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Mediobanca — Investor Presentation 2021
Feb 9, 2021
4069_10-q_2021-02-09_c6983713-d932-406b-bd6d-c0d90cf2a81a.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Agenda
| Section 1. | Executive summary | |
|---|---|---|
| ------------ | ------------------- | -- |
- Section 2. 1H/2Q Group results
- Section 3. Divisional results
- Section 4. Closing remarks
Annexes
-
- Asset quality by division
-
- Divisional results by quarter
-
- Glossary
6M RESULTS BACK TO PRE-COVID LEVELS €1.3BN REVENUES - €0.4BN NET PROFIT - ROTE @10%
Executive summary Section 1
3
Strong business recovery confirmed by all business segments, 2nd lockdown impact smoothed Robust trend in core revenues, up to €1,301m, due to effective business diversification WM at € 302m up 6% HoH, on solid AUM trend and improving margins CIB at €364m, up 50% HoH delivering the best semester ever on strong recovery in deal execution Consumer Banking at €515m, down 4% HoH but temporarily due to 1st lockdown impact on new business Record level in fees, (up 17% YoY at €383m in 6m) driven by IB and WM
Solid asset quality trend: CoR down to 50 bps with coverage ratios up in all categories Positive exit from moratoria and prudential extra provisioning
Core Tier 1 at 16.2%1 with 70% dividend payout2 accrued Significant non-financial ESG achievements
Strong performance also in 2Q
Net profit at €211m (up 5% QoQ), ROTE 10% Revenues up 8% QoQ to €675m, driven by NII and fees Strong new business in all segment, in Consumer new loans flat QoQ at €1.5bn despite lockdown CIB delivered strong revenues (at €182m), solid trend in WM (up 7% to €156m), Consumer Banking resilient (at €256m) Cost of risk reduced to 39 bps (61 bps in 1Q), with writebacks offsetting extra provisioning
1H/6M RESULTS: SNAPSHOT
| Mediobanca Group – 1H results as at Dec20 |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | Cost/income | CoR | Net profit | ||||
| €1,301m | 45% | 50 bps | €411m | ||||
| +10% HoH | -5pp HoH | -64bps HoH | +3x HoH | ||||
| -2% YoY | Flat YoY | +2bps YoY | -12% YoY |
Wealth Management
Steady growth confirmed in revenues, net profit and profitability, especially in more valuable/recurrent components Brand positioning/product offering/ distribution upgrade ongoing taking opportunities offered by unique business model
Positioning in alternative asset management reinforced with ByBrook deal
ROAC up @ 21%
Consumer Banking
Impact of 2nd lockdown smoothed much more effectively than first New business back to 75% of pre-Covid level, avg. loan book and revenues only temporarily slowed CoR down back to pre-Covid level, moratoria now finished ROAC remains high @ 28%
Corporate & Investment Banking
Record quarter in core revenues, NII and fees, driven by large-mid size deals in M&A and ECM
Asset quality confirmed as superior: material additional writebacks more than offset ~€50m in credit extra provisioning following stringent review process ROAC up @ 19%
| Mediobanca Group – 1H results as at Dec20 |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross NPL/Ls | ROTE adj | CET1 ratio | DPS | |||
| 3.3% FY20: 4.1% 1H20: 3.9% |
10% Flat HoH Flat YoY |
16.2%1 +10 bps HoH +210 bps YoY |
70% payout accrual2 |
| Wealth Management – 1H results as at Dec20 |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | Net profit | TFAs | ROAC | ||||
| €302m +6% HoH +1% YoY |
€47m +46% HoH -3% YoY |
€67bn +5% HoH +5% YoY |
21% +6pp HoH -2pp YoY |
| Consumer Banking – 1H results as at Dec20 |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | Net profit | CoR | ROAC | ||||
| €515m -4% HoH |
€138m +6% HoH |
222 bps -72bps HoH |
28% -3pp HoH |
||||
| -3% YoY | -18% YoY | +32bps YoY | -2pp YoY |
| Corporate & Inv.Banking – 1H results as at Dec20 |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues Net profit CoR ROAC |
|||||||
| €364m | €170m | (46 bps) | 19% | ||||
| +50% HoH | +4x HoH | -101bps HoH | +8pp HoH | ||||
| +10% YoY | +18% YoY | -13bps YoY | +3pp YoY |
Agenda
- Section 1. Executive summary
- Section 2. 1H/2Q Group results
- Section 3. Divisional results
- Section 4. Closing remarks
Annexes
-
- Asset quality by division
-
- Divisional results by quarter
-
- Glossary
ONGOING ROBUST ACTIVITY IN CIB CLIENT ACTIVITY
1H21/2Q21 - Group results Section 2
Sound trend in lending…
Revenues up 15% QoQ, supported by higher volumes, CoF and the closing of some acquisition finance transactions
Lending revenues: NII and fees
6
… on solid underlying volumes
€2.2bn new loans
Advisory robust After landmark transactions in Q1, revenues still robust also in Q2 Mid-caps deal represent ~20% of corporate advisory fees
WM ACCELERATING ASSET GATHERING PACE…
1H21/2Q21 - Group results Section 2
NNM Affluent & Private (€bn) TFA (€bn)
€2.3bn Net New Money in 1H21, ow €1.3bn in Q2… …driving MB Group TFAs to ~€67bn – all-time high
NNM Affluent/Private: €2.3bn NNM in 6M, of which 65% represented by AUM/AUA
- Affluent: €1.6bn NNM in 6M, ow €0.9bn AUM/AUA. Qualified assets (AUM/AUA) increasing: 70% of NNM in Q2 vs ~40% in Q1
- Private Banking: €0.7bn NNM in 6M, almost represented by AUM/AUA, similar trend in both Qs
- TFAs up to €67bn, all-time high for the MB Group. Drivers: €2.3bn positive NNM in Affluent/Private, €0.6bn outflows in AM (80% in 1Q21 due to the closure of low margin institutional mandates), €1.4bn positive market effect
… WITH HIGH PRODUCTIVITY AND DISTINCTIVE OFFERING
1H21/2Q21 - Group results Section 2
- Affluent/CheBanca!: ongoing network enhancement, Trend in Affluent/Private Banking franchise despite some delays due to Covid-19. Superior productivity levels maintained
- Salesforce up by ~30 professionals in last 6M to ~900
- NNM per capita in last 12M among top 5 players. Second ranked in Q2 with €0.6m per RM/FA
- Private/MBPB: distinctive offering in illiquid space (private markets, club deals, real estate, private equity), with over €1.2bn raised so far and >€0.4bn in last 6 months
Private/UHNWI illiquid offering CheBanca! ranking for NNM (AUM)
AUM NNM pro-capite(€m): NNM Sept20-Dec20/#FAs1
1) Peer group: Italian asset gatherers (Fineco, Azimut, Banca Generali, Banca Mediolanum). FA for CB! including both Financial Advisors and Relationship Managers. Source: Company press release, earning results and Assoreti
| MBPB Initiative | Product | Date | AUM size (€m) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PM1 | 2019 | 134 | |
| Private Markets | PM2 | 2019 | 113 |
| PM3 | 2020 –last 6M | 114 | |
| Club Deals | TEC | 2017 | 500 |
| Re Fund 1 | 2019 | 102 | |
| Real Estate Inv. | Re Fund 2 | 2020 –last 6M | 56 |
| Re Fund 3 | 2020 –last 6M | 246 | |
| Private Equity | PE Intro | 2020 | 100 |
RESILIENT CREDIT ORIGINATION FOR HOUSEHOLDS HELPED BY ONGOING ATTENTION TO CUSTOMERS AND ENHANCED REMOTE OFFERING
1H21/2Q21 - Group results Section 2
Residential mortgages: pre-Covid-19 level resumed Consumer Banking: new loans confirmed @75% of pre-Covid-19 level despite 2nd lockdown
- Consumer Banking: new loans at €1.5bn (@75% of pre-Covid) also in Q2 despite new lockdown due to:
- Looser restrictions on people mobility/consumption lockdown modulated geographically
- More effective integrated multichannel platform now in place following enhancement implemented in last 9m: 24% of direct personal loan sales now online (doubled YoY). Loan book reduction smoothed
- Mortgages: new loans steadily on an upward trend and now close to pre-Covid average; loan book up 3% QoQ to €10.7bn
STRONG COMMERCIAL ACTIVITY ENABLED RECORD CORE REVENUES…
1H21/2Q21 - Group results Section 2
Group revenues trend by source (€m, 3M)
Group revenues trend by source (€m, 6M)
- Persistency in distribution and upgraded offering, effective diversified business model, Mediobanca brand strength delivered a record level of core revenues (€1,190m in 6m), driven by net interest income and fees
- All revenues sources have been increasing steadily in last quarters
…DRIVEN BY DOUBLE-DIGIT FEE INCOME GROWTH… GENERATED BY WM & CIB 1H21/2Q21 - Group results Section 2
Fees trend by division (€m, 6M)
WM (€m, 3M)
…AND RESILIENT NII DESPITE CONSUMER SLOWDOWN DUE TO COST OF FUNDING AND ACTIVE A&L MANAGEMENT
NII trend by division (€m, 3M) NII drivers (6M, €m)
NII resilient despite reduction in Consumer Banking due to A&L management. Non-recurring gain of €8m recorded in 1H in CIB
- Consumer: IH21 NII down 5% YoY on lower avg. volumes and lower gross margins (-40 bps) due to product mix
- CIB: sound trend reflecting highly rated new business favoured by new TLTRO 3 incentives.
