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Leroy Seafood Group — Earnings Release 2021
Nov 11, 2021
3653_rns_2021-11-11_eafbb4aa-41be-45cb-a587-1865c590df94.pdf
Earnings Release
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Q3 2021
NOVEMBER 11TH 2021
IJ Our goal is to create the world's most efficient and sustainable value chain for seafood. The large, extensive investments we have made over a long period of time are now starting to yield results.
- 1. Highlights
- 2. Key Financial Figures
- 3. Outlook
Highlights
Lerøy Seafood Group ASA
- Strong demand development in for seafood and particular salmon. Revenue up 33% y-o-y, highest quarterly revenue in history.
- Record harvest volume, and positive development in Whitefish and VAPS&D segments lift EBIT pre FV adj. up 37% y-o-y and to NOK 579m (Q3/20: NOK 370m)
- EBIT/kg all incl. excl. WildCatch at NOK 9.6 (incl. 0.4/kg production tax) (Q3/20: NOK 9,2/kg)
- Some challenges in production late Q3 and start of Q4
- Expect harvest incl. associated around 204'' GWT for 2021
- NIBD at 3 514m (Q3/20: NOK 3 476m)
| Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 | YTD 2021 | YTD 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harvest volume salmon&trout (GWT) |
56 397 | 44 227 | 135 303 | 122 500 |
| Catch volume whitefish (tonnes) | 12 336 | 11 083 | 54 402 | 55 800 |
| Revenue (NOKm) | 6 325 | 4 773 | 16 554 | 14 790 |
| EBIT before FV adj. (NOKm) | 579 | 370 | 1 617 | 1 508 |
| ROCE before FV adj. | 11,7% | 8,3% | 11,1% | 10,8% |
Q3 2021 Farming highlights
- Record harvest volume in quarter, and last 12 months
- Spot prices above last year
- NSI Q3/21 NOK 54.7 vs NOK 47.4 in Q3/20 (+15%)
- Down NOK 8/kg q-o-q, and up NOK 7/kg y-o-y
- Contract share for salmon 23%, price realisation on contracts higher than realised prices for spot (Q3/20: 31%)
- Challenges on some sites in Lerøy Aurora and Lerøy Sjøtroll brings changes to plan harvest profile with lower average harvest weights impacting price realisation and cost.
- EBIT/kg in farming in Q3/21 of NOK 7.6 compared to NOK 7.0 in Q3/20
Farming volumes
| 2016 GWT |
2017 GWT |
2018 GWT |
2019 GWT |
2020 GWT |
2021E GWT |
2022E GWT |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lerøy Aurora AS | 30 000 | 39 200 | 36 800 | 32 800 | 35 000 | ~44 000 | ~43 000 |
| Lerøy Midt AS |
52 200 | 64 500 | 66 500 | 64 800 | 67 900 | ~72 000 | ~71 000 |
| Lerøy Sjøtroll | 68 000 | 54 000 | 58 800 | 60 600 | 68 000 | ~71 000 | ~76 000 |
| Total Norway | 150 200 | 157 800 |
162 000 | 158 200 | 170 900 | ~187 000 | ~190 000 |
| Norskott Havbruk (UK)* |
14 000 | 15 500 | 13 700 | 12 900 | 12 000 | ~16 500 | ~16 500 |
| Total | 164 200 | 173 300 | 175 800 | 171 100 | 182 900 | ~203 500 | ~206 500 |
*) LSG's share, not consolidated
Q3 2021 Wildcatch highlights
- Increase in demand following less restrictions related to Covid-19. Cod prices down 3% y-o-y, Haddock up 59% and Saithe up 35%
- Q3 is seasonal low. Positive quota situation, and well set for healthy profitability in Q4/21
- Significant improvements for the land based industry. Better availability of raw material and improved operations
- EBIT Q3/21 of NOK 17m compared to NOK -50 m in Q3/20
Catch volumes Havfisk/Wild Catch
| Catch volume Q3/21 |
Catch volume Q3/20 |
YTD 21 | YTD 20 | Remaining quota 2021 |
Remaining quota 2020 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cod | 3 387 | 1 743 | 17 740 | 16 572 | 10 853 | 7 118 |
| Saithe | 2 494 | 2 638 | 9 870 | 12 458 | 9 688 | 5 350 |
| Haddock | 902 | 164 | 9 335 | 6 408 | 6146 | 8 395 |
| Shrimps | 4 259 | 4 218 | 9 433 | 6 333 | ||
| Other | 1 294 | 2 319 | 8 024 | 14 028 | ||
| Total | 12 336 | 11 083 | 54 402 | 55 800 | 26 687 | 18 408 |
Q3 2021 VAPS&D highlights
- Demand for seafood is strong, despite some continued impact of restriction related to Covid-19. Record activity level in the quarter.
