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Leroy Seafood Group Earnings Release 2018

Aug 22, 2018

3653_rns_2018-08-22_159fe7d4-5437-461e-9862-56a14795ad65.pdf

Earnings Release

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Q2 2018

AUGUST 22TH 2018

Highlights

Q2 2018

  • EBIT before FV adj. NOK 1,000 million
  • Harvest volume 37 822 GWT
  • EBIT/kg all incl. (excl. EBIT Havfisk & LNWS) of NOK 23.4
  • Contract share of 23%
  • NIBD NOK 3 013 million
  • Harvest guidance 166 000 GWT for 2018
  • Expected catch volume around 65,000 tons for 2018

*before biomass adjustment **before biomass adjustment excl. EBIT contribution from Wild Catch

Q2 2018: Farming Highlights

  • Spot prices above last year
  • NSI Q2/18 NOK 68.5 vs NOK 67.4 in Q2/17 (+2%)
  • Up NOK 9/kg q-o-q, and down NOK 1/kg y-o-y
  • Trout price achievement well below salmon
  • Contract prices well below spot prices
  • Cost (RFS) increase from Q1/18, driven by Lerøy Sjøtroll
  • Biomass at sea
  • End Q2/18 at 90,697 LWT vs 96,258 LWT end Q2/17 (-6%)
Farming
volumes
2012
GWT
2013
GWT
2014 GWT 2015
GWT
2016
GWT
2017
GWT
2018E
GWT
Lerøy Aurora AS* 20 000 24 200 26 800 29 200 30 000 39 200 36 000
Lerøy Midt
AS
61 900 58 900 68 300 71 400 52 200 64 500 72 000
61 700 63 200 57 100 68 000 54 000 58 000
Lerøy Sjøtroll 71 600
Total Norway 153 400 144
800
158 300 157 700 150 200 157
800
166 000
Villa Organic AS** 6 000
Norskott
Havbruk
(UK)***
13 600 13 400 13 800 13 500 14 000 15 500 13 000

Q2 2018: Wild Catch

  • Q2/18 harvest volume at 18,190 tons, with significant increase y-o-y in particularly shrimp catches
  • Average prices up 8% y-o-y. Y-o-y prices for cod up 15%, haddock 48% while saithe down 6%.
  • Entered agreement for delivery of a new combination trawler
  • As it takes time to adjust prices to end-market, increase in raw material prices is a challenge within processing

Remaining quotas Havfisk/Wild Catch

Remaining quotas Havfisk/Wild Catch
Catch volume
Q2/18
Catch volume
Q2/17
Catch volume
YTD 2018
Catch volume
YTD 2017
Remaining quota
2018
Remaining
quota
2017
13 091 13 492 11 189 16 149
Cod 3 817 4 067
Haddock* 441 2 050 6 987 9 430 1 939 2 497
Saithe 5 401 6 585 9 084 9 426 10 414 6 413
Shrimps 3 279 996 4 604 996
Other 5 252 3 070 6 692 4 010

Q2 2018: VAP, Sales and Distribution

  • Extremely volatile prices in first half and Q2/18 has been a challenge, with negative impact on profitability
  • Start up of new facilities also impact profit, but improvements are expected particularly from Q4/18
  • EBIT in Q2/18 of NOK 62m compared to NOK 115m in Q2/17

Key Financial figures


Q2 2018
Q2 2018
Q2 2017
▲%
5 042
4 224
19 %
35
8
1 161
948
22 %
Key financial
figures
(NOKm)
Revenue
Other gains and losses
EBITDA
Depreciation & amortisation
161
147
EBIT
1 000
801
25 %
Income from associates

70
100
Net finance
-50
-61
Pre-tax profit*
1 021
840
22 %
EPS (NOK)*
1,28
1,05
21 %
Harvested
Volume (GWT)
37 822
26 156
45 %
EBIT* all incl. excl. Wildcatch
23,4
27,3
-14 %
ROCE* (%)
24,9 %
23,6 %
5 %
Key financial
figures

