Earnings Release • Feb 4, 2009
Earnings Release
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Nexity Group (NXI.PA) recorded revenue of €2,683m in 2008, representing a 4% increase compared to the 2007 pro forma figure,2 including the contributions in kind of the Caisses d'Epargne from January 1, 2007.
For the Residential division, the Group's business activity was significantly lower compared to 2007, but remained robust for the Commercial division thanks to a strong volume of order intake during the first half of the year. Reservations of new homes and subdivisions came to 9,061 units in France, a decline of 38% compared to the previous year. Net order intake for the
1 Based on revenue for the last 12 months.
2 The pro forma revenue figure for 2007 is calculated by simulating as of January 1, 2007 the impact of the businesses contributed in July 2007 by Groupe Caisse d'Epargne.
Commercial division was €579m (Nexity portion). The volume of business handled by the Group's Services division was very stable.
The Group's reorganization plan, first adopted in July and further reinforced in October, was implemented in the fourth quarter. Amongst other effects, this plan played a part in maintaining the Group's stock of completed unsold new homes at the low level of 173 units as of December 31, 2008.
The Group's order backlog at the year-end amounted to €3,100m and represents 17 months of revenue from property development activities1 (both residential and commercial).
IN THE WORDS OF ALAIN DININ, CHAIRMAN AND CEO OF NEXITY:
"Fiscal year 2008 has only just come to an end and all the analysts have had their say. In 2009, the low level of physical stock, the pertinence of new measures introduced by the government (tax reductions provided by the Scellier law, doubling of zero-interest loans, extension of the Pass-Foncier® scheme to apartment purchases, block purchases by social housing operators) and the beginnings of a decline in mortgage rates will be among important factors supporting the French real estate market. Combined with continued strong demand for new homes, these positive elements can be seen as pointing to a trend reversal before the end of the year, which should lead the way to a recovery commencing in 2010, once concerns related to the current climate of economic uncertainty have eased.
In response to the steep decline seen by its market in 2008, the Group adopted extensive reorganization measures, which were rapidly implemented and have already begun to bear fruit. Nexity has a sound financial structure combined with a high order backlog, which gives the Group genuine visibility. Current trends demonstrate the pertinence of our market positioning in residential property development: keeping prices at the most competitive level, focusing development in urban areas, packages combining a real estate offer and a property financing solution. In today's market, the Group's diversified business model shows its merits (robust activity in the Commercial division backed by a secure backlog, impressive stability of the Services division)."
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1 Revenue basis over 12-month period.
| Change | 2007 pro | Change vs. 2007 pro |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In millions of euros | 2008 | 2007 | (%) | forma | forma |
| New homes | 1,781.5 | 1,741.7 | +2% | 1,741.7 | +2% |
| Commercial | 344.3 | 355.7 | -3% | 355.7 | -3% |
| Services & Distribution | 551.7 | 289.1 | × 1.9 | 467.8 | +18% |
| Other activities | 5.4 | 8.2 | - | 11.1 | - |
| Total Group revenue | 2,682.9 | 2,394.7 | +12% | 2,576.3 | +4% |
* Revenue generated by the Residential and Commercial divisions is calculated using the percentage-ofcompletion method, on the basis of notarized sales pro-rated to reflect committed construction costs. The revenue figure essentially mirrors the degree of completion of the various construction projects in progress.
Revenue recorded by Nexity Group in 2008 came to €2,682.9 million, representing a 4% increase compared to the 2007 pro forma figure, including the contributions in kind of the Caisses d'Epargne from January 1, 2007.1 Compared to the published revenue figure for 2007, which only includes these contributions from July 1, 2007, revenue grew by 12%.
1 The pro forma revenue figure for 2007 is calculated by simulating as of January 1, 2007 the impact of the businesses contributed in July 2007 by Groupe Caisse d'Epargne.
