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METEORIC RESOURCES NL — Capital/Financing Update 2024
Oct 21, 2024
65311_rns_2024-10-21_7b4885c6-8c0a-4860-b498-8bf73999cd0e.pdf
Capital/Financing Update
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ASX ANNOUNCEMENT 22 October 2024
High-grade Figueira resource improves financial metrics of the Caldeira Scoping Study
Meteoric Resources NL ( ASX: MEI ) ( Meteoric or the Company ) is pleased to announce an update to the Scoping Study ( Study ) results on its Caldeira Rare Earth Ionic Clay Project ( Caldeira Project or the Project ) (see ASX release on 8 July 2024) following the updated Mineral Resource Estimate ( MRE ) for the Figueira deposit ( see ASX release on 5 August 2024 ).
The financial metrics of the Project have improved with the inclusion of the high-grade Figueira resources into the Study’s 20-year mine plan increasing NdPr production and reducing operating costs. In addition, rare earth element ( REE ) spot prices have been adjusted, to include the current pricing (NdPr US$60/kg). All other variables contained in the Study remain in line with previous Scoping Study.
HIGHLIGHTS
Significantly improved financial outcomes throughout the Life of Mine (LOM)
-
Improved project economics based on a 20-year LOM, maintaining Adamas pricing forecasts (discounted by 40%) highlight the robust nature of the Caldeira Project and deliver:
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Increase in Pre-tax NPV8% of 14% to US$1,403M
-
Pre-tax IRR increases 6% to 40.4%
-
Pre-tax payback of 2.2 years
-
NdPr C1 Cash Cost (Opex)[1] reduces by 4% to average US$16.84/kg over the first five years and US$20.41/kg LOM
-
At current spot prices the Calderia Project generates an IRR of 22% with a payback of 3 years.
Improved production profile with the inclusion of high-grade tonnes from Figueira
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NdPr production increases by 4% to 18,109 tonnes in first five years with LOM increasing by 7% to 63,899 tonnes
-
Total REO production increases by 3% to 57,258 tonnes in the first five years and 7% to 193,584 tonnes LOM
-
Project Opex reduces by 3% to an industry leading US$6.74/kg of recovered TREO in a Mixed Rare Earths Carbonate (MREC) over a 20-year LOM
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Annualised production of 11.5kt TREO over first five years with LOM average production of 9.7kt TREO comprised of 33% NdPr and 1% DyTb
-
Higher confidence in the mine schedule which is now based 100% on Measured and Indicated Resources for the LOM
1 Opex costs includes all mining, processing and general and administration costs.
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Meteoric Resources ABN 64 107 985 651 Level 1, 35 Ventnor Avenue, West Perth WA 6005 www.meteoric.com.au | Page 1 of 15
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Table 1 : Recovered Oxide tonnes in MREC by year
| Recovered Oxide **Tonnes by year ** |
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 – 10 | 11 – 15 | 16 – 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nd | 1,828 | 3,181 | 3,203 | 2,446 | 2,583 | 11,502 | 10,596 | 11,666 |
| Pr | 704 | 1,199 | 1,126 | 902 | 936 | 4,095 | 3,810 | 4,121 |
| NdPr | 2,532 | 4,379 | 4,330 | 3,348 | 3,519 | 15,598 | 14,406 | 15,787 |
| Change v Scoping Study | - | - | - | 4% | 22% | 21% | -6% | 10% |
Outstanding project growth potential
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Extension of the currently modelled 20-year mine life is highly likely based on the current global resource estimate of 740Mt @ 2,572ppm TREO of which only 13.5% is included in the Study mine schedule
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Strong scope for the expansion of future processing capacity as additional Mineral Resources are identified through further exploration success
-
Significant upside potential for additional high-grade mineralisation (>4,000ppm TREO) early in the LOM with 90% of project licences yet to be explored and assessed
Pre-Feasibility Study on track for completion in the second half of FY2025
Meteoric Chief Executive Officer, Nick Holthouse said,
“As expected, the addition of Figueira tonnes has further improved the financial metrics of an already outstanding low cost REE development project.
The simple combination of outstanding metallurgical recoveries and additional high-grade feed from the recently announced Figueira resource cements the Caldeira Project as a low cost, environmentally friendly producer of significance for REEs to a growing supply chain of downstream industries and OEMs.
All key work programs for the Pre-Feasibility Study, including Permitting, Engineering, and Metallurgical and Resource development continue to advance on schedule. This also Includes the recently approved scoping study level separation test work with ANSTO, important to our longer term ambitions of moving further downstream beyond Mixed Rare Earth Carbonates and into separated Rare Earth products.”