- Start-up cost related to several operations, but positive underlying trend continues
- EBIT in Q3/21 of NOK 166m compared to NOK 131m in Q3/20
Key financial figures
Key financial figures – Q3 2021
| (NOKm) | Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 | ▲% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 6 325 | 4 773 | 33 % |
| Other gains and losses | 6 | 4 | |
| EBITDA | 895 | 656 | 37 % |
| Depreciation & amortisation | 316 | 285 | |
| EBIT* | 579 | 370 | 56 % |
| Income from associates* | 38 | 51 | |
| Net finance | -42 | -62 | |
| Pre-tax profit* | 575 | 359 | 60 % |
| EPS (NOK)* | 0,74 | 0,51 | 45 % |
| Salmon and trout harvest volume (GWT) |
56 397 | 44 227 | 28 % |
| EBIT* all incl. excl. Wildcatch/kg | 9,6 | 9,2 | |
| Whitefish catch volume (tonnes) |
12 336 | 11 083 | 11 % |
| EBIT/kg Wildcatch | 3,1 | -3,2 | |
| ROCE* (%) | 11,7 % | 8,3 % | |
| * Before biomass adjustment |
Key financial figures – YTD 2021
| (NOKm) | YTD 2021 | YTD 2020 | ▲% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 16 554 | 14 790 | 12 % |
| Other gains and losses | 53 | 5 | |
| EBITDA | 2 554 | 2 359 | 8 % |
| Depreciation & amortisation | 937 | 851 | |
| EBIT* | 1 617 | 1 508 | 7 % |
| Income from associates* | 128 | 107 | |
| Net finance | -135 | -218 | |
| Pre-tax profit* | 1 610 | 1 397 | 15 % |
| EPS (NOK)* | 2,06 | 1,84 | 12 % |
| Salmon and trout harvest volume (GWT) |
135 303 | 122 500 | 10 % |
| EBIT* all incl. excl. Wildcatch/kg | 10,1 | 10,5 | |
| Whitefish catch volume (tonnes) |
54 402 | 55 800 | -3 % |
| EBIT/kg Wildcatch | 4,7 | 3,9 | |
| ROCE* (%) | 11,1 % | 10,8 % | |
| * Before biomass adjustment |
Balance sheet
| (NOKm) | 30.09.2021 | 30.09.2020 | ▲% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets |
8 594 | 8 338 | |
| Right-of-use-assets | 2 709 | 2 268 | |
| Tangible fixed assets |
7 234 | 6 747 | |
| Financial non-current assets |
1 149 | 1 120 | |
| Total non-current assets |
19 685 | 18 474 | 7 % |
| Biological assets at cost |
4 447 | 4 470 | |
| Fair value adjustment of biomass | 1 177 | 1 006 | |
| Other inventory |
1 175 | 1 224 | |
| Account receivables |
2 202 | 1 857 | |
| Other receivables |
584 | 470 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 3 992 | 2 695 | |
| Total current assets |
13 577 | 11 723 | 16 % |
| Total assets | 33 262 | 30 196 | 10 % |
| Equity | 18 507 | 17 853 | 4 % |
| Equity ratio | 55,6 % | 59,1 % | |
| NIBD | 3 514 | 3 476 | 1 % |
| YTD avg. capital employed ex. FV adj. | 21 011 | 20 002 |
Change in NIBD
| Change in NIBD | Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 | YTD 2021 | YTD 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA before fair value adjustment on biological assets | 895 | 656 | 2 554 | 2 359 |
| Paid tax | -2 | -180 | -226 | -441 |
| Change in working capital | 214 | 68 | 516 | -95 |
| Other (Net gain from sales of NCA) | -6 | -4 | -54 | -5 |
| NIBD impact from operating activities | 1 101 | 540 | 2 789 | 1 818 |
| New intangibles, fixed assets and right of use assets (from credit institutions), net a) |
-315 | -379 | -861 | -1 330 |
