Skip to main content

AI assistant

Sign in to chat with this filing

The assistant answers questions, extracts KPIs, and summarises risk factors directly from the filing text.

Muenchener Rueckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG Earnings Release 2010

Jan 10, 2011

6208_ip_2011-01-10_572771b2-31bd-4320-84a3-d76c153ceed0.pdf

Earnings Release

Open in viewer

Opens in your device viewer

STRINGENT EXECUTION DELIVERING SUSTAINABLE EARNINGS

January 2011

as strategic debt. 4 Earnings before interest expenses, tax and depreciation divided by finance costs.

Financial highlights Q1–3 2010
earnings outlook 2010
Sound financial development allowing for increased
Munich Re (Group)
Pleasing net result of
€1,955m in Q1–3 2010
(€761m in Q3 standalone)
Ongoing strong investment
result and low claims in Q3
Annualised RoRaC of 14.5%
Shareholders' equity
further strengthened to
€24.1bn
Share buy-back programme
on track: €475m1 completed
since AGM in April 2010
High investment result
Annualised RoI of 5.0% in
Q1–3 2010 based on high
disposal gains and write-ups
as portfolio and duration
management continues to
prove beneficial
Reinsurance Primary insurance Munich Health
Good Q3 mitigating
significant claims
in Q1–2 2010
Benign claims development
in p-c in Q3 (combined ratio
in Q3 standalone: 93.8%)
Good operating
performance
€301m consolidated ERGO
result in Q1–3 2010
confirming positive trend
Resilient operating result
Consolidation process well
on track
Position in the US medicare
market strengthened by the
acquisition of Windsor
1 As at 31 October 2010. Munich Re – January 2011
13
Outlook
Munich Re to continue to place high emphasis on
sustainable earnings in a low-yield environment
Outlook 2010 First indication 2011
CAPITAL REPATRIATION RORAC
Continuation of share buy-back programme of 15% a real challenge given sustainably very low
up to €1bn until AGM 20111 interest rates, while economicly balanced
GROSS PREMIUMS WRITTEN business and investment portfolio stabilises
€44–46bn2 profitability and reduces cost of capital
RETURN ON INVESTMENT RETURN ON INVESTMENT
~4.5% (prev. slightly >4%) Assuming insignificant non-recurring
NET INCOME
~€2.4bn3 (prev. >€2.0bn)
gains/losses and a continuation of the low
interest-rate environment, RoI expected to drop
below 4%
COMBINED RATIO – REINSURANCE P-C PROFIT
97% over-the-cycle – in 2010 slightly below Expectation for net result to stand –
100% expected4 Net result 2011 now presumably slightly below
COMBINED RATIO – PRIMARY INSURANCE P-C the increased outlook for 20105 while higher
~95% technical result expected
1 Full execution remains subject to developments in the capital markets and the general economic
environment. Until 31 October Munich Re repurchased own shares amounting to €475m.
2 Thereof €23–24bn in reinsurance, €17–18bn in primary insurance and approx. €5bn in Munich Health
(all on basis of segmental figures).
3 Assuming stable capital markets and FX developments as well as normal claims activity in Q4.
4 Presuming normal claims activity in Q4.
5 Assuming normal claims activity and generally stable prices in reinsurance.
Munich Re – January 2011
14
Summary
Value-adding integrated business model
covers full value chain of risks
Diversification and sophisticated risk management
are cornerstones of our strategy
Excellent financial strength
allows participation in market opportunities
Capital management and cycle management
are key to our future success
Munich Re – January 2011
15
Backup
Group 18
Reinsurance 39
Primary insurance 49
International Health 56
Financial reporting Q1–3 2010 63
Munich Re – January 2011
16
Munich Re and our shares
Munich Re 2009 2008 20071 20061 2005
Gross premiums written €bn 41.4 37.8 37.3 37.4 38.2
Operating result €m 4,721 3,834 5,573 5,877 4,156
Taxes on income €m 1,264 1,372 801 1,648 1,014
Consolidated result €m 2,564 1,579 3,923 3,519 2,751
Thereof attributable to minority interests €m 43 24 83 94 72
Investments €bn 182.2 174.9 176.2 176.9 177.2
Return on equity % 11.8 7.0 15.3 14.1 12.5
Equity €bn 22.3 21.1 25.3 26.3 24.3
Off-balance-sheet reserves2 €bn 3.2 2.5 0.8 1.9 2.6
Net technical provisions €bn 163.9 157.1 152.4 153.9 154.0
Staff at 31 December 47,249 44,209 38,634 37,210 37,953
Our shares 2009 2008 20071 2006 2005
Earnings per share 12.95 7.74 17.83 15.05 11.74
Dividend per share 5.75 5.50 5.50 4.50 3.10
Amount distributed €m 1.088 1,073 1,124 988 707
Share price at 31 December 108.67 111.00 132.94 130.42 114.38
Market capitalisation at 31 December3 €bn 21.5 22.9 29.0 29.9 26.3
No. of shares at year-end (ex own shares) m 191.9 195.7 207.8 225.6 228.0
2007 2008 2009 2010ytd1 Total
Share buy-back 250 2,303 1,387 406 1,125 5,471
Dividend 707 988 1,124 1,073 1,072 4,964
Total amounts 707 1,238 3,427 2,460 1,478 1,125 10,435
High dividend yields and share buy-backs resulting in a cash yield of around 10%2 –
Share buy-back programme up to the 2011 AGM well underway
Backup: Group – Economic risk capital as of 31.12.2009 Breakdown of Group required economic risk capital (ERC)
Risk category1 Group RI PI Div. Explanation
Year end
€bn
2008 2009 2009 2009 2009
Property-casualty2 8.0 7.6 7.5 0.5 –0.4 Lower exposure in Storm Europe
Life and health 4.0 3.7 3.2 0.9 –0.4 Higher interest-rates reduce present value of trend risks
Market 5.4 6.8 4.0 5.3 –2.5 See separate slide
Credit3 2.7 3.1 2.4 0.7 0.0 Higher exposures in corporate bond investments and model
refinements in order to mitigate potential pro-cyclical effects
Operational risk 1.4 1.5 1.3 0.5 –0.3 Separate quantification of scenarios for RI and PI
Simple sum 21.5 22.7 18.4 7.9 –3.6
Diversification effect4 −5.0 –5.3 –4.9 –1.2
Sum ERC 16.5 17.4 13.5 6.7 –2.8 Net of model changes, ERC up €0.4bn

