Earnings Release • Nov 8, 2018
Earnings Release
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Alessandro Profumo Chief Executive Officer Alessandra Genco Chief Financial Officer
Rome, 8 November 2018
Investor Relations & Credit Rating Agencies
Chief Executive Officer
Chief Financial Officer
FY2018 guidance confirmed
Executing our Industrial Plan aimed at long term sustainable growth
ORDER BACKLOG as at 30 September 2018 = ca. € 35 bn
ORDER BACKLOG € 11.8 bn 33% of total
ORDER BACKLOG € 11.5 bn 33% of total
ORDER BACKLOG € 12.0 bn 34% of total
Well balanced across all businesses
Large orders providing long term visibility
€ 3 bn NH90 Qatar contract booked in August (Q3)
Well positioned for long term growth of the business
Leader in 3.2-10 tonnes range
1H 2018 CIVIL MARKET VALUE*
On track to deliver improvement in profitability
*Latest data available refers to 1H 2018
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© Leonardo - Società per azioni
Strong «soft backlog» creates long term visibility
Revenue growth reflects ability to scale production to support new programme awards
Early retirement plan signed with Italian Unions
LEAP 2020 Programme to optimise supply chain
Sustainability as a base of the Industrial Plan
Membership of the United Nations Global Compact
For the 9 th year in a row in the Dow Jones Sustainability Indices
The 1 st company among the top 10 global players in the AD&S to obtain certification (Anti Bribery Management Systems Certification)
Sharper commercial focus (+20% YoY Order Intake)
Increasing commercial momentum
Strong backlog to support sustainable top-line growth (€ 35 bn as at end of September)
Solid financial strategy
Chief Executive Officer
Chief Financial Officer
Orders at € 9.4 bn, up 20% in constant currency, driven by NH90 Qatar
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FY2018 Guidance confirmed, as revised upwards in July
Strong performance, up 20%, mainly driven by NH90 Qatar
*9M 2017 IFRS15 restated
Solid performance across all businesses; lower contribution from ATR
| FY2017A Restated |
FY2018E at January '18 |
FY2018E at July '18 |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New orders | € bn | 11.6 | 12.5 – 13.0 |
14.0 – 14.5 |
| Revenues | € bn | 11.7 | 11.5 – 12.0 |
11.5 – 12.0 |
| EBITA | € bn | 1.08 | 1.075 – 1.125 |
1.075 – 1.125 |
| FOCF | € mln | 537 | ca.100 | 300 – 350 |
| Group Net Debt | € bn | 2.6 | ca. 2.6 | ca. 2.4 |
2018 exchange rate assumptions: €/USD 1.20 and €/GBP 0.90
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION
| 3Q | 9M | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $\epsilon$ mln | FY2017 Restated |
2017 Restated |
2018 | $\%$ Change |
2017 Restated |
2018 | % Change |
||
| Orders | 3,153 | 568 | 3,356 | 490.8% | 1,710 | 4,685 | 174.0% | ||
| Revenues | 3,438 | 659 | 826 | 25.3% | 2,413 | 2,656 | 10.1% | ||
| EBITA | 281 | 44 | 64 | 45.5% | 231 | 217 | $-6.1%$ | ||
| RoS | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | $+1.0 p.p.$ | 9.6% | 8.2% | $-1.4 p.p.$ |
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| 3Q | 9M | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $\epsilon$ mln | FY2017 Restated |
2017 Restated |
2018 | $\%$ Change |
2017 Restated |
2018 | $\%$ Change |
||
| Orders | 6,146 | 2,040 | 1,214 | $-40.5%$ | 4,400 | 3.569 | $-18.9%$ | ||
| Revenues | 5.550 | 1.205 | 1.334 | 10.7% | 3.679 | 3.855 | 4.8% | ||
| EBITA | 537 | 74 | 81 | 9.5% | 282 | 288 | 2.1% | ||
| RoS | 9.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | $-0.2 p.p.$ |
| 3Q | 9M | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| \$mln | FY2017 Restated |
2017 Restated |
2018 | % Change |
2017 Restated |
2018 | $\%$ Change |
||
| Orders | 2.016 | 611 | 700 | 14.6% | 1,541 | 1.950 | 26.5% | ||
| Revenues | 1.947 | 522 | 582 | 11.5% | 1.318 | 1.541 | 16.9% | ||
| EBITA | 146 | 34 | 38 | 11.8% | 85 | 84 | $-1.2%$ | ||
| RoS | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | $-0.9 p.p.$ | |||
| EBITA excluding TX costs | 153 | 37 | 45 | 21.6% | 90 | 102 | 13.3% | ||
| RoS excluding TX costs | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | $+0.6 p.p.$ | 6.8% | 6.6% | $-0.2 p.p.$ |
Avg. exchange rate €/\$ @ 1.1949 in 9M2018 Avg. exchange rate €/\$ @ 1.1132 in 9M2017
DRS benefitting from positive market trend
Aircrafts positive outlook offsetting lower ATR and Aerostructures
| 3Q | 9M | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $\epsilon$ mln | FY2017 Restated |
2017 Restated |
2018 | % Change |
2017 Restated |
2018 | $\frac{9}{6}$ Change |
|
| Orders | 2.615 | 183 | 291 | 59.0% | 1,963 | 1.420 | $-27.7%$ | |
| Revenues | 3.093 | 731 | 599 | $-18.1%$ | 2.175 | 2.025 | $-6.9%$ | |
| EBITA | 311 | 67 | 44 | $-34.3%$ | 195 | 167 | $-14.4%$ | |
| RoS | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | $-1.9 p.p.$ | 9.0% | 8.2% | $-0.8 p.p.$ | |
| EBITA excluding TX costs 311 | 76 | 47 | $-38.2%$ | 204 | 174 | $-14.7%$ | ||
| RoS excluding TX costs | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | $-2.6 p.p.$ | 9.4% | 8.6% | $-0.8 p.p.$ |
Offsetting
Revenues expected almost flat YoY
