Investor Presentation • Mar 9, 2017
Investor Presentation
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LEG Immobilien AG 9 March 2017
FY 2016 Results
While the company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature and is intended to provide an introduction to, and an overview of the Company's business. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external sources, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate.
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realised from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation, and supply and demand. The Company has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and the Company does not undertake any duty to update the information and forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell any shares in the Company and neither this presentation or anything in it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever.
| | In-place rent, l-f-l | €5.34/sqm (+2.5% total portfolio, +3.4% for free-financed units) |
|---|---|---|
| | EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l | 2.9% (up c.40 bps YOY, due to temporary reorganisation effect) |
| | Maintenance/Capex | €18.2/sqm |
| Net cold rent |
€511.7m (+17.3% YOY from €436.1m) |
|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA |
€355.7m (+21.1% YOY from €293.7m) Strong margin expansion excl. maintenance (c.+380 bps YOY) |
| FFO I (excl. minorities) |
€268.3m (+30.2% YOY from €206.0m), €4.26 per share (+20.7% YOY from €3.53) |
| AFFO |
€190.8m (+30.5% YOY from €146.2m) |
| EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill) |
€67.15 per share (+14.0% YOY) |
| DPS |
€2.76 (+22.1% YOY, payout ratio 65%) |
| High-Growth Markets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.12.2016 | (YOY) |
|||
| # of units | 39,207 | +5.0% | ||
| In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l | €5.91 | +2.7% | ||
| EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l | 1.3% | +15 bps |
| Stable Markets with Attractive Yields | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.12.2016 | (YOY) |
|||||
| # of units | 46,991 | +16.0% | ||||
| In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l | €5.03 | +2.1% | ||||
| EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l | 2.9% | +30 bps |
| Total Portfolio | Higher-Yielding Markets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.12.2016 | (YOY) |
31.12.2016 | (YOY) |
||
| # of units | 128,488 | +18.0% | # of units | 40,396 | +36.4% |
| In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l | €5.34 | +2.5% | In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l | €4.95 | +2.4% |
| EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l | 2.9% | +36 bps | EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l | 5.4% | +70 bps |
Attractive portfolio + operational excellence = sound rent growth
Margin expansion on back of attractive scale effects + cost discipline
| € million |
FY-2016 | FY-2015 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net rental and lease income |
373.1 | 320.5 | Higher rental income (+€52.6m/+16.4%) NRI-margin decreased slightly |
|
| Net income from the disposal of investment property | 7.6 | 3.6 | from 73.5% to 72.9% YOY due to some higher maintenance |
|
| Net income from the valuation of investment property | 616.6 | 285.5 | Disposal gains (total effect) €25.1m |
|
| Net income from the disposal of real estate inventory | -2.4 | -1.2 | Higher one-time costs |
|
| Net income from other services | 3.7 | 0.9 | (+€24.2m to €43.2m) due to non-capitalised transaction costs (€34.4m; mainly real |
|
| Administrative and other expenses | -78.2 | -58.1 | estate transfer tax) Recurring admin. costs down to €32.1m (-€4.6m YOY) |
|
| Other income | 16.4 | 0.9 | despite volume growth | |
| Operating earnings |
936.8 | 552.1 | Lower financing costs (-€95.2m YOY), lower re financing costs and burdens |
