Skip to main content

AI assistant

Sign in to chat with this filing

The assistant answers questions, extracts KPIs, and summarises risk factors directly from the filing text.

METGASCO LTD AGM Information 2012

Nov 12, 2012

65313_rns_2012-11-12_eda438a0-283a-4c34-8550-14955c0d9144.pdf

AGM Information

Open in viewer

Opens in your device viewer

Annual General Meeting Managing Director's Address

13 November 2012

Disclaimer

This presentation is being provided for the sole purpose of providing the recipients with background information about Metgasco Ltd (Metgasco). No representation, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of information contained in this presentation, including the accuracy, likelihood of achievement or reasonableness of any forecasts, prospects, returns or statements in relation to future matters contained in the presentation ("forward-looking statements"). Such forward-looking statements are by their nature subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies and are based on a number of estimates and assumptions that are subject to change (and in many cases are outside the control of Metgasco, its Directors and Officers) which may cause the actual results or performance of Metgasco to be materially different from any future results or performance expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.

This presentation provides information in summary form only and is not intended to be complete. It is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor.

Due care and consideration should be undertaken when considering and analysing Metgasco's financial performance. All references to dollars are to Australian Dollars unless otherwise stated.

To the maximum extent permitted by law, neither Metgasco nor its related corporations, Directors, employees or agents, nor any other person, accepts any liability, including, without limitation, any liability arising from fault or negligence, for any loss arising from the use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with it.

This presentation should be read in conjunction with other publicly available material. Further information including historical results and a description of the activities of Metgasco is available on our website, www.metgasco.com.au.

ASX Listing Rule 5.11 Disclosure

Reserves have been certified by Mr Tim Hower of MHA Petroleum Consultants (Denver) who is a qualified person as defined under the ASX Listing Rule 5.11. Reserves have been developed within the guidelines of the SPE. Mr Hower has consented to the use of the reserve figures in this presentation. Conversion of reserves from PJ to Bcf at 1.04 PJ/1.00 Bcf

2011/2012: A tough year, but the outlook is good

  • Exciting CSG reserves and conventional potential
  • NSW
  • More than 1 million gas customers
  • NSW has a supply issue from 2014/2015
  • Northern Rivers area: opportunity to sustain and grow industry through a lower cost, safer and more reliable supply of energy than LPG and diesel
  • 250 years of supply, but currently only providing 6% of NSW gas
  • Eastern Australian market undersupplied by 2014 (Wood Mackenzie)
  • AEMO gas demand forecast to triple by 2020
  • Gas prices forecast in the \$7 to \$12 range by 2020
  • Potential to make a significant contribution to the Northern Rivers and NSW economy is recognised
  • Potential to make a huge difference to greenhouse gases
  • Increased gas sales in the US have made a huge impact on greenhouse gases
  • NSW Government has given CSG the green light. It is now time for Metgasco and other NSW CSG companies to perform

Share price performance

Health, safety and environment

  • Employees:
  • 3 years LTI free on October 26, 2012
  • Contractors:
  • 2 years without an LTI on September 5, 2012
  • No reportable environment incidents
  • Strong focus on environmental performance:
  • Water management in particular
  • Increased MEL staff and consultant support
  • Bioassay results show water is salty, not toxic

Significant CSG reserves base

  • World scale acreage position in the Clarence -Moreton Basin
  • 4 tenements (PEL 16, 13, 426 & 130)
    • − PEL 130 subject to work program approval
  • 1,107,317 acres in PEL 16, 13, 130 & 426
  • 100% owned
  • Large gas resource potential
  • MEL's starting base for CSG is a large OGIP estimate of 23 Tcf
  • Current reserves established in 10% of MEL's acreage
  • Potential for further reserve growth across all PELs and additional seams enable MEL to target a reserve position > 5,000 Bcf
  • CSG Reserves and Resources
Reserves Resources
1P (Bcf) 2P (Bcf) 3P (Bcf) 2C (Bcf) OGIP
2
(Bcf)
PEL 13 30.0 290.8 1,282.8 10,940
PEL 16 2.6 381.4 2,153.2 1,049.7 7,339
PEL 426 - 4,951
Total 2.6 411.4 2,443.9 2,332.5 23,230

Notes:

  1. 1P, 2P, 3P & 2C Reserves and Resources certified by MHA Petroleum Consultants (Denver).

