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Muenchener Rueckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG — Interim / Quarterly Report 2012
May 8, 2012
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Interim / Quarterly Report
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GOOD START TO THE YEAR 2012 QUARTERLY FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AS AT 31 MARCH 2012
8 May 2012
Jörg Schneider Torsten Jeworrek
| Financial reporting Q1 2012 Munich Re (Group) |
2 |
|---|---|
| Primary insurance | 10 |
| Munich Health | 17 |
| Reinsurance | 20 |
| Outlook | 29 |
| Backup | 31 |
| After strong Q1 well on track to meet 2012 financial | |
|---|---|
| SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY €24.4bn (+4.8% vs. Q4) |
INVESTMENT RESULT Annualised RoI of 4.3% |
| Strong capitalisation according to all metrics allows us to seize profitable growth opportunities |
RoI above full-year average expectation – prudent asset management remains key in volatile capital market environment |
| Primary insurance | Munich Health |
| COMBINED RATIO 95.3% |
COMBINED RATIO 99.5% |
| Improving international business All segments with significant earnings contribution |
Ongoing organic premium growth – stable operating result while net result distorted by negative currency effects |
Low nat cat claims and calmer capital markets supporting good results Munich Re (Group) – Key figures
Quarterly financial statements as at 31 March 2012 5
1 Segments do not add up to total amount; difference relates to the segment "asset management". 2 Other non-operating result, goodwill impairments, net finance costs, taxes.
deposits with banks, investment funds (excl. equities), derivatives and investments in renewable energies. 3Net of hedges: 2.1% (2.0%). 4As at 31.3.2012. Net DV01: Sensitivity to parallel upward shift of yield curve by one basis
Quarterly financial statements as at 31 March 2012 7 point reflecting portfolio size. 5 European Community, European Investment Bank, EFSF and other.
Quarterly financial statements as at 31 March 2012 8 2Additional inflation-linked exposure in swaps 3% and bank and corporate exposure in credit default swaps 2% of fixed-income portfolio. 3 European Community, European Investment Bank, EFSF and other.
High investment result, given low-yield environment Munich Re (Group) – Investment result
| Investment result | €m | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2012 | Return1 | Q1 2011 | Return1 | |
| Regular income | 1,889 | 3.6% | 1,903 | 3.9% |
| Write-ups/write-downs | –179 | –0.3% | –137 | –0.3% |
| Disposal gains/losses | 372 | 0.7% | 400 | 0.8% |
| Other income/expenses | 162 | 0.3%2 | –210 | –0.4% |
| Investment result | 2,244 | 4.3% | 1,956 | 4.0% |
| Regular income | Write-ups/write-downs | €m | Disposal gains/losses | €m |
| Decreased running yield due to |
Major effects | Q1 2012 |
Major effects | Q1 2012 |
| reinvestment at lower yield and increased |
Equities | –28 | Equities | 151 |
| market values Average reinvestment |
Swaptions | –17 | Fixed-income | 310 |
1 Return on quarterly weighted investments (market values) in % p.a. 2 Positive impact from unit-linked business (€292m) included.
| Agenda | |
|---|---|
| Financial reporting Q1 2012 | |
| Munich Re (Group) | |
| Primary insurance | |
| Munich Health | |
| Reinsurance | |
| Outlook | |
| Backup | |
| Quarterly financial statements as at 31 March 2012 10 |
| Agenda | |
|---|---|
| Financial reporting Q1 2012 | |
| Munich Re (Group) | |
| Primary insurance | |
| Munich Health | |
| Reinsurance | |
| Outlook | |
| Backup | |
| Munich Health – Premium development Significant organic growth |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross premiums written | €m | Segmental breakdown1 €m |
|
| Q1 2011 | 1,487 | Reinsurance Primary insurance 1,093 (65%) 587 (35%) |
|
| Foreign-exchange effects | 39 | (▲ 11.4%) (▲ 16.0%) |
|
| Divestment/Investment | – | ||
| Organic change | 154 | ||
| Q1 2012 | 1,680 | ||
| Gross premiums written | €m | ||
| Q1 2011 | 1,487 | Reinsurance Organic growth and large-volume deals |
|
| Reinsurance | 112 | ||
| Primary insurance | 81 | Primary insurance Premium growth in USA, Spain and United |