- WM: volume increase offsetting some margin pressure
- HF: treasury optimization ongoing, TLTRO 3 benefit still to be fully grasped
ASSET QUALITY: 1) MORATORIA SUCCESSFULLY MANAGED
1H21/2Q21 - Group results Section 2
13
Total loans under moratoria halved to €1.2bn as at Dec20, or 2.4% of Group loans. On average over 80% of moratoria expired have resumed making regular repayments. Conservative approach: residual loans under moratoria classified as stage 2-3 and covered from 24% in Sept20 to 46%
- Consumer Banking 90% expired. Residual managed according to ordinary criteria
- Mortgages 29% expired. Residual: over 50% classified to stage 2/3 and ~76% expiring by end-June 21.
- Leasing 19% expired. Residual: over 30% classified to stage 2/3 and ~96% expiring by end-June 21.
…2) CONSERVATIVE APPROACH DESPITE MACRO SCENARIO IMPROVEMENT OF LAST 6M
1H21/2Q21 - Group results Section 2
Macro scenario trend
| Nov19 Scenario - at BP23 approval |
June20 Scenario after 1^Covid1 | Improved Scenario - Dec 20 |
||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020² | 2021² | 2022² | 2023² | 2020² | 2021² | 2022² | 2023² | 2020² | 2021² | 2022² | 2023² | |
| IT GDP | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | (10.4%) | +4.3% | +3.0% | +1.6% | (9.0%) | +4.2% | +4.7% | +1.8% |
| EA GDP | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | (9.2%) | +4.0% | +3.5% | +2.3% | (7.4%) | +3.6% | +5.0% | +2.5% |
| IT UNEPL. Rate |
9.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.5% |
| BTP-Bund spread | 144bps | 163bps | 185bps | 195bps | 180bps | 173bps | 206bps | 217bps | 163bps | 124bps | 150bps | 155bps |
| Euribor 3M3 | (0.6%) | (0.6%) | (0.6%) | (0.5%) | (0.4%) | (0.4%) | (0.4%) | (0.4%) | (0.4%) | (0.5%) | (0.5%) | (0.5%) |
| IT 10Y yield | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.37% | 1.45% | 1.94% | 2.40% | 1.16% | 0.74% | 1.13% | 1.58% |
Macro models update every 6 months, with provisioning linked to point-in-time assessment.
Recent improvement would have released significant LLPs as of Dec20. Mediobanca took a conservative stance both in June20 (full-year results) and December 20 (6M result) by fine-tuning the IFRS 9 models:
- June 20: GDP drop in 2020 → -€40m accounted in FY20 P&L
- Dec 20: GDP recovery in 2021→ potential writebacks offset by model calibration -€12m accounted in 1H21 P&L
14
1) For IFRS 9 purposes a more prudential scenario has been applied, with the following in particular assumed for 2021: for Italy GDP=0.82% UR=14.2% and for EU GDP=0.11%.
… 3) CONSUMER BANKING BACK TO HEALTHY PRE-COVID SITUATION
1H21/2Q21 - Group results Section 2
Net NPLs back to pre-Covid19 level…
Consumer Banking Net NPLs, stock (€m) and incidence to loans (%)
…with coverage ratios increased to the highest level ever for performing loans (3.35%) and to 71.5% of NPLs
Coverage ratios trend
… 4) CIB WITH THE CLEANEST PORTFOLIO EVER
1H21/2Q21 - Group results Section 2
…and coverage ratios increased both on performing loans (to 0.72%) and NPLs (55%)
Q2: extra provisioning for performing loans absorbing half of writebacks
Rigorous approach
- Stage 2: limited reclassification to Stage 2 due to low exposure to sectors highly impacted by Covid
- Stage 1/2: overlays
- IFRS 9 model: conservativism taken on sensitivity
PRO-ACTIVE CONSERVATIVE PROVISIONING AT GROUP LEVEL
1H21/2Q21 - Group results Section 2
COR DOWN TO 39BPS IN Q2 INCLUDING €187m OF COVID-RELATED CONSERVATIVE PROVISIONS
- CoR down to 39 bps in 2Q21, down to 50bps in 1H21,driven by:
- CoR reduction in Consumer Banking to 196 bps (248 bps in 1Q21)
- Writebacks in CIB, partially offset by prudential one-off provisioning, with sound underlying trends
- Conservative provisions in all divisions since the outbreak of Covid-19, making a total of €187m set aside since March 2020
- 1H21 CoR adjusted of extra-provisions and writebacks @65bps
1H21 RESULTS – PRE-COVID LEVEL RESUMED AT OPERATIONAL LEVEL
1H21/2Q21 - Group results Section 2
Financial results Highlights
| €m | 6m Dec20 |
D HoH1 |
D YoY1 |
2Q21 Dec20 |
1Q21 Sept20 |
2Q20 Dec19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total income | 1,301 | +10% | -2% | 675 | 626 | 641 |
| WM | 302 | 6% | 1% | 156 | 146 | 159 |
| Consumer Banking | 515 | -4% | -3% | 256 | 260 | 264 |
| CIB | 364 | 50% | 10% | 182 | 183 | 182 |
| PI | 124 | -3% | -33% | 78 | 46 | 49 |
| Total costs | (591) | -1% | 0% | (303) | (288) | (309) |
| GOP before LLPs | 710 | +20% | -3% | 372 | 338 | 333 |
| Loan loss provisions | (118) | -56% | 7% | (46) | (72) | (44) |
| Write downs/ups on financial assets |
13 | n.m. | n.m. | (0) | 13 | 5 |
| Other2 | (33) | -72% | 111% | (33) | 0 | (16) |
| PBT | 572 | +3X | -7% | 292 | 280 | 277 |
| Net profit | 411 | +3X | -12% | 211 | 200 | 197 |
| TFA - €bn |
66.6 | +5% | +5% | 66.6 | 64.2 | 63.7 |
| Customer loans - €bn |
48.1 | +3% | +4% | 48.1 | 46.8 | 46.3 |
| Funding - €bn |
55.9 | +2% | +7% | 55.9 | 56.7 | 52.1 |
| RWA - €bn |
48.7 | +1% | +3% | 48.7 | 47.6 | 47.1 |
| Cost/income ratio (%) | 45 | -5pp | - | 45 | 46 | 48 |
| Cost of risk (bps) | 50 | -64pp | +2bps | 39 | 61 | 39 |
| Gross NPLs/Ls (%) | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | ||
| ROTE adj. (%) | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | ||
| CET1 ratio phased-in (%) | 16.2% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 14.1% |
- Solid operating trends confirmed also in Q2, limited impact from 2nd lock down
- Net profit at €411m in 1H21 matched with large capital base ([email protected]%) and solid asset quality. Positive one-offs largely offset conservative credit provisioning.
