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Leroy Seafood Group — Investor Presentation 2016
May 12, 2016
3653_rns_2016-05-12_4f8e51ae-96b0-478a-b3e3-ad68eb823ed6.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Lerøy Seafood Group ASA
Q1 2016 May 12th Oslo
CEO|Henning Beltestad CFO| Sjur S. Malm
Agenda
- Highlights
- Key financial figures
Outlook
Q1 2016
- EBIT before FV adj. NOK 584.5 million
- EBIT/kg all inclusive NOK 15.3
- Harvest volume 38 163 GWT
- Contract share of 32%
- NIBD NOK 2,092 million at end Q1 2016
- Harvest guidance 170 000 GWT for 2016
Q1: Farming highlights
- Spot prices above last year
- NOS Q1/16 NOK 58.1 vs NOK 40.4 in Q1/15 (+44%)
- Up NOK 13.1/kg q-o-q, and up NOK 17.7/kg y-o-y
- Trout prices well below salmon prices
- Contract prices well below spot prices
- Cost in increase from Q4/15
- Salmon: Cost unchanged q-o-q
- Trout: Cost increase q-o-q
- Trout operations less profitable than salmon
- EBIT/kg all incl. Q1/16:
- Salmon: NOK 18.1/kg
- Trout: NOK 5.3/kg
- Biomass at sea
- End Q1/16 at 96,097 tons vs 99,535 tons end Q1/15 (-3%)
Q1: VAP and S&D highlights
- Value added processing (VAP)
- Revenue NOK 498m, up 17% y-o-y
- Challenging quarter with significant increase in raw material prices
- EBIT NOK 13m (2.7%) in Q1/16 vs. NOK 18m (4.3%) in Q1/15
• Sales & Distribution
- Revenue NOK 3 815m, up 18%
- High raw material price a challenge for parts of the operation
- EBIT NOK 57m (1.6%) in Q1/16 vs. NOK 63m (2.0%) in Q1/15
Quarterly historic figures
*before biomass adjustment
Lerøy Seafood Group ASA
Farming
- Lerøy Aurora (salmon)
- Lerøy Midt (salmon)
- Lerøy Sjøtroll (salmon and trout)
- Geographic diversification along Norway's long coastline.
Lerøy Sjøtroll
VAP
- Rode Beheer BV Group
- Capacity of about 16-20,000 tons raw material
- Lerøy Smøgen Seafood AB
- Capacity of about 12,000 tons raw material
- Lerøy Fossen AS
- Capacity of about 12-15,000 tons raw material
- Bulandet Fiskeindustri AS(white fish)
- Total VAP capacity in these factories 40-50,000 tons raw material
Sales & Distribution
- Global reach and sales to more than 70 countries.
- A significant industrial activity within trading, processing, sales and distribution of fish.
