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LEG Immobilien SE

Investor Presentation May 10, 2017

260_ip_2017-05-10_02632cce-f93e-4a5b-85b2-30cde587ddbd.pdf

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LEG Immobilien AG 10 May 2017

Q1-2017 Results

Disclaimer

While the company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature and is intended to provide an introduction to, and an overview of the Company's business. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external sources, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate.

This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realised from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation, and supply and demand. The Company has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and the Company does not undertake any duty to update the information and forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.

This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell any shares in the Company and neither this presentation or anything in it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever.

  • I. HIGHLIGHTS Q1-2017
  • II. PORTFOLIO AND OPERATING PERFORMANCE
  • III. FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
  • IV. BUSINESS UPDATE AND OUTLOOK
  • V. APPENDIX

Highlights Q1-2017

Overall company development

  • Property valuation: positive impact from rent development and yield compression in FY-2017 expected
  • Mid single-digit valuation uplift (in %) in Q2 and further capital growth in Q4 expected
  • Extension of capex programme: mid term l-f-l rent growth target (5 years) of 3-3.5% p.a.
  • Mid term investment target of c.€24-29/sqm
  • Early refinancing of subsidised loans: additional positive NAV impact of c.€50m-€60m in 2017 expected
  • Acquisitions: Attractive pipeline of several midsized deals
  • Positive FFO PS effect expected

Accelerating rent growth on basis of high capital efficiency

In-place rent, l-f-l €5.40/sqm (+2.9% total portfolio, +3.6% for free-financed units) EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 3.2% (up c.30 bps YOY, due to temporary reorganisation effect) Maintenance/Capex €2.6/sqm

Financials: Steady margin expansion supports dynamic earnings growth


Net cold rent
€131.9m (+11.2% YOY from €118.6m)

Adjusted EBITDA
€97.8m (+16.3% YOY from €84.1m)
Strong margin expansion excl. maintenance (c.+220 bps YOY)

FFO I (excl. minorities)
€75.2m (+20.1% YOY from €62.6m), €1.19 per share (+19.0% YOY from €1.00)

AFFO
€66.2m (+32.7% YOY from €49.9m)

EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill)
€67.48 per share

II. PORTFOLIO AND OPERATING PERFORMANCE

Portfolio Overview

Positive rent development across all submarkets

Total Portfolio

of units 127,076 +10.1% In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €5.40 +2.9%

EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 3.2% +30 bps

31.03.2017 (YOY)

Strong results on the basis of tailor-made management strategies

High-Growth Markets

31.03.2017
(YOY)
# of units 38,941 +1.9%
In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €5.95 +2.6%
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 1.5% +20
bps

Stable Markets with Attractive Yields

31.03.2017
(YOY)
# of units 47,019 +6.7%
In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €5.13 +3.0%
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 3.5% +30
bps
Higher-Yielding Markets
31.03.2017
(YOY)
# of units 39,221 +23.9%
In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €5.02 +2.9%
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 5.6% +60
bps

Attractive portfolio + operational excellence = sound rent growth Rent Development

EPRA-Vacancy Development (like-for-like) Low vacancies despite temporary drag from reorganisation

  • Traditionally weaker Q1 seasonality
  • Low absolute vacancies maintained despite temporary effects from the reorganisation / optimisation of operational units
  • Outlook FY-2017: Rising l-f-l occupancy expected (starting H2); already lower y-o-y increase in Q1-2017 vs. Q4-2016

Capex & Maintenance Rising value enhancing investments ahead

  • Investments of €2.6/sqm well below FY-run rate; stronger seasonality in coming quarters
  • Enhanced capex programme starting in H2-2017
  • Outlook FY-2017: c.€24/sqm due to enhanced capex programme (€40m additional capex in 2017)

III. FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

Financial Highlights Q1-2017

Margin expansion on back of attractive scale effects + cost discipline

Income Statement

Q1-2017


million
Q1-2017 Q1-2016
Higher rental income
Net rental
and lease income
102.6 88.6 (+€13.3m/+11.2%)