- Robust trend in core revenues, up to €1.3bn (pre-Covid level), record level in fees, up 17% YoY at €383m due to effective business diversification, increased recurring items and funding cost optimization partly offsetting margin pressure and volume slowdown in Consumer Banking
- WM at € 302m up 6% HoH, on solid AUM trend, especially in 2Q, and improving margins
- CIB at €364m, up 50% HoH on strong recovery in deal execution
- Consumer Banking at €515m down 4%, temporarily lowered by 1st lockdown impact on volumes and margins
- PI at €124m, with lower contribution due to non-recurring items in Q1, normalizing in Q2
- Costs firmly under control, down 1% HoH, with C/I ratio @45%
- LLPs and CoR strongly improved and better than expected:
- CoR@ 50bps vs 114bps in 2H20
- LLPs down 56% HoH, including €49m net positive one-off in Q2
- Solid capital position: CET1 phase-in at 16.2%
- Payout accrued2 @70%
SEVERAL ONE-OFF NON-OPERATING ITEMS
1H21/2Q21 - Group results Section 2
Several positive and negative one-off items in last two Qs, neutral at 1H net profit level
- Burgo loan moved back to Stage1, releasing €110m in LLPs writebacks and €8m in NII
- Burgo LLPs writeback used to offset prudential extra provisioning on CIB S1/2 ptf (€49m) and in other segments (€25m)
- AG negative charges related to settlement of BSI sale (€24m accounted for in 1Q 21)
- €15m of provisions in Compass related to "Lexitor" ruling1
- €14m of positive impact mainly related to seed K recovery net of some impairment on securities due to IFRS 9
- €18m of ordinary contribution to DGS
20
| Non operative one-off items - | €m | 1H21 | o/w in IQ21 |
o/w in IIQ21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | (16) | (21) | 5 | |
| o/w CIB | Burgo writeback contribution to NII |
8 | 3 | 5 |
| o/w PI | Ass.Generali settlement on BSI sale (Equity acc.) |
(24) | (24) | - |
| LLPs | 36 | 1 | 35 | |
| o/w CIB | Burgo writeback |
110 | 26 | 84 |
| o/w CIB | Extra provisioning in WB | (49) | (5) | (44) |
| o/w Other | Extra provisioning (mainly in Consumer) | (25) | (20) | (5) |
| Other | (19) | 1 | (20) | |
| o/w Consumer | Lexitor provisions1 |
(15) | - | (15) |
| o/w Other | Mainly seed K recovery (PI) & securities impairment due to IFRS9 model fine-tuning (HF) |
14 | 1 | 13 |
| o/w DGS | Ordinary contribution | (18) | - | (18) |
| Total | 1 | (19) | 20 |
1) Provision related to the potential liabilities deriving from the retroactive application of Lexitor ruling (December 2019). Such provision is in line with market practice. The amount refers to the reimbursement of portion of up-front costs of loans early repaid.
CET1 @16.2% WITH DIVIDEND PAYOUT2 @ 70% ACCRUED
1H21/2Q21 - Group results Section 2
21
CET1 ratio (phase-in) flat QoQ at 16.2%1
- Phased-in CET1 ratio1 @16.2% (stable QoQ, +210bps YoY) with: +10 bps organic generation (earnings & RWAs), -30 bps dividend accrual, -5 bps from AG, +20 bps (duration approach and un-deducted software)
- SREP requirement: confirmed @7.94% in line with 2019
- Distribution policy for FY212 : cash dividend payout @ 70% of reported earnings, subject to ECB decision/authorization
1) CET1 FL @14.5% (without Danish Compromise ~150 bps and with IFRS 9 fully phased ~13 bps). 2) Final decision postponed beyond ECB ban expiry (30 September 2021) and/or whenever further clarification is provided.
RWA trend (€ bn)
SIGNIFICANT NON-FINANCIAL ACHIEVEMENTS FOR OUR STAKEHOLDERS
1H21/2Q21 - Group results Section 2
- €0.5bn inaugural green bond issue in Sept20
- RAM: launch of Stable Climate Global Equities Fund, its first carbon-neutral fund
- Carbon neutrality achieved by offsetting our greenhouse gas emissions through verified carbon credits to fund external emission reduction projects
-
MB DCM leading position in ESG Italian bond issuances
-
CheBanca!'s commitment for 2021: project launched with Progetto Arca onlus foundation for delivering food parcels and necessity goods to thousand families in economic difficulties.
- Agile and smart working platform project launched (included in the GM STI targets) addressing soft skills development and employees engagement, IT upgrades and HR management: 2020 has taught us some lessons about working solutions and we want to take the best out of it to create tomorrow's new normal for our staff.
- 2020 AGM – strong support from institutional investors to slate presented by BoD (2/3 of the votes) expressing appreciation for MB strategy, performance and management.
- BoD quality enriched by two new qualified Directors fostering independency and diversity.
- New BoD can continue to focus on BP targets and stakeholder remuneration.
SOCIAL
22
GOVERNANCE
Agenda
- Section 2. 1H/2Q Group results
- Section 3. Divisional results
- Section 4. Closing remarks
Annexes
-
- Asset quality by division
-
- Divisional results by quarter
-
- Glossary
GROUP ROTE 10% - ALL DIVISIONS WITH HIGH DOUBLE-DIGIT ROAC
6M results as at December 2020 Section 1
WEALTH MANAGEMENT
WM: ROAC@21% - ROBUST COMMERCIAL TRENDS ON IMPROVING POSITIONING AND DISTINCTIVE OFFER
1H21 Divisional results - WM Section 3
Financial results Highlights
| €m | 6m Dec20 |
D HoH1 |
D YoY1 |
2Q21 Dec20 |
1Q21 Sept20 |
2Q20 Dec19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total income | 302 | +6% | +1% | 156 | 146 | 159 |
| Net interest income | 137 | +3% | -1% | 69 | 68 | 69 |
| Fee income | 160 | +8% | +1% | 85 | 76 | 89 |
| Net treasury income | 5 | +31% | +82% | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Total costs | (224) | -1% | -0% | (115) | (109) | (117) |
| GOP before LLPs | 78 | +33% | +5% | 42 | 37 | 42 |
| Loan provisions | (12) | -8% | +53% | (6) | (6) | (4) |
| PBT | 68 | +51% | -1% | 37 | 31 | 40 |
| Net profit | 47 | +46% | -3% | 25 | 22 | 29 |
| TFA - €bn |
66.6 | +5% | +5% | 66.6 | 64.2 | 63.7 |
| AUM/AUA - €bn |
42.0 | +6% | - | 42.0 | 40.0 | 41.8 |
| Deposits - €bn |
24.6 | +3% | +12% | 24.6 | 24.2 | 21.9 |
| NNM - €bn |
1.6 | -18% | +26% | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Customer loans - €bn |
14.0 | +6% | +11% | 14.0 | 13.5 | 12.6 |
| Gross NPLs/Ls (%) | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | ||
| Cost/income ratio (%) | 74 | -5pp | -1pp | 73 | 75 | 74 |
| Cost of risk (bps) | 17 | -3pp | +4bps | 17 | 18 | 11 |
| ROAC (%) | 21 | 23 | 20 | 26 | ||
| Revenues breakdown | ||||||
| Affluent | 173 | +9% | +9% | 90 | 83 | 82 |
| Private and other | 98 | +3% | -2% | 50 | 48 | 55 |
| Asset Management | 31 | -3% | -23% | 16 | 15 | 22 |
- Robust commercial activity in all segments, following the distinctive offer (PB-IB coverage) and the ongoing strengthening of positioning, distribution, brand and products
- NNM: €1.6bn in Affluent, €0.7bn in Private Banking. Outflows in AM (€0.6bn, mainly due to planned outflows from some institutional mandates occurred in 1Q21)
- TFAs up 5% HoH to €67bn, including due to positive mkt effect of €1.4bn
- AUM/AUA up 6% HoH to €42bn, driven by Affluent (up 11%) and Private Banking (up 7%)
- Loans up 6% HoH (up 11% YoY) to €14bn, with Private Banking up 13% and mortgages up 5% (backed by positive market trend: new business in residential mortgages up 4% in Jan-Sept20)
- Robust revenue trend (up 6% HoH to €302m) supported by recurring fee2 income trend (up 7% YoY and up 6% HoH) with improved recurring margin (ROA up 6bps over last 12M to 87bps)
- Net profit up 46% HoH to €47m (down 3% YoY) after cost control (down 1% HoH and stale YoY) and CoR still higher than pre-Covid era due to conservative provisioning for outstanding loans under moratoria (€0,5bn, 53% classified stage 2&3).
- ROAC @21%
- Selective non-organic growth resumed in asset management, with the acquisition of Bybrook, a stress/distressed debt manager
TFAs UP TO €67BN, WITH €2.3BN NNM IN AFFLUENT&PRIVATE
1H21 Divisional results - WM Section 3
Group TFAs trend (€bn)
Deposits AUM/AUA
- Ongoing increase in deposits (NNM: €0.7bn) supported by risk aversion and some promotional campaigns at CheBanca!
