Investor Presentation • Nov 27, 2024
Investor Presentation
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London, United Kingdom November 27, 2024

Certain statements included in this announcement contain forward-looking information, including, without limitation, information relating to (a) forecasts, projections and estimates, (b) statements of Hydro management concerning plans, objectives and strategies, such as planned expansions, investments, divestments, curtailments or other projects, (c) targeted production volumes and costs, capacities or rates, start-up costs, cost reductions and profit objectives, (d) various expectations about future developments in Hydro's markets, particularly prices, supply and demand and competition, (e) results of operations, (f) margins, (g) growth rates, (h) risk management, and (i) qualified statements such as "expected", "scheduled", "targeted", "planned", "proposed", "intended" or similar.
Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, these forward-looking statements are based on a number of assumptions and forecasts that, by their nature, involve risk and uncertainty. Various factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from those projected in a forward-looking statement or affect the extent to which a particular projection is realized. Factors that could cause these differences include, but are not limited to: our continued ability to reposition and restructure our upstream and downstream businesses; changes in availability and cost of energy and raw materials; global supply and demand for aluminium and aluminium products; world economic growth, including rates of inflation and industrial production; changes in the relative value of currencies and the value of commodity contracts; trends in Hydro's key markets and competition; and legislative, regulatory and political factors.
No assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Hydro disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Capital Markets Day 2024
Eivind Kallevik President & Chief Executive Officer




HRI2) per million hours worked
12 months rolling average
1) Total Recordable Injuries includes own employees and contractors 2) High Risk Incidents included own employees and contractors 3) Average over period
| Delivering on improvement program and commercial initiatives | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Deliver on Recycling, Extrusions and Renewable growth ambitions | |||
| • Finalize Hydro Rein transaction with Macquarie Asset Management |
|||
| • Executing on Recycling and Extrusions growth projects |
|||
| • NOK 8 billion adjusted EBITDA in Extrusions by 2025 |
|||
| • NOK 3 billion adjusted EBITDA in Recycling by 2025 |
|||
| Execute on decarbonization and technology roadmap | |||
| • Delivering 10% reduction by 2025 |
|||
| • Progressing on 30% reduction by 2030 and net-zero by 2050 |
|||
| Seize opportunities in greener aluminium at premium pricing |
|||
| Achieve 10% adjusted RoaCE over the cycle |
|||
| 2024 shareholder distribution in line with policy |
Bio-methane in casting






Aluminium -A critical raw material for the green transition

Challenging end-markets impacting short-term, but long-term remains

North American extrusion demand volume Indexed 2015 = 100


Source: BNEF Transition Metals Outlook 2024, IEA, CRU
Energy transition related
demand key driver of growth
1) Economic Transition Scenario: Base-case assessment as a result of cost-based technology change towards 2050, does not necessarily assume that climate objectives are met 2) Net Zero Scenario: Evolution of energy sector to achieve net-zero emissions in 2050, showing a plausible global pathway to achieve main goals of Paris Agreement and remain below 2 degrees of planetary warming
The world needs more low-carbon aluminium

By 2030 primary production above 4 tonnes CO2e/tonne Al will grow by ~7 million tonnes, while below 4 tonnes CO2e/ tonne Al will grow by less than 1 million tonnes


Market outreach, customer closeness

Clear roadmap to net-zero established in execution mode

Certified, traceable and lowcarbon aluminium offering

Hydro REDUXA and Hydro CIRCAL in the market

Traceability in own value chain ensures certified, traceable and low-carbon aluminium

The complete aluminium and renewable energy company

Hydro CIRCAL

Sales volumes, tonnes ('000)

• Demonstrating the value of nature through collaboration with Mercedes-Benz on Bauxite Corridor Program
Million tonnes capacity potential


Hydro 2030:

Step up growth investments in Recycling and Extrusions to take lead in the market opportunities emerging from the green transition

Step up ambitions within renewable power generation

Execute on ambitious decarbonization and technology road map, and step up to contribute to nature positive and a just transition

Shape the market for greener aluminium in partnership with customers

Recycling EBITDA potential
PCS capacity


3) Range based on capex. High-range based on ~70% of further potential capex (the NOK 2 billion annually) directed towards recycling. 4) Market normalization assuming historical margins 2013-2021 USD 100 per tonne for existing capacity, new growth assuming USD 200 per tonne, NOK per USD 10.6. Normalized volumes assuming 100% utilization MM and 70% utilization Extrusions. 5) Based on invested capacity which in practice require a certain ramp-up period not considered here, i.e., capturing full invested capacity and not implemented capacity.
Realizing full value from completed investments

