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METGASCO LTD — Investor Presentation 2021
Dec 8, 2021
65313_rns_2021-12-08_8b0d33e4-9864-4d17-95e4-4e986228927c.pdf
Investor Presentation
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L14 – Cervantes Oil Exploration project
ATP2021 – Three Vali gas discoveries PRL211 – Odin-1 gas discovery Potential significant gas production hub emerging to assist east coast gas shortage
Agenda
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1
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Metgasco Business Transformation
‒2 Company snapshot
‒ 3 Review of Achievements in CY2021
‒4 Cooper/ Eromanga Basin – ATP2021 & PRL211
‒5 Perth Basin- Cervantes – L14
‒6 Conclusions – Upcoming Investment Catalysts & why invest in MEL! ✓7 Disclaimer / Reserve and Prospective Resource Notes
ASX: MEL
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Metgasco Business Transformation
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Since 2016 company transformed by building quality exploration/appraisal portfolio in Cooper and Perth Basin. 100% success in 4 Cooper wells building gas hub reserves/resources- anticipate production revenue in mid CY22
Value
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5
CY22 -Pivot to
gas (and oil?)
4 CY21 Vali/Odin drilling
producing
3 appraisal/exploration
Farm-in to 100% gas success company +
continue to
2 Cooper PRL211
to drill Odin Vali Gas reserves pursue growth
1 Onshore Perth exploration gas upgraded to net 25.2 PJ opportunities to
Basin farm-in build asset
prospect which Odin-1 contingent
Secure two Cooper securing 30% via also straddles resource of 8PJ footprint
Licences via funding 50% of
ATP2021
Gazettal's in 2016 large oil
Farm-Out 75% of exploration
ATP2021 Licence prospect
Discover Vali Gas in Cervantes
1st free carried well
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Modes of historic and future capital funding via selling Byron Shares /Farm-outs/ CY20 and CY21 Capital raisings/Negotiated gas sales prepayment* /potential funding from exercise of share options
Time
*Refer to MEL HoA with AGL on 6[th] December CY21
ASX: MEL
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Company snapshot
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Metgasco’s gas exploration success allows line of sight to profitable business in mid CY22 Company overview
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ASX listed energy exploration company (ASX code: MEL)
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Experienced team focused on creating shareholder value
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An exploration focus in the prolific onshore Australian Cooper/Eromanga and Perth basins
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100% success rate in discovering gas in first four wells drilled in ATP2021 and PRL211 licences to assess reserve/resource upside of Vali and Odin
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25% owner of Vali gas production hub planned to produce gross 10-15MMscfd by mid CY22 providing inaugural revenue
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Odin-1 anticipated to produce gas in 2[nd] half of CY22
Substantial shareholders & Board
| Substantial shareholders & Board | ||
|---|---|---|
| Glennon Capital Pty Ltd | 10.50% | |
| Keybridge Capital Limited | 8.86% | |
| Aurora Funds Management Limited | 5.82% | |
| Board and Senior Management Top 20 |
3.43% 43.72% |
|
| Total shareholders | 2,165 |
Source: Link Market Services ( 6 Dec 2021)
Quality exploration/appraisal portfolio Cooper/ Perth Basins
- Currently planning the drilling of high impact oil exploration well Cervantes-1 onshore in Perth Basin
Financial information
| Financial information | |
|---|---|
| Share price (6 Dec 2021) | A$0.031 |
| Number of shares | 732.88m |
| Options (4c expiring 31/12/2021) | 182.46m |
| Options (3.1c expiring 31/12/2022) | 64.70m |
| Employee Performance Rights | 5.2m |
| Market capitalisation | A$22.72m |
| Cash1 | A$3.7m |
| Debt | A$nil |
- 1 As at 30 Sept 2021
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Gas focus
Oil focus
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Metgasco’s Strategy is to deliver shareholder returns from current and new E&P assets/investments and be the partner of choice
ASX: MEL
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Achievement Summary since CY2020 AGM
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Cooper Eromanga Perth Basin
Corporate
ATP2021 /PRL211 L14- Cervantes
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✓ April-Vali-2 appraisal well drilled - gas pay in Toolachee and Patchawarra
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✓ June -Vali-3 appraisal well drilled –gas pay in Toolachee and Patchawarra
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✓ Nov- Three Fold increase in independently assessed Vali gas reserves to 2P- 101 PJ*
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✓ Dec-AGL HoA up-to 16PJ/ $15mill pre-pay
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✓ May- Odin-1 well drilled gas pay in Toolachee,Epsilon and Patchawarra foramtions.
