Investor Presentation • Jan 21, 2020
Investor Presentation
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Company presentation January 2020
This Presentation has been produced by Nel ASA (the "Company" or "Nel") in connection with a potential private placement and may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, to any other person. This presentation is strictly confidential, has not been reviewed or registered with any public authority or stock exchange, and may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, to any other person. To the best of the knowledge of the Company, the information contained in this Presentation is in all material respect in accordance with the facts as of the date hereof, and contains no material omissions likely to affect its import. However, no representation or warranty (express or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, any information, including projections, estimates, targets and opinions, contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein, and, accordingly, neither the Company nor any of its subsidiary companies or any such person's officers or employees accepts any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this Presentation.
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AN INVESTMENT IN THE COMPANY INVOLVES RISK, AND SEVERAL FACTORS COULD CAUSE THE ACTUAL RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR ACHIEVEMENTS OF THE COMPANY TO BE MATERIALLY DIFFERENT FROM ANY FUTURE RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR ACHIEVEMENTS THAT MAY BE EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED BY STATEMENTS AND INFORMATION IN THIS PRESENTATION, INCLUDING, AMONG OTHERS, RISKS OR UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH THE COMPANY'S BUSINESS, SEGMENTS, DEVELOPMENT, GROWTH MANAGEMENT, FINANCING, MARKET ACCEPTANCE AND RELATIONS WITH CUSTOMERS, AND, MORE GENERALLY, GENERAL ECONOMIC AND BUSINESS CONDITIONS, CHANGES IN DOMESTIC AND FOREIGN LAWS AND REGULATIONS, TAXES, CHANGES IN COMPETITION AND PRICING ENVIRONMENTS, FLUCTUATIONS IN CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATES AND INTEREST RATES AND OTHER FACTORS.
SHOULD ONE OR MORE OF THESE RISKS OR UNCERTAINTIES MATERIALISE, OR SHOULD UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS PROVE INCORRECT, ACTUAL RESULTS MAY VARY MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DESCRIBED IN THIS PRESENTATION. THE COMPANY DOES NOT INTEND, AND DOES NOT ASSUME ANY OBLIGATION, TO UPDATE OR CORRECT THE INFORMATION INCLUDED IN THIS PRESENTATION.
Any decision to invest must only be made with careful consideration and not in reliance solely on the introductory information provided herein which does not purport to be complete. Any application to invest will be subject to a term sheet setting out the terms and conditions of the securities and an application form to which any investment will be subject. The Managers, their parent or subsidiary undertakings or affiliates or any such person's directors, officers, employees, advisors or representatives shall not have any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this Presentation and to the extent an investment is made, such investment will be made subject to this exclusion of liability. By attending or receiving this Presentation you acknowledge that you will be solely responsible for your own assessment of the market and the market position of the Company and that you will conduct your own analysis and be solely responsible for forming your own view of the potential future performance of the Company's business. This Presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities in any jurisdiction to any person to whom it is unlawful to make such an offer or solicitation in such jurisdiction.