- AUM/AUA up to pre-Covid level (€42bn) with improving but still conservative asset allocation
RECURRING REVENUES AND MARGINS MATERIALLY UP ROAC @21%
1H21 Divisional results - WM Section 3
WM revenues by source (6M, €m) Net profit (6M, €m)
- Total revenues at €302m, up 1% YoY
- Fee income at €160m, up 1% YoY (o/w +7% recurrent) with
- Fee margin up to 0.87%
- Minor contribution from performance fees (€5m)
Net profit to €46m (almost flat YoY) due to
- Larger AUM and increased fee margin
- Lower cost/income ratio (74%)
- Despite increased CoR (from 13 bps to 17 bps) due to cautious provisioning
*Gross fees excl. performance fee/(AUM+AUA)
AFFLUENT: GROWTH AND REPOSITIONING ONGOING FEES UP 21%
1H21 Divisional results - WM Section 3
AUM/AUA NNM trend (3M,€bn) TFAs stock trend (€bn)
Relationship Managers Financial Advisors
- Franchise enhancement resumed after Covid-slowdown: salesforce up by 28 in 6M to 896 people*, outlets up by 8 to 200 (107 branches and 93 FA shops)
- Recruitment focused on larger portfolios
- New brand campaign/digital offering under continuous upgrade
- Client repositioning ongoing towards premiere segment
Offering upgrade ongoing:
- Offering focused on thematic products with higher discretionary component, specialization and ESG content
- Inhouse products @22% of AUM/AUA stock, in particular with the placement of Target Maturity fund by MBSGR. Increasing penetration for RAM and Cairn
- Three new distribution agreements signed with primary AM houses
PRIVATE BANKING: ENHANCING OFFERING MIX GRASPING OPPORTUNITIES OFFERED BY UNIQUE BUSINESS MODEL
1H21 Divisional results - WM Section 3
Unique business model in MBPB, now structurally integrated CIB platform, resulting in an offering focused in the last 6M on:
- Illiquid investments: club deals in real estate (€0.3bn in last 6M), Private Markets third edition in collaboration with Russell Investments (€0.1bn in last 6M). Total stock of illiquid investment now at €1.2bn
- Dedicated thematic discretionary mandates
- CMB: positioning upgrade ongoing through wide-ranging banker reshuffle and enhancing customer segmentation
ASSET MANAGEMENT: CAIRN CAPITAL & BYBROOK JOINING … BYBROOK: A PROFITABLE, VALUABLE, COMPLEMENTARY PLATFORM
1H21 Divisional results - WM Section 3
| CAIRN CAPITAL | BYBROOK CAPITAL | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| & hi e |
European diversified credit manager, founded in p 2004, London based s |
European distressed debt manager, founded in 2013, London based |
||
| ofil Pr |
er Shareholders: MB and founding partners. MB acquired n w a 51% stake in 2015, increased to 75.6% in 2020 o New CEO since 2019 |
Shareholders: founding partners. Sponsor: Blackstone original seed provider |
||
| e yl St |
Diversified structured credit and corporate loans Market leader in European CLO business Outperformance in core strategies |
Absolute value stressed/distressed debt strategies Outperformance in core strategies |
||
| PI K |
AUM growth (€bn) AUM: €5bn AuM Revenues 201 : €20m 100% management fees 5,0 4,4 3,8 ROA: 40bps Staff: 53 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 |
AUM growth (€bn) AUM: €2bn Revenues 20: €17m Avg ROA: 80bps 2,0 1,7 1,3 Cost/income: 42% Staff: 18 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 |
…TO CREATE A DIVERSIFIED ALTERNATIVE CREDIT MANAGER WITH EXPERTISE ACROSS PUBLIC, PRIVATE, PERFORMING AND DISTRESSED OPPORTUNITIES
1H21 Divisional results - WM Section 3
Bybrook - a reputable credit manager looking for stable capital structure to underpin growth
PROFITABLE
Well positioned in high margins asset classes. Proven ability of generating alpha in both shorts and longs. Low cost/income ratio
SCALABLE
Expertise in key stressed/distressed segment. Strong track record of consistent growth. >50% of AUM locked up at least until 2023.
STRONG ENTREPRENEURIAL TEAM
Highly experienced investment team of 9 with 15 years of avg. experience and significant leadership even pre-Bybrook. Large investment and carry in fund underlines commitment.
FAVORABLE MARKET CONDITION
Ready to exploit current market conditions that will create distressed opportunities. Several existing clients looking to increase allocation in the funds to take advantage of the market.
HIGH QUALITY CLIENTS
Strong relationship with current investors (institutional investors, endowments and pension funds). Long term investment agreements and K committed in funds with lock up periods or drawdown structures.
RATIONALE - Product fit, investment team and leadership quality, profitability and market exposure will provide Cairn a better range of credit products to foster a balanced growth
DISTRESSED DEBT
Large market opportunity given current market environment, with strong investor demand chasing few capable managers
CLIENT BOOK
Reputable institutional investors, pension funds and endowments. Diversification of client base (especially US investor relationships)
TEAM & EXPERTISE
Additional product range Talent and investment attraction capabilities.
AUM
Increased proportion of long term locked up capital with strong profitability
TRANSACTION DETAILS
- Mediobanca is proposing the merger of its affiliate Cairn Capital with Bybrook Capital
- PAYMENT: cash and Cairn shares
- FINAL SHAREHOLDERS STRUCTURE:
- MB @ 64%
- Cairn shareholders and Bybrook shareholders @36%.
- LIMITED IMPACT ON MB CET1: 15bps including put&call options
- CLOSING: expected by June 21
TRANSACTION Combined entity
- MANAGEMENT: Bybrook partners will continue their successful activity in Cairn Capital within a fully aligned interest environment (including shareholding, incentives and warranties).
- SYNERGIES: positive cost and revenues synergies. Cairn will access the complementary long-standing Bybrook Capital's client base enriching also Mediobanca's distinctive offering to Private/HNWI investors in illiquid space.
CONSUMER BANKING
CONSUMER: LIMITED IMPACT FROM 2ND LOCKDOWN… COR BACK TO PRE-COVID LEVEL IN 2Q21 – ROAC @28%
1H21 Divisional results – Consumer banking Section 3
Financial results
| €m | 6m Dec20 |
D HoH1 |
D YoY1 |
2Q21 Dec20 |
1Q21 Sept20 |
2Q20 Dec19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total income | 515 | -4% | -3% | 256 | 260 | 264 |
| ow Net interest income |
448 | -5% | -5% | 223 | 226 | 239 |
| Total costs | (151) | -2% | +1% | (78) | (73) | (79) |
| GOP before LLPs | 365 | -5% | -5% | 178 | 187 | 185 |
| Loan provisions | (144) | -27% | +12% | (63) | (81) | (63) |
| PBT | 206 | +9% | -18% | 100 | 106 | 118 |
| Net profit | 138 | +6% | -18% | 66 | 72 | 79 |
| New loans - €bn |
3.0 | +18% | -24% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| Customer loans - €bn |
12.8 | -2% | -7% | 12.8 | 12.9 | 13.7 |
| Gross NPLs/Ls (%) |
7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | ||
| Cost/income ratio (%) | 29 | - | +1pp | 30 | 28 | 30 |
| Cost of risk (bps) | 222 | -72bps | +32bps | 196 | 248 | 185 |
| ROAC (%) | 28 | 30 | 27 | 28 | ||
| New loans by product (€bn) |
||||||
| Personal loans | 1.2 | +9% | -38% | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Special pourpose | 0.5 | +37% | -8% | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Car | 0.7 | +52% | +12% | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Cards | 0.4 | +8% | -21% | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Salary Granted |
0.1 | -23% | -45% | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Highlights
- Ongoing investments in multichannel distribution platform and new products sustaining business:
- Distribution: further enhancement of online - representing now 24% of direct PP sold – and branches (12 openings in last 6M)
- New products: Close Loop card launched in July; instant credit through Pagolight in final testing stage
- New loans up 18% HoH to €3.0bn, along with a materially smoother impact of 2nd lockdown, back to 75% of pre-Covid level. Loan book trend stabilized (QoQ), down 7% YoY
- Net profit at €138m (down 18% YoY, but up 6% HoH), reflecting:
- Lower revenues (down 3% YoY), due to volumes and margins (personal loans the most hit product by Covid) affecting NII trend (down 5% Hoh and YoY)
- Flat costs, with cost/income ratio sticking to ~30%
- LLPs up 12% YoY, but down 27% HoH, with CoR below 200bps in 2Q21, due to asset quality resiliency, early deterioration indicators back to pre-Covid levels, digitally evolved collection process and no more moratoria issues (90% expired, without any major issues)
- One-offs: €15m of provisions related to the "Lexitor" ruling
- ROAC confirmed high (28%)
- Asset quality confirmed strong: net NPL back to pre-Covid level (@2.3% of net loans) and coverage ratios further improved (71.5% on NPL and 3.35% on performing)
…SUPPORTED BY RESILIENT NEW BUSINESS IN 2Q…
- 12M Jan-Dec20 consumer banking market down 21% YoY, with personal loans the most suffering segment (-34% YoY). Compass outperforming the market in car and SP loans and lagging on personal loans due to stricter conservative approach since the first lockdown, although gradually recovering (Compass' mkt share on PP loans now close to pre-Covid level ~14% vs ~8% in April)
- Fast recovery of new loans since the end of the first lockdown and less severe impact from the second lockdown, with new loans in 2Q21 replicating the same level as 1Q21 at €1.5bn
- Gradual recovery of core products: specialized purpose and car new loans now back to pre-Covid levels (key for future repeat business), personal loans growing at a sound pace but still below pre-Covid levels due to still limited consumer options and spending attitude in an uncertain scenario and Compass' conservative approach
…FOSTERED BY AN EFFECTIVE INTEGRATED MULTICHANNEL PLATFORM
1H21 Divisional results – Consumer Banking Section 4
Distribution: physical and online
Ongoing distribution enhancement almost in line with BP: branches up to 273, with 12 new openings in the last 6M (6 proprietary branches and 6 run by agents).