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✓ Sept -Odin-1 contingent resources upgraded to gross 2C – 36.4 Bscf**
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✓ Oct/Nov -Odin-1 well test delivered stabilised conventional gas rate of 6.5MMscfd(WHP 1823psi - 28/64”choke )
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✓ Government environmental regulatory approvals significantly advanced and anticipating approval before end CY21
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✓ Following Dec CY2020 AGM approval 20 million shares in Byron Energy(ASX “BYE”) In Specie- Distribution completed to MEL eligible shareholders.
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✓ Jan -All stakeholder land access approvals achieved. ✓ Remaining Byron Shareholding sold
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✓ Well planning significantly advanced including purchase and delivery of long lead items.
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✓ Issue and listing of free 4 cent bonus options to all shareholders
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✓ Successful entitlement offer to shareholders raising $4.58 million (excluding costs)
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✓ Service company contracts being prepared and nearing completion
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✓ Sept -Letter of Intent signed with Strike Energy for a rig slot option on Ensign 970 Q2 CY22
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✓ Peter Lansom & Ken Aitken appointed to board
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✓ Metgasco continues to assess value adding corporate and asset opportunities in the Cooper and Perth Basins.
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✓ Q4 – Preparing rig sharing agreement and Ensign contract documentation
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Refer to MEL announcements on 1[st] November and 17[th] September *
ATP2021- Vali Field Reserves Significantly Upgraded
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Three-Fold upgrade of Vali Field Gross 2P Gas Reserves to net 25.2 PJ
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An independent evaluation of the Vali field reserves was completed based on the results of the Vali-2 and Vali-3 appraisal wells
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Independently evaluated Gross 2P reserves of 92 Bscf(101 PJ-25.2 PJ net MEL) versus previous estimate of 30.3 Bscf (33.45-8.4 PJ net MEL)
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Reserves increase for the Patchawarra Formation and addition of the Toolachee Formation
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Recovery of gas sample from Toolachee in Vali-2 confirming conventional gas flow potential
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| Gross ATP 2021 Vali Gas Field Reserves* | Gross ATP 2021 Vali Gas Field Reserves* | Gross ATP 2021 Vali Gas Field Reserves* | Gross ATP 2021 Vali Gas Field Reserves* |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1P | 2P | 3P | |
| Sales Gas (Bscf) | 43.3 | 92.0 | 191.2 |
| Sales Gas (PJ) | 47.5 | 101.0 | 209.8 |
| Net Entitlement ATP 2021 Vali Gas Field Reserves* | |||
| 1P | 2P | 3P | |
| Sales Gas (Bscf) | 10.8 | 23.0 | 47.8 |
| Sales Gas (PJ) | 11.9 | 25.2 | 52.4 |
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ASX: MEL
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*Refer to MEL announcement on 1 November 2021 and Reserve Notes on Page 15
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String of Pearls-Building a sizeable gas production hub
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Vali field life approx 30-40 years – 10-15MMscf/day raw gas rate
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By assessing the resource upside ahead of first gas has allowed the value of the ATP2021and PRL211 assets to be optimised, with the following benefits expected to be realised:
– Appropriately sized flowline by better defining field volumes from the Vali 2/3 and Odin-1 drilling success Optimisation of field target plateau gas rate underway Vali-2/3 and Odin-1’s success has better defined reserve/resource upside in the area surrounding the Vali Field.