| Dividends and interests received | 2 | 2 | 15 | 35 |
| Business combinations, net change (-) | -6 | 0 | -397 | 0 |
| Other changes in non-current assets | -12 | -5 | -1 | -18 |
| NIBD impact from investing activities b) |
-331 | -382 | -1 244 | -1 313 |
| Dividends distributed | 0 | 0 | -1 201 | -924 |
| Installments paid on lease liabilities with other than credit institutions c) |
-55 | -56 | -198 | -161 |
| New equity | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Interests and other financial expenses | -49 | -59 | -154 | -212 |
| NIBD impact from financing activities | -104 | -114 | -1 553 | -1 298 |
| NIBD impact from other changes (incl.currency effects) d) |
1 | -4 | 14 | -42 |
| Total change in NIBD | 667 | 40 | 6 | -835 |
| NIBD at beginning | 4 181 | 3 517 | 3 521 | 2 641 |
| Change in NIBD | -667 | -40 | -6 | 835 |
| NIBD at end e) |
3 514 | 3 476 | 3 514 | 3 476 |
EBIT per segment
EBIT* Q3 2021
EBIT* Q3 2020
Lerøy Aurora
| Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 | YTD 21 | YTD 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (NOKm) | 863 | 451 | 1 675 | 1 227 |
| EBIT* (NOKm) | 146 | 104 | 205 | 269 |
| Harvested volume (GWT) |
15 677 | 7 881 | 29 827 | 20 150 |
| EBIT/kg* (NOK) | 9.3 | 13.1 | 6.9 | 13.3 |
Improvement in cost, and significant increase in volume YTD
- Year to date harvest volume is up 48% y-o-y. Positive development in production, and substantial improvement in quality downgrades compared to H1/20
- Cost reduction q-o-q, but cost increase y-o-y. With higher volume, substantially lower contract share in Q3/21 vs Q3/20
- Prioritising to harvest some sites with lower harvest weights this quarter to prioritise best performing sites, giving lower average harvest weights and higher cost this quarter
- Adopted several improvement to reduce risk of winter wounds. Gradual improvement is expected. Expected harvest volume 2021 of 44 000 GWT and 2022 of 43 000 GWT
* Before biomass adjustment
Lerøy Midt
| Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 | YTD 21 | YTD 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (NOKm) | 1 251 | 1 147 | 3 032 | 2 989 |
| EBIT* (NOKm) | 207 | 247 | 547 | 736 |
| Harvested volume (GWT) |
22 922 | 22 044 | 54 364 | 52 336 |
| EBIT/kg* (NOK) | 9.0 | 11.2 | 10.1 | 14.1 |
EBIT*/kg
Smolt facility developing according to plan
- Growth developing according to plan
- Cost increase q-o-q and y-o-y
- Expansion of smolt facility at Belsvik according to plan, will be finalised end 2021/start 2022, with impact on smolt release from 2022 and harvest volume from 2023
- Expected harvest volume in 2021 of 72,000 GWT in 2021, expected harvest volume 71,000 GWT in 2022
* Before biomass adjustment
Lerøy Sjøtroll
| Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 | YTD 21 | YTD 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (NOKm) | 937 | 662 | 2 789 | 2 578 |
| EBIT* (NOKm) | 72 | -45 | 310 | 78 |
| Harvested volume (GWT) |
17 798 | 14 302 | 51 112 | 50 014 |
| EBIT/kg* (NOK) | 4.0 | -3.2 | 6.1 | 1.6 |
Significant improvement from recent years