YTD 2018
(NOKm) YTD 2018 YTD 2017 ▲%
Revenue 10 042 9 684 4 %
35 8
Other gains and losses
EBITDA 2 275 2 371 -4 %
Depreciation & amortisation 315 293
EBIT* 1 960 2 078 -6 %
Income from associates* 154 163
Net finance -76 -107
Pre-tax profit* 2 038 2 134 -4 %
EPS (NOK)* 2,59 2,64 -2 %
Harvested
Volume (GWT)
75 398 69 463 9 %
EBIT* all incl. excl. Wildcatch 22,1 26,4 -16 %

Balance sheet

30.06.2018 30.06.2017 ▲%
8 192 8 059 2 %
5 996 4 504 33 %
1 001 1 030 -3 %
15 189 13 592 12 %
3 397 3 527 -4 %
2 211 2 265 -2 %
1115 873 28 %
2 479 2 382 4 %
3 010 2 492 21 %
12 212 11 539 6 %
27 401 25 131 9 %
16 188 14 213 14 %
59,1 % 56,6 % 4 %
3 190 -6 %

Funding

NOK million 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Later Total
To be paid 337 812 636 1 740 470 1 889 5 884
Total 704 812 636 1 740 470 1 889 6 250
Covenants Q2 2018
NIBD/EBITDA <5 0.72
Adj. Equity ratio >30 % 67.7 %
Covenants Q2 2018
NIBD/EBITDA <5 0.72
Adj. Equity ratio >30% 67.7%

Cash flow

Q2 2018 Q2 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2017 FY 2017
EBITDA before fair value adjustment on biological assets 1 161 948 2 275 2 371 4 300
Paid tax -588 -281 -822 -478 -494
Change in working capital -50 -286 -49 -124 -97
Other -23 -22 -35 -8 -21
Cash from operating activities 499 359 1 369 1 761 3 688
Business combinations and redemption of non-controlling interests * 0 -1 -127 -1 -6
Net investments in capex and intangibles -391 -366 -1 222 -562 -1 484
Dividends received 162 110 162 110 164
Other changes in non-current assets 0 -66 56 -83 -104
Cash from investing activities * -229 -322 -1 131 -536 -1 430
Net financial cost -53 -50 -86 -93 -188
New equity 0 0 0 0 0
Dividends distributed -945 -832 -945 -834 -834
Cash from financing activities -997 -882 -1 030 -927 -1 023
Other changes (incl.currency effects) 7 -17 21 -54 -64
Net cash flow / change in NIBD -720 -863 -751 244 1 171
2 327 2 262 3 433 3 433
NIBD at beginning 2 293
Change in NIBD
NIBD at end
720
3 013
863
3 190
751
3 013
-244
3 190
-1 171
2 262

EBIT per segment

EBIT* Q2 2017

Lerøy Aurora

Lerøy Aurora
Q2 2018 Q2 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2017
Revenue (NOKm) 501 561 1 089 977
EBIT* (NOKm) 218 247 474 426
Harvested
volume (GWT)
6 807 8 017 15 786 14 031
EBIT/kg* (NOK) 32.1 30.8 30.0 30.4
  • Strong profitability in quarter
  • RFS (Release-from-stock) cost remains at low level
  • Some negative impact on growth from low temperatures in the quarter
  • As of today, expectations are continued low costs in 2018

Lerøy Midt

Lerøy Midt
Q2 2018 Q2 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2017
Revenue (NOKm) 1 031 353 1 767 1 744
EBIT* (NOKm) 424 99 687 628
Harvested
volume (GWT)
16 047 5 341 28 139 27 273
EBIT/kg* (NOK) 26.4 18.5 24.4 23.0
EBIT*/kg
  • Positive development continues
  • New industry facility in start-up in Q2
  • Price realisation impacted ~50% of quarterly volume harvested in June
  • Forth quarter in a row with decline in RFS (release from stock) costs
  • As of today, expectations are for further cost reductions q-o-q through 2018

Lerøy Sjøtroll

Lerøy Sjøtroll
Revenue (NOKm) Q2 2018
908
Q2 2017
832
YTD 2018
1 834
YTD 2017
1 799
EBIT* (NOKm) 190 265 408 604
Harvested
volume (GWT)
14 968 12 798 31 473 28 159
EBIT/kg* (NOK) 12.7 20.7 13.0 21.5

