AI assistant
LION SELECTION GROUP LIMITED. — AGM Information 2022
Dec 6, 2022
65271_rns_2022-12-06_f132f661-6785-42f3-81bd-8ecf3cc92248.pdf
AGM Information
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
AGM
7 December 2022
www.lionselection.com.au
This presentation does not constitute investment advice. Neither this presentation nor the information contained in it constitutes an offer, invitation, solicitation or recommendation in relation to the purchase or sale of shares in any jurisdiction. This presentation does not take into account any person’s particular investment objectives, financial resources or other relevant circumstances and the opinions and recommendations in this presentation are not intended to represent recommendations of particular investments to particular persons. To the fullest extent permitted by law, each of Lion Selection Group Limited (Lion), Lion Manager Pty Ltd (Lion Manager), or any of its related bodies corporate, or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives and advisers do not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of any information, statements, opinions, estimates, forecasts or other representations contained in this presentation. No responsibility for any errors or omissions from this presentation arising out of negligence or otherwise is accepted.
This presentation may include forward looking statements. Forward looking statements are only predictions and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions which are inherently speculative and outside the control of Lion and Lion Manager. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions include commodity prices, currency fluctuations, economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions, environmental risks and legislative, fiscal or regulatory developments, political risks, project delay or advancement, approvals and cost estimates. Accordingly, there can be no assurance that actual values, results or events will not vary significantly from those expressed or implied in this presentation. Lion and Lion Manager do not undertake any obligation to update or revise any information or any of the forward looking statements in this presentation for changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such forward looking statement is based following the date of this presentation.
This presentation may include figures illustrating past performance. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance and should not be relied upon as a guide to future performance. Future returns are not guaranteed and a loss of original capital may occur.
==> picture [278 x 73] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Disclaimer
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [42 x 16] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
2
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [369 x 540] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Lion Selection
Group
ASX : LSX
47cps (share price 30 Nov 2022)
63.6cps (NTA 30 Nov 2022) [1]
5cps (Dividends paid in 2022)
ASX:LSX
----- End of picture text -----
Lion Selection Group (Lion) is an ASX listed mining investor (ASX:LSX), with a strong balance sheet and ability to invest in a weakening junior resources market.
Lion currently has exposures to gold, copper, nickel and phosphate, but the main asset is cash.
Lion provides a simple way to invest in high growth mineral companies, with a track record of value creation and dividends.
lionselection.com.au
3
NTA: Will become predominantly cash in 2023
Lion is extremely strongly positioned to invest in a weakening market
lionselection.com.au
ASX:LSX
4
Net Tangible Assets
==> picture [949 x 391] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
US$30M
(Merdeka Shares
Nusantara SOLD / Deferred Cash)
To become
Pani SOLD
cash
Jul-21 Nov-22 Feb-23
62.6cps [2] 63.6cps [1] (Projected)
5cps Dividends Further Special
3.5cps PAID (Apr 22)
Dividend :
1.5cps PAID (Oct 22)
April 2023
Share
Price
44cps 47cps
Discount
to NTA 30% 26%
----- End of picture text -----
lionselection.com.au
ASX:LSX
5
1997 Lion IPO
Dividends
