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Norsk Hydro ASA

Investor Presentation Oct 24, 2024

3684_rns_2024-10-24_a8b5069f-1757-46d1-aaea-16144195c62c.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Third quarter 2024 Investor presentation

October 24, 2024

Table of contents

Third quarter results 2024 3
Additional slides 27
Additional information 40
Next event & Contact info 56

Cautionary note

Certain statements included in this announcement contain forward-looking information, including, without limitation, information relating to (a) forecasts, projections and estimates, (b) statements of Hydro management concerning plans, objectives and strategies, such as planned expansions, investments, divestments, curtailments or other projects, (c) targeted production volumes and costs, capacities or rates, start-up costs, cost reductions and profit objectives, (d) various expectations about future developments in Hydro's markets, particularly prices, supply and demand and competition, (e) results of operations, (f) margins, (g) growth rates, (h) risk management, and (i) qualified statements such as "expected", "scheduled", "targeted", "planned", "proposed", "intended" or similar.

Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, these forward-looking statements are based on a number of assumptions and forecasts that, by their nature, involve risk and uncertainty. Various factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from those projected in a forward-looking statement or affect the extent to which a particular projection is realized. Factors that could cause these differences include, but are not limited to: our continued ability to reposition and restructure our upstream and downstream businesses; changes in availability and cost of energy and raw materials; global supply and demand for aluminium and aluminium products; world economic growth, including rates of inflation and industrial production; changes in the relative value of currencies and the value of commodity contracts; trends in Hydro's key markets and competition; and legislative, regulatory and political factors.

No assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Hydro disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Strong upstream results, building downstream robustness

Eivind Kallevik President & CEO

October 24, 2024

3

Safety our key priority

TRI1) per million hours worked 12 months rolling average

HRI2) per million hours worked

12 months rolling average

1) Total Recordable Injuries includes own employees and contractors

2) High Risk Incidents included own employees and contractors

3) Average over period

Q3 2024 highlights Adjusted EBITDA NOK 7.4 billion

Free cash flow NOK 1.7 billion, adjusted RoaCE1) 7.2%

Solid upstream results from increasing alumina and aluminium prices

2024 improvement programs on track, Extrusions building robustness in weaker core markets

Energy executing on renewable ambitions with Illvatn pumped storage project

Reducing ownership from 30 to 19.9 percent and impairing NOK 956 million investments in Vianode

Hydro and Mercedes-Benz extend partnership to foster socioeconomic development in Brazilian Amazon

Solid upstream revenue drivers through Q3 2024

LME aluminium price

Platts alumina index (PAX)

Improvement efforts on track

Improvement program and commercial ambitions

Improvement program

Commercial ambitions

1) Added scope on top of initial target, Energy commercial improvements 2) Including greener premiums Note: Estimated NOK 1.5 billion in annual average CAPEX to meet remaining improvement and commercial ambitions

Key improvement achievements 2024:

  • Improving operational excellence, strong year to date performance on procurement initiatives
  • Driving commercial excellence, good traction on new products to market
  • Leveraging on greener products
    • Green premiums up ~60% from 2023
  • Hydro Alunorte fuel switch delivering sustaining cost savings
    • 6 boilers and 4 calciners converted, operating with liquid natural gas
    • Remaining 3 calciners on track for completion by year end
USD 160-190 million annual
savings when fully
implemented3)
(~USD 25 per tonne
cash
cost saving)
Upon full conversion,
700,000 tonnes
reduced CO2
emissions annually
Moving from Brent
index (oil) to Henry
Hub (gas), reducing
price volatility
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7

Hydro 2030:

Pioneering the green aluminium transition, powered by renewable energy

Key priorities towards 2030

Step up growth investments in Recycling and Extrusions to take lead in the market opportunities emerging from the green transition

Step up ambitions within renewable power generation

Execute on ambitious decarbonization and technology road map, and step up to contribute to nature positive and a just transition

Shape the market for greener aluminium in partnership with customers

Recycling: Digging deeper into the scrap pile

Historical pricing of clean extrusion scrap % of LME + European EI premium

Record low market margins Key success factors in securing competitive access to scrap

Advanced scrap sorting capabilities

Expanding advanced aluminium scrap sorting to the U.S.

Started commercial HySort operations in Hydro's Alusort JV with Padnos in Michigan

HySort implementation in Europe

St. Peter (Germany) One, in operation
Nowa Sol Alumetal (Poland) Two, under installation
Wrexham (UK) One, FID made

Extrusions: Building robustness

NOK 2-3 billion short in market support to reach the 2025 EBITDA target

Extrusion demand

Hydro Extrusions Adj. EBITDA

Press replacement giving new capabilities and cost savings in Cressona

  • New 12-inch indirect extrusion press with an annual capacity of 35,000 tonnes
    • Will increase efficiency and modernize the operation, replacing two old presses
    • Advanced automation and monitoring systems
    • Will serve key markets transportation, distribution and industrial sectors
    • NOK 440 million investment
Two old presses One new press
Manning 2x7 FTEs per shift 4 FTEs per shift
Maintenance cost p.a. USD 3-4 million USD ~2 million
Downtime 25-30% <10%
Scrap rate 25-30% 15-18%
Annual production 2x10K tonnes 35K tonnes

Based on cost savings alone

IRR: 20-25%

Stepping up efforts in renewable power generation

Secure access to renewable power through

Grow and upgrade existing hydropower plants to capture peak prices, increasing value of flexibility

Expand market operations and commercial ambitions based on hydropower reservoir capacity, balancing power from wind and solar, and commercial positions

hydropower system upgrades and expansions Turning ambitions into reality with Illvatn project

  • New pumped storage power plant in Luster municipality, Norway
    • 84 GW net production increase by adding 48 MW turbin capacity, 39 MW pump capacity, 90 Mm3 increased reservoir capacity
    • Pump capacity to increase profit from more volatile prices
    • Project ambition of No Net Loss of priority biodiversity1)
  • Construction starting in mid 2025, operations beginning in 2028/2029
  • Total investment estimated at approximately NOK 1.2 billion
    • Norwegian Ministry of Energy granted Hydro concession to develop the project in 2020.
    • An application for a plan change is currently being processed by the Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate (NVE), and final investment decision expected by the second quarter of 2025.

11 1) Priority biodiversity features, as per IFC 2012 definitions, are natural habitat and critical habitat qualifying features including, but not restricted to, habitats important for threatened species, restricted range species, migratory species and threatened ecosystems.