- Clear improvement from Q3/20. Still following positive development recent year, late Q3 and start of Q4 gave some set-back with lower growth than expected
- Significant y-o-y improvement in profitability
- Expects harvest volume of 71,000 GWT in 2021, and harvest volume of 76,000 GWT in 2022
Wildcatch (Lerøy Havfisk/LNWS)
| Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 | YTD 21 | YTD 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (NOKm) | 522 | 453 | 2 075 | 2 054 |
| EBITDA (NOKm) | 68 | -3 | 418 | 357 |
| EBIT (NOKm) |
17 | -50 | 267 | 215 |
| Havfisk, catch volume |
Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 | YTD 21 | YTD 20 |
| Cod | 3 387 | 1 743 | 17 740 | 16 572 |
| Saithe | 2 494 | 2 638 | 9 870 | 12 458 |
| Haddock | 902 | 164 | 9 335 | 6 408 |
| Shrimps | 4 259 | 4 218 | 9 433 | 6 333 |
| Other | 1 294 | 2 319 | 8 024 | 14 028 |
| Total | 12 336 | 11 083 | 54 402 | 55 800 |
| Havfisk, prices | Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 | YTD 21 | FY 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cod | 29.0 | 30.0 | 28.8 | 34.9 |
| Haddock | 26.9 | 17.0 | 24.8 | 25.0 |
| Saithe | 17.9 | 13.2 | 16.2 | 14.7 |
Significant improvements for the land based industry
- Improvement in profitability in trawling fleet from higher catch value, through higher catches of cod and improvement in prices for most species
- Healthy quota situation for remainder of the year
- While still challenging, clear improvements seen for the land based industry
VAPS&D – VAP, Sales and Distribution
| Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 | YTD 21 | YTD 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (NOKm) | 6 100 | 4 600 | 15 850 | 13 995 |
| EBIT (NOKm) |
166 | 131 | 428 | 300 |
| EBIT margin |
2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
Revenue and EBIT margin (line graph)
Years of downstream investments starting to show potential
- Strong demand for seafood, and high volumes through Lerøy's value chain gives record activity
- Start up cost in connection with new factories in Spain and Italy, but positive development in many operations
- Long term trends for the seafood industry remains very positive, and with several new factories started in recent years significant potential in this segment in years to come
Norskott Havbruk (associate, 50% owned by Lerøy Seafood Group)
| Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 | YTD 21 | YTD 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (NOKm) | 773 | 543 | 1 963 | 1 271 |
| EBIT* (NOKm) | 80 | 101 | 273 | 233 |
| Harvested volume (GWT) |
10 126 | 8 133 | 27 447 | 17 579 |
| EBIT/kg* (NOK) | 7.9 | 12.5 | 9.9 | 13.2 |
EBIT*/kg
Likely transaction of acquisition in Q4/21
- Biological challenges in the quarter particularly with gill health have a negative impact on the results, including early harvest of some sites
- Harvest guidance for 2021 at 33,000 GWT, and 2022 at 33,000 GWT (excl. acquisition)
- 29th of June Scottish Seafarms (SSF), 100% owned by Norskott Havbruk, entered an agreement to acquire 100% of shared in Grieg Seafood Hjaltland (GSHU). Likely transaction in Q4/21.
