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Muenchener Rueckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG — Earnings Release 2008
Feb 18, 2009
6208_ip_2009-02-18_e93681a1-bd06-44a8-a835-9e5016f31b93.pdf
Earnings Release
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Munich Re Group Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals
Telephone conference with analysts and investors
Jörg Schneider Torsten Jeworrek
4 February 2009
| Agenda Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals |
|
|---|---|
| Preliminary key figures 2008 | 2 |
| New business in primary life insurance | 4 |
| Renewals in property-casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| Summary | 13 |
| Back-up | 15 |
| Munich Re Group – Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals – 4 February 2009 | |
| 2 |
| Preliminary key figures 2008 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preliminary key figures 2008 Satisfactory result 2008 – Unchanged high dividend of €5.50 |
|||||
| €bn | 2008 | 20071 | Q4 2008 | Q4 20071 | |
| Gross premiums written | 37.8 | 37.3 | 9.7 | 9.2 | |
| Thereof reinsurance2 | 21.8 | 21.5 | 5.6 | 5.0 | |
| Thereof primary insurance2 | 17.4 | 17.3 | 4.4 | 4.5 | |
| Combined ratio reinsurance (%) | 99.5% | 96.4% | 97.7% | 91.7% | |
| Combined ratio primary insurance (%) | 91.2% | 93.4% | 94.2% | 94.7% | |
| Consolidated result | 1.5 | 3.9 | 0.1 | 0.6 | |
| Dividend per share (€) | 5.50 | 5.50 | n.a | n.a | |
| Shareholders' equity (as per balance-sheet date) | 21.3 | 25.5 | n.a. | n.a. | |
| Consolidated result impacted by a significant Combined ratio: Strong in primary insurance; lower investment result above average major losses in reinsurance |
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| Further reduction of equity exposure in Q4 through sale and reduction of equities; stable market value of hedging positions |
Capitalisation at solid level of €21.3bn; stable shareholder's equity in Q4 |
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| 1 Adjusted pursuant to IAS 8. |
2 Segmental figures, before elimination of intra-Group transactions across segments.
5 Munich Re Group – Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals – 4 February 2009
| Agenda Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals |
||
|---|---|---|
| Preliminary key figures 2008 | 2 | |
| New business in primary life insurance | 4 | |
| Renewals in property-casualty reinsurance | 6 | |
| Summary | 13 | |
| Back-up | 15 | Munich Re Group – Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals – 4 February 2009 |
| 4 |
| New business in primary life insurance | New business (statutory premiums) | ERGO new business life insurance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total business | Comments | ||||||||
| €m | Total | Single premium |
Regular premium |
APE1 | Germany | Decrease of single premium business since | |||
| 2007 | 1,894 | 1,282 | 612 | 740 | Q4/2008 owing to financial market crisis | Impact of amended German insurance contract | |||
| 2008 | 1,794 | 1,186 | 608 | 727 | International | law on new business sales Excellent growth in Poland and Baltic states |
|||
| ∆ | –5.3% | –7.5% | –0.5% | –1.8% | Good unit-linked business in Austria | ||||
| Thereof Germany | Thereof international | ||||||||
| €m | Total | Single premium |
Regular premium |
APE1 | €m | Total | Single premium |
Regular premium |
APE1 |
| 2007 | 1,615 | 1,148 | 467 | 582 | 2007 | 279 | 135 | 144 | 157 |
| 2008 | 1,445 | 981 | 464 | 562 | 2008 | 349 | 205 | 144 | 164 |
| ∆ | –10.5% | –14.5% | –0.6% | -3.4% | ∆ | 25.1% | 51.9% | ± 0.0% | 4.5% |
| 1 Annual premium equivalent (10% of single premium plus regular premiums). |
| Agenda Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals |
||
|---|---|---|
| Preliminary key figures 2008 | 2 | |
| New business in primary life insurance | 4 | |
| Renewals in property-casualty reinsurance | 6 | |
| Summary | 13 | |
| Back-up | 15 | Munich Re Group – Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals – 4 February 2009 |
| 6 |
| Renewals in property-casualty reinsurance Market environment Market environment clearly changed |
|
|---|---|
