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Leonardo S.p.A.

Investor Presentation Nov 5, 2020

4038_ip_2020-11-05_047e1238-d727-42c1-a830-4a373463a210.pdf

Investor Presentation

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3Q/9M2020 Results Presentation

Alessandra Genco Chief Financial Officer

Alessandro Profumo Chief Executive Officer

Rome, 5 November 2020

Agenda

-

  • Sector Results

  • Appendix

© 2019 Leonardo - Società per azioni

Key messages Chief Executive Officer

9M 2020 Results Chief Financial Officer

Key messages Well positioned, resilient business reacting effectively to changing market dynamics

  • Successfully and effectively responding to short term challenges with business performing well in the current macro environment
  • Very good performance in military / governmental business and Customer Support & Training, offsetting softness on the civil side
  • Proven ability to capture opportunities in growing military / governmental markets and international programmes
  • Significant backlog providing resiliency and visibility
  • Productivity is continuing to increase and order intake is showing positive signs
  • Strong confidence in our core business fundamentals and well positioned for the medium-long term

Demonstrating resilience in extreme market conditions

COMMERCIALLY
STRONG
ORDERS € 8.5 bn

Inevitable
civil
slowdown
offset
by
continued
military
/
governmental
13%
36%
performance
51%

Strong
support
from
domestic
customers
(i.e
Helicopters
up
ca.
41%
YoY)

Resilient
customer
support
and
training
HELICOPTERS
AERONAUTICS
DEFENCE ELECTRONICS & SECURITY
SOLID RESULTS REVENUES € 9 bn
EBITA € 497 mln
EBITA +3% YoY IMPROVEMENT IN 3Q2020
RoS
+5.5%
-75% YoY
-23% YoY
+3% YoY
-75% YoY
28%
25%
15%
35%
205
251
50%
mln
mln
47%


41
41
HELICOPTERS
AERONAUTICS
HELICOPTERS
AERONAUTICS
1Q2020
2Q2020
3Q2020
1Q2020
DEFENCE ELECTRONICS & SECURITY
DEFENCE ELECTRONICS & SECURITY
-40% YoY
-28% YoY
497
292
1H2020
9M2020
HIGHER
PRODUCTIVITY
COST CUTTING MEASURES BEARING FRUIT

Industrial
efficiency
back
to
normal
in
BUDGET 2020
FY2020
September
BASELINE
TARGET

Productive
hours
recovering
shortfall
€ 2.9 bn
LABOR COST
ca.
Productive hours vs budget
€ 450 mln
€ 1.4 bn
CONTROLLABLE COSTS
-7%
-11%
€ 700-750 mln
40-50%
NET INVESTMENTS
-15%
Benefitting
from Government
Grants
1Q2020
2Q2020
3Q2020
9M2020
ACHIEVEMENT


ahead
of expectations
INCREASINGLY
AGILE

System
promptly
reacting
/
operational
machine
responding
to
new
environment

Rightsized
our
businesses
for
demand
(i.e.
Helicopters
in
the
UK
and
ATR)

Re-oriented
commercial
effort
leveraging
key
pockets
of
demand
STRONG LIQUIDITY AND
FINANCIAL FLEXIBILITY

FOCF
heavily
weighted
towards
Q4

No
need
to
raise
equity

No
need
for
additional
liquidity

No
refinancing
needs
until
2022

© 2020 Leonardo - Società per azioni 4 successfully navigating and responding to 2020 short term challenges

Strong confidence in core business fundamentals and clear path for the future Our business mix is a real strength

STRONG BACKLOG BACKLOG € 35 bn
29%
35%

well
diversified
across
businesses
and
markets
36%

with
very
good
visibility
of
2.5
years
HELICOPTERS
AERONAUTICS
DEFENCE ELECTRONICS & SECURITY
EXPECTED DEFENCE EXPENDITURE*
LEVERAGING GROWING \$
bn
ITALY UK USA POLAND FRANCE NATO TOTAL
MILITARY / 2019E 23.6 59.4 730.1 11.9 49.6 1,031.5
GOVERNMENTAL 2020E 24.9 59.6 785.0 12.0 50.2 1,092.5
MARKETS ∆YoY +5.5% +0.3% +7.5% +0.8% +1.2% +5.9%
* Source: NATO
STRONG
RELATIONSHIPS WITH
DOMESTIC CUSTOMERS