** Figures based on 100% basis
Outlook
Atlantic Salmon - Supply in tons WFE
| Year | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Volume | Change | Volume | Change Volume | Change Volume | Change Volume | Change | Volume | Change Volume | Change | ||||
| Europe | 1429700 | $-4.4%$ | 493 900 | 4.5 % | 505 100 | 0.7% | 650 500 | 9.7% | 675 000 | 1.5% | 1 879 400 | 12.2% | 1953700 | 4.0 % |
| Norway | 100 1 1 7 1 |
$\frac{0}{0}$ $-5.1$ |
1 207 800 | 3.1% | 1 253 400 | 3.8 % | 333 400 | 6.4 % | 369 100 | 2.7%11 | 507 400 | 10.1 % | 578 300 | 4.7 % |
| United Kingdom | 157 400 | $-5.4%$ | 177 200 | 12.6 % | 152 100 | $-14.2%$ | 190 500 | 25.2 % | 178 300 | $-6.4%$ | 209 400 | 17.4 % | 205 400 | $-1.9%$ |
| Faroe Islands | 77 300 | 2.2% | 80 300 | 3.9% | 71 700 | $-10.7%$ | 86 600 | 20.8 % | 80 600 | $-6.9%$ | 102 400 | 27.0 % | 105 500 | 3.0% |
| Iceland | 8 100 | 125.0 % | 11 600 | 43.2 % | 13 600 | 17.2% | 24 500 | 80.1 % | 31 200 | 27.3 % | 44 500 | 42.6 % | 48 500 | 9.0% |
| Ireland | 15 800 | 0.6% | 17 000 | 7.6 % | 14 300 | $-15.9%$ | 15 500 | 8.4 % | 15 800 | 1.9% | 15 700 | $-0.6%$ | 16 000 | 1.9 % |
| Americas | 731 600 | $-11.1%$ | 799 100 | 9.2% | 897 700 | 12.3% | 927 700 | 3.3% | 1 036 890 | 11.8% | 942 100 | $-9.1%$ | 007 200 | 6.9 % |
| Chile | 504 400 | $-15.7%$ | 564 200 | 11.9 % | 660 100 | 17.0 % | 690 300 | 4.6 % | 778 400 | 12.8 % | 668 500 | $-14.1%$ | 725 700 | 8.6 % |
| Canada | 146 000 | 8.0% | 137 000 | $-6.2%$ | 146 000 | 6.6% | 137 500 | $-5.8%$ | 136 800 | $-0.5%$ | 139 100 | 1.7% | 134 500 | $-3.3%$ |
| Australia | 49 600 | $-7.5%$ | 63 100 | 27.2 % | 62 300 | $-1.3%$ | 60 900 | $-2.2%$ | 82 800 | 36.0 % | 87 200 | 5.3% | 90 100 | 3.3% |
| Others | 9 100 | $-41.7%$ | 13 100 | 44.0 % | 10 300 | $-21.4%$ | 18 200 | 76.7 % | 18 890 | 3.8% | 30 800 | 63.0 % | 42 400 | 37.7 % |
| USA | 22 500 | 11.4 % | 21 700 | $-3.6%$ | 19 000 | $-12.4%$ | 20 800 | 9.5% | 20 000 | $-3.8%$ | 16 500 | $-17.5%$ | 14 500 | $-12.1%$ |
| Total | 2 161 300 | $-6.8%$ | 2 293 000 | 6.1% | 2 402 800 | 4.8 % | 2 578 200 | 7.3% | 2 711 890 | 5.2 % 2 821 500 | 4.0 % 2 960 900 | 4.9 % |
Figures as per: 08.11.2021
Source: Kontali
Quarter 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
| Q 1 | 26 29 34 40 27 36 47 41 58 65 60 61 68 52 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | 26 36 41 38 28 42 40 38 64 67 68 62 58 63 | |||||||
| Q3 | 28 32 39 27 26 38 35 41 60 56 55 49 47 55 | |||||||
| Q4 | 26 28 38 23 27 42 39 44 66 49 55 56 43 56 | |||||||
| Total | 27 31 38 32 27 41 40 41 62 59 59 57 53 56 | |||||||
Spot Prices, Fresh Atlantic Salmon - Cross Section, FCA Oslo, Superior Quality as of week 42-2021
- Weekly Price NSI FCA Oslo - Quarterly Price NSI FCA Oslo 80 70 60 50 $40$ 30 20