2023 Lion strongly positioned for new opportunity investment focussed on Australia
==> picture [249 x 60] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
3cps 3cps 8cps 3cps 10cps 10cps 10cps 26.7cps 10cps 3cps Catalpa share 10cps
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [816 x 33] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [361 x 173] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
2009-2013
National Stock
Exchange
2009
2012-2022
Demerger Period of investment in One Asia / Pani
(1x Lion
1x Catalpa)
----- End of picture text -----
Lion aims to pay sustainable dividends, from surplus investment proceeds, whilst balancing the investment requirements of the Company with market conditions and capital growth
lionselection.com.au
ASX:LSX
6
Pani Exit
-
[at least] US$52M total value[3]
-
17% above NTA
-
3.5x return on investment
-
Exit at logical point of asset cycle
Prior to substantial capex
- Lion recommenced dividends
==> picture [499 x 330] intentionally omitted <==
- Return to investing
lionselection.com.au
ASX:LSX
7
Pani Exit Consideration [at least] US$52M
US$22m Banked
US$10m Deferred Cash Value Protection Cash top up
US$20m Merdeka Stock
==> picture [595 x 311] intentionally omitted <==
lionselection.com.au
ASX:LSX
8
Pani Exit Consideration [at least] US$52M
Pani sale completion Early 2023:
-
Sale of Merdeka stock
-
Receipt of deferred cash
==> picture [594 x 311] intentionally omitted <==
lionselection.com.au
ASX:LSX
9
PhosCo Limited
ASX : PHO (A$3.2M invested / A$5.5M market value ) Tunisia / Rock Phosphate
Chaketma Phosphate Project
Potential Tier-1, long life mine with downstream fertiliser production optionality
Sekarna Phosphate Project 100% PhosCo
-
Global JORC 2012 Resource: 146.4Mt @ 20.6% P O 4 2 5
-
Tier-1 resource companies active incountry including BP, Shell, Anglo Oil & Gas
==> picture [472 x 259] intentionally omitted <==
-
Large scale , outcropping phosphate target
-
Reported high grade rock chip samples grading between 19.7% and 27.8% P ₂ O ₅
-
Located 10km northeast of Chaketma
lionselection.com.au
10
ASX:LSX
Erdene Resource Devt Corp TSX : ERD (A$2.9M invested / A$4.1M market value ) Mongolia / Gold
Shovel-ready gold project, expanding into a district
-
Dec 2015: Bayan Khundii high grade gold discovery (7m at 27.5g/t gold)[5]
-
Sep 2018: Bayan Khundii Maiden Resource
-
Jul 2020: Bayan Khundii BFS
-
Jan 2021: Dark Horse high grade gold discovery (45m at 6g/t gold)[6]
-
Aug 2021: Ulaan gold discovery (258m at 0.98g/t gold)[7]
==> picture [467 x 330] intentionally omitted <==
lionselection.com.au
11
ASX:LSX
Plutonic Limited
UNLISTED (A$1.0M invested / A$1.0M market value ) Australia / Gold
==> picture [384 x 324] intentionally omitted <==
Source: Plutonic Limited[8]
==> picture [126 x 166] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [106 x 173] intentionally omitted <==
-
Association with G3 structural corridor: Hosts multiple large deposits (e.g. Tanami)
-
Reactivated as a rift zone at same time as formation of Victorian Gold fields
-
Rift-zones at right angles to orogenic belts are commonly particularly well-mineralised
==> picture [42 x 32] intentionally omitted <==
-
Epizonal quartz - strong colloform, infill and crustiform textures. Very strong ex-sulphides bands and pits throughout.
-
Anomalous gold (0.59 and 0.33 g/t Au fire assays from Plutonic collected rock chips).
lionselection.com.au
12
ASX:LSX
Portfolio
Industry project maturity profile – typically a pyramid
==> picture [914 x 384] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
• Merdeka To be sold
: early 2023
In compliance with the Pani sale agreement
Development
/ Operations
• Erdene Legacy investments
• PhosCo • Very well understood
• Kasbah
Feasibility studies • Lion intends to be opportunistic,
without committing significant
extra capital
Resource definition • Great Boulder
Invested 2020 - 2022
• Kin Gin
• Plutonic
Early stage: first drilling
----- End of picture text -----
lionselection.com.au
13
ASX:LSX
Investment Approach Investment proportionally targeted
==> picture [810 x 387] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Development / Operations
