Investor Presentation • Jan 30, 2019
Investor Presentation
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This Presentation has been produced by Nel ASA (the "Company" or "Nel ") in connection with a potential private placement and is solely for use at the presentation to investors and other stake holders and may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, to any other person. This presentation is strictly confidential, has not been reviewed or registered with any public authority or stock exchange, and may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, to any other person. To the best of the knowledge of the Company, the information contained in this Presentation is in all material respect in accordance with the facts as of the date hereof, and contains no material omissions likely to affect its importance. However, no representation or warranty (express or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, any information, including projections, estimates, targets and opinions, contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein, and, accordingly, neither the Company nor any of its subsidiary companies or any such person's officers or employees accepts any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this Presentation.
This Presentation contains information obtained from third parties. Such information has been accurately reproduced and, as far as the Company is aware and able to ascertain from the information published by that third party, no facts have been omitted that would render the reproduced information to be inaccurate or misleading. This Presentation contains certain forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company and/or the industry in which it operates. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words "believes", expects", "predicts", "intends", "projects", "plans", "estimates", "aims", "foresees", "anticipates", "targets", and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third party sources are solely opinions and forecasts which are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual events to differ materially from any anticipated development. None of the Company or any of its parent or subsidiary undertakings or any such person's officers or employees provides any assurance that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors nor does any of them accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this Presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments. The Company assumes no obligation, except as required by law, to update any forward-looking statements or to conform these forward-looking statements to our actual results.
The Presentation is not for publication or distribution, in whole or in part directly or indirectly, in or into Australia, Canada, Japan or the United States (including its territories and possessions, any state of the United States and the District of Columbia) or any other jurisdiction in which the release, publication or distribution would be unlawful. The distribution of this Presentation may in certain jurisdictions be restricted by law. Persons into whose possession this release comes should inform themselves about and observe any such restrictions. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of the securities laws of any such jurisdiction. The Manager is acting for the Company and no one else in connection with the matters discussed in this Presentation and will not be responsible to anyone other than the Company for providing the protections afforded to their respective clients or for providing advice in relation to any matter referred to in this Presentation.
AN INVESTMENT IN THE COMPANY INVOLVES RISK, AND SEVERAL FACTORS COULD CAUSE THE ACTUAL RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR ACHIEVEMENTS OF THE COMPANY TO BE MATERIALLY DIFFERENT FROM ANY FUTURE RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR ACHIEVEMENTS THAT MAY BE EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED BY STATEMENTS AND INFORMATION IN THIS PRESENTATION, INCLUDING, AMONG OTHERS, RISKS OR UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH THE COMPANY'S BUSINESS, SEGMENTS, DEVELOPMENT, GROWTH MANAGEMENT, FINANCING, MARKET ACCEPTANCE AND RELATIONS WITH CUSTOMERS, AND, MORE GENERALLY, GENERAL ECONOMIC AND BUSINESS CONDITIONS, CHANGES IN DOMESTIC AND FOREIGN LAWS AND REGULATIONS, TAXES, CHANGES IN COMPETITION AND PRICING ENVIRONMENTS, FLUCTUATIONS IN CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATES AND INTEREST RATES AND OTHER FACTORS.
SHOULD ONE OR MORE OF THESE RISKS OR UNCERTAINTIES MATERIALISE, OR SHOULD UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS PROVE INCORRECT, ACTUAL RESULTS MAY VARY MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DESCRIBED IN THIS PRESENTATION. THE COMPANY DOES NOT INTEND, AND DOES NOT ASSUME ANY OBLIGATION, TO UPDATE OR CORRECT THE INFORMATION INCLUDED IN THIS PRESENTATION.
By attending or receiving this Presentation you acknowledge that you will be solely responsible for your own assessment of the market and the market position of the Company and that you will conduct your own analysis and be solely responsible for forming your own view of the potential future performance of the Company's business. This Presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities in any jurisdiction to any person to whom it is unlawful to make such an offer or solicitation in such jurisdiction.
