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Leroy Seafood Group Earnings Release 2021

Nov 11, 2021

3653_rns_2021-11-11_eafbb4aa-41be-45cb-a587-1865c590df94.pdf

Earnings Release

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Q3 2021

NOVEMBER 11TH 2021

IJ Our goal is to create the world's most efficient and sustainable value chain for seafood. The large, extensive investments we have made over a long period of time are now starting to yield results.

  • 1. Highlights
  • 2. Key Financial Figures
  • 3. Outlook

Highlights

Lerøy Seafood Group ASA

  • Strong demand development in for seafood and particular salmon. Revenue up 33% y-o-y, highest quarterly revenue in history.
  • Record harvest volume, and positive development in Whitefish and VAPS&D segments lift EBIT pre FV adj. up 37% y-o-y and to NOK 579m (Q3/20: NOK 370m)
  • EBIT/kg all incl. excl. WildCatch at NOK 9.6 (incl. 0.4/kg production tax) (Q3/20: NOK 9,2/kg)
  • Some challenges in production late Q3 and start of Q4
  • Expect harvest incl. associated around 204'' GWT for 2021
  • NIBD at 3 514m (Q3/20: NOK 3 476m)
Q3 2021 Q3 2020 YTD 2021 YTD 2020
Harvest volume salmon&trout
(GWT)
56 397 44 227 135 303 122 500
Catch volume whitefish (tonnes) 12 336 11 083 54 402 55 800
Revenue (NOKm) 6 325 4 773 16 554 14 790
EBIT before FV adj. (NOKm) 579 370 1 617 1 508
ROCE before FV adj. 11,7% 8,3% 11,1% 10,8%

Q3 2021 Farming highlights

  • Record harvest volume in quarter, and last 12 months
  • Spot prices above last year
  • NSI Q3/21 NOK 54.7 vs NOK 47.4 in Q3/20 (+15%)
  • Down NOK 8/kg q-o-q, and up NOK 7/kg y-o-y
  • Contract share for salmon 23%, price realisation on contracts higher than realised prices for spot (Q3/20: 31%)
  • Challenges on some sites in Lerøy Aurora and Lerøy Sjøtroll brings changes to plan harvest profile with lower average harvest weights impacting price realisation and cost.
  • EBIT/kg in farming in Q3/21 of NOK 7.6 compared to NOK 7.0 in Q3/20

Farming volumes

2016
GWT
2017
GWT
2018
GWT
2019
GWT
2020
GWT
2021E
GWT
2022E
GWT
Lerøy Aurora AS 30 000 39 200 36 800 32 800 35 000 ~44 000 ~43 000
Lerøy Midt
AS
52 200 64 500 66 500 64 800 67 900 ~72 000 ~71 000
Lerøy Sjøtroll 68 000 54 000 58 800 60 600 68 000 ~71 000 ~76 000
Total Norway 150 200 157
800
162 000 158 200 170 900 ~187 000 ~190 000
Norskott
Havbruk
(UK)*
14 000 15 500 13 700 12 900 12 000 ~16 500 ~16 500
Total 164 200 173 300 175 800 171 100 182 900 ~203 500 ~206 500

*) LSG's share, not consolidated

Q3 2021 Wildcatch highlights

  • Increase in demand following less restrictions related to Covid-19. Cod prices down 3% y-o-y, Haddock up 59% and Saithe up 35%
  • Q3 is seasonal low. Positive quota situation, and well set for healthy profitability in Q4/21
  • Significant improvements for the land based industry. Better availability of raw material and improved operations
  • EBIT Q3/21 of NOK 17m compared to NOK -50 m in Q3/20

Catch volumes Havfisk/Wild Catch

Catch volume
Q3/21
Catch volume
Q3/20
YTD 21 YTD 20 Remaining quota
2021
Remaining
quota
2020
Cod 3 387 1 743 17 740 16 572 10 853 7 118
Saithe 2 494 2 638 9 870 12 458 9 688 5 350
Haddock 902 164 9 335 6 408 6146 8 395
Shrimps 4 259 4 218 9 433 6 333
Other 1 294 2 319 8 024 14 028
Total 12 336 11 083 54 402 55 800 26 687 18 408