- PP loans distributed through digital channel up to 24% of total direct PP loans (16% in 1H20)
- Direct and online channels confirmed as crucial, notably during lockdown period (from 57% in 1H20 to 64% in 1H21 of new loans), while shares of new loans distributed through third party networks decreased, on reduced branch/office activity during lockdown. Gradual reduction in reliance on banks' channel already embedded in BP19-23
ROAC CONFIRMED AT HIGH LEVEL (@28%) DESPITE COVID SLOWDOWN IN NEW BUSINESS
1H21 Divisional results – Consumer Banking Section 4
- Growth: after stepping back to IH19 level, on both the loan book and revenue side (stabilized on Covid new production level), Compass is again ready to reap the benefits of its sound distribution platform potential, embedding now direct distribution enhancement (branches up 40% vs IH19).
- Profitability (ROAC stably at top industry level @28%) benefits from normalizing CoR (after 2H20 peak close to 300bps) and stable efficiency (cost/income ratio sticking to ~30%).
CORPORATE & INVESTMENT BANKING
CIB: STRONG FEE MOMENTUM RESILIENT NII, FEES UP 41% YOY AND ROAC @19%
| €m | 6m Dec20 |
D HoH1 |
D YoY1 |
2Q21 Dec20 |
1Q21 Sept20 |
2Q20 Dec19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total income | 364 | +50% | +10% | 182 | 183 | 182 |
| Net interest income |
149 | +10% | +9% | 77 | 72 | 67 |
| Fee income |
172 | +66% | +41% | 84 | 88 | 65 |
| Net treasury income | 44 | n.m. | -41% | 21 | 23 | 50 |
| Total costs | (148) | +11% | +3% | (74) | (73) | (74) |
| GOP before LLPs | 217 | +95% | +15% | 108 | 109 | 108 |
| Loan loss provisions | 44 | -187% | +45% | 26 | 18 | 23 |
| PBT | 261 | +4x | +20% | 133 | 128 | 130 |
| Net result | 170 | +4x | +18% | 86 | 85 | 87 |
| Customer loans - €bn |
19.5 | +5% | +8% | 19.5 | 18.6 | 18.0 |
| Gross NPLs/Ls (%) |
1.2% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | ||
| Cost/income ratio (%) | 41 | -13pp | -2pp | 41 | 40 | 41 |
| Cost of risk (bps) | (46) | -101pp | -13bps | (54) | (38) | (52) |
| ROAC (%) | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
- Effective business diversification, strong relationships and positive market trend (M&A and ECM markets in core countries doubled HoH and up 40% and 30% YoY, respectively; DCM consolidating) support the highest revenues level over the last five years and good pipeline ahead:
- Advisory/M&A: solid 1H21 performance backed by jumbo transactions in Q1 and good trend also in Q2
- CapMkt: recovery of ECM activity and strongest quarterly performance ever of DCM in 2Q
- Financing: sound corporate lending origination and closures of acquisition finance transactions. Loans up 8% YoY to €19.5bn
- 1H21 net profit up 18% YoY to €170m, reflecting:
- Higher revenues (up 10% YoY), driven by strong fee momentum (up 41% YoY) and resilient NII (net of €8m positive one-offs)
- Higher costs reflecting revenues increase, but with cost/income ratio down to 41%
- Writebacks from Burgo only partially absorbed by a conservative approach to performing loans and limited new reclassifications. CoR at -46bps
- ROAC up to 19%
- Best credit quality ever, with gross NPL ratio down to 1.2% (vs 3.1% in Dec19) due to Burgo reclassification as performing, and improving coverage ratios (NPL at 55% and performing at 0.72%)
LEADING POSITIONING CONFIRMED IN M&A…
1H21 Divisional results - CIB Section 3
41
The Mediobanca M&A team has been involved in most industry-shaping transactions of the second half of 2020, including the takeover of UBI Banca by Intesa Sanpaolo, the acquisition by Gamenet of the IGT's Italian business and the strategic combination between Nexi and SIA
- Increasing participation in financial sponsors & mid corporate transactions, driven by the growing coverage efforts by the dedicated origination team and enhanced co-operation with Private Banking Division and other Group entities. The M&A team provides advisory services to companies for sell-side processes and to financial sponsors for buy-side investments
- Strengthened footprint in Europe, combining local coverage and industry expertise, including through the strategic partnership with Messier & Associés
Selected M&A Large Corp Transactions
Selected M&A Sponsors Transactions
Selected M&A International Transactions
…AND IN ECM AND DCM…
1H21 Divisional results - CIB Section 3
- Mediobanca Capital Markets teams have successfully completed several major transactions for both Italian and international clients, including in DCM, INWIT's inaugural bond, Veolia's dual-tranche hybrid and IMA's inaugural dual-tranche offering, and ECM BPER, Cellnex, and Dufry Rights Issues, Pharmanutra listing on MTA, Carel ABB and Prysmian Convertible Bond
- BPER Rights Issue aiming to finance a going concern from Intesa, subject to the completion of the voluntary public offer launched by Intesa for UBI Banca. The rights issue amount was fully preunderwritten by Mediobanca and the deal was successfully completed with a final take-up of 100%
- Mediobanca continued on its path to consolidate its leading DCM position within the Italian ESG market, structuring and leading Mediobanca, Unipol and ADR's inaugural green bond transactions
- Increasing international presence, leading among others Cellnex and Dufry Rights Issues, as well as Veolia's dual-tranche hybrid
Selected DCM Transactions
| December 2020 | Nov 2020 October 2020 |
Sept 2020 | August 2020 | July 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dual-Tranche €300m 1.625% Sen. Secured Inaugural Green Bond €830m 3.750% 7NC2 due February 2029 €450m 3mE+400bps 7NC1 |
Hybrid Dual-Tranche €850m 2.250% PNC5.5 €1,150m 2.500% PNC8.5 |
Tender offer on: €317m 4.375% callable in Mar 21 New Green Bond: €750m3.250% Sep 2030 |
New Green Bond: EUR 500m 1.000% Sep 2027 |
€1,000m 1.875% Senior Unsecured Notes due July 2026 |
| Joint Global Joint Bookrunner & Coordinator & Green Structuring Bookrunner Joint Bookrunner Advisor |
Joint Bookrunner | Green Structuring Advisor, Bookrunner & Dealer Manager |
Sole Green & Sustainable Structuring Advisor & Joint Bookrunner |
Global Coordinator & Joint Bookrunner |
Selected ECM Transactions
| January 2021 | January 2021 | December 2020 | October 2020 | October 2020 | July 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € 750m | € 64m | CHF 820m | € 800m | € 4,000m | |
| Convertible Bonds |
ABB | Listing on MTA Star Segment |
Rights Issue | Rights Issue | Rights Issue |
| Joint Bookrunner | Joint Bookrunner | Sponsor | Joint Bookrunner | Global Coordinator & Joint Bookrunner |
Joint Bookrunner |
ECM Italy 2020 (Bookrunner)1
DCM Italy 2020 (Bookrunner)1
…MATCHED WITH SOUND LENDING ORIGINATION…
1H21 Divisional results - CIB Section 3
14%
Other 32%
- New loans and stock by rating New business in past 6M skewed towards high-quality counterparties (80% IG)
- More than 70% of the exposure towards sectors considered with moderate or low impact from the medical crisis, with prevalence of IG and Crossover counterparties
- In more impacted sectors exposure mainly to leading operators
- Very low exposure towards LBOs (<5% of the portfolio)
- Negligible moratoria requests and low recourse to SACEguaranteed financing (<1% of the portfolio)
- No liquidity issues observed at counterparties that requested loan modifications
Goods, Energy Services, Healthcare, Information Technology, Infrastructure, Metal, Retail Food, Utilities and other residual sectors
IG2 80%
ROAC @19% DUE TO STRONG REVENUES AND ASSET QUALITY
1H21 Divisional results - CIB Section 3
- Very positive revenue trend (up 10% YoY), backed by effective diversification, with the increase in capital-light fees and resilient NII, offsetting temporary slowdown in trading client activity
