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Norsk Hydro ASA

Investor Presentation Jul 23, 2024

3684_rns_2024-07-23_30e1240c-8dc8-472e-881f-0461dbc09e19.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Second quarter 2024 Investor presentation

July 23, 2024

Table of contents

First quarter results 2024 3
Additional slides 29
Additional
information
41
Next event & Contact info 56

Cautionary note

Certain statements included in this announcement contain forward-looking information, including, without limitation, information relating to (a) forecasts, projections and estimates, (b) statements of Hydro management concerning plans, objectives and strategies, such as planned expansions, investments, divestments, curtailments or other projects, (c) targeted production volumes and costs, capacities or rates, start-up costs, cost reductions and profit objectives, (d) various expectations about future developments in Hydro's markets, particularly prices, supply and demand and competition, (e) results of operations, (f) margins, (g) growth rates, (h) risk management, and (i) qualified statements such as "expected", "scheduled", "targeted", "planned", "proposed", "intended" or similar.

Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, these forward-looking statements are based on a number of assumptions and forecasts that, by their nature, involve risk and uncertainty. Various factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from those projected in a forward-looking statement or affect the extent to which a particular projection is realized. Factors that could cause these differences include, but are not limited to: our continued ability to reposition and restructure our upstream and downstream businesses; changes in availability and cost of energy and raw materials; global supply and demand for aluminium and aluminium products; world economic growth, including rates of inflation and industrial production; changes in the relative value of currencies and the value of commodity contracts; trends in Hydro's key markets and competition; and legislative, regulatory and political factors.

No assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Hydro disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Solid upstream results, mixed markets

Eivind Kallevik President & CEO

July 23, 2024

Safety our key priority

TRI1) per million hours worked 12 months rolling average

HRI2) per million hours worked 12 months rolling average

1) Total Recordable Injuries includes own employees and contractors

2) High Risk Incidents included own employees and contractors

3) Average over period

Q2 2024 highlights Adjusted EBITDA NOK 5.8 billion

Free cash flow NOK 2.8 billion, adjusted RoaCE1) 4.4%

Revenue drivers continue to rise, supporting solid upstream results

Weak demand and low recycling margins impacting downstream results, mitigating measures in place

Hydro Rein joint venture established, supporting industrial decarbonization and long-term value creation

Strong demand for Hydro CIRCAL, scaling up recycling to meet increased demand

Shaping the greener aluminium market in partnership with Porsche

We operate in a complex environment

Hydro 2030:

Pioneering the green aluminium transition, powered by renewable energy

Key priorities towards 2030

Step up growth investments in Recycling and Extrusions to take lead in the market opportunities emerging from the green transition

Step up ambitions within renewable power generation

Execute on ambitious decarbonization and technology road map, and step up to contribute to nature positive and a just transition

Shape the market for greener aluminium in partnership with customers

It's time to accelerate. Growth. Value creation. Sustainability.

Green transition driving future growth and value creation

Hydro is uniquely positioned to drive value creation on the shoulders of the green transition

Widening extrusion ingot over standard ingot spread

Scrap availability remains tight on low scrap generation

Increasing market premiums and widening spreads

Sources: Fastmarkets, MetalBulletin, Hydro

1) Simplified example. Based on the average input mix above conversion for a European recycling plant, irrespective of the conversion share and plant size. Weighted average cost above LME calculated using market references and painted scrap price as a proxy for mixed scrap types. There are large regional and plant differences in scrap composition, usage and pricing. 10

Hydro Recycling with competitive advantages

  • Metallurgical competence and production optimization tools
  • Technology enabling usage of mixed scrap
  • Customer relations and market insight increasing sales of recycling friendly alloys allowing for higher scrap content
  • Supplier relations and scrap procurement competence – identifying and sourcing mixed scrap types
  • Large primary and recycling portfolio enabling scale effects, flexibility and optimization

Average metal input cost above LME1)

Scaling up recycling to meet increased demand for Hydro CIRCAL

Growing volumes in Europe

Luce to invest ~EUR 8 million in modernization enabling higher Hydro CIRCAL production in France

Atessa to invest ~EUR 15 million to enable production of Hydro CIRCAL in Italy

Gaining momentum in the U.S. Delivering to customers

First Commercial sale of Hydro CIRCAL in the U.S.

Alusort JV completed HySort installation – supplying the U.S. plants with PCS

Supplying Brompton bicycle rims with Hydro CIRCAL 100R

Increasing demand for Hydro

On track to deliver on 20301) targets

PCS usage capacity Tonnes ('000)

1) Range based on capex. High-range include ~70% of further potential capex given market and M&A. Including Alumetal from July 2023 11

Hydro Extrusions positioning for growth, adressing weak markets

Mitigating weak extrusion markets

Extrusion demand volume Indexed Q1 2015 = 100

  • Strong margin management
  • Continuous adaption of extrusion capacity to demand through reduced number of shifts
  • Manning reductions in Europe and North America to manage cost in challenging market
  • Increased investments in automation
  • Utilizing short-term flexibility in recyclers

Growing with the customers

Hydro Rein transaction completed

Uniquely positioned for long-term value creation in partnership with Macquarie Asset Management

Today

5.3 TWh Annually signed longterm power purchase agreements

Going forward

>60

  • Become the preferred supplier of renewable energy solutions to industrial customers in core markets – key enabler for decarbonization of Hydro
  • Focus on growing in the Nordics and develop in selected markets in Europe, strong foothold in Brazil established
  • Safe and sustainable project execution in close collaboration with partners
  • Drive performance through organizational excellence and commercial expertise in renewables markets
  • Fully funded for projects under construction and in the pipeline in the coming years, with an ambition to be self-funded long-term

2030 vision of continued profitable growth

Sustainable & attractive risk-adjusted returns 10-20% platform eIRR

Balanced portfolio Between geographies and technologies

Services and capabilities Covering the full value chain, capturing developer margin

Regional leadership Leading player in core geographies

Contribute to securing power for Hydro's portfolio

1) Net ~8 TWh captive assumed available for smelters. 2) Total Alunorte and Paragominas, all consumption sourced through Hydro. 3) Albras (51%).

