220 1 861 1 078 1 100 1 204 2 001 1 200 5 611 5 383
5)
Adjusted
EBITDA margin
16.1% 11.9% 7.3% 1.3% 5.3% 9.2% 1.1% 4.8% 7.9% 9.2% 5.1%
Hydro Energy Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Power production, GWh 2 730 1 602 1 330 2 002 2 610 2 431 2 216 2 440 2 843 7 664 9 697
Net spot sales, GWh 986 (433) (703) 511 817 333 24 101 844 361 1 275
Nordic spot electricity price, NOK/MWh 1 090 1 211 1 757 1 414 934 647 949 515 667 1 370 642
Southern Norway spot electricity price (NO2), NOK/MWh 1 504 1 752 3 519 1 719 1 182 958 664 818 736 2 128 904
Adjusted
EBITDA
margin 5)
52.5% 33.6% 11.2% 50.8% 21.0% 39.5% 23.1% 30.4% 40.0% 39.0% 27.2%

1) Weighted average of own production and third-party contracts, excluding hedge results. The majority of the alumina is sold linked to either the LME prices or alumina index with a one-month delay

  • 2) Implied alumina cost (based on EBITDA and sales volume) replaces previous apparent alumina cash cost
  • 3) Paragominas production, on wet basis

4) 40 percent MRN offtake from Vale and 5 percent Hydro share on wet basis

5) Adjusted EBITDA divided by total revenues

Operational data

D
Hydro
Hydro Aluminium Metal 1) Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Realized aluminium price LME, USD/mt 2 662 3 031 2 497 2 246 2 291 2 273 2 146 2 129 2 248 2 599 2 218
Realized aluminium price LME, NOK/mt3) 23 542 28 461 24 706 22 813 23 566 24 417 22 456 23 143 23 609 24 739 22 995
Realized premium above LME, USD/mt2) 786 870 801 577 503 456 432 348 358 756 435
Realized premium above LME, NOK/mt2)3) 6 954 8 167 7 920 5 857 5 169 4 894 4 521 3 778 3 758 7 197 4 511
Realized NOK/USD exchange rate 3) 8.84 9.39 9.89 10.16 10.29 10.74 10.47 10.87 10.50 9.52 10.37
Implied primary cost (USD)
4)
1 550 1 500 1 550 1 650 1 700 1 725 1 750 1 775 1 825 1 550 1 750
Implied all-in primary cost (USD) 5) 2 450 2 500 2 350 2 250 2 275 2 250 2 200 2 125 2 225 2 375 2 225
Hydro Aluminium Metal production, kmt 540 532 543 522 499 506 512 514 505 2 137 2 031
Casthouse production, kmt 555 542 547 522 513 519 523 512 519 2 166 2 067
Total sales, kmt6) 600 581 533 542 559 577 539 541 540 2 256 2 217
EBITDA margin 8)
Adjusted
43.0% 28.4% 38.8% 36.2% 26.1% 17.7% 12.1% 14.3% 14.9% 35.1% 18.0%
Hydro Metal Markets Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Remelt production (1 000 mt) 151 158 124 115 132 146 176 166 179 548 620
Third-party sales (1 000 mt) 72 74 76 81 78 81 92 81 75 304 331
sales excl. ingot trading (1 000 mt) 7)
Hydro Metal Markets
731 710 635 614 674 691 652 645 622 2 691 2 662
Hereof external sales excl. ingot trading (1 000 mt) 610 607 536 530 566 590 567 567 540 2 284 2 290
External revenue (NOK million) 18 472 24 420 18 796 15 132 17 308 19 837 16 716 16 829 16 500 76 821 70 690
Hydro Extrusions Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Extrusions external shipments (1 000 mt) 347 338 301 265 301 293 260 236 266 1 251 1 090
Hydro Extrusions –
Pro-forma adjusted EBIT
per mt, NOK
4 568 4 740 2 123 636 4 937 4 184 2 107 383 2 593 3 194 3 074

1) Operating and financial information includes Hydro's proportionate share of production and sales volumes in equity accounted investments. Realized prices, premiums and exchange rates exclude equity accounted investments

2) Average realized premium above LME for casthouse sales from Hydro Aluminium Metal

3) Including strategic hedges /hedge accounting applied

4) Realized LME price minus Adjusted EBITDA margin (incl. Qatalum) per mt primary aluminium produced. Includes net earnings from primary casthouses

5) Realized all-in price minus Adjusted EBITDA margin (incl. Qatalum) per mt primary aluminium sold. Includes net earnings from primary casthouses

6) Total sales replaces previous casthouse sales due to change of definition

7) Includes external and internal sales from primary casthouse operations, remelters and third-party Metal sources

