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Muenchener Rueckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG — Interim / Quarterly Report 2011
Nov 8, 2011
6208_ip_2011-11-08_c213dc56-f645-483e-a0b2-e101bd0563da.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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QUARTERLY FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2011
Media telephone conference
8 November 2011
| Overview – Financial highlights | Jörg Schneider | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Munich Re (Group) | Jörg Schneider | 4 |
| Primary insurance | Torsten Oletzky | 13 |
| Reinsurance | Torsten Jeworrek | 18 |
| Summary and outlook | Jörg Schneider | 23 |
| Overview – Financial highlights year of extremes Munich Re (Group) |
Sound underlying performance in core business in a | |
|---|---|---|
| Net profit of €290m in Q3 … including substantial countervailing non-recurring effects Net profit of €80m after nine months |
Strong capital position … allowing market to be taken opportunities – Increase of Group equity to €22.2bn – High dividend capacity (supported by US dividend) |
Resilient investment result given market turmoil High level of portfolio diversification proves beneficial Annualised RoI of 3.3%1 |
| Reinsurance | Primary insurance | Munich Health |
| Combined ratio of 89.0% in Q3 Following large nat cat losses in H1 combined ratio of 117.9% in Q1–3 2011 Life reinsurance sustains good underlying development |
Different lines of business showing diverging trends … partially impacted by non recurring items Consolidated ERGO result of €260m – in FY 2011 aiming for result on prior year's level |
Combined ratio of 97.6% in Q3 Stable operating result Net result distorted by negative currency effects |
1 Adjusted for impact on insurance risk transfer to the capital markets: RoI 3.1%.
| Agenda | |
|---|---|
| Overview – Financial highlights | |
| Munich Re (Group) | |
| Primary insurance | |
| Reinsurance | |
| Summary and outlook | |
| Quarterly financial statements as at 30 September 2011 4 |
| Overview – Financial highlights | After nine months Munich Re returns to positive result | |
|---|---|---|
| GROUP | GROUP | GROUP |
| Gross premiums written | Operating result | Net result |
| €m | €m | €m |
| Q1–3 | Q1–3 | Q1–3 |
| 34,060 | 3,367 | 1,955 |
| 2010 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Q1–3 | Q1–3 | Q1–3 |
| 37,166 | 402 | 80 |
| 2011 | 2011 | 2011 |
| Continued strong organic | Severe large claims and capital | Weaker euro putting additional |
| growth, mainly in reinsurance | market turmoil leaving their mark | pressure on net result |
| REINSURANCE | PRIMARY INSURANCE | MUNICH HEALTH |
| Net result | Net result | Net result |
| €m | €m | €m |
| Q1–3 | Q1–3 | Q1–3 |
| 1,659 | 432 | 57 |
| 2010 | 2010 | 2010 |
Impairments on Greek bonds compensated for positive one-offs
Q1–3 2011 418
Q1–3 2011 108
High cat losses, lower investment result and negative FX impact
2011 31 Stable operating result burdened by negative FX impact
Q1–3
Quarterly financial statements as at 30 September 2011 8 2 Thereof 11% inflation-linked bonds. 3Additional inflation-linked exposure in swaps 1% and bank and corporate exposure in credit default swaps 2% of fixed-income portfolio. 4 P/H = policyholder. Economic view – not fully
comparable with IFRS figures. 5 Differences between totals possible due to rounding.
Munich Re (Group) – Investment result
Stable regular income despite low yields – Write-down on Greek government bonds
| Investment result | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| €m | Q1–3 2011 | Return1 | €m | Q1–3 2010 | Return1 | |
| Regular income | 6,064 | 4.1% | 5,844 | 4.0% | ||
| Write-ups/write-downs of investments |
–1,640 | –1.1% | 290 | 0.2% | ||
| Gains/losses on the disposal of investments |
1,196 | 0.8% | 1,409 | 1.0% | ||
| Other income/expenses | –805 | –0.5%2 | –262 | –0.2% | ||
| Investment result | 4,815 | 3.3% | 7,281 | 5.0% | ||
| Regular income | Write-ups/write-downs | Gains/losses on disposal | ||||
| Higher dividend income Increase in deposits retained on assumed reinsurance as a consequence of large volume deals |
Write-down on Greek government bonds (€933m) and on equities (€456m) High impact of derivatives: Swaptions (€275m) and other fixed-interest derivatives benefit from lower interest rates, while credit and inflation swaps depreciate |
Disposal gain from sale of real estate in Singapore and reduction of equities Gains on equity derivatives compensate for impairments on equities in Q3 |
Write-up from insurance risk transfer to the capital markets (€211m)
on equities in Q3 Higher disposal gains on fixedinterest instruments in the
1 Return on quarterly weighted investments (market values) in % p.a. 2 Negative impact from unit-linked business included.