Q3 2021 VAPS&D highlights

  • Demand for seafood is strong, despite some continued impact of restriction related to Covid-19. Record activity level in the quarter.
  • Start-up cost related to several operations, but positive underlying trend continues
  • EBIT in Q3/21 of NOK 166m compared to NOK 131m in Q3/20

Key financial figures

Key financial figures – Q3 2021

(NOKm) Q3 2021 Q3 2020 ▲%
Revenue 6 325 4 773 33 %
Other gains and losses 6 4
EBITDA 895 656 37 %
Depreciation & amortisation 316 285
EBIT* 579 370 56 %
Income from associates* 38 51
Net finance -42 -62
Pre-tax profit* 575 359 60 %
EPS (NOK)* 0,74 0,51 45 %
Salmon and trout
harvest
volume
(GWT)
56 397 44 227 28 %
EBIT* all incl. excl. Wildcatch/kg 9,6 9,2
Whitefish
catch
volume
(tonnes)
12 336 11 083 11 %
EBIT/kg Wildcatch 3,1 -3,2
ROCE* (%) 11,7 % 8,3 %
* Before biomass adjustment

Key financial figures – YTD 2021

(NOKm) YTD 2021 YTD 2020 ▲%
Revenue 16 554 14 790 12 %
Other gains and losses 53 5
EBITDA 2 554 2 359 8 %
Depreciation & amortisation 937 851
EBIT* 1 617 1 508 7 %
Income from associates* 128 107
Net finance -135 -218
Pre-tax profit* 1 610 1 397 15 %
EPS (NOK)* 2,06 1,84 12 %
Salmon and trout
harvest
volume
(GWT)
135 303 122 500 10 %
EBIT* all incl. excl. Wildcatch/kg 10,1 10,5
Whitefish
catch
volume
(tonnes)
54 402 55 800 -3 %
EBIT/kg Wildcatch 4,7 3,9
ROCE* (%) 11,1 % 10,8 %
* Before biomass adjustment

Balance sheet

(NOKm) 30.09.2021 30.09.2020 ▲%
Intangible
assets
8 594 8 338
Right-of-use-assets 2 709 2 268
Tangible
fixed
assets
7 234 6 747
Financial non-current
assets
1 149 1 120
Total non-current
assets
19 685 18 474 7 %
Biological
assets
at cost
4 447 4 470
Fair value adjustment of biomass 1 177 1 006
Other
inventory
1 175 1 224
Account
receivables
2 202 1 857
Other
receivables
584 470
Cash and cash equivalents 3 992 2 695
Total current
assets
13 577 11 723 16 %
Total assets 33 262 30 196 10 %
Equity 18 507 17 853 4 %
Equity ratio 55,6 % 59,1 %
NIBD 3 514 3 476 1 %
YTD avg. capital employed ex. FV adj. 21 011 20 002

Change in NIBD

Change in NIBD Q3 2021 Q3 2020 YTD 2021 YTD 2020
EBITDA before fair value adjustment on biological assets 895 656 2 554 2 359
Paid tax -2 -180 -226 -441
Change in working capital 214 68 516 -95
Other (Net gain from sales of NCA) -6 -4 -54 -5
NIBD impact from operating activities 1 101 540 2 789 1 818
New intangibles, fixed assets and right of use assets (from credit institutions), net
a)
-315 -379 -861 -1 330
Dividends and interests received 2 2 15 35
Business combinations, net change (-) -6 0 -397 0
Other changes in non-current assets -12 -5 -1 -18
NIBD impact from investing activities
b)
-331 -382 -1 244 -1 313
Dividends distributed 0 0 -1 201 -924
Installments paid on lease liabilities with other than credit institutions
c)
-55 -56 -198 -161
New equity 0 0 0 0
Interests and other financial expenses -49 -59 -154 -212
NIBD impact from financing activities -104 -114 -1 553 -1 298
NIBD impact from other changes (incl.currency effects)
d)
1 -4 14 -42
Total change in NIBD 667 40 6 -835
NIBD at beginning 4 181 3 517 3 521 2 641
Change in NIBD -667 -40 -6 835
NIBD at end
e)
3 514 3 476 3 514 3 476