Net reservations recorded by Nexity Group (NXI.PA) in 2008 fell significantly compared to the previous year's performance. The negative trend already observed in the first half of the year intensified in the second half, compounded by a high number of cancellations relating to reservations made in 2007.
| Change | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| New home and subdivision reservations (units and millions of €) | 2008 | 2007 | (%) |
| New homes (number of units) | 7,307 | 10,919 | -33% |
| Subdivisions (number of units) | 1,754 | 3,784 | -54% |
| Total new home and subdivision reservations | |||
| (number of units) | 9,061 | 14,703 | -38% |
| New home reservations (€m incl. VAT) | 1,361 | 2,202 | -38% |
| Subdivision reservations (€m incl. VAT) | 114 | 317 | -64% |
| Total new home and subdivision reservations (€m incl. VAT) |
1,475 | 2,519 | -41% |
1 Down 41% excluding Iselection.
2 Down 36% excluding Iselection.
3 Please note that the reservation figures communicated by the Group represent net reservations; this calculation corresponds to the number of gross reservations recorded during the period concerned, from which the number of cancellations recorded in the same period is deducted, even if such cancellations relate to gross reservations booked in previous periods.
| Change | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| New home reservations (units) | 2008 | 2007 | (%) |
| Gross new home reservations, excluding Iselection and | |||
| block sales (number of units) | 9,211 | 12,194 | -24% |
| New home cancellations (number of units) | (4,755) | (3,681) | +29% |
| Block sales and Iselection1 | 2,851 | 2,406 | N/A |
| Net new home reservations (number of units) | 7,307 | 10,919 | -33% |
The second half of the year saw a considerable escalation in the existing trend, with 3,929 gross reservations and 2,951 cancellations. The latter figure is partially attributable to project cancellations and suspensions by the Group, which entailed cancellation of 367 reservations. Excluding the impact of these 367 cancellations, the drop in net new home reservations would have been limited to 30%.
The information herein mentioned does not include the pre-reservation of 422 new homes by SNI, signed with the Group at the end of 2008, since the confirmation of these reservations remains subject to the consent of the municipalities in which the operations in question are located.
| New home reservations (units) | 2008 | H2 2008 | H1 2008 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross new home reservations, excluding Iselection and | |||
| block sales (number of units) | 9,211 | 3,929 | 5,282 |
| New home cancellations (number of units) | (4,755) | (2,951) | (1,804) |
| Block sales and Iselection1 | 2,851 | 1,897 | 954 |
| Net new home reservations (number of units) | 7,307 | 2,875 | 4,432 |
In value terms, new home reservations totaled €1,361 million, representing a 38% decrease.2 The average price of new homes sold, excluding block sales to institutional investors and Iselection sales, was €200 thousand, 4% lower than the average price in 2007.
| Average sale price & floor area | 2008 | 2007 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average price of new homes per sq.m (€ incl. VAT)* | 3,306 | 3,421 | -3% |
| Average size of new homes (sq.m)* | 60.4 | 61.0 | -0.6 |
| Average price of new homes (per unit, €k incl. VAT)* | 199.6 | 208.8 | -4% |
* Excluding block sales and Iselection
Home buyers accounted for 32% of reservations, a lower percentage than in 2007, while the proportion of sales to individual investors also declined (33%). Conversely, sales to institutional investors, chiefly social housing operators, increased by 5 percentage points and represented 35% of total sales, as against 22% in 2007.
1 Including reservations recorded by Iselection as from January 1, 2008.
2 Down 41% excluding Iselection.
| % of total | % of total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Breakdown of new home reservations by client | 2008 | (2008) | (2007) |
| Home buyers (number of units) | 2,363 | 32% | 41% |
| o/w first-time buyers | 1,347 | 18% | 22% |
| Private investors (number of units) | 2,425 | 33% | 37% |
| Institutional investors (number of units) | 2,519 | 35% | 22% |
| Total new home reservations | |||
| (number of units) | 7,307 | 100% | 100% |
At the same time, in order to limit its exposure, the Group maintained its prudent approach, by favoring pre-commercialization prior to launching the construction phase of operations. In 2008, the average level of pre-commercialization recorded at the time work was launched was 59%.
All of these measures allowed the Group notably to keep its stock of completed unsold units at a very low level: as of December 31, 2008, this total came to 173 units (compared to 186 as of September 30, 2008).
• The only market outside France where the Group has a significant presence in new home property development is Northern Italy, through its subsidiary Nexity Residenziale, an entity created as a joint venture with a local developer in 2007. Active in a new home market that seems to be less affected by the current crisis than those of other European countries, Nexity Residenziale has already made its mark thanks to the success of its first project commercialization roll-outs in 2008. In all, eight projects have been rolled out, mainly in the regions of Milan and Turin, representing a total supply of 462 new homes. In 2008, 284 options to purchase (proposte d'acquista) and 91 purchase agreements (compromessi) were recorded, corresponding to revenue figures including VAT of €53 million and €18 million, respectively.