Current reinvestment yield ~3.4%
Quarterly financial statements as at 30 September 2011 9
previous year
| Munich Re (Group) – Premium development Strong organic growth |
||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| €m | ||||||||
| Gross premiums written Q1–3 2010 |
34,060 | |||||||
| Foreign-exchange effects |
–620 | |||||||
| Divestment/ Investment |
246 | |||||||
| Organic change | 3,480 | |||||||
| Gross premiums written Q1–3 2011 |
37,166 | |||||||
| Breakdown by | Reinsurance | Primary insurance | ||||||
| segment | Property-casualty | Property-casualty | ||||||
| (consolidated) | 12,489 (33%) | 4,371 (12%) | ||||||
| (▲ 9.1%) | (▲ 2.5%) | |||||||
| Reinsurance | Primary insurance | |||||||
| Life: 7,104 (19%) | Life: 4,474 (12%) | |||||||
| (▲ 22.1%) | (▲ –4.5%) | |||||||
| Munich Health | Primary insurance | |||||||
| 4,406 (12%) (▲ 19.0%) |
Health Germany: 4,322 (12%) (▲ 4.2%) |
Segmental results Munich Re (Group) – Operating and consolidated result
| €m | Q1–3 2010 Q1–3 2011 |
Operating result | Consolidated result | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinsurance Life |
569 503 |
356 206 |
|||
| Reinsurance Property-casualty |
–546 | 1,943 | 1,303 –98 |
||
| Reinsurance Subtotal |
–43 | 2,512 | 1,659 108 |
||
| Primary insurance Life |
331 207 |
202 106 |
|||
| Primary insurance Health |
146 141 |
90 72 |
|||
| Primary insurance Property-casualty |
446 458 |
140 240 |
|||
| Primary insurance Subtotal |
923 806 |
432 418 |
|||
| Munich Health | 114 119 |
57 31 |
|||
| Munich Re (Group) | 402 | 3,367 | 80 | 1,955 |
| Agenda | |
|---|---|
| Overview – Financial highlights | |
| Munich Re (Group) | |
| Primary insurance | |
| Reinsurance | |
| Summary and outlook | |
| €m Gross premiums 13,132 written Q1–3 2010 Foreign-exchange –34 effects Divestment/ 0 Investment Organic change 109 Gross premiums 13,207 written Q1–3 2011 Property-casualty Life Asia/Pacific Germany Breakdown 4,405 (33%) 4,475 (34%) 1% (1%) 76% (76%) by segment (▲ 2.5%) (▲ –4.4%) Other Europe 23% (23%) Health Germany 4,327 (33%) (▲ 4.2%) (segmental, not consolidated) (consolidated) |
Primary insurance – Premium development Overall stable premium income |
|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primary insurance – Life – New business | Life: New business (statutory premiums) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Comments | |||||||||
| €m | Total | Regular premiums |
Single premiums |
APE1 | Germany | |||||
| Q1–3 2010 |
2,247 | 327 | 1,920 | 519 | Growth of regular premiums Single-premium business down – for whole market Good growth in corporate pension business International Strong growth in Belgium (APE 23.1%) and Poland (APE 20.3%) |
|||||
| Q1–3 2011 |
2,024 | 363 | 1,661 | 529 | ||||||
| Δ | –9.9% | 11.0% | –13.5% | 1.9% | in unit-linked business | Austria (APE –30.6%): lower single premiums, mainly | ||||
| Germany | International | |||||||||
| €m | Total | Regular premiums |
Single premiums |
APE1 | €m | Total | Regular premiums |
Single premiums |
APE1 | |
| Q1–3 2010 |
1,505 | 216 | 1,289 | 345 | Q1–3 2010 |
742 | 111 | 631 | 174 | |
| Q1–3 2011 |
1,322 | 235 | 1,087 | 343 | Q1–3 2011 |
702 | 128 | 574 | 186 | |
| Δ | –12.2% | 8.8% | –15.7% | –0.6% | Δ | –5.4% | 15.3% | –9.0% | 6.9% | |
| 1 Annual premium equivalent (APE = regular premiums +10% single premiums). | Quarterly financial statements as at 30 September 2011 |