2.OGIP estimates undertaken by Mr. Peter Stanmore General Manager of Exploration at Metgasco.

Large uncontracted coal seam gas reserves

  • 100% ownership of gas reserves
  • Large uncontracted reserve position in the CSG sector
  • Reserves:
  • Cover PEL 13 and 16
  • Over 10% of area
  • Excludes conventional gas
  • Scope to significantly increase CSG reserves
METGASCO
-----------------
Eastern Australian CSG Reserves (PJ)
as at 31 December 2011
Company 3P 2P
QGC 15,675 10,350
Arrow Energy 12,500 7,800
Origin Energy 7,799 5,562
ConocoPhillips 6,809 5,444
Santos 3,998 2,901
AGL Energy 3,831 2,111
Metgasco 2,542 428
Sinopec 2,404 1,922
Petronas 1,449 1,449
TOTAL 1,449 1,449
Mitsui Group 1,111 420
Molopo Energy** 824 343
KOGAS 790 790
Westside Corp 725 258
TRUEnergy 559 304
Other 266 12
Senex 249 79
Toyota Tsusho 156 156
Stanwell Corp 137 137
Red Sky 114 5
Blue Energy 75
Total 63,462 41,920

Source: IES - Modelling and Analysis for Gas Market Review 2012. A Report to the Office of Queensland Gas Market Advisor

LNG participant company Independent

Further upside from conventional gas discovery

  • Kingfisher E01
  • First major conventional gas discovery in NSW (November 2009)
  • Large section of gas charged sands identified
  • 138 metres of gas charged sands in Ripley Road and Gatton formations
  • Up to 500 meters of additional section below TD of Kingfisher E01
  • Extensive testing and appraisal program conducted
  • Good quality +95% CH4 gas
  • Production test (2,050-2,043.7m) 3 mmscfd
  • Extended production test of Gatton formation (1,450- 1,453m) following limited stimulation of a 3 meter zone
  • Greater Mackellar Structure
  • Pmean OGIP 1,312 Bcf
  • Plan to drill in 1H 2013
  • Seismic acquired November 2012, after a long wet period
  • Rosella E01 planned for 2Q 2012 to test Greater Mackellar structure

Multiple commercialisation options available

Local and Regional markets

  • Local sales e.g. Richmond Dairies
  • Compressed Natural Gas (CNG)/micro LNG
  • Local power generation

Domestic and Export

  • 15PJ to 30 PJ gas sales for domestic & third party sales to LNG proponents
  • Stand alone large scale LNG development

Strong east coast demand – domestic and export

Gas market is undergoing significant structural change driven by

  • LNG developments in QLD Gas being sold to higher priced Asian LNG markets
  • Transition to a lower carbon economy
  • Declining production from traditional east coast conventional gas Cooper Basin

Source: Australian Financial Review 29 March 2012

NSW – Security of supply / importance?

"The point is that NSW is facing a gas supply crisis…The supply contracts start to run out in 2014 and one-third of the energy in NSW comes from gas." The Hon Chris Hartcher, MP,

  • NSW consumption approx. 140 PJ/annum and growing
  • 94% of NSW's gas now comes from interstate (Cooper or Gippsland Basin)
  • Gas shortages and/or price increases will start to occur in the next few years as current contracts expire

October 8, 2012 Infrastructure NSW, 20 year strategy: CSG Development Vital

"The development of the coal seam gas industry will be 'game changing' for New South Wales, reducing the state's dependence on coal and possibly creating an LNG export industry".

"CSG industry would help to address the security risk of declining reserves of conventional gas from interstate basins; meet the increasing demand for gas-fired generation; and help to contain upward pressures on wholesale gas prices because of declining reserves and increased demand including for exports".

The report recommends the NSW government encourage private sector investment to build pipelines connecting the state's CSG fields in areas such as the Gunnedah Basin to the national gas transmission network.

"The planning and approval processes need to be streamlined, proportionate and timely," it said.

The Australian - August 18 2012

Upward trend in gas prices

Price risk now skewed to the upside Availability of abundant low-cost marginal CSG for domestic use now increasingly unlikely.