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JV currently assessing whether Vali-2 should target initial production from both the Toolachee and Patchawarra Planned connection point at Santos operated Beckler field
ATP2021 further gas & oil prospectivity
Kinta an exciting prospect with gas shows in the Kinta-1 well, drilled in 2003. Similar structure to Vali and Odin requires 3D seismic planned for 2[nd] half CY22
Seismic results anticipated to convert numerous gas and oil leads into prospects
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The success of the CY21 drilling program has significantly increased the size of the Vali production hub , significantly improving the commerciality of the field. The recent signing of a conditional HoA with AGL is a major catalyst to delivering gas production mid CY2022*.
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*Subject to JV approval ,GSA signing ,tie-in tariff and regulatory approvals
ATP2021- Vali Field Gas Sales and Processing
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Gas Sales
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Heads of Agreement (HoA) signed with AGL Wholesale Gas Limited (AGL)
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HoA targets parties executing a Gas Sales Agreement (GSA) by year end.
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GSA gas supply term from mid 2022 until end 2026, estimated at between 9 PJ and 16 PJ (gross)
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GSA will include a staged pre-payment by AGL of gross $15 million for funding the Vali Field work to first gas
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Gas Processing Agreement
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The ATP2021 Joint Venture is currently in discussions with gas infrastructure owners, regarding 3[rd] party access for gas transportation and processing.
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A gas processing agreement is targeted for execution by the end of 2021.
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PRL211 Odin Gas Resources Significantly Upgraded
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- Independently certified Gross 2C Contingent Resources of 36.4 Bscf (8 Bscf net Metgasco) vs pre-drill estimates of 12.6 Bscf (2.8 net)
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| Gross Odin Gas Field Contingent Resources (Bscf) (14 September 2021)* | Gross Odin Gas Field Contingent Resources (Bscf) (14 September 2021)* | Gross Odin Gas Field Contingent Resources (Bscf) (14 September 2021)* | Gross Odin Gas Field Contingent Resources (Bscf) (14 September 2021)* |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1C | 2C | 3C | |
| Total | 18.5 | 36.4 | 71.7 |
| Net Odin Gas Field Contingent Resources (Bscf) (14 September 2021)* | |||
| 1C | 2C | 3C | |
| PRL 211 | 2.2 | 4.35 | 8.55 |
| ATP 2021 | 1.85 | 3.65 | 7.15 |
| Total | 4.05 | 8.00 | 15.7 |
ASX: MEL
* Refer to MEL announcement on 17 September 2021 and resource notes in slide 15
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Metgasco(21.25%),Vintage(operator with 42.5%) Bridgeport(21.25%) & Impress Energy(15%)
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Odin-1 drilled Q2 CY21-172.5m gas pay
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190% increase in pre-drill 2U gross Prospective Resources, confirming Odin as a material gas discovery
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Odin-1 exploration drilled in May CY21 and cased as a gas discovery for future production
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Extensive gas pay in Toolachee and Patchawarra formations, as well as a basal sand in a secondary target in the Epsilon Formation
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Gas samples recovered from the Toolachee and Epsilon formations
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Potential gas production from the Odin Field could be tied-in to the Vali production network
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PRL211 Odin-1 Well Test Results
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Gas Flow Rate of 6.5 MMscfd at FWHP of 1823 psi on 28/64” choke
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A production log confirmed that all perforated zones were contributing gas
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A total of 26.6 metres over five intervals in the Toolachee Formation were perforated, along with 7.5 metres over two intervals in the Epsilon Formation
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The main flow period was carried out for circa 6 days and the final gas flow rate of 6.5MMscf/d and 38 bwpd (interpreted to be water of condensation) at a Flowing Well Head Pressure (FWHP) of 1823 psi.