Rise in staff costs resulting
from crafts business (+€3.0m
Net income from the disposal of investment property 0.1 -0.1 YOY), offset by decrease in
externally-procured services
Net income from the valuation of investment property 0.0 1.0
Adj. NRI-margin rose from
76.1% to 79.1% YOY also
due to temporary lower
Net income from the disposal of real estate inventory -1.0 -0.6 maintenance
Net income from other services 1.4 1.3
Acquisition related one-time
costs of €34.5m in Q1-2016
Administrative and other expenses -9.8 -43.0
Recurring admin. costs
slightly increased to €8.5m
(-€0.6m YOY) due to
Other income 0.2 0.1 extraordinary items (number
of FTE's decreased)
Operating
earnings
93.5 47.3
Lower burden from fair value
measurement of derivatives
Net
finance
costs
-46.4 -47.1 offsetting one-time costs for
refinancing (€11.7m)
Earnings
before
income
taxes
47.1 0.2
Slightly higher cash interests
(€20.9m; +€0.7m YOY)
despite volume growth
Income
tax
expenses
-14.3 -12.3
Consolidated
net
profit
32.8 -12.1
Cash taxes (-€1.3m)

FFO Calculation

Q1 -2017

€ million Q1
-2017
Q1
-2016
Net cold rent 131.9 118.6
+€13.3m (+11.2% YOY)
Profit from operating expenses -1.1 -1.4
Maintenance (externally
-procured services)
-9.8 -12.9
Disproportional growth in staff
costs mainly due to new
Staff costs -13.4 -10.2 crafts business (offset by
Allowances on rent receivables -1.9 -1.7 lower procured services);
adjusted for this effect
Other -1.6 -2.4 moderate increase of +2.0%
Non
-recurring project costs (rental
and lease)
0.2 0.2
+€14.1m (+15.6% YOY)
Recurring net rental and lease income 104.3 90.2
NRI-margin increased sharply
Recurring net income from other services 1.9 1.7 from
76.1% to
79.1% in Q1
-
2017; also with
support
from
Staff costs -5.7 -5.5 temporary
lower
maintenance
Non
-staff operating costs
-4.0 -36.9
Acquisition related one
-time
Non
-recurring project costs (admin.)
1.2 34.5 costs in Q1
-2016
Extraordinary and prior
-period expenses
0.0 0.0
Recurring administrative expenses -8.5 -7.9
Slight increase due to
extraordinary items
Other income and expenses 0.1 0.1
Adjusted EBITDA 97.8 84.1
+€13.7m (+16.3% YOY)
Cash interest expenses and income -20.9 -20.2
Strong increase in EBITDA
margin 70.9% vs. 74.1% in
Cash income taxes -1.3 -1.1 Q1
-17; (pre maintenance
FFO I (including non
-controlling interests)
75.6 62.8 +220 bp
)
Non
-controlling interests
-0.4 -0.2
Lower average interest costs
FFO I (excluding non
-controlling interests)
75.2 62.6 (Q1-17 avg. cost 1.95% vs.
FFO II (including disposal of investment property) 75.3 62.5 2.15% in Q1
-16)
Capex
-adjusted FFO I (AFFO)
66.2 49.9

FFO Bridge Q1-2017

Cash Effective Interest Expense Q1-2017

€ million Q1-2017 Q1-2016
Reported
interest expense
38.9 30.1
One-off refinancing effect of
€4.9m in Q1-2017 from
Interest
expense related to loan amortisation
-9.9 -6.0 refinancing of subsidised
loans (loan amortisation)
Prepayment penalties / breakage costs -6.8 -2.2
Release of swaps and fixed
Interest charges relating to valuation
of assets/liabilities
-0.4 -0.4 interest loans (refinancing);
total refinancing costs €11.7m
Leasing related interest expense -0.3 -0.4
Interest expenses related to changes
in pension provisions
-0.6 -0.8
Cash effective interest expense (gross) 20.9 20.2
Cash
effective interest income
0.0 0.0
Interest coverage improved
Cash effective interest expense (net) 20.9 20.2 further
(4.7x up from 4.2x
YOY)

EPRA-Net Asset Value

Q2 revaluation promises further NAV growth

€ million 31.03.2017 31.12.2016
Equity (excl.
minority interests)
3,458.7 3,414.5
€32.8m net profit
Effect of exercising options, convertibles
and other rights
451.8 435.6
€9.9m other comprehensive
income (derivatives)
NAV 3,910.5 3,850.1
Fair value measurement of derivative financial instruments 142.4 146.7
Deferred taxes1) 622.4 644.2
EPRA-NAV 4,675.3 4,641.0
(m)2)
Number of shares
fully-diluted incl. convertible
68.466 68.466
EPRA-NAV per share in € 68.29 67.79
Goodwill resulting from synergies 55.1 43.8
Adjusted
EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill)
4,620.2 4,597.2
Adjusted EPRA-NAV per share in € 67.48 67.15
  • Attractive rental yield of 6.7% (6.8% for free financed units) leaves future upside
  • Value of services business not included in NAV
  • Scenario (incl. crafts buinsess): additional value approx. €3.40 per share at discount rate of 6%3)