Increase in ERC reflects the slight re-risking in market and credit risk

1 Risk categories broadly based on refined "Fischer II" risk categories recommended for standardised industry disclosures.

4 The measured diversification effect depends on the risk categories considered and the explicit modelling of fungibility constraints.

2 Contains credit insurance and reinsurance. 3 Default and migration risk.

Summary of economic capital disclosure
Position as at 31 December 2009
€bn
31.12.2009 31.12.2008
Available financial
resources (AFR)
28.4 28.4 24.6
Economic risk capital1 9.9
7.5
17.4 16.5
Economic capital buffer 6.2
4.8
11.0 8.1
Economic capital buffer after
share buy-back and dividends2
4.5
4.8
9.3 7.0
Solvency II capital
Hybrid capital
Enhanced economic capital position driven by remarkable AFR increase
1 Solvency II capital based on VaR 99.5%, Munich Re internal risk model based on 175% of Solvency II capital.
QIS4 CEIOPS' Final Advice QIS5
EPIFP1 Tier 1 without
being explicitly
determined
Tier 3 Tier 1 but have to be calculated and the proposed
methodology involves massive shortcomings
EPIFP are still in danger of being inappropriately
classified as Tier 2 or 3 in Solvency II
Contract
boundaries
No specific
treatment
The definition of contract
boundaries contains too
conservative aspects
For many long-term insurance policies, QIS5 will only
take into account the first year for the determination
of the technical provisions and the risk
Risk margin No allowance for
diversification
No unavoidable
market risk
No allowance for diversification
Covers unavoidable market
risk
No allowance for diversification between legal
entities on group level
Covers unavoidable market risk which should be
negligible but proposed formula may lead to extreme
results
Hybrid
capital
No grandfathering Grandfathering not addressed
Too restrictive requirements for
classification better than Tier 3
Generous grandfathering
Adequate for QIS5 but dangerous for Solvency II as
it opens the door for regulatory arbitrage
Intangible
assets
No recognition Tier 3 and 100% capital charge Tier 1 for intangibles other than goodwill but 80%
capital charge
This arbitrarily pulls the solvency ratio towards 125%
Backup: Group – Solvency II: Update Assessment of key topics in QIS5 (II)
Capital requirements
QIS4 CEIOPS' Final Advice QIS5
Non-life
underwriting
risk
Calibration is
more conservative
than internal
model esp. for
reinsurers.1
Limited
recognition of
undertaking
specific
parameters and
geographical
diversification.
Broad strengthening over QIS4
calibration (e.g. up to 50% of
non-life risk factors)
No recognition of undertaking
specific parameters and
geographical diversification
ƒ Undertaking-specific scenarios no longer allowed
in the cat risk sub-module in QIS5
ƒ Broad reduction of CEIOPS' final advice, but still
more conservative than QIS4
ƒ Less geographical diversification recognised
ƒ Undertaking-specific parameters allowed in QIS5
but presumably only after some sort of
certification in Solvency II
ƒ Better recognition of non-proportional reinsurance,