Higher combined ratio in Germany – Improving international business Primary insurance – Property-casualty – Combined ratio % 2009 93.2 Loss ratio Expense ratio 60.3
| 2009 | 93.2 | 60.3 | 32.9 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 96.8 | 63.1 | 33.7 | |||||||||||
| Q1–3 2010 | 95.6 | 63.0 | 32.6 | |||||||||||
| Q1–3 2011 | 96.8 | 63.5 33.3 |
||||||||||||
| % | ||||||||||||||
| 96.3 | 93.3 | 93.3 | 98.7 | 94.5 | 93.6 | 100.4 | 98.2 | 94.7 | 97.5 | Combined ratio Germany (91.7%1 ) burdened by weather-related losses (severe storms) Improving combined ratio |
||||
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | 90.3 Q4 |
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | of international business (104.4%1 ) despite still high claims and costs especially in motor business |
|||
| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | ||||||||||||
| 1 Q1–3 2011. | Quarterly financial statements as at 30 September 2011 |
| Agenda | |
|---|---|
| Overview – Financial highlights | |
| Munich Re (Group) | |
| Primary insurance | |
| Reinsurance | |
| Summary and outlook | |
| Quarterly financial statements as at 30 September 2011 18 |
| Reinsurance – Premium development Strong increase driven by organic growth |
||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| €m | ||||||||
| Gross premiums written Q1–3 2010 |
17,628 | |||||||
| Foreign-exchange effects |
–509 | |||||||
| Divestment/ Investment |
– | |||||||
| Organic change | 2,846 | |||||||
| Gross premiums written Q1–3 2011 |
19,965 | |||||||
| Breakdown by segment |
Property-casualty 12,765 (64%) (▲ 9.0%) |
Life 7,200 (36%) (▲ 21.7%) |
Middle East/Africa 3% (3%) Asia/Pacific 18% (14%) Latin America |
North America 41% (42%) Europe |
||||
| 5% (5%) | 33% (36%) | |||||||
| (segmental, not consolidated) | (consolidated) | Quarterly financial statements as at 30 September 2011 19 |
| Agenda |
|---|
| Overview – Financial highlights |
| Munich Re (Group) |
| Primary insurance |
| Reinsurance |
| Summary and outlook |
| Outlook 2011 Positive annual result envisaged |
||
|---|---|---|
| Munich Re (Group) | ||
| GROSS PREMIUMS WRITTEN €49–50bn (prev. €48–50bn) |
RETURN ON INVESTMENT Slightly below 3.5% (prev. slightly below 4%) |
PROFIT Aiming for a positive Q4 and FY 2011 result RoRaC target of 15% after tax over the cycle to stand |
| Reinsurance | Primary insurance | Munich Health |
| COMBINED RATIO P-C <97% over the cycle – Not achievable in 2011 |
COMBINED RATIO P-C Slightly above 95% (prev. <95%) |
Positive earnings contribution while concluding consolidation phase |
| GROSS PREMIUMS WRITTEN ~€26.5bn (prev. ~€26bn) |
GROSS PREMIUMS WRITTEN ~€17.5bn (prev. €17–18bn) |
GROSS PREMIUMS WRITTEN ~€6bn Quarterly financial statements as at 30 September 2011 24 |
Munich Re
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are based on current assumptions and forecasts of the management of Munich Re. Known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could lead to material differences between the forward-looking statements given here and the actual development, in particular the results, financial situation and performance of our Company. The Company assumes no liability to update these forward-looking statements or to conform them to future events or developments.