- Excellent trend in asset quality: gross NPL more than halved, due to Burgo reclassification as performing and no material NPL inflows despite the ongoing pandemic. Asset quality expected to retain positive trend due to limited exposure to sectors most affected by Covid-19, new business mix skewed to IG counterparties and conservative approach to performing loans (additional provisioning allowed by Burgo writebacks)
- Net profit up 18% YoY to €170m, leading to ROAC @ 19%
PRINCIPAL INVESTING
PRINCIPAL INVESTING ROAC@14%
Financial results Highlights
| €m | 6m Dec20 |
D HoH1 |
D YoY1 |
2Q21 Dec20 |
1Q21 Sept20 |
2Q20 Dec19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total income | 124 | -3% | -33% | 78 | 46 | 49 |
| Impairments | 19 | n.m. | n.m. | 6 | 13 | 5 |
| Net result | 128 | +19% | -31% | 77 | 52 | 51 |
| Book value - €bn |
4.4 | +13% | -2% | 4.4 | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Ass. Generali (13%) | 3.7 | +16% | -3% | 3.7 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| Other investments | 0.7 | +0% | +4% | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| Market value - €bn |
3.6 | +5% | -18% | 3.6 | 3.1 | 4.4 |
| Ass. Generali | 2.9 | +6% | -22% | 2.9 | 2.4 | 3.7 |
| RWA - €bn |
8.3 | +2% | +44% | 8.3 | 7.9 | 5.7 |
| ROAC (%) | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 |
- 1H21 revenues broadly flat HoH, but down 33% YoY as 1H20 was impacted by extraordinary gains on sale of noncore assets while 1H21 by negative charges related to BSI sale
- 1H21 net profit at €128m, up 19% HoH due to recovery on Seed Capital vs impairment charges in 2H20
- AG book value up 16% HoH to €3.7bn due to net profit, higher AFS reserves and no dividend distribution
- AG market valuation up 6% HoH to €2.9bn
HOLDING FUNCTIONS
HF – IMPROVED RESULTS COMFORTABLE FUNDING AND LIQUIDITY POSITIONS
1H21 – Divisional results - HF Section 3
Financial results Highlights
| €m | 6m Dec20 |
D HoH1 |
D YoY1 |
2Q21 Dec20 |
1Q21 Sept20 |
2Q20 Dec19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total income | 5 | +20% | n.m. | 8 | (3) | (5) |
| Net interest income | (23) | -7% | -27% | (9) | (13) | (15) |
| Net treasury income | 21 | -17% | +75% | 14 | 7 | 6 |
| Fee income | 7 | +97% | -7% | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Total costs | (78) | -16% | -3% | (41) | (37) | (42) |
| GOP before LLPs | (72) | -18% | -21% | (33) | (39) | (47) |
| Loan provisions | (6) | +2% | +58% | (3) | (3) | (2) |
| Other (SRF/DGS incl.) | (26) | -55% | +118% | (25) | (1) | (12) |
| Income taxes & minorities | 31 | -31% | +1% | 17 | 14 | 15 |
| Net profit (loss) | (73) | -32% | -4% | (43) | (30) | (46) |
| Customer loans - €bn |
1.8 | -1% | -4% | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Funding - €bn |
55.9 | +2% | +7% | 55.9 | 56.7 | 52.1 |
| Bonds | 18.7 | -0% | -3% | 18.7 | 19.3 | 19.4 |
| Direct deposits (Retail&PB) |
24.6 | +3% | +12% | 24.6 | 24.2 | 21.9 |
| ECB | 6.2 | +9% | +43% | 6.2 | 6.5 | 4.3 |
| Others | 6.4 | -4% | -1% | 6.4 | 6.7 | 6.5 |
| Treasury and securities at FV |
13.9 | +1% | +22% | 13.9 | 15.7 | 11.4 |
| LCR NSFR |
155% 107% |
155% 107% |
166% 109% |
193% 103% |
- 1H21 loss at €73m, 4% lower vs 1H20, GOP improved by 21% due to strong contribution of Treasury and better cost control, only partially offset by higher provisions on leasing loan book and DGS contribution (€18m in 1H21 vs €11m in 1H20)
- Comfortable funding position, with stock at €56bn (up 2% HoH and 7% YoY):
- Strong market appetite for recent issues: €0.5bn green bond in Sept20 (oversubscription 7x), €250m T2 bond in Nov20 (oversubscription 9x) and €750m covered bond in Jan21 (the first M/L term bond issued by an Italian bank with negative rates)
- Ongoing upward trend of deposits (up 3% HoH and 12% YoY)
- Increasing recourse to ECB funding: €2.5bn of TLTRO3 drawn in 1H21 (total TLTRO up €0.5bn in 6M to €6.2bn, ow €5.5bn of TLTRO3)
- Treasury assets stable at €13.9bn, with liquidity at ECB down from €3.1 to €1.8bn and €5.2bn in banking book govies (ow €3.7bn Italian govies)
- All key indicators at comfortable levels:
- LCR at 155%
- NSFR at 107%
- CBC at €10.6bn
- Loans stable at €1.8bn, on ongoing leasing optimization
MREL REQUIREMENTS CONFIRMED FOR 2021, WITH HIGH SURPLUS
1H21 – Divisional results - HF Section 3
MREL liabilities vs MREL requirements MREL requirement: MB (new for 2021) and peers1
- MREL requirement for 2021 confirmed at 21.85% (19.34% + 2.5% CBR) of RWAs, one of the lowest in EU
- MREL own funds and eligible liabilities (~€17.65bn as of Sept 2020) @ 37.1%2of RWAs with a surplus of 15.3% of RWAs
- No Subordination requirement for 2021: as of Sept.20, CET1 and sub bonds (including SNP) totalling 20.2% of RWA, 93% of MREL requirement
- SNP and T2 issuance (€500m in Jan.20, and €250m of T2 issuance in Nov.20) to optimize capital structure in view of T2 expiring starting from Nov.20 (€0.9bn T2 expiring in within Jun23)
1) MREL requirements available as of January 2021. Banks: ABN Amro, Allied Irish Banks, Bankia, Bankinter, BBVA, Belfius, Bank of Ireland, CaixaBank, Deutsche Bank, ING, KBC, Santander, SocGen, Unicredit, Unicaja
49 2) MREL ratio according to the SRB Hybrid approach, i.e. including consolidated own funds and eligible liabilities (other than own funds) issued by the resolution entity to entities outside the resolution group. Compass interbank loans cannot be included under the Hybrid approach (under previous SRB consolidated approach, Sept 2020 MREL ratio would have been equal to 43.6%)
FUNDING: STOCK UP, COF FLAT AT 80BPS (vs 3M Euribor) DESPITE NEGATIVE BASE EFFECT ON OPTIMIZED MIX
1H21 Divisional Results - HF Section 3
Notable recent MB bond issues
| Recent issues |
Size | Spread vs MS | Over subscription |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green bond (SP) | €500m | 135bps | ~7x |
| Tier 2 bond |
€250m | 280bps | ~9x |
| Covered bond |
€750m | 13bps | ~2x |
The first M/L term bond ever from an Italian bank with a negative yield
Deposit steadily up, now at 44% of total funding
Limited bond maturities ahead
Agenda
- Section 1. Executive summary
- Section 2. 1H/2Q Group results
- Section 3. Divisional results
- Section 4. Closing remarks
Annexes
-
- Asset quality by division
-
- Corporate loan book composition
-
- Divisional results by quarter
-
- Glossary
Revenues and earnings returned back to pre-Covid levels with ROTE@10%, CET1 ratio @16.2%, pay-out ratio@70% fees up 17%, gross NPE/Ls @3.3%
Group MB reaffirmed the ability to grow through the cycles and deliver above-average sustainable growth and shareholders' total return due to the distinguishing features of its business model: focus on specialized, structural long-term growth businesses, geared towards the best counterparties in terms of risk/reward (households, large/high mid corporates), superior risk management capabilities
For the next six months we forecast sound commercial activity in all business segments and full control of cost of risk 2H expected to have solid revenues and CoR trends without the positive and negative one-offs of 1H Strong commitment to have best in class shareholders remuneration
Agenda
- Section 1. Executive summary
- Section 2. 1H/2Q Group results
- Section 3. Divisional results
- Section 4. Closing remarks
Annexes
-
- Asset quality by division
-
- Divisional results by quarter
-
- Glossary
ASSET QUALITY BY DIVISIONS
MEDIOBANCA GROUP P&L
6M results as at December 2020 Annex 2
| €m | 1H Dec20 |
2H June20 |
1H Dec19 |
YoY1 D |
2Q Dec20 |
1Q Sept20 |
4Q June20 |
