Q3 2018
Jon André Løkke Chief Executive Officer This Presentation includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this Presentation are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Nel ASA and Nel ASA's (including subsidiaries and affiliates) lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Nel's businesses, raw material prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Presentation. Although Nel ASA believes that its expectations and the Presentation are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those
expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Presentation. Nel ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Presentation, and neither Nel ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.
This presentation was prepared in connection with the Q3 release on November 1st, 2018. Information contained within will not be updated. The following slides should be read and considered in connection with the information given orally during the presentation.
The Nel shares have not been registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Act"), and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from the registration requirements of the Act.
- Q3 highlights
- Nel in brief & segment updates
- Nel Hydrogen Electrolyser
- Nel Hydrogen Fueling
- Nel Hydrogen Solutions
- H2BusEurope
- Hydrogen train opportunity
- Summary/Outlook
Q3 highlights
Financial results and financing
- Revenues of NOK 116.0 million in Q3'18, up from NOK 111.7 million in Q3'17, representing a growth of 4 %:
- Customers experience certain project delays, pushes revenue recognition out in time
- Lower demand for hydrogen as cooling gas to traditional power generation, i.e. fewer HydroPowerGen projects, working to switch and replace
- All-time high pipeline
- Order backlog of approximately NOK 365 million, exclusive any commercial station orders from Nikola
- Cash-balance of NOK 434.1 million (Q3 2017: NOK 252.8 million)
Operations and sales
Financial highlights
| (NOK million) |
2018 Q3 Adj* |
2018 Q3 |
2017 Q3 |
2017 Q1-Q4 |
2016 Q1-Q4 |
| Operating revenue |
116.0 |
116.0 |
111.7 |
298.4 |
114.5 |
| Total operating costs |
182.2 |
182.2 |
145.0 |
415.6 |
169.8 |
| EBITDA |
-16.8* |
-53.3 |
-18.5 |
-81.2 |
-44.9 |
| EBIT |
-29.8 |
-66.3 |
-33.3 |
-117.2 |
-55.3 |
| Pre-tax loss |
-30.9 |
-67.4 |
-36.4 |
-124.4 |
-62.6 |
| Net loss |
-29.0 |
-65.5 |
-32.6 |
-52.4 |
-55.8 |
| Net cash flow from operating activities |
-37.4 |
-37.4 |
-90.9 |
-113.0 |
-34.2 |
| Cash balance at end of period |
434.1 |
434.1 |
252.8 |
295.0 |
225.5 |
* EBITDA negatively impacted in Q3'18, total non-recurring and other cost of NOK 36.5 million (see previous page)
Nel in brief & segment updates
Nel ASA Q3 2018
- Global, listed pure-play hydrogen company facilities in Norway, Denmark and the U.S.
- Significant foothold in fast-growing markets with several breakthrough contracts
- World-leading on hydrogen electrolyzers and fueling equipment unrivalled performance and track-record
- Capable of delivering solutions to produce, store and distribute hydrogen from renewable energy
-
3,500 hydrogen solutions delivered in ~80 countries world wide since 1927
- ~40 hydrogen fueling stations delivered to 9 countries, entering South Korea in 2019
Received purchase order for two additional H2Stations in Norway
Nel in brief & segment updates
Extending network of hydrogen fueling stations between major cities in Norway
- Nel Hydrogen Solutions awarded EUR 2 million contract by Uno-X Hydrogen AS to build next two H2Station® hydrogen fueling stations in Norway
- Will help increase the value of the total network, with existing stations in Akershus and Bergen (5 stations in total)
- HRS deployment supported by Enova
- Delivery expected in Q1/Q2'19
Uno-X Hydrogen fueling station at Kjørbo, Norway Onsite hydrogen production from solar power
Received purchase order for two additional H2Stations in Germany
Nel in brief & segment updates
Part of largest hydrogen infrastructure project in Europe
- Nel Hydrogen Solutions awarded EUR 2 million contract by H2 Mobility to deliver two H2Station® hydrogen fueling stations in Germany
- Delivery expected medio 2019
- H2 Mobility is a public-private partnership with target to establish a Germany-wide network with 50+ hydrogen fueling stations by end 2018 and 100 by 2020
- Target of 400 by 2025 & 1000 by 2030
- Nel is not part of H2Mobility, but is the only non-partner supplying hydrogen fueling stations into this JV
Current and future hydrogen fueling stations in Germany. Source: H2.LIVE
Nel in brief & segment updates
Equity investment further strengthens partnership and collaboration between Nel and Nikola
- Nikola raised USD 100 million in August 2018, still working to raise additional funds in the same funding round
- Pre-money valuation of USD 1.1 billion
- Nikola and Nel have multi-billion NOK partnership where Nel will deliver 448 electrolyzers and associated hydrogen fueling equipment
- Demo stations will ship to Nikola for installation in Q1'19
- Good progress on the pre-engineering related to the commercial 8-ton/day stations
New design of the Nikola TWO
Constructing world's largest electrolyzer manufacturing plant
Nel in brief & segment updates
Name plate capacity of 360 MW per year, more than 10x current annual production
- Highly automated and designed according to lean manufacturing principles
- Industrial scale production, the most efficient electrolyzers in the market at a game changing cost
- Accommodating the multi-billion NOK order from Nikola
- Manufacturing plant will be constructed as an extension of the current facility at Notodden, Norway
- Total planned investments of around NOK ~150 million
- Operational in 2020 with ramp-up aligned to customer requirements
- 30-40 new employees, includes all organizational functions