Reducing ownership and providing no further capital to Vianode

Impairments of NOK 1 billion of investments during Q3

  • Hydro reduces ownership in synthetic graphite producer Vianode, based in Norway, from 30 to 19.9 percent
    • Previous put option from September 6 for Hydro to acquire additional 20 percent of Vianode, has not been executed
    • Agreement includes a mutual put/call option for the remaining 19.9 percent of shares, to be exercised no later than February 28, 2025
  • Hydro will provide no further capital to Vianode
    • Vianode is on a growth journey to supply the battery industry with much needed low-carbon graphite
    • Hydro has decided to allocate its capital towards other projects
  • Hydro has taken an impairment of in total NOK 1 billion in the third quarter related to investments in Vianode
    • NOK 0.6 billion impacting reported EBITDA, NOK 0.4 billion (shareholder loan in Vianode) impacting Finance expense

Hydro and Mercedes-Benz extending strategic partnership

Positively affecting people and nature in Brazil

  • Hydro and Mercedes-Benz have joined forces to collaborate on a long-term program to promote positive influence and initiatives for people and nature in the Brazilian Amazon. The partnership builds on the commercial agreement already existing between Hydro and Mercedes-Benz
  • The aim of the program is to protect human rights, the generation of income for local communities, restoration of nature and the development of low-carbon value chains in the region
  • Other partners in the Corridor program include IPAM, IMAZON, CEA, Hydro Sustainability Fund and BCG

"In close cooperation with our partners, it has the potential to push vertical integration of our supply chain to a new level." Head of Procurement and Supplier Quality, Mercedes-Benz Cars

Picture Illustration : Mercedes-Benz

Greener earnings uplift potential 2030: NOK 2 billion1)

1) Based on 2030 EU ETS cost and relative CO2 reduction vs Hydro REDUXA 4.0 at current industry traded upcharge. Hydro REDUXA and CIRCAL potential based on estimated certification capacity. Primary capacity based on equity share renewable power. Hydro CIRCAL products have post-consumer scrap content > 75% 13

Million tonnes capacity potential

Financial update

Trond Olaf Christophersen Executive Vice President & CFO

Continued pressure on a tight alumina market

Estimated smelter grade alumina market balance Million tonnes 0,9 -0,6 0,6 -0,6 0,0 -0,3 0,2 -0,6 0,4 2023 2024e 2025e World ex-China China World

Event driven Platts Alumina Index (PAX) increase

Healthy primary demand growth expected in 2024

China and transition demand key drivers

Annual primary consumption growth

Chinese primary aluminiumproduction annualized

Aluminium intensity in power generation capacity

Tonnes Aluminium per MW

Weak extrusion demand in transport and automotive

Continued headwinds expected for remainder of 2024, some improvements expected in 2025

External market forecasts1)

Year over Year

Extrusion market growth per quarter and annually Growth in %

Extrusion sales volumes

Hydro Extrusions segment sales volume

Share of Q3 2024 Hydro Extrusions sales

Adjusted EBITDA up on upstream prices, partly offset by extrusion volumes and raw material cost

Q3 2024 vs Q2 2024

Key financials

NOK million Q3 2024 Q3
2023
Q2 2024 Year 2023
Revenue 50
089
44
702
50
944
193 619
Reported EBITDA 5
934
1
975
6
044
23 291
Adjusting items to EBITDA 1 433 1 923 (205) (1 033)
Adjusted EBITDA 7 367 3
899
5 839 22
258
Reported EBIT 3 488 (323) 3 557 9 592
Adjusted EBIT 4
944
1
600
3 353 12 983
Financial income (expense) (1 862) 378 (1 398) (3 046)
Reported Income (loss) before tax 1
626
55 2
160
6 546
Income taxes (217) (680) (739) (3 742)
Reported Net income (loss) 1 409 (625) 1 421 2 804
Adjusted net income (loss) 3
506
345 1 677 7 835
Earnings per share 0.40 (0.18) 1.07 1.77
Adjusted earnings per share 1.49 0.27 0.97 4.26

Hydro Bauxite & Alumina

Results up driven by higher alumina prices, lower raw materials costs, positive currency effects, partly offset by increased alumina sourcing costs and decreased sales volume

Key figures Q3 2024 Q3 2023 Q2 2024
Alumina production, kmt 1 463 1 522 1 492
Total alumina sales, kmt 2 737 2 229 2 722
Realized alumina price, USD/mt 494 349 400
Implied alumina cost, USD/mt1) 378 345 345
Bauxite production, kmt 2 258 2 848 2 730
Adjusted EBITDA, NOK million 3 410 93 1 616
Adjusted EBIT, NOK million 2 761 (610) 841
Adjusted RoaCE, % LTM2) 9.3 % -3.2 % 0.0 %

Adjusted EBITDA

1) Realized alumina price minus Adjusted EBITDA for B&A, per mt alumina sales

2) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less 25% tax / Average capital employed last 4 quarters

3) Realized alumina price

Implied alumina cost and margin USD/mt1)

Implied EBITDA cost per mt1) All-in EBITDA margin per mt

Results Q3 24 vs Q3 23

  • Higher alumina price
  • Lower fixed costs
  • Lower raw material costs
  • Weaker BRL against USD

  • Higher production volume

  • Higher alumina price
  • Higher fixed costs
  • Stable raw material costs

Hydro Aluminium Metal

Results up driven by higher all-in metal prices and reduced carbon cost, partly offset by higher alumina cost and inflation on fixed cost

Key figures Q3 2024 Q3 2023 Q2 2024
Primary aluminium production, kmt 511 512 507
Total sales, kmt 531 539 584
Realized LME price, USD/mt1) 2 429 2 146 2 377
Realized LME price, NOK/mt1) 26 013 22 456 25 526
Realized premium, USD/mt 421 432 365
Implied all-in primary cost, USD/mt
2)
2 200 2 200 2 300
Adjusted EBITDA, NOK million 3 234 1 379 2 520
Adjusted EBITDA including Qatalum 50% pro rata, NOK million 3 828 1 896 3 050
Adjusted EBIT, NOK million 2 566 727 1 834
Adjusted RoaCE, % LTM3) 12.6 % 18.5 % 9.3 %

Adjusted EBITDA

  • 1) Includes pricing effects from LME strategic hedge program
  • 2) Realized all-in aluminium price minus Adjusted EBITDA margin, including Qatalum, per mt aluminium sold
  • 3) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less 25% tax / Average capital employed last 4 quarters
  • 4) Implied primary costs and margin rounded to nearest USD 25
  • 5) Realized LME aluminium price less Adjusted EBITDA margin, incl Qatalum, per mt primary aluminium produced

All-in implied primary cost and margin USD/mt1,4)

Results Q3 24 vs Q3 23

  • Higher all-in metal price
  • Reduced carbon cost
  • Higher alumina costs
  • Positive currency effects
  • Inflation on fixed cost

  • ~71% of primary production for Q4 2024 priced at USD 2 445 per mt. 8)

  • ~42% of premiums affecting Q4 2024 booked at USD ~ 507 per mt.
    • Q4 realized premium expected in the range of USD 380 and 430 per mt.
  • Higher raw material cost
  • Seasonally higher fixed cost
  • 6) Realized LME plus realized premiums, including Qatalum
  • 7) % of volumes extrusion ingot, foundry alloy, sheet ingot, wire rod of total sales volumes
  • 8) Bookings, also including pricing effects from LME strategic hedging program as per 31.12.2023 9) Excluding power sales Slovalco and Norwegian smelters and CO2 catch-up Q3 2022 and Q4 2023

Metal Markets

Results down on lower results from recyclers and negative currency effects, partly offset by positive results from sourcing and trading activities

Key figures
Q3 2024 Q3 2023 Q2 2024
Recycling production, kmt 170 176 202
Metal products sales, kmt
1)
630 652 682
Adjusted EBITDA Recycling (NOK million) (33) 274 41
Adjusted EBITDA Commercial (NOK million) 310 294 268
Adjusted EBITDA Metal Markets (NOK million) 277 568 309
Adjusted EBITDA excl. currency and inventory valuation effects 375 566 357
Adjusted EBIT (NOK million) 119 482 146
Adjusted
RoaCE, % LTM2)
0.8 % 13.6 % 3.5 %

NOK million

1) Includes external and internal sales from primary casthouse operations, remelters and third-party metal sources 2) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less 25% tax / Average capital employed last 4 quarters

Results Q3 24 vs Q3 23

  • Main driver is lower results from recycling
  • Negative currency effects
  • Positive results from sourcing and trading activities

  • Seasonally lower volumes and continued margin pressure in the recyclers

  • Lower results from sourcing and trading activities
  • Continued volatile trading and currency effects
  • Guidance for YE Commercial Adjusted EBITDA excl. currency and inventory valuation effects of 700 - 900 MNOK

Hydro Extrusions

Results down due to lower sales volumes, lower recycling margins and higher costs, partly offset by higher sales margins and strict cost measures

Key figures Q3 2024 Q3 2023 Q2 2024
External sales volumes, kmt 240 260 262
Adjusted EBITDA, NOK million 879 1 322 1 377
Adjusted EBIT, NOK million 15 548 609
RoaCE, % LTM1)
Adjusted
3.6 % 9.1 % 5.0 %

1) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less 25% tax / Average capital employed last 4 quarters. Previous periods have been restated following a change to the capital employed definition.