Strategically
relevant
In
Italy,
in
the
UK
and
in
the
US

Leonardo
DRS
fully
aligned
with
DoD
priorities
ANCHORED IN KEY
INTERNATIONAL
PROGRAMMES

Running
and
future,
leveraging
our
presence
on
both
Platforms
&
Systems

Eurofighter
opportunities
in
OE
and
systems
upgrades
(i.e.
radar)

NH90

EuroMale

Tempest
programme

Strong
set
of
export
opportunities
identified
HIGH QUALITY
PRODUCTS AND
SERVICES

Leadership
position
in
key
market
segments

Continued
technological
innovation
leveraging
core
competences
driving
business
opportunities

Growing
customer
support,
service
and
training
activities

© 2020 Leonardo - Società per azioni 5 well positioned for the medium long term

Agenda

-

  • Sector Results

  • Appendix

© 2019 Leonardo - Società per azioni

Key messages Chief Executive Officer

9M 2020 Results Chief Financial Officer

9M 2020 highlights

Resilient top line performance with EBITA steadily recovering QoQ. FOCF reflecting usual seasonality and some pressure from COVID-19

  • Commercially strong performance through 9M2020 despite COVID-19, domestic order intake balancing lower exports
  • Top line on track and stable
    • Order intake of € 8.5 bn, flat YoY
    • Revenues at € 9 bn, flat YoY
  • Strong domestic order intake balancing lower exports
  • EBITA at € 497 mln, down 28% YoY, steadily recovering QoQ, affected by JVs contribution
  • FOCF at € -2.6 bn, reflecting usual seasonality and postponements of cash-ins due to COVID-19, with higher working capital cash absorption

Order Intake

Commercially strong, reflecting continued strength of domestic military / governmental business

€ mln ∆ % YoY
9M2019A 8,579
HELICOPTERS 3,154 +41.2%
ELECTRONICS EUROPE* 2,246 -15.6%
LEONARDO DRS* 2,262 +12.8%
AIRCRAFT** 772 -49.2%
AEROSTRUCTURES** 449 -16.1%
ELIMINATIONS & OTHER -315
9M2020A*** 8,510 -0.8%

* Excluding € 9 mln of Defence Electronics & Security eliminations

** Excluding € 49 mln of Aeronautics eliminations

© 2020 Leonardo - Società per azioni 8 *** Including ca. € 63 mln of positive forex

Revenues

Solid performance across the Group, EFA Kuwait ramping up and Leonardo DRS continuing to grow

€ mln ∆ % YoY
9M2019A 9,134
HELICOPTERS 2,642 -3.4%
ELECTRONICS EUROPE* 2,731 -0.3%
LEONARDO DRS* 1,719 +6.4%
AIRCRAFT** 1,704 +13.4%
AEROSTRUCTURES** 630 -25.5%
ELIMINATIONS & OTHER -320
9M2020A*** 9,025 -1.2%

* Excluding € 32 mln of Defence Electronics & Security eliminations

** Excluding € 49 mln of Aeronautics eliminations

© 2020 Leonardo - Società per azioni 9 *** Including ca. € 47 mln of positive forex

EBITA and Profitability

Improving operationally quarter by quarter, despite negative contribution from JVs and COVID-19

€ mln (RoS) RoS ∆ % YoY
9M2019A 686 7.5%
HELICOPTERS 219 8.3% -18.9%
ELECTRONICS EUROPE 216 7.9% -9.6%
LEONARDO DRS 101 5.9% -1.9%
AIRCRAFT 204 12.0% +8.5%
AEROSTRUCTURES -47 -7.5% -74.1%
ATR -62 n.a. n.m.
SPACE -1 n.a. -104.3%
CORPORATE & OTHER -133 -16.7%
9M2020A* 497 5.5% -27.6%

* Including ca. € 1 mln of positive forex

From EBITA to Net Result

Net Result affected by EBITA performance and higher financial expenses associated with FX hedging

  • EBIT down 39% due to EBITA decrease and COVID-19 extra costs
  • Net Result mainly affected by EBITA performance and by slightly higher financial expenses associated with exchange rate hedging
  • 9M19 Net Result benefitted from the release of the risk provision set against guarantees given upon disposal of transportation business of AnsaldoBreda

Free Operating Cash Flow

Usual seasonality amplified by higher working capital as expected

detailed action plan in place addressing unwinding of working capital of every single programme

Strong liquidity position at ca. € 3.6 bn

Leonardo can leverage multiple sources of liquidity to meet financing needs, even in stress case scenarios