• Stepping up improvement efforts through NOK billion automation, operational improvements, procurement, recycling and commercial
Investments to support capabilities and ability to compete through high service levels

14

Secure access to renewable power through hydropower, solar and wind

Strengthening the focus on Hydro's 2030 strategy, addressing challenging market conditions in the batteries and green hydrogen sectors
Pursue profitable projects through JV owned by Hydro and MAM1)

Contributing to secure power for Hydro's portfolio
Battery materials and green hydrogen will no longer be strategic growth areas for Hydro and no further capital will be allocated

Million tonnes CO2e (% of 2018 baseline emissions2))
| 10 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Achieved reductions |
Reduction targets | ||||
| since 2018 | 10% by 2025 | 30% by 2030 | 100% by 2050 | Status | |
| Bauxite & | ~25% | • Fuel switch from heavy fuel oil to natural gas at Alunorte (~434,000 tonnes CO2e reduction at Alunorte3)) |
Completion Q4 2024 |
||
| Alumina | ~9 | • Three x 60MW electrical boilers installed of CO2e reduction at Alunorte3)) . (~248,000 tonnes |
Completion Q4 2024 |
||
| ~20% | • 2030: Potential for additional four electrical boilers to be installed and coal to be substituted with Biomass, achieving a 70% reduction at Alunorte |
Verification ongoing |
|||
| • Renewable PPAs |
Ongoing | ||||
| Casting, recycling, |
~7 | • Smelter process improvements • Casting, recycling, extrusion and other improvements |
Ongoing Ongoing |
||
| extrusions and anode production |
~10% | ~10% | ~10% ~10% |
• Biomethane in casting and anode production (at Sunndal) • Emission-free plasma technology for remelting (at Sunndal) • Green hydrogen in casting (at Høyanger) |
Implementation Pilot testing Pilot testing |
| Electricity generation |
~35% | • Exploring technology to decarbonize calcination in B&A |
Exploring | ||
| (scope 2) | ~35% | ~40% | • CO2 -free PPAs across portfolio |
Continuous | |
| Electrolysis | ~30% | ~35% | ~40% | • Develop HalZero technology with implementation towards 2050 • Develop carbon capture and storage solution to decarbonize existing smelters |
Industrial scale pilots by 2030 |
| process emissions |
• Develop anodes with biomaterial mix • Implement carbon removal to cover any residual emissions 0 |
R&D R&D |
|||
| 2018 baseline |
2025 | 2030 | 2050 |
1) Scope 1 and scope 2. 2) 2018 rebased baseline post-Alunorte transaction as of December 1, 2023 3) Hydro equity share Alunorte. 16


• Developing KPIs for NNL target, review, and advance current rehabilitation methods and support the development of biodiversity offsets "beyond the fence"
• Illvatn pumped storage project to be developed with a NNL biodiversity ambition


• Hydro will significantly reduce its total emissions of SO2 , NOx and dust, supporting Hydro's 2030 target to reduce material non-GHG emissions by 50%
• Hydro will publish its first estimation of non-GHG emissions linked to its electricity consumption in AR2024

Fundament
Strengthening of the human rights' due diligence processes for own operations, value chain and affected communities

Areas of impact
Strengthening local engagement in 2024 by launching the Just Transition program
More than 200,000 people reached with enhanced skills and education since 20181). On track to reach the goal of 500,000 people by 2030
New CEO KPI related to human rights due diligence in the supply chain
Some of the world's most ambitious companies rely on Hydro to future-proof their businesses

Partnership agreement Piloting /Qualification Long-term offtake agreements In production Beyond commercial





Alumina business operating cost curve (2024)

Resource spend Norwegian hydropower players 2023 NOK per MWh


Smelter business operating cost curve
(2024)
USD per tonne Aluminium



17,4

Drive profitability towards 2030
NOK billion



Capital Markets Day 2024
Paul Warton
Executive Vice President, Hydro Extrusions

Lower demand compared to base case for NOK 8 billion target

Extrusion demand estimates (CRU)
('000 tonnes)
Extrusion demand CAGR 2024 - 30


Segment position and margin management as key drivers
Hydro Extrusions realizing solid EBITDA per tonne in weak markets Hydro Extrusions EBITDA per tonne, NOK

Extrusion demand CAGR 2024 - 30




Slower transition to EV growth short-term, long-term potential remains attractive

term business
3.5 – 3.8



Extrusions Europe Partnership program creating value by moving customers "up the sustainability ladder"
Better than average
More and more businesses are starting their sustainability journey. Sooner or later, the use of more sustainable materials will become a topic. As a Hydro partner we can help you to make your products more sustainable.