• Capable of delivering solutions to produce, store and distribute hydrogen from renewable energy –
Rapid fall in the cost of renewable energy (e.g. solar and wind power) will eventually drive renewable hydrogen to outcompete natural-gas based hydrogen as electricity accounts for 70-80% of green hydrogen
STRONG MOMENTUM WITHIN MOBILITY – ESPECIALLY WITHIN HDV 1
ACCELERATED FOCUS ON INDUSTRIAL HYDROGEN APPLICATIONS
2
Hydrogen as the preferred future fuel alternative – facilitates true zero emission from production to use
Selected announcements:
Selected applications:
Electrolysis potential >2,000 GW
Strong adoption of hydrogen application across industries with huge overall potential
Electrolysis potential >2,000 GW
Hyundai reveals Heavy-Duty Truck concepts – plan to deliver 1,600 trucks to Switzerland Anglo American/Engie to develop Fuel Cell Electric mining trucks IVECO and Nikola partnering in the European fuel cell Heavy-Duty Truck market
Recent investments by gas heavyweights illustrate the increasing emphasis placed on hydrogen as part of the clean energy transition
20% stake in British electrolyser manufacturer ITM Power
10% stake in Swiss green hydrogen producer and supplier Hydrospider
18.6% stake in the capital of the Canadian company Hydrogenics Corporation
Undisclosed stake in FirstElement Fuel, a retail hydrogen station operator
Nel will increase use of resources related to the electrolyser manufacturing expansion project to realise significant cost reductions and to maintain and improve its position, especially in connection with new large-scale projects
Nel is today the world's largest manufacturer of both alkaline and PEM electrolysers, and is also one of the leading hydrogen refueling station manufactures
Increase investment in technology development, both for improving existing as well as developing future platforms
Continue to develop the organization, both within engineering, project execution, production and process improvements
Prepare for rapid capacity expansions and entry into new markets/regions
HYBRIT fossil free steel plant under construction in Luleå (Picture: H2View)
| KEY TRANSACTION DETAILS | USE OF PROCEEDS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| CONTEMPLATED TRANSACTION |
Private placement • |
• Maintain and strengthen market position through accelerated investments in technology and organization to take advantage of the attractive market opportunities |
|
| OFFER SIZE | • Up to 89,000,000 new ordinary shares (approx. 7.3% of the outstanding capital) |
• Strengthening investment in development and innovation across segments and technologies to stay on the technological forefront • Continue to develop the organization, both within management systems, engineering, project execution, production and process improvement − Additional focus on people and safety |
|
| OFFER PRICE | • To be determined through book building |
||
| MINIMUM SUBSCRIPTION |
• NOK equivalent of EUR 100,000 |
• Strengthening the balance sheet and financial position to satisfy counterpart requirements on large scale projects • Ability to satisfy contractual obligations |
|
| CONDITIONS | Board approval of the • transaction based on the authorization to issue shares from the annual general meeting |
• Ability to provide required bonds/guarantees • The proceeds will also fund additional working capital in response to increased order volumes and contract sizes, as well as general corporate purposes |
| TRADING UPDATE | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | Q4 sales slightly higher than Q3 | ||
| EBITDA (reported) |
Q4 EBITDA (reported) is negatively impacted by significant ramp-up costs and other non-recurring costs as a result of increased activity. Including year-end closing judgements and evaluation of various projects, EBITDA may end around NOK -45 million. In terms of adjusted EBITDA, this may end around NOK -25 million. |
||
| Cash reserve | Q4 cash reserve of NOK ~520 million | ||
| Backlog | Current order backlog NOK ~510 million in combination with an all time high pipeline | ||
| Update on Uno-X Hydrogen |
Uno-X Hydrogen AS is a JV owned 39% by Nel, which owns and operates hydrogen infrastructure in Norway. Since the incident at one of its stations in June, the remaining two JV-stations have been out of operation. In the event of the JV ceasing operations, Nel could incur write down cost of the investment in the range of NOK 30 mill. |
||
| 27 DECEMBER 2019 PURCHASE ORDER |