  • 30 September cash balance of ca. € 0.4 bn
  • Available Credit lines worth € 3.1 bn (confirmed and unconfirmed)
  • Bank Bonding lines of € 10.7 bn out of which aproximately € 3.7 bn available to support Leonardo's commercial activity

Balanced debt maturity profile No refinancing needs until 2022

As of today Before last review Date of review
Moody's Ba1 / Stable Outlook Ba1 / Positive Outlook October 2018
S&P BB+ / Stable Outlook BB+ / Positive Outlook April 2020
Fitch BBB-
/ Negative Outlook
BBB-
/ Stable Outlook
May 2020

* Excluding the bond expiring in January 2021, refinanced in July 2020 through issuance of € 500 mln 2026 bond

2020 Guidance

FY2020 GUIDANCE PROVIDED AT 1H RESULTS PROGRESS TOWARDS FY2020 GUIDANCE**

FY2020
Guidance
New Orders (€ bn) 12.5 –
13.5
Revenues (€ bn) 13.2 –
14.0
EBITA (€ mln) 900

950
FOCF (€ mln) heading
to neutral
Group Net Debt (€ bn) ca. 3.3*

* Including € 0.1 bn higher IFRS16 effect, Kopter acquisition (ca. € 0.2 bn) and dividend payment

2020 forex assumptions: € / USD = 1.15 and € / GBP = 0.88

  • Progressing well on Orders anchored on ongoing commercial campaigns
  • Revenues supported by delivery of Backlog and advancement on milestones
  • EBITA supported by productivity improvement and military / governmental activities across the Group
  • Actions in place to control costs delivering expected results and helping offset JVs and civil performance
  • Fully focused on FOCF generation
  • Detailed action plan to deliver cash-ins on every single programme, reflecting exceptionally high concentration of activities in the last 2 months of the year and the current level of COVID-19 related restrictions

** In absence of further worsening of the pandemic and consequent additional restrictions which may compromise operations

Strong business fundamentals to leverage on in the medium- long term

  • Strong backlog of € 35 bn
  • Sound business mix
  • Growing military / governmental and security markets
  • Strong relationships with domestic customers
  • Anchored in key international programmes
  • Innovation leveraging competences and products to enlarge business opportunities
  • Leadership position in key segments of Helicopters, Defence Electronics and Aircrafts, well recognised in export markets

© 2019 Leonardo - Società per azioni 17 Q&A

SECTOR RESULTS

Helicopters

€ mln 3Q 2019 3Q 2020 % Change 9M2019 9M2020 % Change FY 2019
Orders 527 628 +19.2% 2,234 3,154 +41.2% 4,641
Revenues 841 949 +12.8% 2,736 2,642 -3.4 % 4,025
EBITA 70 80 +14.3% 270 219 -18.9% 431
RoS +8.3% +8.4% +0.1 p.p. +9.9% +8.3% -1.6 p.p. +10.7%

Defence Electronics & Security

ELECTRONICS – EU

€ mln 3Q 2019 3Q 2020 % Change 9M2019 9M2020 % Change FY 2019
Orders 652 826 +26.7% 2,660 2,246 -15.6% 4,444
Revenues 867 919 +6.0% 2,738 2,731 -0.3% 4,289
EBITA 67 134 +100.0% 239 216 -9.6% 427
RoS +7.7% +14.6% +6.9 p.p. +8.7% +7.9% -0.8 p.p. +10.0%

LEONARDO DRS

\$
mln
3Q 2019 3Q 2020 % Change 9M2019 9M2020 % Change FY 2019
Orders 676 951 +40.7% 2,253 2,543 +12.9% 2,923
Revenues 687 713 +3.8% 1,816 1,932 +6.4% 2,729
EBITA 53 44 -17.0% 116 114 -2.0% 208
RoS +7.7% +6.2% -1.5 p.p. +6.4% +5.9% -0.5 p.p. +7.6%

Avg. exchange rate €/\$ @ 1.12412 in 9M2020 Avg. exchange rate €/\$ @ 1.12371 in 9M2019

Aeronautics

AIRCRAFT

€ mln 3Q 2019 3Q 2020 % Change 9M2019 9M2020 % Change FY 2019
Orders 534 103 -80.7% 1,521 772 -49.2% 1,904
Revenues 641 630 -1.7% 1,502 1,704 +13.4% 2,329
EBITA 58 82 +41.4% 188 204 +8.5% 320
RoS +9.0% +13.0% +4.0 p.p. +12.5% +12.0% -0.5 p.p. +13.7%