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Meteoric Resources ABN 64 107 985 651 Level 1, 35 Ventnor Avenue, West Perth WA 6005 www.meteoric.com.au | Page 2 of 15
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Executive Summary
Since the release of the Calderia Project Scoping Study on 8 July 2024, Meteoric has released an updated Figueira Mineral Resource Estimate ( MRE ) on 5 August 2024 which provided a significant increase in the Caldeira Project’s Measured and Indicated Resources.
High-grade tonnes from Figueira have now been included into an updated scoping study LOM schedule. Inclusion of these tonnes into the mine schedule results in a LOM based 100% on Measured and Indicated Resources, increasing the confidence of the Study. All other key physical inputs used in the original Scoping Study have been maintained in the updated Study.
The key physical changes to the Scoping Study are identified below:
| Updated Scoping Study | Updated Scoping Study | Scoping Study | Scoping Study | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(22 October 2024) |
(8 July 2024) |
||||
| Annual | Annual | ||||
| Unit | Total | Total | |||
| Average | Average | ||||
| Mining and Processing | |||||
| Life of Mine | Years | 20 | - | 20 | - |
| Total ROM feed | Tonnes (M) Dry | 98 | 4.9 | 97 | 4.8 |
| Total Waste | Tonnes (M) Dry | 20.8 | 1.04 | 11.5 | 0.6 |
| Processing | |||||
| TREO | Tonnes | 193,584 | 9,679 | 181,031 | 9,051 |
| Neodymium Praseodymium (NdPr) | Tonnes | 63,899 | 3,195 | 59,958 | 2,998 |
| Dysprosium (Dy) | Tonnes | 1,585 | 79 | 1,404 | 70 |
| Terbium (Tb) | Tonnes | 338 | 17 | 301 | 15 |
REE spot prices have been updated for the Study, which includes the current NdPr price of US$60/kg.
A summary of the updated key production metrics and comparison of the financial outcomes based on the two pricing scenarios is set out in Table 2 below and continues to demonstrate the robust financial nature of the Caldeira Project driven by its world-class operating cost efficiency and low capital expenditure.
A comparison of the financial outputs is set out in the table below:
| Financial Outputs | Unit | Updated Scoping Study (22 October 2024) |
Updated Scoping Study (22 October 2024) |
Scoping Study (8 July 2024) |
Scoping Study (8 July 2024) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adamas | Spot | Adamas | Spot | ||
| Pre-tax NPV8 Pro-tax NPV8 Pre-tax IRR Post-tax IRR Payback period Basket price NdPr average pricing Payability NdPr operating cost equivalent |
US$M US$M % % years US$/kg US$/kg % US$/kg |
1,403 804 40 29 2.2 45 111 |
398 174 22 15 3.7 25 60 |
1,235 699 38 27 2.2 45 111 |
148 16 14 9 5.1 21 51 |
| 70 20.4 |
70 21.3 |
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Meteoric Resources ABN 64 107 985 651 Level 1, 35 Ventnor Avenue, West Perth WA 6005 www.meteoric.com.au | Page 3 of 15
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Based on independent market research from Project Blue Consulting the Caldeira Project sits well within the first quartile of known projects on an operating cost per kg/TREO basis and at an AISC of US$10.19/kg TREO. The Caldeira Project is anticipated to be the lowest known cost producer outside China. These positive metrics are further enhanced in the first five years of operations when operating costs are US$5.33/kg and AISC of US$6.74/kg due to preferential mining of higher grade ores.
