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Muenchener Rueckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG Earnings Release 2008

Feb 18, 2009

6208_ip_2009-02-18_e93681a1-bd06-44a8-a835-9e5016f31b93.pdf

Earnings Release

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Munich Re Group Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals

Telephone conference with analysts and investors

Jörg Schneider Torsten Jeworrek

4 February 2009

Agenda
Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals
Preliminary key figures 2008 2
New business in primary life insurance 4
Renewals in property-casualty reinsurance 6
Summary 13
Back-up 15
Munich Re Group – Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals – 4 February 2009
2
Preliminary key figures 2008
Preliminary key figures 2008
Satisfactory result 2008 – Unchanged high dividend of €5.50
€bn 2008 20071 Q4 2008 Q4 20071
Gross premiums written 37.8 37.3 9.7 9.2
Thereof reinsurance2 21.8 21.5 5.6 5.0
Thereof primary insurance2 17.4 17.3 4.4 4.5
Combined ratio reinsurance (%) 99.5% 96.4% 97.7% 91.7%
Combined ratio primary insurance (%) 91.2% 93.4% 94.2% 94.7%
Consolidated result 1.5 3.9 0.1 0.6
Dividend per share (€) 5.50 5.50 n.a n.a
Shareholders' equity (as per balance-sheet date) 21.3 25.5 n.a. n.a.
Consolidated result impacted by a significant
Combined ratio: Strong in primary insurance;
lower investment result
above average major losses in reinsurance
Further reduction of equity exposure in Q4
through sale and reduction of equities;
stable market value of hedging positions
Capitalisation at solid level of €21.3bn;
stable shareholder's equity in Q4
1 Adjusted pursuant to IAS 8.

2 Segmental figures, before elimination of intra-Group transactions across segments.

5 Munich Re Group – Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals – 4 February 2009

Agenda
Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals
Preliminary key figures 2008 2
New business in primary life insurance 4
Renewals in property-casualty reinsurance 6
Summary 13
Back-up 15 Munich Re Group – Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals – 4 February 2009
4
New business in primary life insurance New business (statutory premiums) ERGO new business life insurance
Total business Comments
€m Total Single
premium
Regular
premium
APE1 Germany Decrease of single premium business since
2007 1,894 1,282 612 740 Q4/2008 owing to financial market crisis Impact of amended German insurance contract
2008 1,794 1,186 608 727 International law on new business sales
Excellent growth in Poland and Baltic states
–5.3% –7.5% –0.5% –1.8% Good unit-linked business in Austria
Thereof Germany Thereof international
€m Total Single
premium
Regular
premium
APE1 €m Total Single
premium
Regular
premium
APE1
2007 1,615 1,148 467 582 2007 279 135 144 157
2008 1,445 981 464 562 2008 349 205 144 164
–10.5% –14.5% –0.6% -3.4% 25.1% 51.9% ± 0.0% 4.5%
1 Annual premium equivalent (10% of single premium plus regular premiums).
Agenda
Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals
Preliminary key figures 2008 2
New business in primary life insurance 4
Renewals in property-casualty reinsurance 6
Summary 13
Back-up 15 Munich Re Group – Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals – 4 February 2009
6
Renewals in property-casualty reinsurance
Market environment
Market environment clearly changed
Market environment
Financial crisis and AIG turmoil changed the renewal expectation significantly
Munich Re started swing to hard market in Monte Carlo
However, heterogeneous picture regarding regions and lines of business
Negotiations significantly driven by recent loss experiences
Supply
Major competitors generally showed a stricter
underwriting strategy …
… however, competitors often took a more
heterogeneous underwriting approach
Aggressive attitude in specific segments (e.g.
US casualty, Central European motor, China)
No major capacity reductions visible yet, but
also no new market entrances
Retrocession capacity only at prohibitive prices
Munich Re Group – Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals – 4 February 2009
Demand
Trend of decreasing rates has stopped
In general, cedants are clearly more sensitive
to security
Flight to quality; cedants increasingly accept
differential terms
However, some local markets demonstrate lack
of perception for current developments and
implications on underwriting policies and risk
management
Turnaround achieved in nearly all segments
7
Renewals in property-casualty reinsurance
Concrete initiatives
Improved portfolio quality due to consistent cycle management
Decrease Examples
Strict reduction of unprofitable
business
Germany motor –€67m Proportional –30%,
XL –50%
Germany others –€72m Mainly other casualty –€23m
Property proportional –€36m
US casualty –€74m Split equally in motor and
workers' comp
China –€207m Proportional business
Commercial D&O –€30m Substantial reduction of total
D&O business
Selective growth Examples
Take advantage of significant price
increases
US property cat. +€75m Double-digit price increases
Offshore energy +€140m Double- to triple-digit price
increases
UK motor +€39m Original market is hardening
US agro +€220m Munich Re Group – Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals – 4 February 2009
Further continuation of
successful business model
11
Renewals in property-casualty reinsurance
Outlook
Clear signs of a continued favourable reinsurance market
Upcoming renewals 2009:
April: €1.2bn up for renewal, driven by Japan/Korea
July: €1.0bn up for renewal, driven by US, Australia, Latin America
Strong expectation of further hardening in reinsurance markets (e.g. US hurricane)
With balance sheets of insurers and reinsurers remaining under pressure, the supply
demand equation for reinsurance should lead to more attractive fundamentals
We assume an increasing demand for security (flight to quality) and no new capacity to
enter the market
Reinsurance remains one of the few functioning capital markets for insurers
Financial crisis will lead to specific opportunities for large deals in non-life and life
reinsurance
Munich Re Group – Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals – 4 February 2009
Munich Re prepared to benefit from further hardening of reinsurance markets 12
Agenda
Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals
Preliminary key figures 2008 2
New business in primary life insurance 4
Renewals in property-casualty reinsurance 6
Summary 13
Back-up Munich Re Group – Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals – 4 February 2009
15
13
Appendix
Shareholder information
Financial calendar
3 March 2009 Balance sheet press conference for 2008 financial statements (preliminary figures)
Analysts' conference, Munich
13 March 2009 Annual Report 2008
22 April 2009 Annual General Meeting
23 April 2009 Dividend payment
6 May 2009 Interim report as at 31 March 2009
4 August 2009 Interim report as at 30 June 2009; Half-year press conference
5 November 2009 Interim report as at 30 September 2009
Munich Re Group – Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals – 4 February 2009
21