Quarterly Report • Aug 13, 2021
Quarterly Report
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H1 2021 Results

This presentation has been prepared by Nova Ljubljanska banka d.d., Ljubljana (the "Company"). This presentation has been prepared solely for the purpose of informative presentation of the business conduct of the Company. This presentation has not been approved by any regulatory authority and does not constitute or form part of any offer to sell or issue or invitation to purchase, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase, any securities of the Company, nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision.
This presentation should not be considered as a recommendation that any recipient of this presentation should purchase or sell any of the Companies financial instruments or groups of financial instruments or assets. This presentation does not include all necessary information, which should be considered by the recipient of this presentation when making a decision on purchasing any of the the Companies financial instruments or assets. Each recipient of this presentation contemplating purchasing any of the Companies financial instruments or assets should make its own independent investigation of the financial condition and affairs, and its own appraisal of the Companies creditworthiness. Any corporate body or natural person interested in investing into Companies financial instruments or assets should consult well-qualified professional financial experts and thus obtain additional information. The information and opinions contained in this presentation are provided as at the date of the presentation and are subject to change. No reliance may or should be placed by any person for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation, or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness.
The presentation has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of their respective parent or subsidiary undertakings or associated companies, or any of such person's respective directors, officers, employees, agents, affiliates or advisers, as to, and no reliance should be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the truth, fullness, accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation or any other information relating to the Company, its subsidiary undertakings or, associated companies or affiliates, whether written, oral or in a visual or electronic form, and howsoever transmitted or made available and no responsibility or liability whatsoever is assumed by any such persons for any such information or opinions or for any errors or omissions or for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith. The information in this presentation is subject to correction, completion and change without notice..
This presentation does not purport to contain all information that may be required to evaluate the Company. In giving this presentation, none of the Company or any of their respective parent or subsidiary undertakings or associated companies, or any of such person's respective directors, officers, employees, agents, affiliates or advisers, or any other party undertakes or is under any obligation to amend, correct or update this presentation or to provide the recipient with access to any additional information that may arise in connection with it. None of the foregoing persons accepts any responsibility whatsoever for the contents of this presentation, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by any such person in relation to the contents of this presentation. To the fullest extent permissible by law, such persons disclaim all and any responsibility or liability, whether arising in tort, contract or otherwise, which they might otherwise have in respect of this presentation. Recipients should not construe the contents of this presentation as legal, tax, regulatory, financial or accounting advice and are urged to consult with their own advisers in relation to such matters.
To the extent available, the industry, market and competitive position data contained in this presentation come from official or third party sources. Third industry publications, studies and surveys generally state that the data contained therein have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but that there is no guarantee of the accuracy or completeness of such data. While the Company reasonably believes that each of these publications, studies and surveys has been prepared by a reputable source, the Company have not independently verified the data contained therein. In addition, certain of the industry, market and competitive position data contained in this presentation come from the Company's own internal research and estimates based on the knowledge and experience of the Company's management in the markets in which the Company operates. While the Company reasonably believes that such research and estimates are reasonable and reliable, they, and their underlying methodology and assumptions, have not been verified by any independent source for accuracy or completeness and are subject to change. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on any of the industry, market or competitive position data contained in this presentation.
This presentation may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose, without the prior, written consent of the Company. The manner of distributing this presentation may be restricted by law or regulation in certain countries, including (but not limited to) the United States, Canada, Australia or Japan. Persons into whose possession this presentation may come are required to inform themselves about and to observe such restrictions. By accepting this presentation, a recipient hereof agrees to be bound by the foregoing limitations. NLB is regulated by The Bank of Slovenia i.e. "Banka Slovenije, Slovenska 35, 1505 Ljubljana, Slovenia" and by The Securities Market Agency i.e. "Agencija za trg vrednostnih papirjev, Poljanski nasip 6, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia.




Net interest income (Group, EURm)

Net non-interest income (Group, EURm)
KB contribution





1.0
1.5
2.0 2.5 3.0
0.0 0.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
3.5
Strong underlying results backed by contribution from KB, F&C income and loan loss releases

In 1-6 2021, NLB Group generated EUR 139.8 million of profit after tax, EUR 66.1 million higher YoY, o/w EUR 8.0 million from KB. Main reasons for increase are contribution from KB and release of impairments and provisions in the amount of EUR 19.0 million, mostly due to repayment of several exposures, changes in the credit ratings, and changed parameters for forming collective impairments and provisions related to more favourable macroeconomic forecasts.

Result before impairments and provisions (Group, EURm) Contribution to the NLB Group consolidated result a.t. (EURm)
NLB 3% 42% 55% 1% Core foreign banks Other core members(1) Non-core members
Regulatory costs
Result before impairments and provisions EUR 79.1 million, EUR 21.4 million higher YoY, EUR 4.3 million without KB contribution, as a result of:


| Slovenia | North Macedonia |
Bosnia and Herzegovina |
Kosovo Montenegro |
Serbia | NLB Group | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NLB, Ljubljana | NLB Banka, Skopje |
NLB Banka, Banja Luka |
KB, Banja Luka |
NLB Banka, Sarajevo |
NLB Banka, Prishtina |
NLB Banka, Podgorica |
KB, Podgorica | NLB Banka, Beograd |
KB, Beograd | ||
| Data on stand-alone | basis | Consolidated data* |
|||||||||
| Result after tax (EURm) |
77.1 | 22.5 | 9.9 | 0.1 | 4.4 | 12.4 | 6.9 | -1.0 | 4.2 | 11.9 | 139.8 |
| Total assets (EURm) | 12,331 | 1,656 | 886 | 272 | 657 | 917 | 556 | 155 | 717 | 4,089 | 21,187 |
| RoE a.t. |
10.4% | 18.7% | 19.1% | 0.7% | 9.6% | 23.7% | 19.5% | -9.4% | 11.1% | 3.8% | 13.8% |
| margin(1) Net interest |
1.34% | 3.11% | 2.47% | 2.38% | 2.88% | 3.75% | 4.11% | 4.40% | 3.37% | 3.36% | 2.09% |
| CIR (cost/income ratio) |
58.4% | 43.1% | 44.8% | 81.6% | 56.4% | 33.3% | 55.2% | 80.1% | 74.1% | 70.1% | 59.1% |
| LTD net | 51.6% | 75.2% | 64.0% | 75.8% | 80.6% | 76.2% | 86.8% | 82.5% | 112.8% | 50.1% | 58.7% |
| NPL ratio | 2.1% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% |
| NLB ownership (%) |
/ | 87.0% | 99.85% | 0.002%(9) | 97.3% | 81.2% | 99.8% | (8) | 100% | 88.3% | / |
| Branches (#) |
79 | 50 | 47 | 19 | 36 | 34 | 19 | 10 | 28 | 200 | 293(7) |
| Active clients (#) |
669,524 | 409,856 | 217,046 | 47,260 | 128,696 | 217,605 | 67,742 | 27,700 | 145,870 | 1,031,567 | 1,856,339(7) |
| Market share by total asssets (%) |
25.9% | 16.7%(4) | 19.1% (2,4) | 5.5%(2,4) | 5.1% (3, 4) | 17.3% | 11.7%(5) | 3.2% | 1.7%(4) | 10.0%(6) | / |

Note: Financial data as of June 2021.
*Consolidated data. Including non-core members and other activities and other core members.
(1)Calculated on the basis of interest bearing assets; (2) Market share in the Republic of Srpska; (3) Market share in the Federation of BiH; (4) Data for market share as of 31 Mar 2021; (5) Data for market share as of 31 May 2021; (6) Preliminary data; (7) Total number of branches and active clients for the Group do not include data for Komercijalna Banka group banks due to different definitions; (8) KB, Podgorica is not owned directly by NLB d.d., but indirectly (by KB, Beograd - in 100%); (9) KB, Banja Luka is only 0.002% owned directly by NLB d.d. and 99.998% by KB, Beograd.


Stable NII and NIM despite low rates and increased liquidity, while operational business margin is increasing

Same level of interest income YoY and increase QoQ based predominately on strong loan growth.
Quarterly NIM at 2.08%, while operational business margin shows signs of a pick-up, based on strong fee and commission income trends.

