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LEG Immobilien SE — Investor Presentation 2015
Mar 25, 2015
260_ip_2015-03-25_852ba71f-73e9-4d21-915e-47f95c85126b.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Disclaimer
While the company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature and is intended to provide an introduction to, and an overview of the Company's business. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external sources, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate.
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realised from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation, and supply and demand. The Company has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and the Company does not undertake any duty to update the information and forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell any shares in the Company and neither this presentation or anything in it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever.
- I. Highlights FY-2014
- II. Portfolio and Operating Performance
- III. Financial Performance
- IV. Business Update and Outlook
- V. Appendix
I. Highlights FY-2014
Highlights FY-2014
Overall company development in Q4-2014
- Preparation of €900m early refinancing
- Analysis for accelerated efficiency gains (at least €5m)
- Start of tender process of energy services business/ leading utility company new strategic partner
- Successful integration of NRW-Vitus portfolio
- Building up new acquisition pipeline
Leading operating performance
- In-place rent €5.07/sqm (+3.0% like-for-like, +3.4% for free-financed units)
- Vacancy 2.7% l-f-l (-20bps YOY)
- Maintenance/capex of €13.81/sqm in line with budget
- Focus on efficient deployment of capital
Financials: Compelling growth at low risk
- Rental income €390.1m (+8.2% YOY from €360.5m)
- Adjusted EBITDA €259.3m (+11.9% YOY from €231.7m);
- Strong underlying margin improvement
- FFO I €163.6m, €3.04 per share (+15.9% YOY from €141.2m)
- AFFO €120.2m (+23.3% YOY from €97.5m)
- NAV (excl. goodwill) €52.69 per share (+6.7% YOY)
- DPS €1.96, +13.3% YOY, payout ratio of 68.4%
II. Portfolio and Operating Performance
Portfolio Overview
Strong operational performance across all submarkets
| FY-2014 | (YOY) |
|
|---|---|---|
| # of units | 106,961 | +13.4% |
| In-place rent (sqm) | €5.07 (€5.11)* | +2.3% (+3.0%)* |
| Occupancy | 97.2% (97.3%)* | +10 bps (+20 bps)* |
| High-Growth Markets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY-2014 (YOY) |
||||
| # of units | 32,847 | +4.3% | ||
| In-place rent (sqm) | €5.71 (€5.73)* |
+3.0% (+3.2%)* |
||
| Occupancy | 98.9% (99.0%)* |
+10 bps (+20 bps)* |
| Stable Markets with Attractive Yields | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY-2014 (YOY) |
|||||
| # of units | 42,916 | +23.9% | |||
| In-place rent (sqm) | €4.81 (€4.80)* |
+2.9% (+2.7%)* |
|||
| Occupancy | 97.0% (96.9%)* |
+50 bps (+30 bps)* |
| Higher-Yielding Markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY-2014 (YOY) |
|||||
| # of units | 29,284 | +9.7% | |||
| In-place rent (sqm) | €4.69 (€4.70)* |
+2.5% (+2.6%)* |
|||
| Occupancy | 95.6% (95.7%)* |
+/-0 bps (+/-0 bps)* |
* like-for-like
Rent Development
Attractive portfolio + operational excellence = strong rent growth
- Regional focus as competitive edge
- Well diversified mix of growth drivers
Occupancy Development (like-for-like)
Attractive portfolio + operational excellence = low vacancies
- Strong letting momentum in Q4-2014 across all submarkets
- Especially strong momentum in Green and Purple Markets in Q4
- Higher investments in Q4 with focus on vacant apartments (attractive return potential)
- KPI's rent growth, vacancy reduction and capex are balanced with one another (optimising the mix)
Capex & Maintenance Well maintained asset base
III. Financial Performance
Financial Highlights FY-2014
Margin expansion on back of sound topline growth + cost discipline
Income Statement FY-2014
| Condensed Income Statement (€ million) |
2014 | 2013 | Higher rental income (+€29.6m/+8.2%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net rental and letting income |
284.9 | 257.7 | Higher maintenance (-€3.9m) and personnel costs due to portfolio growth largely offset |
