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Litgrid AB Investor Presentation 2017

Apr 27, 2017

2262_rns_2017-04-27_10943ece-d282-4c71-a9c9-fd3d0c00a1fa.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Litgrid

Inspired by deeds and aims

2016 Litgrid annual activities report event

Daivis Virbickas, CEO

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Litgrid at NASDAQ Baltic

  • UAB EPSO-G
  • Smulkieji akcininkai

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5 520 shareholders
504 331 380 shares
€ 355,55 mln. market capitalization
€ 18,16 mln. allocated for dividends
ROE = 7%
P/E = 21

(Data for 2016 12 31)


Price and volume of Litgrid share trade at Nasdaq Baltic

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Financial indicators

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Net profit, ROE and ROA for 2014 shown in chart without respect to tangible fixed assets reevaluation


Investments – to foster business opportunities, security of supply and financial results

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  • Investments of 2014-2015 – to interconnections
  • Investments of 2016-2021 – to grid enhancement and long-term security of the system

Litgrid is a part of EPSO-G group of companies

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Board of Litgrid

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Rimvydas
Štilinis,
Chairman of the
board, EPSO-G

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Nemunas
Biknius, EPSO-G

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Domas
Sidaravičius,
independent
board member

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Vidmantas
Grušas, Litgrid

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Daivis Virbickas,
Litgrid


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In Lithuania


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Litgrid mission:
Ensure reliable transmission of electricity and enable competition in the open electricity market

Litgrid vision:
Full integration of the Lithuanian power system into the European power infrastructure and the common electricity market


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Litgrid – the key structure of electricity system, ensuring logistics of the power flows


In charge of the strategic national assets in power sector

END = 1,03 MWh
AIT = 0,04 min.

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> 7 200 km of high voltage power lines
HVDC technology
Asynchronous interconnections with Sweden and Poland
15 interconnections to 3 separate synchronous areas
Reliable and sufficient power grid
Power system operations 24/7
235 employees


Electricity demand grew by 4.5% in 2016

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  • Industrial consumption grew 3.5%, demand in agriculture - 8.4%, services sector - 5.7%
  • Domestic users consumed 27% of the national demand, business and industry - 71%
  • 2/3 of consumed electricity was imported

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  • Industry
  • Transport
  • Agriculture
  • Households
  • Services and other
  • Technological grid demand

As local generation falls, import grows

19% of consumed (50% of locally generated) electricity was produced from RES in 2016

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Electricity generation in Lithuania, GWh

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Electricity import structure

Sweden
Latvia, Estonia, Finland
Poland
3rd countries


First year of new interconnections' operation

LitPol Link

  • Litgrid investment - € 108 mln.
  • Operation since beg. 2016
  • 500 MW capacity
  • Availability to market - 96% of time

NordBalt

  • Litgrid investment - € 222 mln.
  • Operation since beg. 2016
  • 700 MW capacity
  • Availability to market - 78% of time

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Impact to the regional market

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Source: Nord Pool
Electricity market price €/MWh


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The Eastern neighborhood


2 reactor block of 1 200 MW just 40 km off Vilnius

Planned start of operation - 2019 (2020)

100 km off Astravets NPP there are 919 thousands of Lithuania’s residents

Sources: MFA; Ari Beser „A Preventable Nuclear Threat You Most Likely Don’t Know About“, http://voices.nationalgeographic.com/2017/02/23/a-preventable-nuclear-threat-you-most-likely-dont-know-about/


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1000 km - short-term restrictions for consumption of local food
300 km - long-term restrictions for consumption of certain types of food
100 km - need for iodine therapy


Political or business agenda?

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1 200 MW

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1 200 MW

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Nord Pool
36,54 Eur/MWh

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~€ 700 million / year

  • Efforts have to be aligned to prevent electricity from the unsafe construction to get access to Lithuanian/European power market
  • What can be done?

How to stop electricity from Astravets NPP

Quick solution
Electricity from 3rd countries not traded at Nord Pool

Long-term solution
Power system synchronization with the Continental European Network


Optimizing the grid in North-Eastern Lithuania

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  • Upon completion of the projects the Baltic power systems will be ready for isolated operation test and asynchronous operation with IPS/UPS
  • Flexible operations of Lithuanian power system
  • Up to 12 times lower operations cost
Project task Technical project Start of operations
2017 Q2
2017 Q2-Q4 2018 Q4
2019 Q1 2021
Public procurement Start of reconstruction of Utena and Ignalina NPTS

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The ring of former Soviet Unions' nuclear power plants

Melvin B. Patnow
A. P. Patnow
T. P. Patnow
T. P. Patnow
T. P. Patnow
T. P. Patnow
T. P. Patnow
T. P. Patnow
T. P. Patnow
T. P. Patnow
T.