| 200 k | ۱۱ ل | $\sim$ | 201. | 201 | 2011 ם נוי |
$\sim$ ∠∪∠เ |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tons YTD October: 1,228,700 Change from Last Year 11.2%
Atlantic Salmon - Harvest Volumes Norway in tons WFE
Source: Kontali
Tons YTD October: 2,331,900 Change from Last Year 5.8%
Atlantic Salmon - Harvest Volumes WW in tons WFE
Source: Kontali
$Q3$
NOK/KG (NSI 3-6) Q3 pr w37: 55.67 15.47% (48.21)
40%
Atlantic Salmon Consumption
Market Growth Growth % 2018 2019 2020 2021 EU 273 255 306 901 328 737 347 766 19,029 5.8 % Others 174 526 196 156 181 539 198 806 17,267 $9.5%$ USA 115 738 12.6 % 130 560 145 075 163 365 18,290 Russia 24 9 29 22 303 23 8 24 19 4 4 9 $-4,375$ $-18.4%$ 14 099 13797 18 645 16 862 $-1.783$ $-9.6%$ Japan Total 602 548 669 717 697 820 746 248 48,428 $6.9%$
$\bullet$ 2018 $\bullet$ 2019 $\bullet$ 2020 $\bullet$ 2021 $__$ Growth --- Zero-line
400 000
$Y$
Atlantic Salmon Consumption
| FD - September | Market | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | Growth | Growth % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU | 751870 | 822 121 | 843 851 | 927 630 | 83,779 | 9.9% | |
| Others | 511 499 | 555 041 | 529 988 | 579 891 | 49,903 | 9.4% | |
| USA | 361 069 | 386 373 | 413 147 | 485 511 | 72,364 | 17.5% | |
| Russia | 69 339 | 57 503 | 55 894 | 63 851 | 7,957 | 14.2 % | |
| Japan | 41 678 | 42 302 | 49 919 | 51 921 | 2,002 | 4.0 % | |
| Total | 1 735 455 1 863 340 1 892 799 | 2 108 804 216,005 | 11.4% |
$\,$ 2018 $\,$ 2019 $\,$ 2020 $\,$ 2021 $\,$ Growth --- Zero-line
Outlook 2021
- Strong demand
- General cost inflation will impact cost also for Lerøy's operation
- Farming
- Expected harvest volume 2021 incl. associates around 204,000 GWT
- Expected contract share in Q4/21 of approx. 25%
- Wild Catch
- Healthy quota situation at the end of the year
- VAPS&D
- Significant potential for further developments of downstream value chain
Outlook 2022
- Positive outlook for demand
- Length of current inflationary trends will impact cost development
- Farming
- Expected harvest volume 2022 incl. associates around 207,000GWT (ex. Acquisition UK)
- Wild Catch
- Scientific advice (quota not set, final decision Q4/21) for Norwegian quotas in 2022 at Cod -20%, Haddock-23%, Saithe North of 62 degrees unchanged, Saithe South of 62 degrees - 24%
- VAPS&D
- Significant potential for further developments of downstream value chain
First fish into expansion of Belsvik in January 2022. Growth in harvest volume in Lerøy Midt from 2023.
IJ Our goal is to create the world's most efficient and sustainable value chain for seafood. The large, extensive investments we have made over a long period of time are now starting to yield results.
CONTACT – Henning Beltestad, [email protected] CONTACT – Sjur Malm, [email protected]