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Leonardo S.p.A. — Investor Presentation 2018
Jan 30, 2018
4038_ip_2018-01-30_27710fa6-4973-4cef-a345-458bdae3a05c.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Industrial Plan Presentation
Vergiate (VA), 30 January 2018
Agenda
Part 1: Context and overview
- Context and industrial plan overview
- Helicopter division insight and action
Part 2: Strategy for growth
- Executing our growth strategy
- Enhanced commercial strategy
- Financial Plan
- Concluding remarks
- Q&A
Introduction Raffaella Luglini, EVP External Relations, Communication, Italian Institutional Affairs, Investor Relations and Sustainability
Alessandro Profumo, CEO
Gian Piero Cutillo, MD Helicopters Division
2
Lorenzo Mariani, CCO Alessandra Genco, CFO Alessandro Profumo, CEO Alessandro Profumo, CEO
Leonardo Industrial Plan
Context and industrial plan overview
Alessandro Profumo Chief Executive Officer
Vergiate (VA), 30 January 2018
A plan to return to sustainable profitable growth
A lot was achieved in Leonardo in recent years
Took the right steps in weak markets…
STRONG ACTIONS ON COSTS
…hard for the business…but necessary
The re-set in 2017 was disappointing
Created two perspectives for today…
Addressing the short-term to move forward with our long-term discussion
The re-set in 2017 was disappointing
Temporary issues in the Helicopters division
EXTERNAL FACTORS INTERNAL FACTORS FINANCIAL IMPACTS
| Lower profitability on young products |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Some extra costs & delays |
||||
| Customer claims |
||||
| FY17E | FY17E | |||
| Revenues |
EBITA |
|||
The re-set in 2017 was disappointing
Helicopters remains a strong and high quality business
Fundamentals remain strong
- Taking market share
- Quality leadership vs. peers
- Strong profitability vs. key peer
Confidence in a recovery
- Changed leadership
- New disciplines
- New commercial strategy
- But realistic on timing
Leonardo still taking market share…
Civil market share…
Strong profitability in Helicopters FY17e
Confident about the opportunity for Leonardo
We are entering a new phase: back to growth
- Our target markets will grow by 6%
- High quality products
- Highly valued by our customers
- International footprint
- Balance of Civil and Military
- Leverage a broad product portfolio
- Positioned for market trends
High quality products valued by our customers
trends%¹
© Leonardo - Società per azioni
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We are going to set this business up to win
We are going to set this business up to win
We cannot cut our way to sustainable growth…
New commercial strategy
- New CCO organisation
- Increased presence in international markets
- Leverage «One Company»
- Increased Customer Support & Services
Focused investment
- Sales organisations
- Product leadership
Digitalisation
Investing in an extended representative offices network 2018-2022
We are going to set this business up to win
Strict cost control delivered through clear actions
Initiatives
- Strategic Sourcing
- Spending continuous improvement
- Offload optimization
- Should cost on proprietary products
- Engineering excellence
- Zero defects manufactoring and industry 4.0
- Material handling & logistic optimization
- Real estate management
- Discretional cost management
- Competence mix change
A new sustainable financial model
Doing the right things for the long-term: Sustainable profitable growth…
Return to top-line growth
Strict cost control, reinvested in growth Sustainable improvement in profitability
Focus on cash and a stronger capital structure
2018-2022 cumulated orders
Annualised savings identified
C.€200mln
5%-6% C.80%
5 yr. Revenue CAGR
Reinvested in competitiveness & capability
ROS by 2020
8%-10%
Avg. 2015-2018 CF Conversion; Accelerating FOCF from 2020
Investment grade
5yr EBITA CAGR
Credit rating
13
…2018 planting the seeds for growth
A plan to return to sustainable profitable growth
We are confident about the opportunity for Leonardo
We are going to set this business up to win
A sustainable financial strategy
Now it's time to execute
Leonardo Industrial Plan
Helicopter division insight and action
Gian Piero Cutillo MD Helicopters Division