Net interest income of NLB Group (in EURm) Net interest margin, quarterly (in %)
Operational business margin, quarterly (in %)


Non-recurring net non-interest income:
One off regulatory charges (EUR 2.0 million for SRF and EUR 7.5 million for DGS).
Net fee and commission income (in EURm)

Strong income generation from basic accounts (attributable also to high deposit fees).
Higher net fees from asset management and bankassurance: EUR 4.2 million increase YoY.
Higher net fees from card business (easing of COVID-19 restrictions).
Arrangement fees for organization of syndicated loans.
Cost optimization plans on track with further reduction of number of employees and branch network

Impairments and provisions (in EURm)
Skopje
Banja Luka
Sarajevo

Note: (1) Credit impairments and provisions are used for calculation of CoR and represent major part of impairments and provisions for credit risk (include also credit impairmants and provisions for other financial assets);
Beograd
Podgorica
Prishtina

Credit portfolio by segment (1) (Group, 30 Jun 2021)

Banking book portfolio by asset class (1) (Group, 30 Jun 2021)

Notes: (1) Including data for Komercijalna banka.
Gross loans to customers by strategic member – contribution (EURm)

Strong gross loan growth in most bank members.


Deposits accounting for 81% of funding (Group, EURm) Deposit split (Group, EURm)

▪ Due to low interest rates, sight deposits prevailing


NLB NLB Group SEE banks w/o KB KB banks
Deposits increased overall in the Group, despite low interest rate environment. Decrease was recorded only in NLB Banka, Beograd.
NLB charges fee on deposits volume to both corporate and individual customers.

The Overall Capital Requirement (OCR) is 14.25% for the Bank on a consolidated basis, consisting of:
Pillar 2 Guidance is set at 1.00%.
As at 30 June 2021, the CET1 ratio stood at 14.7% (0.6 p.p. YtD increase) and the Total capital ratio for the Group stood at 17.0%, 0.4 p.p. Increase in capital mainly due to inclusion of Negative Goodwill (EUR 137.9 million) in retained earnings.
TCR evolution YtD ECB 2021 stress testing: in adverse scenario NLB Group ranked between 6-22 place (based on disclosed ranges) from 51 mid-sized banks tested by ECB. Under adverse scenario, CET1 ratio (fully loaded) would fall by maximum 483 bps (published range 300-599 bps) after three years without mitigation measures from the year-end 2020. The average fall of 51 medium sized banks tested by ECB was 680 bps.


RWA for credit risk increased EUR 372.5 million YtD: new production of retail and corporate loans and with investments in selected Tier 2 instruments.
As a result of RWA optimization actions some subsidiaries shifted part of their liquid assets from the central governments or CB to low risk weighted commercial banks (the largest RWA decrease is observed at Komercijalna Banka Beograd).
The decrease in RWA for market risks and credit value adjustments (CVA) (EUR 37.9 million) is mainly the result of decreased TDI risk in the amount of EUR 79.4 million (a consequence of closing position of Traded debt instruments in Komercijalna Banka Beograd). RWA on FX risk increased by EUR 41.1 million mainly to more open positions in domestic currencies of non-euro subsidiary banks.


Vast majority of moratoria already expired, out of which only 2% show delays of more than 90 days
% of DPD in total expired moratoria

Credit portfolio(1) by currency and interest rate type (Group, 30 Jun 2021)

Favourable structure of credit portfolio by client credit ratings (Group)(2)

Lending strategy focuses primarily on its core markets of retail, SME and selected corporate business activities Great emphasis is also placed on active monitoring of credit portfolio for early detection of possible credit deterioration: • Early warning system for detecting increased credit risk • Close monitoring of clients with COVID-19 moratoria • Intensive and proactive handling of problematic customers • Cautious lending policy • The Group is actively present on the market, financing existing and new creditworthy clients.
Note: (1) Credit portfolio also includes advances to banks and central banks; (2) Rating A, B and C are performing exposures. Rating A: investment grade clients with high financial stability; Rating B: clients with high ability to repay their obligations, a significant aggravation of the economic environment would cause problems to them; Rating C: performing clients with increased level of risk who may encounter problems with settlement of liabilities in the future; Ration D and E are NPLs: Default clients (article 178 of CRR), including clients in delay >90days and other clients considered 'unlikely to pay' with delays below 90 days. Numbers may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

Credit portfolio(1) by geography (Group, 30 Jun 2021, EURm)

Note: (1) Credit portfolio also includes advances to banks and central banks; (2) State includes exposures to central banks; (3) The largest part represent EU members.

Top 20 NPLs (Group, 30 Jun 2021)


NPL cash and collateral coverage(1) (Group, %)
An important Group strength is the NPL cash coverage (CR1), which remains high at 81.9%. Further, the Group's NPL coverage ratio (CR2) stands at 59.9%, which is well above the EU average as published by the EBA (44.7 % for Q1 2021).
The decrease in coverage indicators at year-end 2020 was influenced by the special treatment of NPLs from acquired entities. NPLs of KB Banks were initially recognised at fair value, without any additional credit loss allowances.
NPL cash coverage with NPL specific provisions improved in H1 2021 mainly due to repayments of some restructured NPL exposures, while reduction in pool provisions is a result of more favourable macroeconomic forecasts used in the provisioning scenarios.

Cost of risk was negative in H1 2021, -68 bps, due to repayment of several exposures, rating upgrades of certain clients (given improved business outlook and financial strength) and changed parameters for collective impairments and provisions related to more favourable macroeconomic forecasts.
Other impairments and provisions, mostly in KB Beograd: EUR 7.7 million of restructuring provisions (HR optimization), EUR 5.0 million of provisions for legal risk.
The Group's decisive approach to NPL management puts a strong emphasis on restructuring and use of other active NPL management tools, such as foreclosure of collateral, the sale of claims and pledged assets. In H1 visible results with NPLs decreasing, mostly due to repayment by one of the large corporate clients.
NPL ratio decreased by 0.6 p.p to the level of 2.9%, while NPE ratio reduced by 0.3 p.p. to 2.0%, while coverage ratio remained stable.
| Credit portfolio | Provisions and FV changes for credit portfolio | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stage1 | Stage2 | Stage3 & FVTPL | Stage1 | Stage2 | Stage3 & FVTPL | ||||||||||
| Credit portfolio |
Share of Total |
YTD change |
Credit portfolio |
Share of Total |
YTD change |
Credit portfolio |
Share of Total |
YTD change |
Provision Volume |
Provision Coverage |
Provision Volume |
Provision Coverage |
Provisions & FV changes |
Coverage with provisions and FV changes |
|
| Total NLB Group | 13,810.5 | 92.9% | 1,159.7 | 619.8 | 4.2% | 59.7 | 431.6 | 2.9% | -44.1 | 63.1 | 0.5% | 31.9 | 5.1% | 255.7 | 59.2% |
| o/w Corporate |
4,259.1 | 84.4% | 123.4 | 482.6 | 9.6% | 55.9 | 305.2 | 6.0% | -53.4 | 44.1 | 1.0% | 24.1 | 5.0% | 185.3 | 60.7% |
| o/w Retail |
5,041.2 | 95.0% | 262.0 | 137.2 | 2.6% | 3.9 | 126.3 | 2.4% | 9.2 | 17.2 | 0.3% | 7.8 | 5.7% | 70.3 | 55.6% |
| o/w State |
3,837.0 | 100.0% | 546.9 | - | - | - | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0.0% | - | - | 0.1 | 0.9 |
| o/w Institutions |
673.1 | 100.0% | 227.4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | 0.0% | - | - | - | - |
The portfolio quality remains very stable with increasing Stage 1 exposures and a relatively low percentage of NPL loans. An increase of Stage 2 exposures is the result of moderate credit quality deterioration related with COVID-19 pandemic. The latter also impacted on the growth of new exposures in Stage 3. Nevertheless, the volume of non-performing loans in the corporate segment decreased due to successful recovery of non-performing loans (mainly with restructured measures).