See Figure 1 below:
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Figure 1: Rare Earth industry MREC cost curve, 2024 (source: Project Blue Consulting)
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Table 2 : Key production and financial metrics of the Caldeira Project
| Production Metrics | Unit | Years 1-5 | Years 1-5 | LOM | LOM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ore Mined | kt | 23,004 | 98,000 | ||
| Strip ratio | waste:ore | 0.08 | 0.21 | ||
| Average TREO Feed Grade | ppm | 4,591 | 3,724 | ||
| TREO Recovery | % | 53 | 53 | ||
| MREO Recovery | % | 73 | 73 | ||
| Average annual production (REO) | t | 11,453 | 9,679 | ||
| Production (REO) | t | 57,258 | 193,584 | ||
| NdPr % (TREO in concentrate) | % | 32 | 33 | ||
| Cashflow & Earnings Metrics | Unit | Years 1-5 Average |
LOM Average |
||
| Adamas Spot |
Adamus Spot |
||||
| Annual Revenue | US$M | 285 | 188 | 305 | 168 |
| Annual EBITDA | US$M | 202 | 114 | 212 | 88 |
| Operating Cashflow | US$M | 196 | 108 | 206 | 82 |
| Revenue | US$M | 1,427 | 941 | 6,102 | 3,356 |
| EBITDA | US$M | 1,009 | 568 | 4,250 | 1,759 |
| Cumulative post tax cashflow excluding construction cost |
US$M | 667 | 392 | 2,710 | 1,153 |
| Cost Metrics | Unit | Years 1-5 Average |
LOM Average |
||
| Annual operating cost | US$M | 61 | 65 | ||
| Annual operating cost | US$/kg TREO | 5.33 | 6.74 | ||
| Annual AISC | US$/kg TREO | 7.03 | 8.87 | ||
| Financial Outputs | Unit | Years 1-5 | LOM | ||
| Adamus | Spot | ||||
| Pre-tax NPV8 | US$M | 1,403 | 398 | ||
| Post-tax NPV8 | US$M | 804 | 174 | ||
| Pre-tax IRR | % | 40 | 22 | ||
| Post-tax IRR | % | 29 | 15 | ||
| Payback period | years | 2.2 | 3.7 | ||
| Basket price TREO | US$/kg | 45 | 25 | ||
| NdPr average pricing | US$/kg | 87 | 60 | 111 | 60 |
| Payability | % | 70 | 70 | ||
| NdPr Operating cost equivalent | US$/kg NdPr | 16.84 | 20.41 | ||
| Capex inclusive of 35% contingency | US$M | 403 |
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Meteoric Resources ABN 64 107 985 651 Level 1, 35 Ventnor Avenue, West Perth WA 6005 www.meteoric.com.au | Page 5 of 15
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Mining
Ore from the Capão do Mel, Soberbo, and Figueira licences are considered in this Study as sources of feed grade for the current 20-year LOM.
The base case for the Study remains consistent and assumes that mining will be owner-operated and undertaken by conventional truck and shovel arrangement, much like what is seen in other clay hosted lateritic deposits. Mining costs for Caldeira were developed by the mining consultant Beck Nader and Associates (BNA) and based on a combination of first principles estimation and from their extensive industry cost database. The developed mining costs for an owner-operated mining fleet are US$2.02/t.
Optimised and designed pits are shallow in nature, extending no more than 25 to 30 metres below the natural surface and in most case daylighting out to natural surface due to undulations in the topography. The ability for pit floors to daylight out the natural surface is important for ease of drainage.
Ore from Capão do Mel and Soberbo pits will be transported on private haul roads to the Process Plant site, with a maximum haulage distance of seven kilometres. Ore from Figueira pits will be transported by public roads with haulage distances of 7-10 kilometres. All haulage will be undertaken by road licenced rigid body trucks.
The mining process will be as follows:
-
Topsoil will be removed and stockpiled
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Clay ore will be excavated in a conventional truck and shovel arrangement on a free dig basis.
-
Clay ore transported to the process plant facility in open tray trucks and stockpiled in the ROM area to be fed into the process plant
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Rinsed and dewatered ore post processing will be loaded back into trucks as a backloaded product to mined out areas for dry stacking, compaction and reshaping
-
Stockpiled topsoil replaced back over completed backfill areas
Mining rates are anticipated to remain at 5Mtpa with an associated average strip ratio of around 0.21:1 waste to ore ratio.
Mine Design
The basis of design for the development of pit designs, schedules and owner operator costs was undertaken by BNA in Brazil.
Three of the six possible licences with a JORC MRE where utilised, these being Soberbo, Capão do Mel and Figueira.
The work programme included:
-
Optimisations
-
Pit designs
-
Preliminary schedules
-
Ancillary designs for haul roads stockpiles, temporary dry stack facilities and dry stacked spent ore back in mined out areas
-
Final mine schedules
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Mine Scheduling
For the mine sequencing, a production rate of 5Mtpa was adopted, with production of 3Mtpa in year 1 during ramp up.
Mining is focused in the starter pit area directly adjacent to the processing facility with very high TREO grades being delivered to the processing plant in the first five years. Additional tonnes of high-grade material have been included from Figueira at a rate of 1Mtpa from year five.
The LOM schedule is currently limited to 20 years over which time 194kt of REO are produced.
Of the 98Mt of Mineral Resource processed over the 20-year mine life, 100% is classified in the Measured or Indicated JORC category.
Production
Total Production over the current 20-year mine life will be 194kt of REO contained within 340kt of MREC.
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1.20 50
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00 40
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Years
Waste
Tonnes
C1 Operating Costs per US$/kg
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Figure 2 : C1 operating cost per kilogram of TREO and NdPr
Figure 2 above illustrates Meteoric’s operating cost per kilogram of NdPr produced calculated by dividing total operating costs by kilograms of NdPr produced.