Vergiate (VA), 30 January 2018
Key Messages
We have a high quality Helicopters business with the right product strategy We are clear why we didn't perform in 2017 and we have taken action We have a great opportunity in the right areas of an improving market We are executing a plan to deliver a return to sustainable growth
We have a high quality Helicopters business
There is no structural problem
We have a high quality Helicopters business
The answers in two very different business/markets
We are clear why we didn't perform in 2017…
Strong External Factors in the Civil Market
19
Source: Internal analysis on Leonardo Helicopters reference civil market; Economic Condition 2017; third parties analysis
Illustrating the mix shift in civil 3–10 tonnes range
Leonardo 3–10 tonnes classes revenues have grown between 2012 and 2017 – taking share, but mix impacted profitability
Source: Internal analysis on Leonardo Helicopters reference civil market; Economic Condition 2017; third parties analysis
We are clear why we didn't perform in 2017…
Lack of Discipline and Agility in our industrial response
Financial impacts We are clear why we didn't perform in 2017…
Lower revenues due to
- Decline in the civil market
- Mix effect
-
Reduced contribution from military programs in 2017
-
Lower profitability due to
- Lower volumes
- Mix change
- Reworks and inefficiencies
- Issues on specific 2017 military contracts
Action taken to restore core disciplines in our processes
…and we have taken action
Discipline in the governance
- Agility in the industrial operations, both in internal production shop floors and in supply chain management
- Effectiveness, driven by an Integrated Planning & Control process across all key stakeholders
- Clear accountability, though operating model revamping, impacting organization, processes and key people
- Financial awareness spread across the entire organisation
GUIDING PRINCIPLES IMMEDIATE ACTIONS TAKEN
- Execution Excellence programme enhanced
- New integrated planning and control operating model launched
- Production flow and supply chain logics changed
- Commercial organisation and approach to market improved, also enhancing forecasting capabilities
We have a great opportunity in an improving market
Well positioned in the right areas of Civil
CIVIL HELICOPTERS MARKET FORECAST
24
Source: Internal analysis on Leonardo Helicopters reference civil market; Economic Condition 2017; third parties analysis
We have a great opportunity in an improving market
Catching non linear opportunities
MILITARY HELICOPTERS MARKET FORECAST
25
Source: Internal analysis on Leonardo Helicopters reference civil market; Economic Condition 2017; third parties analysis
Executing a plan to deliver a return to sustainable growth
Key pillars for sustainable growth
Executing a plan to deliver a return to sustainable growth
Focus on Technology & Innovation Leadership
Consolidate innovation leadership and technological excellence by developing, maintaining and expanding state-ofthe-art and front-end product development & innovation capabilities across the entire Product Portfolio
Executing a plan to deliver a return to sustainable growth
Focus On Execution Excellence: Improvement Program
Continuous improvement program to deliver execution excellence and improve product market attractiveness, lower operating costs and cash generation
Executing a plan to deliver a return to sustainable growth Realistic expectations
LEONARDO HELICOPTERS REVENUES € bn
- Back to double digit profitability by 2020
- A return to growth supported by an healthier market outlook
- Capturing growth by improving actions already deployed
- Aimed at delivering effectively what we have planned
- Roughly 90% of our deliveries in 2018 already have a clear configuration
29
Well balanced growth across the three key segments of Civil, Military and Customer Support & Training
Key Messages
We have a high quality Helicopters business with the right product strategy We are clear why we didn't perform in 2017 and we have taken action We have a great opportunity in the right areas of an improving market We are executing a plan to deliver a return to sustainable growth
Leonardo Industrial Plan
Executing our growth strategy