• Purchase order from Everfuel Europe A/S for the delivery of a H2Station® fueling solution for a fleet of taxis in Copenhagen, Denmark |
|---|---|
| 20 DECEMBER 2019 PURCHASE ORDER |
• Purchase order for the delivery of two H2Station® units for fueling of vehicles in Europe • EUR ~2 million contract value (further details will be released in Q1-2020) |
| 20 DECEMBER 2019 ESTABLISHES JOINT VENTURE |
• Establishment of Green H2 Norway, a JV together with H2 Energy AS, Greenstat AS and Akershus Energi Infrastruktur AS • Renewable hydrogen production facilities to supply hydrogen to Hyundai trucks which are expected in Norway from 2020 |
| 17 DECEMBER 2019 PURCHASE ORDER |
• Purchase order from OrangeGas for the delivery of multiple H2Station® units for fueling of predominately light duty fuel cell electric vehicles in the Netherlands (EUR ~3 million) |
| 9 DECEMBER 2019 PURCHASE ORDER |
• Purchase order, following a previously announced contract, for a 3.5 MW electrolyser from ENGIE (~USD 4m contract value) • Part of solution to produce renewable hydrogen for the world's largest fuel cell electric mining haul truck for Anglo American |
| 4 DECEMBER 2019 PURCHASE ORDER |
• Purchase order from Hydrogen Energy Network Co., Ltd. (HyNet) for two additional H2Station® hydrogen fueling stations in Korea (EUR ~2.7 million) – Nel is up to a total of 12 H2Station® orders in Korea in 2019 |
A unique opportunity in the hydrogen space
Hydrogen market is set to grow by 10x by 2050, today electrolysis represents only ~1% of the market
Large cost reductions for renewable energy combined with falling electrolyser capex leads to total cost of renewable hydrogen approaching fossil parity
Among the largest electrolyser and hydrogen fueling station manufacturers with >3,500 electrolyser solutions delivered in ~80 countries worldwide
4 Broad portfolio covers relevant technologies & sizes One-stop-shop offering solutions for production and fueling of hydrogen
5 Nel will continue to invest to maintain and strengthen leadership position and capture attractive market opportunities
Global hydrogen market, by end-use1):
1
Large potential for growth, driven by increasing focus on climate and renewable energy, decreasing electricity prices and decreasing electrolyser capex
Special focus on renewable hydrogen for refineries and ammonia, accounting for ~80% of the market
Electrolysis is set to take larger share of overall hydrogen market. Annual electrolyser market potential of >\$20
Global energy demand supplied with Hydrogen (mill tons)1)
| ٠ | ٠ ٠ |
|
|---|---|---|
Mobility
(transportation)
Power-To-X to drive additional growth – decreasing cost of renewable hydrogen (and oxygen) is opening up new business areas
Photos: Yara, Equinor, IAV, Tizir, SSAB, Nexofin, TU, DN, SinkabergHansen
Cost of wind and solar has dropped by 70% and 89% respectively during last decade – renewable hydrogen following the same path
Global average solar PV LCOE
Unsubsidised levelized cost of energy (\$/MWh) 2)
\$135 \$124
2
Note: 1) LCOE = Levelised cost of energy, which is a way of calculating the total production cost of building and operating an electricity-generating plant Source: 2) Lazard; Renewables Now, 3)Elpasoheraldpost 4) IRENA (International Renewable Energy Agency); 5) BloombergNEF New Energy Outlook 2018 Hydrogen technology is behind solar and wind on the maturity curve, but catching up – key technology going forward to be decided
2
2
Capex of hydrogen production (\$/kW) of SMR vs Nel alkaline electrolysers
2
Source: Nel
24
Low cost renewable electricity enables fossil parity for hydrogen - expect price to decrease further going forward
2
LCOE of new build wind and solar vs marginal cost of coal and nuclear in 2019 [\$/MWh], Source: Lazard and Nel | purple lines illustrate combination of capex & opex
Electrolyser manufacturers 2018 revenues, USD million
From kW- to multi-MW industrial size hydrogen production plants
The hydrogen market is expected to grow significantly and renewable hydrogen is on a trajectory to outcompete fossil hydrogen
Increasing adoption of industrial hydrogen applications with huge overall potential
Strong momentum within mobility – especially within HDV. Hydrogen as the preferred future fuel alternative – facilitates true zero emission from production to use
To maintain and strengthen its leading position in a growing market, Nel will accelerate investments in organization and technology
Markets in which Nel operates show high activity and strong growth momentum – increasingly important to be a financially strong counterpart, especially for larger contracts