3Q Mar20 |
2Q Dec19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total income | 1,301 | 1,188 | 1,325 | -2% | 675 | 626 | 606 | 582 | 641 |
| Net interest income | 720 | 721 | 722 | - | 363 | 357 | 361 | 360 | 362 |
| Fee income | 383 | 302 | 329 | 17% | 194 | 189 | 143 | 159 | 174 |
| Net treasury income | 87 | 45 | 92 | -5% | 51 | 36 | 48 | (3) | 57 |
| Equity accounted co. | 111 | 121 | 184 | -40% | 67 | 44 | 55 | 66 | 48 |
| Total costs | (591) | (598) | (591) | - | (303) | (288) | (298) | (300) | (309) |
| Labour costs |
(305) | (296) | (304) | - | (153) | (152) | (146) | (150) | (159) |
| Administrative expenses | (286) | (302) | (288) | -1% | (150) | (136) | (153) | (150) | (150) |
| Loan loss provisions | (118) | (265) | (110) | 7% | (46) | (72) | (165) | (100) | (44) |
| GOP risk adjusted | 592 | 325 | 625 | -5% | 326 | 266 | 143 | 182 | 288 |
| Impairments, disposals | 13 | (29) | 9 | (0) | 13 | 12 | (41) | 5 | |
| Non recurring (SRF/DGS contribution) | (33) | (118) | (16) | (33) | 0 | (77) | (41) | (16) | |
| PBT | 572 | 178 | 618 | -7% | 292 | 280 | 77 | 101 | 277 |
| Income taxes & minorities | (161) | (45) | (150) | 7% | (82) | (80) | (29) | (16) | (80) |
| Net result | 411 | 133 | 468 | -12% | 211 | 200 | 48 | 85 | 197 |
| Cost/income ratio (%) | 45 | 50 | 45 | - | 45 | 46 | 49 | 52 | 48 |
| LLPs/Ls (bps) | 50 | 114 | 48 | +2bps | 39 | 61 | 141 | 85 | 39 |
| ROTE adj. (%) | 10 | 10 | 10 | - |
1) YoY= Dec20/Dec19
MEDIOBANCA GROUP A&L
6M results as at December 2020 Annex 2
| E-MARKET SDIR |
|---|
| CERTIFIED |
| €bn | Dec20 | Sept20 | June20 | Dec19 | D QoQ1 |
D HoH1 |
D YoY1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Funding | 55.9 | 56.7 | 54.9 | 52.1 | -1% | +2% | +7% |
| Bonds | 18.7 | 19.3 | 18.8 | 19.4 | -3% | -0% | -3% |
| Direct deposits (retail&PB) | 24.6 | 24.2 | 23.8 | 21.9 | +2% | +3% | +12% |
| ECB | 6.2 | 6.5 | 5.7 | 4.3 | -5% | +9% | +43% |
| Others | 6.4 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 6.5 | -4% | -4% | -1% |
| Loans to customers | 48.1 | 46.8 | 46.7 | 46.3 | +3% | +3% | +4% |
| CIB | 19.5 | 18.6 | 18.6 | 18.0 | +5% | +5% | +8% |
| Wholesale | 16.8 | 16.5 | 16.5 | 15.3 | +2% | +2% | +10% |
| Specialty Finance | 2.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.7 | +31% | +29% | +0% |
| Consumer | 12.8 | 12.9 | 13.0 | 13.7 | -1% | -2% | -7% |
| WM | 14.0 | 13.5 | 13.2 | 12.6 | +4% | +6% | +11% |
| Mortgage | 10.7 | 10.4 | 10.2 | 9.8 | +3% | +5% | +9% |
| Private banking | 3.3 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 2.8 | +6% | +13% | +18% |
| Leasing | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.9 | -0% | -1% | -4% |
| Treasury and securities at FV | 13.9 | 15.7 | 13.8 | 11.4 | -11% | +1% | +22% |
| RWAs | 48.7 | 47.6 | 48.0 | 47.1 | +2% | +1% | +3% |
| Loans/Funding ratio | 86% | 83% | 85% | 89% | |||
| CET1 ratio (%)2 | 16.2 | 16.2 | 16.1 | 14.1 | |||
| TC ratio (%) 2 | 19.0 | 18.8 | 18.8 | 17.1 |
WEALTH MANAGEMENT RESULTS
6M results as at December 2020 Annex 2
| €m | 1H Dec20 |
2H June20 |
1H Dec19 |
YoY1 D |
2Q Dec20 |
1Q Sept20 |
4Q June20 |
3Q Mar20 |
2Q Dec19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total income | 302 | 285 | 299 | +1% | 156 | 146 | 140 | 145 | 159 |
| Net interest income | 137 | 133 | 138 | -1% | 69 | 68 | 67 | 66 | 69 |
| Fee income | 160 | 148 | 158 | +1% | 85 | 76 | 72 | 77 | 89 |
| Net treasury income | 5 | 4 | 3 | +82% | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Total costs | (224) | (226) | (225) | - | (115) | (109) | (113) | (113) | (117) |
| Loan provisions | (12) | (13) | (8) | +53% | (6) | (6) | (9) | (4) | (4) |
| Operating profit | 66 | 46 | 67 | - | 36 | 31 | 19 | 27 | 38 |
| Other | 2 | -1 | 2 | -38% | 1 | 0 | 0 | (2) | 2 |
| Income taxes & minorities | (21) | (13) | (21) | +1% | (12) | (9) | (5) | (8) | (11) |
| Net profit | 47 | 32 | 48 | -3% | 25 | 22 | 14 | 18 | 29 |
| Cost/income ratio (%) |
74 | 79 | 75 | -1pp | 73 | 75 | 80 | 78 | 74 |
| LLPs/Ls (bps) |
17 | 20 | 13 | +4bps | 17 | 18 | 27 | 13 | 11 |
| Loans (€bn) |
14.0 | 13.2 | 12.6 | +11% | 14.0 | 13.5 | 13.2 | 13.0 | 12.6 |
| TFA (€bn) | 66.6 | 63.6 | 63.7 | +5% | 66.6 | 64.2 | 63.6 | 60.2 | 63.7 |
| AUM/AUA | 42.0 | 39.8 | 41.8 | +0% | 42.0 | 40.0 | 39.8 | 37.8 | 41.8 |
| Deposits | 24.6 | 23.8 | 21.9 | +12% | 24.6 | 24.2 | 23.8 | 22.4 | 21.9 |
| NNM (€bn) | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 | +26% | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| AUM/AUA | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | -54% | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| Deposits | 0.7 | 1.9 | (0.6) | n.m. | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | (0.6) |
| RWA (€bn) | 5.0 | 5.0 | 4.7 | +7% | 5.0 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 4.7 | 4.7 |
| ROAC (%) | 21 | 15 | 23 | -2pp |
CONSUMER BANKING RESULTS
6M results as at December 2020 Annex 2
| €m | 1H Dec20 |
2H June20 |
1H Dec19 |
YoY1 D |
2Q Dec20 |
1Q Sept20 |
4Q June20 |
3Q Mar20 |
2Q Dec19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total income | 515 | 539 | 532 | -3% | 256 | 260 | 266 | 273 | 264 |
| Net interest income | 448 | 474 | 474 | -5% | 223 | 226 | 237 | 237 | 239 |
| Fee income | 67 | 65 | 58 | +16% | 33 | 34 | 29 | 36 | 25 |
| Total costs | (151) | (154) | (150) | +1% | (78) | (73) | (77) | (77) | (79) |
| Loan provisions | (144) | (197) | (128) | +12% | (63) | (81) | (121) | (76) | (63) |
| GOP risk adjusted | 221 | 189 | 254 | -13% | 115 | 106 | 68 | 120 | 123 |
| Other | (15) | 0 | (5) | (15) | (0) | 0 | 0 | (5) | |
| Income taxes | (68) | (59) | (82) | -17% | (34) | (34) | (20) | (40) | (39) |
| Net profit | 138 | 129 | 167 | -18% | 66 | 72 | 49 | 81 | 79 |
| Cost/income ratio (%) | 29 | 29 | 28 | +1pp | 30 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 30 |
| LLPs/Ls (bps) | 222 | 294 | 190 | +32bps | 196 | 248 | 361 | 223 | 185 |
| New loans (€bn) | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3.9 | -24% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| Loans (€bn) | 12.8 | 13.0 | 13.7 | -7% | 12.8 | 12.9 | 13.0 | 13.7 | 13.7 |
| RWAs (€bn) | 11.5 | 11.8 | 12.9 | -11% | 11.5 | 11.6 | 11.8 | 12.9 | 12.9 |
| ROAC (%) | 28 | 31 | 30 | -2pp |
CIB RESULTS
6M results as at December 2020 Annex 2
| €m | 1H Dec20 |
2H June20 |
1H Dec19 |
YoY1 D |
2Q Dec20 |
1Q Sept20 |
4Q June20 |
3Q Mar20 |
2Q Dec19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total income | 364 | 244 | 332 | +10% | 182 | 183 | 139 | 104 | 182 |
| Net interest income | 149 | 135 | 136 | +9% | 77 | 72 | 69 | 67 | 67 |
| Net treasury income | 44 | 4 | 74 | -41% | 21 | 23 | 19 | (15) | 50 |
| Fee income | 172 | 104 | 122 | +41% | 84 | 88 | 52 | 52 | 65 |
| Total costs | (148) | (133) | (144) | +3% | (74) | (73) | (63) | (69) | (74) |
| Loan loss provisions | 44 | (50) | 30 | 45% | 26 | 18 | (33) | (17) | 23 |
| GOP risk adjusted | 260 | 61 | 218 | +20% | 133 | 127 | 43 | 18 | 131 |
| Other | 1 | (3) | (0) | (1) | 1 | (4) | 0 | (1) | |
| Income taxes & minorities | (91) | (21) | (73) | (47) | (43) | (14) | (7) | (43) | |
| Net result | 170 | 37 | 144 | +18% | 86 | 85 | 25 | 11 | 87 |
| Cost/income ratio (%) | 41 | 54 | 43 | -2pp | 41 | 40 | 45 | 66 | 41 |
| LLPs/Ls (bps) | (46) | 55 | (33) | -13bps | (54) | (38) | 70 | 37 | (52) |
| Loans (€bn) | 19.5 | 18.6 | 18.0 | +8% | 19.5 | 18.6 | 18.6 | 18.9 | 18.0 |
| RWAs (€bn) | 20.7 | 20.0 | 20.3 | 2% | 20.7 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.8 | 20.3 |
| ROAC (%) | 19 | 11 | 16 | +3pp |
PRINCIPAL INVESTING RESULTS
6M results as at December 2020 Annex 2
| €m | 1H Dec20 |
2H June20 |
1H Dec19 |
YoY1 D |