Alessandro Profumo Chief Executive Officer
Vergiate (VA), 30 January 2018
Executing our growth strategy
Improving markets provide a strong backdrop for our future growth
More than just helicopters– strong portfolio focused on 3 core business
32
We are setting up this business to win
Strong fundamental growth drivers
- Uncertainty in Europe (immigration flows and election in several Nations)
-
New US Defence and international policy
-
About 3% CAGR of Procurement + RDT&A in 2017-2022
- European growth mainly driven by France, Germany and UK
- Flat Italian Defence Budget, still below 2% NATO Target
GLOBAL OUTLOOK LEONARDO TARGET MARKET
- Our reference market is € 113 bn per year, 19% of total A,D&S reference market
- Ca. 6% 5 years CAGR in 2018-2022
- Highest growth perspectives in Military Aircraft, Civil Helicopters and Security; slight contraction in Military Helicopters
DEFENCE BUDGETS LEONARDO COMPETITIVE POSITIONING
-
10 global A,D&S players; new comers are changing the competitive landscape
- Most diversified portfolio vs Peers
- Some areas of leadership (i.e. civil helicopters, trainers, radar and sensors, naval guns)
Our core categories are all expected to grow
TOTAL A&D MARKET- EVOLUTION BY BUSINESS - € bn
- Material recovery in Civil Helicopters
- Major key programmes in Military Aeronautics (Combat & Trainers)
- Defence Systems & Electronics sustained by international crisis threats
34
Key opportunities in Space
Focus on Defence Budgets - Worldwide
Sources: IHS Jane's Nov2017 and Leonardo estimates; Exchange rate \$/€= 0,90372; IHS Janes - Nov. 2017 RID 7/17
Our domestic markets remain stable… with some opportunities
Substantially flat Defence Budget
- Possible additional funds in the next few years
- Italy is bucking the trend compared to other NATO Countries
-
Procurement continue to receive a limited amount
-
Confirmation of the Security initiatives outlined in the SDSR and funding
- Defence Equipment Plan in place
- Brexit uncertainties
Increasing trend in US Defence Spending more than 3% of National GDP
Procurement expected to grow
Boosted Cyber Security funds (Cyberspace included)
Some funds allocated to Foreign Military Financing
36
Sources: IHS Jane's Nov2017 and Leonardo estimates; Exchange rate £/€= 1.22448; IHS Janes - Nov. 2017 RID 7/17
Potential opportunities from European spending and 2% GDP NATO countries target
Source: Leonardo elaboration on Budget NATO estimate, 2017
More than just a helicopters business
…Strong portfolio focused on 3 core divisions
| Helicopters | Defence and Electronics |
Aeronautics |
|---|---|---|
| 30% of 2016 Revenue | 45% of 2016 Revenue | 25% of 2016 Revenue |
More than just a helicopters business
European leader in Electronics, Defence and Security Systems
Leader in Military Defence Electronics
- Radars and sensors
- On-board avionics
- Electronic warfare systems
- ISTAR Avionic Surveillance
- C4I Systems / Aero Defence
- Naval systems
- Combat systems
- Combat management Systems
- Cyber Security
Exposure to the Biggest Defence Market (US) through DRS
More than just a helicopters business
Key programmes and technologies to sustain Aeronautics in the long term
| International Cooperation Programmes |
|---|
| Eurofighter Typhoon |
| F-35 Lightning II |
| Able to provide complete solutions in Military Training Syllabus |
| Trainer Aircraft (M-345 HET, M-346) |
| Ground Based Training System (GBTS) for pilots and ground crew |
| UAVs Evolution (UCAV) |
| Tactical Transport Aircraft & Special Mission |
| C27-J |
| Cutting Edge Technologies in structural components (i.e. B787) |
| Regional Transport Aircraft (ATR) |
Strong portfolio based on 3 core divisions
We are clear on our strengths and weaknesses
STRENGTHS
Strong and innovative product portfolio
- Civil Helicopters, Trainers, Naval Armaments, Radars and Sensors
- Space, Missiles, Regional Turboprop (in JVs / Partnerships)
- Well recognized position as a «trusted partner»
WEAKNESSES
Business Technologies
Mastering of «CORE» technologies
- Radar systems
- Electro-optical systems
- Cyber security and intelligence
- Aircraft systems integration and certification
- Continuous upgrading of products by technology insertion, following Customer requirements
