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Nel ASA

Earnings Release Feb 16, 2018

3670_rns_2018-02-16_2aba1cdd-c7da-4c4d-9b49-98cafb54278b.pdf

Earnings Release

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Q4 2017

Jon André Løkke Chief Executive Officer This Presentation includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this Presentation are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Nel ASA and Nel ASA's (including subsidiaries and affiliates) lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Nel's businesses, raw material prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Presentation. Although Nel ASA believes that its expectations and the Presentation are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those

expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Presentation. Nel ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Presentation, and neither Nel ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.

This presentation was prepared in connection with the Q4 release on February 16, 2018. Information contained within will not be updated. The following slides should be read and considered in connection with the information given orally during the presentation.

The Nel shares have not been registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Act"), and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from the registration requirements of the Act.

  • Q4 highlights
  • Global market update
  • Nel in brief & segment updates
  • - Nel Hydrogen Electrolyser
  • - Nel Hydrogen Fueling
  • - Nel Hydrogen Solutions
  • Nel strategic ambitions
  • Summary/Outlook
  • Appendix: Q4 financials

Q4 Highlights

  • Financial results and financing
  • Revenues of 111.9 MNOK in Q4'17, up from 50.6 MNOK in Q4'16
  • Revenue growth largely due to the acquisition of Proton Onsite underlying organic growth (ex. Proton) of around 40% in FY'17
  • Cash-balance of 295 MNOK at end of Q4'17, positive cash contributions from operations
  • Successfully completed a subsequent offering of 10,000,000 new shares at NOK 2.50 per shares
  • Operations and sales
  • Order backlog grew slightly to ~465 MNOK all-time high
  • Exclusive partnership with Nikola for development of mega-scale hydrogen fueling station network, received PO for two demo stations totaling 3.6 MUSD
  • Awarded 4.5 MEUR purchase order for a combined electrolyzer and fueling station in Estonia
  • Awarded 20 MNOK public grant, through the JV Uno-X Hydrogen AS, from Enova for two fueling stations in Akershus, Norway
  • Received combined purchase orders of 2.3 MUSD for electrolyzer cell stacks for U.S. and U.K. navy submarine fleets
  • Evaluating increasing production capacity at Notodden by up to 10x to accommodate mega-scale orders and maintaining leading cost position

Financial highlights

Q4 Highlights

(NOK million) 2017
Q4 Adj*
2017
Q4
2017
Q3
2017
Q2
2017
Q1
2016
Q4
2016
Q3
2016
Q2
2016
Q1
Operating revenue 111.9 111.9 111.7 39.1 35.7 50.6 24.4 13.5 26.0
Total operating costs 155.4 155.4 145.0 63.9 51.3 66.6 37.1 29.9 36.1
EBITDA -11.1 -27.7 -18.5 -22.0 -13.0 -13.1 -10.2 -14.0 -7.6
EBIT -26.9 -43.5 -33.3 -24.7 -15.6 -16.0 -12.8 -16.5 -10.1
Pre-tax profit -28.0 -44.6 -36.4 -26.0 -16.2 -24.1 -12.4 -16.0 -10.1
Net profit 39.3 22.7 -32.6 -26.7 -15.6 -18.5 -12.0 -15.6 -9.7
Net cash flow from operating activities 2.7 2.7 -90.9 37.3 -14.0 11.0 -10.5 -24.2 -21.3
Cash balance at end of period 295.0 295.0 85.6 201.2 386.3 225.0 223.6 265.9 289.0
  • * EBITDA negatively impacted in Q4'17:
  • Ramp-up costs and non-recurring items of 10.9 MNOK
    • Expensed all heritage projects in Q4, cost overruns related to certain customer solution projects
  • Non-cash share option costs of 5.7 MNOK
  • Positive EBITDA contribution from our U.S. operations
  • Net profit positively affected by change in U.S. corporate tax rate (38% to 21%), net effect on tax of positive 53.2 MNOK

5

* Cost related to establishment in California, Korea, Japan, Proton acquisition, cost

Ramp-up cost and other non-recurring items*

Non-cash cost related to stock options**

** Covers both stock option scheme and matching share program

Solid backlog Nel ASA Q4 2017

Q4 Highlights

  • Orders received in Q4 ended at >110 MNOK
  • Only includes firm PO's with agreed price/volume/Terms & Conditions
  • Current order backlog ~465 MNOK
  • Main orders contributing to backlog in Q4'17:
  • Demo station order from Nikola Motor, 3.6 MUSD
  • Order for a combined electrolyzer and fueling station in Estonia, 4.5 MEUR
  • U.S. and U.K. navy-stack order for submarine fleets, 2.3 MUSD
  • Other, like service & maintenance, lab equipment as well as electrolyser aftermarket sales