Ilgalaikis sprendimas – elektros sistemų sinchronizacija su kontinentine Europa

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7 studies on Baltic power systems integration with the continental Europe since 1998 to 2017. Some decisions made:

  • New lines needed for integration will be built only in the territory of EU
  • Synchronization – a Project of Common Interest
  • Final recommendations of EC JRC study expected shortly

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Synchronous areas in Europe


Baltic power system orations in isolation to be tested 2018/2019

  • Operations in the isolated mode – a must before synchronizing to continental European system
  • After successful tests – in-depth analysis and decisions for preparedness

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The LitPol Link interconnection may be sufficient for synchronization

  • Thermal* capacity of the double-circuit interconnection Alytus-Elk is 2 x 1 200 MW
  • 500 MW HVDC converter station could be switched to Alytus-Grodno line:
  • To ensure exchange of system services between Kaliningrad and mainland Russia
  • LitPol Link 2 remains in the plans, possibly - after synchronization

*thermal capacity - maximum technically allowed


A comment on the scenario of Northern synchronization

225 MW HVAC cable interconnection Malta-Italy

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Population 2016 Electricity consumption 2016
Baltic 6 000 000 26 TWh
Estonia 1 317 000 8 TWh
Malta 422 000 2.2 TWh

HVAC

220 kV

97.5 km subsea cable, a

part of 118 km

interconnection

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European outlook

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Lean energy for all Europeans package: accelerating innovation for low-carbon energy technologies

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| No 1
In renewables | Energy efficiency in buildings | Flexible energy system | Consumers and smart cities | Energy efficiency for industry | Sustainable mobility |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 70 €/MWh or less for the cost of offshore wind energy by 2030 | 60% savings of buildings' energy consumption by 2025 | 25% peak load reduction from demand-response by 2030 | 100 positive energy districts 2025, and 80% electricity consumption to be managed by consumers in 4 out of 5 households | 20% reduction of energy consumption for chemical, pharmaceutical and steal industries by 2025 | 70% cost reduction for Li-ion batteries by 2030 |

*Compared to 2015

Source: https://ec.europa.eu/energy/sites/ener/files/documents/set-plan_progress_2016.pdf


General market organization

  • Market-based pricing
  • Common power market design to ensure the adequacy of the EU's power system
  • National capacity markets will not be allowed to disrupt European market design
  • Enhanced interconnectivity and cross-border participation
  • Better integration of RES

New roles of consumers

  • Consumers will, amongst others, be entitled to:
  • Enter into dynamic pricing contracts reflecting spot prices and restricting termination fees
  • enter into agreements with demand response providers and aggregators (without the supplier’s consent)
  • access and use free of charge comparison tools and smart metering systems
  • rely on detailed billing guidelines and information
  • Highly flexible demand-side management for companies and private households

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New roles for distribution system operators (DSO)

  • Development of 5- to 10-year network development plan
  • Development of system services market for:
  • Distributed generation
  • Demand-side response
  • Storage
  • Energy efficiency measures
  • Limitation to own and develop charging and storage solutions
  • Unbundled DSOs must create an “EDSO-E”

More engagement among transmission system operators

  • Cooperation throughout Regional Operational Centers
  • Ensure effective participation of all market participants
  • Limitations to own and develop storage facilities and assets providing ancillary services
  • Cooperation for risk-preparedness in the electricity sector

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Additional powers to regulators

  • Extension of their tasks and competences with respect:
  • to regional co-operation on cross-border issues
  • establishment and functioning of Regional Cooperation Centers
  • Additional powers to issue (joint) binding decisions on electricity undertakings, carry out investigations and give instructions for dispute settlement, request information and impose penalties

Clean energy for all package will impact all

  • Energy-only market is enhanced
  • More powers to consumers
  • DSO will have to participate in market development
  • Competition-based market participation
  • RES are no longer exceptional, rather new traditional source of energy

Grid maintenance and development projects

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Enhancing transmission grid

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  • Reconstruction projects of transformer stations: Kaunas HPS, Trakai, Kuršėnai, Kretinga, Zokniai, Grigiškės, Rietavas, Vilnius E2 and Vilnius E3

330 kV Kruonis HPPS -Alytus, € 23 million


Investment to grid projects 2016-2025 - > € 671 million

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  • Strategic projects
  • System reliability
  • Projects initiated by grid users
  • ITT projects

Socially responsible planning and implementation

Better living environment: additional sound isolation by the substations in Alytus and Klaipėda distr.

Informing residents about grid maintenance and development projects in advance

Developing relationship based on dialogue and mutual respect


Taking care of those smaller and weaker

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Monitoring of wildlife near newly built lines LitPol Link and Klaipėda-Telšiai

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> 17 thousand bird diverters installed on the lines


Special attention to quality of contractors' work

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Regular site visits, requirements and control

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Safety at work – first of all

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Why safety at work is our topic?

  • Safety at work must become a business priority
  • 99% of accidents can be prevented
  • Prevention is cheaper than consequences of accidents

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FAQ


Protection zones of the power lines

  • Protections zones are set to protect the lines from accidents, and the people - from possible contact with the lines
  • Protection zone is a strip of land along the line axis:
  • for 110 kV lines - 20 meters on both sides off the furthest wire of the line
  • for 330 kV lines - 30 meters on both sides off the furthest wire of the line

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Power line capacity predetermines the safety zone

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Magnetic field is a part of natural surroundings

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Thank you for your time