Too diversified portfolio compared to other international peers
- Fragmentation / scattering of resources
- Different positions along the industrial value-chain
- Sub-optimal cash generation in some business lines
- Limited market share in a number of business lines
Business Technologies
- More technology driven than market oriented
-
Cautious exploration and adoption of «NEW» technologies
-
Digital transformation of products
- More electric
- New materials and processes
Strong portfolio focused on 3 core divisions
Still too diversified product portfolio
| Main Lines of business |
||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civil Helicopters | | | | |||||
| HELICOPTERS | Military Helicopters | | | | ||||
| Civil Aircraft* | | | ||||||
| Military Aircraft | | | | | | |||
| AERONAUTICS | Trainers | | | | | |||
| UAS | | | | | | | | |
| Aerostructures | | | ||||||
| DEFENCE | Avionics Systems | | | | | | | |
| ELECTRONICS & |
Land and Naval Systems | | | | | | | |
| SECURITY | Security | | | | | | | |
| DEFENCE SYSTEMS | Land Armaments | | | |||||
| Naval Armaments | | | ||||||
| Missiles | | | | | | | | |
| Underwater-Torpedoes | | | | | ||||
| SPACE | Services | | | | ||||
| Manufacturing | | | | | |
Note: benchmark based on quali-quantitative evaluation with reference to: (i) revenues by segment, (ii) technology / product portfolio, (iii) market positioning, and (iv) market competitiveness
(*): Leonardo is active in the Regional Aircraft business through ATR
We have a well positioned portfolio focused on 3 core business
Still too diversified – what are we going to do about it?
Portfolio reshaping
- 1. Allocation of capital
- Directed to our core businesses and competencies
- 2. Partnering with other/larger companies
- Broader shoulders to access commercial opportunities
- Reduces investment of capital and management time
- 3. Selected disposals and acquisitions
- We will update you when we have something to say
We are setting up this business to win
We are setting up this business to win
Leonardo 2.0 in a Nutshell
INSPIRING PRINCIPLES OPERATIONS
- Gather Leonardo's people under the same core values, revolving around customer satisfaction, technological innovation and integrity
- People at the center of Leonardo
- Enhance the "ONE Company" organization model
COST TRANSFORMATION
- Materially improve cost position through short-term and long term initiatives
-
Launch Group wide cost transformation program
-
Materially improve industrial performance across the entire value chain
- Enhance engineering
- Revamp shop-floor "Zero Defects Manufacturing & Industry 4.0" Program
- Evolve relationship with suppliers
ORGANIZATION ENABLERS
- Set-up central governance of Group improvement initiatives
- Improve working environment through office spaces and buildings rationalization
We are setting up this business to win
Research and Development Activities
List of products is not exhaustive
Leonardo Industrial Plan
Enhanced commercial strategy
Lorenzo Mariani Chief Commercial Officer
Vergiate (VA), 30 January 2018
Key Messages
Solid Order Intake Plan
Key Strategic Campaigns
Leveraging International Presence: Offices & Subsidiaries
• Enhanced Customer Support
……back to growth
We are entering a new phase of sustainable growth
A challenging but realistic Order Intake Plan
2018-2022 Order CAGR >6%, well balanced on the three Key Business
- Helicopters
- Aircrafts
- Electronics for Defence & Security
Three Key Pillars for Growth
- Internationalization
- International Offices
- Subsidaries & JVs
- Regional Logistic Hubs
- Strategic campaigns
-
€ 20 bn
- 70 key campaigns
Customer Support Development growing market and emerging requirements
Customer intimacy ……back to growth
49
Solid Order Intake Plan supported by strategic caimpaigns
- Material recovery in Military Helicopters driven by Key Large Campaigns
- Aircrafts growth sustained by EFA and Trainers
- ED&S' positive trend driven by Avionics, Naval, Cyber & DRS
- Customer Support up from current <20% to > 25%
Key Strategic Campaigns
Being closer to the customers and its needs
-
70 Key Campaigns for over € 20 bn in 2018-2020, excluding US «Big shots» in US, not included in baseline plan: T-100, UH-1N Top priority Countries accounting for over € 1 bn each Algeria Qatar Poland Pakistan