|
| Net finance costs |
-157.2 | -252.4 | from fair value measurement of derivatives outweigh one time cost for subsidised loans (€59.8m) Lower cash interests (€83.2m; -€4.3m YOY) despite increased financing volume |
|
| Earnings before income taxes |
779.6 | 299.7 | ||
| Income tax expenses |
-200.4 | -82.0 | ||
| Consolidated net profit |
579.2 | 217.7 | Cash taxes (-€5.0m), thereof (-€1.1m) from IAS40 sales |
| € million | FY -2016 |
FY -2015 |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Net cold rent | 511.7 | 436.1 | +€75.6m (+17.3% YOY) |
| Profit from operating expenses | -1.6 | 1.2 | |
| Maintenance | -72.0 | 54.4 | |
| Staff costs | -42.2 | -37.4 | Disproportional growth in staff |
| Allowances on rent receivables | -7.2 | -6.0 | costs (+12.8%) reflects efficiency gains |
| Other | -10.3 | -14.4 | |
| Non -recurring project costs (rental and lease) |
2.7 | 2.3 | +€53.7m (+16.4% YOY) |
| Recurring net rental and lease income | 381.1 | 327.4 | NRI-margin decreased slightly due to higher |
| Recurring net income from other services | 6.0 | 2.9 | maintenance expenses |
| Staff costs | -21.6 | -22.7 | |
| Non -staff operating costs |
-53.7 | -33.3 | One -time costs (thereof |
| LTIP (long -term incentive programme ) |
0.0 | 0.2 | €34.4m non -capitalised |
| Non -recurring project costs (admin.) |
43.2 | 19.0 | transaction costs including RETT) |
| Extraordinary and prior -period expenses |
0.0 | 0.1 | |
| Recurring administrative expenses | -32.1 | -36.7 | Decreasing admin. cost base despite significant volume |
| Other income and expenses | 0.7 | 0.1 | growth |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 355.7 | 293.7 | +€62.1m (+21.1% YOY) |
| Cash interest expenses and income | -83.2 | -87.5 | EBITDA margin 69.5% vs. |
| Cash income taxes | -3.9 | -0.2 | 67.3% in FY -2015 (pre maintenance +380 bps) |
| FFO I (including non -controlling interests) |
268.6 | 206.0 | |
| Non -controlling interests |
-0.3 | - | Lower average interest costs (approx. -30 bps YOY) |
| FFO I (excluding non -controlling interests) |
268.3 | 206.0 | |
| FFO II (including disposal of investment property) | 292.3 | 209.6 | |
| Capex -adjusted FFO I (AFFO) |
190.8 | 146.2 |
| € million | FY-2016 | FY-2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reported interest expense |
177.2 | 181.5 | One-off refinancing effect of €66m in FY-2016, |
| Interest expense related to loan amortisation |
-81.3 | -38.6 | thereof €59.8m from refinancing of subsidised loans (loan amortisation) |
| Prepayment penalties / breakage costs | -6.0 | -48.9 | Release of swaps and |
| Interest charges relating to valuation of assets/liabilities |
-1.8 | -1.6 | fixed interest loans (refinancing) |
| Leasing related interest expense | -1.6 | -1.4 | |
| Interest expenses related to changes in pension provisions |
-3.2 | -2.9 | |
| Cash effective interest expense (gross) | 83.3 | 88.1 | |
| Cash effective interest income |
0.1 | 0.6 | Interest coverage |
| Cash effective interest expense (net) | 83.2 | 87.5 | improved further (4.3x up from 3.4x YOY) |
| € million | 31.12.2016 | 31.12.2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Equity (excl. minority interests) |
3,414.5 | 2,967.8 |
| Effect of exercising options, convertibles and other rights |
435.6 | 427.2 |
| NAV | 3,850.1 | 3,395.0 |
| Fair value measurement of derivative financial instruments | 146.7 | 165.5 |
| Deferred taxes1) | 644.2 | 466.6 |
| EPRA-NAV | 4,641.0 | 4,027.1 |
| (m)2) Number of shares fully-diluted incl. convertible |
68.466 | 67.904 |
| EPRA-NAV per share in € | 67.79 | 59.31 |
| Goodwill resulting from synergies | 43.8 | 26.4 |
| Adjusted EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill) |
4,597.2 | 4,000.7 |
| Adjusted EPRA-NAV per share in € | 67.15 | 58.92 |
-€5.0m other comprehensive income (derivatives)