Results Q3 24 vs Q3 23

  • High sales margins
  • Lower sales volumes and recycling margins
  • Positive metal effect

  • High sales margins

  • Lower sales volumes and recycling margins
  • Higher variable costs
  • Continued soft extrusions markets

Hydro Energy

Results down on lower prices and lower gain on price area differences

Key figures Q3 2024 Q3 2023 Q2 2024
Power production, GWh 2 197 2 216 1 929
Net spot sales, GWh 3) 104 24 (146)
Southwest Norway spot price (NO2), NOK/MWh 455 664 519
Adjusted EBITDA, NOK million 626 762 611
Adjusted EBIT, NOK million 575 712 545
Adjusted
RoaCE, % LTM1),2)
8.7 % 20.2 % 9.9 %

Adjusted EBITDA

NOK million

- 1) Adjusted RoaCE calculated as Adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less tax/ Average capital employed last 4 quarters 2) 50% tax rate applied for 2023 and 2024

Results Q3 24 vs Q3 23

  • Higher net spot sales
  • Lower prices and lower gain on area price differences
  • No Aluminium Metal buy-back contract
  • Lower trading and hedging results

  • Stable production

  • Seasonally higher prices and price area differences.
  • Price and volume uncertainty

Net debt decrease of NOK 1.5 billion during Q3

Decrease in net debt mainly driven by EBITDA contributions, partly offset by investments and other operating cash flow

Our priorities

1.

Health and safety first

2.

Maintain robustness while maneuvering mixed markets

3.

Deliver on Recycling, Extrusions, and renewable growth ambitions

4.

Execute on decarbonization and technology road map

  1. Seize opportunities in greener aluminium at premium pricing

Accelerating growth, value creation and sustainability

Additional slides

Key figures – Outlook Q4 2024

Note that the information on this page is based on forward looking information from current point in time and changes might occur during the coming quarter

Bauxite &
Alumina
Aluminium Metal Metal Markets

Higher production volume

Higher alumina price

Higher fixed costs of between 400 and 500
MNOK

Flat raw material cost

~71% of primary production for Q4 2024
priced at USD 2 445 per mt.

~42% of premiums affecting Q4 2024
booked at USD ~ 507 per mt.

Q4 realized premium expected in the
range of
USD 380 and 430 per mt.

Higher raw material cost
between 850
and 950 MNOK driven by alumina

Positive effect of alumina hedge of
approximately 300 MNOK QoQ

Seasonally lower volumes and continued
margin pressure in the recyclers

Lower results from sourcing and trading
activities

Continued volatile trading and currency effects

Guidance for YE Commercial Adjusted EBITDA
excl. currency and inventory of 700 -
900 MNOK
Extrusions Energy

Lower sales margins

Lower sales volumes and recycling
margins

Higher variable costs

Continued soft extrusions markets

Seasonally lower fixed costs in Q3 are
projected to return to normal levels in Q4,
resulting in a negative quarter-over
quarter impact of NOK 100 million

Stable production

Seasonally higher prices and price area
differences

Price and volume uncertainty

Revenue drivers through Q3 2024

Market raw material costs in Q3 2024

Petroleum coke FOB USG (indexed) Pitch FOB USG (indexed)

Indication of current market prices Fuel Oil A1 (indexed) Henry Hub Natural Gas Spot Price (indexed)

Alumina PAX index (indexed)

Steam coal (indexed)

Key performance metrics Q3 2024

Adjusted EBITDA NOK million 3Q23 2Q24 3Q24 3,899 5,839 7,367

Upstream costs3,4) USD per tonne

Thousand tonnes

Improvement program status NOK millions

Adjusted RoaCE2)

  1. Free cash flow is defined as net cash provided by (used in) operating activities of continuing operations, adjusted for changes in collateral and net purchases of money market funds, plus net cash provided by (used in) investing activities of continuing operations, adjusted for purchases of / proceeds from sales of short-term investments

  2. Adj. RoaCE calculated as adjusted EBIT last 4 quarters less underlying tax expense adjusted for 30% tax on financial items / average capital employed last 4 quarters

  3. Realized alumina price minus adjusted EBITDA for B&A, excluding insurance proceeds relating to decommissioned crane (NOK ~500 million), per mt alumina sales

  4. Realized all-in aluminium price (incl. strategic hedge program) less adjusted EBITDA margin excluding indirect CO2 compensation catch-up effect (NOK ~1.4 billion) and power sales Slovalco, Albras and Norwegian smelters, incl Qatalum, per mt aluminium sold. Implied primary cost and margin rounded to nearest USD 25

Integrated margin hedging realized a NOK 8 million loss in Q3-24

Aluminium hedges of 110-460 kt/yr 2024-2026 in place

  • 2024: 110 kt remaining at a price of ~2400 USD/t
  • 2025: 450 kt hedged at a price of ~2500 USD/t
  • 2026: 300 kt hedged at a price of ~2600 USD/t
  • Pricing mainly in NOK. Net USD exposure hedged via USD/NOK derivatives
  • Corresponding raw material exposure partially secured using financial derivatives or physical contracts

B&A and AM BRL/USD Hedge

  • USD 610 million sold forward for 2024-2026
    • 2024: USD 84 million remaining at avg. rate 6.19
    • 2025: USD 350 million hedged at avg. rate 5.33
    • 2026: USD 175 million hedged at avg. rate 5.48
  • Aim to reduce volatility and uncertainty in Alunorte and Albras cash flows, as well as support robust cost curve positions

Strategic hedging status1)

NOK Billions

Utilizing Hydro's hedging policy to deliver on strategic ambitions

  • Flexibility to hedge in certain cases
    • Support strong cost position
    • Strong margins in historical perspective, e.g., supporting ARoaCE target
    • Larger investments

Significant exposure to commodity and currency fluctuations

Aluminium price sensitivity +10% Currency sensitivities +10% NOK million

Other commodity prices, sensitivity +10% NOK million

Sustainable effect:

NOK million USD BRL EUR
AEBITDA 4,170 (900) (100)
One-off reevaluation effect:
Financial items (1,310) 1,450 (3,780)
  • Annual adjusted sensitivities based on normal annual business volumes. LME 2,430 USD/mt, standard ingot premium (Europe duty paid) 340 USD/mt, PAX 495 USD/mt, fuel oil 815 USD/mt, petroleum coke 390 USD/mt, pitch 850 EUR/mt, caustic soda 415 USD/mt, coal 95 USD/mt, gas (Henry Hub) 2.16 USD/MMBtu, USDNOK 10.71, BRLNOK 1.93, EURNOK 11.76
  • Aluminium price sensitivity is net of aluminium price indexed costs and excluding unrealized effects related to operational hedging
  • BRL sensitivity calculated on a long-term basis with fuel oil assumed in USD. In the short-term, fuel oil is BRL denominated
  • Excludes effects of priced contracts in currencies different from underlying currency exposure (transaction exposure)
  • Currency sensitivity on financial items includes effects from intercompany positions
  • 2024 Platts alumina index (PAX) exposure used
  • Adjusted Net Income sensitivity calculated as AEBITDA sensitivity after 30% tax
  • Sensitivities include strategic hedges for 2024 (remaining volumes for 2024, annualized)

Bauxite & Alumina sensitivities

Annual sensitivities on adjusted EBITDA if +10% in price NOK million

Revenue impact

• Realized alumina price lags PAX by one month

Cost impact

Bauxite

  • ~2.45 tonnes bauxite per tonne alumina
  • Pricing partly LME linked

Caustic soda

  • ~0.1 tonnes per tonne alumina
  • Prices based on IHS Chemical, pricing mainly monthly per shipment

Energy

  • ~0.12 tonnes coal per tonne alumina, Platts prices, one year volume contracts, weekly per shipment pricing
  • ~0.11 tonnes heavy fuel oil per tonne alumina, prices set by ANP/Petrobras in Brazil, weekly pricing (ANP) or anytime (Petrobras)

Annual adjusted sensitivities based on normal annual business volumes. LME 2,430 USD/mt, standard ingot premium (Europe duty paid) 340 USD/mt, PAX 495 USD/mt, fuel oil 815 USD/mt, petroleum coke 390 USD/mt, pitch 850 EUR/mt, caustic soda 415 USD/mt, coal 95 USD/mt, gas (Henry Hub) 2.16 USD/MMBtu, USDNOK 10.71, BRLNOK 1.93, EURNOK 11.76 BRL sensitivity calculated on a long-term basis with fuel oil assumed in USD. In the short-term, fuel oil is BRL denominated. 2024 Platts alumina index (PAX) exposure used

Aluminium Metal sensitivities

Annual sensitivities on adjusted EBITDA if +10% in price NOK million

Revenue impact

  • Realized price lags LME spot by ~1-2 months
  • Realized premium lags market premium by ~2-3 months

Cost impact

Alumina

  • ~1.9 tonnes per tonne aluminium
  • ~ 2-3 months lag
  • Mainly priced on Platts index

Carbon

  • ~0.40 tonnes petroleum coke per tonne aluminium, Pace Jacobs Consultancy, 2-3 year volume contracts, quarterly or half yearly pricing
  • ~0.08 tonnes pitch per tonne aluminium, CRU, 2-3 year volume contracts, quarterly pricing

Power

  • 14.0 MWh per tonne aluminium
  • Long-term power contracts with indexations

Energy EBITDA development

Adjusted EBITDA and NO2 spot price

Adjusted EBITDA and NO2 spot price

  • Production and market prices strongly linked to hydrological conditions
  • Seasonal market variations in demand and supply. Gains or losses may occur from delink between area prices arising due to transmission capacity limitations in the Nordic area
  • Power portfolio optimized versus market
  • Lift in annual EBITDA contribution from 2021
    • Positive impact from expiry of legacy supply contract from 2021
    • 8 TWh internal contract for power sales to Aluminium Metal in Norway effective from 2021-30
  • Stable and competitive production cost base:
    • Mainly fixed costs
    • Volume-related transmission costs
  • Maturing portfolio growth options; emphasis on flexible production & selected geographies

Metal Markets earnings drivers

• Recyclers

  • Revenue impact volume, LME and product premiums
  • Cost impact
    • Scrap and standard ingot premiums above LME
    • Raw material mix
    • Freight cost proximity to market
    • Energy consumption and prices

• Other main businesses

  • Physical ingot and LME trading
  • Third-party casthouse products
  • Results influenced by currency fluctuations and inventory valuation effects
  • Adjusted EBITDA for Commercial excl. currency and inventory valuation effects for 2024 expected in the range of 700MNOK to 900MNOK

Adjusted EBITDA excluding currency effects and inventory valuation effect, NOK million1)

1) Amounts are as disclosed for the individual years reflecting the accounting policies applied for those years and Hydro's definition of APMs applied for the relevant years.

Extrusions earnings drivers

1) Pro-forma figures

Empowering the future of green mobility

STRATEGIC TARGET

3x Value uplift in 2030 on equity invested by 2027

Circular solutions 62% ownership1)

  • Ready to start new production line for dismantling and discharge.
  • Announced Europe expansion, with first site in France.

Anode materials

EUR 5M invested

• Maturing customer qualifications and progressing pilot plant production.

Lithium 12% ownership

  • Preparing for drilling operations in 2025.
  • Pre-feasibility study completed and Demonstrator plant under construction.

PORTFOLIO HOLDINGS

24 % owner share 0.6% owner share 19.9% ownership1)

Additional information

Adj. EBITDA up on higher upstream prices, partly offset by extrusion margins, extrusion volumes and energy sales

Q3 2024 vs Q3 2023

Income statements

NOK million Third quarter
2024
Third quarter
2023
Second quarter
2024
First 9 months
2024
First 9 months 2023 Year
2023
Revenue 50 089 44 702 50 944 148 579 146 865 193 619
Share of the profit (loss) in equity accounted investments (363) 171 113 (205) 446 492
Other income, net 996 348 1 392 3 388 2 879 4 152
Total revenue and income 50 722 45 220 52 449 151 762 150 191 198 263
Raw material and energy expense 32 099 30 501 33 410 95 534 93 905 123 538
Employee benefit expense 6 423 6 238 6 819 19 991 19 259 25 931
Depreciation and amortization expense 2 451 2 327 2 498 7 421 6 856 9 394
Impairment of non-current assets 22 - 17 39 (3) 4 421
Other expenses 6 239 6 478 6 148 18 666 18 326 25 387
Earnings before financial items and tax (EBIT) 3 488 (323) 3 557 10 112 11 849 9 592
Interest and other finance income 437 377 316 1 215 1 045 1 302
Foreign currency exchange gain (loss) (1 092) 538 (779) (3 504) (2 236) (2 084)
Interest and other finance expense (1 206) (537) (935) (2 889) (1 596) (2 264)
Income (loss) before tax 1 626 55 2 160 4 934 9 062 6 546
Income taxes (217) (680) (739) (1 676) (3 486) (3 742)
Net income (loss) 1 409 (625) 1 421 3 258 5 576 2 804
Net income (loss) attributable to non-controlling interests 616 (267) (723) (620) (543) (778)
Net income (loss) attributable to Hydro shareholders 793 (358) 2 144 3 877 6 119 3 583
Earnings per share attributable to Hydro shareholders 0.40 (0.18) 1.07 1.94 3.01 1.77
NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Net income (loss) 6 411 11 136 6 676 194 1 144 5 056 (625) (2 771) 428 1 421 1 409 24 417 2 804
Adjusted net income (loss) 6 785 7 731 6 258 2 371 3 326 3 410 345 754 1 498 1 677 3 506 23 145 7 835
Earnings per share 2.80 5.49 3.34 0.12 0.62 2.56 (0.18) (1.26) 0.47 1.07 0.40 11.76 1.77
Adjusted earnings per share 3.17 3.63 2.91 0.99 1.70 1.77 0.27 0.50 0.93 0.97 1.49 10.70 4.26