- Kuwait
Malaysia
Saudi
Egypt
Centralised Governance challenging and control, full divisional accountability, continuous tracking, focused team
Tight link with the Country & Regional Offices, full Support of Italian & UK Institutions, coordinated UK & IT efforts on Export caimpaigns (i.e. Helicopters)
Key Strategic Campaigns
Strong opportunities to address worldwide customers needs leveraging on the «One Company» – «One Voice»
Leveraging on International presence
Offices & Subsidiaries
- 25 Offices & Subsidaries at the end of 2017 More than 10 new initiatives in 2018 – 2019 More than 25 new initiatives in the Plan Link with key strategic campaigns: Algeria Bahrain Azerbaijan Egypt Poland Pakistan Australia Thailand
- Proximity to the Customer
- Daily check of Key Campaigns
- Building requirements
- Logistic support
- Better understanding of the competitive environment
Offices and Subsidiaries
Strengthening exisisting International Representative Offices Network
© Leonardo - Società per azioni
Enhanced Customer Support
- 2017 2022 CAGR c. 10%
- Customer Support Target: >25% of Order Intake by end of plan
- Positive trend in Aircraft, Helicopters and Electronics
- 4 Main Areas
- Regional Hubs for enhanced local capability
- Dedicated Organization in each Division with challenging & control from CCO on best practices
- Manufacturing & Supply Chain specific processes
- Enhanced product portfolio
CUSTOMER SUPPORT & SERVICE
GROUP ORDER INTAKE
…exploiting significant opportunities
© Leonardo - Società per azioni
Mid Life Upgrade (MLU):
Already applied to Land and Naval environment
Advanced Training
Training School: an innovative approach in partnership with Italian Air Force
Leonardo Industrial Plan
Financial Plan
Alessandra Genco Chief Financial Officer
Vergiate (VA), 30 January 2018
Key Messages
Entering a new phase…
…back to growth
2017 was a year of rebasing
We had to reset in challenging markets…
| FY2016A | FY2017E (as at March 2017) |
FY2017E (as at November 2017) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New orders | € bn |
20.0 | 12.0 – 12.5 |
c. 12.0 Assuming finalization of C27J export contracts |
11.3 – 11.7 |
| Revenues | € bn |
12.0 | c. 12.0 | 11.5 – 12.0 |
|
| EBITA | € mln |
1,252 | 1,250 – 1,300 |
1,050 – 1,100 |
|
| FOCF | € mln |
706 | 500 – 600 |
500 – 600 Assuming cash-in of EFA Kuwait payments related to 2017 milestones |
|
| Group Net Debt | € bn |
2.8 | c. 2.5 | c. 2.6 Including the effect of US bond buyback |
Exchange rate assumptions: €/USD 1.15 and €/GBP 0.85
Re-base in Helicopters
- Order intake affected by key export order slippage
- 2017E Revenues, EBITA and FOCF towards the lower end of Guidance
… continued confidence in medium-term opportunities
Core strenghts of our Group
- Best in class business
- Outstanding product portfolio
Leading margins
HELICOPTERS DEFENCE ELECTRONICS AIRCRAFTS
-
- Solid business built on long term contracts
- Healthy backlog
- Key export market exposure
Key player in leading international programmes
Strong backlog
Attractive product portfolio (i.e. Family Trainer)
Strong Order Intake
Stable and Sustainable Revenue Growth
Profitability back to double digit by 2020
Investing in sustainable growth
€ mln
- Emphasis on key technologies and products for long term sustainability
- Short term investments for the One Company full deployment (i.e. digital transformation)
Working Capital under control while supporting growth
€ mln
Operating Working Capital on Revenues, net of customer advances, almost stable/ slightly reducing thanks to initiatives
- Working Capital efforts aimed at improving industrial processes through effective integrated planning
- Set specific targets and actions on key working capital components
- Define clear accountability and set the appropriate incentive scheme
FOCF remains a priority, but timing will impact 2018 and 2019
…growing Cash flow conversion rate* beyond 2019
(*) FOCF/EBITA after cash financial charges and cash taxes
Executing on our Financial Strategy: Reduce Debt
Gross Debt Reduction1
Only a portion of expiring debt refinanced
TARGET REDUCTION BY 2020
(1) Bonds and EIB Loan
Delivering more than promised in 2017