• Erdene Cautious investor whilst market
weakens
Balance sheet provides huge
• PhosCo
• Kasbah optionality
Target portfolio:
•
Diverse commodity mix (precious
Feasibility studies
/ base / strategic)
•
Australia focus
•
Targeted to project stages with
greatest value growth potential
• Great Boulder
•
Driven by deep conviction value
Resource definition To be built up during
•• Kin GinPlutonic weak market
Early stage: first drilling Value
De-risking
----- End of picture text -----
-
Diverse commodity mix (precious / base / strategic)
-
• Australia focus
-
Targeted to project stages with greatest value growth potential
-
• Driven by deep conviction value
lionselection.com.au
14
ASX:LSX
Investment Approach
“Periods of extreme volatility have historically provided some of the most lucrative investment opportunities in companies that depend on market funding”
==> picture [42 x 32] intentionally omitted <==
lionselection.com.au 15
==> picture [311 x 233] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [158 x 199] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [172 x 199] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [92 x 90] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [172 x 200] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [379 x 150] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [150 x 199] intentionally omitted <==
lionselection.com.au 16
Equity market – sensitive to inflation / rates outlook and volatile
Junior resources companies are the biggest victims of liquidity collapse
==> picture [98 x 181] intentionally omitted <==
lionselection.com.au
17
ASX:LSX
Equities, Rates and Inflation
US Recessions
==> picture [676 x 324] intentionally omitted <==
S&P500 US Equity index
Rates US Fed Funds Rate Inflation US CPI 12mo %
Source: IRESS data, US Federal Reserve
lionselection.com.au
18
ASX:LSX
Liquidity – ASX Resources IPOs
Cycle Peak Years
Number of Resources IPOs per year
Source: ASX Announcements, Lion Manager
Liquidity has dropped…
==> picture [172 x 200] intentionally omitted <==
lionselection.com.au
19
ASX:LSX
Liquidity – Exploration Expenditure (Australia)
==> picture [580 x 309] intentionally omitted <==
A$ Millions Per Quarter Meters Drilled
…Activity not yet impacted
==> picture [42 x 32] intentionally omitted <==
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics
lionselection.com.au
ASX:LSX
20
Liquidity – 2023 test
“It is easier for a camel to pass through the eye of a needle, than for a cum-issue explorer to enter the kingdom of fund raising in February”
lionselection.com.au
21
ASX:LSX
19 April 2022 - Present Resources Equities: Volatility & Weakness
% of co’s in group with negative performance
==> picture [926 x 366] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
68% ASX100 Resources
78% ASX Small Resources
79% A$50-100M Market Cap
No Index:
Mineral
Greater prevalence of negative performance in Resources
companies
smaller market capitalisation companies grouped by
market cap
86% A$0-50M Market Cap
----- End of picture text -----
Source: IRESS data
lionselection.com.au
ASX:LSX
22
The Lion Clock
Conclusions
Just past 12.
==> picture [528 x 360] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
2021
2020
2019
2017
2016
----- End of picture text -----
This is the time when junior resources stocks are most at risk – funding challenges lead to equity price weakness
==> picture [426 x 315] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Equities 2023
Tech led weakness Many junior
Miners resilient resources
1 Junior miners – 2 companies need to
liquidity removed raise funds
Mining
Liquidity
Strong outlook
NOW is a great time
3 to hold CASH 4 beyond the horizon
of inflation
----- End of picture text -----
lionselection.com.au
ASX:LSX
23
Lion Selection Group (Lion) is an ASX listed mining investor (ASX:LSX), with a strong balance sheet and ability to invest in a weakening junior resources market.
Lion currently has exposures to gold, copper, nickel and phosphate, but the main asset is cash. Lion provides a simple way to invest in high growth mineral companies, with a track record of value creation and dividends.