Source: National Gas Outlook: Domestic gas Prices and Markets. ACIL Tasman 30 May 2012

  • Days of wholesale sales gas price contracts under \$4/GJ are over
  • LNG plants will secure gas contracts to ensure that plants are fully utilised
  • Domestic gas prices likely to increase to over \$6.50 to \$10 by 2015, \$7 to \$12 by 2020**
  • Gas contracts are increasingly oil linked

Source: Broker Research and Company Estimates ** 2012 Gas Market Review - Queensland

NSW Government gives CSG / Metgasco the green light

"With yet to be tapped coal seam gas reserves representing over 250 years of supply, it's essential that we start to get Projects moving with proper protection in place". The Hon Chris Hartcher , MP,

NSW Minister for resources and Energy, 15 May 2012

"Importantly, the Study (referring to the Namoi Catchment Study) shows that the collective impacts of coal mining and coal seam gas extraction can be effectively managed without negatively impacting agricultural water use across the region".

The Hon Chris Hartcher , MP, Media Release, 31 July 2012

The NSW government has released the following policies to provide the general public with more confidence in the industry:

  • Strategic Regional Land Use Policy (SRLUP)
  • Aquifer Interference Policy
  • Codes of Practice for Coal Seam Gas

The release of these policies coupled with the renewal of Metgasco's Petroleum Licences 13 and 16 and the granting of Metgasco's first production licence are a strong message that the NSW Government is behind the CSG industry.

Metgasco – responding to the challenges ahead

Technology
Productivity

Recoveries
Costs
Labour and materials

Supplies
Schedule
Resources (people and equipment) and management

Working efficiently within new NSW regulatory environment
Water Management
Huge opportunity for benefits to the community?
Community Support
Strengthen relationships with the local communities in which we operate

Increase internal resources devoted to ensuring accurate information is communicated

Promote benefits of industry, ensure compliance with regulations, and respect for those
we work with

Deliver benefits to the community

Community consultation

  • Metgasco focussed on key stakeholders, local community and landholders:
  • One to one communication
  • Small, disciplined discussion groups
  • Prompt and open response to letters, emails and media reports
  • Primary focus for 2012/2013
  • Communication with landholders and community affected by CSG operations, including a Casino "shop-front"
  • Establishment of a community consultative committee
  • Demonstration of CSG value and safety
    • − First class execution of field activities (seismic and drilling)
    • − Gas sales to local community

2012/2013 Program

  • CSG pilot wells:
  • Further demonstration of productivity
  • Additional gas for local sales
  • Core wells;
  • Reserve definition and acreage management
  • Conventional program
  • Seismic
  • Rosella-1 well (Greater Mackellar structure)
  • Commence local gas sales
  • Pipelines
  • Compressed natural gas

Our management team

Peter Henderson – Managing Director & CEO

Formerly Operations Technician Manager for Esso Australia and Development Manager for Premier Oil PLC.

Sean Hooper – CFO & Company Secretary Sean is a Chartered Accountant with more than 25 years of broad financial experience. He is formerly the Financial Controller and Company Secretary of Horizon Oil.

Richard Shields – External Relations Manager

Richard has extensive knowledge and experience in external relations, having worked for more than 20 years in senior government and politically related roles.

Robert Petersen – Business Development Manager

Robert has more than 30 years experience in gas and electricity. He has held senior positions with Eastern Star Gas and AGL.

Dr Simon Hann – Drilling & Production Manager

Simon was previously the Manager of CSG Drilling and Completion for Santos/GLNG operations. Simon has worked for Shell, Woodside and Geodynamics.

Peter Stanmore – GM Exploration Peter has 30 years experience with ExxonMobil, Delhi Petroleum and Santos. During his time at Santos Peter was the leader of the Onshore Exploration Evaluation team.

Metgasco is moving ahead

  • Heightened demand for gas
  • NSW faces supply shortages as early as 2014
  • Northern Rivers region faces high LPG and diesel costs
  • Gladstone LNG projects require additional gas to meet export commitments
  • Potential for stand-alone LNG project with FLEX LNG
  • Among the last of the independent companies on the east coast with uncommitted, certified 2P gas reserves
  • Significant onshore conventional gas supply potential
  • NSW Government is behind the CSG industry
  • Management strengthened to meet commercialisation/production challenge
Field Work Commercial Development

Continue to refine CSG production technology
by drilling HP02,03 & 04 and demonstrating

First gas sales and continue to grow local
market
commercial productivity
Secure GSA for a gas supply project to

Drill high impact conventional gas lead;
underpin a major field development
Rosella E01
Pursue partners for upscale commercial
potential

Annual General Meeting

Managing Director's Address

13 November 2012