Earnings Release • Feb 27, 2014
Earnings Release
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Frankfurt, 27th February 2014
Health insurance market: Decrease in new business for full insurance
Source: PKV-Verband (German Association of Private Health Insurers) Source: BMAS 2013
to further extend level of private old-age provision
37% 38% 42% 47% 2010 2011 2012 2013 Base: Working people in Germany aged 16 and above
Source: Postbank Study "Altersvorsorge in Deutschland 2013/2014"
Source: GDV 2014
2013
| Cost management above target despite one-off future investments | |
|---|---|
| Recruiting strengthened through new entry programmes for consultants | |
| New branches opened in the university business segment | |
| Additional support for consultants through MLPdialog service centre | |
| New consultant application and new IT workplace ready to roll out |
in € million
| Q4 2012 | Q4 2013 | Δ in % | 2012 | 2013 | Δ in % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Old-age provision | 135.0 | 88.3 | -34.6 | 287.3 | 219.9 | -23.5 |
| Wealth management | 34.2 | 37.7 | 10.2 | 117.9 | 138.1 | 17.1 |
| Health insurance | 18.4 | 11.5 | -37.5 | 63.9 | 47.8 | -25.2 |
| Non-life insurance | 4.3 | 5.4 | 25.6 | 31.1 | 32.5 | 4.5 |
| Loans and mortgages* | 4.6 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 13.4 | 14.5 | 8.2 |
| Other commissions and fees | 1.9 | 2.0 | 5.3 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 6.5 |
| Interest income | 6.0 | 5.5 | -8.3 | 26.6 | 22.8 | -14.3 |
* Excluding MLP Hyp
in € million
| Q4 2012 | Q4 2013 | Δ in % | 2012 | 2013 | Δ in % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Old-age provision | 135.0 | 88.3 | -34.6 | 287.3 | 219.9 | -23.5 |
| Wealth management | 34.2 | 37.7 | 10.2 | 117.9 | 138.1 | 17.1 |
| Health insurance | 18.4 | 11.5 | -37.5 | 63.9 | 47.8 | -25.2 |
| Non-life insurance | 4.3 | 5.4 | 25.6 | 31.1 | 32.5 | 4.5 |
| Loans and mortgages* | 4.6 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 13.4 | 14.5 | 8.2 |
| Other commissions and fees | 1.9 | 2.0 | 5.3 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 6.5 |
| Interest income | 6.0 | 5.5 | -8.3 | 26.6 | 22.8 | -14.3 |
* Excluding MLP Hyp
Q4/2013: 7,400 new clients
in € million
* Personnel expenses, depreciation and amortisation, other operating expenses **adjusted for one-off exceptional costs
in € million
| Q4 2012* | Q4 2013 | 2012* | 2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | 212.8 | 162.3 | 568.0 | 501.1 |
| EBIT | 47.5 | 20.5 | 73.9 | 32.8 |
| Finance cost | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| EBT | 47.8 | 20.7 | 74.9 | 33.1 |
| Taxes | -13.6 | -4.7 | -22.0 | -7.6 |
| Net profit | 34.2 | 16.0 | 52.9 | 25.5 |
| EPS in € (diluted) | 0.32 | 0.15 | 0.49 | 0.24 |
*Previous year's values adjusted
| in € million | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/2012* | 31/12/2013 | ||
| Intangible assets | 141.7 | 155.3 | Equity ratio: |
| Financial investments | 137.1 | 146.1 | 24.4 % |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 40.7 | 46.4 | 6.6 % |
| Other receivables and other assets | 139.7 | 109.2 | |
| 16.3 % | |||
| Shareholders' equity | 384.2 | 374.5 | |
| Equity ratio | 25.7 % | 24.4 % | |
| Other liabilities | 130.7 | 106.6 | |
| Total | 1,493.5 | 1,536.9 |
Return on equity:
Core capital ratio:
* Previous year's values adjusted
In future too, pay-out ratio of 60 to 70 % of Group net profit
| Basel III / Capital Requirements Directive IV |
• EU directive and regulations in force since July 2013. New regulations concerning appropriate capitalisation apply from January 2014. • Continuous strengthening of MLP's capital base in order to ensure maintenance of the currently comfortable equity capital situation. |
|---|---|
| Act on Promoting and Regulating fee-based Advice on Financial Instruments ("Honoraranlageberatungsgesetzt") |
• The German government has decided to introduce an occupational profile for fee-based consultants in wealth management (introduction in July 2014) and is currently drawing up legislation prior to the implementation of the EU directive MiFiD II. • MLP clients are fully credited with kickbacks that MLP receives from investment companies for the brokerage of investment assets (flat fee) – MLP thus already fulfils the main requirement for registration as a fee-based advisor. Further details (such as the handling of existing business) will be clarified in the pending directive. |
| MiFiD II | • Decided upon at EU level in trialogue. The directive requires that "independent advisory services" in the wealth management area a) have access to a sufficient number of products available in the market AND b) do not take in any commissions from Third Parties. Expected transposition into national law: 2017 – already largely covered by the Act on Promoting and Regulating fee-based Advice on Financial Instruments in Germany. |
| IMD II | • IMD II constitutes a revision of an EU level directive for the insurance area which pursues analogous aims to MiFiD II. • No agreement has yet been reached with respect to the actual composition of this directive. No final decisions are expected to be taken until after the European elections. Expected transposition into national law: 2017 at the earliest. |
| 2014 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Old-age Provision | + | 0 |
| Revenue Health Insurance | + | + |
| Revenue Wealth Management | + | + |
positive: +, neutral: 0, negative: -
EBIT of around € 65 million in 2014 and a slight increase in 2015
Outlook
| Environment | Assumptions | EBIT | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper Scenario |
Significant improvement in the market environment |
• Hesitancy towards capital market-related provision products largely disappears • Health insurance develops very positively throughout the market • New areas of potential through real estate brokerage • Disappearance of the negative unisex effect from 2013 |
~ € 75 m | |||
| Base Scenario |
Initial improvement in the framework conditions |
• Opportunities for products with minor capital market component (long term care pension, occupational disability, occupational provision) • Slight improvement for capital market-related provision products – especially through new guarantee concepts • Reduction of uncertainties in health insurance • New areas of potential through real estate brokerage • Disappearance of the negative unisex effect from 2013 |
~ € 65 m | |||
| Lower Scenario |
Continued hesitancy on the part of clients |
• Critical public debate, such as a reduction of the guaranteed interest rate for life insurance and pension insurance policies, leads to similar hesitancy as witnessed in 2013 • Reduction of uncertainties in health insurance • New areas of potential through real estate brokerage • Disappearance of the negative unisex effect from 2013 |
~ € 50 m | |||
| Administration costs 2014: ~ € 255 million |
Frankfurt, 27th February 2014
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