2) Actual number of shares outstanding 63.19m 1) And goodwill resulting from deferred taxes on EPRA-adjustments 3) Assumption: growth rate of 0%

Portfolio

Sound property fundamentals basis for value growth

As of 31.03.2017

Market Residential
Units
GAV
Residential
Assets (€ m)
% of Total
Residential
GAV
GAV/
sqm (€ )
In-Place
Rent Multiple
Multiples,
Estimated
Rental Values
(31.12.2016)
GAV
Commercial/
Other
Assets (€ m)
Total GAV
High
Growth
Markets
38,941 3,310 43% 1,289 18.2x 16.1x 190 3,499
Stable
Markets
47,019 2,447 32% 809 13.5x 12.7x 106 2,553
Higher
Yielding
Markets
39,221 1,732 23% 721 12.7x 12.0x 60 1,792
Subtotal NRW 125,181 7,488 98% 937 15.0x 13.8x 356 7,844
Portfolio outside
NRW
1,895 131 2% 1,023 15.2x 14.0x 2 132
Total Portfolio 127,076 7,619 100% 938 15.0x 13.8x 357 7,976
Other Assets 42
Total 8,020

Balance Sheet

Strong balance sheet

€ million 31.03.2017 31.12.2016
Investment property 7,993.0 7,954.9
Additions €29.2m

Capex €9.0m
Prepayment
for investment property
- 27.3
Other non-current assets 180.5 182.3
Non-current assets 8,173.5 8,164.5
Receivables and other assets 83.2 47.7
Cash flow from operating
activities €76.5m
Cash and cash equivalents 392.0 166.7
Proceeds from disposals
Current assets 475.2 214.4 €9.3m

Excess cash from bond
Assets held for sale 0.1 57.0 issue; major part was used
Total Assets 8,648.8 8,435.9 for refinancing
Equity 3,482.0 3,436.7
Non-current financial liabilities 3,564.5 3,222.3
Other
non-current liabilities
861.9 870.3
Non-current liabilities 4,426.4 4,092.6
Current financial liabilities 378.7 552.0
Bond issue +€495m
Other current liabilities 361.7 354.6
Repayment of subsidised
loans -€182m and other
Current liabilities 740.4 906.6 bank loans -€159m
Total
Equity and Liabilities
8,648.8 8,435.9

LTV

Strong credit profile leaves headroom for growth investments

€ million 31.03.2017 31.12.2016
Financial
liabilities
3,943.2 3,774.3
Cash & cash equivalents 392.0 166.7
Net
Debt
3,551.2 3,607.6
Investment properties 7,993.0 7,954.9
Properties held for sale 0.1 57.0
Prepayments
for
investment
properties
- 27.3
Property
values
7,993.1 8,039.2
Loan to Value (LTV) in % 44.4 44.9
Pro-forma LTV post conversion in % 41.0 41.5

Financing Structure – 31 March 2017

Post refinancing of subsidised loans and bond issue

1) Maturity 2021 with investor put option 2019 (€300 m convertible bond)

2) Payback of corporate bond (€500 m)

Key Facts Maturities
Average debt
maturity
9.7 years 1-2 years 0.0%
Interest costs Ø 1.95% 3-5 years 16.2%
Hedging ratio 93.6% 6-8 years 38.0%
Rating Baa1 (Moody's) ≥ 9 years 45.8%

IV. BUSINESS UPDATE AND OUTLOOK

Business Update

Acquisitions: Attractive pipeline of midsized deals in core markets

Extracting superior value from an attractive asset base

  • Negotiations for several midsized deals (LEG gained exclusivity)
  • Financial metrics meet investment criteria: FFO per share accretive

Revaluation gains in Q2 expected

  • Accelerating rent growth and tightening yield are contributing to NAV
  • Adjustment of target rents are key driver for expected Q2 revaluation
  • Expected valuation uplift in the mid single digit range (in %)
  • Further capital growth in Q4 ahead (reflection of yield compression)

Capex programme: Extension expected to drive mid term rent growth

  • Portfolio analysis: current enhanced investment programme is likely to be extented to a period of five years (c.€24- €29/sqm)
  • Mid term target like-for-like rent growth (next five years): 3-3.5% p.a.

