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Leroy Seafood Group Earnings Release 2016

Nov 10, 2016

3653_rns_2016-11-10_3cead7fd-b1a7-4142-9cd8-ef4b84763a46.pdf

Earnings Release

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Lerøy Seafood Group ASA

Q3 2016 November 10th Oslo

Henning Beltestad Sjur S. Malm Webjørn Barstad

Agenda

  • Highlights
  • Key financial figures
  • Outlook

Q3 2016

  • EBIT before FV adj. NOK 481 million
  • EBIT/kg all inclusive NOK 15.2
  • Low biomass into quarter (-10% y-o-y), high flexibility
  • Harvest volume Q3 16 of 31 744 GWT, down 22% y-o-y
  • Contract share of 44%
  • NIBD NOK -2 752 million at end Q3 2016
  • Harvest guidance 152 000 GWT for 2016

Q3 2016

  • The agreement with Aker for acquisition of its shares in Havfisk ASA and Norway Seafoods Group AS was completed, and a offer to acquire all shares in the companies launched
  • End October 2016 Lerøy is the sole owner in both companies
  • These acquisitions will significantly strengthen Lerøy's position in the whitefish segment

Q3: Farming highlights

  • Spot prices above last year
  • NOS Q3/16 NOK 59.7 vs NOK 40.2 in Q3/15 (+49%)
  • Down NOK 3.8/kg q-o-q, and up NOK 19.6/kg y-o-y
  • Trout prices below salmon prices
  • Contract prices well below spot prices
  • Challenging situation in Central Norway
  • Cost in increase from Q2/16
  • Salmon: Cost increase q-o-q
  • Trout: Cost decrease q-o-q
  • Biomass at sea
  • End Q2/16 at 81,700 tons vs 90,661 tons end Q2/15 (-10%)
  • End Q3/16 at 100,656 tons vs 104,840 tons end Q3/15 (-4%)

Q3: VAP and S&D highlights

  • Value added processing (VAP)
  • Revenue NOK 524m, up 9% y-o-y
  • High raw material prices is a challenge
  • EBIT NOK 8.5m (1.6%) in Q3/16 vs. NOK 31m (6.5%) in Q3/15
  • Sales & Distribution
  • Revenue NOK 4 062m, up 27%
  • High raw material prices is a challenge, but consumers willingness to pay is higher than expected
  • EBIT NOK 82m (2.1%) in Q3/16 vs. NOK 60m (2.0%) in Q3/15

Quarterly historic figures

*before biomass adjustment

Havfisk and Norway Seafoods

Havfisk ASA

  • Norway's largest trawler company
  • 11% of the Norwegian white fish quota
  • Fleet of 9 active vessels (and 1 ordered for delivery in January 2018)
  • A highly modern fleet (considerable investments in recent years)
  • All fish are headed and gutted on board
  • Total 2015 catch 58,200 MT head off gutted weight
  • 28,900 MT of cod, 7,900 MT of haddock and 9,100 MT of saithe
  • Owns 5 processing plants linked to trawler licenses, operated by Norway Seafoods

Norway Seafoods Group AS

  • Norway Seafoods is one of Europe's largest processing, sales and distribution companies for white fish
  • Products primarily sold in large retail chains throughout Europe. Sales offices in Norway, Denmark and Spain
  • 9 primary processing facilities
  • 8 in Norway, 1 in Denmark
  • 3 secondary production facilities
  • 2 in Norway, 1 in Denmark
  • Norway's largest sourcing network for white fish
  • On top of 8 primary processing sites in Norway (which also buys fish) 5 buying stations, bringing a total of 13 "buying stations" along the coast of Northern Norway
  • Handling more than 70,000 tons of round fish equivalents of white fish, purchased from more than 600 vessels
  • 2015 turnover of NOK 1,979 million

Strategic fit

Raw material supply

  • Norway Seafoods' sourcing network is a strategic asset to the enlarged Lerøy Seafood Group
  • Norway's largest sourcing network, with 12 stations along the coast of Northern Norway
  • 2/3 of Norwegian white fish quota is held by the coastal fleet, - the majority of this catch is landed locally
  • Hence, important with local presence to secure stable access to this volume