… And we plan to do more in 2018 – 2020
| As of today |
Before last review |
Date of review | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moody's | Ba1 / Positive Outlook | Ba1 / Stable Outlook |
May 2017 |
| S&P | BB+ / Stable Outlook |
BB+ / Negative Outlook | April 2015 |
| Fitch | BBB- / Stable Outlook |
BB+ / Positive Outlook | October 2017 |
…fully committed to Investment Grade
Executing on our Financial Strategy: Reduce Cost of Funding
In 2017 retired bonds with an average coupon of 5.5% (both in euro and in dollar buyback transaction w/\$ 200mln NPV)
- New bond Issued in June 2017 at 1.6% yield
- Revolving Credit Facility renegotiated at lower margin
(1) Year End Bonds and EIB Loan Funding Cost
Revolving Credit Facility Renegotiation
Bank Commitments for €3.6bn → 2x Oversubscribed
2018 Guidance: planting the seeds for growth
| FY2017E | FY2018E | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| New orders | € bn |
11.3 – 11.7 Assuming finalization of C27J export contracts |
12.5 – 13.0 |
| Revenues | € bn |
11.5 –12.0 | 11.5 – 12.0 |
| EBITA | € mln |
1,050 – 1,100 |
1,075 – 1,125 |
| FOCF | € mln |
500 – 600 Assuming cash-in of EFA Kuwait payments related to 2017 milestones |
c.100 |
| Group Net Debt | € bn |
c. 2.6 Including the effect of US bond buyback |
c. 2.6 |
Exchange rate assumptions: €/USD 1.20 and €/GBP 0.90
…moving to growth
Getting back to sustainable profitable growth
73
© Leonardo - Società per azioni
Leonardo Industrial Plan
Concluding remarks
Alessandro Profumo Chief Executive Officer
Vergiate (VA), 30 January 2018
Concluding Remarks
A plan to return to sustainable profitable growth
We are going to set this business up to win
- Leonardo 2.0
- Enhanced Commercial Approach
- Investments for Growth
- Cost control
Disciplined financial strategy
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION
SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT
NOTE: Some of the statements included in this document are not historical facts but rather statements of future expectations, also related to future economic and financial performance, to be considered forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on Company's views and assumptions as of the date of the statements and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Given these uncertainties, you should not rely on forward-looking statements.
The following factors could affect our forward-looking statements: the ability to obtain or the timing of obtaining future government awards; the availability of government funding and customer requirements both domestically and internationally; changes in government or customer priorities due to programme reviews or revisions to strategic objectives (including changes in priorities to respond to terrorist threats or to improve homeland security); difficulties in developing and producing operationally advanced technology systems; the competitive environment; economic business and political conditions domestically and internationally; programme performance and the timing of contract payments; the timing and customer acceptance of product deliveries and launches; our ability to achieve or realise savings for our customers or ourselves through our global cost-cutting programme and other financial management programmes; and the outcome of contingencies (including completion of any acquisitions and divestitures, litigation and environmental remediation efforts).
These are only some of the numerous factors that may affect the forward-looking statements contained in this document.
The Company undertakes no obligation to revise or update forward-looking statements as a result of new information since these statements may no longer be accurate or timely.
Contacts
Raffaella Luglini
EVP External Relations, Communication, Italian Institutional Affairs, Investor Relations and Sustainability +39 06 32473.066 [email protected]
Valeria Ricciotti
Equity & Fixed Income Analysts & Investors and Relationship with Credit Rating Agencies +39 06 32473.697 [email protected]
Manuel Liotta
Group Sustainability & ESG +39 06 32473.666 [email protected]
© Leonardo - Società per azioni [email protected] www.leonardocompany.com/investors