Frontrunner in the market You are a frontrunner in the market when it comes to sustainability, and this is what you expect from your partners. As a Hydro Innovative Partner we will collaborate as a team and give you our full support to innovate and lead in sustainability.

the market!
Hydro Plus Partner





Greener sourcing and production



Reduce own emissions Help customers realize their sustainability ambitions and positions


Second wind turbine installed in Ghlin, Belgium and exploring opportunities for fuel switch to decarbonize the recycling facility.

Holistic sustainability approach in Trzianka, Poland. Heat pumps and other equipment.

Setting the standard for transparency and documentation in North America with Environmental Product Declarations published.

Hydro and Siemens Mobility to close the loop for aluminium in trains.

Building Systems recycling facility in Atessa, Italy to produce own Hydro CIRCAL recycled aluminium.

Electricity sourcing. More renewable electricity for the sites, both on-site and PPA's. Europe and North America.

Installation of AMR1) sensors across plants in Hydro Extrustions with real-time tracking of energy, water, gas consumption and vibration at machines in plants.


Hydro Extrusions CAPEX agenda – short- and long-term
| Complete | Ramping up | Under execution | Project pipeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hueck M&A |
The Dalles cast (U.S.) | Hungary automotive press | Press replacements |
| Navarra recycling | Nenzing press |
Tønder automotive press |
|
| Sjunnen recycling |
Rackwitz press |
Atessa Recycling |
Automation projects |
| Poland greener press | City of Industry press (U.S.) | ||
| Precision Tubing China | Phoenix press and fabrication | ||
| Automotive press | Cressona recycling and presses (U.S.) | ||
| Hungary recycling – ramp up Q4 2024 |
|||
| • Installing advanced automotive |
• Focus on improving capabilities and productivity
(Albi & Gainesville in progress)
presses meeting medium-term
Atessa to strengthen internal supply
• Hydro CIRCAL production in
demand
• Strong benefits for operational performance with clear savings

Based on cost savings alone
IRR: 20-25%

Automation Example – Fabrication Plant: One AGV1) = 3 FTEs2) saved (~1 year payback) Simple automation of a fabrication machine = 3 FTEs (< 2 years payback)
Complex automation of material flow and process steps (Payback ~4 to 5 years)

Ambitious improvement targets 2030 supported by dedicated value streams
Category Improvement ambition towards 2030 Description Hot metal cost Automation EBS1) / Operational improvements Procurement Commercial ambitions • Reducing labor through automizing key process steps • Improves productivity, quality and safety • Downtime reductions • Labor productivity improvements • Scrap rate and metal improvements • Hydro Extrusions wide initiative covering procurement savings on all categories, including CAPEX • Increase market share in key, dedicated segments through solution offerings and high service level • Greener offerings supporting market share growth • Reduction in hot metal cost in Hydro Extrusions recyclers through using more PCS and less ingot • Improving operational performance & energy efficiency
(2024 baseline, real terms)


Underlying extrusion demand in key regions and segments not sufficient to deliver NOK 8 billion


• Lower recycling and extrusion volumes

Cyclical improvement in extrusions demand and improvement program supporting long-term targets


Capital Markets Day 2024
Hanne Simensen
Executive Vice President, Hydro Aluminium Metal
Solid growth in demand for low-carbon recycled and primary aluminium expected towards 2030 and beyond
In million tonnes


1) Tonnes of CO2e per ton of primary aluminium produced, including full value chain emissions, 2) Hydro and Bain analysis from 2022, 2022-2030 CAGR
3) Does not distinguish between post-consumer scrap and process scrap

Total supply of aluminium with mine to metal emissions below 4 kg CO2e / kg Al is ~8 million tonnes
Cradle-to-gate emissions curve 2023 (tonnes CO2 e per tonneAl)

4

One-stop-shop for high-quality, low-carbon aluminium: Going to market with a combined offering of primary and recycled aluminium, and transparency in the value chain
High-quality aluminium products and alloy development


World class R&D supporting our partners with low-carbon aluminium


| Primary value chain | Characteristic | Primary Production | Recycling | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full market offering |
Bauxite mining Alumina refining Primary smelting |
Operations | • Larger units • Stable raw material value chain • Distance to customers • High productivity • Export based |
• Smaller units • Complex, regional & fragmented raw material value chain • Close to the customer • Flexible • Conversion offering |
| Recycling value chain | Financial | • Sensitive to LME |
• LME neutral • Margin based |
|
| Collection Processing & sorting Melting |
• Cost curve based |
|||
| One offering | • Low-carbon • Greener offering |
• Circular economy with low-carbon • Greener offering |