Sales and processing integration

  • Close to all of Norway Seafoods' volumes are sold into the European market; - Lerøy's key downstream market
  • Ability to include Norway Seafoods' volumes into Lerøy's existing "fish-cut" facilities and hence increase factory utilization

* Facility at Melbu (in red) with VAP operations in addition to primary processing and sourcing/buying ** Vardø buying station to be closed down (31.7.2016)

Norway Seafoods sales by product (2015)

'000 tons product weight

Leveraging the strong LSG distribution network EU is our key distribution market…

  • Global reach and sales to more than 70 countries
  • A significant industrial activity within trading, processing, sales and distribution of fish (including white species)
  • Investments in "fish cuts" in end markets recent years
  • Strong European distribution, the most important market for white fish
  • Seeing high demand for white fish products throughout the network

Revolution in fresh/refreshed fish distribution

Well advanced in salmon, just started for white fish

Example from low cost retailer in Norway

  • Fresh and refreshed MAP packets give more efficient value chain, significant improvement in availability as well as more convenient products
  • Driving demand and willingness to pay for both salmon and cod (see data beneath)
  • Example from low cost retailer in Norway, which some years ago did not have fresh fish (see picture)
  • In many other European markets, this trend is well advanced for salmon, but barely started for cod/white fish
  • European retailers see this trend and will to an increasing extent prefer suppliers who can supply a full palette of seafood products
  • Being fully integrated in both salmon and white fish, Lerøy is ideally positioned to become the "full fledged" preferred seafood supplier

Norway Natural fresh prepacked cod volume (MT prod. weight)

Sales per market and product Q3 2016

Farming volumes: Will be dependent on decisions on additional license capacity offered

Licences Smolt
cap.
2011
GWT
2012
GWT
2013
GWT
2014
GWT
2015
GWT
2016E
GWT
2017E
GWT
Lerøy Aurora AS* 26 11,5 18 100 20 000 24 200 26 800 29 200 30 000 39 000
Lerøy Midt
AS
57 22,0 62
300
61 900 58 900 68 300 71 400 53 000 59 000
Lerøy Sjøtroll 63 22,6 56 200 71 600 61 700 63 200 57 100 69 000 67 000
Total Norway 146 56,1 136 600 153 400 144
800
158 300 157 700 152 000 165
000
Villa Organic AS** 6 000
Norskott
Havbruk
(UK)***
10 900 13 600 13 400 13 800 13 500 13 000 15 000
Total 147 500 167 100 158 200 178 100 171 200 165 000 180 000

*) Included harvested volume from Villa Organic after split July 2014

**) LSG's share of Villa Organic's volume in H1 2014, not consolidated

***) LSG's share, not consolidated

Agenda

Highlights Key financial figures Outlook

Key financial figures, Q3 2016

(NOKm) Q3 2016 Q3 2015 ▲%
Revenue 4 268 3 295 30 %
Other gains and losses 0 -3
EBITDA 612 365 68 %
Depreciation & amortisation 131 112
EBIT* 481 253 90 %
Income from associates* 75 15
Net finance -22 -37
Pre-tax profit* 534 231 131 %
EPS (NOK)* 6,36 3,37 89 %
Harvested Volume (GWT) 31 744 40 682 -22 %
EBIT*/kg all inclusive (NOK) 15,2 6,2 144 %
ROCE* (%) 17,9 % 10,7 % 68 %

Key financial figures, YTD 2016

(NOKm) YTD 2016 YTD 2015 ▲%
Revenue 12 345 9 886 25 %
Other gains and losses 0 35
EBITDA 2 185 1 336 64 %
Depreciation & amortisation 359 309
EBIT* 1 826 1 027 78 %
Income from associates* 157 55
Net finance -82 -97
Pre-tax profit* 1 901 985 93 %
EPS (NOK)* 23,45 12,95 81 %
Harvested Volume (GWT) 111 039 116 000 -4 %
EBIT*/kg all inclusive (NOK) 16,4 8,9 86 %
ROCE* (%) 21 % 15 % 43 %

