AI assistant
MIRVAC GROUP — Investor Presentation 2017
May 1, 2017
65328_rns_2017-05-01_804765d1-a5f9-415d-98e7-5724dfa9844a.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
==> picture [82 x 48] intentionally omitted <==
2 MAY 2017
MACQUARIE A U S T R A L I A C O N F E R E N C E
Mirvac is extremely well positioned
Clearly defined purpose
Sustainable business model with strong leadership team > $8.7bn high quality investment portfolio delivering leading metrics
Focused development pipeline delivering vastly improved returns
Excellent earnings visibility for multiple years
Robust and conservative balance sheet
Low payout ratio with growing distribution
MIRVAC MACQUARIE AUSTRALIA CONFERENCE 2 MAY 2017
01
Why is Mirvac unique? Urban asset specialist with Sydney & Melbourne overweight
==> picture [557 x 389] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Asset
creation
capability
across all
sectors
WNE
D
R
R
O
E E
G V
A E
N L
O
A
P
M
E
R
----- End of picture text -----
76% of the Group’s invested capital weighted to Sydney and Melbourne
Group invested capital
Sydney & Melbourne: 76% Brisbane, Perth and Canberra: 24%
==> picture [171 x 171] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
24%
76%
----- End of picture text -----
MIRVAC MACQUARIE AUSTRALIA CONFERENCE 2 MAY 2017 02
Why is Mirvac unique? Disciplined approach to allocating capital and driving returns
~~Urban Strategy (Sydney/Melbourne overweight)~~
- 75 80% Investment
Secure yield – underpins Group distribution
- 20 25% Development Disciplined growth
$8.7bn
$2.1bn
==> picture [141 x 140] intentionally omitted <==
OFFICE & INDUSTRIAL
==> picture [141 x 140] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [27 x 6] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
RETAIL
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [141 x 140] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [49 x 6] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
RESIDENTIAL
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [141 x 140] intentionally omitted <==
OFFICE, INDUSTRIAL & RETAIL
Potential to deliver 9%[+] 3 yr average Group ROIC
MIRVAC MACQUARIE AUSTRALIA CONFERENCE 2 MAY 2017
03
Why is Mirvac unique? In-house capability across project lifecycle
Fully integrated business creates value for our customers and securityholders
==> picture [466 x 14] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Acquisiti on Design Construction Development
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [70 x 15] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
marketing
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [53 x 14] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Leasing
----- End of picture text -----
~~& facilit~~ ies
Mirvac’s unique end-to-end in-house capability provides:
Flexibility of delivery and timing
-
Cost benefits
-
Quality control
-
Enhanced returns
-
Intellectual property retained in-house
-
Relationships maintained in-house
MIRVAC MACQUARIE AUSTRALIA CONFERENCE 2 MAY 2017
04
Focused urban strategy delivering strong results
==> picture [884 x 333] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
FY17
TARGET
>15%
Operating EPS Residential ROIC [ 1]
15 cents 15%
FY17 EPS
14.4c
14
11%
21%
GROWTH
over 3 years
13 13.0c
ON FY16
10
12.3c
12 11.9c
11
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Guidance 5
DPS
10.5 cents 10.4c
FY17 DPS
16%
10.0 over 3 years 9.9c 0
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
5%%
Target
GROWTH
1. FY13–FY14 based on Development ROIC (previous reporting structure)
9.5
ON FY16 FY15–FY17 based on Residential ROIC
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [563 x 175] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
DPS
10.5 cents 10.4c
FY17 DPS
16%
10.0 over 3 years 9.9c 5%%
GROWTH
9.5
ON FY16
9.4c
9.0 9.0c
8.5
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Guidance
----- End of picture text -----
MIRVAC MACQUARIE AUSTRALIA CONFERENCE 2 MAY 2017
05
High quality office and industrial portfolio
$5.5bn OFFICE AND INDUSTRIAL PORTFOLIO
==> picture [437 x 367] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
97.6%
Office
occupancy
6.7yrs
Office
WALE
12 .7
yrs
5.96%
Average
Office age
cap rate
81%
95%
Weighted to
Assets prime Sydney and
or A-Grade Melbourne
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [437 x 367] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
99.5%
Industrial
occupancy
6.37%
Industrial
cap rate
93%
Weighted to
Sydney and
Melbourne
7.1
yrs
Industrial
WALE
----- End of picture text -----
All information as at 31 March 17, other than portfolio value, cap rates and office average age.
MIRVAC MACQUARIE AUSTRALIA CONFERENCE 2 MAY 2017 06
Urban focused retail portfolio delivering transformed results
$2.9bn RETAIL PORTFOLIO
==> picture [437 x 367] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
$9,934
Total sales
productivity
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [437 x 367] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
99.5%
Occupancy
5.95%
Retail
cap rate
14.9%
Specialty
occupancy
cost ratio
$9,749/sqm
Total specialty
sales productivity
32% growth
since Jun 13
----- End of picture text -----
All information as at 31 March 17, other than portfolio value, cap rates and office average age.