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Flowing samples from both zones have been collected and are being analysed
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A 15 day pressure-build up was completed for pressure transient testing
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A memory production log was run and confirmed that all zones were contributing gas production
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A downhole shut-in gauge survey completed. Pressure data being analysed
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*Gas Flare picture taken during Odin-1 flow test
Perth Basin – Cervantes – L14
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Potentially one of the largest undrilled oil opportunities in the Perth Basin (Gross P50 OOIP 35mmbls), with geological similarities to nearby discoveries
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A A’
Cervantes
Dongara
King ia
HCSS
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| ties in the Perth Basin (Gross P50 y discoveries |
ties in the Perth Basin (Gross P50 y discoveries |
|---|---|
| Exploration Key Data | |
| Country | Australia |
| Basin | Perth Basin |
| Licence | L14 Western Flank Cervantes |
| Prospect Targets | Cervantes-1 + right to second expfarm-in |
| Farm-in Promote | Farm in for 30% for funding 50% of 1st well- 2nd welloptiononsame terms. |
| Cervantes Owners | MEL 30%(well op),RCMA 40%,VEN 30% |
| Target Information | TD: ~2500-2700 Md Primary Targets: Kingia/HCSS/Dongara |
| Gross Prospective Resource-see table |
P50: OOIP 35mmbls and Recoverable 15.6 mmbls,(arithmetic sum of Permian Zones) |
| Estimated spud date |
Subject to rig availability & government regulatory approvals. |
| Proximity to Infrastructure |
3km to Jingemia Plant – oil processing deal already in place |
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Locally prolific Kingia Sandstone at shallowest depth in onshore Perth Basin and potential oil bearing
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An independent report by RISC (refer Metgasco announcement 4 October 2019) calculated the Mid/P50 prospective resources on the Cervantes prospect of gross 17.4 mmbls representing a 14% increase on the P50 estimate of Metgasco
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The regional cross section illustrates the tilted fault blocks of the hydrocarbon bearing Perth Basin
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Cervantes-1 similar structural features with successful wells due east
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*refer to resource notes page 15
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Perth Basin – Cervantes Oil prospect located in oil trend
Cervantes in good address for oil
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Jingemia-1 intersected a 26m water bearing good porosity sand of Kingia/High Cliff Sand(outside of structural closure) reducing the risk of sand presence in Cervantes.
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Cervantes structure significantly shallower than Jingemia
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Cervantes structure located in the gap between the oil discovery trend of the Hovea, Jingemia and Cliff Head Oil fields
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Permian sandstone reservoir targets prolific producers in the Perth Basin
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Total oil produced from nearby fields in excess of 27 MMbbl of oil
Well Planning Status
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✓ Government environmental regulatory approvals significantly advanced and anticipating approval before end CY21
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✓ All stakeholder land access approvals achieved.
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✓ Well planning significantly advanced including purchase and delivery of long lead items.
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✓ Service company contracts being prepared and nearing completion
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✓ Letter of Intent signed with Strike Energy for a rig slot option on Ensign 970
Cervantes well COS of 28% with high chance of development due to proximity(3Km) to Jingemia production facility.
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✓ Currently preparing rig sharing agreement with Strike and Ensign contract documentation
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✓ Anticipate well spud in Q2 CY22 subject to regulatory approval and signing rig agreements
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Conclusions – Upcoming share price catalysts
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• Near term operational, corporate and macro news flows will provide a number of share price catalysts
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Execute a Gas Sales Agreement (GSA) with AGL by the end of CY21, Vali Gas Sale Agreement ATP-2021 including a gas pre-payment of $15M.
PRL 211 partners to finalise analysis of Odin-1 Test Results and review field commercialisation options
Odin-1 Well Test Analysis PRL211
Complete pipeline tie-in detailed design . Agree processing and tie-in agreement with Santos. Purchase long lead equipment . Targeted in Q4 CY2021.
Milestones to achieve FID on Vali Prod Hub ATP-2021
On receiving environmental approval proceed to sign binding drilling rig contract by end Q4 CY2021. Finalise drilling plans and regulatory approvals targeting spudding well in Q2 CY2022
Secure Cervantes-1 Drilling Rig Perth Basin L14
1[st] Gas Production Vali Production Hub
Install and commission gas pipeline and associated infrastructure to target 1[st] gas sales by mid CY2022
Plan land access for 3D seismic program in 2[nd] half CY2022. Review potential to drill additional gas and shallow oil prospects in ATP2021/PRL211 and select new drilling targets during CY2022.