* Before biomass adjustment

Balance sheet

(NOKm) 30.09.2016 31.12.2015 ▲%
Intangible
assets
7 229 4 391 65 %
Tangible fixed assets 4 281 2 900 48 %
Financial non-current assets 725 695 4 %
Total non-current
assets
12 236 7 987 53 %
Biological
assets
at cost
3 469 3 350 4 %
Fair value adjustment of biomass 920 971 -5 %
Other inventory 753 552 36 %
Receivables 2 078 1 877 11 %
Cash and cash equivalents 1 944 1 248 56 %
Total current
assets
9 165 7 997 15 %
Total assets 21 400 15 984 34 %
Equity 12 367 8 764 41 %
Equity ratio 57,8 % 54,8 % 5 %
NIBD 2 752 2 595 6 %

Funding

NOK million 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Later Total
To be paid 420 462 439 568 414 2 184 4 487
Total 730 462 439 568 414 2 184 4 796
Covenants Q3 2016
NIBD/EBITDA <5 1,03
Adj. Equity ratio >30 % 75.2 %

Cash flow / NIBD

Q3 2016 Q3 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015 FY 2015
EBITDA 612 365 2 185 1 336 1 814
Paid tax -1 -7 -201 -357 -376
Working capital 1 -199 138 -347 -662
Other ** 31 20 14 -29 -8
Cash from operating activities 643 178 2 135 603 767
Acquisitions and purchase of shares from minorities *** -2 367 0 -2 367 -68 -88
Net investments in capex and licences -170 -128 -492 -412 -576
Dividends received 25 49 77 49 49
Other investments and disvestments 111 26 32 -48 -50
Cash from investing activities -2 401 -53 -2 750 -480 -665
Net financial cost -33 -36 -93 -91 -128
New equity 0 0 2 174 0 1
Dividends 0 0 -664 -680 -680
Cash from financing activities * -33 -36 1 416 -772 -807
Change in NIBD from business combinations -985 0 -985 -7 -6
Other changes (incl.currency effects) 18 -13 26 -3 -7
Net cash flow / change in NIBD -2 759 77 -157 -658 -719
NIBD at beginning -7 2 611 2 595 1 876 1 876
-77 157 658 719
Change in NIBD 2 759

*** Amount actually paid, before cash receiv ed through business combinations

EBIT per segment

** Only included one month

Lerøy Aurora

Q3 2016 Q3 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015
Revenue (NOKm) 279 285 1 045 907
EBIT* (NOKm) 79 91 371 269
Harvested
volume (GWT)
4 286 5 497 17 465 18 833
EBIT/kg* (NOK) 18.4 16.6 21.2 14.3
  • As expected higher RFS (release-from-stock) cost qo-q, with higher feed costs
  • One site with with external smolt with disappointing results
  • Expect lower RFS cost from Q4 2016
  • Strong growth on 2016G
  • Expected harvest volume in 2017 39,000GWT

EBIT*/kg

Lerøy Midt

Q3 2016 Q3 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015
Revenue (NOKm) 769 864 2 270 2 240
EBIT* (NOKm) 113 86 560 419
Harvested
volume (GWT)
14 161 21 922 41 901 56 292
EBIT/kg* (NOK) 8.0 3.9 13.4 7.4
  • A very challenging quarter
  • Low average harvest weights has significant impact on price realisation, cost, and produced volume
  • Positive development into Q4 2016 and expect significant reductions in costs
  • Expected harvest volume in 2017 is 59,000 GWT

23 * Before biomass adjustment

Lerøy Sjøtroll

Q3 2016 Q3 2015 YTD 2016 YTD
2015
Revenue (NOKm) 907 574 3 227 1 840
EBIT* (NOKm) 200 2 654 78
Harvested
volume (GWT)
13 297 13 263 51 672 40 875
EBIT/kg* (NOK) 15.4 0.1 12.8 1.9
  • 66% of quarterly harvest volume was trout, which continue to be priced at a discount to salmon.
  • Positive development in production. RFS cost decline q-o-q.
  • Expected harvest volume in 2017 is 67 000 GWT

Norskott Havbruk (associate)

Q3 2016 Q3 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015
Revenue (NOKm) 512 463 1 366 1
131
EBIT* (NOKm) 151 36 333 116
Harvested
volume (GWT)
8 148 8 588 22 284 20 733
EBIT/kg* (NOK) 18.6 4.2 15.0 5.6

EBIT*/kg

  • Strong quarter
  • Contract share 50%
  • Biological challenges in Shetland region led to early harvest of some sites with negative impact on volume in Q3, Q4 and Q1 2017
  • Good biological situation in both Scotland and Orkney
  • Expected harvest volume in 2017 is 30 000 GWT