Hydro Alunorte fuel switching well underway

10 boilers and calciners converted, and operating with liquid natural gas – Bayer process (all boilers) officially oil-free

Remaining 3 calciners and complete conversion expected by Q4 2024

USD 160-190 million annual savings when fully implemented1) (~USD 25 per tonne cash cost saving)

Upon full conversion, 700,000 tonnes reduced CO2 emissions annually

Moving from Brent index (oil) to Henry Hub (gas), reducing price volatility

On track to achieve 30% carbon emissions reduction by 2030

GHG emissions – ownership equity1) Million tonnes CO2e (% of 2018 baseline emissions2))

Shaping the greener aluminium market with Porsche

New business model agreement signed in July

Hydro`s low-carbon aluminium will drive sustainability and transparency in the automotive industry

  • Allows Porsche's supply chain to source aluminium from reserved capacities, for which Hydro gets compensated through green premiums
  • Scope includes both Hydro REDUXA 3.0 low-carbon and Hydro CIRCAL 75R recycled aluminium to go into the production of Porsche's future sports cars
  • Includes technical collaboration on development of new alloys with higher recycled content for use in vehicle components

Greener earnings uplift potential 2030: NOK 2 billion1)

1) Based on 2030 EU ETS cost and relative CO2 reduction vs Hydro REDUXA 4.0 at current industry traded upcharge. Hydro REDUXA and CIRCAL potential based on estimated certification capacity. Primary capacity based on equity share renewable power. Hydro CIRCAL products have post-consumer scrap content > 75% 15

Million tonnes capacity potential

Financial update

Trond Olaf Christophersen Executive Vice President & CFO

Tightness in alumina markets drives price up

Estimated smelter grade alumina market balance (Mt)

Platts alumina index (PAX)

Chinese primary demand expected to grow strongly this year

Full year forecasts taken down in Europe and North America

-9% -7% 0% 5% 4% 1% 3% 2023 2024 0% Annual primary consumption growth Y/Y Europe North America China World

Chinese aluminium demand from solar PV

Chinese automotive semis demand driven by EVs

Weak extrusion demand in transport and automotive

Some improvements expected in North America in second half, still challenging outlook in Europe

External market forecasts*

Year over Year

Extrusion market growth per quarter and annually Growth in %

Q2 2024 vs Q2 2023 Extrusion sales volumes

Share of Q2 2024 Hydro Extrusions sales

Adj. EBITDA up on higher upstream prices and volume, partly offset by decreased energy spot sales

Q2 2024 vs Q1 2024

Key financials

NOK million Q2 2024 Q2
2023
Q1 2024 Year 2023
Revenue 50
944
53 630 47 545 193 619
Reported EBITDA 6
044
10
249
5 511 23 291
Adjusting items to EBITDA (205) (3 152) (100) (1 033)
Adjusted EBITDA 5 839 7 098 5 411 22
258
Reported EBIT 3 557 7 939 3 066 9 592
Adjusted EBIT 3 353 4
788
2 966 12 983
Financial income (expense) (1 398) (953) (1 919) (3 046)
Reported Income (loss) before tax 2
160
6
986
1 148 6 546
Income taxes (739) (1 930) (720) (3 742)
Reported Net income (loss) 1 421 5
056
428 2 804
Adjusted net income (loss) 1 677 3 410 1 498 7 835
Earnings per share 1.07 2.56 0.47 1.77
Adjusted earnings per share 0.97 1.77 0.93 4.26

Hydro Bauxite & Alumina

Results up on higher alumina price, lower variable costs, particularly driven by fuel switch improvements

Key figures Q2 2024 Q2 2023 Q1 2024
Alumina production, kmt 1,492 1,542 1,503
Total alumina sales, kmt 2,722 2,153 2,574
Realized alumina price, USD/mt 400 373 366
Implied alumina cost, USD/mt1) 345 336 337
Bauxite production, kmt 2,730 2,630 2,600
Adjusted EBITDA, NOK million 1,616 817 804
Adjusted EBIT, NOK million 841 88 43
Adjusted
RoaCE, % LTM2)
0.0 % -1.8 % -1.9 %

Adjusted EBITDA

NOK million

1) Realized alumina price minus Adjusted EBITDA for B&A, per mt alumina sales

2) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less 25% tax / Average capital employed last 4 quarters

3) Realized alumina price

Implied alumina cost and margin USD/mt1)

Implied EBITDA cost per mt1) All-in EBITDA margin per mt

Results Q2 24 vs Q2 23

  • Higher alumina price
  • Higher sales volume
  • Lower raw material costs
  • Weaker BRL against USD

Outlook Q3 24 vs Q2 24

  • Stable production volume
  • Higher alumina price
  • Lower raw material costs

Hydro Aluminium Metal

Results down driven by lower contribution from power sales, increased alumina and energy cost, and inflation on fixed cost, partly offset by reduced carbon cost

Key figures Q2 2024 Q2 2023 Q1 2024
Primary aluminium production, kmt 507 506 505
Total sales, kmt 584 577 540
Realized LME price, USD/mt1) 2,377 2,273 2,248
Realized LME price, NOK/mt1) 25,526 24,417 23,609
Realized premium, USD/mt 365 456 358
Implied all-in primary cost, USD/mt
2)
2,300 2,250 2,225
Adjusted EBITDA, NOK million 2,520 3,215 1,965
Adjusted EBITDA including Qatalum 50% pro rata, NOK million 3,050 3,761 2,470
Adjusted EBIT, NOK million 1,834 2,550 1,306
Adjusted RoaCE, % LTM3) 9.3 % 25.9 % 10.3 %

Adjusted EBITDA

  • 1) Includes pricing effects from LME strategic hedge program
  • 2) Realized all-in aluminium price minus Adjusted EBITDA margin, including Qatalum, per mt aluminium sold
  • 3) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less 25% tax / Average capital employed last 4 quarters
  • 4) Implied primary costs and margin rounded to nearest USD 25
  • 5) Realized LME aluminium price less Adjusted EBITDA margin, incl Qatalum, per mt primary aluminium produced

All-in implied primary cost and margin USD/mt1,4)

Results Q2 24 vs Q2 23

  • Lower raw material cost
  • Inflation on fixed cost
  • Lower contribution from power sales

Outlook Q3 24 vs Q2 24

  • ~63% of primary production for Q3 2024 priced at USD 2 432 per mt. 8)
  • ~42% of premiums affecting Q3 2024 booked at USD ~ 494 per mt.
    • Q3 realized premium expected in the range of USD 380 and 430 per mt.
  • Higher raw material cost
  • Lower sales volumes
  • 6) Realized LME plus realized premiums, including Qatalum
  • 7) % of volumes extrusion ingot, foundry alloy, sheet ingot, wire rod of total sales volumes
  • 8) Bookings, also including pricing effects from LME strategic hedging program as per 31.12.2023
  • 9) Excluding power sales Slovalco and Norwegian smelters and CO2 catch-up Q3 2022 and Q4 2023

Metal Markets

Results down driven by lower results from recyclers and negative currency effects, partly offset by positive results from sourcing and trading activities

Key figures Q2 2024 Q2 2023 Q1 2024
Recycling production, kmt 202 146 179
Metal products sales, kmt
1)
682 691 622
Adjusted EBITDA Recycling (NOK million) 41 299 58
Adjusted EBITDA Commercial (NOK million) 268 35 211
Adjusted EBITDA Metal Markets (NOK million) 309 334 269
Adjusted EBITDA excl. currency and inventory valuation effects 357 265 224
Adjusted EBIT (NOK million) 146 290 68
Adjusted
RoaCE, % LTM2)
3.5 % 17.8 % 5.0 %

NOK million

1) Includes external and internal sales from primary casthouse operations, remelters and third-party metal sources 2) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less 25% tax / Average capital employed last 4 quarters

Results Q2 24 vs Q2 23

  • Main driver is lower results from recycling
  • Negative currency effects
  • Positive results from sourcing and trading activities

Outlook Q3 24 vs Q2 24

  • Seasonally lower volumes and continued margin pressure in the recyclers
  • Lower results from sourcing and trading activities
  • Continued volatile trading and currency effects
  • Guidance for YE Commercial Adjusted EBITDA excl. currency and inventory of 600 - 800 MNOK

Hydro Extrusions

Results down on lower sales volumes, lower recycling margins, higher costs and currency effects, partly offset by strong sales margins and strict cost measures

Key figures Q2 2024 Q2 2023 Q1 2024
External sales volumes, kmt 262 293 266
Adjusted EBITDA, NOK million 1,377 2,013 1,437
Adjusted EBIT, NOK million 609 1,228 690
Adjusted RoaCE, % LTM1) 5.0 % 9.4 % 6.6 %

Adjusted EBITDA

NOK million

1) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less 25% tax / Average capital employed last 4 quarters. Previous periods have been restated following a change to the capital employed definition.