EBIT per segment

EBIT* Q3 2021

EBIT* Q3 2020

Lerøy Aurora

Q3 2021 Q3 2020 YTD 21 YTD 20
Revenue (NOKm) 863 451 1 675 1 227
EBIT* (NOKm) 146 104 205 269
Harvested
volume (GWT)
15 677 7 881 29 827 20 150
EBIT/kg* (NOK) 9.3 13.1 6.9 13.3

Improvement in cost, and significant increase in volume YTD

  • Year to date harvest volume is up 48% y-o-y. Positive development in production, and substantial improvement in quality downgrades compared to H1/20
  • Cost reduction q-o-q, but cost increase y-o-y. With higher volume, substantially lower contract share in Q3/21 vs Q3/20
  • Prioritising to harvest some sites with lower harvest weights this quarter to prioritise best performing sites, giving lower average harvest weights and higher cost this quarter
  • Adopted several improvement to reduce risk of winter wounds. Gradual improvement is expected. Expected harvest volume 2021 of 44 000 GWT and 2022 of 43 000 GWT

* Before biomass adjustment

Lerøy Midt

Q3 2021 Q3 2020 YTD 21 YTD 20
Revenue (NOKm) 1 251 1 147 3 032 2 989
EBIT* (NOKm) 207 247 547 736
Harvested
volume (GWT)
22 922 22 044 54 364 52 336
EBIT/kg* (NOK) 9.0 11.2 10.1 14.1

EBIT*/kg

Smolt facility developing according to plan

  • Growth developing according to plan
  • Cost increase q-o-q and y-o-y
  • Expansion of smolt facility at Belsvik according to plan, will be finalised end 2021/start 2022, with impact on smolt release from 2022 and harvest volume from 2023
  • Expected harvest volume in 2021 of 72,000 GWT in 2021, expected harvest volume 71,000 GWT in 2022

* Before biomass adjustment

Lerøy Sjøtroll

Q3 2021 Q3 2020 YTD 21 YTD 20
Revenue (NOKm) 937 662 2 789 2 578
EBIT* (NOKm) 72 -45 310 78
Harvested
volume (GWT)
17 798 14 302 51 112 50 014
EBIT/kg* (NOK) 4.0 -3.2 6.1 1.6

Significant improvement from recent years

  • Clear improvement from Q3/20. Still following positive development recent year, late Q3 and start of Q4 gave some set-back with lower growth than expected
  • Significant y-o-y improvement in profitability
  • Expects harvest volume of 71,000 GWT in 2021, and harvest volume of 76,000 GWT in 2022

Wildcatch (Lerøy Havfisk/LNWS)

Q3 2021 Q3 2020 YTD 21 YTD 20
Revenue (NOKm) 522 453 2 075 2 054
EBITDA (NOKm) 68 -3 418 357
EBIT
(NOKm)
17 -50 267 215
Havfisk, catch
volume
Q3 2021 Q3 2020 YTD 21 YTD 20
Cod 3 387 1 743 17 740 16 572
Saithe 2 494 2 638 9 870 12 458
Haddock 902 164 9 335 6 408
Shrimps 4 259 4 218 9 433 6 333
Other 1 294 2 319 8 024 14 028
Total 12 336 11 083 54 402 55 800
Havfisk, prices Q3 2021 Q3 2020 YTD 21 FY 20
Cod 29.0 30.0 28.8 34.9
Haddock 26.9 17.0 24.8 25.0
Saithe 17.9 13.2 16.2 14.7

Significant improvements for the land based industry

  • Improvement in profitability in trawling fleet from higher catch value, through higher catches of cod and improvement in prices for most species
  • Healthy quota situation for remainder of the year
  • While still challenging, clear improvements seen for the land based industry

VAPS&D – VAP, Sales and Distribution

Q3 2021 Q3 2020 YTD 21 YTD 20
Revenue (NOKm) 6 100 4 600 15 850 13 995
EBIT
(NOKm)
166 131 428 300
EBIT
margin
2.7% 2.9% 2.7% 2.1%