Attractive rental yield of 6.6% (6.7% for free financed units) leaves future upside
2) Actual number of shares outstanding 63.19m 1) And goodwill resulting from deferred taxes on EPRA-adjustments 3) Assumption: growth rate of 0%
| Valuation uplift | Gross yield | |
|---|---|---|
| High-growth markets |
+6.7 % (+10.9 %2 ) |
5.4 % |
| Stable markets |
+6.7 % (+7.8 %2 ) |
7.2 % |
| Higher-yielding markets |
+3.7 % (+4.6 %2 ) |
7.9 % |
| Total portfolio | +6.0 % (+8.4 %2 ) |
6.6 % |
1) €616.6m incl. asset disposals
2) Valuation uplift incl. payback of subsidised loans
| Market | Residential Units |
GAV Residential Assets (€m) |
% of Total Residential GAV |
GAV/ sqm (€) |
In-Place Rent Multiple |
Multiples, Estimated Rental Values (31.12.2016) |
GAV Commercial/ Other Assets (€m) |
Total GAV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High Growth Markets |
39,027 | 3,324 | 43% | 1,282 | 18.6x | 16.1x | 191 | 3,514 |
| Stable Markets |
46,991 | 2,439 | 32% | 807 | 13.8x | 12.7x | 106 | 2,545 |
| Higher Yielding Markets |
40,396 | 1,754 | 23% | 708 | 12.7x | 12.0x | 50 | 1,804 |
| Subtotal NRW | 126,594 | 7,516 | 98% | 929 | 15.2x | 13.8x | 347 | 7,863 |
| Portfolio outside NRW |
1,894 | 131 | 2% | 1,023 | 15.3x | 14.0x | 2 | 132 |
| Total Portfolio | 128,488 | 7,647 | 100% | 930 | 15.2x | 13.8x | 349 | 7,995 |
| Other Assets | 70 | |||||||
| Total | 8,065 |
* valuation effects derivatives + deferred taxes are added back
| € million | 31.12.2016 | 31.12.2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Investment property | 7,954.9 | 6,398.5 |
| Prepayment for investment property |
27.3 | 203.1 |
| Other non-current assets | 182.3 | 296.8 |
| Non-current assets | 8,164.5 | 6,898.4 |
| Receivables and other assets | 47.7 | 37.2 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 166.7 | 252.8 |
| Current assets | 214.4 | 290.0 |
| Assets held for disposal | 57.0 | 6.7 |
| Total Assets | 8,435.9 | 7,195.1 |
| Equity | 3,436.7 | 2,985.0 |
| Non-current financial liabilities | 3,222.3 | 2,745.6 |
| Other non-current liabilities |
870.3 | 673.7 |
| Non-current liabilities | 4,092.6 | 3,419.3 |
| Current financial liabilities | 552.0 | 496.0 |
| Other current liabilities | 354.6 | 294.8 |
| Current liabilities | 906.6 | 790.8 |
| Total Equity and Liabilities |
8,435.9 | 7,195.1 |
| € million | 31.12.2016 | 31.12.2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financing debt | 3,774.3 | 3,241.6 | LTV well within the updated target range of 45-50% |
| Cash & cash equivalents | 166.7 | 252.8 | Low LTV leaves headroom for additional capex and smaller |
| Net Debt |
3,607.6 | 2,988.8 | acquisitions Yield compression is likely to |
| Investment properties | 7,954.9 | 6,398.5 | trigger a further decline during the cycle |
| Properties held for sale | 57.0 | 6.7 | |
| Prepayments for investment properties |
27.3 | 203.1 | |
| Prepayments for business combinations |
- | 146.1 | |
| Property values |
8,039.2 | 6,754.4 | Significant positive impact on LTV from future conversion of |
| Loan to Value (LTV) in % | 44.9 | 44.2 | convertible expected (currently -340bps) |
| Pro-forma LTV post conversion in % | 41.5 | 40.4 |
1) Maturity 2021 with investor put option 2019 (€300 m convertible bond)
2) Payback of corporate bond (€500 m)
| Key Facts | Maturities | |
|---|---|---|
| Average debt maturity |
9.7 years (estimate) | 1-2 years |
| Interest costs | Ø 1.93% (estimate) | 3-5 years |
| Hedging ratio | 92.9% (31.12.2016) | 6-8 years |
| Rating | Baa1 (Moody's) | ≥ 9 years |
| 1-2 years | 0.0% | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5 years | 16.1% | |||
| 6-8 years | 38.0% | |||
| ≥ 9 years | 45.9% | |||
Operational improvements reflect strong management track record
| Closing | 28.02.2017 | Change | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Units | In-place rent € / sqm |
Occupancy | In-place rent € / sqm |