Results Q2 24 vs Q2 23

  • Higher sales margins
  • Lower sales volumes and recycling margins
  • Positve metal effect
  • Negative currency effects

Outlook Q3 24 vs Q3 23

  • Continued strong margins
  • Lower sales volumes and recycling margins
  • Higher variable costs
  • Continued soft extrusions markets

Hydro Energy

Results down on lower production, prices and gain on price area differences

Key figures Q2 2024 Q2 2023 Q1 2024
Power production, GWh 1,929 2,431 2,843
Net spot sales, GWh 3) -146 333 844
Southwest Norway spot price (NO2), NOK/MWh 519 958 736
Adjusted EBITDA, NOK million 611 854 1,152
Adjusted EBIT, NOK million 545 805 1,103
Adjusted
RoaCE, % LTM1),2)
9,9
%
18.9 % 12.4 %

Adjusted EBITDA

NOK million

1) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less tax/ Average capital employed last 4 quarters 2) 50% tax rate applied for 2023 and 2024 3) Volume affected by disrupted delivery from a long-term power purchase agreement in the northern part of the

Nord Pool area. The non-delivered volume were 0.3 TWh in the quarter

  • Results Q2 24 vs Q2 23 • Lower production and net spot sales • No Aluminium Metal buy-back contract • Lower trading and hedging results Outlook Q3 24 vs Q2 24
    • Stable production
    • Somewhat lower Nordic power prices
    • Price and volume uncertainty

• Lower prices and lower gain on area price differences

Net debt increase of NOK 2.3 billion during Q2

Increase in net debt mainly driven by shareholder distributions, partially offset by positive free cash flow and proceeds from Rein transaction

Free cash flow: Excludes hedging collateral (LT/ST restricted cash) and net purchases of money market funds

Collateral: Includes collateral for short-term and long-term liabilities, mainly related to strategic hedges and the operational hedging activity

1) Gross figure. Net proceeds from sale of shares in Hydro Rein is NOK 1.7 billion when deducting Hydro Rein Capex Q2 (Q2 shareholder loan)

Our priorities

1.

Health and safety first

2.

Maintain robustness while maneuvering mixed markets

3.

Deliver on Recycling, Extrusions, and renewable growth ambitions

4.

Execute on decarbonization and technology road map

  1. Seize opportunities in greener aluminium at premium pricing

Accelerating growth, value creation and sustainability

Additional slides

Key figures – Outlook Q3 2024

Note that the information on this page is based on forward looking information from current point in time and changes might occur during the coming quarter

Bauxite & Alumina Aluminium Metal Metal Markets

  • Stable production volume
  • Higher alumina price
  • Lower raw material costs expected between NOK 350-450m
  • Fixed and other costs are expected to increase NOK 100-150 million

  • Continued strong margins

  • Lower sales volumes
  • Higher variable costs
  • Continued soft extrusions markets

  • ~63% of primary production for Q3 2024 priced at USD 2 432 per mt. 8)

  • ~42% of premiums affecting Q3 2024 booked at USD ~ 494 per mt.
  • Q3 realized premium expected in the range of USD 380 and 430 per mt.
  • Higher raw material cost expected, driven by alumina, and partly offset by carbon, of between NOK 400 and 500 million Extrusions Energy

    • Lower sales volumes
  • Continued margin pressure in the recyclers

  • Lower results from sourcing and trading activities
  • Continued volatile trading and currency effects
  • Guidance for YE Commercial Adjusted EBITDA excl. currency and inventory of 600 - 800 MNOK.

  • Stable production

  • Somewhat lower Nordic power prices
  • Price and volume uncertainty

Revenue drivers through Q2 2024

Source: Bloomberg, Norges Bank, LME, Fastmarkets, Platts 31

Market raw material costs in Q2 2024

Caustic soda (indexed) Fuel oil A1 and Henry Hub NG spot price

Indication of current market prices Fuel Oil A1 (indexed) Henry Hub Natural Gas Spot Price (indexed)

Alumina PAX index (indexed)

Steam coal (indexed)

Key performance metrics Q2 2024

Bauxite & Alumina Aluminium Metal

Thousand tonnes

Improvement program status NOK millions

  1. Free cash flow is defined as net cash provided by (used in) operating activities of continuing operations, adjusted for changes in collateral and net purchases of money market funds, plus net cash provided by (used in) investing activities of continuing operations, adjusted for purchases of / proceeds from sales of short-term investments

  2. Adj. RoaCE calculated as adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less underlying tax expense adjusted for 30% tax on financial items / average capital employed last 4 quarters

  3. Realized alumina price minus adjusted EBITDA for B&A, excluding insurance proceeds relating to decommissioned crane (NOK ~500 million), per mt alumina sales

  4. Realized all-in aluminium price (incl. strategic hedge program) less adjusted EBITDA margin excluding indirect CO2 compensation catch-up effect (NOK ~1.4 billion) and power sales Slovalco, Albras and Norwegian smelters, incl Qatalum, per mt aluminium sold. Implied primary cost and margin rounded to nearest USD 25

Metal Markets earnings drivers

• Recyclers

  • Revenue impact volume, LME and product premiums
  • Cost impact
    • Scrap and standard ingot premiums above LME
    • Raw material mix
    • Freight cost proximity to market
    • Energy consumption and prices

• Other main businesses

  • Physical ingot and LME trading
  • Third-party casthouse products
  • Results influenced by currency fluctuations and inventory valuation effects
  • Adjusted EBITDA for Commercial excl. currency and inventory valuation effects for 2024 expected in the range of 600MNOK to 800MNOK

Adjusted EBITDA excluding currency effects and inventory valuation effect, NOK million1)

1) Amounts are as disclosed for the individual years reflecting the accounting policies applied for those years and Hydro's definition of APMs applied for the relevant years.