Strong market positions
Above 10% market share in 5/6 countries with high entry barriers. Wide coverage and accessibility

The only cross-regional player with local HQ: market knowledge and image

High brand equity (except for Slovenia, due to the turbulences in the past years)

Good recent performance, acknowledged innovations (digital) in Slovenia

Plentiful untapped potential to be exploited in various market segments and in operations

The pioneer of banking innovation in Slovenia

First Slovenian bank enabling 24/7 opening of personal account and the only bank with full digital signing of documents in M-bank

First Slovenian bank sending cards' PIN via SMS

First Slovenian bank implementing Flik P2M (Person to Merchant) at all POSes

First Slovenian bank to launch chat and video call functionalities and the only bank with multichannel 24/7 support

Only bank with fully mobile express loan capabilities (Consumer & SME)

First Slovenian bank to offer card management functionalities and biometric recognition to confirm online purchases in mobile wallet



+5%
▪ Key priority is to address the topic of sustainable development and to accelerate the integration of ESG factors and upcoming EU legislation and all related changes that affect its business model.
IT Strategy

| Sustainability implementation focus | Task | Target |
|---|---|---|
| Climate-related and environmental risk management – Credit Risk |
Adoption Environmental and Social Credit Policy Framework and Environmental and Social Risk Categorization Methodology Framework IT Strategy |
Q1 2021 |
| Sustainable/Green Product Portfolio – Retail |
➢ Development and implementation of new digital/green package for young clients ➢ Further upgrade of "Green housing loan" ➢ Additional reducing of paper documentation, proactively encouraging the use of digital channels ➢ Humanitarian organizations exempt from paying commission |
Q1 2021 |
| Sustainable/Green Product Portfolio – Corporate |
➢ Development and implementation of "Sustainable loan for legal entities" ➢ Proactively encouraging the use of digital channels |
Q2 2021 |
| Investments in sustainable/green securities | Green bonds analysis & addressing possible moves into listed and unlisted funds in the area of green infrastructure investments | Q2 2021 |
| Business Strategy | Upgrading business strategy with UN SDGs and ESG factors orientation | Q2 2021 |
| MIGA | Implementation of the MIGA E&S Standards together with E&S management system | August 2021 |
| UN PRB | Step 1: Impact Analysis (materiality matrix included) | Sept. 2021 |
| UN PRB | Step 2: Target Setting & Implementation (5-year targets for 8 sustainability pillars included) | Dec. 2021 |
| ESG disclosures and reporting | Implementation of ECB climate-related and environmental disclosures and reporting guidelines | Dec. 2021 |
| Climate-related and environmental risk management – Global Risk |
Implementation of requirements defined in ECB Guide on climate-related and environmental risks in NLB Group Risk Management Framework in cooperation with Strategy, CMO and Credit Risk |
Dec. 2021 |
| Sustainability Corporate Governance | Establishment of the NLB Sustainability Corporate Governance model | Dec. 2021 |
| UN PRB | Step 3: Reporting and accountability | Feb. 2022 |
| EBRD | EBRD E&S requirements implementation | April 2023 |



| Dec 2020 | Today | 2022 | Apr 2022 | Sep 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | |
| Legal and M&A processes |
• Merge Regulatory approvals • Ownership consolidation |
||||||
| HR integration | • Organization design • Management Appraisal • Comp & Ben harmonization • Voluntary leaves |
• and rightsizing • • • |
implementation Management nominations Union negotiations Assessmeng of sales employees |
Preparation of all activities for new organization | • • • • • |
Organization implementation Implementation of target size Management appointment Culture integration Relocation of employees |
|
| IT Integration | • Target system architecture design • Target business model design |
• • |
Migration preparation Gap development |
• Clean-up • Stabilization |
|||
| Sales | • KPIs verification and setup • Branch footprint design |
• • |
Branch network sizing | Implementation of new sales model | • sizing |
Post-integration branch network | |
| Marketing and Communications |
• process) • |
Communication on key milestones (organization design, management nominations, regulatory process, integration Townhalls, Q&A sessions with employees and stakeholders |
• Branding approach implemented |
||||
| Internal controls and Operations, Markets |
• Internal controls sys. harmonization (Risk, Compliance, AML, I. Audit) • Securities ptf. adjustment |
• | Funding strategy implementation | Legal & Operational | |||
| Closing | Merger (Serbia) |


Merger agreement is being drafted and is expected to be finalised during the first half of October 2021.
General Assembly of both Serbian banks is expected to take place in the second half of December 2021.
Substantial increase of legal disputes from retail customers in Serbian subsidiaries on previously charged loan fees. The Group believes this is unsubstantiated, also supported by explicit statements of the National Bank of Serbia. NLB and other foreign investors have joined IMF in asking authorities to find a remedy to this unattainable situation.
Management selection process is ongoing, and will be finalized by the end of 2021 for B-1 and end of Feb 2022 for B-2.
New organisation design proposal will be
adopted by September. Expected to modernize and optimize management structure
IT critical path identified, and detailed planning accomplished. Integration date confirmed for Apr 2022

Welcome package has been introduced (new customers, cash loan, housing loan, free ATM withdrawal within NLB group) and is currently on air with dedicated product campaigns for housing loans.
AML – internal system controls have been harmonised in the scheduled timeframe. Upgrades to AML systems are ongoing according to plan (by YE21):
*excluding branches of KB BG in Kosovska Mitrovica


| Retail | Corporate | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| • Total retail disbursements have increased for 42 EURm in absolute and 5% in relative terms YoY |
Loans portfolio recorded growth in Corporate segment in amount of 33.7 EURm (5% growth), of which in SME segment 24.1 EURm (15% growth YtD) |
||||||||||
| • Total loan production reached 211 EURm (25% increase in monthly averages compared to FY20) |
|||||||||||
| • Total loan production exceeded production realized in the same period of the previous year by 57 EURm, (+37% YoY) |
• LoG and LoC business recorded 16% income growth compared to the same period last year |
||||||||||
| Total production of cash loans equals 105 EURm (52% increase in monthly averages compared to FY20) • Total production of housing loans equals 39 EURm (14% increase in monthly |
• | Off-balance portfolio grew by 8.4 EURm (11% growth YtD) in Corporate segment and by 9.8 EURm in SME segment. |
|||||||||
| averages compared to FY20) |
|||||||||||
| • After implementation of offering and organizational changes in housing loans, monthly production reached ~8 EURm |
Deposits recorded | 7% | growth in comparison to beginning of the year. | ||||||||
| The most important activities | The most important activities | ||||||||||
| Business network optimization |
Tariff improvement of Kombank |
Optimization of credit process |
New digital service: KomBank Pay |
New digital Online cash kredit |
Optimization of credit process |
Product offering enhancements |
Overall stream processes streamlining |
Tariff optimization of Kombank |


Revised integration costs (bottom-up) 1.7 EURm higher vs. Initial forecasts
| Initiaal forecats |
Revised integration costs |
Diff. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgrade & NLB d.d. |
Total | 31.2 | 32.0 | 0.8 |
| Banja Luka | Total | 3.8 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| Podgorica | Total | 3.2 | 4.0 | 0.8 |
| TOTAL | 38.2 | 40.0 | 1.7 |
Integration costs (EURm) by market (pre-tax)
Revised integration costs come as a result of detailed master planning in all 3 countries, assuming:

28.9 EURm of run-rate synergies expected to kick in by the end of 2023
Synergies (EURm) by market (pre-tax)
| Amount (Run-rate 2023) |
% of total |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cost synergies | 19.3 | 66.7% | |
| Belgrade | Income synergies / attrition |
1.3 | 4.5% |
| Total | 20.6 | 71.2% | |
| Banja Luka | Total | 4.7 | 16.3% |
| Podgorica | Total | 3.6 | 12.5% |
| TOTAL | 28.9 | 100.0% | |
According to current planning, full synergy potential to be reached by the end of 2023


| Outlook | H1 2021 | 2021 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular income |
EUR 303.7 million | Exceeding EUR 600 million |
Exceeding EUR 700 million |
| Initial increase in cost base in the year 2021, |
|||
| Costs | (1) EUR 197.3 million |
costs projected around EUR 430 million including integration costs. |
Costs below EUR 400 million |
| CoR | - 68 bps |
20 - 40 bps |
40-60 bps |
| Loan growth |
4% YtD | Mid-single digit loan growth |
High single-digit CAGR 2021-2023 |
| Dividend | EUR 12 million | EUR 92.2 million | Cummulative more than EUR 300 in 2021-2023 (2) million |
| ROE | 13.8% (a.t.) | High single digit |
> 10% (RORAC(3) > 12%) |





Note: (1) On stand alone basis.