Capital Markets Day 2024
Hanne Simensen
Executive Vice President, Hydro Aluminium Metal
Strategic priorities to protect and develop the unique position of Hydro's Primary portfolio



1)Fully owned smelters + Albras and Alouette, 2) Q3 2024 last 12 months rolling
CO2 e <4kg1) vs 15.1 kg global average
High share of Value added products


ROACE avg 21-24 2) 23%

| Category | Description | Improvement Program NOK billion |
|---|---|---|
| Creep Organic production increases |
• Maximizing asset utilization at competitive capex levels • Track record of ~100kt since 2014 – up to ~80kt further potential |
Commercial excellence |
| Technology Upgrades to enhance performance |
• Leveraging technology advancements to further enhance performance • Improving energy and raw material efficiency, and CO 2 footprint |
0.8 Procurement |
| Digitalization Leveraging advanced digital technologies |
• Taking operational efficiency to the next level with new technology • Equipping a forward thinking organization |
0,3 improvement program Operational 0,5 |
| Robotics and Automation Optimizing productivity and enhancing safety |
• Protecting workforce by automizing hazardous tasks • Improving productivity, minimizing human error and reducing variability |
improvement program 2030 target |
Pursuing sustainability strategy to differentiate Hydro on climate, nature and social aspects to capitalize on low-carbon market growth





Capital Markets Day 2024
Hanne Simensen
Executive Vice President, Hydro Aluminium Metal

Scrap procurement excellence

Advanced scrap sorting capabilities

Material management and metallurgical expertise

1) Recycling in Metal Markets and Hydro Extrusions, Alumetal included from July 2023. PCS share in 2030 indicative, dependent on the portfolio mix. 2) Simplified example based on the average input mix above conversion for a European recycling plant, irrespective of the conversion share and plant size. Weighted average cost above LME calculated using market references and painted scrap price as a proxy for mixed scrap types. There are large regional and plant differences in scrap composition, usage and pricing.
Extrusion ingot recycling + recycled foundry alloy,

Improving relative cost position
Average metal input cost above LME, depending on PCS share2)
0% PCS 15% PCS 35% PCS

Average EBITDA margin improving over time, high volatility post-covid tracking building & construction demand
MM extrusion ingot recycling EBITDA margin in USD/tonne, indexed to 2013

Increasing focus on circular economy and decarbonization from key stakeholders

Global estimated recovery of post-consumer scrap, mill tonnes

Critical to keep low-grade scrap in Europe/U.S. through regulation, sorting and domestic applications

Scrap generation increasing at higher rates in China vs Europe/ U.S. in line
with the economic maturity curve
PCS generation in key markets, million tonnes and CAGR

2020 2030 2040

Mixed scrap exported to Asia either due to push (limited local use) or pull (higher value) drivers

Strengthening margin robustness and growing through the cycle

Improving recycling margins in weak markets
2
Realizing full value potential from completed investments

Driving profitable growth, positioning for the future


Controlling the controllables – exercising discipline and pushing the boundaries in weak markets


• Azuqueca has demonstrated significant HMC improvements through scrap optimization and complex cross-functional optimization system from daily operations to advanced analytics and technology

Improving relative cost position and strengthening recycling margins through ambitious hot metal cost (HMC) improvements

USD/mt by 20301) average across the recycling portfolio


Progressing on key strategic priorities, positioning for the future

Customer centric approach

Partnership with Brompton bikes on 100R fully recycled aluminium

First commercial sale of CIRCAL in the U.S.

Building Systems developing Circularity
concept (Window-to-Window), collecting end-of-life scrap from customers


started in Alusort JV in the U.S., first
Høyanger recycler to supply RSI1) to the Norwegian primary casthouses

Multi-year agreement with Sims Alumisource to sort PCS scrap to ENA casthouses


Cassopolis advanced casthouse, ongoing qualifications with automotive customers in the U.S.
Szekesfehervar new recycling plant to serve the nearby extrusion plant, mainly towards the automotive market

HyForge Rackwitz with horizontal casting line producing forging stock for automotive applications

On track to realizing synergy potential from the Alumetal acquisition

On track to realize EUR 10-15 million1) in annual EBITDA uplift by 2027
RFA2) –Critical contributor to realizing the recycling strategy

Enabling synergies in the AM portfolio along the identified improvement clusters
Kęty expansion and modernization
Value creation from sorting capacity & capabilities
Low-carbon product development and commercialization
Insourcing aluminium recovery from dross from Hydro recycling plants
Replacing standard ingot with recycled ingot to Norwegian smelters
Other commercial and operational synergies
Progress made on multiple initiatives in 2024 -selected examples

Kety project nearing completion, comissioning expected in Q1'25

Construction in Nowa Sol ongoing, two Hydro HySort machines procured. Comissioning expected in Q2'25

Environmental product Declaration (EPD) in place for recycled foundry alloy aluminium products

~8 kmt of dross from the European recyclers purchased or processed in Alumetal
Recycling post-consumer scrap (PCS) capacity roadmap
Million tonnes PCS

1) Based on invested capacity which in practice require a certain ramp-up period and market support not considered here, i.e. capturing full invested capacity and not implemented capacity.