AEROSTRUCTURES +


mln
3Q 2019 3Q 2020 % Change 9M2019 9M2020 % Change FY 2019
Orders 162 106 -34.6% 535 449 -16.1% 948
Revenues 289 157 -45.7% 846 630 -25.5% 1,125
EBITA -19 -35 -84.2% -27 -47 -74.1% -11
RoS -6.6% -22.2% -15.6 p.p. -3.2% -7.5% -4.3 p.p. -1.0%

ATR


mln
3Q 2019 3Q 2020 % Change 9M2019 9M2020 % Change FY 2019
EBITA 5 -28 -660% 4 -62 -1,650% 53

Space

€ mln 3Q 2019 3Q 2020 % Change 9M2019 9M2020 % Change FY 2019
EBITA 10 9 -10.0% 23 -1 -104.3% 39

APPENDIX

3Q/9M 2020 Results Group Performance

3Q 2019 3Q 2020 % Change 9M2019 9M2020 % Change
€ mln
New Orders
2,434 2,406 -1.2% 8,579 8,510 -0.8%
Backlog 35,672 34,980 -1.9%
Revenues 3,172 3,147 -0.8% 9,134 9,025 -1.2%
EBITA 199 205 +3.0% 686 497 -27.6%
RoS +6.3% +6.5% +0.2 p.p. +7.5% +5.5% -2.0 p.p.
EBIT 186 168 -9.7% 648 395 -39.0%
EBIT Margin +5.9% +5.3% -0.6 p.p. +7.1% +4.4% -2.7 p.p
Net result
before
extraordinary
transactions
115 76 -33.9% 367 135 -63.2%
Net result 116 77 -33.6% 465 137 -70.5%
EPS (€ cents) 0.202 0.134 -33.7% 0.809 0.237 -70.7%
FOCF -167 -707 -323.4% -1,217 -2,596 -113.3%
Group Net Debt 4,301 5,884 +36.8% 4,301 5,884 +36.8%
Headcount 49,234 49,973 +1.5%

© 2020 Leonardo - Società per azioni 24 Free Operating Cash-Flow (FOCF): is the sum of the cash flows generated by (used in) operating activities (which includes interests and income taxes paid) and the cash flows generated by (used in) ordinary investment activity (property, plant and equipment and intangible assets) and dividends received

Covenant FY2019

FY2019A
Post IFRS 16
FY2019A
Post IFRS 16
EBITDA* € 1,743 mln Group Net Debt € 2,847 mln
Net Interest -
€ 182 mln
Leasing (IFRS 16) -
€ 451 mln
Financial Debt
to
MBDA
-
€ 651 mln
Group Net Debt
for Covenant
€ 1,745 mln
EBITDA € 1,743 mln
EBITDA / Net Interest 9.6 Group Net Debt
/ EBITDA
1.0
THRESHOLD > 3.25 THRESHOLD < 3.75

* EBITDA net of depreciation of rights of use

SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT

NOTE: Some of the statements included in this document are not historical facts but rather statements of future expectations, also related to future economic and financial performance, to be considered forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on Company's views and assumptions as of the date of the statements and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Given these uncertainties, you should not rely on forward-looking statements.

The following factors could affect our forward-looking statements: the ability to obtain or the timing of obtaining future government awards; the availability of government funding and customer requirements both domestically and internationally; changes in government or customer priorities due to programme reviews or revisions to strategic objectives (including changes in priorities to respond to terrorist threats or to improve homeland security); difficulties in developing and producing operationally advanced technology systems; the competitive environment; economic business and political conditions domestically and internationally; programme performance and the timing of contract payments; the timing and customer acceptance of product deliveries and launches; our ability to achieve or realise savings for our customers or ourselves through our global cost-cutting programme and other financial management programmes; and the outcome of contingencies (including completion of any acquisitions and divestitures, litigation and environmental remediation efforts).

These are only some of the numerous factors that may affect the forward-looking statements contained in this document. The Company undertakes no obligation to revise or update forward-looking statements as a result of new information since these statements may no longer be accurate or timely.

Contacts

Valeria Ricciotti

Head of Investor Relations and Credit Rating Agencies

+39 06 32473.697

[email protected]

Leonardo Investor Relations and Credit Rating Agencies

+39 06 32473.512

[email protected]

© 2019 Leonardo - Società per azioni 27

leonardocompany.com

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