Off-balance sheet items of NLB Group – structure (in EURm)

Commitments to extend credit and other risky commitments
| in mio EUR | 30 Jun 2020 | 31 Dec 2020 | 31 Mar 2021 | 30 Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loans | 832.1 | 789.3 | 743.0 | 814.9 |
| Overdrafts Retail | 324.8 | 306.8 | 306.0 | 327.7 |
| Overdrafts Corporate | 195.7 | 199.9 | 189.9 | 198.1 |
| Cards | 300.7 | 302.0 | 306.6 | 310.1 |
| Komercijalna Banka Group | 0.0 | 308.4 | 288.1 | 294.2 |
| Other | -50.6 | -80.0 | -57.9 | -37.0 |
| Total | 1,602.7 | 1,826.4 | 1,775.6 | 1,908.0 |
| in mio EUR | 30 Jun 2020 | 31 Dec 2020 | 31 Mar 2021 | 30 Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FX derivatives with customers | 227.4 | 228.1 | 175.6 | 161.4 |
| o/w NLB |
246.6 | 206.2 | 190.8 | 191.0 |
| Interest rate derivatives with customers | 924.9 | 841.3 | 777.0 | 718.4 |
| o/w NLB |
924.9 | 844.7 | 759.0 | 708.5 |
| FX derivatives - hedging (NLB) | 14.4 | 13.5 | 95.5 | 74.3 |
| Interest rate derivatives - hedging (NLB) | 562.7 | 575.0 | 575.0 | 574.8 |
| Options (NLB) | 40.7 | 39.8 | 39.1 | 46.1 |
| Total | 1,770.2 | 1,697.7 | 1,662.1 | 1,575.0 |
Majority of NLB Group derivatives are concluded by NLB either for hedging of the banking book or for trading with cutomers.
• Customers are mainly using plain vanilla FX and Interest rate derivatives for hedging of their business model. Both interest rate derivatives and FX derivatives have declined in last year. Mainly due to lack of interest from clients in the current IR environment which prefer fixed rate loan or open IR position over derivative hedging. Exception were Interest rate options which slightly increased.



| Retail Key corporates NLB Banka, Skopje Treasury activities REAM NLB Banka, Banja Luka Micro SME corporates Trading in financial Leasing (except NLB NLB Banka, Sarajevo instruments Lease&Go) NLB Skladi Cross Border corporates NLB Banka, Prishtina Asset and liabilities NLB Srbija Bankart(1) Investment banking and NLB Banka, Podgorica management (ALM) custody NLB Banka, Beograd NLB Crna Gora NLB Lease&Go (retail clients) Komercijalna Banka, Beograd Restructuring&workout Komercijalna Banka, Banja Luka NLB Lease&Go (corporate clients) Komercijalna Banka, Podgorica Kombank INvest, Beograd • Largest retail banking group in • Market leader in corporate banking • Leading SEE franchise with nine • Maintaining stable funding base • Assets booked non-core Slovenia by loans and deposits. with focus on advisory and long subsidiary banks and one subsidiaries funded via NLB • Management of well diversified term strategic partnerships investment fund company • #1 in private banking and asset liquidity reserves • • Market leader in Investment management • The only international banking assets, including collection of Banking and Custody services • Managing interest rate positions group with exclusive focus on the • Focused on upgrading customer with responsive pricing policy • Regional know-how and SEE region and sale of assets digital experience and satisfaction experience in Corporate Finance and #1 lead organiser for syndicated loans in Slovenia • Strong trade finance operations and other fee-based business • Market leader at FX and interest rate hedges (Jun 2021, in EURm) Profit b.t. 20.6 56.2 72.9 7.3 -0.4 Total assets 2,619 2,140 9,715 6,251 117 total assets(2) % of 12% 10% 46% 30% 1% CIR 70.7% 34.8% 60.3% 35.5% 164.1% Cost of risk (bp) 21 -153 140 / -868 |
Retail banking in Slovenia |
Corporate and investment banking in Slovenia |
Strategic foreign markets |
Financial markets in Slovenia |
Non-core members |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Controlled wind-down of remaining claims, liquidation of subsidiaries |
|||||

(Jun 2021, in EURm)
in EUR million consolidated
Retail Banking in Slovenia
| 1-6 2021 | 1-6 2020 | Change YoY | Q2 2021 | Q1 2021 | Q2 2020 | Change QoQ |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net interest income | 38.6 | 41.7 | -3.0 | -7% | 19.7 | 19.0 | 20.4 | 4% |
| Net interest income from Assets(i) | 40.0 | 38.8 | 1.2 | 3% | 20.4 | 19.6 | 19.0 | 4% |
| Net interest income from Liabilities(i) | -1.3 | 2.9 | -4.2 | - | -0.7 | -0.6 | 1.4 | -22% |
| Net non-interest income | 39.4 | 45.1 | -5.7 | -13% | 16.7 | 22.7 | 26.5 | -26% |
| o/w Net fee and commmission income | 45.8 | 39.7 | 6.1 | 15% | 24.0 | 21.8 | 20.4 | 10% |
| Total net operating income | 78.1 | 86.8 | -8.7 | -10% | 36.4 | 41.7 | 46.8 | -13% |
| Total costs | -55.2 | -56.1 | 1.0 | 2% | -28.5 | -26.6 | -27.6 | -7% |
| Result before impairments and provisions | 22.9 | 30.6 | -7.8 | -25% | 7.8 | 15.0 | 19.3 | -48% |
| Impairments and provisions | -2.7 | -5.6 | 3.0 | 53% | -3.4 | 0.7 | -1.1 | - |
| Net gains from investments in subsidiaries, associates, and JVs' |
0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | -1% | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 121% |
| Result before tax | 20.6 | 25.4 | -4.8 | -19% | 4.8 | 15.8 | 18.4 | -70% |
| 30 Jun 2021 | 31 Mar 2021 | 31 Dec 2020 | 30 Jun 2020 | Change YtD | Change YoY | Change QoQ |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net loans to customers | 2,534.9 | 2,463.1 | 2,415.4 | 2,322.0 | 119.5 | 5% | 212.9 | 9% | 3% |
| Gross loans to customers | 2,570.6 | 2,497.9 | 2,450.7 | 2,350.5 | 119.9 | 5% | 220.1 | 9% | 3% |
| Housing loans | 1,666.8 | 1,581.8 | 1,534.7 | 1,450.7 | 132.2 | 9% | 216.2 | 15% | 5% |
| Interest rate on housing loans | 2.40% | 2.40% | 2.51% | 2.52% | -0.11 p.p. | -0.12 p.p. | 0.00 p.p. | ||
| Consumer loans | 643.0 | 648.0 | 651.7 | 661.5 | -8.7 | -1% | -18.5 | -3% | -1% |
| Interest rate on consumer loans | 6.66% | 6.64% | 6.43% | 6.32% | 0.23 p.p. | 0.34 p.p. | 0.02 p.p. | ||
| Other | 260.7 | 268.0 | 264.3 | 238.3 | -3.6 | -1% | 22.4 | 9% | -3% |
| Deposits from customers | 7,644.9 | 7,495.4 | 7,356.8 | 7,005.8 | 288.1 | 4% | 639.1 | 9% | 2% |
| Interest rate on deposits | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.04% | 0.05% | -0.01 p.p. | -0.02 p.p. | 0.00 p.p. | ||
| Non-performing loans (gross) | 54.8 | 52.3 | 52.4 | 43.0 | 2.3 | 4% | 11.7 | 27% | 5% |
| 1-6 2021 | 1-6 2020 | Change YoY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of risk (in bps) | 21 | 48 | -27 |
| CIR | 70.7% | 64.7% | 6.0 p.p. |
| Interest margin | 1.55% | 1.85% | -0.30 p.p. |
(i) Net interest income from assets and liabilities with the use of FTP.