Balance sheet

NOK million September 30
2024
June 30
2024
March 31
2024
December 31
2023
September 30
2023
June 30
2023
March 31
2023
December 31
2022
Cash and cash equivalents 18 875 18 886 19 622 24 618 19 105 22 453 30 873 29 805
Short-term investments 3 928 3 760 4 968 2 641 2 101 1 158 2 696 4 173
Trade and other receivables 28 809 28 689 28 969 25 404 26 387 27 561 28 350 23 988
Inventories 26 127 25 208 25 291 25 449 27 648 28 808 30 216 30 035
Other current financial assets 1 288 952 1 350 1 900 1 726 2 722 1 302 1 127
Assets held for sale - - 4 131 3 685 - - - -
Property, plant and equipment 75 391 74 448 77 334 74 981 74 367 72 985 67 827 62 656
Intangible assets 8 334 8 365 8 741 8 447 10 823 10 215 9 839 9 280
Investments accounted for using the equity method 24 253 24 871 22 512 21 228 24 633 24 277 22 566 21 222
Prepaid pension 9 455 9 518 9 670 8 664 9 335 9 981 9 040 8 573
Other non-current assets 10 294 10 516 10 545 9 444 9 135 8 346 8 684 7 759
Total assets 206 755 205 213 213 133 206 462 205 260 208 506 211 395 198 618
Bank loans and other interest-bearing short-term debt 13 935 16 249 8 169 7 111 5 764 5 271 5 899 6 746
Trade and other payables 26 130 26 336 28 541 26 232 24 860 25 529 25 702 24 374
Other current liabilities 9 475 8 561 8 058 10 549 11 093 9 593 10 741 11 688
Liabilities in disposal group - - 129 141 - - - -
Long-term debt 23 864 22 867 30 996 28 978 29 944 29 756 29 615 26 029
Provisions 6 127 6 164 5 987 5 867 5 897 6 243 5 692 5 289
Pension liabilities 9 322 9 027 9 071 9 222 8 475 8 388 8 669 8 252
Deferred tax liabilities 4 797 5 272 5 079 4 717 6 153 6 197 5 289 4 796
Other non-current liabilities 7 605 6 894 7 353 6 462 5 325 5 687 5 429 3 648
Equity attributable to Hydro shareholders 99 123 98 448 105 502 100 579 103 062 106 873 108 582 102 455
Non-controlling interests 6 376 5 394 6 247 6 604 4 686 4 968 5 777 5 343
Total liabilities and equity 206 755 205 213 213 133 206 462 205 260 208 506 211 395 196 618

Adjusting items to EBITDA, EBIT and net income - 2024

NOK million (+=loss/()=gain) Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 3 8 (7)
Unrealized derivative effects on raw material contracts Hydro Bauxite & Alumina (41) (10) (66)
Total impact Hydro Bauxite & Alumina (38) (2) (73)
Unrealized derivative effects on power contracts Hydro Energy 61 (147) 13
(Gains)/losses on divestments Hydro Energy - (321) -
Impairment charges equity accounted investments Hydro Energy - - 581
Transaction related effects Hydro Energy - - (35)
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Hydro Energy (5) (4) (6)
Other effects Hydro Energy - (164) -
Total impact Hydro Energy 56 (635) 554
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Hydro Aluminium Metal 39 862 455
Unrealized derivative effects on power contracts Hydro Aluminium Metal (31) 94 17
Significant rationalization charges and closure costs Hydro Aluminium Metal - - 55
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Hydro Aluminium Metal (78) (81) (75)
Total impact Hydro Aluminium Metal (69) 874 452
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Hydro Metal Markets 2 (124) 246
Other effects Hydro Metal Markets - (137) -
Total impact Hydro Metal Markets 2 (261) 246
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Hydro Extrusions (9) (159) 212
Unrealized derivative effects on power contracts Hydro Extrusions (13) 3 26
Significant rationalization charges and closure costs Hydro Extrusions 32 56 74
(Gains)/losses on divestments and other transaction related effects Hydro Extrusions (9) - -
Total impact Hydro Extrusions 1 (100) 312
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Other and eliminations 15 (15) -
(Gains)/losses on divestments Other and eliminations (14) - -
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Other and eliminations (52) (65) (58)
Total impact Other and eliminations (52) (80) (59)
Adjusting items to EBITDA Hydro (100) (205) 1 433
Impairment charges Hydro Bauxite & Alumina - - -
Impairment charges Hydro Aluminium Metal - - -
Impairment charges Hydro Extrusions - - -
Adjusting items to EBIT Hydro (100) (205) 1 456
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss and other Hydro 1 633 779 1 467
Adjusting items to income (loss) before tax Hydro 1 533 574 2 923
Calculated income tax effect Hydro (463) (317) (826)
Adjusting items to
net income (loss)
Hydro 1 070 257 2 098

Adjusting items to EBITDA, EBIT and net income - 2023

D
Hydro
NOK million (+=loss/()=gain) Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Year 2023
Unrealized derivative effects on raw material contracts Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 177 94 (41) 182 412
Community contributions Brazil Hydro Bauxite & Alumina - 25 - - 25
Total impact Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 177 118 (41) 182 437
Unrealized derivative effects on power contracts Hydro Energy 214 184 41 (37) 401
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Hydro Energy (3) (7) (5) (6) (20)
Other effects Hydro Energy - - - 164 164
Total impact Hydro Energy 211 177 36 120 544
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Hydro Aluminium Metal 709 (2 836) 1 414 (954) (1 667)
Unrealized derivative effects on power contracts Hydro Aluminium Metal 62 (106) 113 33 103
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Hydro Aluminium Metal (37) (114) (79) (89) (320)
Total impact Hydro Aluminium Metal 733 (3 055) 1 448 (1 010) (1 884)
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Hydro Metal Markets 34 (146) 448 (121) 215
Transaction related effects Hydro Metal Markets 50 4 35 31 120
Total impact Hydro Metal Markets 84 (142) 483 (90) 335
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Hydro Extrusions (19) 6 113 (134) (34)
Unrealized derivative effects on power contracts Hydro Extrusions 5 (24) (2) (6) (28)
Significant rationalization charges and closure costs Hydro Extrusions 51 27 17 171 265
(Gains)/losses on divestments and other transaction related effects Hydro Extrusions 20 - 1 4 25
Other effects Hydro Extrusions - (107) - - (107)
Total impact Hydro Extrusions 57 (98) 128 35 121
Unrealized derivative effects on LME related contracts Other and eliminations (15) (35) 25 (18) (43)
(Gains)/losses on divestments Other and eliminations - - (25) - (25)
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Other and eliminations (115) (143) (130) (155) (543)
Other effects Other and eliminations - 26 - - 26
Total impact Other and eliminations (131) (151) (130) (174) (585)
Adjusting items to EBITDA Hydro 1 132 (3 152) 1 923 (936) (1 033)
Impairment charges Hydro Bauxite & Alumina - - - 3 773 3 773
Impairment charges Hydro Aluminium Metal - - - 628 628
Impairment charges Hydro Extrusions - - - 23 23
Adjusting items to EBIT Hydro 1 132 (3 152) 1 923 3 487 3 391
Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss and other Hydro 1 985 789 (538) (152) 2 084
Adjusting items to income (loss) before tax Hydro 3 117 (2 362) 1 385 3 336 5 475
Calculated income tax effect Hydro (935) 716 (416) 190 (445)
Adjusting items to
net income (loss)
Hydro 2 182 (1 646) 970 3 525 5 031