2Q Dec20 |
1Q Sept20 |
4Q June20 |
3Q Mar20 |
2Q Dec19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total income | 124 | 127 | 186 | -33% | 78 | 46 | 61 | 67 | 49 |
| Impairments | 19 | (19) | 8 | 6 | 13 | 21 | (40) | 5 | |
| Net result | 128 | 108 | 187 | -31% | 77 | 52 | 70 | 38 | 51 |
| Book value (€bn) | 4.4 | 3.9 | 4.5 | -2% | 4.4 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Ass. Generali (13%) | 3.7 | 3.2 | 3.8 | -3% | 3.7 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| Other investments | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | +4% | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Market value (€bn) | 3.6 | 3.4 | 4.4 | -18% | 3.6 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 4.4 |
| Ass. Generali | 2.9 | 2.7 | 3.7 | -22% | 2.9 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| RWA (€bn) | 8.3 | 8.1 | 5.7 | 44% | 8.3 | 7.9 | 8.1 | 5.7 | 5.7 |
| ROAC (%) | 14 | 17 | 13 | +1pp |
HOLDING FUNCTION RESULTS
6M results as at December 2020 Annex 2
| €m | 1H Dec20 |
2H June20 |
1H Dec19 |
YoY1 D |
2Q Dec20 |
1Q Sept20 |
4Q June20 |
3Q Mar20 |
2Q Dec19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total income | 5 | 5 | (11) | 8 | (3) | 6 | (1) | (5) | |
| Net interest income | (23) | (24) | (31) | (9) | (13) | (14) | (10) | (15) | |
| Net treasury income | 21 | 25 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 19 | 7 | 6 | |
| Fee income | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | |
| Total costs | (78) | (93) | (80) | -3% | (41) | (37) | (48) | (45) | (42) |
| Loan provisions | (6) | (6) | (4) | +58% | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (2) |
| GOP risk adjusted | (78) | (94) | (95) | -18% | (36) | (43) | (46) | (49) | (49) |
| Other (incl. SRF/DGS contribution) | (26) | (58) | (12) | +118% | (25) | (1) | (18) | (40) | (12) |
| Income taxes & minorities | 31 | 45 | 31 | +1% | 17 | 14 | 20 | 25 | 15 |
| Net profit | (73) | (107) | (77) | -4% | (43) | (30) | (43) | (64) | (46) |
| LLPs/Ls (bps) (Leasing) | 69 | 64 | 40 | +29bps | 67 | 71 | 74 | 54 | 33 |
| Banking book (€bn) | 6.2 | 5.6 | 5.6 | +10% | 6.2 | 6.3 | 5.6 | 6.0 | 5.6 |
| Loans (€bn) | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.9 | -4% | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| RWA | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.4 | -6% | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.4 |
GLOSSARY
| MEDIOBANCA BUSINESS SEGMENT | ||
|---|---|---|
| Corporate and investment banking | DPS | Dividend per share |
| EPS | Earning per share | |
| Financial Advisors | ||
| Gross operating profit | ||
| Assicurazioni Generali |
||
| Holding functions | Loans | |
| Loan loss provisions | ||
| Advanced Internal Rating-Based | Net asset value | |
| Asset and liabilities management |
Net profit adjusted | |
| NII | Net Interest income | |
| Net profit | ||
| Profit before taxes | ||
| Calculated with "Danish Compromise" (Art. 471 CRR2, applicable until Dec.24) and in compliance with the concentration limit. Transitional arrangements referred CET1 Phase-in to IFRS 9, according to Reg.(EU) 2017/2395 of the EU Parliament /Council. |
||
| Risk weighted asset | ||
| Single resolution fund Total capital |
||
| Net NPLs/CET1 | ||
| Cost of funding | TFA | AUM+ AUA+Deposits |
| Cost of equity | Notes | |
| 1) Based on net |
profit adjusted (see |
|
| above) | ||
| Wholesale banking Specialty finance Consumer banking Wealth management Principal Investing PROFIT & LOSS (P&L) and BALANCE SHEET Asset under administration Asset under custody Asset under management Book value per share Cost /Income Counter Balance Capacity Calculation including the full IFRS 9 impact and with the AG investment deducted in full. Cost of risk Corporate Social Responsibility Deposit guarantee scheme |
FAs GOP Ls LLPs NAV NP PBT RWA SRF TC Texas ratio |
| PROFIT & LOSS (P&L) and BALANCE SHEET | |
|---|---|
| DPS | Dividend per share |
| EPS | Earning per share |
| EPS adj. | Earning per share adjusted1 |
| ESG | Environmental, Social, Governance |
| FAs | Financial Advisors |
| FVOCI | Fair Value to Other Comprehensive Income |
| GOP | Gross operating profit |
| Leverage ratio | CET1 / Total Assets (FINREP definition) |
| Ls | Loans |
| LLPs | Loan loss provisions |
| M&A | Merger and acquisitions |
| NAV | Net asset value |
| Net profit adjusted | GOP net of LLPs, minorities and taxes, with normalized tax rate (33% for Affluent, CIB, Consumer and HF; 25% for PB and AM 25%; 2% for PI). Covid-related impact excluded for FY20 and 4Q20 |
| NII | Net Interest income |
| NNM | Net new money (AUM/AUA/Deposits) |
| NP | Net profit |
| NPLs | Group NPLS net of NPLs purchased by MBCS |
| PBT | Profit before taxes |
| RM | Relationship managers |
| ROAC | Adjusted return on allocated capital2 |
| ROTE adj. | Adjusted return on tangible equity1 |
| RWA | Risk weighted asset |
| SRF | Single resolution fund |
| TC | Total capital |
| Texas ratio | Net NPLs/CET1 |
| TFA | AUM+ AUA+Deposits |
1) Based on net profit adjusted (see above)
2) Adjusted return on allocated capital: average allocated K = 9% RWAs (for PI: 9% RWA + capital deducted from CET1). Net profit adjusted (see
DISCLAIMER & DECLARATION OF HEAD OF FINANCIAL REPORTING
Disclaimer
This document includes certain projections, estimates, forecasts and consequent targets which reflect the current views of Mediobanca – Banca di Credito Finanziario S.p.A. (the "Company") with regard to future events ("forward-looking statements").
These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, all statements other than actual data, historical or current, including those regarding the Group's future financial position and operating results, strategy, plans, objectives and future developments in the markets where the Group operates or is intending to operate.
All forward-looking statements, based on information available to the Company as of the date hereof, rely on scenarios, assumptions, expectations and projections regarding future events which are subject to uncertainties because dependent on factors most of which are beyond the Company's control. Such uncertainties may cause actual results and performances that differ, including materially, from those projected in or implied by the data present; therefore the forward-looking statements are not a reliable indicator of future performances.
The information and opinions included in this document refer to the date hereof and accordingly may change without notice. The Company, however, undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable law.
Due to the risks and uncertainties described above, readers are advised not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements as a prediction of actual results. No decision as to whether to execute a contract or subscribe to an investment should be based or rely on this document, or any part thereof, or the fact of its having been distributed.
Declaration by Head of Company Financial Reporting
As required by Article 154-bis, paragraph 2 of Italian Legislative Decree 58/98, the undersigned hereby declares that the stated accounting information contained in this report conforms to the documents, account ledgers and book entries of the company.
Head of Company Financial Reporting Emanuele Flappini
INVESTOR CONTACT DETAILS
Mediobanca Group Investor Relations
Piazzetta Cuccia 1, 20121 Milan, Italy
Jessica Spina Tel. no. (0039) 02-8829.860 Luisa Demaria Tel. no. (0039) 02-8829.647 Matteo Carotta Tel. no. (0039) 02-8829.290 Marcella Malpangotto Tel. no. (0039) 02-8829.428
Email: [email protected]
http://www.mediobanca.com