31 Dec 2017 31 Dec 2018 31 Dec 2019 31 Dec 2020 31 Jun 2021
Source: Bank of Slovenia (retail loans and deposits), Company information, Slovenian Fund Management Association Note: (1) Company information; (2) By AuM (Slovenian Fund Management Association). 54
in EUR million consolidated
| 1-6 2021 | 1-6 2020 | Change YoY | Q2 2021 | Q1 2021 | Q2 2020 | Change QoQ |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net interest income | 17.9 | 17.9 | 0.0 | 0% | 8.9 | 9.0 | 8.5 | -1% |
| Net interest income from Assets(i) | 20.4 | 18.7 | 1.7 | 9% | 10.3 | 10.2 | 9.0 | 1% |
| Net interest income from Liabilities(i) | -2.5 | -0.8 | -1.7 | - | -1.3 | -1.2 | -0.4 | -12% |
| Net non-interest income | 43.6 | 20.7 | 22.9 | 111% | 31.9 | 11.7 | 9.8 | 172% |
| o/w Net fee and commmission income | 19.7 | 16.1 | 3.5 | 22% | 10.2 | 9.5 | 7.4 | 8% |
| Total net operating income | 61.6 | 38.6 | 23.0 | 60% | 40.8 | 20.7 | 18.4 | 97% |
| Total costs | -21.4 | -20.5 | -0.9 | -5% | -11.0 | -10.4 | -10.0 | -6% |
| Result before impairments and provisions | 40.1 | 18.1 | 22.0 | 121% | 29.8 | 10.3 | 8.4 | 189% |
| Impairments and provisions | 16.1 | -9.3 | 25.3 | - | 5.1 | 11.0 | 0.4 | -54% |
| Result before tax | 56.2 | 8.9 | 47.4 | - | 34.9 | 21.3 | 8.8 | 63% |
| 30 Jun 2021 | 31 Mar 2021 | 31 Dec 2020 | 30 Jun 2020 | Change YtD | Change YoY | Change QoQ |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net loans to customers | 2,153.2 | 2,103.3 | 2,047.1 | 2,053.8 | 106.0 | 5% | 99.4 | 5% | 2% | |
| Gross loans to customers | 2,244.9 | 2,217.4 | 2,167.5 | 2,168.2 | 77.4 | 4% | 76.8 | 4% | 1% | |
| Corporate | 2,100.5 | 2,066.9 | 2,006.4 | 2,005.3 | 94.1 | 5% | 95.2 | 5% | 2% | |
| Key/SME/Cross Border Corporates | 1,940.6 | 1,875.2 | 1,827.6 | 1,842.0 | 113.0 | 6% | 98.6 | 5% | 3% | |
| Interest rate on Key/SME/Cross Border Corporates loans |
1.82% | 1.80% | 1.79% | 1.81% | 0.03 p.p. | 0.01 p.p. | 0.02 p.p. | |||
| Investment banking | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -0.1 | -38% | -0.1 | -38% | 0 % | |
| Restructuring and Workout | 123.5 | 164.4 | 160.8 | 162.2 | -37.3 | -23% | -38.7 | -24% | -25% | |
| NLB Lease&Go | 36.3 | 27.1 | 17.8 | 0.8 | 18.5 | 104 % | 35.5 | - | 34% | |
| State | 144.1 | 150.2 | 160.7 | 162.5 | -16.5 | -10% | -18.4 | -11% | -4% | |
| Interest rate on State loans | 2.45% | 3.34% | 2.20% | 2.45% | 0.25 p.p. | 0.00 p.p. | -0.89 p.p. | |||
| Deposits from customers | 1,618.9 | 1,558.0 | 1,487.4 | 1,248.5 | 131.4 | 9% | 370.4 | 30% | 4% | |
| Interest rate on deposits | 0.04% | 0.04% | 0.06% | 0.06% | -0.02 p.p. | -0.02 p.p. | 0.00 p.p. | |||
| Non-performing loans (gross) | 111.8 | 154.2 | 156.0 | 136.0 | -44.2 | -28% | -24.2 | -18% | -27% |
| 1-6 2021 | 1-6 2020 Change YoY |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of risk (in bps) | -153 | 87 -241 |
|||
| CIR | 34.8% | 53.0% -18.2 p.p. |
|||
| Interest margin | 1.85% | 2.05% -0.20 p.p. |
(i) Net interest income from assets and liabilities with the use of FTP.

Market shares - evolution and position on the market


Strong local corporate fee business, across merchant acquiring, investment banking and custody services
13.1 k POS terminals
36.7% market share in merchant acquiring
EUR 15.8 bn assets under custody
| in EUR million consolidated |
Strategic Foreign Markets | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-6 2021 | 1-6 2020 | Change YoY o/w KB contribution |
Q2 2021 | Q1 2021 | Q2 2020 | Change QoQ |
|||
| Net interest income | 130.0 | 78.6 | 51.5 | 48.9 | 66% | 66.7 | 63.3 | 38.7 | 5% |
| Interest income | 147.5 | 90.6 | 56.9 | 56.0 | 63% | 75.5 | 72.0 | 44.6 | 5% |
| Interest expense | -17.5 | -12.1 | -5.4 | -7.1 | -45% | -8.7 | -8.8 | -5.9 | 0% |
| Net non-interest income | 48.8 | 25.2 | 23.5 | 18.0 | 93% | 27.2 | 21.6 | 12.2 | 26% |
| o/w Net fee and commmission income | 48.8 | 25.6 | 23.2 | 20.7 | 91% | 25.5 | 23.3 | 12.3 | 10% |
| Total net operating income | 178.8 | 103.8 | 75.0 | 67.0 | 72% | 93.9 | 84.9 | 50.9 | 11% |
| Total costs | -107.9 | -53.3 | -54.6 | -49.9 | -102% | -55.6 | -52.3 | -25.8 | -6% |
| Result before impairments and provisions | 70.9 | 50.5 | 20.4 | 17.1 | 41% | 38.3 | 32.6 | 25.2 | 17% |
| Impairments and provisions | 2.0 | -17.8 | 19.8 | -8.6 | - | 0.1 | 1.9 | -3.8 | -93% |
| Negative goodwill (KB) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - |
| Result before tax | 72.9 | 32.7 | 40.2 | 8.5 | 123% | 38.4 | 34.5 | 21.3 | 11% |
| o/w Result of minority shareholders | 6.6 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 108% | 2.9 | 3.8 | 2.0 | -24% |
| 30 Jun 2021 | 31 Mar 2021 | 31 Dec 2020 | 30 Jun 2020 | Change YtD | Change YoY | Change QoQ |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net loans to customers | 5,281.9 | 5,144.3 | 5,052.4 | 3,165.3 | 229.5 | 5% | 2,116.6 | 67% | 3% |
| Gross loans to customers | 5,460.3 | 5,329.5 | 5,234.8 | 3,314.4 | 225.5 | 4% | 2,145.9 | 65% | 2% |
| Individuals | 2,756.1 | 2,647.6 | 2,592.9 | 1,658.2 | 163.2 | 6% | 1,097.9 | 66% | 4% |
| Interest rate on retail loans | 5.94% | 5.99% | 6.28% | 6.39% | -0.34 p.p. | -0.45 p.p. | |||
| Corporate | 2,519.4 | 2,486.9 | 2,443.7 | 1,540.6 | 75.6 | 3% | 978.8 | 64% | 1% |
| Interest rate on corporate loans | 4.04% | 3.96% | 4.15% | 4.21% | -0.12 p.p. | -0.17 p.p. | |||
| State | 184.8 | 195.0 | 198.1 | 115.6 | -13.3 | -7% | 69.2 | 60% | -5% |
| Interest rate on state loans | 3.40% | 3.53% | 3.53% | 3.12% | -0.13 p.p. | 0.27 p.p. | -0.14 p.p. | ||
| Deposits from customers | 7,878.8 | 7,678.3 | 7,552.2 | 3,935.0 | 326.5 | 4% | 3,943.8 | 100% | 3% |
| Interest rate on deposits | 0.34% | 0.34% | 0.43% | 0.46% | -0.09 p.p. | -0.12 p.p. | 0.00 p.p. | ||
| Non-performing loans (gross) | 198.6 | 202.9 | 195.0 | 126.3 | 3.6 | 2% | 72.3 | 57% | -2% |
| 1-6 2021 | 1-6 2020 | Change YoY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of risk (in bps) | 140 | 116 | 24 |
| CIR | 60.3% | 51.4% | 9.0 p.p. |
| Interest margin | 2.87% | 3.37% | -0.49 p.p. |