- Investments in fish cuts in end markets recent years
- Processing and fresh distribution facilities:
- Norway
- Sweden
- Finland
- France
- Spain
- Portugal
- Turkey
- Netherlands (reported in VAP)
- Denmark (reported as associate)
Sales per market and product Q1 2016
Farming: Guiding
| Licences Smolt cap. |
2011 GWT |
2012 GWT |
2013 GWT |
2014 GWT |
2015 GWT |
2016E GWT |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lerøy Aurora AS* | 26 | 11,5 | 18 100 | 20 000 | 24 200 | 26 800 | 29 200 | 34 000 |
| Lerøy Midt AS |
57 | 22,0 | 62 300 |
61 900 | 58 900 | 68 300 | 71 400 | 65 000 |
| Lerøy Sjøtroll | 63 | 22,6 | 56 200 | 71 600 | 61 700 | 63 200 | 57 100 | 71 000 |
| Total Norway | 146 | 56,1 | 136 600 | 153 400 | 144 800 |
158 300 | 157 700 | 170 000 |
| Share of annual volume YTD/per Q1 |
20% | 24% | 23% | 21% | 22% | 22% | ||
| Villa Organic AS** | 6 000 | |||||||
| Norskott Havbruk (UK)*** |
10 900 | 13 600 | 13 400 | 13 800 | 13 500 | 13 000 | ||
| Total | 147 500 | 167 100 | 158 200 | 178 100 | 171 200 | 183 000 |
*) Included harvested volume from Villa Organic after split July 2014
**) LSG's share of Villa Organic's volume in H1 2014, not consolidated
***) LSG's share, not consolidated
Agenda
Key financial figures
| Q1 2016 | Q1 2015 | ▲% |
|---|---|---|
| 3 815 | 3 268 | 17 % |
| 0 | 10 | |
| 697 | 501 | 39 % |
| 113 | 97 | |
| 584 | 404 | 45 % |
| 41 | 21 | |
| -34 | -35 | |
| 592 | 390 | 52 % |
| 7,89 | 5,19 | 52 % |
| 38 163 | 35 023 | 9 % |
| 15,3 | 11,5 | -17 % |
| 23,7 % | 17,9 % | 33 % |
* Before biomass adjustment
Balance sheet
| (NOKm) | 31.03.2016 | 31.12.2015 | ▲% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 4 388 | 4 391 | 0 % |
| Tangible fixed assets | 2 900 | 2 900 | 0 % |
| Financial non-current assets | 713 | 695 | 2 % |
| Total non-current assets | 8 001 | 7 987 | 0 % |
| Biological assets at cost | 3 222 | 3 350 | -4 % |
| Fair value adjustment | 1 145 | 971 | 18 % |
| Other inventory | 516 | 552 | -7 % |
| Receivables | 1 901 | 1 877 | 1 % |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 1 470 | 1 248 | 18 % |
| Total current assets | 8 254 | 7 997 | 3 % |
| Total assets | 16 255 | 15 984 | 2 % |
| Equity | 9 292 | 8 764 | 6 % |
| Equity ratio | 57,2 % | 54,8 % | 4 % |
| NIBD | 2 092 | 2 595 | -19 % |
Funding
| NOK million | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | Later | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| To be paid | 639 | 346 | 329 | 458 | 309 | 1 080 | 3 162 |
| Total | 704 | 346 | 329 | 458 | 309 | 1 080 | 3 226 |
| Covenants | Q1 2016 | |
|---|---|---|
| NIBD/EBITDA | <5 | 1.04 |
| Adj. Equity ratio | >30% | 64.9% |
Cash flow
| Amounts in NOK millions | Q1 2016 | Q1 2015 | % change |
|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 697 | 501 | 39 % |
| Paid tax | -175 | -138 | |
| Working capital * | 137 | -76 | |
| Other ** | -8 | -17 | |
| Cash from operating activities | 652 | 270 | 141 % |
| Net investments in capex and licences | -121 | -130 | |
| Acquisitions, divestments and other | 0 | -123 | |
| Cash from investing activities | -120 | -253 | -52 % |
| Net financial cost | -33 | -32 | |
| Dividends | 0 | 0 | |
| Cash from financing activities * | -33 | -32 | 3 % |
| Other changes (incl.currency effects) | 4 | -1 | |
| Net cash flow / change in NIBD | 502 | -16 | |
| NIBD at beginning | 2 595 | 1 876 | |
| Change in NIBD | -502 | 16 | |
| NIBD at end | 2 092 | 1 892 | 11 % |
*Before change in interest- bearing debt 17
** Items included in EBITDA with no cash effect and items included in cashflow from financing activities
EBIT per segment
* Before biomass adjustment
Lerøy Aurora
| Q1 2016 | Q1 2015 | 2015 | 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (NOKm) | 433 | 323 | 1 409 | 1 190 |
| EBIT* (NOKm) | 169 | 110 | 450 | 370 |
| Harvested volume (GWT) |
7 723 | 7 359 | 29 204 | 26 770 |
| EBIT/kg* (NOK) | 21.9 | 14.9 | 15.4 | 13.8 |
- Increased contract share
- As previously communicated RFS (release-fromstock) cost increased q-o-q, and will continue to increase in coming quarters due to higher feed cost
- Further volume growth expected into 2017
EBIT*/kg
Lerøy Midt
| Q1 2016 | Q1 2015 | 2015 | 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (NOKm) | 707 | 652 | 2 863 | 2 682 |
| EBIT* (NOKm) | 198 | 170 | 466 | 666 |
| Harvested volume (GWT) |
13 535 | 15 454 | 71 442 | 68 284 |
| EBIT/kg* (NOK) | 14.6 | 11.0 | 6.5 | 9.8 |
- Challenges in H2 2015 has significantly impacted the cost level of the autumn 2014 generation which is still being harvested.