Adjusted EBIT

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 718 484 10 (586) (221) 88 (610) (269) 43 841 2 761 626 (1 013)
Hydro Energy 2 192 777 275 1 493 677 805 712 755 1 103 545 575 4 737 2 950
Hydro Aluminium Metal 4 183 6 349 5 837 4 097 3 328 2 550 727 1 264 1 306 1 834 2 566 20 467 7 869
Hydro Metal Markets 487 666 494 (134) 628 290 482 (229) 68 146 119 1 514 1 170
Hydro Extrusions 1 587 1 600 640 168 1 485 1 228 548 90 690 609 15 3 995 3 351
Other and Eliminations 3 (425) 356 (93) (532) (173) (259) (380) (244) (623) (1 093) (159) (1 343)
Total 9 170 9 452 7 611 4 946 5 364 4 788 1 600 1 231 2 966 3 353 4 944 31 179 12 983

Adjusted EBITDA

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 1 270 1 117 633 101 437 817 93 481 804 1 616 3 410 3 122 1 828
Hydro Energy 2 239 824 321 1 542 726 854 762 805 1 152 611 626 4 926 3 146
Hydro Aluminium Metal 4 765 6 977 6 463 4 756 3 972 3 215 1 379 1 937 1 965 2 520 3 234 22 963 10 502
Hydro Metal Markets 525 705 534 (91) 669 334 568 (38) 269 309 277 1 673 1 533
Hydro Extrusions 2 331 2 365 1 385 939 2 223 2 013 1 322 923 1 437 1 377 879 7 020 6 480
Other and Eliminations 35 (395) 384 (63) (501) (134) (225) (370) (216) (594) (1 060) (39) (1 231)
Total 11 165 11 594 9 721 7 184 7 525 7 098 3 899 3 737 5 411 5 839 7 367 39 664 22 258

EBIT

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 1 094 657 (147) (1 133) (399) (30) (570) (4 223) 81 844 2 834 471 (5 222)
Hydro Energy 2 424 793 526 878 466 628 677 634 1 047 1 180 22 4 621 2 406
Hydro Aluminium Metal 254 11 777 6 061 2 200 2 595 5 605 (721) 1 646 1 376 960 2 114 20 292 9 125
Hydro Metal Markets 297 1 516 300 (492) 544 432 (1) (139) 65 407 (128) 1 621 835
Hydro Extrusions 2 114 1 059 510 16 1 427 1 326 420 33 689 709 (320) 3 699 3 206
Other and Eliminations 39 (385) 420 (63) (402) (21) (128) (206) (192) (542) (1 034) 11 (758)
Total 6 222 15 418 7 670 1 405 4 233 7 939 (323) (2 256) 3 066 3 557 3 488 30 715 9 592

EBITDA

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 1 647 1 290 477 (446) 260 698 134 300 842 1 618 3 483 2 967 1 392
Hydro Energy 2 471 840 572 926 515 677 726 684 1 096 1 246 73 4 810 2 602
Hydro Aluminium Metal 836 12 405 6 736 2 888 3 239 6 270 (69) 2 946 2 035 1 646 2 782 22 866 12 386
Hydro Metal Markets 335 1 556 339 (449) 586 476 85 51 267 570 31 1 780 1 198
Hydro Extrusions 2 858 1 824 1 255 1 045 2 165 2 111 1 194 888 1 436 1 477 567 6 982 6 359
Other and Eliminations 71 (354) 449 (34) (371) 17 (95) (197) (164) (513) (1 002) 132 (645)
Total 8 217 17 561 9 828 3 930 6 393 10 249 1 975 4 673 5 511 6 044 5 934 39 536 23 291

Total revenue

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 7 901 9 413 8 652 7 986 8 320 8 830 8 423 9 948 10 200 11 905 14 306 33 951 35 521
Hydro Energy 4 268 2 456 2 854 3 037 3 452 2 162 3 299 2 644 2 882 2 561 2 370 12 614 11 557
Hydro Aluminium Metal 11 094 24 583 16 678 13 129 15 236 18 211 11 366 13 562 13 170 13 867 13 609 65 483 58 375
Hydro Metal Markets 22 674 27 698 22 374 18 222 20 873 22 483 19 329 18 629 18 677 21 472 20 249 90 968 81 314
Hydro Extrusions 23 468 25 269 22 620 19 819 22 717 22 608 19 142 18 178 19 306 19 707 18 506 91 176 82 645
Other and Eliminations (22 788) (24 626) (20 733) (18 118) (22 065) (20 664) (16 856) (16 208) (16 690) (18 568) (18 950) (86 264) (75 794)
Total 46 616 64 793 52 445 44 075 48 534 53 630 44 702 46 754 47 545 50 944 50 089 207 929 193 619
External revenue
NOK million
Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 5 052 5 864 5 641 5 091 5 289 5 570 5 404 6 807 6 963 8 307 9 707 21 649 23 069
Hydro Energy 2 415 646 1 082 1 324 1 634 257 1 616 1 058 1 217 857 606 5 467 4 564
Hydro Aluminium Metal (2 518) 8 640 4 327 2 638 1 528 5 444 1 741 3 936 3 600 3 456 3 756 13 087 12 649
Hydro Metal Markets 18 472 24 420 18 796 15 132 17 308 19 837 16 716 16 829 16 500 18 591 17 506 76 821 70 690
Hydro Extrusions 23 199 25 228 22 585 19 881 22 765 22 527 19 221 18 122 19 262 19 729 18 511 90 892 82 635
Other and Eliminations (5) (6) 15 9 10 (4) 3 3 4 4 4 13 13
Total 46 616 64 793 52 445 44 075 48 534 53 630 44 702 46 754 47 545 50 944 50 089 207 929 193 619

Internal revenue

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 2 848 3 549 3 011 2 895 3 031 3 260 3 019 3 141 3 238 3 597 4 599 12 303 12 542
Hydro Energy 1 853 1 810 1 772 1 713 1 818 1 905 1 683 1 586 1 665 1 704 1 764 7 148 6 993
Hydro Aluminium Metal 13 611 15 943 12 352 10 491 13 709 12 767 9 624 9 626 9 570 10 411 9 852 52 396 45 726
Hydro Metal Markets 4 201 3 277 3 578 3 091 3 565 2 647 2 612 1 801 2 177 2 880 2 743 14 147 10 625
Hydro Extrusions 269 41 36 (62) (48) 81 (80) 56 44 (22) (5) 284 10
Other and Eliminations (22 783) (24 620) (20 748) (18 126) (22 075) (20 660) (16 860) (16 211) (16 694) (18 571) (18 953) (86 278) (75 806)
Total - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Share of profit /(loss) in equity accounted investments

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina - - - - - - - - - - (13) - -
Hydro Energy (28) (39) (32) (81) (67) (59) (57) (110) (106) (128) (692) (180) (293)
Hydro Aluminium Metal 383 626 340 200 154 264 179 135 126 275 344 1 549 733
Hydro Metal Markets - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Hydro Extrusions - - - - - 1 1 3 - - - - 5
Other and Eliminations 22 (184) 118 12 8 (25) 47 17 25 (35) (2) (32) 47
Total 377 403 426 131 95 181 171 46 46 113 (363) 1 337 492