in million EUR
Financial Markets in Slovenia
| consolidated | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-6 2021 | 1-6 2020 | Change YoY | Q2 2021 | Q1 2021 | Q2 2020 | Change QoQ |
|||
| Net interest income | 11.7 | 11.3 | 0.5 | 4% | 5.7 | 6.1 | 4.7 | -6% | |
| o/w ALM(i) | 6.2 | 8.4 | -2.2 | -26% | 2.9 | 3.3 | 3.4 | -12% | |
| Net non-interest income | -0.7 | 15.4 | -16.1 | - | 0.0 | -0.7 | 14.3 | - | |
| Total net operating income | 11.1 | 26.7 | -15.7 | -59% | 5.7 | 5.3 | 19.0 | 7% | |
| Total costs | -3.9 | -3.6 | -0.3 | -9% | -2.0 | -1.9 | -1.7 | -9% | |
| Result before impairments and provisions | 7.1 | 23.1 | -16.0 | -69% | 3.7 | 3.5 | 17.3 | 6% | |
| Impairments and provisions | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | 0.8 | -0.6 | 0.0 | - | |
| Result before tax | 7.3 | 23.1 | -15.9 | -69% | 4.4 | 2.8 | 17.3 | 56% | |
| 30 Jun 2021 | 31 Mar 2021 | 31 Dec 2020 | 30 Jun 2020 | Change YtD | Change YoY | Change QoQ |
|||
| Balances with Central banks | 2,656.0 | 1,772.3 | 1,998.1 | 1,991.0 | 657.9 | 33% | 665.0 | 33% | 50% |
| Banking book securities | 3,335.5 | 3,288.9 | 2,945.8 | 2,774.0 | 389.7 | 13% | 561.5 | 20% | 1% |
| Interest rate on banking book securities | 0.65% | 0.67% | 0.77% | 0.78% | -0.12 p.p. | -0.13 p.p. | -0.02 p.p. | ||
| Wholesale funding | 866.3 | 143.4 | 143.5 | 152.5 | 722.8 | - | 713.8 | - | - |
| Interest rate on wholesale funding | 1.00% | 0.52% | 0.54% | 0.56% | 0.46 p.p. | 0.44 p.p. | 0.48 p.p. | ||
| Subordinated liabilities | 287.6 | 286.8 | 288.3 | 287.4 | -0.8 | 0% | 0.2 | 0% | 0% |
| Interest rate on subordinated liabilities | 3.69% | 3.69% | 3.64% | 3.56% | 0.05 p.p. | 0.13 p.p. | 0.00 p.p. |
(i) Net interest income from assets and liabilities with the use of FTP.




Note: Numbers refer to NLB d.d. only; (1) Incl. trading and banking book securities; (2) Includes other European countries, USA, Canada, Kazakhstan, Israel and Russian Federation; (3) Including state guaranteed bonds; (4) Loans booked under segment Corporate Banking Slovenia. 59
| in EUR millions consolidated |
Non-Core Members | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-6 2021 | 1-6 2020 | Change YoY | Q2 2021 | Q1 2021 | Q2 2020 | Change QoQ |
|||
| Net interest income | 0.4 | 0.7 | -0.3 | -47% | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | -43% | |
| Net non-interest income | 2.9 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 49% | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | - | |
| Total net operating income | 3.3 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 23% | 2.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 169% | |
| Total costs | -5.4 | -6.5 | 1.1 | 17% | -2.8 | -2.5 | -3.1 | -12% | |
| Result before impairments and provisions | -2.1 | -3.8 | 1.7 | 45% | -0.4 | -1.6 | -1.8 | 73% | |
| Impairments and provisions | 1.7 | -0.1 | 1.9 | - | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 31% | |
| Result before tax | -0.4 | -4.0 | 3.6 | 91% | 0.5 | -0.9 | -1.7 | - | |
| 30 Jun 2021 | 31 Mar 2021 | 31 Dec 2020 | 30 Jun 2020 | Change YtD | Change YoY | Change QoQ |
|||
| Segment assets | 116.7 | 124.8 | 131.2 | 150.5 | -14.5 | -11% | -33.8 | -22% | -6% |
| Net loans to customers | 34.8 | 40.7 | 45.0 | 58.4 | -10.2 | -23% | -23.6 | -40% | -15% |
| Gross loans to customers | 79.3 | 90.1 | 95.0 | 128.5 | -15.7 | -17% | -49.2 | -38% | -12% |
| Investment property and property & equipment received for repayment of loans |
67.0 | 68.6 | 70.2 | 74.5 | -3.2 | -5% | -7.5 | -10% | -2% |
| Other assets | 14.9 | 15.4 | 16.0 | 17.6 | -1.1 | -7% | -2.7 | -15% | -3% |
| Non-performing loans (gross) | 62.7 | 70.2 | 71.3 | 95.9 | -8.6 | -12% | -33.3 | -35% | -11% |
| 1-6 2021 | 1-6 2020 Change YoY |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of risk (in bps) | -868 | 18 -886 |
|||
| CIR | 164.1% | 244.7% -80.63 p.p. |

| in EUR millions consolidated |
Other | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-6 2021 1-6 2020 |
Change YoY | Q2 2021 | Q1 2021 | Q2 2020 | Change QoQ |
|||
| Total net operating income | 3.3 | 2.5 0.8 32% |
1.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 36% | ||
| Total costs | -5.7 | -5.9 | 0.2 | 3% | -2.0 | -3.7 | -2.7 | 45% |
| Result before impairments and provisions | -2.3 | -3.3 | 1.0 | 30% | -0.1 | -2.2 | -2.3 | 96% |
| Impairments and provisions | 1.7 | -0.4 | 2.1 | - | -0.1 | 1.8 | -0.5 | - |
| Result before tax | -0.6 | -3.7 | 3.1 | 83% | -0.2 | -0.4 | -2.8 | 55% |



| EUR | |
|---|---|
| GDP (EURbn) | 46.7 |
| Real GDP growth (%) | -4.6 |
| Population (m) | 2.1 |
| indebtedness(1) Household |
22.9% |
| Credit ratings (S&P / Moody's / Fitch) |
AA- / A3 / A |
| EUR(3) | |
|---|---|
| GDP (EURbn) | 17.4 |
| Real GDP growth (%) | -4.5 |
| Population (m) | 3.3 |
| indebtedness(1) Household |
29.1% |
| Credit ratings (S&P / Moody's / Fitch) |
B / B3 / n.a. |
| EUR | |
|---|---|
| GDP (EURbn) | 4.1 |
| Real GDP growth (%) | -15.3 |
| Population (m) | 0.6 |
| indebtedness(1) Household |
33.6% |
| Credit ratings (S&P / Moody's / Fitch) |
B / B1 / n.a. |

| Slovenia | EUR |
|---|---|
| GDP (EURbn) | 46.7 |
| Real GDP growth (%) | -4.6 |
| Population (m) | 2.1 |
| indebtedness(1) Household |
22.9% |
| Credit ratings (S&P / Moody's / Fitch) |
EUR AA- / A3 / A |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina(2) | EUR(3) | Kosovo | EUR |
|---|---|---|---|
| GDP (EURbn) | 17.4 | GDP (EURbn) | 6.9 |
| Real GDP growth (%) | -4.5 EUR(3) |
Real GDP growth (%) | -1.7 EUR |
| Population (m) | 3.3 | Population (m) | 1.8 |
| indebtedness(1) Household |
29.1% | indebtedness(1) Household |
17.3% |
| Credit ratings (S&P / Moody's / Fitch) |
B / B3 / n.a. |
Credit ratings (S&P / Moody's / Fitch) |
n.a. / n.a. / n.a. |
| Montenegro | EUR EUR |
North Macedonia |
MKD MKD |
|---|---|---|---|
| GDP (EURbn) | 4.1 | GDP (EURbn) | 10.8 |
| Real GDP growth (%) | -15.3 | Real GDP growth (%) | -5.2 |
| Population (m) | 0.6 | Population (m) | 2.1 |
| indebtedness(1) Household |
33.6% | Household indebtedness(1) |
28.1% |
| Credit ratings (S&P / Moody's / Fitch) |
B / B1 / n.a. | Credit ratings (S&P / Moody's / Fitch) |
BB- / n.a. / BB+ |

Source: Central banks, National Statistics Offices, FocusEconomics, NLB
Note: GDP volume and growth for Q1 2021, annualized; (1) Includes household loans as % of GDP, Q1 2021, annualized; (2) Bosnia and Herzegovina is comprised of 2 entities, The Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina and Republika Srpska; (3) Official currency is BAM – Bosnia-Herzegovina Convertible Mark, pegged to EUR.
• Revival in domestic and foreign demand should be the main economic growth drivers in the Group's region.