- Despite higher feed cost, RFS cost is expected to fall with the harvest of the 2015 generations
20 * Before biomass adjustment
Lerøy Sjøtroll
| Q1 2016 | Q1 2015 | 2015 | 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (NOKm) | 976 | 580 | 2 587 | 2 718 |
| EBIT* (NOKm) | 154 | 42 | 71 | 343 |
| Harvested volume (GWT) |
16 905 | 12 210 | 57 051 | 63 204 |
| EBIT/kg* (NOK) | 9.1 | 3.5 | 1,2 | 5,4 |
- 49% of quarterly harvest volume was trout, which continue to be priced at a significant discount to salmon
- Positive development in production. RFS cost decline q-o-q
- Development over the summer will be decisive, but significant cost reductions are expected going into H2 2016
Norskott Havbruk (associate)
| Q1 2016 | Q1 2015 | 2015 | 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (NOKm) | 422 | 325 | 1 498 | 1 385 |
| EBIT* (NOKm) | 81 | 43 | 122 | 232 |
| Harvested volume (GWT) |
6 981 | 5 589 | 27 032 | 27 508 |
| EBIT/kg* (NOK) | 11.6 | 7.7 | 4.5 | 8.4 |
- Contract share in quarter of 51%, with negative impact on price realisation
- Cost decrease y-o-y
- Volume guidance for 2016 at 26,000 GWT
EBIT*/kg
22 * Before biomass adjustment
*before biomass adj
VAP – Value Added Processing
| Q1 2016 | Q1 2015 | 2015 | 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (NOKm) | 498 | 425 | 1 921 |
1 610 |
| EBIT (NOKm) |
13 | 18 | 106 | 95 |
| EBIT margin |
2.7 % | 4.3 % | 5.5 % | 5.9 % |
- High focus on adjusting sales prices to reflect raw material prices, which appear to be high for foreseeable future
- High raw material prices have negative impact on profitability this quarter
Revenue and EBIT margin
Sales & Distribution
| Q1 2016 | Q1 2015 | 2015 | 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (NOKm) | 3 617 |
3 076 |
12 559 | 11 964 |
| EBIT (NOKm) |
57 | 63 | 287 | 241 |
| EBIT margin |
1.6 % | 2.0 % | 2.3 % | 2.0 % |
• Underlying positive development in many operations, but it takes time to adjust product prices to reflect raw material price
Agenda
Key financial figures
Outlook
Atlantic salmon – Supply in tons WFE
| Change | Change | Change | Change | Change | Change | Change | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 10-11 | 2012 | 11-12 | 2013 | 12-13 | 2014 | 13-14 | 2015 | 14-15 | 2016 | 15-16 | 2017 | 16-17 | |