|
| Q1 2012 | 1,680 | Kingdom | |
| 1 Gross premiums written. | Quarterly financial statements as at 31 March 2012 18 |
| Munich Health – Key figures Munich Health |
||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net result | €m | |||||||||
| 27 | 41 | 6 | 17 | 18 | –18 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 5 | |
| Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q1 | Q1 | |
| 20101 | 2011 | 2012 | 2011 | 2012 | ||||||
| Technical result | €m | Investment result | €m | Other2 | €m | |||||
| 5 | 12 | 34 | 33 | –20 | –27 | |||||
| Q1 2011 | Q1 2012 | Q1 2011 | Q1 2012 | Q1 2011 | Q1 2012 | |||||
| Increase in reinsurance, Increased regular income, decline in US primary business lower disposal gains |
Negative FX effects | |||||||||
| 1 Figures up to 2010 are shown on a partly consolidated basis. Quarterly financial statements as at 31 March 2012 2 Other non-operating result, goodwill impairments, net finance costs, taxes. |
19 |
| Agenda | |
|---|---|
| Financial reporting Q1 2012 | |
| Munich Re (Group) | |
| Primary insurance | |
| Munich Health | |
| Reinsurance | |
| Outlook | |
| Backup | |
| Quarterly financial statements as at 31 March 2012 20 |
Significantly improved portfolio quality driven by nat cat business in Japan and USA Reinsurance – April renewal
| Munich Re portfolio – Premium change in major business lines | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Property | Specialty2 Casualty |
|||||
| Business line Premium split1 |
€1.2bn | Prop. 54% |
XL 46% |
Prop. 19% |
XL 34% |
Prop./XL 35% |
Prop./XL 12% |
| Price change |
3 ~5.0% |
0.7% | 15.2% | 1.1% | 14.2% | 0.1% | 7.0% |
| Volume change |
–2.9% | –10.3% | 5.9% | –19.7% | 17.2% | –7.8% | –18.9% |
| PRICE Overall price increase of ~5% driven by property XL USA: Nat cat up to +10% Proportional business remains flat Primarily loss-driven price increase of 4.5% in marine business |
Japan: Earthquake +35%, windstorm +10% Japan: Significant price increase for earthquake USA: Primary rates continue to slightly increase |
VOLUME | and from casualty to property | Improved business mix – shift from proportional to XL Japan: Increase of earthquake and windstorm XL … … partly compensating for deliberate reduction of earthquake quota-share and other fire business Clear focus on improved terms and conditions Introduction of event limits, increased transparency Risk-management-driven rejection of business, as prices could not fully reflect increased event risks |
2Marine, credit and aviation. 3 Price increase including positive business mix effect (~3%) amounts to ~8%.
| Reinsurance – Renewals – Outlook Outlook for July renewal |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| Regional allocation of July renewal North America 27 |
% Worldwide 26 |
Highlights | Renewal focus on North America |
| TOTAL Australia/ €1.8bn New Zealand 17 |
Rest1 9 |
(Australia/New Zealand) | Renewal of business in loss-affected areas |
| Latin America 17 |
Europe 3 |
High nat cat share of ~30% | |
| July renewal – Price expectation | |||
| North America | Australia/New Zealand | Latin America | |
| Up to low double-digit – Positive price impact from RMS11 |
Significant double-digit – Trend should continue |
Single-digit to low double-digit – similar to January renewal |
|
| 1 Asia/ Pacific/Africa. | Quarterly financial statements as at 31 March 2012 28 |
| Agenda | |
|---|---|
| Financial reporting Q1 2012 | |
| Munich Re (Group) | |
| Primary insurance | |
| Munich Health | |
| Reinsurance | |
| Outlook | |
| Backup | |
| Quarterly financial statements as at 31 March 2012 29 |
| Outlook 2012 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Munich Re (Group) | ||
| GROSS PREMIUMS WRITTEN €49–51bn |
RETURN ON INVESTMENT ~3.5% |
NET RESULT ~€2.5bn |
| Reinsurance €26–27bn Primary insurance €17–18bn |
Ongoing low-interest-rate environment gradually reducing running yield to below 4% |
RoRaC target of 15% after tax over the cycle to stand Significantly improving |
| ~€6.5bn Munich Health |
technical result | |
| Reinsurance Combined ratio |
Primary insurance Combined ratio |
Munich Health Combined ratio |
| ~96% over the cycle | <95% | ~99% |