• The overall context of the commercial investment market in France took a significant downturn in 2008. Total investment amounted to €12.5 billion,1 a decline of 55% compared to 2007. Investment activity has thus returned to the level reached in 2004. The average size of transactions fell significantly, and far fewer transactions in excess of €100 million were recorded. The proportion of transaction volumes involving investment funds and real estate investment companies saw a marked decline.
The decline in this market is explained by a set of drastic changes in investors' access to bank financing (minimum equity requirements, bank spreads, difficulties in syndication for major transactions) and the wait-and-see attitude on the part of these investors, in a general context of uncertainty as regards valuations. As of December 31, 2008, prime yields for office properties rose by 175 to 200 basis points, depending on the location.1
The total take-up of office space in the Paris region was 2.4 million sq.m, a drop of 14% compared to 2007.1 Buoyed by a few large transactions in the third quarter, the market fell sharply in the fourth quarter. New-build or refurbished units accounted for 44% of take-up, thus confirming the attractiveness of high-quality office space. In the Paris Region, the vacancy rate remains very low (5%), with an immediate supply of 2.7 million sq.m, a 13% increase compared to end-2007. Average rents declined by 1% over the year.
• Net order intake recorded by Nexity in 2008 reached €579 million excluding VAT (Nexity portion). Orders booked notably include the trading-room building for Société Générale in La Défense (43,000 sq.m), on which construction work began during the summer. Other significant transactions include the VEFA deal (sale before completion) for the B2 building in Boulogne to Eurosic (8,000 sq.m).
| Commercial division business activity | 2008 | 2007 |
|---|---|---|
| Offices, net orders (sq.m) | 48,400 | 155,000 |
| Warehouses, distribution centers and other activities (sq.m) | 38,800 | 76,600 |
| Net order intake (sq.m) | 87,200 | 231,600 |
| Net order intake (€m, excl. VAT) | 578.9 | 509.9 |
The volume of business handled by the Services division was very stable. As of December 31, 2008, the number of managed residential housing units topped 1 million, thus remaining unchanged compared to the previous year, and included 84,000 units outside France (mainly in Germany, Belgium and Poland). Commercial units under management grew 19% to 8.8 million sq.m, thanks to new mandates and portfolio acquisitions.
The Group continues to reorganize its Services business, focusing on its main brands (Lamy, Saggel and Richardière), and confirms its aim of increasing the average operating margin in this business to a minimum of 10% over the coming years.
1 Source: CBRE.
| Residential housing and commercial units under management |
Dec. 31, 2008 | Dec. 31, 2007 | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rental management (number of units) | 216,000 | 208,500 | +4% |
| Condominium management (number of units) | 791,000 | 794,100 | - |
| RESIDENTIAL: Property under management (units) | 1,007,000 | 1,002,600 | - |
| COMMERCIAL: Rental management (sq.m) | 8,804,100 | 7,422,800 | +19% |
Within the Distribution division, the Group's franchise networks turned in a slightly lower performance, with 1,599 agencies at end-2008, compared to 1,642 at end-2007.1 The net change in the number of agencies in the Century 21 network was affected by the exit at the beginning of 2008 of a group of 31 agencies, when they were sold by the owner. The Group's network of agencies weathered the current downturn better than the sector as a whole, with a drop in negotiated transactions of 15% (excluding Kéops Résidentiel), as against 20% for the sector.2
| Franchise networks – Number of agencies | Dec. 31, 2008 | Dec. 31, 2007 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Century 21 France agencies | 917 | 943 | -26 |
| Guy Hoquet l'Immobilier agencies | 632 | 627 | +5 |
| Keops Résidentiel agencies* | 50 | 72 | -22 |
| Total number of agencies | 1,599 | 1,642 | -43 |
* part of the Distribution division since January 1, 2008
Also included in the Distribution division, Iselection commercialized 1,089 units during the year as a vendor of real estate savings products on behalf of third party real estate developers.
In 2008, a total of 27,000 sq.m was made available by Nexity Villes & Projets, essentially corresponding to residential units in Boulogne (Hauts-de-Seine). As of December 31, 2008, Nexity Villes & Projets thus had a non-commercialized land potential representing a total floor area of 890,000 sq.m,3 including 540,000 sq.m in the Paris region. Fifty-five percent of this total area corresponded to potential residential properties, compared to 35% for offices and related activities, and 10% for retail.