| Net income from the disposal of investment property | -1.7 | -1.7 | by multimedia revenues NRI-margin increased from 71.5% to 73.0% YOY |
| Net income from the valuation of investment property | 143.0 | 81.6 | |
| Net income from the disposal of real estate inventory | -3.1 | -3.1 | €1.2m Long Term Incentive Plan – non cash pass |
| Net income from Other services | -0.3 | 2.3 | through item Higher project and one-off costs in 2013 |
| Administrative and Other expenses | -41.6 | -51.5 | Lower recurring admin. costs (€33.1m vs. €35.2m) |
| Other income | 0.5 | 0.2 | Lower non-cash loan |
| Operating earnings |
381.7 | 285.5 | amortisation (+€5.6m) Tax reimbursement (+€5.7m) Result from fair value |
| Net finance costs |
-162.2 | -126.9 | measurement of derivatives (-€44.7m YOY; thereof €33.7m from convertible) |
| Earnings before income taxes |
219.5 | 158.6 | Cash interests (€94.6m vs. €91m) |
| Income tax expense |
-62.7 | -21.7 | Negative one-offs: €6.1m |
| Consolidated net profit |
156.8 | 136.9 | (tax audit) and €8.9m (write down tax asset) Cash taxes -€1.2m |
Adjusted EBITDA FY-2014
| € million |
2014 | 2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 390.3 | 294.1 | +€29.6m higher rental income +€61.4m higher result from |
| Net income from the valuation of investment property |
-143.0 | -81.6 | fair value measurement of properties +€5.1m lower project and one time costs |
| Long-term incentive program (LTIP) | 1.2 | 3.3 | |
| Non-recurring project costs | 5.8 | 7.9 | |
| Extraordinary and prior-period expenses and income | 0.2 | 3.2 | |
| Net income from the disposal of investment property | 1.7 | 1.7 | |
| Net income from the disposal of real estate inventory |
3.1 | 3.1 | Winding down former development business Disposals at premium to book values (€5.7m vs. |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 259.3 | 231.7 | €5.1m) Total inventories €4.2m |
FFO Calculation FY-2014
| € million |
2014 | 2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA | 259.3 | 231.7 | Slightly higher financial charges due to |
| Cash interest expenses and income | -94.5 | -91.0 | acquisitions Interest cost ratio slightly decreasing (24.2% vs. |
| Cash income taxes | -1.2 | 0.5 | 25.2% in FY-2013) |
| FFO I (not including disposal of investment property) |
163.6 | 141.2 | |
| Net income from the disposal of investment property |
-1.7 | -1.7 | Disposal of non-core assets at premium to |
| FFO II (including disposal of investment property) | 161.9 | 139.5 | book values (€37.6m vs. €37.2m) |
| Capex | -43.4 | -43.7 | |
| Capex-Adjusted FFO I (AFFO) | 120.2 | 97.5 | +€22.7m supported by slightly lower capex ratio |
FFO Bridge FY-2014
Focus: Cash Effective Interest Expense FY-2014
| € million |
2014 | 2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reported interest expense |
128.5 | 131.4 | Including interest expenses of |
| Interest expense related to loan amortisation |
-24.6 | -30.2 | -€4.5m related to convertible bond |
| Refinancing fees | 0.0 | -2.9 | |
| Prepayment penalties | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Interest on shareholder loans | 0.0 | -0.2 | |
| Interest charges relating to valuation of assets/liabilities |
-2.3 | -2.3 | |
| Leasing related interest expense | -1.5 | -1.6 | |
| Interest expenses related to changes in pension provisions |
-4.0 | -3.6 | |
| Other interest expenses | -0.2 | -0.2 | |
| Bank charges | -0.3 | 1.5 | Moderate increase |
| Interest income | -1.0 | -0.9 | due to acquisitions Interest coverage |
| Cash effective interest expense | 94.6 | 91.0 | improved further (2.7x up from 2.5x YOY) |
EPRA-Net Asset Value FY-2014
Attractive portfolio yield + hidden reserves from services business
| € million |
31.12.2014 | 31.12.2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equity (excl. minority interests) |
2,477.3 | 2,248.8 | +€156.8m net profit +€202.9m capital |
| Effect of exercising options, convertible loans and other rights | 308.7 | - | increase -€91.6m dividend |
| NAV | 2,786.0 | 2,248.8 | payment -€53.1m other |
| Fair value of financial derivatives | 136.1 | 52.0 | comprehensive income |
| Deferred taxes | 372.5 | 315.3 | |
| EPRA-NAV | 3,294.6 | 2,616.1 | |
| Number of shares fully-diluted incl. convertible (m)* |
62.043 | 52.963 | |
| EPRA-NAV per share in € | 53.10 | 49.39 | |
| Goodwill, resulting from synergies | 25.9 | - | |