Occupancy | In-place rent € / sqm |
Occupancy | |
| Total Portfolio1) | 39,236 | 4.90 | 94.7% | 5.26 | 94.8% | 0.36 (+7.4%) | ~ +10 bp |
| Vitus portfolio |
9,323 | 4.76 | 96.1% | 5.24 | 96.2% | 0.48 (+10.1%) | ~ +10 bp |
| portfolio2) Charlie |
11,630 | 4.81 | 93.6% | 5.12 | 93.6% | 0.31 (+6.4%) | ~ +/-0 bp |
| 2017 | Guidance |
|---|---|
| FFO I | €288m - €293m / €4.56 - €4.64 per share (up from €284m - €289m / €4.50 - €4.57 per share) |
| EBITDA margin |
~72% |
| L-F-L rent growth | 3.0 - 3.3% |
| L-F-L vacancy | -20 - -40 bps |
| Capex | €24/sqm |
| Dividend | 65% of FFO I |
| 2018 | |
| FFO I | €310m - €316m / €4.91 - €5.00 per share |
| EBITDA margin |
~73% |
| L-F-L rent growth | ~3.0% |
| Capex | €29/sqm |
| € million | 31.12.2016 | 31.12.2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Investment properties | 7,950.9 | 6,101.6 |
| Assets held for sale | 57.0 | 6.7 |
| Market value of residential property portfolio (net) |
8,007.9 | 6,108.3 |
| Estimated incidental costs |
789.2 | 601.5 |
| Market value of residential property portfolio (gross) |
8,797.0 | 6,709.8 |
| Annualised cash flow from rental income (gross) |
500.3 | 428.1 |
| Non recoverable operating costs | -79.1 | -61.4 |
| Annualised cash flow from rental income (net) |
421.2 | 366.7 |
| EPRA Net Initial Yield in % |
4.8 | 5.5 |
| € million | 31.12.2016 | 31.12.2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA |
-355.8 | -293.7 |
| Rental income |
511.7 | 436.1 |
| Maintenance | -72.0 | -54.4 |
| Management costs | 83.9 | 88.0 |
| Maintenance | 72.0 | 54.4 |
| Leasehold interests |
-4.3 | -3.9 |
| EPRA costs (incl. directly attr. vacancy costs) |
151.6 | 138.5 |
| Directly attributable vacancy costs | -6.3 | -6.0 |
| EPRA costs (excl. directly attr. vacancy costs) |
145.3 | 132.5 |
| Rental income |
511.7 | 436.1 |
| Leasehold interests | -4.3 | -3.9 |
| Rental income (gross) |
507.4 | 432.2 |
| EPRA cost ratio (incl. directly attr. vacancy costs) in % |
29.9 | 32.0 |
| EPRA cost ratio (excl. directly attr. vacancy costs) in % |
28.6 | 30.7 |
| EPRA cost ratio adjusted by maintenance (incl. directly attr. vacancy costs) in % |
15.7 | 19.5 |
| EPRA cost ratio adjusted by maintenance (excl. directly attr. vacancy costs) in % |
14.4 | 18.1 |
| Adj. EBITDA margin | 2016 | 2015 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| €m | margin % |
€m | margin % | |
| As reported |
355.7 | 69.5 | 293.7 | 67.3 |
| Gap restricted vs. unrestricted rents1) | 26.3 | 71.0 | 22.5 | 68.9 |
1) €/sqm: €4.67 vs. €5.56 in 2016, €4.67 vs. €5.48 in 2015
Additional upside for value enhancing capex measures due to steadily improving market fundamentals
| Deal # |
Units acquired |
Geographic focus | Market | Annual net cold rent |
In place rent/sqm |
Vacancy rate |
Signing | Purchase price |
Closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ~1,100 | Recklinghausen, Herne |
Stable/ Higher Yielding |
~EUR 4.0m | EUR 4.46 | 5.4% | Apr 2016 | c.EUR 53m |
May 2016 |
| 2 | ~560 | Hamm, Krefeld, Duisburg |
High Growth/ Stable |
~EUR 1.8m | EUR 4.96 | 7.1% | July 2016 | not disclosed | Dec 2016 |
| 3 | ~320 | Duisburg, Herten | Higher Yielding/ Stable |
~EUR 2.0m | EUR 4.62 | 2.1% | Aug 2016 | not disclosed | Jan 2017 |
| c.2,000 |
595 218 800 791 95 100 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027ff # Units Number of Units Coming Off Restriction and Rent Upside 2,368* 1,856 2,673 1,470 26,160
* Thereof 2,095 units in Q1-2017
| ≤ 5 years2) | 10 years2) 6 – |
≥ 10 years2) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| In-place rent | €4.52 | €4.63 | €4.83 |
| Market rent1) | €6.33 | €5.54 | €6.03 |
| Upside potential3) | 40% | 20% | 25% |
| Upside potential p.a.3) | €9.2m | €3.8m | €25.6m |
Source: LEG as of FY-2016
3) Rent upside is defined as the difference between LEG in-place rent as of FY-2016 and market rent (defined in footnote 1) as of FY-2016.