Early redemption of subsidised loans: Additional positive impact in 2017 expected

  • Early repayment of another €100m of subsidised loans on the agenda
  • Expected positive NAV contribution of c.€50m-€60m

Acquisitions: Leading Management Skills Paying Off

Operational improvements reflect strong management track record

Closing 31.03.2017 Change
Units In-place rent
€ / sqm
Occupancy In-place rent
€ / sqm
Occupancy In-place rent

/ sqm
Occupancy
Total Portfolio1) 39,789 4.90 94.6% 5.28 94.9% 0.38 (+7.7%) ~ +30 bp
Vitus
portfolio
9,319 4.76 96.1% 5.25 96.2% 0.49 (+10.4%) ~ +10 bp
portfolio2)
Charlie
11,629 4.81 93.6% 5.12 93.7% 0.31 (+6.5%) ~ +10 bp

Outlook for 2017 - 2018

2017 Guidance
FFO I €288m -€ 293m / € 4.56 -€ 4.64 per share
EBITDA
margin
~72%
L-F-L rent growth 3.0
-
3.3%
L-F-L vacancy -20 -
-40 bps
Investments ~€
24/sqm
Dividend 65% of FFO I
2018
FFO I €310m -€ 316m / € 4.91 -€ 5.00 per share
EBITDA
margin
~73%
L-F-L rent growth ~3.0%
Investments ~€
29/sqm

Steady Expansion of Leading Profitability

FFO I per share (€)

EBITDA Margin

V. APPENDIX

Generating Appealing Shareholder Returns

Net Immigration Expected to Remain at a High Level Stabilising net immigration with decreasing share of refugees

Sources:

1) Interview with director of Federal Agency of Migration and Refugees (Aug 2016)

2) Deutsche Bundesbank

3) Regional government of North Rhine-Westpahlia

Acquisitions: Leading Management Skills Paying Off Scalability of platform + cost discipline support value accretive growth

Strong volume growth at decreasing overhead cost…

…leads to a significant drop of the admin. costs ratio

EPRA Net Initial Yield Q1-2017

€ million 31.03.2017 31.12.2016
Investment properties 7,988.3 7,950.9
Assets held for sale 0.1 57.0
Market value of residential property portfolio
(net)
7,988.4 8,007.9
Estimated
incidental costs
787.3 789.2
Market value of residential property portfolio
(gross)
8,775.7 8,797.0
Annualised
cash
flow
from
rental
income
(gross)
507.9 500.3
Non recoverable operating costs -73.5 -79.1
Annualised
cash flow from rental income (net)
434.4 421.2
EPRA Net Initial
Yield in %
5.0 4.8

LEG – Adj. EBITDA Margin

Leading profitability despite short term distortion from restricted units

Adj. EBITDA margin FY-2016 FY-2015
€m margin
%
€m margin %
As
reported
355.7 69.5 293.7 67.3
Gap restricted vs. unrestricted rents1) 26.3 71.0 22.5 68.9

1) €/sqm: €4.67 vs. €5.56 in 2016, €4.67 vs. €5.48 in 2015

  • EBITDA as reported distorted by restricted units (compensation for lower rents included in interest result below the EBITDA line)
  • Scenario analysis: closing gap between restricted vs. unrestricted rents; Adjusted EBITDA margin approx. 150 bps higher

Capex Programme Lifting internal growth potential

Additional upside for value enhancing capex measures due to steadily improving market fundamentals

  • Additional investment programme of €200m with significant contribution to l-f-l rent and FFO growth
  • Emphasis on attractive locations in high-growth markets (c.65% of total investment) with significant rent potential (e.g. Münster, Bonn, Monheim in catchment area of Düsseldorf)
  • Strict capital discipline maintained IRR hurdle of 6%
  • Construction work will start in H2-2017 with first effects on rent development in FY-2018

Rent revisionary potential

Refinancing of subsidised loans lifting value

Rent Potential Subsidised Units

  • In the following 10 years around 11,000 units will come off rent restriction
  • Units show significant upside to market rents
  • Subject to general legal and other restrictions, the economic upside can theoretically be realised the year after restrictions expire

* Thereof 2,095 units in Q1-2017

≤ 5 years2) 6 –
10 years2)
≥ 10 years2)
In-place rent €4.71 €4.67 €4.88
Market rent1) €6.32 €5.54 €6.03
Upside potential3) 34% 19% 23%
Upside potential p.a.3) €8.1m €3.6m €24.6m

Source: LEG as of Q1-2017

  • 1) Employed by CBRE as indicator of an average rent value that could theoretically be achieved, not implying that an adjustment of the in-place rent to the market rent is feasible, as stringent legal and contractual restrictions regarding rent increases exist.
  • 2) ≤5 years = 2017-2021; 6-10 years = 2022-2026; ≥10 years = 2027ff.

3) Rent upside is defined as the difference between LEG in-place rent as of Q1-2017 and market rent (defined in footnote 1) as of Q1-2017.

