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Leroy Seafood Group — Earnings Release 2018
Aug 22, 2018
3653_rns_2018-08-22_159fe7d4-5437-461e-9862-56a14795ad65.pdf
Earnings Release
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Q2 2018
AUGUST 22TH 2018
Highlights
Q2 2018
- EBIT before FV adj. NOK 1,000 million
- Harvest volume 37 822 GWT
- EBIT/kg all incl. (excl. EBIT Havfisk & LNWS) of NOK 23.4
- Contract share of 23%
- NIBD NOK 3 013 million
- Harvest guidance 166 000 GWT for 2018
- Expected catch volume around 65,000 tons for 2018
*before biomass adjustment **before biomass adjustment excl. EBIT contribution from Wild Catch
Q2 2018: Farming Highlights
- Spot prices above last year
- NSI Q2/18 NOK 68.5 vs NOK 67.4 in Q2/17 (+2%)
- Up NOK 9/kg q-o-q, and down NOK 1/kg y-o-y
- Trout price achievement well below salmon
- Contract prices well below spot prices
- Cost (RFS) increase from Q1/18, driven by Lerøy Sjøtroll
- Biomass at sea
- End Q2/18 at 90,697 LWT vs 96,258 LWT end Q2/17 (-6%)
| Farming volumes |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 GWT |
2013 GWT |
2014 GWT | 2015 GWT |
2016 GWT |
2017 GWT |
2018E GWT |
|
| Lerøy Aurora AS* | 20 000 | 24 200 | 26 800 | 29 200 | 30 000 | 39 200 | 36 000 |
| Lerøy Midt AS |
61 900 | 58 900 | 68 300 | 71 400 | 52 200 | 64 500 | 72 000 |
| 61 700 | 63 200 | 57 100 | 68 000 | 54 000 | 58 000 | ||
| Lerøy Sjøtroll | 71 600 | ||||||
| Total Norway | 153 400 | 144 800 |
158 300 | 157 700 | 150 200 | 157 800 |
166 000 |
| Villa Organic AS** | 6 000 | ||||||
| Norskott Havbruk (UK)*** |
13 600 | 13 400 | 13 800 | 13 500 | 14 000 | 15 500 | 13 000 |
Q2 2018: Wild Catch
- Q2/18 harvest volume at 18,190 tons, with significant increase y-o-y in particularly shrimp catches
- Average prices up 8% y-o-y. Y-o-y prices for cod up 15%, haddock 48% while saithe down 6%.
- Entered agreement for delivery of a new combination trawler
- As it takes time to adjust prices to end-market, increase in raw material prices is a challenge within processing
Remaining quotas Havfisk/Wild Catch
| Remaining quotas Havfisk/Wild Catch | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catch volume Q2/18 |
Catch volume Q2/17 |
Catch volume YTD 2018 |
Catch volume YTD 2017 |
Remaining quota 2018 |
Remaining quota 2017 |
|
| 13 091 | 13 492 | 11 189 | 16 149 | |||
| Cod | 3 817 | 4 067 | ||||
| Haddock* | 441 | 2 050 | 6 987 | 9 430 | 1 939 | 2 497 |
| Saithe | 5 401 | 6 585 | 9 084 | 9 426 | 10 414 | 6 413 |
| Shrimps | 3 279 | 996 | 4 604 | 996 | ||
| Other | 5 252 | 3 070 | 6 692 | 4 010 |
Q2 2018: VAP, Sales and Distribution
- Extremely volatile prices in first half and Q2/18 has been a challenge, with negative impact on profitability