but too restrictive preconditions applying for them
ƒ New lapse risk in non-life is burdensome and
presumably not material
Volatility
risk
Not included Interest rate and equity
volatility included
Not included. Volatility risk can be material for some
undertakings and should be included
Minimum
capital
require
ments
Cf. QIS5 Cf. QIS5 ƒ No recognition of diversification benefits
ƒ No recognition of loss-absorbing capacity of
deferred taxes
ƒ No direct calculation according to internal model
Î The MCR will regularly be 45% of the SCR
QIS5 specifications are more onerous than QIS4. Capital requirements expected to
increase. Reinsurance still expected to benefit from latest developments
1 Cf. CRO Forum QIS4 Benchmark Study, Slide 34, 2008. Munich Re – January 2011
31
ALM process
Liabilities Replicating
portfolio
Restricted
neutral position
Benchmark
portfolio
Active asset
management
Determining the
expected
technical cash
flows of our
operating
business
Calculation of risk
minimal,
investable asset
portfolio, reflecting
the capital market
sensitivity of the
liabilities
Risk minimal
replication of
liabilities and
economic surplus
Compliance with
all legal and
statutory
requirements
Including strategic
holdings
determining an
optimal, well
diversified asset
portfolio reflecting
our risk
preference
Providing MEAG
with risk capital to
add value through
tactical deviations
from the given
Benchmark
Portfolio
Best-estimate
projections
Cash-flow and
currency-matching
Compliance with
all legal and
statutory
requirements
Long-term invest
ment strategy with
dynamic asset
allocation
overlays
Asset
management
skills
Transaction
Shore Re Ltd.
Closing
07/2010
Maturity
07/2013
Volume
US\$ 96m
Perils covered
Hurricane US
ƒ Generation of risk-based
and fee income
Johnston Re Ltd. 05/2010 05/2013 US\$ 305m Hurricane US ƒ Munich Re is active
investor in primary and
For clients Lakeside Re II Ltd. 12/2009 01/2013 US\$ 225m Earthquake California secondary market
Muteki Ltd. 05/2008 05/2011 US\$ 300m Earthquake Japan ƒ Improvement of own
risk/return
MIDORI Ltd. 10/2007 10/2012 US\$ 260m Earthquake Japan profile and cost efficiency
For clients
& Munich
Re´s book
Ianus Capital Ltd. 06/2009 06/2012 €50m Windstorm Europe &
Earthquake Turkey
ƒ Utilization of unexhausted
risk budgets
For EOS Wind Ltd. 05/2010 05/2014 US\$ 80m Hurricane US &
Windstorm Europe
ƒ Establishment of
placement entity licensed
in EU and Switzerland
Munich
Re's book
Queen Street Ltd. 03/2008 03/2011 €170m Windstorm Europe ƒ Offering one-stop shopping
Nathan Ltd. 02/2008 01/2013 US\$ 100m Extreme mortality to clients as sponsors
Reinsurance1 2009 2008 20072 20062 2005
Gross premiums written €bn 24.8 21.9 21.5 22.2 22.3
Investments €bn 78.5 78.4 81.9 85.0 87.0
Net technical provisions €bn 55.3 55.8 55.5 59.6 63.4
Reserve ratio property-casualty % 272.5 271.9 272.0 280.9 295.8
Large and very large losses (net)3 €m 1,157 1,507 1,126 585 3,134
Thereof natural catastrophe losses3 €m 196 832 634 139 2,603
Combined ratio property-casualty % 95.3 99.4 96.4 92.6 111.7
Thereof natural catastrophe losses3 %-pts. 1,4 6.2 4.7 1.0 19.2