In Q1 2021, containment measures restrained business activity and household spending, making private consumption the main drag on growth. However, dynamics of economic growth differed among countries of the Group region with Slovenia, Serbia, BiH and Kosovo recording economic growth while GDP in Montenegro and N. Macedonia contracted.
Swift recovery in activity and consumer confidence starting in Q2 2021 should reflect in fast GDP growth over the summer. The Group's region is seen growing 4.9% on average in 2021.
| Real GDP growth, % | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina |
3.6 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 2.9 | -4.5 | 3.2 | 3.9 |
| North Macedonia |
2.8 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 3.2 | -4.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Kosovo | 4.1 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 4.2 | -2.1 | 4.5 | 5.0 |
| Serbia | 3.3 | 2.1 | 4.5 | 4.2 | -1.0 | 5.6 | 4.5 |
| Montenegro | 2.9 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 4.1 | -15.2 | 7.0 | 5.6 |
| Slovenia | 3.2 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 3.2 | -5.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 |
| Eurozone | 1.8 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 | -6.7 | 4.6 | 4.5 |
Sources: FocusEconomics, NLB Forecasts for 2021 and 2022

In 2020, inflation fell in countries of the Group's region, mainly because of downward pressure on consumer prices due to depressed domestic demand.
In 2021, inflationary pressures are expected due to rising energy and commodity prices, production bottlenecks and input shortages, capacity constraints and supply-demand imbalances. Inflation could turn out higher in case stated inflationary pressures drivers are more persistent and their outcome is to larger extent passed through to consumers.
| Average inflation rate, % |
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina |
-1.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | -1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| North Macedonia | -0.2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| Kosovo | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Serbia | 1.1 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Montenegro | -0.3 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 0.4 | -0.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Slovenia | -0.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.7 | -0.3 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Eurozone | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Sources: FocusEconomics, NLB Forecasts for 2021 and 2022 Note: HICP for Slovenia, Kosovo and Eurozone, other CPI

Labour market conditions differed among countries of the Group Region. In Montenegro and Serbia labour market conditions deteriorated resulting in projected increase of the unemployment rate in 2021. In other countries of the Group region, the effect on the labour market was mild and it is expected to remain so. Therefore, with the revival in economic activity, overall labour market conditions are expected to improve.
| Unempoyment rate, % |
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 41.7 | 39.5 | 36.0 | 33.3 | 33.8 | 33.0 | 32.0 |
| North Macedonia | 23.7 | 22.4 | 20.7 | 17.3 | 16.4 | 16.1 | 15.6 |
| Kosovo | 27.5 | 30.5 | 29.6 | 25.7 | 26.0 | 25.5 | 25.0 |
| Serbia | 15.3 | 13.5 | 12.7 | 10.4 | 9.0 | 10.5 | 9.5 |
| Montenegro | 17.7 | 16.1 | 15.2 | 15.1 | 17.9 | 18.0 | 17.0 |
| Slovenia | 8.0 | 6.6 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 4.8 |
| Eurozone | 10.1 | 9.1 | 8.2 | 7.6 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 7.9 |
Sources: FocusEconomics, NLB Forecasts for 2021 and 2022 Note: Registered unemployment data used for BiH

The recovery in foreign demand is driving export growth while import demand reflects rising domestic demand, and to some extent in several countries of the Group's region also import-dependent export production.
In general, current accounts will be largely dependent on the extent of economic rebound in the EU, the main export destination for the Group's region. Developments with respect to remittances and FDI inflows, important factors for several countries of the Group region, should be yet another determinants of current account balances.
| Currrent Account, % GDP |
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | -4.8 | -4.8 | -3.3 | -3.1 | -3.1 | -3.7 | -3.6 |
| North Macedonia | -2.9 | -1.0 | -0.1 | -3.3 | -3.5 | -3.1 | -2.9 |
| Kosovo | -8.0 | -5.5 | -7.6 | -5.7 | -7.0 | -6.1 | -5.6 |
| Serbia | -2.9 | -5.2 | -4.8 | -6.9 | -4.3 | -5.0 | -5.1 |
| Montenegro | -16.2 | -16.1 | -17.0 | -14.3 | -26.0 | -20.1 | -15.6 |
| Slovenia | 4.8 | 6.2 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 7.1 | 6.3 | 6.0 |
| Eurozone | 3.0 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
Sources: FocusEconomics
Note: Consensus Forecasts for 2021 and 2022

Fiscal balances are expected to be driven by fiscal measures adopted to mitigate the economic and social impact of the Covid-19 crisis. Fiscal revenues are expected to recover with the recovery in economic activity, though, while fiscal support measures, and for some countries of the Group's region also increase in public investment, are expected to weigh on fiscal expenditures.
| Fiscal balance, % GDP |
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina |
1.2 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 1.9 | -4.0 | -3.2 | -2.1 |
| North Macedonia |
-2.7 | -2.7 | -1.8 | -2.0 | -8.1 | -5.2 | -3.9 |
| Kosovo | -1.1 | -1.1 | -2.6 | -2.6 | -7.1 | -4.4 | -2.8 |
| Serbia | -1.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | -0.2 | -8.1 | -5.5 | -2.5 |
| Montenegro | -3.4 | -5.5 | -3.6 | -2.9 | -10.1 | -5.0 | -2.8 |
| Slovenia | -1.9 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | -8.4 | -6.1 | -4.0 |
| Eurozone | -1.5 | -0.9 | -0.5 | -0.6 | -7.2 | -7.0 | -4.1 |
Sources: FocusEconomics
Note: 2020 data estimated for BiH; Consensus Forecasts for 2021 and 2022

In line with ongoing fiscal support measures and fiscal balances development, public debts are expected to remain at elevated levels in 2021 after the increase in 2020 resulting from fiscal measures adopted to mitigate the economic and social impact of the Covid-19 crisis.
| Public debt, % GDP |
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina |
44.1 | 39.2 | 34.3 | 32.4 | 37.8 | 38.2 | 37.8 |
| North Macedonia | 39.9 | 39.4 | 40.4 | 40.7 | 51.2 | 53.6 | 54.6 |
| Kosovo | 14.4 | 16.2 | 16.9 | 17.5 | 21.8 | 25.2 | 26.4 |
| Serbia | 67.7 | 57.8 | 53.6 | 52.0 | 56.8 | 59.0 | 57.2 |
| Montenegro | 64.4 | 64.2 | 70.1 | 76.5 | 105.1 | 95.9 | 89.5 |
| Slovenia | 78.5 | 74.1 | 70.3 | 65.6 | 80.8 | 81.1 | 80.2 |
| Eurozone | 90.1 | 87.7 | 85.7 | 83.9 | 98.0 | 100.2 | 98.6 |
Sources: FocusEconomics
Note: 2020 data estimated for BiH; Consensus Forecasts for 2021 and 2022

In 2020, loan growth exhibited diverging degrees of resilience to adverse effects of weakened economies on the banking systems in the Group's region.
In the last months, the decreasing loan growth trend, that has established in majority of countries in 2020 and has continued at the start of the year, has reversed in general and loan growth dynamics have started to paint a brighter picture.
| Loan growth (NFC + Households), % |
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | May 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina |
3.8 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 6.4 | -2.8 | 1.6 |
| North Macedonia | -0.1 | 5.4 | 7.2 | 6.1 | 4.6 | 5.5 |
| Kosovo | 10.6 | 12.4 | 10.9 | 10.0 | 7.1 | 11.1 |
| Serbia | 5.5 | 3.6 | 9.5 | 8.4 | 10.1 | 7.7 |
| Montenegro | 5.4 | 7.7 | 9.1 | 6.6 | 2.7 | 3.0 |
| Slovenia | 1.8 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 5.6 | -0.6 | 0.6 |
| Eurozone | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 2.5 |
Sources: National Central Banks, ECB, Own calculations