MIRVAC MACQUARIE AUSTRALIA CONFERENCE 2 MAY 2017 07
Office, Industrial and Retail market overview
Tightening vacancy outlook in Sydney & Melbourne
==> picture [414 x 184] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
30%
Forecast
25
20
15
10
5
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [414 x 250] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Forecast
25
20
15
10
5
0
Jan 10 Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13 Jan 13 Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 16 Jan 17 Jan 18 Jan 19
Sydney CBD Melbourne CBD Brisbane CBD Perth CBD
Source: JLL historical and MGR Research forecast
----- End of picture text -----
Urban capital cities stand to benefit from the fast growing international education sector
Distribution of international students in Australia 2015
==> picture [109 x 114] intentionally omitted <==
Sydney: 37% Melbourne: 31% Brisbane: 15% Perth: 8% Other: 9%
Source: Department of Education and Training, June 2016 publication
Direct value added to GDP from foreign students’ living expenses
Ownership of dwellings $1,844m Retail trade: $1,327m Food and beverage services: $331m Retail transport: $242m Technical, vocational and tertiary eduction: $235m Other: $1,226m
==> picture [108 x 108] intentionally omitted <==
Source: Austrade & Deloitte Access Economics, 2015
MIRVAC MACQUARIE AUSTRALIA CONFERENCE 2 MAY 2017 08
Committed office and industrial pipeline will continue to strengthen the portfolio
$2bn committed office and industrial development pipeline supports future high quality income
FY18: 664 COLLINS ST MELBOURNE
FY20: 477 COLLINS ST, MELBOURNE
FY20/21: ATP, SYDNEY
FY20/21: ATP, SYDNEY
MIRVAC MACQUARIE AUSTRALIA CONFERENCE 2 MAY 2017 09
Retail portfolio resilient for future
> Strong catchments, retail mix and our ability to optimise productivity through development and repositioning underpins future performance
Completed 1H17
Strategically evolving retail mix for future growth
==> picture [614 x 290] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Food catering 11%
19%
Non-retail, entertainment
15%
and other
18%
increased
Apparel 16%
Retail services and mobile phones 8% 18%
maintained
Supermarkets and food retail 19% 8%
TRAMSHEDS, SYDNEY
reduced 16%
Homewares, leisure, jewellery 21% FY18
and general retail
16%
Department stores and DDS 10%
5%
Jun 13 Dec 16
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [157 x 120] intentionally omitted <==
BROADWAY, SYDNEY GREENWOOD, SYDNEY
FY19
Future pipeline
==> picture [157 x 120] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [157 x 12] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
BIRKENHEAD POINT, STAGE 1, SYDNEY
----- End of picture text -----
SOUTH VILLAGE, SYDNEY
HARBOURSIDE, SYDNEY
MIRVAC MACQUARIE AUSTRALIA CONFERENCE 2 MAY 2017 10
Residential market overview
EASTBOURNE, MELBOURNE
WOODLEA, MELBOURNE
HAROLD PARK, SYDNEY
GREEN SQUARE, SYDNEY
TULLAMORE, MELBOURNE
BRIGHTON LAKES, SYDNEY
MIRVAC MACQUARIE AUSTRALIA CONFERENCE 2 MAY 2017
11
Residential business continues to perform solidly
- Solid sales activity in 3Q17 driven by new project launches and continued sales at existing strongly performing projects
==> picture [90 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
On track
to achieve
----- End of picture text -----
-
Maintained high level of pre-sales contracts at $3.0bn[ 1]
-
Expect to deliver >15% growth in lot settlements in FY17
-
Completed over 2,150 lot settlements to 30 April 17
- Default rate tracking below 2%
-
95% of expected Residential EBIT secured for
-
FY17 and 65% for FY18
EBSWORTH, GREEN SQUARE, SYDNEY
- Based on Mirvac's share of JVA and Mirvac managed funds.
MIRVAC MACQUARIE AUSTRALIA CONFERENCE 2 MAY 2017 12
High quality residential pipeline set to benefit from the growth of our cities
31,000 lot pipeline evenly balanced between MPC and apartments (by value) > Strong embedded margins with 50% of lots with expected margins of 25%+
Sydney – average annual dwelling projections
Melbourne – average annual dwelling projections
==> picture [342 x 203] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
35,000 Dwellings
30,000
25,000
20,000
10,000
5,000
0
2021 2026 2031
Outer Middle Inner
15,000
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [58 x 8] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
50,000 Dwellings
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [342 x 176] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
40,000
20,000
10,000
0
2021 2026 2031
Outer Middle Inner
30,000
----- End of picture text -----
Source: NSW Department of Planning & Environment 2016 Local Government Area Projections
Source: VIF 2016 forecasts, structural private dwellings
- *2015 forecasts have been used for Parramatta, Hornsby and The Hills Shire as data unavailable due to council amalgamations
MIRVAC MACQUARIE AUSTRALIA CONFERENCE 2 MAY 2017
13
What you can expect from us?