2 Adjusted pursuant to IAS 8. 3 Previous years adjusted owing to a change in methodology.

Faster than expected recovery of financial markets led to strengthening of (re)insurers balance sheets Market environment Overall more competitive market environment after recovery of financial markets Backup: Reinsurance – Reinsurance property-casualty

  • Slightly decreasing price development on primary as well as reinsurance markets globally
  • Negotiations significantly influenced by recent loss experience in individual segments and/or markets

Competitors Supply

  • Increasing capacity and thus no constraints in all lines of business
  • Ancillary decrease in available business leads to increased level of competition. However, in general reasonable behaviour of reinsurers
  • In some segments, reinsurers with lower security aimed to increase shares or get lead positions

Clients Demand

  • Cost pressure on primary insurers also affects reinsurance budgets and buying behaviour driving overall market trends
  • Security of reinsurers still not adequately reflected, few exceptions with respect to solvency relief business

Munich Re – January 2011 40

Backup: Reinsurance – Reinsurance property-casualty Total YTD renewals 2010 – Changes in premium
% 100 –16.0 84.0 0.03 11.4 95.4
€m 10,693 1,715 8,977 3 1,223 10,203
Change in premium: –4.6%
ƒ Thereof price change:
ƒ Thereof change in exposure our share:
–0.1%
–4.5%
Total renewable
business from
1 July 09
Cancelled Renewed Increase on
renewable business
New business Estimated outcome
Munich Re – January 2011
Backup: Reinsurance – Business potential
Requests for capital relief deals
Drivers of demand Reinsurance solutions provide advantages
Investment losses and
decreased capital base
Demand for
surplus relief
Capacity with high security
increased, in
addition capital
market currently
Immediate risk capital relief
Higher risk exposure
and risk capital needs
with limited
capacity
Specific requirements can be
addressed in tailor-made transactions
Risk appetite for transactions reflected in underwriting policy
Focus on transactions
with transfer of
insurance risks
Limit transactions with
significant credit risk
Caution with outflow
of liquidity
Avoidance of risks
highly correlated
to recession
Focused and differentiated capture of opportunities in life and non-life reinsurance
Munich Re – January 2011
43
Rank Company Country Net reinsurance premiums written
US\$ m
1 Munich Re Germany 2009
33,705
2 Swiss Re Switzerland 22,897
3 Hannover Re Germany 13,639
4 Berkshire Hathaway Re U.S. 12,362
5 Lloyd's1, 2 U.K. 9,734
6 SCOR SE France 8,315
7 Reinsurance Group of America Inc. U.S. 5,725
8 Transatlantic Holdings Inc. U.S. 3,986
9 Partner Re3 Bermuda 3,949
10 Everest Re Bermuda 3,930
11 Korean Re Korea 2,494
12 Tokio Marine Group2 Japan 2,243
13 Transamerica Re (AEGON) U.S. 2,014
14 Mapfre Re Spain 2,007
15 XL Re Ltd. Bermuda 2,003
16 General Ins. Corp. of India India 1,950
17 Odyssey Re U.S. 1,894
18 AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. Bermuda 1,791
19 QBE Insurance Group Ltd. Australia 1,721
20 Caisse Central de Réassurance France 1,716
Total Top 20 138,075
Backup: Primary insurance – Key figures
Overview
Primary insurance1 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005
Gross premiums written €bn 17.5 17.0 17.3 16.7 17.6
Investments €bn 119.5 114.0 109.3 107.4 105.9
Net technical provisions €bn 108.7 101.4 96.9 94.3 90.8
Reserve ratio property-casualty % 125.6 118.8 121.4 124.9 113.1
Combined ratio property-casualty % 93.1 90.9 93.4 90.8 93.1
ERGO – Gross premiums written 2009 by region ERGO – New business 2009 by distribution channels