==> picture [390 x 274] intentionally omitted <==
Level 2/175 Flinders Lane Melbourne VIC 3000
T +61 3 9614 8008
APPENDICES
==> picture [172 x 200] intentionally omitted <==
lionselection.com.au
ASX:LSX
25
Well Funded Strong cash position following large asset divestment Proven Approach 25 years experience / strong deal flow / exceptional people networks
Target Investments Pre-production mining: companies and projects Country & Commodity Australia / Precious Metals / Base Metals / Strategic Materials Live Distributions Dividends re-commenced / On-market buy-back Sustainability Follows World Bank’s sustainability policies for exploration and mining
==> picture [130 x 200] intentionally omitted <==
lionselection.com.au
26
Lion Investing Focus
Australia Focus
for new investments
- ✓ Global mining investment destination of choice
==> picture [86 x 81] intentionally omitted <==
-
✓ Efficient and accessible
-
✓ Geologically rich and diverse
Lion is well funded: by February 2023 will have Net Tangible Assets comprising predominantly cash – Very strongly positioned to invest in a weakening market
Commodity Diversity
Precious, Base and Strategic materials
Precious Metals
==> picture [133 x 37] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Au Ag PGE
----- End of picture text -----
- ✓ Low to moderate processing risks
Base Metals & Strategic Materials
- ✓ No ex-site infrastructure capital requirements
==> picture [133 x 141] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Cu Ni Li
Zn Co Pb
Mn Sn P
----- End of picture text -----
-
✓ Future facing / excellent ESG credentials
-
✓ Outright best demand growth projections
==> picture [42 x 32] intentionally omitted <==
lionselection.com.au
ASX:LSX
27
==> picture [960 x 239] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Board & Management
Strong Foundation
MANAGEMENT TEAM
BOARD
----- End of picture text -----
Barry Sullivan
Peter Maloney
Chairman
Chairman Non-Executive Director Barry is a mining Peter has commercial engineer with over 40 background developed years experience. Barry through various roles has held numerous at WMC Resources, Non-Executive Santos and FH Directorships and was Faulding. Peter was previously Chairmanof Chairman at Catalpa EganStreet Resources. Resources when it merged into Evolution Mining Limited.
Chris Melloy
Non-Executive Director Chris is a mining engineer with 40+ years experience in mining operations, securities analysis and investment. He has worked with Lion since inception, and held directorships of several Lion investee companies.
Robin Widdup
Managing Director
Robin’s mining experience spans Africa, UK and Australia. Robin led the mining analyst team at JB Were and was the founder of Lion Selection Group.
Craig Smyth
Executive Director
15 years mining investment experience. Craig is a member of the Institute of Chartered Accountants of Australia with experience working for Coopers & Lybrand, Credit Suisse First Boston (London) and ANZ Investment Bank.
Hedley Widdup
Executive Director
13 years mining investment experience. Hedley has extensive experience as a mine geologist covering the Mt Keith nickel mine, Olympic Dam, Mt Isa and the St Ives gold mine.
lionselection.com.au
ASX:LSX
28
Experience: Funding / Strategic Development / M&A
==> picture [348 x 540] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
History
Long-term investments
Active Exit Management
Profitable Outcomes
ASX:LSX
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [155 x 104] intentionally omitted <==
Pani JV Interest
-
Gold / Indonesia
-
• $21m invested
-
• $74m exit[3]
==> picture [607 x 347] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
$5.9m invested C$16.8m invested
$9.5m exit C$25.4m exit
$33.8m invested $23.4m invested $9.8m invested $31.7m invested
$88m exit $113.5m exit $99.9m exit $90.3m exit
MPI
Mines
Limited
Foundation assets: $9.4m invested $11.8m invested $6.1m invested
Evolution Mining $43.2m exit $42.5m exit $48.3m exit
lionselection.com.au 29
----- End of picture text -----
lionselection.com.au 29
==> picture [353 x 540] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Footnotes
ASX:LSX
----- End of picture text -----
-
Lion Selection Group ASX announcement dated 6 December 2022, Net Tangible Asset Backing
-
Lion Selection Group ASX announcement dated 13 August 2021, Net Tangible Asset Backing
-
Lion Selection Group ASX announcement dated 31 January 2022, Sale of Pani JV interest for A$74M plus upside
-
PhosCo Limited ASX announcement dated 22 November 2022, Australian Potash & Phosphate Conference Presentation
-
Erdene Resource Devt Corp press release dated 9 December 2015, Erdene Intersects Multiple High-Grade Gold-Bearing Structures at Bayan Khundii
-
Erdene Resource Devt Corp press release dated 6 January 2021, Erdene Announces New Gold Discovery 3.5km North of the Bayan Khundii Gold Deposit
==> picture [42 x 32] intentionally omitted <==
- Erdene Resource Devt Corp press release dated 11 August 2021, Erdene Reports New Discovery at Ulaan – Intersects 3.77g/t Gold over 40m within 258m of 0.98g/t gold
==> picture [92 x 116] intentionally omitted <==
- https://www.plutoniclimited.com/
lionselection.com.au
30