Continue to execute our urban strategy
Deliver on our FY17 targets
Continue to respond to the cycle and prudently manage business risks > Disciplined capital deployment
Maintain a strong balance sheet with capacity for new opportunities
Maintain high occupancy in our quality investment portfolio > Deliver our committed commercial development pipeline
Continue to identify and create opportunities that generate value > Deliver our $3.0bn of residential pre-sales > Leverage third party capital to maximise the value of our business model > Focus on our customer, innovation, leadership, technology, sustainability and safety
MIRVAC MACQUARIE AUSTRALIA CONFERENCE 2 MAY 2017
14
Important Notice
Mirvac Group comprises Mirvac Limited (ABN 92 003 280 699) and Mirvac Property Trust (ARSN 086 780 645). This presentation (“Presentation”) has been prepared by Mirvac Limited and Mirvac Funds Limited (ABN 70 002 561 640, AFSL number 233121) as the responsible entity of Mirvac Property Trust (collectively “Mirvac” or “the Group”). Mirvac Limited is the issuer of Mirvac Limited ordinary shares and Mirvac Funds Limited is the issuer of Mirvac Property Trust ordinary units, which are stapled together as Mirvac Group stapled securities. All dollar values are in Australian dollars (A$).
The information contained in this Presentation has been obtained from or based on sources believed by Mirvac to be reliable. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Mirvac, its affiliates, officers, employees, agents and advisers do not make any warranty, express or implied, as to the currency, accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information in this Presentation or that the information is suitable for your intended use and disclaim all responsibility and liability for the information (including, without limitation, liability for negligence).
This Presentation is not financial advice or a recommendation to acquire Mirvac stapled securities and has been prepared without taking into account the objectives, financial situation or needs of individuals. Before making an investment decision prospective investors should consider the appropriateness of the information in this Presentation and the Group’s other periodic and continuous disclosure announcements lodged with the Australian Securities Exchange having regard to their own objectives, financial situation and needs and seek such legal, financial and/or taxation advice as they deem necessary or appropriate to their jurisdiction.
To the extent that any general financial product advice in respect of the acquisition of Mirvac Property Trust units as a component of Mirvac stapled securities is provided in this Presentation, it is provided by Mirvac Funds Limited. Mirvac Funds Limited and its related bodies corporate, and their associates, will not receive any remuneration or benefits in connection with that advice. Directors and employees of Mirvac Funds Limited do not receive specific payments of commissions for the authorised services provided under its Australian Financial Services License. They do receive salaries and may also be entitled to receive bonuses, depending upon performance. Mirvac Funds Limited is a wholly owned subsidiary of Mirvac Limited.
An investment in Mirvac stapled securities is subject to investment and other known and unknown risks, some of which are beyond the control of Mirvac, including possible delays in repayment and loss of income and principal invested. Mirvac does not guarantee any particular rate of return or the performance of Mirvac nor do they guarantee the repayment of capital from Mirvac or any particular tax treatment.
This Presentation contains certain “forward looking” statements. The words “expected”, “forecast”, “estimates”, “consider” and other similar expressions are intended to identify forward looking statements. Forward looking statements, opinions and estimates provided in this Presentation are based on assumptions and contingencies which are subject to change without notice, as are statements about market and industry trends, which are based on interpretations of current market conditions. Forward-looking statements including projections, indications or guidance on future earnings or financial position and estimates are provided as a general guide only and should not be relied upon as an indication or guarantee of future performance. There can be no assurance that actual outcomes will not differ materially from these statements. To the full extent permitted by law, Mirvac Group and its directors, officers, employees, advisers, agents and intermediaries disclaim any obligation or undertaking to release any updates or revisions to the information to reflect any change in expectations or assumptions. Past performance information given in this Presentation is given for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as (and is not) an indication of future performance. Where necessary, comparative information has been reclassified to achieve consistency in disclosure with current year amounts and other disclosures.
This Presentation is not an offer or an invitation to acquire Mirvac stapled securities or any other financial products and is not a prospectus, product disclosure statement or other offering document under Australian law or any other law. It is for information purposes only.
MIRVAC MACQUARIE AUSTRALIA CONFERENCE 2 MAY 2017
15
==> picture [82 x 48] intentionally omitted <==
THANK Y O U