- Start up of new facilities also impact profit, but improvements are expected particularly from Q4/18
- EBIT in Q2/18 of NOK 62m compared to NOK 115m in Q2/17
Key Financial figures
| – Q2 2018 Q2 2018 Q2 2017 ▲% 5 042 4 224 19 % 35 8 1 161 948 22 % |
Key financial figures (NOKm) Revenue Other gains and losses EBITDA Depreciation & amortisation 161 147 EBIT 1 000 801 25 % Income from associates 70 100 |
Net finance -50 -61 |
Pre-tax profit* 1 021 840 22 % |
EPS (NOK)* 1,28 1,05 21 % |
Harvested Volume (GWT) 37 822 26 156 45 % |
EBIT* all incl. excl. Wildcatch 23,4 27,3 -14 % |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROCE* (%) 24,9 % 23,6 % 5 % |
|||||||||
| Key financial figures – YTD 2018 |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| (NOKm) | YTD 2018 | YTD 2017 | ▲% |
| Revenue | 10 042 | 9 684 | 4 % |
| 35 | 8 | ||
| Other gains and losses | |||
| EBITDA | 2 275 | 2 371 | -4 % |
| Depreciation & amortisation | 315 | 293 | |
| EBIT* | 1 960 | 2 078 | -6 % |
| Income from associates* | 154 | 163 | |
| Net finance | -76 | -107 | |
| Pre-tax profit* | 2 038 | 2 134 | -4 % |
| EPS (NOK)* | 2,59 | 2,64 | -2 % |
| Harvested Volume (GWT) |
75 398 | 69 463 | 9 % |
| EBIT* all incl. excl. Wildcatch | 22,1 | 26,4 | -16 % |
Balance sheet
| 30.06.2018 | 30.06.2017 | ▲% |
|---|---|---|
| 8 192 | 8 059 | 2 % |
| 5 996 | 4 504 | 33 % |
| 1 001 | 1 030 | -3 % |
| 15 189 | 13 592 | 12 % |
| 3 397 | 3 527 | -4 % |
| 2 211 | 2 265 | -2 % |
| 1115 | 873 | 28 % |
| 2 479 | 2 382 | 4 % |
| 3 010 | 2 492 | 21 % |
| 12 212 | 11 539 | 6 % |
| 27 401 | 25 131 | 9 % |
| 16 188 | 14 213 | 14 % |
| 59,1 % | 56,6 % | 4 % |
| 3 190 | -6 % | |
Funding
| NOK million | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | Later | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| To be paid | 337 | 812 | 636 | 1 740 | 470 | 1 889 | 5 884 |
| Total | 704 | 812 | 636 | 1 740 | 470 | 1 889 | 6 250 |
| Covenants | Q2 2018 | ||||||
| NIBD/EBITDA | <5 | 0.72 | |||||
| Adj. Equity ratio | >30 % | 67.7 % |
| Covenants | Q2 2018 | |
|---|---|---|
| NIBD/EBITDA | <5 | 0.72 |
| Adj. Equity ratio | >30% | 67.7% |
Cash flow
| Q2 2018 | Q2 2017 | YTD 2018 | YTD 2017 | FY 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA before fair value adjustment on biological assets | 1 161 | 948 | 2 275 | 2 371 | 4 300 |
| Paid tax | -588 | -281 | -822 | -478 | -494 |
| Change in working capital | -50 | -286 | -49 | -124 | -97 |
| Other | -23 | -22 | -35 | -8 | -21 |
| Cash from operating activities | 499 | 359 | 1 369 | 1 761 | 3 688 |
| Business combinations and redemption of non-controlling interests * | 0 | -1 | -127 | -1 | -6 |
| Net investments in capex and intangibles | -391 | -366 | -1 222 | -562 | -1 484 |
| Dividends received | 162 | 110 | 162 | 110 | 164 |