Nel targets to maintain its current leading position in the electrolysis sector, continuing to develop both PEM and alkaline technologies to satisfy specific customer needs and preferences
Alkaline electrolyser manufacturing plant with possibility to grow beyond 1 GW/year
Possible set-up for 3 production lines at the Herøya facilities, each line with an initial name-plate capacity of 360 MW/year
Nel cannot know for certain whether hydrogen will become a major energy carrier, or whether renewable energy will be a large source of hydrogen production for industrial purposes in the future
There is still uncertainty regarding which electrolyser technologies that will become the "winning technologies" in the future. In the meantime Nel will pursue multiple technology tracks (like atmospheric alkaline, pressurized alkaline and PEM) which demands significant capital investments
There is still uncertainty within the area of mobility, especially heavy duty (e.g. trucks, busses, trains, boats, ferries), where development of new technology elements will require significant capital investments. To what extent fuel cell based technology will be the winning solution or not is still uncertain
There is no guarantee that the price of renewable electricity will continue to decrease, hence there is no guarantee for the future competitiveness of renewable hydrogen vs f.ex hydrogen from natural gas w/carbon capture and storage (blue hydrogen)
There is no guarantee that there will be enough production capacity and high enough capacity utilization to drive down manufacturing costs according to envisaged target levels. Further cost reductions are critical for the overall success of Nel and renewable hydrogen
Nel's ability to execute successfully on large commercial projects, projects may be located in various parts of the world and could incur significant cost overruns as well as delays
Nikola and/or Nel's ability to execute according to the framework contract, incl. technical solutions and deliveries, commercial discussions and the overall financial attractiveness of the contract/POs for both parties
Investments for developing new technologies and production facilities may exceed the current estimates
The Nel organization is currently relatively small, especially in light of the large potential opportunities that lies ahead. There is no guarantee that Nel will be able to build a capable organization at the speed that is required to maintain its leadership position
Nel's ability to maintain a leadership position within hydrogen electrolysers and hydrogen fueling - new, strong competitors may enter our markets
Nel perceives the largest risk to be carrying out demanding investments, technology developments and fulfilling large orders over a relative short period, while at the same time successfully developing the organization
| (NOK million) | 2019 Q3* |
2018 Q3** |
2018 Full year |
2017 Full year*** |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 148.9 | 116.0 | 489.0 | 302.2 |
| Total operating costs | 197.3 | 182.2 | 685.1 | 419.4 |
| EBITDA | -28.9 | -53.3 | -131.6 | -77.4 |
| EBIT | -48.4 | -66.3 | -196.1 | -117.2 |
| Pre-tax loss | -34.3 | -67.4 | -197.5 | -124.4 |
| Net loss | -32.4 | -65.5 | -188.9 | -52.4 |
| Net cash flow from operating activities | -31.0 | -37.4 | -142.6 | -113.0 |
| Cash balance at end of period | 651.0 | 434.1 | 349.7 | 295.0 |
* The numbers for 2019 include effects of IFRS 16 and comparative figures have not been re-stated
** EBITDA negatively impacted in Q3 18, total non-recurring and other cost of NOK 36.5 million
*** The figures include Proton OnSite from the acquisition date, 30 June 2017
| (NOK million) | 2019 Q3 |
2018 Year End |
|---|---|---|
| Non-current assets | 1,397.6 | 1,307.7 |
| Current assets | 1,096.3 | 636.7 |
| -of which is cash and cash equivalents | 651.0 | 349.7 |
| Equity | 1,951.3 | 1,579.0 |
| Non-current liabilities | 203.5 | 175.9 |
| Current liabilities | 339.1 | 189.5 |
| Total balance | 2,493.9 | 1,944.4 |
| Equity ratio (%) | 78.2% | 81.2% |
| (NOK million) | 2019 Q3 |
2018 Full year |
|---|---|---|
| Pre-tax loss | -34.3 | -197.5 |
| Net cash from operations | -31.0 | -142.6 |
| Net cash from investments | -26.4 | -143.5 |
| Net cash from financing | 10.7 | 340.8 |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | -46.7 | 54.7 |
| Cash at end of period | 651.0 | 349.7 |
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