%
Turkey
Rest of World %
Tied agents
Direct
2% 8% 61% 12%
Poland
4%
Banks
Belgium 5%
4%
Spain
3%
Italy
3%
Germany
76%
Other
3%
Broker
19%
1 Adjusted pursuant to IAS 8. Munich Re – January 2011 48
Backup: International Health – Integrated Group strategy
Business model flexibility across the health risk
value chain
Munich Health
business
models
Example Risk-taking
Financial
Admini
Service
stration Sales
protection
Risk management
Medical
Network
Health
mgmt
mgmt
supply
Reinsurance –
Traditional
ƒ Proportional
ƒ Non-proportional
Reinsurance –
Non-traditional
ƒ Capital relief reinsurance
ƒ Consultative reinsurance
Integrated
reinsurance
ƒ MedNet model
Primary insurance ƒ Daman (UAE)
ƒ DKV Belgium
ƒ Sterling (USA)
Market-specific
Integrated
delivery system
ƒ DKV Seguros (Spain)
Parts of the value chain covered. Munich Re – January 2011
58
Backup: International Health – Portfolio management
Portfolio management – Achieve balance between
growth, harvesting and reshaping activities
Levers Strategy Details
Growth Leverage our flexibility in the
health risk value chain to address
market, specific needs – from
reinsurance to health
management
Profitable top-line growth by
leveraging our capital strength
ƒ Go Client initiative – professionalise sales
approach globally (sales push, client
management)
ƒ Access to capital as core value proposition
ƒ Replication of successful business models/
products/services via global expert networks
ƒ Focus on organic growth, opportunistic M&A
strategy
ƒ Investment in JV start-up, e.g. Apollo Munich
in fast growing Indian market
Harvest Increase profitability through
process optimisation and
sophistication in care and medical
cost management
ƒ Efficiency improvement initiatives (e.g. fraud,
abuse, claims management at DKV Seguros)
ƒ Consolidation of Daman operations following
strong membership growth in the last years
(e.g. disease management)
Reshape Redefine business strategy,
responding to regulatory or
market changes; realise cost
efficiencies; restructure portfolio
ƒ Turnaround programme at Sterling to align
with regulatory changes
ƒ Acquisition of Windsor Health Group
Munich Re – January 2011
60
Backup: International Health – Geographical split
Globally diversified portfolio balancing primary
insurance and reinsurance business
Regional breakdown – GWP 2009
Asia/Pacific (APAC) North America (NA)
2.8%
24.5%
51.5%
Northern Europe/
Central Europe (NECE)
GWP
€4.0bn
Middle East/ Southern Europe/
Africa (MEA) Latin America (SELA)
5.1% 16.1%
Business volume increase in 2009 across regions
NA: High volume reflects global health expenditure share in North America
SELA: Strong presence in Spain (DKV Seguros)
MEA: Regional expansion, strong UAE presence
NECE: Balanced re- and primary insurance business volume with strong market presence
APAC: Expansion with current focus on reinsurance
Note: Minority shares, e.g. Daman, Apollo Munich Health Insurance excluded from GWP figures. Munich Re – January 2011
61
Backup: Financial reporting Q1–3 2010 – Overview Strong investment result compensates for higher claims
GROUP GROUP GROUP
Gross premiums written Operating result Consolidated result
€m €m €m
Q1–3 Q1–3 Q1–3
31,048 3,321 1,784
2009 2009 2009
Q1–3 Q1–3 Q1–3
34,060 3,367 1,955
2010 2010 2010
Substantial organic growth in Investment result more than Outlook net income 2010
addition to positive FX effects offsets impact of higher claims increased to ~€2.4bn
REINSURANCE PRIMARY INSURANCE MUNICH HEALTH
Consolidated result Consolidated result Consolidated result
€m €m €m
Q1–3 Q1–3 Q1–3
1,869 95 –1
2009 2009 2009
Q1–3 Q1–3 Q1–3
1,659 432 57
2010 2010 2010