| Other changes in non-current assets | 0 | -66 | 56 | -83 | -104 |
| Cash from investing activities * | -229 | -322 | -1 131 | -536 | -1 430 |
| Net financial cost | -53 | -50 | -86 | -93 | -188 |
| New equity | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dividends distributed | -945 | -832 | -945 | -834 | -834 |
| Cash from financing activities | -997 | -882 | -1 030 | -927 | -1 023 |
| Other changes (incl.currency effects) | 7 | -17 | 21 | -54 | -64 |
| Net cash flow / change in NIBD | -720 | -863 | -751 | 244 | 1 171 |
| 2 327 | 2 262 | 3 433 | 3 433 | ||
| NIBD at beginning | 2 293 | ||||
| Change in NIBD NIBD at end |
720 3 013 |
863 3 190 |
751 3 013 |
-244 3 190 |
-1 171 2 262 |
EBIT per segment
EBIT* Q2 2017
Lerøy Aurora
| Lerøy Aurora | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2018 | Q2 2017 | YTD 2018 | YTD 2017 | ||
| Revenue (NOKm) | 501 | 561 | 1 089 | 977 | |
| EBIT* (NOKm) | 218 | 247 | 474 | 426 | |
| Harvested volume (GWT) |
6 807 | 8 017 | 15 786 | 14 031 | |
| EBIT/kg* (NOK) | 32.1 | 30.8 | 30.0 | 30.4 |
- Strong profitability in quarter
- RFS (Release-from-stock) cost remains at low level
- Some negative impact on growth from low temperatures in the quarter
- As of today, expectations are continued low costs in 2018
Lerøy Midt
| Lerøy Midt | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2018 | Q2 2017 | YTD 2018 | YTD 2017 | ||
| Revenue (NOKm) | 1 031 | 353 | 1 767 | 1 744 | |
| EBIT* (NOKm) | 424 | 99 | 687 | 628 | |
| Harvested volume (GWT) |
16 047 | 5 341 | 28 139 | 27 273 | |
| EBIT/kg* (NOK) | 26.4 | 18.5 | 24.4 | 23.0 | |
| EBIT*/kg |
- Positive development continues
- New industry facility in start-up in Q2
- Price realisation impacted ~50% of quarterly volume harvested in June
- Forth quarter in a row with decline in RFS (release from stock) costs
- As of today, expectations are for further cost reductions q-o-q through 2018
Lerøy Sjøtroll
| Lerøy Sjøtroll | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (NOKm) | Q2 2018 908 |
Q2 2017 832 |
YTD 2018 1 834 |
YTD 2017 1 799 |
|
| EBIT* (NOKm) | 190 | 265 | 408 | 604 | |
| Harvested volume (GWT) |
14 968 | 12 798 | 31 473 | 28 159 | |
| EBIT/kg* (NOK) | 12.7 | 20.7 | 13.0 | 21.5 |
* Before biomass adjustment
- Another challenging quarter
- ~40% of quarterly harvest volume trout. Price achievement for the Group NOK 5/kg lower for trout than for salmon
- Price realisation for salmon impacted negatively of size and downgrades, with price realisation for salmon well below NSI price.
- Cost increase q-o-q, as of today expectations for lower RFS cost in H2
- New smolt facility progressing according to plan. First release of smolt from new facility in 2019. Significant potential in both volume and costs.