Plan seismic program and/ or drilling targets in ATP2021 /PRL211
ASX: MEL
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Conclusions -Why should you invest in Metgasco?
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• Metgasco represents compelling value
- Since 2016, the company has pivoted to growth while also returning nearly $20m . in cash and shares to its shareholders
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Metgasco’s board has “walked the walk” in prioritising total shareholder returns - and will continue to do so in the future
Metgasco has a market cap of ~$23m, with ~$3.7m cash, presenting very cheap entry to a compelling suite of assets
Near term gas production and further development upside in the Cooper Basin is arguably heavily undervalued
Transformational Cervantes prospect (L14) is arguably not reflected in Metgasco’s valuation
Growth focused board and management with proven business development expertise
Metgasco’s business transformation is just beginning , with the board actively focused on new opportunities alongside project delivery
ASX: MEL
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Disclaimer / Reserves and Resource Notes
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This presentation is being provided for the sole purpose of providing the recipients with background information about Metgasco Ltd (Metgasco) which is current only at the date of this presentation. No representation, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of information contained in this presentation, including the accuracy, likelihood of achievement or reasonableness of any forecasts, prospects, returns or statements in relation to future matters contained in the presentation (“forward-looking statements”). Such forward-looking statements are neither promises or guarantees and involve unknown risks and uncertainties and are by their nature subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies and are based on a number of estimates and assumptions that are subject to change (and in many cases are outside the control of Metgasco, its Directors and Officers) which may cause the actual results or performance of Metgasco to be materially different from any future results or performance expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.
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This presentation provides information in summary form only and is not intended to be complete. It is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor.
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Due care and consideration should be undertaken when considering and analysing Metgasco’s financial performance. All references to dollars are to Australian Dollars unless otherwise stated.
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To the maximum extent permitted by law, neither Metgasco nor its related corporations, Directors, employees or agents, nor any other person, accepts any liability, including, without limitation, any liability arising from fault or negligence, for any loss arising from the use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with it.
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This presentation should be read in conjunction with other publicly available material. Further information including historical results and a description of the activities of Metgasco is available on our website, www.metgasco.com.au.
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Cautionary statement prospective resources: the estimated quantities of petroleum that may potentially be recovered by the application of a future development project(s) relate to undiscovered accumulations. These estimates have both an associated risk of discovery and a risk of development. Further exploration appraisal and evaluation is required to determine the existence of a significant quantity of potentially moveable hydrocarbons. The prospective resource volumes quoted in this presentation for the Cervantes Prospect reference Metgasco ASX release of 10 September 2019 . The contingent resource volumes for the Odin exploration prospect were independently certified by ERCE Equipoise Pte Ltd(ERCE) and detailed in Metgasco ASX release 17 September 2021. The reserves for Vali quoted in this presentation were independently certified by ERCE Equipoise Pte Ltd(ERCE) and were detailed in Metgasco ASX release 1 November 2021. The reserves and resources have been classified and estimated in accordance with the Petroleum Resource Management System (PRMS)..Resource estimates are net of shrinkage.
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Competent Person Statement: The reported Perth Basin prospective resource estimates are based on information compiled or reviewed by Dr. R. Willink who holds a PhD and a BSc (Hons) in Geology and is a member of AAPG and PESA. Dr. Willink is a Non-Executive director of Metgasco and is currently an Advisor on Exploration of the privately-owned Timor Resources and has worked in the petroleum industry as a practicing geologist for over 40 years. Dr. Willink has consented to the inclusion in this report of matters based on his information in the form and context in which it appears.
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Competent Person Statement : The reported Vali field gas reserve and Odin contingent resource estimates are based on information compiled or reviewed by Adam Becis , Principal Reservoir Engineer with ERCE. ERCE is an independent consultancy specialising in petroleum reservoir evaluation. Except for the provision of professional services on a fee basis, ERCE has no commercial arrangement with any other person or company involved in the interests that are the subject of this contingent resource evaluation.
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