AI assistant
MIRVAC GROUP — Investor Presentation 2011
May 16, 2011
65328_rns_2011-05-16_0384066b-d257-4d33-a03d-719f90943425.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
operational update by mirvac
17 MAY 2011
8 Chifley Square, Sydney, nSW
ContentS
==> picture [68 x 49] intentionally omitted <==
| MirVaC oVerVieW | 2 |
|---|---|
| inVeStMent | 3 |
| deVelopMent | 7 |
| > CoMMerCial | |
| > reSidential | |
| SuStainability update | 11 |
| guidanCe and outlook | 12 |
MirVaC operational update 17 May 2011
page 1
MirVaC oVerVieW
==> picture [68 x 49] intentionally omitted <==
80%[1]
inVeStMent – Mpt invested capital – $5,805m[ 2]
==> picture [34 x 63] intentionally omitted <==
Office – 57.2%[ 3] retail – 30.6%[ 3 ] Other – 12.2%[ 4]
20%[1]
apartments – 41.7% reSidential $1,463.2m masterplanned cOmmunities – 39.8% deVelopMent 81.0% integrated hOusing – 18.5% invested capital – industrial – 68.8% $1,806m[ 5] CoMMerCial $342.3m Office – 21.1% 19.0% retail – 10.1%
-
1) target operating npat – through cycle.
-
2) by book value as at 31 december 2010, including assets under development and indirect investments.
-
3) by book value as at 31 december 2010, excluding assets under development and indirect investments.
-
4) by book value as at 31 december 2010, includes industrial, indirect investments, carparks and a hotel.
-
5) development division’s total inventories, investments and loans in associates and JVs.
MirVaC operational update 17 May 2011
page 2
Mpt portfolio highlightS
==> picture [68 x 49] intentionally omitted <==
Mpt
| sector | 31 mar 2011 Occupancy |
31 mar 2011 like-for-like incomegrowth 1 |
Wale | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| offce | 97.8% | 4.9% | 6.5 | |
| retail | 99.1% | 4.3% | 6.2 | |
| industrial | 97.6% | 2.7% | 4.6 | |
| Mpt | 98.2% | 4.2% | 6.0 |
- Solid like-for-like net income growth of 4.2 per cent
high portfolio occupancy rate of 98.2 per cent
Strong Wale of 6.0 years
30,125sqm of leased property was executed over the period (2.3 per cent of nla)
==> picture [313 x 156] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Lease expiry profile – by area
70%
60 57.0%
50
40
30
20
10 6.5% 8.6% 11.8% 12.5%
0 1.8% 1.8%
VACANT FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 BEYOND
[[ 2]] 0.0 -0.8 -0.6 0.0 -0.1 +0.2 +1.2
----- End of picture text -----
3 month change[[ 2]]
1) nine month period to 31 March 2011. 2) expiry profile basis point change from 31 december 2010 to 31 March 2011.
MirVaC operational update 17 May 2011
page 3
Mpt portfolio highlightS
==> picture [68 x 49] intentionally omitted <==
offiCe
Continued strong office performance
achieved 41.6[ 1] per cent occupancy at 10-20 bond Street, Sydney, ahead of 30 June target of 40.0 per cent
| mpt Offce portfolio | mar 11 | |
|---|---|---|
| % of portfolio premium | ||
| or a grade | 88.8% | |
| fy11 rent reviews fxed or Cpi | 96.2% |
retail
low tenant specialty occupancy cost of 13.7 per cent
broadway Shopping Centre achieved second highest productivity in australia with $9,841 Mat/sqm[ 2]
| 31 mar 2011 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 mar 2011 | comparable | ||
| category | matpsm | matgrowth | |
| Sub regional | $6,625 | 0.7% | |
| Cbd retail | $8,021 | 2.0% | |
| neighbourhood | $11,873 | 0.3% | |
| totalportfolio | $6,860 | 0.7% 3 |
-
1) occupancy for 10-20 bond Street comprised of 30.5 per cent signed leases and 11.1 per cent heads of agreement.
-
2) big guns 2011, Shopping Centre news Vol. 29, number 1, 2011.
-
3) excludes centres that are undergoing or have undergone substantial redevelopment in the past 24 months.
MirVaC operational update 17 May 2011
page 4
key CoMMerCial 3q aChieVeMentS
==> picture [68 x 49] intentionally omitted <==
redevelo ment p
20 bond Street, Sydney, nSW
total leasing commitment stood at 41.6 per cent[ 1] as at 31 March 2011
post 31 March 2011 leasing momentum maintained
ahead of 30 June 2011 target of 40 per cent
Wholesale partnerships
-
8 Chifley Square, Sydney, nSW
-
in exclusive negotiations for the sale of 50 per cent interest
pre-lease negotiations are underway
develo ment p
hoxton park, Sydney, nSW
- Completion of the 43,000sqm dick Smith distribution centre expected for august 2011 – 5 months ahead of program
Completion of the 90,000sqm big W distribution centre in december 2011 – 3 months ahead of program
190-200 george Street, Sydney, nSW
-
Stage 1, da approved for a 38,000sqm commercial development
-
Stage 2, da being prepared
-
1) occupancy for 20 bond Street comprised 30.5 per cent signed leases and 11.1 per cent heads of agreement.