8) Adjusted EBITDA divided by total revenues

Hydro Extrusions, information by business area

Precision Tubing Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Year
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Year
2023
Q1
2024
Extrusion Europe Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Year
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Year
2023
Q1
2024
Volume (kmt) 31 28 30 28 117 31 32 31 29 124 31 Volume (kmt) 151 144 119 106 520 124 121 99 92 436 108
Operating revenues (NOKm) 2 091 2 038 2 129 2 020 8 278 2 279 2 429 2 344 2 204 9 256 2 229 Operating revenues (NOKm) 9 532 10 147 8 696 7 787 36 162 9 035 8 926 6 864 6 625 31 450 7 281
Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm) 184 95 135 50 464 152 185 259 131 727 193 Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm) 1 035 1 025 669 480 3 209 867 819 327 305 2 318 469
Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) 82 (3) 35 (51) 63 61 87 161 37 346 96 Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) 782 767 415 231 2 196 623 564 79 26 1 291 205
Building Systems Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Year
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Year
2023
Q1
2024
Extrusion North America Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Year
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Year
2023
Q1
2024
Volume (kmt) 24 24 19 18 85 19 19 17 19 75 19 Volume (kmt) 142 141 134 112 529 126 121 113 95 455 108
Operating revenues (NOKm) 2 854 3 168 2 657 2 617 11 296 3 056 3 208 2 736 2 938 11 939 2 938 Operating revenues (NOKm) 9 096 10 263 9 412 7 750 36 522 8 684 8 304 7 535 6 622 31 146 7 088
Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm) 264 287 152 171 873 261 240 170 256 927 270 Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm) 895 1 042 476 330 2 743 965 813 592 317 2 686 582
Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) 156 179 43 57 435 149 116 49 126 440 148 Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) 618 743 196 25 1 582 677 508 288 11 1 484 324
Other and eliminations Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Year
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Year
2023
Q1
2024
Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm) (47) (83) (47) (91) (268) (22) (44) (26) (86) (178) (77)
Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) (50) (86) (50) (94) (281) (25) (48) (29) (109) (211) (83)

Assumptions behind scenarios in profitability roadmaps

Scenarios are not forecasts, but illustrative earnings, cash flow and return potential based on sensitivities

  • Starting point AEBITDA Q3-23 LTM
  • Cash flow calculated as AEBITDA less EBIT tax and long-term sustaining capex, less lease payments and interest expenses for the Hydro Group
    • Tax rates: 25% for business areas, 40% for Energy, 28% (LTM) for Hydro Group
  • ARoaCE calculated as AEBIT after tax divided by average capital employed
    • Average capital employed assumed to increase with growth capex and return-seeking capex above LT sustaining CAPEX 2024-2026
  • The actual earnings, cash flows and returns will be affected by other factors not included in the scenarios, including, but not limited to:
    • Production volumes, raw material prices, downstream margin developments, premiums, inflation, currency, depreciation, taxes, investments, interest expense, competitors' cost positions, and others
  • External scenario is based on CRU price and premium assumptions and S&P Global FX assumptions, with adjustments as specified in the footnotes

Price and FX assumptions

Assumptions used in
scenarios
Q3 2023 LTM 2024
forward real
2030
Forward
real 2023
Last 5 year
average
CRU / S&P Global
real 2023
LME, USD/mt 2,240 2,240
(deflated by 2.5%)
2,300
(deflated by 2.5%)
2,180 2,560
(deflated by 2.5%)
Realized premium, USD/mt 490 3801) 3801) 430 5704)
(deflated by 2.5%)
PAX, USD/mt 350 320
(deflated by 2.5%)
3402)
(deflated by 2.5%)
330 380
(deflated by 2.5%)
Caustic soda, USD/mt 650 3201) 3201) 430 410
(deflated by 2.5%)
Coal, USD/mt 150 110
(deflated by 2.5%)
1003)
(deflated by 2.5%)
130 1007)
(deflated by 2.5%)
Pitch, EUR/mt 1,260 9701) 9701) 840 9205)
(deflated by 2.5%)
Pet coke, USD/mt 610 4701) 4701) 450 5005)
(deflated by 2.5%)
NO2, NOK/MWh
Nordic system, NOK/MWh
1,150
850
7706)
480
(deflated by 2.5%)
6506)
400
(deflated by 2.5%)
840
620
6507)
4007)
(deflated by 2.5%)
USDNOK
EURNOK
10.41
11.11
10.68
11.77
10.38
12.25
9.28
10.35
8.158)
9.588)
BRLNOK 2.06 2.19 2.15 1.93 1.478)

Next event Second quarter results July 23, 2024

For more information see www.hydro.com/ir

Investor Relations in Hydro

Martine Rambøl Hagen

t: +47 91708918 e: [email protected]

Elitsa Boyadzhieva

t: +47 91775472 e: [email protected]

Camilla Gihle

t: +47 92637820 e: [email protected]

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