The figure does not take into account the revenues which will be generated from sales of DyTb and other REOs and shows that, in all scenarios presented over the first 20 years of operations, based on current mine scheduling, the Caldeira Project is expected to generate robust operating profits.
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Meteoric Resources ABN 64 107 985 651 Level 1, 35 Ventnor Avenue, West Perth WA 6005 www.meteoric.com.au | Page 7 of 15
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Figure 3 below illustrates Meteoric’s operating cost per kilogram of NdPr produced calculated by dividing total operating costs by kilograms of NdPr produced compared to current spot pricing and Adamas forecast pricing.
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$6
$5
$4
$3
$2
$1
$-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
C1 Costs $/ Kg NdPr NdPr Spot Price NdPr Adamas forecast
US$ / kg
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Figure 3 : C1 operating cost per kilogram of NdPr against Spot and Adamas prices
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Meteoric Resources ABN 64 107 985 651 Level 1, 35 Ventnor Avenue, West Perth WA 6005 www.meteoric.com.au | Page 8 of 15
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Economic Analysis
The economic analysis and financial modelling of the Project is based on annual estimates which take into account the physical production, estimated annual pricing, cost position and capital outflows over the 20-year initial mine life. Key assumptions which have been used in this assessment are discussed further below.
Physicals
The Caldeira Project average estimated annual production is 9,685t of TREO generating 193,694t over the initial 20 year mine life.
The Scoping Study was completed to a Class 5 AACE estimate with an overall ±40% accuracy using the key parameters and assumptions set out in Table 3 below.
Table 3 : Key Physical Assumptions for the Caldeira Project.
| Metric | Unit | Mining and Production |
|---|---|---|
| Life of Mine | years | 20 |
| Plant Nameplate Capacity ROM | Mtpa | 5 |
| LOM Average TREO Head Grade | ppm | 3,724 |
| Total Quantity Mined (Dry Tonnes) | Mt | 119 |
| Stripping ratio | waste:ore | 0.21 |
| Total Production (REO) | t | 193,694 |
| Annual Production (REO) | t | 9,685 |
| LOM average Nd recovery | % | 73 |
| LOM average Pr recovery | % | 74 |
| LOM average Dy recovery | % | 50 |
| LOM average Tb recovery | % | 53 |
| LOM average MREO recovery | % | 73 |
| LOM average TREO Recovery | % | 54 |
Product Pricing
The Project has been assessed using product pricing from on two sources:
-
Adamas - based on the midpoint of the Adamus ex works (inclusive 13% VAT) China price forecast and discounted by 40%; and
-
Spot – based on the Asian Metals Exchange Reference Price Ex works (inclusive 13% VAT) China as noted on 18 October 2024 and applied without indexation over the LOM.
Individual forecast prices for elements are applied to the mined tonnes and TREO grade on an annual basis for both Adamas and Spot pricing scenarios.
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Figure 4 below provides a graphical representation of the Adamas pricing, with a 40% discount, for Praseodymium and Neodymium as proxy for the basket pricing used in financial modelling of the Project.
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1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
Figure 4 : Price trends from Adamas for Praseodymium, Neodymium
Average basket prices for the LOM using Adamas 40% discounted pricing together with Spot pricing is
set out in Figure 5 below. Based on the physical production and both Adamas (40% discounted) and
constant Spot pricing scenarios, revenue generation on an annual and cumulative basis over the LOM
are set out in Figure 5 below.
1 8,000
1 7,000
1
6,000
1
5,000
1
4,000
1
3,000
0
2,000
0
0 1,000
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- (1,000)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Yearly Revenue - Spot Yearly Revenue - Adamas
Cum. Revenue-Spot Cum. Revenue-Adamas
US$ / kg
Monthly Revenue US$M
Cumulative revenues US$M
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Figure 5 : Revenue generation on an annual and cumulative basis under both Adamas (40% discounted) and constant Spot pricing scenarios
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Operating Costs, Royalties, Sustaining Capital and Taxes
Figure 6 below provides a breakdown of annual costs for the Caldeira Project. Operating costs are based on mining, transportation, processing, maintenance and engineering. Operating costs have been developed by general area, using a bottom-up, first principles methodology. The estimated costs are reflective of the effort required to process a nominal 5Mtpa of ore and nominal production of 17,700tpa of MREC. Table 4 below provides a further breakdown of average annual operating costs.