| Release date (expected) |
High-Growth Markets |
Stable Markets |
Higher-Yielding Markets |
Total Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 (Q1) | 7,383 units (mainly Cologne, Bocholt) |
17,257 units1 (mainly Dortmund, Wuppertal, Solingen) |
22,940 units (mainly Duisburg, Gelsenkirchen, Herne) |
47,580 units1 |
| 2017 (Q2) | 6,075 units (Münster) |
1,602 units | 1,236 units (mainly Dorsten) |
8,913 units |
| 2017 (Q3) | - | 2,060 units (mainly Krefeld) |
263 units | 2,323 units |
| 2017 (Q4) | 429 units | 36 units | 2,464 units (Castrop-Rauxel) |
2,929 units |
| Total 1 | 13,887 units | 20,955 units1 | 26,903 units | 61,745 units1 |
| Thereof: - Castrop-Rauxel - Cologne - Dortmund - Duisburg - Gelsenkirchen - Herne - Munster |
3,902 units 6,075 units |
13,164 units | 2,464 units 7,123 units 6,736 units 3,153 units |
Sub-portfolios also include |
| - Recklinghausen - Solingen - Wuppertal |
1,474 units 2,028 units |
2,692 units | restricted units 1 Mietspiegel for Dortmund (13,164 units affected) already published in Jan 2017 |
Share price (06.03.2017, indexed; 31.01.2013 = 100)
• Rating: Baa1 (stable) by Moody's
EPRA Germany LEG
| Corporate Bond | |
|---|---|
| Issue Size | EUR 500m |
| Term / | 7 years / |
| Maturity Date | 23 January 2024 |
| Coupon | 1.250 % p.a. |
| Issue | 99.409 % |
| Price | |
| Initial Re-offer | 1.339 % |
| Yield | |
| Financial | Incurrence-based: |
| Covenants | • Net financial debt / total assets ≤ 60% |
| • Secured financial debt / total assets ≤ 45%1) • Unencumbered assets / unsecured financial |
|
| debt ≥ 125%1) | |
| Maintenance-based: | |
| • Adj. EBITDA / net cash interest ≥ 1.8x |
|
| ISIN | XS1554456613 |
| WKN | A2E4W8 |
| Convertible Bond | |
|---|---|
| Issue Size | EUR 300m |
| Term / | 7.2 years / |
| Maturity Date | 1 July 2021 |
| Coupon | 0.500 % p.a. |
| Initial | EUR 62.39 |
| Conversion Price | |
| Adjusted | EUR 56.8403 (as of 20 May 2016) |
| Conversion Price | |
| Investor Put | 1 July 2019 |
| Issuer Call | From 22 July 2019, if the LEG share price exceeds 130 % of the then applicable conversion price |
| ISIN | DE000LEG1CB5 |
| WKN | LEG1CB |
1) After 31 July 2017
| Date | Report/Event |
|---|---|
| 09.03.2017 | Annual Report as of 31 December 2016 |
| 10.03.2017 | Roadshow Zurich, Société Générale |
| 16.03.2017 | Roadshow Munich, Bankhaus Lampe |
| 21.03.2017 | Roadshow London, Deutsche Bank |
| 22.03.2017 | Commerzbank German Residential Property Forum, London |
| 23.03.2017 | HSBC Real Estate Conference, Frankfurt |
| 29.03.2017 | Bankhaus Lampe Deutschland Konferenz, Baden-Baden |
| 05.04.2017 | Roadshow Dusseldorf/Cologne, M.M. Warburg |
| 10.05.2017 | Quarterly Statement Q1 as of 31 March 2017 |
Burkhard Sawazki Head of Investor Relations Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-204 [email protected]
Karin Widenmann Manager Investor Relations Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-458 [email protected]
40476 Dusseldorf, Germany E-Mail: [email protected]
LEG Immobilien AG Phone: +49 (0) 211 4568-400 Hans-Boeckler-Str. 38 Fax: +49 (0) 211 4568-22 204
Thank you for your interest.
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