A high degree of automation is planned for the new facility
Making renewable hydrogen mainstream – changing industries
Nel in brief & segment updates
Aiming at system cost reduction of more than 40%
- Electrolysis has for several decades been a niche solution, will now become competitive with steam methane reforming of natural gas (SMR)
- The largest hydrogen consumers globally are already evaluating switching to electrolysis and away from SMR
- Replacement market alone represents a potential market opportunity of ~20 BUSD/year
- Expansion will support ambitions of Nikola as well as other customers who want to make a significant change to their business model
- Hired Erik Løkke-Øwre as plant manager in Notodden, previously responsible for REC Singapore GW plant
8-cluster electrolyzer solution, produce 8 tons of hydrogen per day
Awarded Australia's first Power-to-Gas (Solar-to-Hydrogen) project
Nel in brief & segment updates
Integrating electrolysis as an integral part of a clean energy system
- Nel will deliver PEM electrolyzer connected to solar PV to the ATCO Group's Clean Energy Innovation Hub (CEIH)
- Strategically important, new market for electrolyzer technology
- Converts excess solar power to hydrogen, stored and used to generate electricity locally with a fuel cell
- Surplus hydrogen to be injected into the local natural gas grid, making it greener
- Projected expected to be fully operational in 2019 Overview of ATCO's Clean Energy Innovation Hub
Annual nameplate production capacity of up to 300 H2Stations
- First production line in the world for hydrogen stations
- Serial production according to lean principles represents significant improvements in existing production efficiency
- Hydrogen compression, cooling and gas control assembled onto one skid
- Allows both CE- and UL-certified stations off the line
- H2Stations for Europe, US and Asia running on same production line. 70MPa and 35MPa fueling option
H2BusEurope: Commercializing hydrogen buses
Nel & partners awarded EUR 40 million in project support for 600 FC buses & infrastructure in EU
- Nel has taken lead within H2BusEurope
- EU-funding (CEF) for large-scale rollout of buses and infrastructure to reach commercial hydrogen deployment
- Nel to supply equipment for each H2Hub deployed (production, distribution and fueling)
- Supported by ambitious industry partners, to be announced later
- Nel with partners target to hold press conference during Q4 to provide information
Map of the TEN-T core network
- Current zero emission legislation in EU require 15 000 buses/year
- Total number of city buses operating in Europe: ~350 000
Nel ASA Q3 2018
Norway not included in this EU project, but can benefit from project's achievements
- Makes low-cost renewable hydrogen available for heavy duty transport sector in key locations – supports the "1000 trucks in Norway by 2023" - initiative launched by NHF and Greensight
- Basic setup with centralized production (~20 MW) & high pressure distribution
- Bus prices come down 60% since the CHIC project (current buses in Oslo)
- Next trigger and target price: H2 electric buses at <400 kEUR per bus
Centralized renewable hydrogen production
Heavy Duty stations – can service buses, trucks & vans, etc.
Corridor stations for connecting the Captive fleets
Hydrogen electric busses have the lowest Total Cost of Ownership (TCO), i.e. NOK/km
Assumptions:
- Bus price: 3.3 MNOK (350 k€/bus)
- Hydrogen: 47 kr/kg (5 €/kg)
- O&M: 2.8 kr/km (0.3 €/km)
- Hydrogen electric busses have the lowest cost per km, lower than diesel and battery electric
Hydrogen train opportunity
Nel chosen as preferred supplier of hydrogen production and fueling equipment for Alstom in Schleswig-Holstein
- Centralized hydrogen production and distribution, owned by consortium (showed below)
- Green hydrogen production by centralized Nel electrolyser of 20 MW situated near Heide refinery
- Consortium currently cooperating closely with Alstom on a tender for zero-emission trains, which will be decided at the beginning of 2019
- Potential deployment from 2021
Hydrogen trains are now operating in regular service
Project examples
Hydrogen trains are offering a low cost, zero emission alternative to diesel trains
- Today ~40% of trains in Europe run on diesel
- Electrification with wires ("El-Wire") costs ~15 MNOK/km
- Alstom hydrogen train has ~1000 km range & capacity for 300 passengers
- Study by SINTEF shows Total Cost of Ownership ("TCO") of hydrogen trains ~1/2 of diesel and 1/3 of El-Wire trains by 2020
- By 2050, TCO of hydrogen trains is reduced to 1/3 of diesel and 1/5 of El-Wire trains
Alstom's hydrogen train is now in regular service in Germany
Major opportunities along Norwegian railroads
- Trønder- & Meråkerbanen (120 & 102 km)
- Rørosbanen & Solørbanen (384 & 94 km)
- Raumabanen (114 km)
- Nordlandsbanen (731 km)
- Total of ~1 550 km not electrified in Norway, El-Wire investments would amount to NOK >20 billion
SINTEF study, example: Nordlandsbanen
Single-track line, 731 km About 3000 train movements/year CO2 emissions: 37 800 t/year
23
Summary/Outlook
Levering on the arising opportunities within energy storage and hydrogen fueling
- As already communicated, ongoing growth initiatives and focus on long-term, high value opportunities will have negative impact on the company's ability to deliver a positive EBITDA in the short-term
- Initiated x10 factory expansion at Notodden to support deliveries to Nikola and other customers
- Nel continues to explore further market penetration strategies in China
- Build-up of Nel in South Korea in response to positive market developments
- Ongoing collaboration on H2BusEurope for a large- scale hydrogen bus rollout
- Nel preferred supplier for hydrogen train opportunity in Germany
- Significant tender activities for larger projects for electrolysers and H2Stations
Q&A
Number one by nature