MirVaC operational update 17 May 2011
page 5
CoMMerCial Market update
==> picture [68 x 49] intentionally omitted <==
Market evidence supports overweight office strategy
office
Weighting Management the Cbd national office vacancy rate has declined steadily from the peak of 8.2 per cent recorded in mid-2010. by forecast March 2011 the vacancy rate was 7.4 per cent with a further moderate decline expected through to end-2011. Melbourne 57.2%[ 1] is most advanced in the recovery cycle with Sydney following closely, while brisbane and perth have both recorded strong levels of net absorption. overall prime Cbd office capital values rose 4.8 per cent over the year to March 2011, 5.25 per cent in 2010, with further steady rises expected through 2011 and 2012.[ 2] > capitalisation rate compression 22 basis points (march 2010 to march 2011)[ 2] retail Weighting Management retail spending has grown at a below-trend pace since mid-2010. Strong employment growth and a recovery in forecast household balance sheets have been offset by rising interest rates and fragile consumer confidence. rental growth 30.6%[ 1] is accelerating from the trough of 2009, but remains below long-term average rates. overall, however, the sector has once again displayed resilience during economic downturns.[ 2]
> capitalisation rate for regional and sub-regional centres remained unchanged between march 2010 and march 2011[ 2]
industrial
Weighting Management Strong import growth and rising competition between retailers continue to drive a revolution in logistics and inventory forecast management. With rising demand for modern well-located facilities, the sharp fall in new construction through 2008 6.5%[ 1] and 2009 is already evident in tightening markets and the emergence of pre-lease and speculative development activity. Manufacturing, although under pressure from the strong aud, also showed resilience through 2010.[ 2] > capitalisation rate compression 30 basis points for prime assets (march 2010 to march 2011)[ 2]
1) by book value as at 31 december 2010.
2) Source: Jones lang laSalle.
MirVaC operational update 17 May 2011
page 6
SettleMentS and pre-SaleS update
==> picture [68 x 49] intentionally omitted <==
Mirvac’s position as australia’s pre-eminent residential developer is evidenced by $1,096m of exchanged pre-sales contracts[ 1] up 30 per cent on 31 december 2010
Settlements
fy11 settlement forecast of 1,700 lots
1,011 lots settled by the end of april 2011
496 pre-sold lots to settle by fy11 year end
193 unsecured lots to settle over balance of year
Settlements by lots
| Settlements by lots | |||
|---|---|---|---|
total 3 |
apartments | house | land |
| settled pre-sold apr 11 to settle 2 secured |
settled settled pre-sold mar 11 apr 11 to settle 2 |
settled settled pre-sold mar 11 apr 11 to settle 2 |
settled settled pre-sold mar 11 apr 11 to settle 2 |
| nSW 591 173 764 |
80 83 3 |
469 508 170 |
— — — |
| ViC 123 87 210 |
— — — |
104 121 82 |
1 2 5 |
| Wa 167 173 340 |
54 56 5 |
12 13 153 |
90 98 15 |
| qld 130 63 193 |
22 33 34 |
56 63 5 |
32 34 24 |
| total 1,011 496 1,507 |
156 172 42 |
641 705 410 |
123 134 44 |
Forecast revenue of exchanged contracts
==> picture [228 x 100] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
400 ($m)
$345m
300 $285m
$263m
200 $202m
100
0
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14+
----- End of picture text -----
-
1) Mirvac’s share of exchanged contracts as at 12 May 2011 – includes $273.5m of 278 Chatswood lots.
-
2) Mirvac’s share of exchanged contracts as at 30 april 2011.
-
3) Combination of settlements as at april 2011 and pre-sold lots forecast to settle in fy11.
MirVaC operational update 17 May 2011
page 7
key reSidential deVelopMent 3q aChieVeMentS
==> picture [68 x 49] intentionally omitted <==
residential develo ment p
era, Chatswood, nSW[ 1]
94 per cent sold out at initial release > average price $1.0m per apartment
$273.5m in exchanged contracts
project speed to market — in 9 weeks project moved from planning approval to 94 per cent sold
non core project disposal — projected to return $70m in proceeds
| project | target sales dates | update |
|---|---|---|
| dianella,Wa | June 2011 | on track — terms agreed,sales date in line with forecast |
| Magenta Shores,nSW | September 2011 | on track — terms agreed,sales date in line with forecast |
| brendale,qld | december 2011 | on track — marketingunderway |
| the royal,Stage 2,nSW | January2012 | on track — marketingunderway |
| bridgewater,Wa | november 2012 | on track — marketingcampaign to be undertaken in fy12 |
1) as at 11 May 2011.