Wild Catch (Havfisk/LNWS)
| Wild Catch (Havfisk/LNWS) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA (NOKm) | Q2 2018 149 |
Q2 2017 115 |
YTD 2018 358 |
YTD 2017 301 |
|
| EBIT (NOKm) |
116 | 86 | 294 | 244 | |
| Havfisk, catch volume |
Q2 2018 | Q2 2017 | YTD 2018 | YTD 2017 | |
| Cod | 3 817 | 4 067 | 13 091 | 13 492 | |
| Haddock | 441 | 2 050 | 6 987 | 9 430 | |
| 5 401 | 6 585 | 9 084 | 9 426 | ||
| Saithe | 4 604 | 996 | |||
| Shrimps | 3 279 | 996 | |||
| Other | 5 252 | 3 070 | 6 692 | 4 010 | |
| Total | 18 190 | 16 769 | 40 458 | 37 355 | |
| market reach | |||||
| Havfisk, prices | Q2 2018 | Q2 2017 | YTD 2018 | 2017 | |
| Cod | 31.4 | 27.4 | 30.4 | 26.7 | |
| Haddock | 24.4 | 16.5 | 23.4 | 18.9 | |
| Saithe | 10.5 | 11.2 | 11.4 | 11.6 |
| Havfisk, prices | Q2 2018 | Q 2 2017 | YTD 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cod | 31.4 | 27.4 | 30.4 | 26.7 |
| Haddock | 24.4 | 16.5 | 23.4 | 18.9 |
| Saithe | 10.5 | 11.2 | 11.4 | 11.6 |
- Lower quotas on cod and haddock, and positive development in demand, gives lift in prices for cod and haddock
- Investments in fleet gives capacity for more shrimp catches
- Trawler Kongsfjord sold in Q2/18 with positive impact on profitability of NOK 35m
- Development of the white fish processing industry in Norway is challenging. The solution is higher efficiency in operations, and broader market reach
- The solution will require time, and investments. Lerøy is expecting stability in framework conditions to make necessary steps possible for a turn-around of this industry in Norway
Norskott Havbruk (associate, 50% owned by Lerøy Seafood Group)
| Revenue (NOKm) | Q2 2018 479 |
Q2 2017 599 |
YTD 2018 998 |
YTD 2017 971 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBIT* (NOKm) | 174 | 227 | 348 | 370 | |
| Harvested volume (GWT) |
6 225 | 8 437 | 12 725 | 14 355 | |
| EBIT/kg* (NOK) | 28.0 | 26.9 | 27.3 | 25.8 | |
| EBIT*/kg |
* Before biomass adjustment
** Figures based on 100% basis
- Satisfactory result, with good biological performance in all regions
- However, harvested volume in 2018 is impacted by accelerated harvest at some sites in 2017
- Contract share in the quarter of 45%
- New RAS facility being built with first eggs in Q4 2018 and first release of smolt in 2019
- Potential for sustainable, organic growth in coming years
| VAP&D – | VAP, Sales and Distribution | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2018 | Q2 2017 | YTD 2018 | YTD 2017 | ||
| Revenue (NOKm) | 4 807 | 4 043 | 9 497 | 9 035 | |
| EBIT (NOKm) |
62 | 115 | 127 | 201 | |
| EBIT margin |
1.3 % | 2.9 % | 1.3 % | 2.2 % | profitability |
Revenue and EBIT margin (line graph)
- Extremely volatile prices in the quarter, and so far in 2018, creates a challenging operational environment with negative impact on profitability
- New facilities in start up in both Netherlands and Spain impact profitability level
Outlook
Atlantic salmon – Supply in tons WFE
| in tons WFE | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | Change 12-13 |
2014 | Change 13-14 |
2015 | Change 14-15 |
2016 | Change 15-16 |
2017 | Change 16-17 |
2018 | Change 17-18 |
2019 | Change 18-19 |
|
| Norway | 1 143 600 | -3,3 % | 1 199 000 | 4,8 % | 1 234 200 | 2,9 % | 1 171 100 | -5,1 % | 1 207 800 | 3,1 % | 1 297 900 | 7,5 % | 1 354 900 | 4,4 % |