Torija greenfield Kety upgrade, Alumetal HyForge Henderson Atessa



Luce upgrade Wrexham HySort NowaSol HySort

Navarra recycling +5 kt PCS

Sjunnen recycling +5 kt PCS

HyForge Rackwitz +13 kt PCS

Alumetal transaction +155 kt PCS

Cassopolis greenfield +40 kt PCS



+25 kt PCS



+16 kt PCS

Alusort JV +20 kt sorting capacity

53
Årdal PFA line




+28 kt PCS

NOK billion

1) Using 2024 YTD NOK to USD of 10.6, new/growth capacity using USD 200 per tonne margins. 2) Based on invested capacity which in practice require a certain ramp-up period not considered here, i.e. capturing full invested capacity and not implemented capacity. 3) By 2030, USD 20 per tonne in Extrusions and USD 30 per tonne in AM Recycling, on average across all assets, real 2024 figures 4) Range based on capex. High-range based on ~70% of further potential capex (the NOK 2 billion annually) directed towards recycling.




Capital Markets Day 2024
John Thuestad
Executive Vice President, Hydro Bauxite & Alumina

0 550 750 700 650 600 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 Australia India & SE Asia Americas Europe China Other PAX current: ~USD 730 per tonne PAX YTD 2024: ~USD 460 per tonne


Several initiatives executed to boost robustness and stability, enabling full market advantage

• USD 25 per tonne lower cost from fuel switching, increased productivity

Supporting Hydro's decarbonization target by switching from fuel oil to natural gas conversion and installation of 180 MW of electrical boilers

Tailing safety
In 2024, Hydro will complete a 3rd party audit of GISTM1) to attest conformance of our Bauxite & Alumina assets, delivering on the ICMM2) commitment

• The fuel switch considerably reduces maintenance requirements, thus increasing uptime at Alunorte
• Electrical boiler installation improves productivity and reduces energy waste



Hydro Bauxite & Alumina successfully improved its operations through the entire value chain in 2024



• By actively executing 3 rd party contracts, swaps and trades, B&A Commercial rebuilt its book back to 2023 profitability level from 2025, offsetting the reduced equity offtake as a result of the Alunorte transaction

– a solid starting point



Mine fleet optimization
Increased steam generation with electrical boilers
Bauxite silica control program
Port logistics optimization
Asset availability increase - Advanced

Alunorte will reduce emissions by 70 percent by 2030
Tonnes CO2e per tonne Alumina

CO2e per tonne Alumina (scope 1 and 2)1)


Contributing to Nature Positive and supporting a Just Transition in Brazil



Long-term development program in the Amazon region

Turning bauxite residue from waste to marketable products
Sustainability efforts in alumina production is a key enabler to enhance Hydro's offering of low-carbon aluminium -Achieving this relies on collaboration with customers and industry partners

Capital Markets Day 2024
Kari Ekelund Thørud
Executive Vice President, Hydro Energy
billion USD (2023)

Solar and wind power development in China

Solar and wind power development in the U.S.

Solar and wind power development in the EU

Wind and hydropower interplay is key in the future energy system
Norwegian Power Balance TWh 0 50 100 150 200 250 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040Hydro Onshore wind PV Offshore wind Demand

12 000
Hydro power production

1 400

Norwegian hydropower adds flexibility at lower costs than alternatives, with lower degree of cannibalization
Pumped storage hydropower: Opportunity to shift energy production between hours and seasons
Commercial opportunities analyzing, optimizing and acting on hydropower and onshore wind interplay



Industry leader on cost and operational performance

NOK 200 million in EBITDA improvements – Combination of restructuring and organizational cost

Portfolio positioned for internal sourcing and increased value of flexibility

Shape organization to fit agenda in renewable power generation
Operational improvement program NOK 200 million by 2030 baseline year 2024

Commercial ambition: NOK 200 million by 2030 baseline year 2024
Portfolio of equity power and PPAs


1) Net ~8 TWh captive assumed available for smelters. 2) Albras (51%) 3) Total Alunorte and Paragominas – all consumption sourced through Hydro 69