| Market environment Financial crisis and AIG turmoil changed the renewal expectation significantly Munich Re started swing to hard market in Monte Carlo However, heterogeneous picture regarding regions and lines of business Negotiations significantly driven by recent loss experiences |
|
| Supply Major competitors generally showed a stricter underwriting strategy … … however, competitors often took a more heterogeneous underwriting approach Aggressive attitude in specific segments (e.g. US casualty, Central European motor, China) No major capacity reductions visible yet, but also no new market entrances Retrocession capacity only at prohibitive prices |
Munich Re Group – Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals – 4 February 2009 Demand Trend of decreasing rates has stopped In general, cedants are clearly more sensitive to security Flight to quality; cedants increasingly accept differential terms However, some local markets demonstrate lack of perception for current developments and implications on underwriting policies and risk management |
| Turnaround achieved in nearly all segments 7 |
| Renewals in property-casualty reinsurance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concrete initiatives Improved portfolio quality due to consistent cycle management |
|||||||
| Decrease | Examples | ||||||
| Strict reduction of unprofitable business |
Germany motor | –€67m | Proportional –30%, XL –50% |
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| Germany others | –€72m | Mainly other casualty –€23m Property proportional –€36m |
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| US casualty | –€74m | Split equally in motor and workers' comp |
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| China | –€207m | Proportional business | |||||
| Commercial D&O | –€30m | Substantial reduction of total D&O business |
|||||
| Selective growth | Examples | ||||||
| Take advantage of significant price increases |
US property cat. | +€75m | Double-digit price increases | ||||
| Offshore energy | +€140m | Double- to triple-digit price increases |
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| UK motor | +€39m | Original market is hardening | |||||
| US agro | +€220m | Munich Re Group – Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals – 4 February 2009 Further continuation of successful business model 11 |
| Renewals in property-casualty reinsurance Outlook Clear signs of a continued favourable reinsurance market |
|
|---|---|
| Upcoming renewals 2009: | |
| April: €1.2bn up for renewal, driven by Japan/Korea | |
| July: €1.0bn up for renewal, driven by US, Australia, Latin America | |
| Strong expectation of further hardening in reinsurance markets (e.g. US hurricane) | |
| With balance sheets of insurers and reinsurers remaining under pressure, the supply demand equation for reinsurance should lead to more attractive fundamentals |
|
| We assume an increasing demand for security (flight to quality) and no new capacity to enter the market |
|
| Reinsurance remains one of the few functioning capital markets for insurers | |
| Financial crisis will lead to specific opportunities for large deals in non-life and life reinsurance |
|
| Munich Re Group – Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals – 4 February 2009 | |
| Munich Re prepared to benefit from further hardening of reinsurance markets | 12 |
| Agenda Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals |
|
|---|---|
| Preliminary key figures 2008 | 2 |
| New business in primary life insurance | 4 |
| Renewals in property-casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| Summary | 13 |
| Back-up | Munich Re Group – Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals – 4 February 2009 15 |
| 13 |
| Appendix Shareholder information Financial calendar |
||
|---|---|---|
| 3 March 2009 | Balance sheet press conference for 2008 financial statements (preliminary figures) Analysts' conference, Munich |
|
| 13 March 2009 | Annual Report 2008 | |
| 22 April 2009 | Annual General Meeting | |
| 23 April 2009 | Dividend payment | |
| 6 May 2009 | Interim report as at 31 March 2009 | |
| 4 August 2009 | Interim report as at 30 June 2009; Half-year press conference | |
| 5 November 2009 | Interim report as at 30 September 2009 | |
| Munich Re Group – Preliminary key figures 2008 and renewals – 4 February 2009 21 |
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