Significant impact of higher All segments achieving Pleasant result – 2009 burdened
claims in property-casualty increased results by Sterling goodwill impairment
Munich Re – January 2011
Total
€m
Total Regular
premiums
Single
premiums
APE1 Comments ƒ Trend away from regular premiums and towards
single premiums holds true for German and
Q1–3
2009
1,804 344 1,460 490 ƒ Germany international business
Q1–3
2010
2,247 327 1,920 519 ƒ Strong growth in traditional annuity business
ƒ Total new business (regular premiums plus single
premiums) up by 28.5%
24.6% –4.9% 31.5% 5.9% and Belgium ƒ Strong growth in Poland (especially bancassurance)
Germany International
€m Total Regular
premiums
Single
premiums
APE1 €m Total Regular
premiums
Single
premiums
APE1
Q1–3
2009
1,171 228 943 322 Q1–3
2009
633 116
517
168
Q1–3
2010
1,505 216 1,289 345 Q1–3
2010
742 111 631 174
28.5% –5.3% 36.7% 7.1% 17.2% –4.3% 22.1% 3.6%
Backup: Financial reporting Q1–3 2010 – Investment result
Substantially increased investment result driven by
beneficial strategic investment decisions
€m Q1–3 2010 Return1 €m Q1–3 2009 Return1
Regular income 5,844 4.0% 5,704 4.2%
Write-ups/write-downs of
investments
290 0.2% –838 –0.6%
Gains/losses on the
disposal of investments
1,409 1.0% 1,069 0.8%
Other income/expenses –262 –0.2% –143 –0.1%
Investment result 7,281 5.0%2 5,792 4.3%2
ƒ Regular income: Slight increase in absolute terms due to higher asset base and cautious investments in
higher yielding fixed-interest securities (e.g. longer durations and investment in loans) compensating for
lower reinvestment rates
ƒ Write-ups/write-downs: Strong improvement driven by write-ups on swaptions (increase of ~€800m) as a
result of declined interest levels; lower write-downs on equities due to recovered capital markets
ƒ Gains on disposal: High contribution from sale of corporate, government and covered bonds at relatively
low interest-rate levels and narrowed credit spreads and gains of interest-rate futures
1 Return on quarterly weighted investments (market values) in % p.a.
2 Total return on investment Q1–3 2010 (incl. change in on- and off-balance-sheet reserves): 9.2% (7.3%).
Munich Re – January 2011
Backup: Financial reporting Q1–3 2010 – Investments – Fixed-income portfolio
Continued emphasis on highly rated credit risks
Rating classification of fixed-income portfolio1
%
B and
AAA AA A BBB BB worse NR Total
Government/
Semi-government
59 31 7 1 2 100
Pfandbriefe/Covered bonds 85 14 0 0 1 100
Banks 8 17 35 4 0 1 352 100
Corporates 2 11 39 44 3 0 1 100
Structured products 81 10 6 2 0 0 1 100
Loans to policyholders/
Mortgage loans
100 100
Total 55 21 10 5 1 0 8 100
1 Economic view – not fully comparable with IFRS figures.
2 Including cash positions and shares in funds which are not rated. As at 30 September 2010.
Munich Re – January 2011 74
Backup: Financial reporting Q1–3 2010 – Investments – Fixed-income portfolio
Approx. 65% invested in eurozone,
absorbable exposure to "PIIGS" countries
Geographic classification of fixed-income portfolio1
% Germany France UK "PIIGS" CEE Rest of
Europe
USA Canada Rest of
world
Total
Government/
Semi-government
31 6 6 15 3 11 15 7 6 100
Pfandbriefe/
Covered bonds
44 16 6 12 0 22 0 0 0 100
Banks 40 8 7 3 1 13 15 2 11 100
Corporates 3 7 7 6 0 16 50 5 6 100
Structured
products
3 1 9 14 9 62 1 1 100
Loans to
policyholders/
Mortgage loans
99 1 100
Total 35 9 6 11 2 14 14 4 5 100
1 Economic view – not fully comparable with IFRS figures.
As at 30 September 2010.
Munich Re – January 2011 75
</bbb<>
Structured products portfolio (at market values): Split by rating and region
€m AAA AA A BBB <bbb< th="">NRUSA +
RoW
EuropeTotalMarket