Significant increase in hydrogen market activities Q4 Highlights

  • Nel experiences a significant increase in market related activities
  • Total value of offers amounted to ~10 BNOK in 2017
  • Often long lead times between offer and order
  • From a few quarters to…
  • …a few years
  • Continued good lead generation is key to continued commercial success

Increasing market activities, value of budget offers submitted

Total value of budget offers

General market update

General market update

Large opportunities for electrolysis within the already existing hydrogen market

  • Global hydrogen market, by end-use: ~55 million ton/year market (~150 BUSD)
  • 15% merchant market (5 15 \$/kg)
  • 85% on-site (~2\$/kg)
  • Only 1% from water electrolysis today, rest from SMR/gasification
  • Large potential for growth, driven by increasing focus on:
  • climate and renewable energy
  • decreasing electricity prices
  • decreasing electrolyser CAPEX
  • Special focus on refineries and green ammonia
  • Account for ~80% of market
  • If today's total market was supplied by electrolysis, annual equipment sales would amount to ~20 BUSD/year

Overall hydrogen market set to grow 10x by 2050

General market update

If high share of renewables, electrolysis market can potentially grow >1000x...

Report authored by the Hydrogen Council, consisting of senior executives of 18 companies in different industries, supported by McKinsey & Co

... and an IEA study confirms the competitiveness of renewable hydrogen

Source: https://www.iea.org/media/news/2017/Fertilizer_manufacturing_Renewables_01102017.pdf

Nel ASA Q4 2017

Electrolysers outcompeting fossil alternatives

General market update

CapEx: Electrolysers from Nel - becoming competitive with SMR

2015 2020 2025 Large scale steam methane reformers \$/kW SMR – CapEx range Cost split of H2 /Kg CapEx* OpEx** 5,4 2,6 2,3 1,9 1,8 5,0 3,0 1,8 7,3 6,0 4,9 0,0 2,0 4,0 6,0 8,0 \$c/kWh Solar PV Onshore wind Offshore wind Source: Pareto Securities EUR/USD: 1:1.2 FOSSIL PARITY: FUEL FOSSIL PARITY: INDUSTRY

OpEx: Renewable energy already enables fossil parity for hydrogen

*incl. service, maintenance & operation **electricity

Current markets served by electrolyzers

General market update

13

General market update

Unparalleled position of electrolysis in producing other green energy forms

  • Hydrogen from electrolysis will be key in producing large quantities of sustainable energy in various forms
  • Ability to adapt to diverse and intermittent renewable energy sources becoming increasingly important

Hydrogen is becoming relevant in all forms of transportation Nel ASA Q4 2017

General market update

Recent survey increases the importance of hydrogen as a fuel

General market update

Fuel cell electric mobility is now the #1 trend until 2025

"There will not be a single solitary drivetrain technology: Executives project a split by 2040 for BEVs (26%), FCEVs (25%), ICEs (25%) and hybrids (24%)."

KPMG Global Automotive Executive Survey is the compound input from 1000 executives from the automotive industry

Nel in brief & segment updates

  • Global, listed, pure-play hydrogen company facilities in Norway, Denmark and the U.S.
  • Significant foothold in fast-growing markets with several breakthrough contracts
  • World-leading on hydrogen electrolyzers and fueling equipment unrivalled performance and track-record
  • Capable of delivering solutions to produce, store and distribute hydrogen from renewable energy
  • 3500 hydrogen solutions delivered in ~80 countries world wide since 1927

Nel Hydrogen Electrolyser Nel Hydrogen Electrolyser

Production and installation of water electrolysers for hydrogen production

  • Global leader in hydrogen prod. plants highest uptime, lowest conversion cost, robust and reliable
  • 3500 hydrogen solutions delivered in >80 countries world wide since 1927

  • Scalable production capacity for industrial and energy/transport applications small scale to large scale solutions

Awarded 2.3 MUSD order for U.S. and U.K. Navy Electrolyzer Stacks Nel Hydrogen Electrolyser

Proton PEM electrolyzers from Nel delivering life support oxygen for submarines

  • Received PO from United Technologies Aerospace Systems for electrolyzer cell stacks for U.S. and U.K. submarine fleets
  • Value of current PO was 2.3 MUSD
  • Part of exclusive contract Framework Contract
  • The electrolyzer will produce critical life support oxygen for Navy crews on multiple classes of nuclear powered submarines
  • Has supplied similar systems for over a decade