Extrusions earnings drivers

  • Contract structure
    • Margin business based on conversion price
      • LME element passed on to customers
    • Mostly short-term contract, typically ranging from spot to 12 months, few longer term contracts with floating price or hedging in place
    • High share of variable costs high level of flexibility
    • Annual seasonality driven by maintenance and customer activity
      • Stronger Q1 and Q2, weaker Q3 and Q4
    • Strong focus on increasing value add to customers
    • Preferred supplier market position in high-end products

Energy EBITDA development

Adjusted EBITDA and NO2 spot price

Adjusted EBITDA and NO2 spot price

  • Production and market prices strongly linked to hydrological conditions
  • Seasonal market variations in demand and supply. Gains or losses may occur from delink between area prices arising due to transmission capacity limitations in the Nordic area
  • Power portfolio optimized versus market
  • Lift in annual EBITDA contribution from 2021
    • Positive impact from expiry of legacy supply contract from 2021
    • 8 TWh internal contract for power sales to Aluminium Metal in Norway effective from 2021-30
  • Stable and competitive production cost base:
    • Mainly fixed costs
    • Volume-related transmission costs
  • Maturing portfolio growth options; emphasis on flexible production & selected geographies

Significant exposure to commodity and currency fluctuations

Aluminium price sensitivity +10% Currency sensitivities +10% NOK million

Other commodity prices, sensitivity +10% NOK million

Sustainable effect:

NOK million USD BRL EUR
AEBITDA 4,180 (960) (100)
One-off reevaluation effect:
Financial items (1,320) 1,630 (3,770)
  • Annual adjusted sensitivities based on normal annual business volumes. LME 2,380 USD/mt, standard ingot premium (Europe duty paid) 340 USD/mt, PAX 400 USD/mt, fuel oil 850 USD/mt, petroleum coke 385 USD/mt, pitch 865 EUR/mt, caustic soda 380 USD/mt, coal 90 USD/mt, gas (Henry Hub) 1.89 USD/MMBtu, USDNOK 10.74, BRLNOK 2.06, EURNOK 11.57
  • Aluminium price sensitivity is net of aluminium price indexed costs and excluding unrealized effects related to operational hedging
  • BRL sensitivity calculated on a long-term basis with fuel oil assumed in USD. In the short-term, fuel oil is BRL denominated
  • Excludes effects of priced contracts in currencies different from underlying currency exposure (transaction exposure)
  • Currency sensitivity on financial items includes effects from intercompany positions
  • 2024 Platts alumina index (PAX) exposure used
  • Adjusted Net Income sensitivity calculated as AEBITDA sensitivity after 30% tax
  • Sensitivities include strategic hedges for 2024 (remaining volumes for 2024, annualized)

Bauxite & Alumina sensitivities

Annual sensitivities on adjusted EBITDA if +10% in price NOK million

Revenue impact

• Realized alumina price lags PAX by one month

Cost impact

Bauxite

  • ~2.45 tonnes bauxite per tonne alumina
  • Pricing partly LME linked

Caustic soda

  • ~0.1 tonnes per tonne alumina
  • Prices based on IHS Chemical, pricing mainly monthly per shipment

Energy

  • ~0.12 tonnes coal per tonne alumina, Platts prices, one year volume contracts, weekly per shipment pricing
  • ~0.11 tonnes heavy fuel oil per tonne alumina, prices set by ANP/Petrobras in Brazil, weekly pricing (ANP) or anytime (Petrobras)

Annual adjusted sensitivities based on normal annual business volumes. LME 2,380 USD/mt, standard ingot premium (Europe duty paid) 340 USD/mt, PAX 400 USD/mt, fuel oil 850 USD/mt, petroleum coke 385 USD/mt, pitch 865 EUR/mt, caustic soda 380 USD/mt, coal 90 USD/mt, gas (Henry Hub) 1.89 USD/MMBtu, USDNOK 10.74, BRLNOK 2.06, EURNOK 11.57 BRL sensitivity calculated on a long-term basis with fuel oil assumed in USD. In the short-term, fuel oil is BRL denominated. 2024 Platts alumina index (PAX) exposure used

Aluminium Metal sensitivities

Annual sensitivities on adjusted EBITDA if +10% in price NOK million

Revenue impact

  • Realized price lags LME spot by ~1-2 months
  • Realized premium lags market premium by ~2-3 months

Cost impact

Alumina

  • ~1.9 tonnes per tonne aluminium
  • ~ 2-3 months lag
  • Mainly priced on Platts index

Carbon

  • ~0.40 tonnes petroleum coke per tonne aluminium, Pace Jacobs Consultancy, 2-3 year volume contracts, quarterly or half yearly pricing
  • ~0.08 tonnes pitch per tonne aluminium, CRU, 2-3 year volume contracts, quarterly pricing

Power

  • 14.0 MWh per tonne aluminium
  • Long-term power contracts with indexations

Integrated margin hedging realized a NOK 0.1 billion positive value in Q2-24

Aluminium hedges of 220-460 kt/yr 2024-2026 in place

  • 2024: 220 kt remaining at a price of ~2400 USD/t
  • 2025: 450 kt hedged at a price of ~2500 USD/t
  • 2026: 200 kt hedged at a price of ~2650 USD/t
  • Pricing mainly in NOK. Net USD exposure hedged via USD/NOK derivatives
  • Corresponding raw material exposure partially secured using financial derivatives or physical contracts

B&A and AM BRL/USD Hedge

  • USD 860 million sold forward for 2024-2026
    • 2024: USD 167 million remaining at avg. rate 6.19
    • 2025: USD 350 million hedged at avg. rate 5.33
    • 2026: USD 175 million hedged at avg. rate 5.48
  • Aim to reduce volatility and uncertainty in Alunorte and Albras cash flows, as well as support robust cost curve positions

Strategic hedging status1) NOK Billions

Utilizing Hydro's hedging policy to deliver on strategic ambitions

  • Flexibility to hedge in certain cases
    • Support strong cost position
    • Strong margins in historical perspective, e.g., supporting ARoaCE target
    • Larger investments

Additional information

Adj. EBITDA down on lower energy spot sales and extrusion volumes, partly offset by lower raw material cost