Return on average capital employed 1) (RoaCE)

Reported RoaCE Adjusted RoaCE
2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina (12.7%) 1.3% 11.9% 5.4% 1.9% 4.6% 8.5% (2.5%) 1.8% 12.0% 5.9% 2.5% 6.0% 8.5%
Hydro Energy 2) 10.4% 28.8% 26.5% 249.5% 13.4% 18.8% 17.5% 13.0% 29.5% 25.4% 8.7% 12.9% 18.8% 17.5%
Hydro Aluminium Metal 16.0% 35.1% 21.6% 1.9% (3.9%) 5.6% 11.8% 13.8% 35.4% 28.3% 2.9% (2.6%) 4.7% 12.6%
Hydro Metal Markets 7.6% 33.2% 24.0% 22.8% 20.7% 25.1% 18.6% 10.7% 31.0% 23.9% 21.6% 27.3% 19.4% 20.9%
3)
Hydro Extrusions
8.4% 10.5% 9.4% 1.3% 3.8% 5.3% 13.4% 8.8% 11.4% 10.3% 6.2% 5.7% 7.2% 6.6%
Hydro Group 4.1% 21.9% 16.3% 5.4% (0.9%) 6.0% 11.2% 7.1% 22.2% 18.6% 3.7% 1.3% 6.6% 9.6%

Capital employed – upstream focus

NOK million September 30
2024
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 27 227
Hydro Energy 10 308
Hydro Aluminium Metal 42 616
Hydro Metal Markets 11 210
Hydro Extrusions 30 605
Other and Eliminations (1 720)
Total 120 246

Graph excludes BNOK (1.7) in capital employed in Other and Eliminations

1) RoaCE at business area level is calculated using 25% tax rate. For Hydro Energy, 50% tax rate is used for 2023, 40% for 2022 and 2021, 80% for 2020 and 2019, 70% for 2018, and 65% for 2017

2) Hydro Energy reported RoaCE for 2020 higher than previous years due to the Lyse transaction

3) Hydro Extrusions reflected as 50% equity accounted investment Q1-Q3 2017 and fully consolidated from Q4 2017

Depreciation, amortization and impairment

NOK million Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 553 633 624 687 659 729 703 4 523 761 775 649 2 496 6 614
Hydro Energy 47 47 47 48 48 49 49 50 49 66 51 190 196
Hydro Aluminium Metal 605 651 698 711 666 687 674 1 326 682 708 691 2 664 3 353
Hydro Metal Markets 38 39 39 44 42 45 87 194 202 165 160 161 368
Hydro Extrusions 746 767 748 1 036 741 792 779 859 750 772 891 3 297 3 171
Other and Eliminations 32 31 28 30 31 38 34 10 28 29 32 121 113
Total 2 020 2 168 2 185 2 556 2 186 2 340 2 327 6 962 2 472 2 515 2 473 8 929 13 815

Indicative depreciation currency exposure by business area Depreciation by business area 2023, 13.8 BNOK

Percent USD EUR BRL NOK & Other
Hydro Bauxite & Alumina 100%
Hydro Energy 100%
Hydro Aluminium Metal 30% 20% 50%
Hydro Metal Markets 20% 30% 50%
Hydro Extrusions 40% 35% 25%
Other and Eliminations 15% 10% 75%

Operational data

Hydro Bauxite & Alumina Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Alumina production (kmt) 1 519 1 536 1 579 1 559 1 550 1 542 1 522 1 571 1 503 1 492 1 463 6 193 6 185
Sourced alumina (kmt) 741 758 764 593 686 553 692 909 1 080 1 231 1 247 2 856 2 840
Total alumina sales (kmt) 2 251 2 305 2 344 2 220 2 171 2 153 2 229 2 487 2 574 2 722 2 737 9 121 9 040
Realized alumina price (USD) 1) 391 430 364 342 367 373 349 349 366 400 494 382 359
Implied alumina cost (USD) 2) 327 378 337 337 347 336 345 331 337 345 378 345 340
Bauxite production (kmt) 3) 2 638 2 736 2 814 2 824 2 648 2 630 2 848 2 771 2 600 2 730 2 258 11 012 10 897
Sourced bauxite (kmt) 4) 856 1 674 1 220 1 861 1 078 1 100 1 204 2 001 1 200 1 134 1 346 5 611 5 383
Adjusted
EBITDA margin
5)
16.1% 11.9% 7.3% 1.3% 5.3% 9.2% 1.1% 4.8% 7.9% 13.6% 23.8% 9.2% 5.1%
Hydro Energy Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Power production, GWh 2 730 1 602 1 330 2 002 2 610 2 431 2 216 2 440 2 843 1 929 2 197 7 664 9 697
Net spot sales, GWh 986 (433) (703) 511 817 333 24 101 844 (146) 104 361 1 275
Nordic spot electricity price, NOK/MWh 1 090 1 211 1 757 1 414 934 647 949 515 667 408 133 1 370 642
Southern Norway spot electricity price (NO2), NOK/MWh 1 504 1 752 3 519 1 719 1 182 958 664 818 736 519 455 2 128 904
Adjusted
EBITDA
margin 5)
52.5% 33.6% 11.2% 50.8% 21.0% 39.5% 23.1% 30.4% 40.0% 23.8% 26.4% 39.0% 27.2%

1) Weighted average of own production and third-party contracts, excluding hedge results. The majority of the alumina is sold linked to either the LME prices or alumina index with a one-month delay

2) Implied alumina cost (based on EBITDA and sales volume) replaces previous apparent alumina cash cost

3) Paragominas production, on wet basis

4) 40 percent MRN offtake from Vale and 5 percent Hydro share on wet basis

5) Adjusted EBITDA divided by total revenues

Operational data

D
Hydro
Hydro Aluminium Metal 1) Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Realized aluminium price LME, USD/mt 2 662 3 031 2 497 2 246 2 291 2 273 2 146 2 129 2 248 2 377 2 429 2 599 2 218
Realized aluminium price LME, NOK/mt3) 23 542 28 461 24 706 22 813 23 566 24 417 22 456 23 143 23 609 25 526 26 013 24 739 22 995
Realized premium above LME, USD/mt2) 786 870 801 577 503 456 432 348 358 365 421 756 435
Realized premium above LME, NOK/mt2)3) 6 954 8 167 7 920 5 857 5 169 4 894 4 521 3 778 3 758 3 919 4 511 7 197 4 511
Realized NOK/USD exchange rate 3) 8.84 9.39 9.89 10.16 10.29 10.74 10.47 10.87 10.50 10.74 10.71 9.52 10.37
Implied primary cost (USD)
4)
1 550 1 500 1 550 1 650 1 700 1 725 1 750 1 775 1 825 1 850 1 750 1 550 1 750
Implied all-in primary cost (USD) 5) 2 450 2 500 2 350 2 250 2 275 2 250 2 200 2 125 2 225 2 300 2 200 2 375 2 225
Hydro Aluminium Metal production, kmt 540 532 543 522 499 506 512 514 505 507 511 2 137 2 031
Casthouse production, kmt 555 542 547 522 513 519 523 512 519 519 522 2 166 2 067
Total sales, kmt6) 600 581 533 542 559 577 539 541 540 584 531 2 256 2 217
Adjusted
EBITDA margin 8)
43.0% 28.4% 38.8% 36.2% 26.1% 17.7% 12.1% 14.3% 14.9% 18.2% 23.8% 35.1% 18.0%
Hydro Metal Markets Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Remelt production (1 000 mt) 151 158 124 115 132 146 176 166 179 202 170 548 620
Third-party sales (1 000 mt) 72 74 76 81 78 81 92 81 75 87 88 304 331
Hydro Metal Markets
sales excl. ingot trading (1 000 mt) 7)
731 710 635 614 674 691 652 645 622 682 630 2 691 2 662
Hereof external sales excl. ingot trading (1 000 mt) 610 607 536 530 566 590 567 567 540 589 543 2 284 2 290
External revenue (NOK million) 18 472 24 420 18 796 15 132 17 308 19 837 16 716 16 829 16 500 18 591 17 506 76 821 70 690
Hydro Extrusions Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Year 2022 Year 2023
Hydro Extrusions external shipments (1 000 mt) 347 338 301 265 301 293 260 236 266 262 240 1 251 1 090
Hydro Extrusions –
Pro-forma adjusted EBIT
per mt, NOK
4 568 4 740 2 123 636 4 937 4 184 2 107 383 2 593 2 321 63 3 194 3 074