Nel Hydrogen Electrolyser

700 MW electrolyzer plant for power-to-gas in Northern France

  • Exclusive, industrial-scale power-to-gas framework agreement
  • Still working on final agreements for initial 200MW order, expected in the next few months
  • Complex agreements has taken more time
  • H2V wants to reserve production capacity in Notodden, discussing to pay a significant non-refundable pre-payment to support expansion

8-Cluster Electrolyzer

Have developed the 8-Cluster design to support H2V and similar large scale projects

Dunkerque gas terminal

Clustering concept enables a step-up in cost-efficiency

NEL Hydrogen Elecrolyser

Each electrolyzer needs its own infrastructure…

… but with the clustering concept, eight electrolyzers can share plant infrastructure

~100MW plant, initial contract up to 700MW (7*100MW)

Nel Hydrogen Fueling Nel Hydrogen Fueling

Production of hydrogen fueling stations for cars, buses, trucks, forklifts and other applications

  • Global leader within hydrogen fueling solutions for vehicles, adapted to latest fueling standards
  • Delivered >30 stations in 8 countries across Europe since 2003, expanding into US & Asia
  • Highest reported availability and innovative, inhouse developed technologies

World's largest manufacturing facility for H2Stations®:

300 station per year capacity

Dispenser assembly 5-stage H2Station® assembly

H2Station®

Nel Hydrogen Solutions Nel Hydrogen Solutions

Established to utilize market opportunities across the Nel group and offers complete solutions to customers

  • Unified delivery of complex renewable hydrogen solutions, efficient system integration, project development and sales across segments
  • Only provider of integrated solutions along the entire value chain:
    1. Fueling Networks
    2. Develop entire fueling networks, incl. renewable hydrogen production
    3. Service and maintenance
    4. Network monitoring services
    1. Renewable Hydrogen & Storage Solutions
    2. Renewable hydrogen
    3. Production based hydro, wind or solar
    4. Large, medium or small scale
    5. Storage solutions and "constant" renewable supply

Additional support from Enova to Uno-X Hydrogen fueling stations Nel Hydrogen Solutions

20 MNOK support for establishment of 2 additional fueling stations in Akershus in 2018

  • Uno-X Hydrogen received support to establish 2 new hydrogen fueling stations in Ås & Hvam, Akershus
  • After installation, JV will operate 5 HRS in Norway
  • Åsane, Bergen opened formally on January 26th, 2018
  • Currently ~100 FCEVs in Norway, annual sales growth of >2x
  • Responsibility for Enova moved from OED to KLD

The 2018 national political platform states that Norway shall "have a comprehensive strategy for research, technology development, and use of hydrogen as an energy carrier."

Awarded contract for combined fueling solution in Estonia

Nel Hydrogen Solutions

Received PO of 4.5 MEUR from NT Bene in Estonia

  • Combined solution with PEM electrolyzer and H2Station® will have hydrogen capacity of >400 kg/day
  • To be installed in Pärnu, Estonia, where it will serve cars and a fleets of buses and trucks
  • Expected delivery and installation during 2019

1 MW PEM electrolysis

Hydrogen storage Station module Dispensers

Awarded contract for hydrogen fueling station by SSAB

Nel Hydrogen Solutions

H2Station® fueling solution for fueling of very large fork lifts

  • Contract with SSAB EMEA AB, Sweden for leasing arrangement of a H2Station®
  • The H2Station® will be installed at SSABs site in Oxelösund, Sweden, where it will serve large forklift at the local SSAB production facility
  • The station will be delivered during Q1'18
  • SSAB has recently launched their HYBRIT concept together with LKAB and Vattenfall, which aims at replacing coal with hydrogen in their steel making process

Delivering mega-scale hydrogen fueling stations for Nikola Nel Hydrogen Solutions

Entered into exclusive partnership with Nikola Motor

  • Sole equipment supplier to create the largest hydrogen fueling network in the world
  • 14 mega-scale stations covering 2000 miles & up to 450 ton/day
  • Signed PO for first two demo stations, start installation in 2018
  • Commercial stations with up to 32 ton/day of hydrogen produced/dispensed
  • Installation during 2019 2021
  • Contact potential up to 1,000 MW of electrolysis (400-500 of the largest Nel A-485 electrolyzers) and up to 250 hydrogen fueling dispensers

Nikola: Two demo stations with installation start in H2'18, order of 3.6 MUSD

Nel Hydrogen Solutions

  • Reviewing potential demo-route from plant in Arizona, will support Nikola prototype truck fleet
  • Equipment for onsite production and fueling of 70MPa
  • 2 Alkaline electrolyzer stacks for hydrogen production 2 x 1.000kg/day
  • 2 x 70MPa dispensers and 2xH2Station® 2 x 500 kg/day
    • Possibility to upgrade fueling capacity later