Q2 2024 vs Q2 2023

Income statements

NOK million Second quarter
2024
First quarter
2024
Second quarter
2023
First half
2024
First half
2023
Year
2023
Revenue 50 944 47 545 53 630 98 490 102 164 193 619
Share of the profit (loss) in equity accounted investments 113 46 181 158 276 492
Other income, net 1 392 1 000 1 175 2 392 2 531 4 152
Total revenue and income 52 449 48 591 54 985 101 040 104 971 198 263
Raw material and energy expense 33 410 30 025 32 109 63 435 63 404 123 538
Employee benefit expense 6 819 6 748 6 604 13 567 13 021 25 931
Depreciation and amortization expense 2 498 2 472 2 340 4 970 4 529 9 394
Impairment of non-current assets 17 - - 17 (3) 4 421
Other expenses 6 148 6 280 5 992 12 427 11 848 25 387
Earnings before financial items and tax (EBIT) 3 557 3 066 7 939 6 623 12 172 9 592
Interest and other finance income 316 463 324 778 668 1 302
Foreign currency exchange gain (loss) (779) (1 633) (789) (2 412) (2 774) (2 084)
Interest and other finance expense (935) (748) (488) (1 683) (1 059) (2 264)
Income (loss) before tax 2 160 1 148 6 986 3 307 9 007 6 546
Income taxes (739) (720) (1 930) (1 458) (2 806) (3 742)
Net income (loss) 1 421 428 5 056 1 849 6 201 2 804
Net income (loss) attributable to non-controlling interests (723) (513) (156) (1 236) (277) (778)
Net income (loss) attributable to Hydro shareholders 2 144 941 5 212 3 085 6 477 3 583
Earnings per share attributable to Hydro shareholders 1.07 0.47 2.56 1.54 3.18 1.77
NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Net income (loss) 6 411 11 136 6 676 194 1 144 5 056 (625) (2 771) 428 1 421 24 417 2 804
Adjusted net income (loss) 6 785 7 731 6 258 2 371 3 326 3 410 345 754 1 498 1 677 23 145 7 835
Earnings per share 2.80 5.49 3.34 0.12 0.62 2.56 (0.18) (1.26) 0.47 1.07 11.76 1.77
Adjusted earnings per share 3.17 3.63 2.91 0.99 1.70 1.77 0.27 0.50 0.93 0.97 10.70 4.26

Balance sheet

NOK million June 30
2024
March 31
2024
December 31
2023
September 30
2023
June 30
2023
March 31
2023
December 31
2022
September 30
2022
Cash and cash equivalents 18 886 19 622 24 618 19 105 22 453 30 873 29 805 25 852
Short-term investments 3 760 4 968 2 641 2 101 1 158 2 696 4 173 2 511
Trade and other receivables 28 689 28 969 25 404 26 387 27 561 28 350 23 988 28 442
Inventories 25 208 25 291 25 449 27 648 28 808 30 216 30 035 31 394
Other current financial assets 952 1 350 1 900 1 726 2 722 1 302 1 127 4 887
Assets held for sale - 4 131 3 685 - - - - -
Property, plant and equipment 74 448 77 334 74 981 74 367 72 985 67 827 62 656 62 369
Intangible assets 8 365 8 741 8 447 10 823 10 215 9 839 9 280 9 810
Investments accounted for using the equity method 24 871 22 512 21 228 24 633 24 277 22 566 21 222 22 613
Prepaid pension 9 518 9 670 8 664 9 335 9 981 9 040 8 573 9 352
Other non-current assets 10 516 10 545 9 444 9 135 8 346 8 684 7 759 9 598
Total assets 205 213 213 133 206 462 205 260 208 506 211 395 198 618 206 829
Bank loans and other interest-bearing short-term debt 16 249 8 169 7 111 5 764 5 271 5 899 6 746 11 085
Trade and other payables 26 336 28 541 26 232 24 860 25 529 25 702 24 374 26 703
Other current liabilities 8 561 8 058 10 549 11 093 9 593 10 741 11 688 11 653
Liabilities in disposal group - 129 141 - - - - -
Long-term debt 22 867 30 996 28 978 29 944 29 756 29 615 26 029 20 790
Provisions 6 164 5 987 5 867 5 897 6 243 5 692 5 289 5 779
Pension liabilities 9 027 9 071 9 222 8 475 8 388 8 669 8 252 8 064
Deferred tax liabilities 5 272 5 079 4 717 6 153 6 197 5 289 4 796 5 178
Other non-current liabilities 6 894 7 353 6 462 5 325 5 687 5 429 3 648 4 481
Equity attributable to Hydro shareholders 98 448 105 502 100 579 103 062 106 873 108 582 102 455 107 129
Non-controlling interests 5 394 6 247 6 604 4 686 4 968 5 777 5 343 5 967
Total liabilities and equity 205 213 213 133 206 462 205 260 208 506 211 395 196 618 206 829

Adjusting items to EBITDA, EBIT and net income

NOK million (+=loss/()=gain) Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Year 2023
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Hydro Bauxite & Alumina - - - - 3 8 -
Unrealized derivative effects on raw material contracts Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 177 94 (41) 182 (41) (10) 412
Community contributions Brazil Hydro Bauxite & Alumina - 25 - - - - 25
Total impact Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 177 118 (41) 182 (38) (2) 437
Unrealized derivative effects on power contracts Hydro Energy 214 184 41 (37) 61 (147) 401
(Gains)/losses on divestments Hydro Energy - - - - - (321) -
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Hydro Energy (3) (7) (5) (6) (5) (4) (20)
Other effects Hydro Energy - - - 164 - (164) 164
Total impact Hydro Energy 211 177 36 120 56 (635) 544
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Hydro Aluminium Metal 709 (2 836) 1 414 (954) 39 862 (1 667)
Unrealized derivative effects on power contracts Hydro Aluminium Metal 62 (106) 113 33 (31) 94 103
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Hydro Aluminium Metal (37) (114) (79) (89) (78) (81) (320)
Total impact Hydro Aluminium Metal 733 (3 055) 1 448 (1 010) (69) 874 (1 884)
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Hydro Metal Markets 34 (146) 448 (121) 2 (124) 215
Transaction related effects Hydro Metal Markets 50 4 35 31 - - 120
Other effects Hydro Metal Markets - - - - - (137) -
Total impact Hydro Metal Markets 84 (142) 483 (90) 2 (261) 335
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Hydro Extrusions (19) 6 113 (134) (9) (159) (34)
Unrealized derivative effects on power contracts Hydro Extrusions 5 (24) (2) (6) (13) 3 (28)
Significant rationalization charges and closure costs Hydro Extrusions 51 27 17 171 32 56 265
(Gains)/losses on divestments and other transaction related effects Hydro Extrusions 20 - 1 4 (9) - 25
Other effects Hydro Extrusions - (107) - - - - (107)
Total impact Hydro Extrusions 57 (98) 128 35 1 (100) 121
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Other and eliminations (15) (35) 25 (18) 15 (15) (43)
(Gains)/losses on divestments Other and eliminations - - (25) - (14) - (25)
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Other and eliminations (115) (143) (130) (155) (52) (65) (543)
Other effects Other and eliminations - 26 - - - - 26
Total impact Other and eliminations (131) (151) (130) (174) (52) (80) (585)
Adjusting items to EBITDA Hydro 1 132 (3 152) 1 923 (936) (100) (205) (1 033)
Impairment charges Hydro Bauxite & Alumina - - - 3 773 - - 3 773
Impairment charges Hydro Aluminium Metal - - - 628 - - 628
Impairment charges Hydro Extrusions - - - 23 - - 23
Adjusting items to EBIT Hydro 1 132 (3 152) 1 923 3 487 (100) (205) 3 391
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Hydro 1 985 789 (538) (152) 1 633 779 2 084
Adjusting items to income (loss) before tax Hydro 3 117 (2 362) 1 385 3 336 1 533 574 5 475
Calculated income tax effect Hydro (935) 716 (416) 190 (463) (317) (445)
Adjusting items to
net income (loss)
Hydro 2 182 (1 646) 970 3 525 1 070 257 5 031