Røldal-Suldal Illvatn

Wind power projects close to smelters Hydro Rein JV

10 TWh long-term contract portfolio Signficant player in the PPA market




Projects delivered on time, on budget, and with high safety and sustainability standards

Renewable electricity to supply the smelter and fuel switch from natural gas to green hydrogen in recycler

Renewable electricity to support new electric boilers at the alumina refinery

An industry leader on HSE, performance and sustainability
2
1
High performance and profitability ambitions: Energy Classic ROACE > 15% average Hydro Rein JV platform eIRR 10 – 20 % Commercial ambition NOK 550 million
Active sourcing agenda and robust portfolio supporting all BAs. Grow Nordic captive portfolio with new renewable energy projects within hydropower, wind and solar power

Upgrading existing hydropower assets to capture increasing value of flexibility
Continue to develop innovative energy solutions and contribute to decarbonize the aluminium value chain


Capital Markets Day 2024
Trond Olaf Christophersen
Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer


Adjusted net debt (cash)
1) Free cash flow defined as net cash provided by operating activities less net cash used in investing activities, adjusted for purchases of short-term investments, sales of short-term investments and net cash received or paid for short- and long-term collateral.
Sustaining


1) Including share buy back programs 2) 32% repurchased as of 20th of November 3) Hydro group forward scenario 2030 ARoaCE
Drive profitability towards 2030

NOK 4.5 billion delivered through the USD 300 program and "from B to A" NOK 3.0 billion delivered through the better improvement ambition
Initial ambition to deliver NOK 7.3 billion achieved already in 2022
Estimated to deliver NOK 9.9 billion by end of 2024
More focused scope – targeting the key value buckets, will no longer track the tail of smaller improvements

Additional transparency – will give additional insight into the improvements and drivers

Clearer link to bottom-line – link between improvement impact and P&L impact

Three main programs to drive improvements - measurement methodology tailored to each program






NOK ~3 billion annual improvement

Digital enablement

Hydro ambition of NOK ~2.5 billion
Mitigate structural cost pressure, drive efficiency for refinery & mining

Improve operational efficiency



• Advanced Asset Monitoring - Digital Implementation
Main drivers
Key initiatives
Measures procurement efforts to fight inflation, reduce the spend baseline and create value


Bauxite & Alumina procurement Potential enabled by implementation of new digital procurement solutions. Main projects addressing logistics and raw material categories

Aluminium Metal procurement Raw Materials contract optimization and opportunities within Services, relining, waste management and maintenance

Extrusions procurement Invest in resources and competences to lead strategic category management and total cost of ownership
81
NOK ~3 billion commercial potential across portfolio, including remaining potential from the greener uplift ambition
| Greener products |
Increasing uplift from greener products | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| New products offerings |
New aluminium product offerings (HyForge, automotive, etc) and strategic partnerships |
billion | |
| Hydropower flexibility & trading |
Driving increased commercial value from flexibility of hydropower portfolio and deep power market expertise |
NOK ~ 3 |
|
| Commercial alumina portfolio |
Increasing commercial impact from alumina portfolio leveraging strong market capabilities |
||
| Market share |
Increase market share in key segments through solution offerings and high service level |

Market volatility persists into 2025


Strategic modes reflect global megatrends and high-return opportunities

| Safe, compliant and efficient operations The Hydro Way |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Businesses | Bauxite & Alumina | Aluminium Metal | Recycling | Energy | Extrusions |
| Strategic mode | Sustain and improve | Sustain and improve | Growth | Selective growth | Growth |
| Towards 2030 | Strengthen reliability, improve sustainability footprint, improve cost position |
Robustness and greener, increase product flexibility, improve cost position |
Substantial shift in conversion of post consumer scrap |
Growth in renewable power |
Optimizing and renewing capacity and capabilities |
Sustaining capex has peaked and will start to normalize


1) Based on November 2024 forward rates
2) Growth and return seeking investments distribution for 2025-2027
3) Including Hydropower investments
Investing EUR 180 million in next generation extrusion ingot casthouse in strategic Iberian market

• Fixed costs synergies and optimization possibilities with Azuqueca in the Iberian portfolio

1) Using average assumed margins across the cycle. 2) «Standard remelter» modeled as a 70 kmt plant with standard casthouse equipments and product mix (i.e. no greener or automotive/ advanced product capabilities). Raw material input consisting mostly of standard ingot, conversion and clean market scrap with some furnace-ready PCS.
Hydro's largest prioritized investment areas combine sustainability and profitability
Several large recycling projects completed or near execution:
Targeting 850 -1200 ktonnes PCS consumption uplift by 2030
Substantial decarbonization investments in B&A with positive business cases:
Bauxite and Alumina
excecution: ~700 000 tonnes per year
reductions under
CO2
IRR: 20%+
Technology roadmaps in Aluminium Metal to produce net-zero carbon primary metal
HalZero: Investment decision taken on Stage 2 facility ✓ CCS: Progressing towards first carbon capture
Creating a pathway to net-zero carbon primary aluminium
R&D
Other
Combining profitability with sustainability improvement