Hydrogen storage, compression and dispensing

Nikola: 14 commercial stations – from 8 to 32 ton/day at each site

Nel Hydrogen Solutions

Nel ASA Q4 2017

How to maintain leading cost position

Successful commercial efforts in 2017 – towards capacity expansions/cost reductions

How to maintain leading cost position

Accelerated commercial activities

  • Nel increased market related activities significantly
  • Solid order backlog now at all-time high
  • Vast tender pipeline
  • Entered into partnerships with e.g. H2V, Nikola, and others
  • Established position as a global #1 in the hydrogen market

Capacity expansions/cost reductions

  • Continue marketing efforts, and implementing strategy for capacity expansion and cost leadership
  • From semi-automated to fully-fledged, global low-cost producer
  • Started preparing for a potential 10x ramp-up on electrolysers
  • Target to improve cost levels to unparalleled new industry standard

Evaluating 10x capacity increase to maintain leading cost position Nel ASA Q4 2017

How to maintain leading cost position

Scaling production capacity by 10x puts Nel in first-mover/pole position for next growth cycle

  • Initial capacity extension from 25MW to 40MW completed at minimal cost
  • Evaluating a total 10x capacity increase, from 25MW to 250MW, to support:
  • H2V: up to 700MW electrolyzer plant
  • Nikola: 14 mega-scale stations with close to 1000MW potential
  • Production capacity ramp-up reduces production cost by >30%
  • Allows Nel to maintain leading cost position and gives competitive advantage towards future hydrogen projects
Available Capacity Scaling Status
2017 25MW +15MW Completed
2018 40MW +210MW Preparing
2019 250MW

Expanding capacity from 25MW to 250MW, option to purchase building

How to maintain leading cost position

Summary/Outlook

Levering on the arising opportunities within energy storage and hydrogen fueling

Nel ASA

  • Order backlog of approximately 465 MNOK
  • Cash balance of 295 MNOK at end of year, to support continued development

Nel Hydrogen Electrolyser

  • All time high level of sales leads, both in traditional and new markets
  • Working to implement synergies between Norwegian and US operations
  • Evaluating scaling up production capacity at Notodden by up to 10x to accommodate mega-scale orders and maintaining leading cost position

Nel Hydrogen Fueling

  • Continued ramp-up of production capacity at the Herning facility, good contract coverage for 2018
  • California installation- and service team in place, preparing for installations of Shell-, as well as Sunline- and H2Frontier stations

Nel Hydrogen Solutions

  • Working to secure contracts on H2Stations® in Korea and Europe
  • Exploring market opportunities in China, and alternative penetration strategies
  • Ongoing collaboration on H2Bus Europe for a large scale hydrogen bus rollout

Q&A

(NOK million) 2017
Q4
2016
Q4
2017 2016
Operating revenue 111.9 50.6 298.4 114.5
Operating costs 155.4 66.6 415.6 169.8
EBITDA -27.7 -13.1 -81.2 -44.9
EBIT -43.5 -16.0 -117.2 -55.3
Pre-tax profit -44.6 -24.1 -124.4 -62.6
Net profit 22.7 -18.5 -52.4 -55.8
Total comprehensive income 30.2 -14.7 -34.2 -75.4
(NOK million) 2017
Year-end
2016
Year-end
Non-current assets 1,141.4 462.9
Current assets 584.3 300.0
-of which is cash and cash equivalents 295.0 225.5
Equity 1,409.4 671.2
Long term liabilities 102.4 26.1
Short term liabilities 213.9 65.6
Total balance 1,725.7 762.9
Equity ratio (%) 82.0% 88.0%
(NOK million) 2017
Q4
2016
Q4
2017 2016
Pre-tax profit (loss) -44.6 -24.1 -124.4 -62.6
Net cash from operations 2.7 11.0 -113.0 -34.2
Net cash from investments -29.1 -9.2 -219.3 -60.2
Net cash from financing 235.9 -0.0 401.8 6.8
Net change in cash and cash equivalents 209.4 1.8 69.6 -87.6
Cash at end of period 295.0 225.5 295.0 225.5

Appendix: explanation of excess values and depreciation of identifiable intangible assets arising from the PPA related to the acquisition of Proton Onsite

(NOK million) Excess value Lifetime Depreciation per
quarter
Intangible assets:
Technology 261.7 7 and 15 years 4.7
Customer relationship 59.0 7 years 2.1
Customer contracts*) 19.5 1 year 4.9
Depreciation of intangible assets arising from the PPA
related to the acquisition of Proton Onsite
11.7

*) Note that customer contracts are depreciated over 1 year only, so this element of the depreciation will cease from Q3-18

Number one by nature

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