Mietspiegel Overview Expected new Mietspiegel in 2017

Release date
(expected)
High-Growth
Markets
Stable
Markets
Higher-Yielding
Markets
Total
Portfolio
2017 (Q1) 3,902 units
(Cologne)
15,148 units
(mainly
Dortmund, Wuppertal)
5,876 units
(Herne, Recklinghausen)
24,926 units
2017 (Q2) 8,661 units1
(mainly
Bocholt, Mü nster)
3,658 units
(mainly
Solingen)
17,715 units2
(mainly
Gelsenkirchen,
Duisburg, Dorsten)
30,034 units
2017 (Q3) - 2,060 units
(mainly
Krefeld)
263 units 2,323 units
2017 (Q4) 469 units 36 units 2,462 units
(Castrop-Rauxel)
2,967 units
Total 1 13,032 units 20,902 units 26,316 units 60,250 units
Thereof:
-
Castrop-Rauxel
-
Cologne
-
Dortmund
3,902 units 13,165 units 2,462 units
-
Duisburg
-
Gelsenkirchen
6,673 units
6,735 units
Sub-portfolios also include
restricted units
-
Herne
-
Munster
-
Recklinghausen
6,080 units 3,184 units
2,692 units
1 Mietspiegel
for Münster
(6,080 units affected) already
published in Q1-2017
-
Solingen
-
Wuppertal
1,474 units
1,983 units
2 Mietspiegel
for Marl
(774 units affected) already
published in Q1-2017

LEG Share Information

Basic data Well-balanced shareholder structure

  • Prime Standard, Frankfurt Stock Exchange
  • Total no. of shares: 63,188,185
  • Ticker symbol: LEG
  • ISIN: DE000LEG1110
  • Indices: MDAX, FTSE EPRA/NAREIT, GPR 250, Stoxx Europe 600
  • Weighting (31.03.2017): MDAX 2.53%; EPRA 2.39%
  • Rating: Baa1 (stable) by Moody's

Source: LEG; shareholdings according to latest voting rights notifications

Diversification of LEG's funding sources Capital Market Financing

Corporate Bond
Issue Size EUR 500m
Term / 7 years /
Maturity Date 23 January 2024
Coupon 1.250 % p.a.
Issue 99.409 %
Price
Initial Re-offer 1.339 %
Yield
Financial Incurrence-based:
Covenants
Net financial debt / total assets ≤ 60%
Secured financial debt / total assets ≤ 45%1)

Unencumbered assets / unsecured financial
debt ≥ 125%1)
Maintenance-based:

Adj. EBITDA / net cash interest ≥ 1.8x
ISIN XS1554456613
WKN A2E4W8
Convertible Bond
Issue Size EUR 300m
Term / 7.2 years /
Maturity Date 1 July 2021
Coupon 0.500 % p.a.
Initial Conversion
Price
EUR 62.39
Adjusted EUR 56.8403 (as of 20 May 2016)
Conversion Price
Investor Put 1 July 2019
Issuer Call From 22 July 2019,
if the LEG share
price exceeds
130 % of the then applicable
conversion price
ISIN DE000LEG1CB5
WKN LEG1CB

1) After 31 July 2017

Financial Calendar

Date Report/Event
10.05.2017 Quarterly Statement Q1 as of 31 March 2017
11./12.05.2017 Roadshow London, Exane
BNP Paribas
17.05.2017 Annual General Meeting, Düsseldorf
23.05.2017 Berenberg
European Conference, New York
30.05.2017 Roadshow Copenhagen, Bankhaus Lampe
01.06.2017 Kepler Cheuvreux & UniCredit
German Property Day, Paris
07.06.2017 Kempen & Co's
14th European Property Seminar, Amsterdam
08.06.2017 Roadshow Helsinki, Berenberg
Bank
13.06.2017 Roadshow Edinburgh, M.M. Warburg
21.06.2017 dbAccess German, Swiss & Austrian Conference, Berlin
22.06.2017 Morgan Stanley Property Conference, London
10.08.2017 Quarterly Report Q2 as of 30 June 2017

Contact

Investor Relations

Burkhard Sawazki Head of Investor Relations Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-204 [email protected]

Karin Widenmann Manager Investor Relations Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-458 [email protected]

Katharina Wicher Investor Relations Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-294

[email protected]

40476 Düsseldorf, Germany E-Mail: [email protected]

LEG Immobilien AG Phone: +49 (0) 211 4568-400 Hans-Boeckler-Str. 38 Fax: +49 (0) 211 4568-22 204

Thank you for your interest.

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