MirVaC operational update 17 May 2011
page 8
reSidential Market outlook
==> picture [68 x 49] intentionally omitted <==
fundamental mismatch between supply and demand with low levels of completions supporting price and rental levels through 2011
NSW
| NSW | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weighting | Management | after several years of under-performance, stronger population growth in nSW is evident as interstate migration to queensland | ||||
| 22.8% | forecast | slows. a relatively strong year for residential construction in 2010 and 2011 is expected to be followed by further growth in 2012. offsetting this, affordability remains tightly balanced given outlook for further interest rate increases.1 |
||||
| VIC | ||||||
| Weighting | Management | Victoria has produced consistently strong growth in residential construction in recent years, supported by a strong | ||||
| 28.6% QLD |
forecast | economy and population growth. further growth is expected in 2012, although the pace is likely to slow from strong 2011 levels. Melbourne recorded the strongest house price growth of all capital cities over the year to March 2011 (1.1 per cent) and over a fve year period.1 |
||||
| Weighting | Management | the weak queensland economy has been a negative for development activity through 2010 and 2011. natural disasters | ||||
| 27.8% | forecast | will temporarily further disrupt activity but a recovery in activity is expected into 2012 as reconstruction work commences. longer term, queensland is a high growth state, which will be refected in the pace of residential |
||||
| WA | construction1. | |||||
| Weighting | Management | after a sharp downturn linked to land speculation and the uncertainty around the Mining tax, perth is poised for | ||||
| 20.8% | forecast | a recovery. 2011 is likely to show modest growth in residential construction, with the pace accelerating in 2012. the commodity cycle remains robust, with long-term commitments from major resource companies and rising confdence in Western australia. the 2 per cent decline in house prices recorded in the year to december 2010 is likely |
||||
| to be reversed as the fundamental under-supply situation re-asserts itself.1 |
1) Source: Jones lang laSalle.
MirVaC operational update 17 May 2011
page 9
MaJor Current and near terM proJeCtS
==> picture [68 x 49] intentionally omitted <==
73.9 per cent of next 12 months project pre-sales to be released into stable markets of nSW and Victoria
| Settlement | lots | net revenue1 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| released | division | project | Stage | Status | ownership | year | lots | pre-sold | $m |
|
| 4 | ViC | harcrest | Stage 1 & 2 | under | Construction | 20% | fy12 | 187 | 63% |
$18.4 |
| 4 | nSW | rhodes | Water’s edge | under | Construction | 20% | fy12 | 111 | 74% |
$17.1 |
| 4 | nSW | rhodes | elinya | under | Construction | 20% | fy12 | 107 | 89% |
$14.7 |
| 4 | nSW | Chatswood | era | Marketing | 100% | fy14 | 295 | 94% |
$300.5 |
|
| 4 | qld | Mariner’s peninsula | the point apartments | Marketing | 100% | fy14 | 86 | 13% |
$100.6 |
|
| 4 | qld | Waterfront newstead | park precinct | under | Construction | 100% | fy13 | 102 | 30% |
$107.2 |
| 4 | ViC | yarra’s edge river homes | Stage 3 & 4 | under | Construction | 100% | fy13 | 34 | 88% |
$100.9 |
| 4 | ViC | yarra’s edge | yarra point | under | Construction | 100% | fy13 | 201 | 66% |
$191.3 |
| nSW | rhodes | pinnacle | Marketing | 20% | fy13 | 145 | $19.0 | |||
| ViC | yarra’s edge | tower 6/7 | planning | 100% | fy15 | 203 | $198.5 | |||
| qld | hamilton | Stage 1 | da | 100% | fy14 | 263 | $150.2 | |||
| nSW | harold park | precinct 1 | planning | 100% | fy14 | 296 | $236.0 | |||
| nSW | elizabeth hills | Stage 1 | under | Construction | 100% | fy12-fy15 | 100 | $20.3 | ||
| total | 2,130 | 69.3% 2 | $1,474.8 |
> all projects are profit contributing
2) percentage pre-sold for projects that have been released.
1) Mirvac’s share of forecast revenue, adjusted for JV interest and Mirvac managed funds.