25 * Before biomass adjustment

*before biomass adj

VAP – Value Added Processing

Q3 2016 Q3 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015
Revenue (NOKm) 524 482 1
595
1
374
EBIT
(NOKm)
8 31 45 67
EBIT
margin
1.6 % 6.5 % 2.8 % 4.9 %
  • Challenging price environment
  • Continued focus on adjusting sales prices to reflect raw material prices, which appear to be high for foreseeable future

Revenue and EBIT margin

Sales & Distribution

Q3 2016 Q3 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015
Revenue (NOKm) 3
845
3
024
11 524 9 291
EBIT
(NOKm)
82 60 213 190
EBIT
margin
2.1 % 2.0 % 1.8 % 2.0 %
  • Underlying positive development in many operations, but it takes time to adjust product prices to reflect raw material price
  • Direct relationship with retailers give efficient value chain, and ability to "test" prices on end consumers. End consumers willingness to pay have been higher than expected

Agenda

  • Highlights
  • Key financial figures
  • Outlook

Atlantic salmon – Supply in tons WFE

Change Change Change Change Change Change
2012 11-12 2013 12-13 2014 13-14 2015 14-15 2016 15-16 2017 16-17
Norway 1
183
100
17
7
%
,
1
143
600
-3
3
%
,
1
199
000
4
8
%
,
1
234
200
2
9
%
,
1
182
900
-4
2
%
,
1
219
200
3
1
%
,
United
Kingdom
159
400
3
0
%
,
157
800
-1
0
%
,
170
500
8
0
%
,
166
300
-2
5
%
,
163
000
-2
0
%
,
170
300
4
5
%
,
Faroe
Islands
70
300
24
9
%
,
72
600
3
3
%
,
82
700
13
9
%
,
76
900
0
%
-7
,
80
000
4
0
%
,
89
700
12
1
%
,
Ireland 15
600
-2
5
%
,
10
600
-32
1
%
,
12
300
16
0
%
,
15
700
27
6
%
,
15
000
-4
5
%
,
17
000
13
3
%
,
Iceland 2
900
190
0
%
,
3
100
6
9
%
,
4
000
29
0
%
,
200
5
30
0
%
,
600
7
46
2
%
,
11
000
44
%
7
,
Total
Europe
1
431
300
16
0
%
,
1
387
700
-3
0
%
,
1
468
500
5
8
%
,
1
498
300
2
0
%
,
1
448
500
-3
3
%
,
1
507
200
4
1
%
,
Chile 364
000
64
7
%
,
468
100
28
6
%
,
582
900
24
5
%
,
598
200
2
6
%
,
483
600
-19
2
%
,
501
700
3
7
%
,
Canada 136
500
14
2
%
,
115
100
-15
7
%
,
95
000
-17
5
%
,
135
200
42
3
%
,
143
500
6
1
%
,
141
000
-1
7
%
,
USA 19
600
1
%
7
,
20
300
3
6
%
,
24
000
18
2
%
,
20
200
-15
8
%
,
21
500
6
4
%
,
22
000
2
3
%
,
Australia 40
000
11
1
%
,
39
000
-2
5
%
,
42
000
7
7
%
,
55
000
31
0
%
,
56
000
1
8
%
,
58
000
3
6
%
,
Others 8
100
62
0
%
,
11
200
38
3
%
,
15
200
35
%
7
,
14
900
-2
0
%
,
12
900
-13
4
%
,
13
100
1
6
%
,
Total
Others
568
200
42
1
%
,
653
700
15
0
%
,
759
100
16
1
%
,
823
500
8
5
%
,
717
500
-12
9
%
,
735
800
2
6
%
,
Total
World-wide
1
999
500
22
4
%
,
2
041
400
2
1
%
,
2
227
600
9
1
%
,
2
321
800
4
2
%
,
2
166
000
-6
7
%
,
2
243
000
3
6
%
,

H1 16 NOK 60,79 vs H1 15 38,81 (+56,6)

Q3 16 NOK 59,72 vs Q3 15 NOK 40,17 (+48,67 %)

SPOT prices, fresh Atlantic salmon cross-section, FCA Oslo as of week 42-2016 (Superior quality).