Table 4 : Average operating costs
| Operating Costs (Real LOM) | Annual Cost (US$M) |
Unit Cost (US$/kg TREO) |
|---|---|---|
| Mining | 12.32 | 1.27 |
| Processing | 44.05 | 4.55 |
| General & Administrative | 8.88 | 0.92 |
| Total operating costs | 65.25 | 6.74 |
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3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
(500)
Operating Cost Fees & Royalties Sustaining Capital Taxes
Cost Breakdown in US$m
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Figure 6: Cost breakdown per operational year
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Cashflows
The Caldeira Project cumulative cashflow generation based on a Adamas forecast price discounted by 40% and current spot price scenario are set out in Figure 7 below. The Project repays its initial capital costs under Adamas pricing assumptions within 2.2 years and under a constant spot pricing assumptions within 5.1 years.
Total cashflows operating cashflows generated from the project after repayment of debt finance are US$2,298M using Adamas pricing and US$745M using constant spot pricing.
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2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
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-2 -1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
(500)
(1,000)
Spot Adamas
position US$m
Net operational cash
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Figure 7 : Cumulative operational cash profile comparing Adamas forecast prices discounted by 40% to the current spot price
Sensitivity
Sensitivity analysis has been updated to reflect the impact of higher grade material being mined, the lower unit operating costs, timing and an increase in the spot price assumption to reflect the current market price.
Results of this sensitivity analysis across key financial measures, under both pricing scenarios, are presented in the tables below and show the robust nature of the Caldeira Project even using the current low pricing environment.
Sensitivities – based on Adamas Forecast Pricing (40% discounted)
| Discount Rate Opex |
Pre-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Discount Rate Basket Price(US$/kg REO) (20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% Discount Rate $1,533 $1,884 $2,235 $2,586 $2,937 $1,190 $1,476$1,762 $2,049 $2,335 $929 $1,166$1,403 $1,640 $1,877 $728 $927 $1,126 $1,325 $1,524 $572 $741 $910 $1,079$1,248 Pre-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Opex Basket Price (US$/kg REO) (20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% Opex $1,041 $1,278 $1,515 $1,752 $1,989 $985 $1,222$1,459 $1,696 $1,933 $929 $1,166$1,403 $1,640 $1,877 $873 $1,110 $1,347 $1,584 $1,821 $817 $1,054$1,291$1,528$1,765 |
Pre-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Discount Rate Basket Price(US$/kg REO) (20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% Discount Rate $1,533 $1,884 $2,235 $2,586 $2,937 $1,190 $1,476$1,762 $2,049 $2,335 $929 $1,166$1,403 $1,640 $1,877 $728 $927 $1,126 $1,325 $1,524 $572 $741 $910 $1,079$1,248 Pre-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Opex Basket Price (US$/kg REO) (20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% Opex $1,041 $1,278 $1,515 $1,752 $1,989 $985 $1,222$1,459 $1,696 $1,933 $929 $1,166$1,403 $1,640 $1,877 $873 $1,110 $1,347 $1,584 $1,821 $817 $1,054$1,291$1,528$1,765 |
Pre-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Discount Rate Basket Price(US$/kg REO) (20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% Discount Rate $1,533 $1,884 $2,235 $2,586 $2,937 $1,190 $1,476$1,762 $2,049 $2,335 $929 $1,166$1,403 $1,640 $1,877 $728 $927 $1,126 $1,325 $1,524 $572 $741 $910 $1,079$1,248 Pre-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Opex Basket Price (US$/kg REO) (20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% Opex $1,041 $1,278 $1,515 $1,752 $1,989 $985 $1,222$1,459 $1,696 $1,933 $929 $1,166$1,403 $1,640 $1,877 $873 $1,110 $1,347 $1,584 $1,821 $817 $1,054$1,291$1,528$1,765 |