Revenue and EBIT margin (line graph)

Years of downstream investments starting to show potential

  • Strong demand for seafood, and high volumes through Lerøy's value chain gives record activity
  • Start up cost in connection with new factories in Spain and Italy, but positive development in many operations
  • Long term trends for the seafood industry remains very positive, and with several new factories started in recent years significant potential in this segment in years to come

Norskott Havbruk (associate, 50% owned by Lerøy Seafood Group)

Q3 2021 Q3 2020 YTD 21 YTD 20
Revenue (NOKm) 773 543 1 963 1 271
EBIT* (NOKm) 80 101 273 233
Harvested
volume (GWT)
10 126 8 133 27 447 17 579
EBIT/kg* (NOK) 7.9 12.5 9.9 13.2

EBIT*/kg

Likely transaction of acquisition in Q4/21

  • Biological challenges in the quarter particularly with gill health have a negative impact on the results, including early harvest of some sites
  • Harvest guidance for 2021 at 33,000 GWT, and 2022 at 33,000 GWT (excl. acquisition)
  • 29th of June Scottish Seafarms (SSF), 100% owned by Norskott Havbruk, entered an agreement to acquire 100% of shared in Grieg Seafood Hjaltland (GSHU). Likely transaction in Q4/21.

** Figures based on 100% basis

Outlook

Atlantic Salmon - Supply in tons WFE

Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Region Volume Change Volume Change Volume Change Volume Change Volume Change Volume Change Volume Change
Europe 1429700 $-4.4%$ 493 900 4.5 % 505 100 0.7% 650 500 9.7% 675 000 1.5% 1 879 400 12.2% 1953700 4.0 %
Norway 100
1 1 7 1
$\frac{0}{0}$
$-5.1$
1 207 800 3.1% 1 253 400 3.8 % 333 400 6.4 % 369 100 2.7%11 507 400 10.1 % 578 300 4.7 %
United Kingdom 157 400 $-5.4%$ 177 200 12.6 % 152 100 $-14.2%$ 190 500 25.2 % 178 300 $-6.4%$ 209 400 17.4 % 205 400 $-1.9%$
Faroe Islands 77 300 2.2% 80 300 3.9% 71 700 $-10.7%$ 86 600 20.8 % 80 600 $-6.9%$ 102 400 27.0 % 105 500 3.0%
Iceland 8 100 125.0 % 11 600 43.2 % 13 600 17.2% 24 500 80.1 % 31 200 27.3 % 44 500 42.6 % 48 500 9.0%
Ireland 15 800 0.6% 17 000 7.6 % 14 300 $-15.9%$ 15 500 8.4 % 15 800 1.9% 15 700 $-0.6%$ 16 000 1.9 %
Americas 731 600 $-11.1%$ 799 100 9.2% 897 700 12.3% 927 700 3.3% 1 036 890 11.8% 942 100 $-9.1%$ 007 200 6.9 %
Chile 504 400 $-15.7%$ 564 200 11.9 % 660 100 17.0 % 690 300 4.6 % 778 400 12.8 % 668 500 $-14.1%$ 725 700 8.6 %
Canada 146 000 8.0% 137 000 $-6.2%$ 146 000 6.6% 137 500 $-5.8%$ 136 800 $-0.5%$ 139 100 1.7% 134 500 $-3.3%$
Australia 49 600 $-7.5%$ 63 100 27.2 % 62 300 $-1.3%$ 60 900 $-2.2%$ 82 800 36.0 % 87 200 5.3% 90 100 3.3%
Others 9 100 $-41.7%$ 13 100 44.0 % 10 300 $-21.4%$ 18 200 76.7 % 18 890 3.8% 30 800 63.0 % 42 400 37.7 %
USA 22 500 11.4 % 21 700 $-3.6%$ 19 000 $-12.4%$ 20 800 9.5% 20 000 $-3.8%$ 16 500 $-17.5%$ 14 500 $-12.1%$
Total 2 161 300 $-6.8%$ 2 293 000 6.1% 2 402 800 4.8 % 2 578 200 7.3% 2 711 890 5.2 % 2 821 500 4.0 % 2 960 900 4.9 %