| Net result €1.9–2.1bn |
Net result ~€450m |
Net result ~€50m |
| Quarterly financial statements as at 31 March 2012 30 |
| Backup | |
|---|---|
| Financial reporting Q1 2012 | |
| Munich Re (Group) | |
| Primary insurance | |
| Munich Health | |
| Reinsurance | |
| Outlook | |
| Backup | |
| Backup: Munich Re (Group) Premium development |
||
|---|---|---|
| Gross premiums written | €m | |
| Q1 2011 | 12,980 | |
| Foreign-exchange | 242 | |
| Divestment/Investment | –45 | |
| Organic change | 88 | |
| Q1 2012 | 13,265 | |
| Segmental breakdown | €m | |
| Reinsurance – Property-casualty 4,245 (32%) (▲ –2.7%) |
Primary insurance – Property-casualty 1,835 (14%) (▲ 2.6%) |
|
| Primary insurance – Life | ||
| 1,449 (11%) (▲ –4.8%) | ||
| Primary insurance – Health 1,457 (11%) (▲ 0.1%) |
||
| Reinsurance – Life 2,599 (19%) (▲ 9.9%) |
Munich Health 1,680 (13%) (▲ 13.0%) |
|
| Quarterly financial statements as at 31 March 2012 |
| 93.1 | 92.3 | 109.2 | 103.8 | 93.8 | 96.0 | 99.8 | 87.3 | 101.8 | 94.6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.5 | 52.5 | 58.2 | 55.2 | 55.6 | 45.8 | 58.6 | 51.6 | 50.4 | 42.7 | 57.4 |
| Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q13 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 |
| 20092 | 2012 | |||||||||
| 5.2 | 9.2 | 20.8 | 11.2 | 6.8 | 11.7 | 12.4 | 5.9 | 23.1 | 5.3 | |
| 0.8 | 2.0 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 4.0 | 1.0 | |
| Q3 20092 |
Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q13 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 2012 |
| Combined ratio 1 Nat cat vs. man-made Nat cat ratio –2.1 |
Combined ratio vs. basic losses | Reinsurance – Property-casualty – Combined ratio Basic loss ratio Man-made ratio |
Development of combined ratio 20102 20102 |
161.3 70.8 |
2011 2011 |
3 After insurance risk transfer to the capital markets.
| Backup: Investments | ||
|---|---|---|
| Breakdown of regular income |
| Investment result – | Q1 | Q1 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular income (€m) | 2012 | 2011 | Change | ||||||||
| Afs fixed-interest | 1,055 | 1,080 | –25 | ||||||||
| Afs non-fixed-interest | 46 | 37 | 9 | ||||||||
| Derivatives | 48 | 65 | –17 | ||||||||
| Loans | 565 | 537 | 28 | ||||||||
| Real estate | 81 | 90 | –9 | ||||||||
| Deposits retained on assumed reinsurance and other investments 94 |
94 | – | |||||||||
| Total regular income | 1,889 | 1,903 | –14 | ||||||||
| €m | Regular income | Average €1,963m | |||||||||
| 2,027 | 2,036 | 2,154 | 2,007 | 1,975 | |||||||
| 1,928 | 1,925 | 1,882 | 1,926 | 1,905 | 1,903 | 1,889 | |||||
| Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 |
| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |
Breakdown of net result from disposals Backup: Investments
| unich RE 玉 | |
|---|---|
| Investment result – Net result from disposal of investments (€m) |
Q1 2012 |
Q1 2011 |
Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afs fixed-interest | 280 | 159 | 121 |
| Afs non-fixed-interest | 151 | 347 | –196 |
| Derivatives | –131 | –116 | –15 |
| Loans | 30 | –2 | 32 |
| Real estate | 38 | 18 | 20 |
| Deposits retained on assumed reinsurance and other investments | 4 | –6 | 10 |
| Total net result from disposals | 372 | 400 | –28 |
| Net result from disposals Average €377m €m 655 543 430 400 392 362 280 240 240 |
556 | 48 | 372 |
| Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 |
Q3 | Q4 | Q1 |
| 2009 2010 |
2011 | 2012 |
Fixed-income portfolio: Banks Backup: Investments
| Senior, subordinated and loss-bearing bonds exposure by country | €m | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Country | Senior bonds |
Subordinated bonds |
Loss-bearing bonds |
Total |
| Germany | 2,088 | 331 | 251 | 2,670 |
| US | 1,555 | 246 | 49 | 1,850 |
| UK | 571 | 47 | 31 | 649 |
| Ireland | 215 | 0 | 0 | 215 |
| Canada | 143 | 50 | 17 | 210 |
| Australia | 194 | 0 | 1 | 195 |
| Austria | 120 | 26 | 20 | 166 |
| Netherlands | 159 | 0 | 3 | 162 |
| Italy | 52 | 62 | 8 | 122 |
| France | 92 | 19 | 4 | 115 |
| Spain | 6 | 8 | 0 | 14 |
| Other | 198 | 18 | 24 | 240 |
| Total | 5,393 | 807 | 408 | 6,608 |
Economic view – not fully comparable with IFRS figures.