Pre-Tax IRR Sensitivity To Discount Rate | Pre-Tax IRR Sensitivity To Discount Rate | Pre-Tax IRR Sensitivity To Discount Rate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $0 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% |
Basket Price | (US$/kg REO) | ||||||
| $1,403 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% |
(20.0%) (10.0%) |
-- 10.0% 20.0% |
(20.0%) (10.0%) |
-- 10.0% 20.0% |
||||
| $1,533 $1,884 $1,190 $1,476 $929 $1,166 $728 $927 $572 $741 |
$2,235 $2,586 $2,937 $1,762 $2,049 $2,335 $1,403 $1,640 $1,877 $1,126 $1,325 $1,524 $910 $1,079$1,248 |
31.1% 35.9% 31.1% 35.9% 31.1% 35.9% 31.1% 35.9% 31.1% 35.9% |
40.4% 44.7% 48.8% 40.4% 44.7% 48.8% 40.4% 44.7% 48.8% 40.4% 44.7% 48.8% 40.4% 44.7% 48.8% |
|||||
| Pre-Tax IRR Sensitivity To Opex | ||||||||
| Basket Price | (US$/kg REO) | |||||||
| $1,403 (20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% |
(20.0%) (10.0%) |
-- 10.0% 20.0% |
$0 (20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% |
(20.0%) (10.0%) |
-- 10.0% 20.0% |
|||
| $1,041 $1,278 $985 $1,222 $929 $1,166 $873 $1,110 $817 $1,054 |
$1,515 $1,752 $1,989 $1,459 $1,696 $1,933 $1,403 $1,640 $1,877 $1,347 $1,584 $1,821 $1,291$1,528$1,765 |
33.4% 38.0% 32.3% 37.0% 31.1% 35.9% 30.0% 34.8% 28.8% 33.7% |
42.4% 46.7% 50.7% 41.4% 45.7% 49.8% 40.4% 44.7% 48.8% 39.3% 43.7% 47.8% 38.3% 42.6% 46.8% |
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| Initial Capex | Pre-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Capex Basket Price(US$/kg REO) (20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% Initial Capex $1,014 $1,251 $1,488 $1,725 $1,962 $971 $1,208$1,445 $1,683 $1,920 $929 $1,166$1,403 $1,640 $1,877 $887 $1,124 $1,361 $1,598 $1,835 $844 $1,081$1,318$1,555$1,793 |
Pre-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Capex Basket Price(US$/kg REO) (20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% Initial Capex $1,014 $1,251 $1,488 $1,725 $1,962 $971 $1,208$1,445 $1,683 $1,920 $929 $1,166$1,403 $1,640 $1,877 $887 $1,124 $1,361 $1,598 $1,835 $844 $1,081$1,318$1,555$1,793 |
Pre-Tax IRR Sensitivity To Capex | Pre-Tax IRR Sensitivity To Capex | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $0 | Basket Price | (US$/kg REO) | |||||
| $1,403 (20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% |
(20.0%) (10.0%) |
-- 10.0% 20.0% |
(20.0%) (10.0%) |
-- 10.0% 20.0% |
|||
| $1,014 $1,251 $971 $1,208 $929 $1,166 $887 $1,124 $844 $1,081 |
$1,488 $1,725 $1,962 $1,445 $1,683 $1,920 $1,403 $1,640 $1,877 $1,361 $1,598 $1,835 $1,318$1,555$1,793 |
(20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% |
37.9% 43.4% 34.2% 39.3% 31.1% 35.9% 28.5% 33.0% 26.3% 30.5% |
48.6% 53.6% 58.4% 44.1% 48.7% 53.1% 40.4% 44.7% 48.8% 37.2% 41.2% 45.1% 34.5% 38.3% 42.0% |
Sensitivities – based on Asian Metals Spot Pricing
| Discount Rate Opex Initial Capex |
Pre-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Discount Rate Basket Price(US$/kg REO) $398(20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% Discount Rate 4.0% $306 $503 $701 $898 $1,096 6.0% $203 $366 $529 $692 $855 8.0% $125 $261 $398 $534 $671 10.0% $64 $180 $296 $411 $527 12.0% $16 $116 $215$315 $414 Pre-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Opex Basket Price (US$/kg REO) $398(20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% Opex (20.0%) $237 $373 $510 $646 $783 (10.0%) $181 $317 $454 $590 $727 -- $125 $261 $398 $534 $671 10.0% $69 $205 $342 $478 $615 20.0% $13 $149 $286$422 $559 Pre-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Capex Basket Price(US$/kg REO) $398(20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% Initial Capex (20.0%) $209 $346 $482 $619 $755 (10.0%) $167 $303 $440 $577 $713 -- $125 $261 $398 $534 $671 10.0% $82 $219 $355 $492 $628 20.0% $40 $176 $313$450 $586 |