Adjusted EBIT

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 718 484 10 (586) (221) 88 (610) (269) 43 841 626 (1 013)
Hydro Energy 2 192 777 275 1 493 677 805 712 755 1 103 545 4 737 2 950
Hydro Aluminium Metal 4 183 6 349 5 837 4 097 3 328 2 550 727 1 264 1 306 1 834 20 467 7 869
Hydro Metal Markets 487 666 494 (134) 628 290 482 (229) 68 146 1 514 1 170
Hydro Extrusions 1 587 1 600 640 168 1 485 1 228 548 90 690 609 3 995 3 351
Other and Eliminations 3 (425) 356 (93) (532) (173) (259) (380) (244) (623) (159) (1 343)
Total 9 170 9 452 7 611 4 946 5 364 4 788 1 600 1 231 2 966 3 353 31 179 12 983

Adjusted EBITDA

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 1 270 1 117 633 101 437 817 93 481 804 1 616 3 122 1 828
Hydro Energy 2 239 824 321 1 542 726 854 762 805 1 152 611 4 926 3 146
Hydro Aluminium Metal 4 765 6 977 6 463 4 756 3 972 3 215 1 379 1 937 1 965 2 520 22 963 10 502
Hydro Metal Markets 525 705 534 (91) 669 334 568 (38) 269 309 1 673 1 533
Hydro Extrusions 2 331 2 365 1 385 939 2 223 2 013 1 322 923 1 437 1 377 7 020 6 480
Other and Eliminations 35 (395) 384 (63) (501) (134) (225) (370) (216) (594) (39) (1 231)
Total 11 165 11 594 9 721 7 184 7 525 7 098 3 899 3 737 5 411 5 839 39 664 22 258

EBIT

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 1 094 657 (147) (1 133) (399) (30) (570) (4 223) 81 844 471 (5 222)
Hydro Energy 2 424 793 526 878 466 628 677 634 1 047 1 180 4 621 2 406
Hydro Aluminium Metal 254 11 777 6 061 2 200 2 595 5 605 (721) 1 646 1 376 960 20 292 9 125
Hydro Metal Markets 297 1 516 300 (492) 544 432 (1) (139) 65 407 1 621 835
Hydro Extrusions 2 114 1 059 510 16 1 427 1 326 420 33 689 709 3 699 3 206
Other and Eliminations 39 (385) 420 (63) (402) (21) (128) (206) (192) (542) 11 (758)
Total 6 222 15 418 7 670 1 405 4 233 7 939 (323) (2 256) 3 066 3 557 30 715 9 592
EBITDA
NOK million
Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 1 647 1 290 477 (446) 260 698 134 300 842 1 618 2 967 1 392
Hydro Energy 2 471 840 572 926 515 677 726 684 1 096 1 246 4 810 2 602
Hydro Aluminium Metal 836 12 405 6 736 2 888 3 239 6 270 (69) 2 946 2 035 1 646 22 866 12 386
Hydro Metal Markets 335 1 556 339 (449) 586 476 85 51 267 570 1 780 1 198
Hydro Extrusions 2 858 1 824 1 255 1 045 2 165 2 111 1 194 888 1 436 1 477 6 982 6 359
Other and Eliminations 71 (354) 449 (34) (371) 17 (95) (197) (164) (513) 132 (645)
Total 8 217 17 561 9 828 3 930 6 393 10 249 1 975 4 673 5 511 6 044 39 536 23 291

Total revenue

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 7 901 9 413 8 652 7 986 8 320 8 830 8 423 9 948 10 200 11 905 33 951 35 521
Hydro Energy 4 268 2 456 2 854 3 037 3 452 2 162 3 299 2 644 2 882 2 561 12 614 11 557
Hydro Aluminium Metal 11 094 24 583 16 678 13 129 15 236 18 211 11 366 13 562 13 170 13 867 65 483 58 375
Hydro Metal Markets 22 674 27 698 22 374 18 222 20 873 22 483 19 329 18 629 18 677 21 472 90 968 81 314
Hydro Extrusions 23 468 25 269 22 620 19 819 22 717 22 608 19 142 18 178 19 306 19 707 91 176 82 645
Other and Eliminations (22 788) (24 626) (20 733) (18 118) (22 065) (20 664) (16 856) (16 208) (16 690) (18 568) (86 264) (75 794)
Total 46 616 64 793 52 445 44 075 48 534 53 630 44 702 46 754 47 545 50 944 207 929 193 619
External revenue
NOK million
Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 5 052 5 864 5 641 5 091 5 289 5 570 5 404 6 807 6 963 8 307 21 649 23 069
Hydro Energy 2 415 646 1 082 1 324 1 634 257 1 616 1 058 1 217 857 5 467 4 564
Hydro Aluminium Metal (2 518) 8 640 4 327 2 638 1 528 5 444 1 741 3 936 3 600 3 456 13 087 12 649
Hydro Metal Markets 18 472 24 420 18 796 15 132 17 308 19 837 16 716 16 829 16 500 18 591 76 821 70 690
Hydro Extrusions 23 199 25 228 22 585 19 881 22 765 22 527 19 221 18 122 19 262 19 729 90 892 82 635
Other and Eliminations (5) (6) 15 9 10 (4) 3 3 4 4 13 13
Total 46 616 64 793 52 445 44 075 48 534 53 630 44 702 46 754 47 545 50 944 207 929 193 619

Internal revenue

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 2 848 3 549 3 011 2 895 3 031 3 260 3 019 3 141 3 238 3 597 12 303 12 542
Hydro Energy 1 853 1 810 1 772 1 713 1 818 1 905 1 683 1 586 1 665 1 704 7 148 6 993
Hydro Aluminium Metal 13 611 15 943 12 352 10 491 13 709 12 767 9 624 9 626 9 570 10 411 52 396 45 726
Hydro Metal Markets 4 201 3 277 3 578 3 091 3 565 2 647 2 612 1 801 2 177 2 880 14 147 10 625
Hydro Extrusions 269 41 36 (62) (48) 81 (80) 56 44 (22) 284 10
Other and Eliminations (22 783) (24 620) (20 748) (18 126) (22 075) (20 660) (16 860) (16 211) (16 694) (18 571) (86 278) (75 806)
Total - - - - - - - - - - - -

Share of profit /(loss) in equity accounted investments

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina - - - - - - - - - - - -
Hydro Energy (28) (39) (32) (81) (67) (59) (57) (110) (106) (128) (180) (293)
Hydro Aluminium Metal 383 626 340 200 154 264 179 135 126 275 1 549 733
Hydro Metal Markets - - - - - - - - - - - -
Hydro Extrusions - - - - - 1 1 3 - - - 5
Other and Eliminations 22 (184) 118 12 8 (25) 47 17 25 (35) (32) 47
Total 377 403 426 131 95 181 171 46 46 113 1 337 492

Return on average capital employed 1) (RoaCE)