Source: Lerøy/Nasdax

Atlantic salmon - Harvest Quantities Norway in tons WFE

2016

Atlantic salmon - Harvest Quantities Norway in tons WFE

2017

Atlantic salmon - Harvest Quantities UK in tons WFE

Atlantic salmon - Harvest Quantities UK in tons WFE

Atlantic salmon - Harvest Quantities Chile in tons WFE

Atlantic salmon - Harvest Quantities WW in tons WFE

Atlantic Salmon Consumption Q3 2016

NOK/KG (3 -6) Q3: 60,80 +48,4 % (40,98) (NSI -0,75 vs NOS)

Salmon

Market 2014 2015 2016 Growth Growth
%
E
U
261
800
276
200
273
800
2
400
-
1
%
-
USA 91
600
101
800
98
500
3
300
-
3
%
-
Japan 15
200
16
300
15
600
700
-
4
%
-
Other
Markets
155
700
163
600
145
300
18
300
-
11
%
-
Russia 43
700
32
500
17
800
14
700
-
45
%
-
Total
Consumption
568
000
590
400
551
000
39
400
-
7
%
-

2014 2015 2016 Growth %

Atlantic Salmon Consumption YTD october - 2016

NOK/KG (3 -6) YTD w42: 61,31 +54,2 % (39,75) (NSI -0,75 vs NOS)

Salmon
Market
-
2014 2015 2016 Grow
th
Grow
th
%
Japan 52 47 51 4 9
000 100 500 400 %
USA 307 342 350 7 2
300 700 400 700 %
EU 831 891 876 -15 -2
500 500 300 200 %
Other 504 523 496 -27 -5
Markets 000 900 700 200 %
Russia 128 91 60 -30 -34
300 000 400 600 %
Total
Consumption
1
823
100
1
896
200
1
835
300
-60
900
-3
%

Figures as per 31.10.2016 Source: Kontali/Nasdax

EU consumption growth and price at boarder Norway

Outlook

  • Market outlook supports strong prices
  • Global supply decline of ~7% in 2016
  • Global supply increase of 3-4% in 2017
  • Harvest guidance 180.000 GWT (including associates) for 2017

• Expected contract share Q4 ~35%

Integration – Havfisk and Norway Seafoods as part of Lerøy

  • Havfisk becomes a new upstream segment within Lerøy Seafood Group
  • Norway Seafoods Group natural part of VAP and Sales & Distribution segment

Havfisk ASA

Q3 2016 Q3 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015
Revenue (NOKm) 363 267 1 020 771
EBITDA
(NOKm)
137 87 362 261
EBIT
(NOKm)
106 56 272 168
Catch
volume (H/G)
17 189 12 765 50 378 41 429
-of which Cod 8 592 22 049
-of which Haddock 977 10 131
-of
which Saithe
3445 8 773
-of which Shrimps 177 1 433
-of which Other 3998 7
991
EBITDA/kg* (NOK) 8.0 6.8 7.2 6.3
  • Consolidated in LSG from 01.09.2016. One month, equal to EBIT of NOK 18m, included in LSG's consolidated accounts in Q3
  • In Q3 2016 catch value per day increased by 38% due to change in fleet structure, higher catch efficiency and change in product mix with less shrimps
  • Lower fuel costs in Q3, but slightly increased maintenance costs
  • Remaining quota for Q4:
  • Cod 7 834 MT
  • Haddock 2 092
  • Saithe 2 096
  • +Other

Outlook HAVFISK

Robust quota situation 2017:

Cod

Same quota as 2016, new management strategy implemented Increasing F with increasing SSB

Increased annual change rule (20%)

  • Haddock Quota reduction of 5%
  • Saithe North ICES advice + 7%
  • Saithe S

ICES advice + 61% (vessel level ca. +35%)

Cod - new management strategy

Outlook HAVFISK

Scientific expectations beyond 2017:

  • Cod expected to stabilize over the next years
  • Indications that level of old fish is underestimated
  • Haddock expected to reduce further to around 150 200 000 MT (15 30%) and stabilize there
  • Saithe expected to be stable or increase slowly over the next years

Markets

  • Demand for cod is good and prices increasing
  • Returned to normal prices for haddock
  • Stable saithe prices
  • More challenging markets for shrimp and redfish