Fixed-income portfolio: Structured products Backup: Investments
</bbb<>| Structured products portfolio (at market values): Split by rating and region | €m | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Region | |||||||||||||||
| AAA | AA | A | BBB | <bbb< td=""> | NR | USA + RoW | Europe | Total | Market to-par |
NR | USA + RoW |
Europe | Total | Market to-par |
||
| ABS | Consumer-related ABS1 | 445 | 172 | 208 | 77 | 5 | 0 | 399 | 508 | 907 | 100% | |||||
| Corporate-related ABS2 | 21 | 295 | 60 | 40 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 440 | 440 | 94% | ||||||
| Subprime HEL | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 38 | 99% | ||||||
| CDO/ CLN |
Subprime-related | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |||||
| Non-subprime-related | 24 | 64 | 25 | 24 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 173 | 174 | 81% | ||||||
| MBS | Agency | 2,042 | 98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,140 | 0 | 2,140 | 107% | |||||
| Non-agency prime | 443 | 187 | 144 | 27 | 23 | 0 | 106 | 718 | 824 | 98% | ||||||
| Non-agency other (not subprime) |
57 | 114 | 21 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 64 | 131 | 195 | 95% | ||||||
| Commercial MBS | 798 | 278 | 319 | 21 | 14 | 0 | 784 | 646 | 1,430 | 99% | ||||||
| Total 31.3.2012 | 3,836 | 1,210 | 800 | 195 | 70 | 37 | 3,532 | 2,616 | 6,148 | 100% | ||||||
| In % | 62% | 20% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 57% | 43% | 100% | |||||||
| Total 31.12.2011 | 4,008 | 1,053 | 831 | 184 | 100 | 36 | 3,527 | 2,685 | 6,212 | 98% |
1 Consumer loans, auto, credit cards, student loans. 2 Asset-backed CPs, business and corporate loans, commercial equipment.
Economic view – not fully comparable with IFRS figures.
| Sensitivities to interest rates, spreads and equity markets |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensitivity to risk-free interest rates – Basis points | –100 | –50 | +100 | +200 |
| Change in gross market value (€bn) | 14.3 | 6.9 | –12.2 | –22.3 |
| 1 Change in on-balance-sheet reserves, net (€bn) |
3.6 | 1.7 | –3.1 | –5.8 |
| 1 Change in off-balance-sheet reserves, net (€bn) |
0.7 | 0.3 | –0.6 | –1.1 |
| 1 P&L impact (€bn) |
0.5 | 0.2 | –0.4 | –0.7 |
| Sensitivity to spreads2 (change in basis points) |
+100 | +200 | ||
| Change in gross market value (€bn) | –8.3 | –15.3 | ||
| 1 Change in on-balance-sheet reserves, net (€bn) |
–1.4 | –2.7 | ||
| 1 Change in off-balance-sheet reserves, net (€bn) |
–0.5 | –0.9 | ||
| P&L impact (€bn) 1 |
–0.3 | –0.6 | ||
| Sensitivity to equity markets3 | –30% | –10% | +10% | +30% |
| EURO STOXX 50 (2,477 as at 31.3.2012) | 1,734 | 2,229 | 2,725 | 3,220 |
| Change in gross market value (€bn) | –1.8 | –0.6 | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 Change in on-balance-sheet reserves, net (€bn) |
–0.6 | –0.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 Change in off-balance-sheet reserves, net (€bn) |
–0.4 | –0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| P&L impact (€bn) 1 |
–0.7 | –0.1 | –0.1 | –0.1 |
policyholder participation and deferred tax; linearity of relations cannot be assumed. Economic view – not fully
comparable with IFRS figures. 2 Sensitivities to changes of spreads are calculated for every category of fixed-interest securities,
except government securities with AAA ratings.