| Norway | 1 005 600 |
6 % 5 , |
1 183 100 |
17 % 7 , |
1 143 600 |
-3 3 % , |
1 199 000 |
4 8 % , |
1 234 200 |
2 9 % , |
1 197 700 |
-3 0 % , |
1 251 300 |
4 % 5 , |
| United Kingdom |
154 700 |
8 3 % , |
159 400 |
3 0 % , |
157 800 |
-1 0 % , |
170 500 |
8 0 % , |
166 300 |
-2 5 % , |
170 600 |
2 6 % , |
174 000 |
2 0 % , |
| Faroe Islands |
56 300 |
34 7 % , |
70 300 |
24 9 % , |
72 600 |
3 3 % , |
82 700 |
13 9 % , |
76 900 |
-7 0 % , |
80 700 |
4 9 % , |
89 900 |
11 4 % , |
| Ireland | 16 000 |
-10 1 % , |
15 600 |
-2 % 5 , |
10 600 |
-32 1 % , |
12 300 |
16 0 % , |
15 700 |
27 6 % , |
16 500 |
1 % 5 , |
17 000 |
3 0 % , |
| Iceland | 1 000 |
0 0 % , |
2 900 |
190 0 % , |
3 100 |
6 9 % , |
4 000 |
29 0 % , |
5 200 |
30 0 % , |
6 500 |
25 0 % , |
10 500 |
61 5 % , |
| Total Europe |
1 233 600 |
7 4 % , |
1 431 300 |
16 0 % , |
1 387 700 |
-3 0 % , |
1 468 500 |
5 8 % , |
1 498 300 |
2 0 % , |
1 472 000 |
-1 8 % , |
1 542 700 |
4 8 % , |
| Chile | 221 000 |
70 5 % , |
364 000 |
64 7 % , |
468 100 |
28 6 % , |
582 900 |
24 5 % , |
590 900 |
1 4 % , |
466 500 |
-21 1 % , |
432 000 |
-7 4 % , |
| Canada | 119 500 |
-2 0 % , |
136 500 |
14 2 % , |
115 100 |
-15 % 7 , |
95 000 |
-17 % 5 , |
135 200 |
42 3 % , |
137 200 |
1 % 5 , |
141 000 |
2 8 % , |
| USA | 18 300 |
1 7 % , |
19 600 |
7 1 % , |
20 300 |
3 6 % , |
24 000 |
18 2 % , |
20 200 |
-15 8 % , |
20 300 |
0 5 % , |
22 000 |
8 4 % , |
| Australia | 36 000 |
9 1 % , |
40 000 |
11 1 % , |
39 000 |
-2 5 % , |
39 000 |
0 0 % , |
45 500 |
16 7 % , |
46 000 |
1 1 % , |
47 000 |
2 2 % , |
| Others | 000 5 |
11 1 % , |
8 100 |
62 0 % , |
11 200 |
38 3 % , |
15 200 |
35 % 7 , |
14 900 |
-2 0 % , |
12 900 |
-13 4 % , |
15 500 |
20 2 % , |
| Total Others |
399 800 |
30 2 % , |
568 200 |
42 1 % , |
653 700 |
15 0 % , |
756 100 |
15 7 % , |
806 700 |
6 7 % , |
682 900 |
-15 3 % , |
657 500 |
-3 7 % , |
| Total World-wide |
1 633 400 |
12 2 % , |
1 999 500 |
22 4 % , |
2 041 400 |
2 1 % , |
2 224 600 |
9 0 % , |
2 305 000 |
3 6 % , |
2 154 900 |
-6 % 5 , |
2 200 200 |
2 1 % , |
SPOT prices, fresh Atlantic salmon cross-section, FCA Oslo as of week 17-2016 (Superior quality).