ATR contribution lower than expected
Unsatisfactory Aerostructures performance
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Profitability slightly lower compared to 2017
Group Performance
| 3Q | 9M | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $\epsilon$ mln | FY2017 Restated |
2017 Restated |
2018 | $\%$ Change |
2017 Restated |
2018 | % Change |
| New Orders | 11,595 | 2,884 | 4,786 | 66.0% | 7,945 | 9,390 | 18.2% |
| Backlog | 33,507 | 34,032 | 34,501 | 1.4% | |||
| Revenues | 11,734 | 2,552 | 2,651 | 3.9% | 8,048 | 8,240 | 2.4% |
| EBITA | 1,077 | 189 | 162 | $-14.3%$ | 694 | 632 | $-8.9%$ |
| RoS | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | $-1.3 p.p.$ | 8.6% | 7.7% | $-0.9 p.p.$ |
| EBIT | 844 | 139 | 132 | $-5.0%$ | 562 | 372 | $-33.8%$ |
| EBIT Margin | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | $-0.4 p.p.$ | 7.0% | 4.5% | $-2.5 p.p.$ |
| Net result before extraordinary transactions | 279 | 52 | 58 | 11.5% | 265 | 164 | $-38.1%$ |
| Net result | 279 | 52 | 157 | 201.9% | 265 | 263 | $-0.8%$ |
| EPS ( $\in$ cents) | 0.482 | 0.089 | 0.271 | 204.5% | 0.460 | 0.456 | $-0.9%$ |
| FOCF | 537 | $-441$ | 9 | N.S. | $-972$ | $-800$ | 17.7% |
| Group Net Debt | 2,579 | 4,004 | 3,503 | $-12.5%$ | |||
| Headcount | 45,134 | 45,737 | 46,413 | 1.5% |
Free Operating Cash-Flow (FOCF): this is the sum of the cash flows generated by (used in) operating activities (which includes interests and income taxes paid) and the cash flows generated by (used in) ordinary investment activity (property, plant and equipment and intangible assets) and dividends received
RCF renegotiated lowering margin (from 100 bps to 75 bps) and amount (from € 2.0 bn to € 1.8 bn). The facility will expire in 2023
| As of today | Before last review | Date of review | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moody's | Ba1 / Stable Outlook* | Ba1 / Positive Outlook | October 2018 |
| S&P | BB+ / Stable Outlook | BB+ / Negative Outlook | April 2015 |
| Fitch | / Stable Outlook BBB- |
BB+ / Positive Outlook | October 2017 |
*Moody's stated that this review is not due to Leonardo's stand-alone credit rating but is the consequence of Italy's country downgrade
In order to cope with possible swings in financing needs, Leonardo can leverage:
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(1) Based on rating as of 30/09/2018
(2) Average. Expected to be renewed at maturity
Lower margin pass-through but without capital invested
Large prime contractor business wins supporting long term visibility and better positioning in reference markets
Rising level of pass-through activities due to large prime contractor wins
Aligned with stakeholders interests
Leonardo's performance will be measured in relation to a "peer group" selected on comparability
3 year cycles assigned yearly on a rolling bonus
3 year
© Leonardo - Società per azioni
NOTE: Some of the statements included in this document are not historical facts but rather statements of future expectations, also related to future economic and financial performance, to be considered forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on Company's views and assumptions as of the date of the statements and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Given these uncertainties, you should not rely on forward-looking statements.
The following factors could affect our forward-looking statements: the ability to obtain or the timing of obtaining future government awards; the availability of government funding and customer requirements both domestically and internationally; changes in government or customer priorities due to programme reviews or revisions to strategic objectives (including changes in priorities to respond to terrorist threats or to improve homeland security); difficulties in developing and producing operationally advanced technology systems; the competitive environment; economic business and political conditions domestically and internationally; programme performance and the timing of contract payments; the timing and customer acceptance of product deliveries and launches; our ability to achieve or realise savings for our customers or ourselves through our global cost-cutting programme and other financial management programmes; and the outcome of contingencies (including completion of any acquisitions and divestitures, litigation and environmental remediation efforts).
These are only some of the numerous factors that may affect the forward-looking statements contained in this document.
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The Company undertakes no obligation to revise or update forward-looking statements as a result of new information since these statements may no longer be accurate or timely.
Raffaella Luglini Chief Stakeholder Officer [email protected]
Valeria Ricciotti Head of Investor Relations & Credit Rating Agencies +39 06 32473.697 [email protected]
Manuel Liotta Head of Sustainability +39 06 32473.666 [email protected]
Investor Relations & Credit Rating Agencies +39 06 32473.512 [email protected]
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