In 2020, loans to GDP ratios have been largely affected by economic implications of COVID-19 outbreak.
In Q1 2021, diverging dynamics in loans to GDP ratios were recorded by countries of the Group's region, depending on the prevailing driver of the respective ratio in the quarter, i.e. either GDP growth or loans growth dynamics.
Entire Group's region is below Eurozone average, boding well for growth potential.
| Total Loans as % of GDP | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | Q1 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 57.3 | 58.3 | 58.2 | 58.5 | 60.0 | 59.7 |
| North Macedonia | 47.0 | 47.6 | 48.1 | 48.7 | 53.4 | 53.9 |
| Kosovo | 37.1 | 39.2 | 41.9 | 42.5 | 47.0 | 47.7 |
| Serbia | 58.7 | 56.8 | 56.8 | 57.4 | 65.7 | 65.5 |
| Montenegro | 62.1 | 63.2 | 63.6 | 61.5 | 76.4 | 77.7 |
| Slovenia | 49.4 | 49.3 | 48.5 | 48.7 | 51.1 | 50.8 |
| Eurozone | 90.9 | 90.1 | 90.5 | 91.6 | 102.1 | 102.8 |
Sources: National Central Banks, ECB, Own calculations
Note: Eurozone Total loans includes only NFC + Households loans

In general, large inflow of deposits was recorded last year.
In the first five months of 2021, the trend of recording high deposit growth figures continued. Even in Montenegro, after recording a negative growth rate in deposits in 2020, the trend of decreasing growth in deposits reversed in the last months.
| Deposit growth (NFC + Households), % |
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | May 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina |
7.8 | 8.6 | 8.7 | 9.0 | 6.8 | 13.0 |
| North Macedonia | 5.4 | 5.0 | 9.5 | 9.8 | 6.2 | 7.9 |
| Kosovo | 8.7 | 4.1 | 7.3 | 14.3 | 13.8 | 18.7 |
| Serbia | 11.5 | 3.1 | 14.9 | 7.8 | 17.4 | 13.2 |
| Montenegro | 10.5 | 13.7 | 3.2 | -2.5 | -4.1 | 6.1 |
| Slovenia | 7.1 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 6.3 | 12.3 | 11.0 |
| Eurozone | 4.6 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 5.5 | 10.3 | 6.8 |
Sources: National Central Banks, ECB, Own calculations

In Q1 2021, deposits to GDP ratio grew in the Group's region as strong growth in deposits continued also in 2021,following a pick-up in 2020. The growth in deposits was the prevailing factor of rising deposits to GDP ratios. The latter more than offset the effect of the growth in GDP.
The share of deposits in GDP across the Group's region is lower than in the Eurozone.
| Total Deposits as % of GDP | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | Q1 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina |
59.0 | 62.6 | 64.5 | 67.1 | 72.9 | 74.0 |
| North Macedonia | 52.5 | 53.6 | 55.7 | 58.2 | 64.0 | 65.5 |
| Kosovo | 47.5 | 47.8 | 50.6 | 54.0 | 62.1 | 64.5 |
| Serbia | 45.1 | 44.3 | 45.9 | 48.2 | 55.9 | 56.8 |
| Montenegro | 72.2 | 74.8 | 74.1 | 70.8 | 79.8 | 82.5 |
| Slovenia | 63.7 | 63.4 | 62.5 | 63.3 | 72.9 | 75.1 |
| Eurozone | 84.0 | 85.3 | 87.1 | 91.0 | 107.2 | 109.2 |
Sources: National Central Banks, ECB, Own calculations
Note: Eurozone Total deposits includes only NFC + Households deposits; For Montenegro, deposits data excludes deposits with Invest Bank and Atlas Bank, according to CBCG


| (EURm) | 1-6 2021 |
1-6 2020 |
YoY | Q2 2021 | Q1 2021 | Q2 2020 | QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest and similar income | 233.1 | 177.2 | 32% | 118.5 | 114.6 | 86.7 | 3% |
| Interest and similar expense | -34.5 | -27.2 | -27% | -17.4 | -17.1 | -14.0 | -2% |
| Net interest income | 198.6 | 150.1 | 32% | 101.1 | 97.5 | 72.7 | 4% |
| Fee and commission income | 155.4 | 111.1 | 40% | 81.5 | 73.8 | 53.3 | 10% |
| Fee and commission expense | -41.3 | -29.6 | -39% | -21.6 | -19.7 | -14.2 | -9% |
| Net fee and commission income | 114.1 | 81.5 | 40% | 59.9 | 54.1 | 39.0 | 11% |
| Dividend income | 0.1 | 0.1 | -39% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - |
| Net income from financial transactions | 26.0 | 24.3 | 7% | 20.8 | 5.3 | 20.5 | - |
| Other operating income | -4.9 | 4.1 | - | -2.0 | -2.8 | 3.9 | 28% |
| Total net operating income | 333.9 | 260.0 | 28% | 179.9 | 154.0 | 136.2 | 17% |
| Employee costs | -111.7 | -82.7 | -35% | -56.5 | -55.1 | -39.8 | -2% |
| Other general and administrative expenses | -62.4 | -46.2 | -35% | -32.6 | -29.8 | -22.5 | -10% |
| Depreciation and amortisation | -23.2 | -15.9 | -46% | -11.6 | -11.6 | -7.9 | 0% |
| Total costs | -197.3 | -144.8 | -36% | -100.7 | -96.6 | -70.2 | -4% |
| Result before impairments and provisions | 136.6 | 115.2 | 19% | 79.1 | 57.5 | 66.0 | 38% |
| Impairments and provisions for credit risk | 30.7 | -32.8 | - | 14.8 | 16.0 | -4.6 | -7% |
| Other impairments and provisions | -11.8 | -0.4 | - | -11.3 | -0.5 | -0.3 | - |
| Gains less losses from capital investments in subsidiaries, associates and joint ventures |
0.4 | 0.4 | -1% | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 121% |
| Negative goodwill | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Result before tax |
156.0 | 82.4 | 89% | 82.9 | 73.1 | 61.3 | 13% |
| Income tax |
-9.6 | -5.5 | -73% | -4.8 | -4.7 | -3.9 | -2% |
| Result of non-controlling interests |
6.6 | 3.2 | 108% | 2.9 | 3.8 | 2.0 | -24% |
| Result after tax attributable to owners of the parent |
139.8 | 73.7 | 90% | 75.2 | 64.6 | 55.4 | 16% |
Individual results of entities in Komercijalna banka group can be notably different as their contribution to NLB Group result due to initial recognition of acquired assets and assumed liabilities at fair value, as required by IFRS 3. This effects mostly the following P&L items:

| (EURm) | 30 Jun 2021 |
31 Dec 2020 | YtD |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSETS | |||
| Cash and balances with Central | |||
| Banks and other demand deposits | |||
| at banks | 4,739.4 | 3,961.8 | 20% |
| Financial instruments |
5,490.9 | 5,119.5 | 7% |
| o/w Trading Book | 13.5 | 84.9 | -84% |
| o/w Non-trading Book |
5,477.4 | 5,034.7 | 9% |
| Loans and advances to banks | |||
| (net) | 243.4 | 197.0 | 24% |
| o/w gross loans | 243.6 | 197.1 | 24% |
| o/w impairments | -0.2 | -0.1 | -55% |
| Loans and advances to customers | 10,071.4 | 9,644.9 | 4% |
| o/w gross loans |
10,421.8 | 10,033.3 | 4% |
| - Corporates |
4,772.7 | 4,631.7 | 3% |
| - State |
344.4 | 374.0 | -8% |
| - Individuals |
5,304.8 | 5,027.6 | 6% |
| o/w impairments and valuation | -350.4 | -388.4 | 10% |
| Investments in associates and JV | 8.4 | 8.0 | 5% |
| Goodwill | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0% |
| Other intagible assets |
52.1 | 58.1 | -10% |
| Property, plant and equipment |
243.8 | 249.1 | -2% |
| Investment property |
53.3 | 54.8 | -3% |
| Other assets | 281.1 | 268.9 | 5% |
| Total Assets | 21,187.3 | 19,565.9 | 8% |
| 30 Jun 2021 |
31 Dec 2020 | YtD |
|---|---|---|
| 78.0 | 72.6 | 7% |
| 17,143.0 | 16,397.2 | 5% |
| 4,130.2 | 3,949.1 | 5% |
| 535.0 | 424.5 | 26% |
| 12,477.8 | 12,023.5 | 4% |
| 976.6 | 249.8 | - |
| 287.6 | 288.3 | 0% |
| 466.8 | 434.9 | 7% |
| 18,952.0 | 17,442.8 | 9% |
| 2.091,4 | 1.952,8 | 7% |
| 143,8 | 170,3 | -16% |
| 2.235,3 | 2.123,0 | 5% |
| 21,187.3 | 19,565.9 | 8% |
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