Quarterly Presentation Q4 2020 February 4, 2021
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This presentation was prepared in connection with the Q4 results released on February 4, 2021. Information contained herein will not be updated. The following slides should also be read and considered in connection with the information given orally during the presentation.
Accelerating growth through 2020
Strong demand across all end-user markets
| Revenue |
|
Gross margin |
|
|
|
USDm 127.1 |
|
|
52.7% |
|
|
+52.9% y-o-y |
+6.5% q-o-q |
+1.1%p y-o-y |
-1.4%p q-o-q |
|
|
- Bluetooth revenue USD 97.6m (+49%)
- Proprietary revenue USD 25.3m (+55%)
- Cellular IoT revenue USD 2.7m
- Gross margin of 52.7%
- Continued high volumes of advanced high-margin SoCs
Order backlog at new and higher level
Backlog (USDm)
- Order backlog of USD 492m, +361% y-o-y
- Bluetooth Low Energy and multiprotocol solutions account for 84%
- Shift in customer mix with several major tier-1s placing high-volume orders
- Technology shifts and accelerated technology adoption for tier-1s
- Order inflow boosted by customers placing early orders
- Order backlog stretching out through 2021
Fortifying the broad market leadership
Continued high certification market share
Developer kit shipments continue to grow
Kit shipments
Total kit shipments +9% in 2020
High installed base of reusable kits
Shipped >50K kits in H2 2020
Significant contribution from nRF52840 development kits
Cellular IoT accounting for ~12% of kit shipments
New product launches in Q4
Multiprotocol SoCs enabling smart homes
- Eve Systems launching the first smart home products to take advantage of Apple HomeKit's new Thread functionality
- New 'Eve Thermo' is powered by Nordic's nRF52840 SoC, which supports both Bluetooth 5, Thread and Zigbee
Nordic inside COVID-19 home tester
- Nordic's nRF52810 Bluetooth LE SoC powers new COVID-19 Home Test kit from Ellume
- Authorized by the FDA under an emergency use authorization, easy-to-use 15 minutes test for SARS-CoV-2 infection
- Automatically transmitting results via Smartphone to secure cloud connection
- Available over-the-counter
- Ellume expects demand in tens of millions
nRF5340 in volume production Taking IoT to the next level
"Laird sees Nordic as the premier Bluetooth LE SoC vendor and the nRF5340 is pushing that envelope even further,"
- Jonathan Kaye, Laird Connectivity"
- The world's first dual Arm Cortex-M33 wireless SoC
- High performance high efficiency no trade-offs
- Advanced features and security required for highly complex IoT applications
- LE Audio
- Advanced wearables
- Professional lighting
- Chosen by Laird Connectivity for new module for demanding IoT applications
Cellular IoT progressing
Regulatory certifications overview for nRF9160:
Carrier certifications for AT&T Bell Canada KDDI Softbank LGU+
- Strong APAC carrier coverage with three new major certifications in Q4:
- KDDI (Japan)
- Softbank (Japan)
- LGU+ (S. Korea)
- New IoT solution designs and partners help scale our business
- Introduced unique cellular power measurement tools with the Power Profiler Kit II
Nordic expands global cellular IoT coverage Partnering with Arkessa to provide global LTE-M/NB-IoT service
"Arkessa is delighted to partner with Nordic to give their customers access to our global footprints for both NB-IoT and LTE-M - Andrew Orrock, Arkessa
- Leader in virtual SIM (eSim/eUICC)
- Eliminates need for Nordic customers to negotiate IoT data contracts with individual carriers
- Extensive European and global LTE-M/NB-IoT coverage
- Arkessa will offer technical support and access for connectivity testing and evaluation
nRF9160 in Ericsson/Sigma reference design Enabling rapid IoT development for industrial customers
Ericsson & Sigma Connectivity nRF9160 + nRF52840 'ARDESCO' reference design
- Ericsson and Sigma chose nRF9160 and nRF52840 for joint 'ARDESCO' reference design
- Integrates accelerometer and temperature, humidity, air quality, air pressure and light sensors
- Suitable for broad range of cellular IoT product verticals, including logistics, environmental monitoring, metering and asset tracking
- Supports Ericsson's 'IoT Accelerator' suite, providing Cloud-based connectivity and device management out-of-the-box
nRF9160 in new modules & turn-key products Enabling rapid IoT development for industrial customers
- Avnet Asia integrating nRF9160 and nRF52840 for the smallest available module combining LTE-M/NB-IoT, Bluetooth and GPS
- Braveridge in Japan using nRF9160 for new 'Sonicboard' development kit
- Dutch SODAQ using nRF9160 in turn-key solutions for miniaturized asset trackers, including solar-powered battery-less version
- Light sensor, accelerometer, temperature sensor and status LEDs with GPS, Wi-Fi and cellular -powered by 0.5W solar panel
Wi-Fi to complete the connectivity portfolio
- Wi-Fi development team with 80 people + IP tech assets/patents across Wi-Fi 4/5/6
- Nordic positioned to create first platform unifying low-power Bluetooth, Wi-Fi and cellular IoT
- Significant expansion of the addressable market
Securing the 'missing link' in the connectivity portfolio
Financials Pål Elstad, CFO
Revenue growth of 53% in Q4
- Growth in all technologies in Q4…