| United Kingdom | 157 800 | -1,0 % | 170 500 | 8,0 % | 166 300 | -2,5 % | 157 400 | -5,4 % | 174 300 | 10,7 % | 157 000 | -9,9 % | 176 600 | 12,5 % |
| 72 600 | 3,3 % | 82 700 | 13,9 % | 75 600 | -8,6 % | 77 300 | 2,2 % | 80 300 | 3,9 % | 68 800 | -14,3 % | 78 700 | 14,4 % | |
| Faroe Islands | -32,1 % | 12 300 | 16,0 % | 15 700 | 27,6 % | 15 800 | 0,6 % | 17 000 | 7,6 % | 14 300 | -15,9 % | 17 000 | 18,9 % | |
| Ireland | 10 600 | 3 600 | -18,2 % | 8 100 | 125,0 % | 11 500 | 42,0 % | 14 000 | 21,7 % | 19 000 | 35,7 % | |||
| Iceland | 3 350 | 3,1 % | 4 400 | 31,3 % | ||||||||||
| Total Europe | 1 387 950 | -3,1 % 1 468 900 | 5,8 % 1 495 400 | 1,8 % 1 429 700 | -4,4 % 1 490 900 | 4,3 % 1 552 000 | 4,1 % 1 646 200 | 6,1 % | ||||||
| Chile | 468 100 | 28,6 % | 582 900 | 24,5 % | 598 200 | 2,6 % | 504 400 | -15,7 % | 564 200 | 11,9 % | 632 900 | 12,2 % | 645 700 | 2,0 % |
| Canada | 115 100 | -15,7 % | 95 000 | -17,5 % | 135 200 | 42,3 % | 146 000 | 8,0 % | 140 000 | -4,1 % | 148 400 | 6,0 % | 152 000 | |
| USA Australia |
20 300 39 000 |
3,6 % -2,5 % |
24 000 42 000 |
18,2 % 7,7 % |
20 200 54 400 |
-15,8 % 29,5 % |
22 500 50 900 |
11,4 % -6,4 % |
21 700 61 800 |
-3,6 % 21,4 % |
18 000 60 700 |
-17,1 % -1,8 % |
17 500 61 800 |
2,4 % -2,8 % 1,8 % |
| Others | 11 200 | 38,3 % | 15 200 | 35,7 % | 13 700 | -9,9 % | 12 500 | -8,8 % | 12 100 | -3,2 % | 13 600 | 12,4 % | 16 000 | |
| Total Others | 653 700 | 15,0 % | 759 100 | 16,1 % | 821 700 | 8,2 % | 736 300 | -10,4 % | 799 800 | 8,6 % | 873 600 | 9,2 % | 893 000 | 17,6 % 2,2 % |
| Total World-wide | 2 041 650 | 2,1 % 2 228 000 | 9,1 % 2 317 100 | 4,0 % 2 166 000 | -6,5 % 2 290 700 | 5,8 % 2 425 600 | 5,9 % 2 539 200 | 4,7 % |
SPOT prices, fresh Atlantic salmon cross-section, FCA Oslo as of week 32-2018 (Superior quality).
Atlantic salmon - Harvest Quantities Norway in tons WFE
Harvest qty, YTD July: 676 100 +7,9% (626 400)
Harvest qty, YTD July: 816 100 +3,4% (789 500)
Atlantic salmon - Harvest Quantities Europe in tons WFE
18% 4% -8% -3% -2% 5% 13% 5% 2% 5% 4% 8% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 0 20 000 40 000 60 000 80 000 100 000 120 000 140 000 160 000 180 000 200 000 January February March April May June July August September October November December 2015 2016 2017 2018 Chng 17-18 0-line
Atlantic salmon - Harvest Quantities Chile in tons WFE
in tons WFE
Harvest qty, YTD July: 1 323 400 +8,4% (1 221 300)
Atlantic Salmon Consumption 2018 Q2
Source: Kontali / Nasdaq
Atlantic Salmon Consumption 2018 YTD Q2
Source: Kontali / Nasdaq
NOK/KG (NSI 3-6) YTD Q2:
65,52 -3,6 % (67,98)
Atlantic Salmon Consumption (Other markets) 2018 YTD Q2
Figures as per 17.08.2018 Source: Kontali / Nasdaq
Outlook
- Demand for seafood remains strong, outlook remains positive
- Harvest guidance for salmon and trout including associates 179.000 GWT for 2018, with lower release from stock cost in H2/18
- Expected contract share for salmon and trout in Q3/18 ~25%
- Significant potential in whitefish. Expected catch volume around 65,000 tonnes in 2018, with a y-o-y increase in catch volume of shrimps
CONTACT – Henning Beltestad, [email protected] CONTACT – Sjur Malm, [email protected]