LTM Q3 2023



Higher upstream prices driving Net Operating Capital build up in 2025

Strong ambitions to reduce inventory levels and further improve Net Operating Capital days in 2025
Targeted stock reductions expected to have a positive impact on Net Operating Capital of NOK ~0.5 billion in 2025
Focused efforts on optimizing and reducing inventory levels have resulted in a significant reduction in Net Operating Capital days since 2023
Main drivers: Improvement efforts, growth and market development

1) Cash flow calculated as EBITDA + tax + long-term sustaining CAPEX + other (lease payments, interest expenses) Assumptions and sources behind the scenarios can be found in Additional information
Sources: External scenario is based on CRU price and premium assumptions and S&P Global FX assumptions, with adjustments as specified in the footnotes Note: Refers to consolidated EBITDA and cash flow impact
Main drivers: Fuel switch, commercial differentiation and market development

Cash flow potential after sustaining CAPEX1) 2030 NOK billion

CF @ last 5 year average CF @ external real '24
real '242)
1) Cash flow calculated as EBITDA + tax + long-term sustaining CAPEX. 2) 17% of LME forward price deflated by 2.5%. Assumptions and sources behind the scenarios can be found in Additional information
Sources: External scenario is based on CRU price and premium assumptions and S&P Global FX assumptions, with adjustments as specified in the footnotes Note: Refers to consolidated EBITDA and cash flow impact
Main drivers: Improvement efforts, commercial differentiation and market development

1) Cash flow calculated as EBITDA + tax + long-term sustaining CAPEX
Assumptions and sources behind the scenarios can be found in Additional information
Sources: External scenario is based on CRU price and premium assumptions and S&P Global FX assumptions, with adjustments as specified in the footnotes
Main drivers: Recycling growth, commercial differentiation and market development

Main drivers: Improvement program and commercial ambition

Main drivers: Net spot sales volume and market development

Integration brings resilient financial results, broader access to attractive growth and superior customer offering
Hydro quarterly AEBITDA per BA (indexed per BA – Q1 2018 = 100) Enabling financial resilience…… 1)

Resilience in financial results in spite of volatility in business cycles and performance of individual business areas
Capital allocation directed towards the most attractive opportunities across value chain at any given time and ability to stage according to market needs
Preferred and trusted supplier and sustainability partner on the way to net-zero
Integrated value chain enables traceability "under one roof" in unique customer offering
Partnerships with customers along the value chain unlock innovative business opportunities driven by green transition
Share buybacks ongoing, approximately 32% of the program repurchased as of November 20, 2024
1) Based on share price at year end


• Investment grade credit rating
• Aiming for competitive returns to shareholders aligned with dividend policy and capital structure targets
• 85% of growth & return seeking capex allocated to strategic growth areas 2024 -27


Accelerating growth, value creation and sustainability – Supported by resilient financial framework driving long-term shareholder value

New improvement program Executing on Recycling, Extrusions and renewable growth ambitions
• Recycling and Extrusions executions towards 2030 ambitions strengthened by improvements, market recovery expected

Progressing on pathway to net-zero


Capital discipline and focused growth guiding capital allocation

Shaping the market for greener in partnership with customers

Aiming for competitive returns to shareholders

Capital Markets Day 2024

Note that the information on this page is based on forward looking information from current point in time and changes might occur during the coming quarter
Flat raw material cost
Lower sales margins
Continued soft extrusions markets
~71% of primary production for Q4 2024 priced at USD 2 445 per mt.
Positive effect of alumina hedge of approximately NOK 300 million QoQ Extrusions Energy
Seasonally lower volumes and continued margin pressure in the recyclers
Guidance for YE Commercial Adjusted EBITDA excl. currency and inventory of NOK 700 - 900 million
Stable production





Indication of current market prices Fuel Oil A1 (indexed) Henry Hub Natural Gas Spot Price (indexed)
NO2 (indexed)

Steam coal (indexed) Q3-20 Q4-20 Q1-21 Q2-21 Q3-21 Q4-21 Q1-22 Q2-22 Q3-22 Q4-22 Q1-23 Q2-23 Q3-23 Q4-23 Q1-24 Q2-24 Q3-24
460 kt aluminium hedged at ~2,600 USD/t