Figures as per: 08.11.2021

Source: Kontali

Quarter 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Q 1 26 29 34 40 27 36 47 41 58 65 60 61 68 52
Q2 26 36 41 38 28 42 40 38 64 67 68 62 58 63
Q3 28 32 39 27 26 38 35 41 60 56 55 49 47 55
Q4 26 28 38 23 27 42 39 44 66 49 55 56 43 56
Total 27 31 38 32 27 41 40 41 62 59 59 57 53 56

Spot Prices, Fresh Atlantic Salmon - Cross Section, FCA Oslo, Superior Quality as of week 42-2021

  • Weekly Price NSI FCA Oslo - Quarterly Price NSI FCA Oslo 80 70 60 50 $40$ 30 20
200 k ۱۱ ل $\sim$ 201. 201 2011
ם נוי
$\sim$
∠∪∠เ

Tons YTD October: 1,228,700 Change from Last Year 11.2%

Atlantic Salmon - Harvest Volumes Norway in tons WFE

Source: Kontali

Tons YTD October: 2,331,900 Change from Last Year 5.8%

Atlantic Salmon - Harvest Volumes WW in tons WFE

Source: Kontali

$Q3$

NOK/KG (NSI 3-6) Q3 pr w37: 55.67 15.47% (48.21)

40%

Atlantic Salmon Consumption

Market Growth Growth % 2018 2019 2020 2021 EU 273 255 306 901 328 737 347 766 19,029 5.8 % Others 174 526 196 156 181 539 198 806 17,267 $9.5%$ USA 115 738 12.6 % 130 560 145 075 163 365 18,290 Russia 24 9 29 22 303 23 8 24 19 4 4 9 $-4,375$ $-18.4%$ 14 099 13797 18 645 16 862 $-1.783$ $-9.6%$ Japan Total 602 548 669 717 697 820 746 248 48,428 $6.9%$

$\bullet$ 2018 $\bullet$ 2019 $\bullet$ 2020 $\bullet$ 2021 $__$ Growth --- Zero-line

400 000

$Y$

Atlantic Salmon Consumption

FD - September Market 2018 2019 2020 2021 Growth Growth %
EU 751870 822 121 843 851 927 630 83,779 9.9%
Others 511 499 555 041 529 988 579 891 49,903 9.4%
USA 361 069 386 373 413 147 485 511 72,364 17.5%
Russia 69 339 57 503 55 894 63 851 7,957 14.2 %
Japan 41 678 42 302 49 919 51 921 2,002 4.0 %
Total 1 735 455 1 863 340 1 892 799 2 108 804 216,005 11.4%

$\,$ 2018 $\,$ 2019 $\,$ 2020 $\,$ 2021 $\,$ Growth --- Zero-line

Outlook 2021

  • Strong demand
  • General cost inflation will impact cost also for Lerøy's operation
  • Farming
  • Expected harvest volume 2021 incl. associates around 204,000 GWT
  • Expected contract share in Q4/21 of approx. 25%
  • Wild Catch
  • Healthy quota situation at the end of the year
  • VAPS&D
  • Significant potential for further developments of downstream value chain

Outlook 2022

  • Positive outlook for demand
  • Length of current inflationary trends will impact cost development
  • Farming
  • Expected harvest volume 2022 incl. associates around 207,000GWT (ex. Acquisition UK)
  • Wild Catch
  • Scientific advice (quota not set, final decision Q4/21) for Norwegian quotas in 2022 at Cod -20%, Haddock-23%, Saithe North of 62 degrees unchanged, Saithe South of 62 degrees - 24%
  • VAPS&D
  • Significant potential for further developments of downstream value chain

First fish into expansion of Belsvik in January 2022. Growth in harvest volume in Lerøy Midt from 2023.

IJ Our goal is to create the world's most efficient and sustainable value chain for seafood. The large, extensive investments we have made over a long period of time are now starting to yield results.

CONTACT – Henning Beltestad, [email protected] CONTACT – Sjur Malm, [email protected]