1) Operating and financial information includes Hydro's proportionate share of production and sales volumes in equity accounted investments. Realized prices, premiums and exchange rates exclude equity accounted investments

2) Average realized premium above LME for casthouse sales from Hydro Aluminium Metal

3) Including strategic hedges /hedge accounting applied

4) Realized LME price minus Adjusted EBITDA margin (incl. Qatalum) per mt primary aluminium produced. Includes net earnings from primary casthouses

5) Realized all-in price minus Adjusted EBITDA margin (incl. Qatalum) per mt primary aluminium sold. Includes net earnings from primary casthouses

6) Total sales replaces previous casthouse sales due to change of definition

7) Includes external and internal sales from primary casthouse operations, remelters and third-party Metal sources

8) Adjusted EBITDA divided by total revenues

Hydro Extrusions, information by business area

Precision Tubing Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Year
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Year
2023
Q1
2024
Q2
2024
Q3
2024
Extrusion Europe Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Year
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Year
2023
Q1
2024
Q2
2024
Q3
2024
Volume (kmt) 31 28 30 28 117 31 32 31 29 124 31 31 31 Volume (kmt) 151 144 119 106 520 124 121 99 92 436 108 105 92
Operating revenues (NOKm) 2 091 2 038 2 129 2 020 8 278 2 279 2 429 2 344 2 204 9 256 2 229 2 358 2 309 Operating revenues (NOKm) 9 532 10 147 8 696 7 787 36 162 9 035 8 926 6 864 6 625 31 450 7 281 7 286 6 716
Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm) 184 95 135 50 464 152 185 259 131 727 193 232 196 Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm) 1 035 1 025 669 480 3 209 867 819 327 305 2 318 469 352 52
Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) 82 (3) 35 (51) 63 61 87 161 37 346 96 135 94 Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) 782 767 415 231 2 196 623 564 79 26 1 291 205 80 (271)
Building Systems Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Year
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Year
2023
Q1
2024
Q2
2024
Q3
2024
Extrusion North America Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Year
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Year
2023
Q1
2024
Q2
2024
Q3
2024
Volume (kmt) 24 24 19 18 85 19 19 17 19 75 19 20 17 Volume (kmt) 142 141 134 112 529 126 121 113 95 455 108 106 99
Operating revenues (NOKm) 2 854 3 168 2 657 2 617 11 296 3 056 3 208 2 736 2 938 11 939 2 938 2 997 2 720 Operating revenues (NOKm) 9 096 10 263 9 412 7 750 36 522 8 684 8 304 7 535 6 622 31 146 7 088 7 370 6 982
Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm) 264 287 152 171 873 261 240 170 256 927 270 293 163 Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm) 895 1 042 476 330 2 743 965 813 592 317 2 686 582 571 559
Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) 156 179 43 57 435 149 116 49 126 440 148 168 37 Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) 618 743 196 25 1 582 677 508 288 11 1 484 324 305 252
Other and eliminations
Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm)
Q1
2022
(47)
Q2
2022
(83)
Q3
2022
(47)
Q4
2022
(91)
Year
2022
(268)
Q1
2023
(22)
Q2
2023
(44)
Q3
2023
(26)
Q4
2023
(86)
Year
2023
(178)
Q1
2024
(77)
Q2
2024
(72)
Q3
2024
(90)
Adjusted EBIT (NOKm) (50) (86) (50) (94) (281) (25) (48) (29) (109) (211) (83) (78) (96)

Assumptions behind scenarios in profitability roadmaps

Scenarios are not forecasts, but illustrative earnings, cash flow and return potential based on sensitivities

  • Starting point AEBITDA Q3-23 LTM
  • Cash flow calculated as AEBITDA less EBIT tax and long-term sustaining capex, less lease payments and interest expenses for the Hydro Group
    • Tax rates: 25% for business areas, 40% for Energy, 28% (LTM) for Hydro Group
  • ARoaCE calculated as AEBIT after tax divided by average capital employed
    • Average capital employed assumed to increase with growth capex and return-seeking capex above LT sustaining CAPEX 2024-2026
  • The actual earnings, cash flows and returns will be affected by other factors not included in the scenarios, including, but not limited to:
    • Production volumes, raw material prices, downstream margin developments, premiums, inflation, currency, depreciation, taxes, investments, interest expense, competitors' cost positions, and others
  • External scenario is based on CRU price and premium assumptions and S&P Global FX assumptions, with adjustments as specified in the footnotes

Price and FX assumptions

Assumptions used in 2024 2030
scenarios Q3 2023 LTM forward real Forward
real 2023
Last 5 year
average
CRU / S&P Global
real 2023
LME, USD/mt 2,240 2,240
(deflated by 2.5%)
2,300
(deflated by 2.5%)
2,180 2,560
(deflated by 2.5%)
Realized premium, USD/mt 490 3801) 3801) 430 5704)
(deflated by 2.5%)
PAX, USD/mt 350 320
(deflated by 2.5%)
3402)
(deflated by 2.5%)
330 380
(deflated by 2.5%)
Caustic soda, USD/mt 650 3201) 3201) 430 410
(deflated by 2.5%)
Coal, USD/mt 150 110
(deflated by 2.5%)
1003)
(deflated by 2.5%)
130 1007)
(deflated by 2.5%)
Pitch, EUR/mt 1,260 9701) 9701) 840 9205)
(deflated by 2.5%)
Pet coke, USD/mt 610 4701) 4701) 450 5005)
(deflated by 2.5%)
NO2, NOK/MWh
Nordic system, NOK/MWh
1,150
850
7706)
480
(deflated by 2.5%)
6506)
400
(deflated by 2.5%)
840
620
6507)
4007)
(deflated by 2.5%)
USDNOK
EURNOK
10.41
11.11
10.68
11.77
10.38
12.25
9.28
10.35
8.158)
9.588)
1.478)
BRLNOK 2.06 2.19 2.15 1.93

Next event Capital Markets Day November 27, 2024

For more information see www.hydro.com/ir

Martine Rambøl Hagen Head of Investor Relations

t: +47 91708918 e: [email protected]

Elitsa Blessi Investor Relations Officer

t: +47 91775472 e: [email protected]

Mathias Gautier Investor Relations Officer

t: +47 94861597 e: [email protected]

Kirsten Margrethe Hovi ESG Advisor

t: +47 90524874 e: [email protected]

Camilla Gihle Management Assistant

t: +47 92637820 e: [email protected]

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