* Before biomass adjustment

  • Another challenging quarter
  • ~40% of quarterly harvest volume trout. Price achievement for the Group NOK 5/kg lower for trout than for salmon
  • Price realisation for salmon impacted negatively of size and downgrades, with price realisation for salmon well below NSI price.
  • Cost increase q-o-q, as of today expectations for lower RFS cost in H2
  • New smolt facility progressing according to plan. First release of smolt from new facility in 2019. Significant potential in both volume and costs.

Wild Catch (Havfisk/LNWS)

Wild Catch (Havfisk/LNWS)
EBITDA (NOKm) Q2 2018
149
Q2 2017
115
YTD 2018
358
YTD 2017
301
EBIT
(NOKm)
116 86 294 244
Havfisk, catch
volume
Q2 2018 Q2 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2017
Cod 3 817 4 067 13 091 13 492
Haddock 441 2 050 6 987 9 430
5 401 6 585 9 084 9 426
Saithe 4 604 996
Shrimps 3 279 996
Other 5 252 3 070 6 692 4 010
Total 18 190 16 769 40 458 37 355
market reach
Havfisk, prices Q2 2018 Q2 2017 YTD 2018 2017
Cod 31.4 27.4 30.4 26.7
Haddock 24.4 16.5 23.4 18.9
Saithe 10.5 11.2 11.4 11.6
Havfisk, prices Q2 2018 Q 2 2017 YTD 2018 2017
Cod 31.4 27.4 30.4 26.7
Haddock 24.4 16.5 23.4 18.9
Saithe 10.5 11.2 11.4 11.6
  • Lower quotas on cod and haddock, and positive development in demand, gives lift in prices for cod and haddock
  • Investments in fleet gives capacity for more shrimp catches
  • Trawler Kongsfjord sold in Q2/18 with positive impact on profitability of NOK 35m
  • Development of the white fish processing industry in Norway is challenging. The solution is higher efficiency in operations, and broader market reach
  • The solution will require time, and investments. Lerøy is expecting stability in framework conditions to make necessary steps possible for a turn-around of this industry in Norway

Norskott Havbruk (associate, 50% owned by Lerøy Seafood Group)

Revenue (NOKm) Q2 2018
479
Q2 2017
599
YTD 2018
998
YTD 2017
971
EBIT* (NOKm) 174 227 348 370
Harvested
volume (GWT)
6 225 8 437 12 725 14 355
EBIT/kg* (NOK) 28.0 26.9 27.3 25.8
EBIT*/kg

* Before biomass adjustment

** Figures based on 100% basis

  • Satisfactory result, with good biological performance in all regions
  • However, harvested volume in 2018 is impacted by accelerated harvest at some sites in 2017
  • Contract share in the quarter of 45%
  • New RAS facility being built with first eggs in Q4 2018 and first release of smolt in 2019
  • Potential for sustainable, organic growth in coming years
VAP&D – VAP, Sales and Distribution
Q2 2018 Q2 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2017
Revenue (NOKm) 4 807 4 043 9 497 9 035
EBIT
(NOKm)
62 115 127 201
EBIT
margin
1.3 % 2.9 % 1.3 % 2.2 % profitability

Revenue and EBIT margin (line graph)

  • Extremely volatile prices in the quarter, and so far in 2018, creates a challenging operational environment with negative impact on profitability
  • New facilities in start up in both Netherlands and Spain impact profitability level