* Figures include Proton OnSite from the acquisition date, 30 June 2017; ** Combined Nel and Proton OnSite figures on 2017 full-year basis. Note that these numbers only represent a simple combination of the two companies' revenue numbers and hence do not represent pro forma figures with the potential adjustments that such numbers would require. Combined figures are not audited
| KEY TRANSACTION DETAILS | USE OF PROCEEDS | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONTEMPLATED TRANSACTION |
• Private placement |
• Continued investment in development and innovation across segments and technologies to stay on the technological forefront and to take advantage of the |
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| OFFER SIZE | • Approx. 7.6% of current shares outstanding |
attractive market opportunities, including: − Upgrading existing H2Station® technology to better accommodate Heavy Duty Vehicle ("HDV") applications (ref. announced contract on H2Station® for Heavy |
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| OFFER PRICE | • To be determined through book building |
Duty Vehicles) − Development of high capacity cooling/compression technologies to accommodate |
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| MINIMUM SUBSCRIPTION |
• NOK equivalent of EUR 100,000 |
future Nikola stations as well as other future HDV applications (trains, ferries, etc.) − Development of next generation electrolyzer technology for industrial applications, such as ammonia (ref. Yara project), refineries, etc. |
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| CONDITIONS | • Board approval of the transaction based on the authorization to issue shares from the annual general meeting |
• The proceeds will also fund additional working capital in response to increased order volumes and improved positioning to benefit from markets with high activity and growth momentum, as well as general corporate purposes |
New facility located right next to existing plant
8-cluster electrolyzer solution, produces 8 tons of hydrogen per day
Overall hydrogen market set to grow by 10x by 2050, hydrogen in HDV space developing faster than anticipated, accelerating growth - renewables expected to be the key driver
Large cost reductions for renewable energy combined with falling electrolyzer capex leads to total cost of renewable hydrogen reaching fossil parity
Among the largest electrolyzer and hydrogen fueling station manufacturers with >3,500 electrolyzer solutions delivered in ~80 countries worldwide
Nel will continue to invest to maintain and strengthen leadership position and capture attractive market opportunities
Global hydrogen market, by end-use:
Large potential for growth, driven by increasing focus on climate and renewable energy, decreasing electricity prices and decreasing electrolyzer capex
Special focus on renewable hydrogen for refineries and ammonia, accounting for ~80% of the market
Electrolysis is set to take larger share of overall hydrogen market. Annual electrolyzer market potential of >\$20 billion/ year within existing hydrogen market alone
Global energy demand supplied with Hydrogen (mill tons)1)
Heavy truck activity
Cost of wind and solar has dropped by 69% and 88% respectively during last decade – renewable hydrogen following the same path
Solar PV LCOE
2
Note: 1) LCOE = Levelised cost of energy, which is a way of calculating the total production cost of building and operating an electricity-generating plant Source: 2) Lazard; Renewables Now, 3) IRENA (International Renewable Energy Agency); 4) BloombergNEF New Energy Outlook 2018
Hydrogen technology is behind solar and wind on the maturity curve, but catching up – key technology going forward to be decided
2
Source: Nel
3
3
Total hydrogen fueling station projects announced since 1 Jan 2017 – as of Oct 2018
Nel well positioned with key electrolysis technologies in its portfolio – further development needed to maintain position 4
Broad offering within H2 fueling – developing new solutions to strengthen position in heavy duty vehicle ("HDV") segments 4
Nel offers renewable hydrogen solutions, efficient system integration, project development and sales across segments
$$
\begin{array}{c}\n\downarrow \
\hline\n\downarrow\n\end{array} \xrightarrow{\text{H}} e^{-\frac{\beta}{\ln(1+\beta)}}, H_2 \xrightarrow{\text{H}} H_2 \xrightarrow{\text{H}} \begin{array}{c}\n\downarrow \
\hline\n\downarrow\n\end{array} \xrightarrow{\text{H}} H_2
$$
"Nikola Motor Company is building the largest hydrogen network in the world that consists of over 700 stations. We looked for a partner that had history and could keep up with our needs and demands. Nel has the experience and history to be a great partner and has proven that by delivering on time with our existing purchase orders. Our team at Nikola is looking forward to keeping Nel as our supplier and rolling out their new hydrogen technology throughout our station network."