to-par
value
NR USA +
RoW
Europe Total Market
to-par
value
ABS Consumer-related ABS1 755 80 91 3 13 597 345 942 101%
Corporate-related ABS2 173 116 40 10 4 3 3 343 346 95%
Subprime HEL 21 23 4 48 48 95%
CDO/
CLN
Subprime-related 0 0 0 0 0 0%
Non-subprime-related 71 9 30 2 0 58 0 170 170 81%
MBS Agency 2,130 84 2,214 2,214 99%
Non-agency prime 600 61 51 46 0 - 60 698 758 97%
Non-agency other
(not subprime)
196 77 28 4 149 156 305 94%
Commercial MBS 622 132 51 20 3 530 298 828 99%
Total 30.9.2010 4,568 559 314 81 15 74 3,601 2,010 5,611 97%
In % 81% 10% 6% 2% 0% 1% 64% 36% 100%
Total 31.12.2009 4,592 315 235 20 15 85 3,993 1,269 5,262 95%
Sensitivities to interest rates, spreads and
equity markets
Sensitivity to risk-free interest rates – Basis points –200 –100 +100 +200
Change in gross market value (€bn) +27.1 +12.7 –10.9 –20.2
Change in on-balance-sheet reseres, net (€bn)1 +5.7 +2.7 –2.5 –4.6
Change in off-balance-sheet reserves, net (€bn)1 +1.3 +0.6 –0.5 –0.9
P&L impact (€bn)1 +1.0 +0.5 –0.4 –0.7
Sensitivity to spreads2 (change of bps) +100 +200
Change in gross market value (€bn) –7.9 –14.5
Change in on-balance-sheet reseres, net (€bn)1 –1.3 –2.5
Change in off-balance-sheet reserves, net (€bn)1 –0.4 –0.7
P&L impact (€bn)1 –0.4 –0.7
Sensitivity to equity markets3 –30% –10% +10% +30%
EURO STOXX 50 (2,748 as at 30.9.2010) 1,924 2,473 3,023 3,572
Change in gross market value (€bn) –1.8 –0.6 +0.6 +1.9
Change in on-balance-sheet reseres, net (€bn)1 –0.6 –0.2 +0.6 +1.7
Change in off-balance-sheet reserves, net (€bn)1 –0.2 –0.1 +0.1 +0.2
P&L impact (€bn)1 –0.7 –0.2 –0.1 –0.3
1 Rough calculation with limited reliability assuming unchanged portfolio as at 30.9.2010. After rough estimation
of policyholder participation and deferred tax; linearity of relations cannot be assumed. Economic view – not
fully comparable with IFRS figures.
2 Sensitivities to changes of spreads are calculated for every category of fixed-interest securities,
except governments with ratings AAA.
3 Worst-case scenario assumed: impairment as soon as market value is below acquisition cost.
Munich Re – January 2011 77
Appendix Financial calendar
FINANCIAL CALENDAR
11 January 2011 Commerzbank "German Investment Seminar", New York
3 February 2011 Reporting on the renewal of reinsurance treaties; key figures 2010
10 March 2011 Balance sheet press conference for 2010 financial statements
11 March 2011 Analysts' conference, London
20 April 2011 Annual General Meeting, Munich
21 April 2011 Dividend payment
9 May 2011 Interim report as at 31 March 2011
4 August 2011 Interim report as at 30 June 2011
Half-year press conference
8 November 2011 Interim report as at 30 September 2011
Munich Re – January 2011
85
INVESTOR RELATIONS TEAM
Christian Becker-Hussong Ralf Kleinschroth Thorsten Dzuba
Head of Investor & Rating Agency Relations
Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-3910
E-mail: [email protected]
Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-4559
E-mail: [email protected]
Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-8030
E-mail: [email protected]
Christine Franziszi Britta Hamberger Andreas Silberhorn
Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-3875
E-mail: [email protected]
Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-3504
E-mail: [email protected]
Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-3366
E-mail: [email protected]
Dr. Alexander Becker Mareike Berkling Andreas Hoffmann
Head of External Communication ERGO
Tel.: +49 (211) 4937-1510
E-mail: [email protected]
Tel.: +49 (211) 4937-5077
E-mail: [email protected]
Tel.: +49 (211) 4937-1573
E-mail: [email protected]