Q1 16 NOK 58,10 vs Q1 15 NOK 40,37 (+43,9 %) FY 2015 NOK 40,7 vs FY 2014 NOK 39,81 (+ 2,2 %)
NOS FCA Oslo 24,94 25,02 27,72 25,33 28,22 35,09 31,72 27,52 34,00 40,00 38,02 37,77 39,78 36,77 25,84 22,67 26,03 27,03 25,32 26,41 35,36 41,53 38,12 41,27 46,83 39,54 34,54 38,34 40,37 37,25 40,17 45,04 58,10 57,75
Source: Lerøy/Nasdax
Atlantic salmon - Harvest Quantities WW in tons WFE
Figures as per 03.05.2016 Source: Kontali
Atlantic salmon - Harvest Quantities Europe in tons WFE
Atlantic salmon - Harvest Quantities Norway in tons WFE
Atlantic salmon - Harvest Quantities Chile in tons WFE
Atlantic Salmon Consumption Q1 2016
Salmon
| Market | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | Growth | Growth % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E | 215 | 246 | 245 | 400 | 0 |
| U | 400 | 300 | 900 | - | % |
| Other | 137 | 156 | 158 | 2 | 2 |
| Markets | 700 | 000 | 500 | 500 | % |
| USA | 89 | 99 | 112 | 12 | 13 |
| 700 | 900 | 500 | 600 | % | |
| Russia | 32 | 20 | 22 | 2 | 12 |
| 300 | 400 | 800 | 400 | % | |
| Japan | 13 | 12 | 16 | 3 | 29 |
| 700 | 400 | 000 | 600 | % | |
| Total | 488 | 535 | 555 | 20 | 4 |
| Consumption | 800 | 000 | 700 | 700 | % |
2014 2015 2016 Growth %
Atlantic Salmon Consumption (Other markets) 2016 Q1
Figures as per 04.05.2016 Source: Kontali
Atlantic Salmon Consumption (Others in other markets) 2016 Q1
2013 2014 2015 2016 Chng %
EU consumption growth and price at boarder Norway
Outlook
- Market outlook supports strong prices
- Global supply decline of ~6.5% in 2016
- Harvest guidance 170.000 GWT for 2016
• Development over summer will be decisive, but scope for significant cost reductions in H2 2016
• Expected contract share Q2 ~30-35%
Historical figures
| 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | FY | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | FY | FY | FY | |
| Revenue | |||||||||||||
| Farming | 1 957,6 |
1 482,2 |
1 596,8 |
1 655,8 |
1 759,4 |
6 494,3 |
1 420,4 |
1 660,2 |
1 508,8 |
1 653,3 |
6 242,7 |
5 376,3 |
4 376,5 |
| VAP | 497,7 | 425,0 | 467,9 | 481,6 | 547,0 | 1 921,5 |
367,1 | 395,1 | 410,2 | 437,2 | 1 609,6 |
1 236,3 |
1 027,0 |
| S&D | 3 616,6 |
3 075,9 |
3 191,6 |
3 023,7 |
3 267,6 |
12 558,7 |
3 066,7 |
2 998,8 |
2 820,3 |
3 078,3 |
11 964,2 |
10 257,0 |
9 098,2 |
| LSG/Elim | -2 256,6 |
714,9 -1 |
932,7 -1 |
866,6 -1 |
-2 009,7 |
523,8 -7 |
674,5 -1 |
877,4 -1 |
-1 777,5 |
907,5 -1 |
236,9 -7 |
-6 105,0 |