Trevor Milton, CEO of Nikola Motor
The hydrogen market is expected to grow significantly and renewable hydrogen is on a trajectory to outcompete fossil hydrogen
Mobility is set to become one of the dominating hydrogen markets, and heavy duty applications are developing faster than expected
Nel will continue investing in development and innovation across all segments and technologies to stay on the technological forefront and to take advantage of the attractive market opportunities we see going forward, with a near-term focus on developing 1) larger scale electrolyzers; 2) heavy duty fueling solutions
Uncertainty as to which electrolyzer technology will become the "winning technology". However with its full offering and strategic investments Nel can maintain current position in the sector
3,500 hydrogen solutions delivered in >80 countries world wide since 1927
300 stations per year capacity
Fueling station for hydrogen trucks in Trondheim, Norway
Nel cannot know for certain whether hydrogen will become a major energy carrier, or whether renewable energy will be a large source of hydrogen production for industrial purposes in the future
There is still uncertainty regarding which electrolyzer technologies that will become the "winning technologies" in the future. In the meantime Nel will pursue multiple technology tracks (like atmospheric alkaline, pressurized alkaline and PEM) which demands significant capital investments
There is still uncertainty within the area of transportation, especially heavy duty (e.g. trucks, busses, trains, boats, ferries), where development of new technology elements will require significant capital investments. To what extent fuel cell based technology will be the winning solution or not is still uncertain
There is no guarantee that the price of renewable electricity will continue to decrease, hence there is no guarantee for the future competitiveness of renewable hydrogen which rely heavily on this critical input
There is no guarantee that there will be enough production capacity and high enough capacity utilization to drive down manufacturing costs according to envisaged target levels. Further cost reductions are critical for the overall success of Nel and renewable hydrogen
There is no guarantee that Nel will be able to execute successfully on large commercial projects, projects may be located in various parts of the world and could incur significant cost overruns as well as delays
The Nikola contract may be delayed and/or Nikola may not prove successful in the launch of their new truck
Investments for developing new technologies and production facilities may exceed the current estimates
The Nel organization is currently relatively small, especially in light of the large potential opportunities that lies ahead. There is no guarantee that Nel will be able to build a capable organization at the speed that is required to maintain its leadership position
There is no guarantee that Nel will be able to maintain a leadership position within hydrogen electrolyzers and hydrogen fueling - new, strong competitors may enter our markets
Nel perceives the largest risk to be carrying out demanding investments, technology developments and fulfilling large orders over a relative short period, while at the same time successfully developing the organization
1927: Building of the first small electrolyzer installation at Norsk Hydro at Notodden, Norway. Testing for pure hydrogen for fertilizer production
1929: World's largest installation of water electrolyzers at Rjukan, Norway. Increasing over time to 3 plants and 440 electrolyzers, exceeding 60,000 Nm³/hour(~300 MW). Sourced by hydropower
1953: Creation of a second large-scale hydropowered electrolyzer plant for supplying hydrogen for ammonia production in Glomfjord, Norway
1974: Nel's renowned electrolyzertechnology made available for other companies and otherindustries
1988: The world's first electrolyzersupplier to provide non-asbestos alkali electrolyzers
2003: Nel opens the world's first publicly available hydrogen fueling station in Reykjavik, Iceland
2004: The world's first Power-to-Power demonstration project at the island of Utsira, Norway, enabling power to 10 households from stored hydrogen produced by excess wind power
2014: Nel becomes the first 100% dedicated hydrogen company listed on the Oslo Stock Exchange
2015: Nel acquires H2 Logic, adding world leading hydrogen fueling technology to the product portfolio
2016: Initiates construction of the world's largest manufacturing plant for hydrogen fueling stations, with a capacity of 300 units per year
2017: Nel acquires Proton OnSite, adding world leading PEM electrolysis technology to the product portfolio, becoming the world's largest electrolyzer company
| (NOK million) | 2018 Q3 Adj* |
2018 Q3 |
2017 Q3 |
2017 Q1-Q4 |
2016 Q1-Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 116.0 | 116.0 | 111.7 | 298.4 | 114.5 |
| Total operating costs | 182.2 | 182.2 | 145.0 | 415.6 | 169.8 |
| EBITDA | -16.8* | -53.3 | -18.5 | -81.2 | -44.9 |
| EBIT | -29.8 | -66.3 | -33.3 | -117.2 | -55.3 |
| Pre-tax loss | -30.9 | -67.4 | -36.4 | -124.4 | -62.6 |
| Net loss | -29.0 | -65.5 | -32.6 | -52.4 | -55.8 |
| Net cash flow from operating activities | -37.4 | -37.4 | -90.9 | -113.0 | -34.2 |
| Cash balance at end of period | 434.1 | 434.1 | 252.8 | 295.0 | 225.5 |
* EBITDA negatively impacted in Q3'18, total non-recurring and other cost of NOK 36.5 million
| (NOK million) | 2018 Q3 |
2017 Year End |
|---|---|---|
| Non-current assets | 1,176.6 | 1,141.4 |
| Current assets | 732.3 | 584.3 |
| -of which is cash and cash equivalents | 434.1 | 295.0 |
| Equity | 1,582.1 | 1,409.4 |
| Long term liabilities | 113.0 | 102.4 |
| Short term liabilities | 213.8 | 213.9 |
| Total balance | 1,908.9 | 1,725.7 |
| Equity ratio (%) | 82.9% | 81.7% |
| 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) | Q3 | Q1-Q4 |
| Pre-tax loss | -67.4 | -124.4 |
| Net cash from operations | -37.4 | -113.0 |
| Net cash from investments | -48.9 | -219.3 |
| Net cash from financing | 41.7 | 401.8 |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | -44.6 | 69.5 |
| Cash at end of period | 434.1 | 295.0 |
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