| Adjusted EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill) |
3,268.7 | 2,616.1 | |
| Adjusted EPRA-NAV per share in € | 52.69 | 49.39 |
- Property valuation
- Value uplift +2.8% (post impairment of 1.5% for increased RETT)
- Stable portfolio yield of 7.2%
Services
Expected future FFO >€10m (€10m/6% = €166m or c. €2.70 per share)
*Actual number of shares outstanding 57.063m
EPRA-Net Asset Value Bridge FY-2014
Balance Sheet FY-2014
Strong balance sheet secures defensive profile
| € million |
31.12.2014 | 31.12.2013 | Purchases €615.9m |
|---|---|---|---|
| Investment property | 5,914.3 | 5,163.4 | Valuation uplift €143m |
| Prepayment for investment property |
16.8 | 6.9 | Capex €43.4m Reclassification -€51.4m |
| Other non-current assets | 155.8 | 91.9 | |
| Non-current assets | 6,086.9 | 5,262.2 | |
| Receivables and other assets | 35.9 | 33.8 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 129.9 | 110.7 | |
| Current assets | 165.8 | 144.5 | |
| Assets held for disposal | 58.4 | 16.4 | |
| Total Assets | 6,311.1 | 5,423.1 | |
| Equity | 2,491.6 | 2,276.1 | Equity ratio of 39.5% |
| Non-current financial liabilities | 2,546.5 | 2,396.7 | |
| Other non-current liabilities |
612.3 | 443.9 | |
| Non-current liabilities | 3,158.8 | 2,840.6 | |
| Current financial liabilities | 413.8 | 187.0 | |
| Other current liabilities | 246.9 | 119.4 | |
| Current liabilities | 660.7 | 306.4 | |
| Total Equity and Liabilities |
6,311.1 | 5,423.1 |
Headroom for external growth LTV FY-2014
| € million |
31.12.2014 | 31.12.2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financial debt | 2,960.3 | 2,583.7 | |
| Cash & cash equivalents | 129.9 | 110.7 | |
| Net Debt |
2,830.4 | 2,473.0 | |
| Investment properties | 5,914.3 | 5,163.4 | Financial firepower approx. €500m |
| Properties held for sale | 58.4 | 16.4 | Positive impact on LTV from future conversion of |
| Prepayment for investment properties |
16.8 | 6.9 | convertible expected (currently -430bps) |
| Property values |
5,989.5 | 5,186.7 | |
| Loan to Value (LTV) in % | 47.3 | 47.7 | |
| Equity | 2,491.6 | 2,276.1 |
Financing Structure FY-2014
External growth supports further decrease in average interest costs
Further strengthening of best-in-class financing structure
LT secured debt, well-balanced maturity profile, low cost of debt
| Refinancing Targets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volume | approx. €900m | |||
| One-off charges (estimate) |
€60m | |||
| Payback period |
3.5 years | |||
| Avg. debt maturity new loans |
approx. 10 years |
|||
| Avg. interest cost - new loans - replaced old loans |
< 2% 3.86% |
Very attractive refinancing environment for LEG
- Significant decline in credit margins + ultra low rates
- Increasing competition among lenders LEG preferred partner due to strong credit profile
- Window of opportunity to lock-in cheap cost of debt for foreseeable future
IV. Business Update and Outlook
Business Update
Growth for value
Efficiency programme
- Comprehensive approach covering operating and overhead functions
- Official kick-off for implementation in March
Launch of energy services business
- A leading utility company gained as new strategic partner; start in H2-2015
- First positive earnings contribution in FY-2016
- Medium term FFO target: >€4m p.a.; positive one-off effect in FY-2015
Successful integration of NRW Vitus portfolio
- LEG's regional focus and leading property management expertise is paying off
- Smooth integration in a timely manner
- Operational performance beating our projections
- Vacancy reduction of c.100bps within ~3 months
Business Update
Growth for value
Acquisition pipeline – on track for FY targets
- Building-up of new acquisition pipeline after signing of Vitus NRW transaction
- In negotiation and due diligence process for several smaller and midsized deals
- Deal activity is providing high level of comfort for FY-targets
- LEG remains partner of choice for deals in NRW
Acquisitions: Creating Tangible Value
| 31.12.2014 | Closing | Change | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Units | In-place rent € / sqm |
Occupancy | In-place rent € / sqm |
Occupancy | In-place rent € / sqm |
Occupancy |
| 8,176* | 5.19 | 95.0% | 4.95 | 94.7% | 0.24 (+4.8%) | ~ +40 bp |
| New-letting (Closing – 31.12.2014) |