398,8 -5 |
| Operating revenue |
3 815,3 |
3 268,3 |
3 323,5 |
3 294,6 |
3 564,3 |
13 450,7 |
3 179,7 |
3 176,6 |
2 961,8 |
3 261,4 |
12 579,5 |
10 764,7 |
9 102,9 |
| EBIT | |||||||||||||
| Lerøy Aurora |
169,4 | 109,9 | 68,2 | 91,1 | 180,9 | 450,1 | 98,3 | 77,4 | 48,5 | 146,3 | 370,5 | 359,0 | 83,1 |
| Midt Lerøy |
198,2 | 169,8 | 163,5 | 85,5 | 47,8 | 466,5 | 228,3 | 184,1 | 101,0 | 152,9 | 666,3 | 507,7 | 147,3 |
| Lerøy Sjøtroll |
154,0 | 42,2 | 34,7 | 1,5 | -7,3 | 71,1 | 179,1 | 159,2 | 4,8 | -0,2 | 342,9 | 460,3 | 7,7 |
| Farming | 521,6 | 321,8 | 266,3 | 178,1 | 221,4 | 987,7 | 505,7 | 420,7 | 154,3 | 299,0 | 1379,7 | 1327,0 | 238,1 |
| VAP | 13,4 | 18,2 | 18,0 | 31,1 | 39,1 | 106,3 | 15,1 | 21,1 | 27,8 | 31,3 | 95,3 | 71,6 | 49,7 |
| S&D | 57,3 | 63,0 | 67,2 | 60,3 | 96,7 | 287,1 | 38,7 | 64,1 | 56,0 | 82,2 | 241,1 | 204,1 | 192,5 |
| LSG/Elim | -7,9 | 1,0 | 18,5 | -16,3 | -4,4 | -1,2 | -9,2 | -5,6 | 64,7 | 22,7 | 72,6 | 23,0 | -30,2 |
| before biomass adj. EBIT |
584,5 | 403,9 | 370,1 | 253,2 | 352,8 | 1380,0 | 550,4 | 500,3 | 302,8 | 435,2 | 1788,7 | 1625,8 | 450,1 |
| Volume | |||||||||||||
| Lerøy Aurora |
7 723 |
7 359 |
5 977 |
5 497 |
10 371 |
29 204 |
5 109 |
5 006 |
6 131 |
10 524 |
26 770 |
24 188 |
19 954 |
| Midt Lerøy |
13 535 |
15 454 |
18 916 |
21 922 |
15 150 |
71 442 |
13 837 |
18 606 |
17 684 |
18 157 |
68 284 |
58 894 |
61 811 |
| Sjøtroll Lerøy |
16 905 |
12 210 |
15 402 |
13 263 |
16 176 |
57 051 |
14 390 |
17 332 |
17 684 |
13 798 |
63 204 |
61 702 |
71 637 |
| Total | 38 163 |
35 023 |
40 295 |
40 682 |
41 697 |
157 697 |
33 336 |
40 944 |
41 499 |
42 479 |
158 258 |
144 784 |
153 403 |
| EBIT/kg | |||||||||||||
| Lerøy Aurora |
21,9 | 14,9 | 11,4 | 16,6 | 17,4 | 15,4 | 19,2 | 15,5 | 7,9 | 13,9 | 13,8 | 14,8 | 4,2 |
| Midt Lerøy |
14,6 | 11,0 | 8,6 | 3,9 | 3,2 | 6,5 | 16,5 | 9,9 | 5,7 | 8,4 | 9,8 | 8,6 | 2,4 |
| Sjøtroll Lerøy |
9,1 | 3,5 | 2,3 | 0,1 | -0,5 | 1,2 | 12,4 | 9,2 | 0,3 | 0,0 | 5,4 | 7,5 | 0,1 |
| Farming | 13,7 | 9,2 | 6,6 | 4,4 | 5,3 | 6,3 | 15,2 | 10,3 | 3,7 | 7,0 | 8,7 | 9,2 | 1,6 |
| VAP | 0,4 | 0,5 | 0,4 | 0,8 | 0,9 | 0,7 | 0,5 | 0,5 | 0,7 | 0,7 | 0,6 | 0,5 | 0,3 |
| S&D | 1,5 | 1,8 | 1,7 | 1,5 | 2,3 | 1,8 | 1,2 | 1,6 | 1,3 | 1,9 | 1,5 | 1,4 | 1,3 |
| LSG/Elim | -0,2 | 0,0 | 0,5 | -0,4 | -0,1 | 0,0 38 |
-0,3 | -0,1 | 1,6 | 0,5 | 0,5 | 0,2 | -0,2 |
| Total | 15,3 | 11,5 | 9,2 | 6,2 | 8,5 | 8,8 | 16,5 | 12,2 | 7,3 | 10,2 | 11,3 | 11,2 | 2,9 |