- Bluetooth accounting for 77% total revenue, after increasing 49% y-o-y to USD 97.6 million
- Proprietary +55% to USD 25.3 million
- Cellular IoT USD 2.7 million (USD 0.2 million)
- …and for the full year 2020
- Bluetooth +43% to USD 316.0 million
- Proprietary +27% to USD 76.1 million
- Cellular IoT +524% to USD 6.5 million
Revenue growth in all markets
| Group |
Consumer Electronics |
Wearables |
Building/ Retail |
Healthcare |
Others |
| USDm |
USDm |
USDm |
USDm |
USDm |
USDm |
| 127.1 |
53.7 |
18.1 |
27.0 |
10.6 |
13.5 |
| +52.9% |
+59.0% |
+12.3% |
+62.3% |
+113.2% |
+30.3% |
| +6.5% |
-3.0% |
-6.7% |
+17.8% |
+36.0% |
+26.6% |
| y-o-y |
y-o-y |
y-o-y |
y-o-y |
y-o-y |
y-o-y |
| q-o-q |
q-o-q |
q-o-q |
q-o-q |
q-o-q |
q-o-q |
- Year-on-year growth across the markets
- Strong but seasonally slower for Consumer Electronics and Wearables
- Building/Retail, Healthcare and modules securing growth from Q3 to Q4
Gross margin remaining at high level
Gross margin (%)
Gross margin at 52.7%
- Continued favorable product mix, with high share of complex high value SoCs
- Decline from reported Q3-margin, as Q3 was supported by USD 2 million (1.7 pp) in reversal of cost of goods from the previous quarter
- Gross margin expected at 50-51 % in Q1 2021
- Reiterating medium-term gross margin range of 48%-50% for the short-range business
Operating model performance Q4 2020
Gross margin 52.7% |
|
Q4 2020 |
Q4 2019 |
|
|
R&D short |
Revenue |
USD 127.1m |
USD 83.1m |
+52.9% |
Growth in all technologies and markets |
range 13.7% R&D |
Gross margin |
52.7% USD 67.0m |
51.6% USD 42.9m |
+1.1pp |
Product mix and unit costs |
cellular IoT 7.9% |
R&D short-range |
13.7% USD 17.4m |
14.4% USD 12.0m |
-0.7pp |
Continued investment growth but high operational leverage |
SG&A 10.0% |
R&D cellular IoT |
7.9% USD 10.1m |
9.1% USD 7.6m |
-1.2pp |
Continued investment growth but high operational leverage |
EBITDA 21.1% |
SG&A |
10.0% USD 12.7m |
13.4% USD 11.1m |
-3.4pp |
Continued growth in no. of employees but high operation leverage |
|
EBITDA |
21.1% USD 26.9m |
14.7% USD 12.2m |
+6.5pp |
High operational leverage, solid cost control |
Cash operating expenses
Cash cost increase of 23%, mainly due to increased number of employees and bonus accruals
Salary:
Number of employees increased by 17% to 897** over the past last 12 months
Other Opex:
- Varies with pace of product introductions
- Sharp focus on cost containment
- Reduced travelling in 2020
Cash OPEX* (USDm)
Other Opex Salary
• ** Excluding 81 employees included from Wi-Fi business acquired December 31, 2020 21
• Operating expenses, excl. capitalized R&D, depreciation and amortization and option expenses
Year-on-year EBITDA improvement
EBITDA (USDm) and margin (%), quarterly EBITDA (USDm) and margin (%), LTM
Capex development
Capex (USDm)
- Capex of USD 5.4 million in Q4, mainly delivery of new manufacturing testers
- 2020 Capex intensity of 4% of revenue, down from 7% in 2019
- Expect 2021 Capex intensity level similar to 2020 level
Continued strong cash position
Cash position and Cash Flow Q4 2020 (USDm)
Operating cash flow of USD 51.0m
NWC/Revenue LTM at 19.4%, compared to 24.3% at end of 2019
Continued disciplined cash strategy
Tight cash management and optimized cash conversion
Strengthened cash balance
Cash balance at ~2.7x last 12 months R&Dspend, up from ~1.4x at end of 2019
2020 Cashflow
USD 40m generated in 2020 from operations, excluding capex/intangibles
Summary and Outlook Svenn-Tore Larsen, CEO
Nordic is on a long-lasting growth journey
Proprietary/ASICs Bluetooth LE
A strong and resilient operating model
engagement model
Bluetooth acceleration + proprietary revival
- Bluetooth +43% in 2020
- Well above the indicated mid-term 20%-30% growth range
- CAGR of 19%-29% over the past 5-6 years*
- Proprietary revenue +27% in 2020
- Solid demand from major customers
- Significantly better than expected
Bluetooth LE
Proprietary/ASICs
Demand shift supports long-term growth plan
Backlog (USDm)
Solid market position
- Market leader in Bluetooth
- Positioned to take lead in cellular IoT
- Complementing portfolio with Wi-Fi
- Accelerating demand growth through 2020
- Medium- and long-term drivers in place to support the ambitious growth strategy
Supply temporarily limits the upside in 2021
- Nordic had ordered wafer volumes allowing for significant growth also in 2021
- Nordic has now been notified of limitations in wafer supply, with current allocation allowing for minimum 25% increase in production volumes in 2021
- Backlog and wafer allocation allow for Q1 2021 revenue guiding of USD 130-140 million
- Largest impact of wafer shortage expected in Q2 2021; higher volumes expected in H2 2021
- Semiconductor Fabs are stepping up investments
Expect strong Q1 in challenging supply environment
Q1 2021 guidance
| Revenue |
Gross margin |
|
USDm 130-140 |
~50%-51% |
|
+85% - 100% +2% - 10% y-o-y q-o-q |
|
|
- Risks and uncertainties remain
-
- Faster technology adoption strengthens long-term growth potential
- Supply capacity temporarily curtails production
- Higher share of lower-margin SoCs in Q1 2021 deliveries
- Reiterating medium-term gross margin range of 48%-50% for the short-range business