MirVaC operational update 17 May 2011
page 10
key SuStainability aChieVeMentS
==> picture [68 x 49] intentionally omitted <==
Mirvac will continue to lead in sustainable firsts due to its comprehensive sustainability program, including a top-down focus, with 188 publicly communicated sustainability objectives.
some achievements include:
first office tower in australia built to commit to a 4 Star australian building greenhouse rating — 40 Miller Street, north Sydney, nSW > first 9.2 Star zero carbon home by an australian commercial developer — harmony 9, ViC
-
first australian 6 Star green Star Shopping Centre — orion Springfield, qld
-
first 6 Star green Star education facility — the Mirvac School of Sustainable development, bond university, qld
first in the property sector ftSe4good eSg ratings
-
recognised as a “Sustainability leader” in the dow Jones Sustainability index
-
founding member of the City of Sydney’s better buildings partnership formed earlier this year
ftSe4good
- Mirvac was the top ranking property company in the new ftSe4good environmental, Social and governance (“eSg”) ratings
==> picture [91 x 74] intentionally omitted <==
| rank | company | country |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | mirvac group | au |
| 2 | gpt group | au |
| 3 | CfS retail propertytrust | au |
| 4 | hammerson | uk |
| 5 | boston property | uSa |
| 6 | Capital ShoppingCentres group | uk |
| 7 | CapitaMall trust | Si |
| 8 | Commonwealth propertyoffce fund | au |
| 9 | klepierre | fra |
| 10 | Shaftesbury | uk |
MirVaC operational update 17 May 2011
page 11
guidanCe and outlook
guidance
fy11
==> picture [68 x 49] intentionally omitted <==
– forecast group operating npat $356 $365m – forecast implied epS growth 11.8 14.0% – forecast operating epS 10.4 10.6cpss – forecast dpS 8.0 9.0cpss forecast weighted average securities 3,423m
fy12 outlook
Continued contribution from commercial development earnings > Momentum maintained via residential pre-sale launches > Security buyback considered post asset sales, if highest and best use of capital
MirVaC operational update 17 May 2011
page 12
diSClaiMer and ~~iMportant notiCe~~
Mirvac Group comprises Mirvac Limited ABN 92 003 280 699 and Mirvac Property Trust ARSN 086 780 645. This presentation (“Presentation”) has been prepared by Mirvac Limited and Mirvac Funds Limited (ABN 70 002 561 640, AFSL number 233121) as the responsible entity of Mirvac Property Trust (collectively “Mirvac” or “the Group”). Mirvac Limited is the issuer of Mirvac Limited ordinary shares and Mirvac Funds Limited is the issuer of Mirvac Property Trust ordinary units, which are stapled together as Mirvac Group stapled securities. All dollar values are in Australian dollars (A$).
The information contained in this Presentation has been obtained from or based on sources believed by Mirvac to be reliable. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Mirvac, its affiliates, officers, employees, agents and advisors do not make any warranty, express or implied, as to the currency, accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information in this Presentation or that the information is suitable for your intended use and disclaim all responsibility and liability for the information (including, without limitation, liability for negligence).
This Presentation is not financial advice or a recommendation to acquire Mirvac stapled securities and has been prepared without taking into account the objectives, financial situation or needs of individuals.
To the extent that any general financial product advice in respect of the acquisition of Mirvac Property Trust units as a component of Mirvac stapled securities is provided in this Presentation, it is provided by Mirvac Funds Limited. Mirvac Funds Limited and its related bodies corporate, and their associates, will not receive any remuneration or benefits in connection with that advice. Directors and employees of Mirvac Funds Limited do not receive specific payments of commissions for the authorised services provided under its Australian Financial Services Licence. They do receive salaries and may also be entitled to receive bonuses, depending upon performance. Mirvac Funds Limited is a wholly owned subsidiary of Mirvac Limited.
==> picture [68 x 49] intentionally omitted <==
This Presentation contains certain “forward looking” statements. The words “anticipated”, “expected”, “projections”, “forecast”, “estimates”, “could”, “may”, “target”, “consider” and “will” and other similar expressions are intended to identify forward looking statements. Forward looking statements, opinions and estimates provided in this Presentation are based on assumptions and contingencies which are subject to change without notice, as are statements about market and industry trends, which are based on interpretations of current market conditions. Forwardlooking statements including projections, indications or guidance on future earnings or financial position and estimates are provided as a general guide only and should not be relied upon as an indication or guarantee of future performance. There can be no assurance that actual outcomes will not differ materially from these statements. To the full extent permitted by law, Mirvac Group and its directors, officers, employees, advisers, agents and intermediaries disclaim any obligation or undertaking to release any updates or revisions to the information to reflect any change in expectations or assumptions.
Past performance information given in this Presentation is given for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as (and is not) an indication of future performance.
Where necessary, comparative information has been reclassified to achieve consistency in disclosure with current year amounts and other disclosures.
This Presentation is not an offer or an invitation to acquire Mirvac stapled securities or any other financial products and is not a prospectus, product disclosure statement or other offering document under Australian law or any other law. It is for information purposes only.
MirVaC operational update 17 May 2011
page 13 page 13
==> picture [129 x 93] intentionally omitted <==
Thank you