Reported RoaCE Adjusted RoaCE
2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina (12.7%) 1.3% 11.9% 5.4% 1.9% 4.6% 8.5% (2.5%) 1.8% 12.0% 5.9% 2.5% 6.0% 8.5%
Hydro Energy 2) 10.4% 28.8% 26.5% 249.5% 13.4% 18.8% 17.5% 13.0% 29.5% 25.4% 8.7% 12.9% 18.8% 17.5%
Hydro Aluminium Metal 16.0% 35.1% 21.6% 1.9% (3.9%) 5.6% 11.8% 13.8% 35.4% 28.3% 2.9% (2.6%) 4.7% 12.6%
Hydro Metal Markets 7.6% 33.2% 24.0% 22.8% 20.7% 25.1% 18.6% 10.7% 31.0% 23.9% 21.6% 27.3% 19.4% 20.9%
3)
Hydro Extrusions
8.4% 10.5% 9.4% 1.3% 3.8% 5.3% 13.4% 8.8% 11.4% 10.3% 6.2% 5.7% 7.2% 6.6%
Hydro Group 4.1% 21.9% 16.3% 5.4% (0.9%) 6.0% 11.2% 7.1% 22.2% 18.6% 3.7% 1.3% 6.6% 9.6%

Capital employed – upstream focus

NOK million June 30
2024
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 27 056
Hydro Energy 11 927
Hydro Aluminium Metal 41 522
Hydro Metal Markets 10 168
Hydro Extrusions 30 190
Other and Eliminations (779)
Total 120 085

Graph excludes BNOK (0.8) in capital employed in Other and Eliminations

1) RoaCE at business area level is calculated using 25% tax rate. For Hydro Energy, 50% tax rate is used for 2023, 40% for 2022 and 2021, 80% for 2020 and 2019, 70% for 2018, and 65% for 2017

2) Hydro Energy reported RoaCE for 2020 higher than previous years due to the Lyse transaction

3) Hydro Extrusions reflected as 50% equity accounted investment Q1-Q3 2017 and fully consolidated from Q4 2017

Depreciation, amortization and impairment

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 553 633 624 687 659 729 703 4 523 761 775 2 496 6 614
Hydro Energy 47 47 47 48 48 49 49 50 49 66 190 196
Hydro Aluminium Metal 605 651 698 711 666 687 674 1 326 682 708 2 664 3 353
Hydro Metal Markets 38 39 39 44 42 45 87 194 202 165 161 368
Hydro Extrusions 746 767 748 1 036 741 792 779 859 750 772 3 297 3 171
Other and Eliminations 32 31 28 30 31 38 34 10 28 29 121 113
Total 2 020 2 168 2 185 2 556 2 186 2 340 2 327 6 962 2 472 2 515 8 929 13 815

Indicative depreciation currency exposure by business area Depreciation by business area 2023, 13.8 BNOK

Percent USD EUR BRL NOK & Other
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 100%
Hydro Energy 100%
Hydro Aluminium Metal 30% 20% 50%
Hydro Metal Markets 20% 30% 50%
Hydro Extrusions 40% 35% 25%
Other and Eliminations 15% 10% 75%

Operational data

Hydro Bauxite & Alumina Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Alumina production (kmt) 1 519 1 536 1 579 1 559 1 550 1 542 1 522 1 571 1 503 1 492 6 193 6 185
Sourced alumina (kmt) 741 758 764 593 686 553 692 909 1 080 1 231 2 856 2 840
Total alumina sales (kmt) 2 251 2 305 2 344 2 220 2 171 2 153 2 229 2 487 2 574 2 722 9 121 9 040
Realized alumina price (USD) 1) 391 430 364 342 367 373 349 349 366 400 382 359
Implied alumina cost (USD) 2) 327 378 337 337 347 336 345 331 337 346 345 340
Bauxite production (kmt) 3) 2 638 2 736 2 814 2 824 2 648 2 630 2 848 2 771 2 600 2 730 11 012 10 897
Sourced bauxite (kmt) 4) 856 1 674 1 220 1 861 1 078 1 100 1 204 2 001 1 200 1 134 5 611 5 383
5)
Adjusted
EBITDA margin
16.1% 11.9% 7.3% 1.3% 5.3% 9.2% 1.1% 4.8% 7.9% 13.6% 9.2% 5.1%
Hydro Energy Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Power production, GWh 2 730 1 602 1 330 2 002 2 610 2 431 2 216 2 440 2 843 1 929 7 664 9 697
Net spot sales, GWh 986 (433) (703) 511 817 333 24 101 844 (146) 361 1 275
Nordic spot electricity price, NOK/MWh 1 090 1 211 1 757 1 414 934 647 949 515 667 408 1 370 642
Southern Norway spot electricity price (NO2), NOK/MWh 1 504 1 752 3 519 1 719 1 182 958 664 818 736 519 2 128 904
Adjusted
EBITDA
margin 5)
52.5% 33.6% 11.2% 50.8% 21.0% 39.5% 23.1% 30.4% 40.0% 23.8% 39.0% 27.2%

1) Weighted average of own production and third-party contracts, excluding hedge results. The majority of the alumina is sold linked to either the LME prices or alumina index with a one-month delay

2) Implied alumina cost (based on EBITDA and sales volume) replaces previous apparent alumina cash cost

3) Paragominas production, on wet basis

4) 40 percent MRN offtake from Vale and 5 percent Hydro share on wet basis

5) Adjusted EBITDA divided by total revenues

Operational data

Hydro
Hydro Aluminium
Metal 1)
Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Realized aluminium
price LME, USD/mt
2 662 3 031 2 497 2 246 2 291 2 273 2 146 2 129 2 248 2 377 2 599 2 218
price LME, NOK/mt3)
Realized aluminium
23 542 28 461 24 706 22 813 23 566 24 417 22 456 23 143 23 609 25 526 24 739 22 995
Realized premium above LME, USD/mt2) 786 870 801 577 503 456 432 348 358 365 756 435
Realized premium above LME, NOK/mt2)3) 6 954 8 167 7 920 5 857 5 169 4 894 4 521 3 778 3 758 3 919 7 197 4 511
Realized NOK/USD exchange rate 3) 8.84 9.39 9.89 10.16 10.29 10.74 10.47 10.87 10.50 10.74 9.52 10.37
Implied primary cost (USD)
4)
1 550 1 500 1 550 1 650 1 700 1 725 1 750 1 775 1 825 1 825 1 550 1 750
Implied all-in primary cost (USD) 5) 2 450 2 500 2 350 2 250 2 275 2 250 2 200 2 125 2 225 2 250 2 375 2 225
Hydro Aluminium
Metal production, kmt
540 532 543 522 499 506 512 514 505 507 2 137 2 031
Casthouse
production, kmt
555 542 547 522 513 519 523 512 519 519 2 166 2 067
Total sales, kmt6) 600 581 533 542 559 577 539 541 540 584 2 256 2 217
Adjusted
EBITDA margin 8)
43.0% 28.4% 38.8% 36.2% 26.1% 17.7% 12.1% 14.3% 14.9% 18.2% 35.1% 18.0%
Hydro Metal Markets Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Remelt production (1 000 mt) 151 158 124 115 132 146 176 166 179 202 548 620
Third-party sales (1 000 mt) 72 74 76 81 78 81 92 81 75 87 304 331
sales excl. ingot trading (1 000 mt) 7)
Hydro Metal Markets
731 710 635 614 674 691 652 645 622 682 2 691 2 662
Hereof external sales excl. ingot trading (1 000 mt) 610 607 536 530 566 590 567 567 540 589 2 284 2 290
External revenue (NOK million) 18 472 24 420 18 796 15 132 17 308 19 837 16 716 16 829 16 500 18 591 76 821 70 690
Hydro Extrusions Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Extrusions external shipments (1 000 mt) 347 338 301 265 301 293 260 236 266 262 1 251 1 090
Hydro Extrusions –
Pro-forma adjusted EBIT
per mt, NOK
4 568 4 740 2 123 636 4 937 4 184 2 107 383 2 593 2 321 3 194 3 074