1 Including the Keops Résidentiel network, contributed by Groupe Caisse d'Epargne as part of the July 2007 operations.
2 Source: Century 21.
3 Indicative floor areas, which may be adjusted following the attribution of administrative authorizations.
| In millions of euros (excl. VAT) | Dec. 31, 2008 | Dec. 31, 2007 | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| New homes | 1,865 | 2,316 | -19% |
| Subdivisions | 265 | 329 | -19% |
| Residential division backlog | 2,130 | 2,645 | -19% |
| Commercial division backlog | 970 | 768 | +26% |
| Total Group backlog | 3,100 | 3,413 | -9% |
As of December 31, 2008, the Group's total order backlog amounted to €3,100 million and represented 17 months' development revenue for Nexity.1 Within this total, the Residential order backlog represents 14 months of revenue for this division1 while that for the Commercial division represents 2.8 years of revenue.1
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1 Revenue basis over 12-month period.
| - | Fiscal year 2008 results | Tuesday, February 24, 2009 | Market close |
|---|---|---|---|
| --- | -------------------------- | ---------------------------- | -------------- |
A conference call on 2008 Revenue and Business Activity will be accessible in English at 3:00 p.m. CET on Thursday, February 5, 2009, by dialing the following numbers:
| - | Dial-in number (France) | +33 (0)1 70 99 35 15 | Access code: Nexity |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | Dial-in number (rest of Europe) | +44 (0)207 153 2027 | Access code: Nexity |
| - | Dial-in number (United States) | +1(0) 480 629 1990 | Access code: Nexity |
Playback will be available by phone after the conference call by dialing the following
number:
+44 (0)207 190 5901 (Access code: 141477#)
The presentation accompanying this conference can be accessed at the following address: http://webcast.hugingroup.com/20090205_nexity/
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The information, assumptions and estimates that were used to determine these objectives are subject to change or modification due to economic, financial and competitive uncertainties. Furthermore, it is possible that some of the risks described in chapter 4 of the Document de Référence, filed with the AMF under number D. 08-0295 on April 25, 2008 could have an impact on the company's ability to achieve these objectives. Accordingly, the Company cannot give any assurance as to whether it will achieve the objectives described, and makes no commitment or undertaking to update or otherwise revise this information.
The largest fully integrated real estate group in France, Nexity uses its comprehensive range of sector-specific skills and expertise to serve the private individuals, companies and local authorities that make up its customer base. As well as being a leader across the entire spectrum of real estate businesses—property development (homes, offices, retail and other businesses), real estate services for private individuals and companies, franchise networks, turnkey urban development, specialized financing, and asset management—Nexity is today able to provide global responses to the needs of its customers. Nexity is present throughout France, and in other European countries.
Index membership: SBF80, SBF120, CACmid100, Next150 and MSCI SmallCap France Mnemo: NXI - Reuters: NXI.PA - Bloomberg: NXI FP ISIN code: FR0010112524
Financial analysts/Investors Press
Investor Relations Director Communications Director [email protected] [email protected]
Olivier Seux +33 (0)1 71 12 15 49 Guillaume Idier +33 (0)1 71 12 15 52
NEW HOMES
| In millions of euros | 2008 | 2007 | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| New homes | 1,606.3 | 1,565.9 | +3% |
| Subdivisions | 175.2 | 175.8 | - |
| New homes and subdivisions | 1,781.5 | 1,741.7 | +2% |
| In millions of euros | 2008 | 2007 | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Office buildings | 274.6 | 280.1 | -2% |
| Warehouses and distribution centers | 30.2 | 48.3 | -37% |
| International | 39.6 | 27.3 | +45% |
| Commercial | 344.3 | 355.7 | -3% |
| In millions of euros | 2008 | 2007 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Services | 436.9 | 255.3 | ns |
| Distribution | 114.8 | 33.8 | ns |
| Services & Distribution | 551.7 | 289.1 | ns |
| 2007 | 2008 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In millions of euros | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
| New homes | 372.8 | 403.3 | 391.7 | 573.9 | 421.0 | 483.0 | 407.7 | 469.8 |
| Commercial | 98.8 | 106.4 | 77.7 | 72.8 | 60.3 | 81.8 | 87.3 | 114.9 |
| Services & Distribution | 21.3 | 23.7 | 124.3 | 119.8 | 128.5 | 131.2 | 141.0 | 151.0 |
| Other activities | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Revenue | 493.4 | 534.0 | 595.3 | 772.0 | 610.7 | 697.9 | 637.2 | 737.1 |
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