Pre-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Discount Rate Basket Price(US$/kg REO) $398(20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% Discount Rate 4.0% $306 $503 $701 $898 $1,096 6.0% $203 $366 $529 $692 $855 8.0% $125 $261 $398 $534 $671 10.0% $64 $180 $296 $411 $527 12.0% $16 $116 $215$315 $414 Pre-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Opex Basket Price (US$/kg REO) $398(20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% Opex (20.0%) $237 $373 $510 $646 $783 (10.0%) $181 $317 $454 $590 $727 -- $125 $261 $398 $534 $671 10.0% $69 $205 $342 $478 $615 20.0% $13 $149 $286$422 $559 Pre-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Capex Basket Price(US$/kg REO) $398(20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% Initial Capex (20.0%) $209 $346 $482 $619 $755 (10.0%) $167 $303 $440 $577 $713 -- $125 $261 $398 $534 $671 10.0% $82 $219 $355 $492 $628 20.0% $40 $176 $313$450 $586 |
Pre-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Discount Rate Basket Price(US$/kg REO) $398(20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% Discount Rate 4.0% $306 $503 $701 $898 $1,096 6.0% $203 $366 $529 $692 $855 8.0% $125 $261 $398 $534 $671 10.0% $64 $180 $296 $411 $527 12.0% $16 $116 $215$315 $414 Pre-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Opex Basket Price (US$/kg REO) $398(20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% Opex (20.0%) $237 $373 $510 $646 $783 (10.0%) $181 $317 $454 $590 $727 -- $125 $261 $398 $534 $671 10.0% $69 $205 $342 $478 $615 20.0% $13 $149 $286$422 $559 Pre-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Capex Basket Price(US$/kg REO) $398(20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% Initial Capex (20.0%) $209 $346 $482 $619 $755 (10.0%) $167 $303 $440 $577 $713 -- $125 $261 $398 $534 $671 10.0% $82 $219 $355 $492 $628 20.0% $40 $176 $313$450 $586 |
Pre-Tax IRR Sensitivity To Discount Rate | Pre-Tax IRR Sensitivity To Discount Rate | Pre-Tax IRR Sensitivity To Discount Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basket Price(US$/kg REO) | ||||||
| $398 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% |
(20.0%) (10.0%) |
-- 10.0% 20.0% |
$0 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% |
(20.0%) (10.0%) |
-- 10.0% 20.0% |
|
| $306 $503 $203 $366 $125 $261 $64 $180 $16 $116 |
$701 $898 $1,096 $529 $692 $855 $398 $534 $671 $296 $411 $527 $215$315 $414 |
12.8% 17.4% 12.8% 17.4% 12.8% 17.4% 12.8% 17.4% 12.8% 17.4% |
21.6% 25.4% 29.1% 21.6% 25.4% 29.1% 21.6% 25.4% 29.1% 21.6% 25.4% 29.1% 21.6% 25.4% 29.1% |
|||
| Pre-Tax IRR Sensitivity To Opex | ||||||
| Basket Price (US$/kg REO) | ||||||
| $398 (20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% |
(20.0%) (10.0%) |
-- 10.0% 20.0% |
$0 (20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% |
(20.0%) (10.0%) |
-- 10.0% 20.0% |
|
| $237 $373 $181 $317 $125 $261 $69 $205 $13 $149 |
$510 $646 $783 $454 $590 $727 $398 $534 $671 $342 $478 $615 $286$422 $559 |
16.4% 20.6% 14.7% 19.0% 12.8% 17.4% 10.8% 15.6% 8.5% 13.8% |
24.5% 28.2% 31.7% 23.1% 26.8% 30.4% 21.6% 25.4% 29.1% 20.0% 24.0% 27.7% 18.3% 22.5% 26.3% |
|||
| Pre-Tax IRR Sensitivity To Capex | ||||||
| Basket Price(US$/kg REO) | ||||||
| $398 (20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% |
(20.0%) (10.0%) |
-- 10.0% 20.0% |
$0 | (20.0%) (10.0%) |
-- 10.0% 20.0% |
|
| $209 $346 $167 $303 $125 $261 $82 $219 $40 $176 |
$482 $619 $755 $440 $577 $713 $398 $534 $671 $355 $492 $628 $313$450 $586 |
(20.0%) (10.0%) -- 10.0% 20.0% |
17.7% 22.9% 15.0% 19.9% 12.8% 17.4% 10.9% 15.3% 9.3% 13.5% |
27.7% 32.2% 36.5% 24.3% 28.5% 32.4% 21.6% 25.4% 29.1% 19.2% 22.9% 26.3% 17.2% 20.7% 23.9% |
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Meteoric Resources ABN 64 107 985 651 Level 1, 35 Ventnor Avenue, West Perth WA 6005 www.meteoric.com.au | Page 13 of 15
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This release has been approved by the Board of Meteoric Resources NL.
For further information, please contact:
| Nicholas Holthouse | Michael Vaughan |
|---|---|
| Chief Executive Officer | Investor and Media Relations |
| Meteoric Resources NL | Fivemark Partners |
| E [email protected] | E [email protected] |
| T+61 428 964 276 | T+61 422 602 720 |
Table 5: Caldeira Project MRE by licence at 1,000ppm TREO cut-off (refer MEI Announcements dated 1 May 2023, 14 May 2024, 13 June 2024 and 5 August 2024). Differences may occur due to rounding.