NOK million



• Realized alumina price lags PAX by one month
Annual adjusted sensitivities based on normal annual business volumes. LME 2,300 USD/mt, realized premium 370 USD/mt, PAX 400 USD/mt, petroleum coke 400 USD/mt, pitch 900 EUR/mt, caustic soda 390 USD/mt, coal 90 USD/mt, gas (Henry Hub) 2.34 USD/MMBtu, USDNOK 10.72, BRLNOK 2.08, EURNOK 11.60 2025 Platts alumina index (PAX) exposure used Note: Refers to consolidated EBITDA impact


Annual adjusted sensitivities based on normal annual business volumes. LME 2,300 USD/mt, realized premium 370 USD/mt, PAX 400 USD/mt, petroleum coke 400 USD/mt, pitch 900 EUR/mt, caustic soda 390 USD/mt, coal 90 USD/mt, gas (Henry Hub) 2.34 USD/MMBtu, USDNOK 10.72, BRLNOK 2.08, EURNOK 11.60 Note: Refers to consolidated EBITDA impact


The estimates for the different currencies exposures for capex are based on the 2025-2027 allocation guidance.
The annual sensitivity estimates are based on the 2025 allocation guidance of NOK 15 billion
There is possible underlying FX exposure in the Norwegian smelters for the EUR and for the USD
3) Based on 25-27 allocation

Scenarios are not forecasts, but illustrative earnings, cash flow and return potential based on sensitivities
| Q3 2024 LTM | 2025 | 2030 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assumptions used in scenarios |
Forward real 2024 |
Last 5 year average |
CRU / S&P Global real 2024 |
Forward real 2024 |
Last 5 year average |
CRU / S&P Global real 2024 |
|
| LME, USD/mt | 2,300 | 2,550 (deflated by 2.5%) |
2,260 | 2,520 (deflated by 2.5%) |
2,370 (deflated by 2.5%) |
2,260 | 2,690 (deflated by 2.5%) |
| Realized premium, USD/mt | 370 | 4201) | 430 | 4304) (deflated by 2.5%) |
4201) | 430 | 5704) (deflated by 2.5%) |
| PAX, USD/mt | 400 | 4402) (deflated by 2.5%) |
340 | 390 (deflated by 2.5%) |
4002) (deflated by 2.5%) |
340 | 360 (deflated by 2.5%) |
| Gas, USD/MMBtu | 2.34 | 3.17 (deflated by 2.5%) |
3.46 | 3.15 (deflated by 2.5%) |
2.96 (deflated by 2.5%) |
3.46 | 3.25 (deflated by 2.5%) |
| Caustic soda, USD/mt | 390 | 3701) | 430 | 420 (deflated by 2.5%) |
3701) | 430 | 420 (deflated by 2.5%) |
| Coal, USD/mt | 90 | 120 (deflated by 2.5%) |
140 | 150 (deflated by 2.5%) |
1203) (deflated by 2.5%) |
140 | 130 (deflated by 2.5%) |
| Pitch, EUR/mt | 900 | 8501) | 870 | 9705) (deflated by 2.5%) |
8501) | 870 | 1,0405) (deflated by 2.5%) |
| Pet coke, USD/mt | 400 | 3301) | 450 | 4905) (deflated by 2.5%) |
3301) | 450 | 5305) (deflated by 2.5%) |
| NO2, NOK/MWh Nordic system, NOK/MWh |
630 500 |
5806) 450 (deflated by 2.5%) |
900 650 |
5807) 4507) (deflated by 2.5%) |
6406) 520 (deflated by 2.5%) |
900 650 |
6407) 5207) (deflated by 2.5%) |
| USDNOK EURNOK BRLNOK |
10.72 11.60 2.08 |
11.00 12.06 1.91 |
9.69 10.73 1.90 |
10.328) 11.438) 1.928) |
10.91 12.87 1.91 |
9.69 10.73 1.90 |
8.588) 10.108) 1.568) |
1) Spot price 2) 17% of LME forward price deflated by 2.5%. 3) 2026 nominal forward price deflated by 2.5% 4) Realized premium based on CRU standard ingot premium 5) Historic average % of LME, using CRU LME price deflated by 2.5% 6) Based on Nordic system forward price and constant NO2-Nordic system area price difference 7) Based on price from forward case 8) Based on S&P Global Source: Republished under license from CRU International Ltd. and S&P Global
For more information see www.hydro.com/ir

Martine Rambøl Hagen Head of Investor Relations
t: +47 91708918 e: [email protected]

Elitsa Blessi Investor Relations Officer t: +47 91775472 e: [email protected]



Camilla Gihle Management Assistant
t: +47 92637820 e: [email protected]

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