Backup: Investments
3 Worst-case scenario assumed: impairment as soon as market value is below acquisition cost. Economic view – not fully comparable with IFRS figures.
Backup: Investments On- and off-balance-sheet reserves (gross)
Quarterly financial statements as at 31 March 2012 48
| €m | 31.12. 2009 |
31.12. 2010 |
31.3. 2011 |
30.6. 2011 |
30.9. 2011 |
31.12. 2011 |
31.3. 2012 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market value of investments | 185,097 196,398 191,326 196,319 205,297 207,108 211,754 | ||||||
| Total reserves | 7,905 | 7,374 | 4,213 | 5,862 | 11,374 | 11,236 | 13,567 |
| On-balance-sheet reserves | |||||||
| Fixed-interest securities | 3,342 | 2,201 | 639 | 1,805 | 4,982 | 4,892 | 5,817 |
| Non-fixed-interest securities | 1,408 | 1,634 | 1,401 | 1,219 | 589 | 693 | 1,159 |
| Other on-balance-sheet reserves1 | 233 | 249 | 255 | 244 | 249 | 250 | 284 |
| Subtotal | 4,983 | 4,084 | 2,295 | 3,268 | 5,820 | 5,835 | 7,260 |
| Off-balance-sheet reserves | |||||||
| Real estate2 | 1,447 | 1,425 | 1,524 | 1,274 | 1,279 | 1,435 | 1,368 |
| Loans and investments (held to maturity) | 1,289 | 1,554 | 88 | 965 | 3,974 | 3,633 | 4,654 |
| Associates and tangible assets | 186 | 311 | 306 | 355 | 301 | 333 | 285 |
| Subtotal | 2,922 | 3,290 | 1,918 | 2,594 | 5,554 | 5,401 | 6,307 |
| Reserve ratio (%) | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% |
1 Unrealised gains/losses from unconsolidated affiliated companies, valuation at equity and cash-flow hedging. 2 Excluding reserves from owner-occupied property.
| Backup: Investments On-balance-sheet reserves |
||
|---|---|---|
| €m | Change since 31.12.2011 |
|
| Investments afs | 6,976 | 1,391 |
| Valuation at equity | 76 | 4 |
| Unconsolidated affiliated enterprises | 147 | 4 |
| Cash flow hedging | 61 | 26 |
| Total on-balance-sheet reserves (gross) | 7,260 | 1,425 |
| Provision for deferred premium refunds | –1,717 | –839 |
| Deferred tax | –1,324 | –46 |
| Minority interests | –14 | –4 |
| Consolidation and currency effects | –25 | 37 |
| Shareholders' stake | 4,180 | 573 |
1 Excluding reserves for owner-occupied property.
| Backup: Shareholder information Financial calendar |
|
|---|---|
| FINANCIAL CALENDAR | |
| 15 May 2012 | Deutsche Bank "German, Swiss & Austrian Conference", Frankfurt |
| 21 May 2012 | Deutsche Bank "2012 Global Financial Services Investor Conference", New York |
| 22–23 May 2012 | Credit Suisse "West Coast Conference", San Francisco |
| 23 May 2012 | Autonomous "Rendez-Vous 2012", London |
| 13 June 2012 | Goldman Sachs "Annual Financials Conference", Brussels |
| 7 August 2012 | Interim report as at 30 June 2012 |
| 7 November 2012 | Interim report as at 30 September 2012 |
For information, please contact Backup: Shareholder information
| INVESTOR RELATIONS TEAM | ||
|---|---|---|
| Christian Becker-Hussong Head of Investor & Rating Agency Relations Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-3910 E-mail: [email protected] |
Ralf Kleinschroth Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-4559 E-mail: [email protected] |
Thorsten Dzuba Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-8030 E-mail: [email protected] |
| Christine Franziszi Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-3875 E-mail: [email protected] |
Britta Hamberger Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-3504 E-mail: [email protected] |
Andreas Silberhorn Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-3366 E-mail: [email protected] |
| Dr. Alexander Becker Head of External Communication ERGO Tel.: +49 (211) 4937-1510 E-mail: [email protected] |
Andreas Hoffmann Tel.: +49 (211) 4937-1573 E-mail: [email protected] |
Ingrid Grunwald Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-3517 E-mail: [email protected] |
Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft | Investor & Rating Agency Relations | Königinstraße 107 | 80802 München, Germany Fax: +49 (89) 3891-9888 | E-mail: [email protected] | Internet: www.munichre.com