| Licence | JORC Category |
Material Type |
Material Type |
Tonnes | TREO ppm |
Pr6O11 ppm |
Nd2O3 ppm |
Tb4O7 ppm |
Dy2O3 ppm |
MREO ppm |
MREO /TREO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capão do Mel | Measured | Clay | 11 | 3,888 | 222 | 586 | 6 | 28 | 842 | 21.7% | |
| Total | Measured | 11 | 3,888 | 222 | 586 | 6 | 28 | 842 | 21.7% | ||
| Capão do Mel | Indicated | Clay | 74 | 2,908 | 163 | 449 | 5 | 23 | 640 | 22.0% | |
| Soberbo | Indicated | Clay | 86 | 2,730 | 165 | 476 | 5 | 23 | 669 | 24.5% | |
| Figueira | Indicated | Clay | 138 | 2,844 | 145 | 403 | 5 | 28 | 582 | 20.5% | |
| Total | Indicated | 298 | 2,827 | 155 | 436 | 5 | 26 | 622 | 22.0% | ||
| Total | Measured + Indicated | 308 | 2,864 | 158 | 441 | 5 | 26 | 629 | 22.0% | ||
| Capão do Mel | Inferred | Clay | 32 | 1,791 | 79 | 207 | 2 | 13 | 302 | 16.9% | |
| Capão do Mel | Inferred | Transition | 25 | 1,752 | 86 | 239 | 3 | 14 | 341 | 19.5% | |
| Soberbo | Inferred | Clay | 89 | 2,713 | 167 | 478 | 5 | 24 | 675 | 24.9% | |
| Soberbo | Inferred | Transition | 54 | 2,207 | 138 | 395 | 4 | 20 | 558 | 25.3% | |
| Figueira | Inferred | Clay | 9 | 3,105 | 139 | 379 | 5 | 28 | 551 | 17.7% | |
| Figueira | Inferred | Transition | 24 | 2,174 | 115 | 328 | 4 | 21 | 468 | 21.5% | |
| Cupim Vermelho Norte3 |
Inferred | Clay | 104 | 2,485 | 152 | 472 | 5 | 26 | 655 | 26.4% | |
| Dona Maria 1 & 2 | Inferred |
Clay | 94 | 2,320 | 135 | 404 | 5 | 25 | 569 | 24.5% | |
| Total | Inferred | 431 | 2,363 | 138 | 406 | 4 | 23 | 571 | 24.0% | ||
| Total | Measured + Indicated + Inferred |
740 | 2,572 | 146 | 420 | 5 | 24 | 595 | 23.1% |
The information in this release that relates to Mineral Resource Estimates at the Cupim Vermelho Norte and Dona Maria 1 & 2 prospects was prepared by BNA Mining Solutions and released on the ASX platform on 1 May 2023. In addition, the information in this release that relates to Mineral Resource Estimates at the Soberbo and the Capão del Mel deposits was prepared by BNA Mining Solutions and released on the ASX platform on 13 May and 13 June 2024 respectively. The information in this release that relates to the Mineral Resource Estimate at the Figueira prospect was prepared by BNA Mining Solutions and released on the ASX platform on 5 August 2024. The Company confirms that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the Mineral Resources in this publication. The Company confirms that all material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the estimates continue to apply and have not materially changed. The Company confirms that the form and context in which the BNA Mining Solutions findings are presented have not been materially modified.
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Meteoric Resources ABN 64 107 985 651 Level 1, 35 Ventnor Avenue, West Perth WA 6005 www.meteoric.com.au | Page 14 of 15
This release includes exploration results and estimates of Mineral Resources. The Company has previously reported these results and estimates in ASX announcements dated 16 December 2022, 1 May 2023, 27 June 2023, 24 July 2023, 31 August 2023, 27 September 2023, 8 December 2023, 14 December 2023, 30 January 2024, 29 February 2024, 14 May 2024, 13 June 2024, 8 July 2024 and 5 August 2024. The Company confirms that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in previous announcements (as may be cross referenced in the body of this announcement) and that all material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the exploration results and Mineral Resource estimates continue to apply and have not materially changed.
Some statements in this document may be forward-looking statements. Such statements include, but are not limited to, statements with regard to capacity, future production and grades, projections for sales growth, estimated revenues and reserves, targets for cost savings, the construction cost of new projects, projected capital expenditures, the timing of new projects, future cash flow and debt levels, the outlook for minerals prices, the outlook for economic recovery and trends in the trading environment and may be (but are not necessarily) identified by the use of phrases such as “will”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “believe” and “envisage”.
By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future and may be outside Meteoric’s control. Actual results and developments may differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements because of a number of factors, including levels of demand and market prices, the ability to produce and transport products profitably, the impact of foreign currency exchange rates on market prices and operating costs, operational problems, political uncertainty and economic conditions in relevant areas of the world, the actions of competitors, activities by governmental authorities such as changes in taxation or regulation.