Outlook

Atlantic salmon – Supply in tons WFE

in tons WFE
2013 Change
12-13
2014 Change
13-14
2015 Change
14-15
2016 Change
15-16
2017 Change
16-17
2018 Change
17-18
2019 Change
18-19
Norway 1 143 600 -3,3 % 1 199 000 4,8 % 1 234 200 2,9 % 1 171 100 -5,1 % 1 207 800 3,1 % 1 297 900 7,5 % 1 354 900 4,4 %
United Kingdom 157 800 -1,0 % 170 500 8,0 % 166 300 -2,5 % 157 400 -5,4 % 174 300 10,7 % 157 000 -9,9 % 176 600 12,5 %
72 600 3,3 % 82 700 13,9 % 75 600 -8,6 % 77 300 2,2 % 80 300 3,9 % 68 800 -14,3 % 78 700 14,4 %
Faroe Islands -32,1 % 12 300 16,0 % 15 700 27,6 % 15 800 0,6 % 17 000 7,6 % 14 300 -15,9 % 17 000 18,9 %
Ireland 10 600 3 600 -18,2 % 8 100 125,0 % 11 500 42,0 % 14 000 21,7 % 19 000 35,7 %
Iceland 3 350 3,1 % 4 400 31,3 %
Total Europe 1 387 950 -3,1 % 1 468 900 5,8 % 1 495 400 1,8 % 1 429 700 -4,4 % 1 490 900 4,3 % 1 552 000 4,1 % 1 646 200 6,1 %
Chile 468 100 28,6 % 582 900 24,5 % 598 200 2,6 % 504 400 -15,7 % 564 200 11,9 % 632 900 12,2 % 645 700 2,0 %
Canada 115 100 -15,7 % 95 000 -17,5 % 135 200 42,3 % 146 000 8,0 % 140 000 -4,1 % 148 400 6,0 % 152 000
USA
Australia
20 300
39 000
3,6 %
-2,5 %
24 000
42 000
18,2 %
7,7 %
20 200
54 400
-15,8 %
29,5 %
22 500
50 900
11,4 %
-6,4 %
21 700
61 800
-3,6 %
21,4 %
18 000
60 700
-17,1 %
-1,8 %
17 500
61 800
2,4 %
-2,8 %
1,8 %
Others 11 200 38,3 % 15 200 35,7 % 13 700 -9,9 % 12 500 -8,8 % 12 100 -3,2 % 13 600 12,4 % 16 000
Total Others 653 700 15,0 % 759 100 16,1 % 821 700 8,2 % 736 300 -10,4 % 799 800 8,6 % 873 600 9,2 % 893 000 17,6 %
2,2 %
Total World-wide 2 041 650 2,1 % 2 228 000 9,1 % 2 317 100 4,0 % 2 166 000 -6,5 % 2 290 700 5,8 % 2 425 600 5,9 % 2 539 200 4,7 %

SPOT prices, fresh Atlantic salmon cross-section, FCA Oslo as of week 32-2018 (Superior quality).

Atlantic salmon - Harvest Quantities Norway in tons WFE

Harvest qty, YTD July: 676 100 +7,9% (626 400)

Harvest qty, YTD July: 816 100 +3,4% (789 500)

Atlantic salmon - Harvest Quantities Europe in tons WFE

18% 4% -8% -3% -2% 5% 13% 5% 2% 5% 4% 8% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 0 20 000 40 000 60 000 80 000 100 000 120 000 140 000 160 000 180 000 200 000 January February March April May June July August September October November December 2015 2016 2017 2018 Chng 17-18 0-line

Atlantic salmon - Harvest Quantities Chile in tons WFE

in tons WFE

Harvest qty, YTD July: 1 323 400 +8,4% (1 221 300)

Atlantic Salmon Consumption 2018 Q2

Source: Kontali / Nasdaq

Atlantic Salmon Consumption 2018 YTD Q2

Source: Kontali / Nasdaq

NOK/KG (NSI 3-6) YTD Q2:

65,52 -3,6 % (67,98)

Atlantic Salmon Consumption (Other markets) 2018 YTD Q2

Figures as per 17.08.2018 Source: Kontali / Nasdaq

Outlook

  • Demand for seafood remains strong, outlook remains positive
  • Harvest guidance for salmon and trout including associates 179.000 GWT for 2018, with lower release from stock cost in H2/18
  • Expected contract share for salmon and trout in Q3/18 ~25%
  • Significant potential in whitefish. Expected catch volume around 65,000 tonnes in 2018, with a y-o-y increase in catch volume of shrimps

CONTACT – Henning Beltestad, [email protected] CONTACT – Sjur Malm, [email protected]