Previous rent (Closing – 31.12.2014) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| sqm | In-place rent € / sqm |
sqm | In-place rent € / sqm |
Change In-place rent |
| 68,559* | 5.67 | 70,672 | 5.25 | +8.0% |
- Dynamic rent growth confirms attractive reversionary potential
- Average in-place rents +4.8% (within avg. 14 months), re-lettings +8.0%
- Steadily rising occupancy in past three quarters
- Initiated capex programme is bearing fruit
* Acquisitions since end-2012 excl. NRW Vitus transaction
Outlook 2015 & 2016
| 2015 | Guidance |
|---|---|
| FFO I: | €195m - €200m/ €3.42 - €3.50; excl. future acquisitions |
| L-F-L rent growth: | 2.3% - 2.5% |
| L-F-L vacancy: | ≤ 2.7% |
| Maintenance/Capex: | €15/sqm (capex ratio c. 50%) |
| Acquisitions (mid term target): |
≥ 5,000 units p.a. |
| Dividend: | 65% of FFO I |
| 2016 | Guidance |
|---|---|
| FFO I: | €223m - €227m/ €3.91 - €3.98; excl. future acquisitions |
V. Appendix
Mietspiegel overview
Expected new Mietspiegel in 2015
| Release date (expected) |
High-Growth Market1 |
Market1 Stable |
Higher-Yielding Market1 |
Total Portfolio1,2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 (Q1) | 9,789 units (mainly Cologne, Monheim) |
18,343 units (mainly Dortmund, Hamm) |
2,526 units | 31,342 units |
| 2015 (Q2) | 6,653 units (mainly Münster) |
10,139 units (mainly Möchengladbach) |
16,792 units | |
| 2015 (Q3) | 1,488 units (mainly Bocholt) |
4,310 units (mainly Wuppertal) |
266 units | 6,064 units |
| 2015 (Q4) | 2,761 units (mainly Bonn) |
1,109 units (mainly Dorsten) |
3,870 units | |
| Total 1,2 | 20,691 units | 32,792 units | 3,901 units |
58,068 units |
| Thereof: | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| - Bonn |
2,225 units | ||
| - Cologne |
3,705 units | ||
| - Dortmund |
12,554 units | ||
| - Essen |
1,786 units | ||
| - Gütersloh |
1,788 units | ||
| - Hamm |
3,974 units | ||
| - Möchengladbach |
6,050 units | ||
| - Monheim |
3,436 units | ||
| - Münster |
6,098 units | ||
| - Wuppertal |
2,031 units | ||
1 Sub-portfolios also include restricted units 2 Total Portfolio also include 684 units Non NRW
LEG – Adj. EBITDA Margin
Leading profitability in the sector
| Adj. EBITDA margin | 2014 | 2013 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| €m | margin % |
€m | margin % | |
| As reported |
259.3 | 66.5 | 231.7 | 64.3 |
| Gap restricted vs. unrestricted rents* | 21.2 | 68.2 | 22.5 | 66.4 |
* €/sqm: €4.61 vs. €5.33 in 2014, €4.50 vs. €5.24 in 2013
- EBITDA as reported distorted by restricted units (compensation for lower rents included in interest results)
- Scenario analysis: closing gap between restricted vs. unrestricted rents; Adjusted EBITDA margin approx. 170 bps higher
Portfolio (as of 31 December 2014)
Sound property fundamentals basis for value growth
| Residential | GAV Residential |
% of Total Residential |
GAV/ | In-Place | GAV Commercial/ Other |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market | Units | Assets (€m) | GAV | sqm (€) | Rent Multiple | Assets (€m) | Total GAV |
| High Growth Markets |
32,847 | 2,337 | 41% | 1,112 | 16.3x | 164 | 2,501 |
| Stable Markets with Attractive Yields |
42,916 | 2,067 | 36% | 733 | 13.0x | 80 | 2,147 |
| Higher-Yielding Markets |
29,284 | 1,157 | 20% | 639 | 11.8x | 42 | 1,198 |
| Subtotal NRW | 105,047 | 5,560 | 98% | 826 | 13.9x | 286 | 5,846 |
| Portfolio outside NRW |
1,914 | 114 | 2% | 864 | 14.5x | 9 | 123 |
| Total Portfolio | 106,961 | 5,674 | 100% | 827 | 13.9x | 295 | 5,969 |
| Other Assets | 48 | ||||||
| Total (incl. Landbank and DevCo) 6,016 |
LEG Share Information
Financial Calendar
| Date | Report/Event |
|---|---|
| 25.03.2015 | Annual Report 2014 |
| 26.03.2015 | Roadshow London (Deutsche Bank) |
| 27.03.2015 | Commerzbank German Residential Property Forum 2015, London |
| 30.03.2015 | Roadshow Zurich (Société Générale) |
| 16.04.2015 | Bankhaus Lampe Conference (Baden-Baden) |
| 05.05.2015 | IR: Hamburger Investmentkonferenz (Donner & Reuschel) |
| 13.05.2015 | Quarterly Report Q1 as of 31st March 2015 |
Contact
LEG Immobilien AG – Investor Relations
Burkhard Sawazki Head of Investor Relations Tel: +49 211 4568 204 [email protected]
Karin Widenmann Manager Investor Relations Tel: +49 211 4568 458 karin.widenman[email protected]
Hans-Boeckler-Str. 38 40476 Dusseldorf Germany