1) Operating and financial information includes Hydro's proportionate share of production and sales volumes in equity accounted

investments. Realized prices, premiums and exchange rates exclude equity accounted investments

2) Average realized premium above LME for casthouse sales from Hydro Aluminium Metal

3) Including strategic hedges /hedge accounting applied

4) Realized LME price minus Adjusted EBITDA margin (incl. Qatalum) per mt primary aluminium produced. Includes net earnings from primary casthouses

5) Realized all-in price minus Adjusted EBITDA margin (incl. Qatalum) per mt primary aluminium sold. Includes net earnings from primary casthouses

6) Total sales replaces previous casthouse sales due to change of definition

7) Includes external and internal sales from primary casthouse operations, remelters and third-party Metal sources

8) Adjusted EBITDA divided by total revenues

Hydro Extrusions, information by business area

Precision Tubing Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Year
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Year
2023
Q1
2024
Q2
2024
Extrusion Europe Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Year
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Year
2023
Q1
2024
Q2
2024
Volume (kmt) 31 28 30 28 117 31 32 31 29 124 31 31 Volume (kmt) 151 144 119 106 520 124 121 99 92 436 108 105
Operating revenues (NOKm) 2 091 2 038 2 129 2 020 8 278 2 279 2 429 2 344 2 204 9 256 2 229 2 358 Operating revenues (NOKm) 9 532 10 147 8 696 7 787 36 162 9 035 8 926 6 864 6 625 31 450 7 281 7 286
Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm) 184 95 135 50 464 152 185 259 131 727 193 232 Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm) 1 035 1 025 669 480 3 209 867 819 327 305 2 318 469 352
Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) 82 (3) 35 (51) 63 61 87 161 37 346 96 135 Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) 782 767 415 231 2 196 623 564 79 26 1 291 205 80
Building Systems Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Year
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Year
2023
Q1
2024
Q2
2024
Extrusion North America Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Year
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Year
2023
Q1
2024
Q2
2024
Volume (kmt) 24 24 19 18 85 19 19 17 19 75 19 20 Volume (kmt) 142 141 134 112 529 126 121 113 95 455 108 106
Operating revenues (NOKm) 2 854 3 168 2 657 2 617 11 296 3 056 3 208 2 736 2 938 11 939 2 938 2 997 Operating revenues (NOKm) 9 096 10 263 9 412 7 750 36 522 8 684 8 304 7 535 6 622 31 146 7 088 7 370
Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm) 264 287 152 171 873 261 240 170 256 927 270 293 Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm) 895 1 042 476 330 2 743 965 813 592 317 2 686 582 571
Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) 156 179 43 57 435 149 116 49 126 440 148 168 Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) 618 743 196 25 1 582 677 508 288 11 1 484 324 305
Other and eliminations
Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm)
Q1
2022
(47)
Q2
2022
(83)
Q3
2022
(47)
Q4
2022
(91)
Year
2022
(268)
Q1
2023
(22)
Q2
2023
(44)
Q3
2023
(26)
Q4
2023
(86)
Year
2023
(178)
Q1
2024
(77)
Q2
2024
(72)
Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) (50) (86) (50) (94) (281) (25) (48) (29) (109) (211) (83) (78)

Assumptions behind scenarios in profitability roadmaps

Scenarios are not forecasts, but illustrative earnings, cash flow and return potential based on sensitivities

  • Starting point AEBITDA Q3-23 LTM
  • Cash flow calculated as AEBITDA less EBIT tax and long-term sustaining capex, less lease payments and interest expenses for the Hydro Group
    • Tax rates: 25% for business areas, 40% for Energy, 28% (LTM) for Hydro Group
  • ARoaCE calculated as AEBIT after tax divided by average capital employed
    • Average capital employed assumed to increase with growth capex and return-seeking capex above LT sustaining CAPEX 2024-2026
  • The actual earnings, cash flows and returns will be affected by other factors not included in the scenarios, including, but not limited to:
    • Production volumes, raw material prices, downstream margin developments, premiums, inflation, currency, depreciation, taxes, investments, interest expense, competitors' cost positions, and others
  • External scenario is based on CRU price and premium assumptions and S&P Global FX assumptions, with adjustments as specified in the footnotes

Price and FX assumptions

Assumptions used in 2024 2030
scenarios Q3 2023 LTM forward real Forward
real 2023
Last 5 year
average
CRU / S&P Global
real 2023
LME, USD/mt 2,240 2,240
(deflated by 2.5%)
2,300
(deflated by 2.5%)
2,180 2,560
(deflated by 2.5%)
Realized premium, USD/mt 490 3801) 3801) 430 5704)
(deflated by 2.5%)
PAX, USD/mt 350 320
(deflated by 2.5%)
3402)
(deflated by 2.5%)
330 380
(deflated by 2.5%)
Caustic soda, USD/mt 650 3201) 3201) 430 410
(deflated by 2.5%)
Coal, USD/mt 150 110
(deflated by 2.5%)
1003)
(deflated by 2.5%)
130 1007)
(deflated by 2.5%)
Pitch, EUR/mt 1,260 9701) 9701) 840 9205)
(deflated by 2.5%)
Pet coke, USD/mt 610 4701) 4701) 450 5005)
(deflated by 2.5%)
NO2, NOK/MWh
Nordic system, NOK/MWh
1,150
850
7706)
480
(deflated by 2.5%)
6506)
400
(deflated by 2.5%)
840
620
6507)
4007)
(deflated by 2.5%)
USDNOK
EURNOK
BRLNOK
10.41
11.11
2.06
10.68
11.77
2.19
10.38
12.25
2.15
9.28
10.35
1.93
8.158)
9.588)
1.478)

Next event Third quarter results October 24, 2024

For more information see www.hydro.com/ir

Investor Relations in Hydro

Martine Rambøl Hagen

t: +47 91708918 e: [email protected]

Elitsa Boyadzhieva

t: +47 91775472 e: [email protected]

Mathias Gautier

t: +47 94861597 e: [email protected]

Camilla Gihle

t: +47 92637820 e: [email protected]

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